Ever wonder why probability is so difficult? Ever feel like you're the only one struggling with this concept? You're not! Probability is deceptively complex, but with a few tips and some practice, we can all improve our probabilistic skills.
Sources:
Marilyn Vos Savant and Monty Hall:
priceonomics.com/the-time-eve...
The Base Rate Problem and Doctors:
www.bbc.com/news/magazine-281...
COVID-19 Prevalence and Test Accuracy:
www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/c...
Sally Clark:
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sally_C...
Simpson's Paradox:
www.brookings.edu/blog/social...
Probability Part II: • Statistics: Probabilit...
Probability Part III: • Statistics: Probabilit...
Probability Part IV: • Statistics: Probabilit...
AP Statistics 2018 #3 (Probability FRQ): • 2020 AP Statistics Rev...
0:00 Introduction
0:45 MARILYN VOS SAVANT AND THE MONTY HALL PROBLEM
1:48 THE BACKLASH
5:07 INFECTIOUS DISEASE AND THE BASE RATE FALLACY
6:34 THE ASSUMPTION OF INDEPENDENCE AND THE PROSECUTOR'S FALLACY
7:23 SIMPSON'S PARADOX
7:47 HOW TO APPROACH PROBABILITY PROBLEMS
8:42 PROBABILITY MODELS FOR RANDOM VARIABLES