State of our Climate: New World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Update Report

Ғылым және технология

Diagnosis: Bad
Prognosis: Worse
Every year, about this time, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) releases a detailed report updating their analysis in key climate metrics.
This years report talks about how almost every essential element of the climate system is severely broken, with new records being set across the board.
I chat about the key findings of this report, zeroing in on the graphs and charts, to let you know the grim highlights of our breaking climate/weather systems.
Press release link: wmo.int/publication-series/st...
Key messages:
State of Global Climate report confirms 2023 as hottest year on record by clear margin
Records broken for ocean heat, sea level rise, Antarctic sea ice loss and glacier retreat
Extreme weather undermines socio-economic development
Renewable energy transition provides hope
Cost of climate inaction is higher than cost of climate action
Here is the link to the full, detailed report:
library.wmo.int/viewer/68835/...
I noticed that there was zero mention of aerosols and sulphur reduction in marine shipping fuels; in my view this is a huge oversight by the WMO in light of James Hansen’s brilliant work. Mainstream science does not yet accept what Hansen is saying; but I am sure they will confirm it soon, since it is impossible to ignore the harsh truth forever.
Some startling tidbits that do appear in the report are the following:
Heatwaves, floods, droughts, wildfires and rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones caused misery and mayhem, upending every-day life for millions and inflicting many billions of dollars in economic losses, according to the WMO State of the Global Climate 2023 report.
The WMO report confirmed that 2023 was the warmest year on record, with the global average near-surface temperature at 1.45 °Celsius (with a margin of uncertainty of ± 0.12 °C) above the pre-industrial baseline. It was the warmest ten-year period on record.
“Sirens are blaring across all major indicators... Some records aren’t just chart-topping, they’re chart-busting. And changes are speeding-up.” said United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres.
“Never have we been so close - albeit on a temporary basis at the moment - to the 1.5° C lower limit of the Paris Agreement on climate change.” said WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo. “The WMO community is sounding the Red Alert to the world.”
“Climate change is about much more than temperatures. What we witnessed in 2023, especially with the unprecedented ocean warmth, glacier retreat and Antarctic sea ice loss, is cause for particular concern,” she said.
On an average day in 2023, nearly one third of the global ocean was gripped by a marine heatwave, harming vital ecosystems and food systems. Towards the end of 2023, over 90% of the ocean had experienced heatwave conditions at some point during the year.
The global set of reference glaciers suffered the largest loss of ice on record (since 1950), driven by extreme melt in both western North America and Europe, according to preliminary data.
Antarctic sea ice extent was by far the lowest on record, with the maximum extent at the end of winter at 1 million km2 below the previous record year - equivalent to the size of France and Germany combined.
“The climate crisis is THE defining challenge that humanity faces and is closely intertwined with the inequality crisis - as witnessed by growing food insecurity and population displacement, and biodiversity loss” said Celeste Saulo.
The number of people who are acutely food insecure worldwide has more than doubled, from 149 million people before the COVID-19 pandemic to 333 million people in 2023 (in 78 monitored countries by the World Food Programme). Weather and climate extremes may not be the root cause, but they are aggravating factors, according to the report.
Weather hazards continued to trigger displacement in 2023, showing how climate shocks undermine resilience and create new protection risks among the most vulnerable populations.
The State of the Global Climate report was released in time for World Meteorological Day on 23 March. It also sets the scene for a new climate action campaign by the UN Development Programme and WMO to be launched on 21 March. It will inform discussions at a climate ministerial meeting in Copenhagen on 21-22 March.
Dozens of experts and partners contribute to the report, including UN organizations, National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) and Global Data and Analysis Centers, as well as Regional Climate Centres, the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP), the Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW), the Global Cryosphere Watch and Copernicus Climate Change Service operated by ECMWF.
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos as I join the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.

Пікірлер: 181

  • @PaulHBeckwith
    @PaulHBeckwith2 ай бұрын

    Diagnosis: Bad Prognosis: Worse Every year, about this time, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) releases a detailed report updating their analysis in key climate metrics. This years report talks about how almost every essential element of the climate system is severely broken, with new records being set across the board. I chat about the key findings of this report, zeroing in on the graphs and charts, to let you know the grim highlights of our breaking climate/weather systems. Press release link: wmo.int/publication-series/state-of-global-climate-2023 Key messages: State of Global Climate report confirms 2023 as hottest year on record by clear margin Records broken for ocean heat, sea level rise, Antarctic sea ice loss and glacier retreat Extreme weather undermines socio-economic development Renewable energy transition provides hope Cost of climate inaction is higher than cost of climate action Here is the link to the full, detailed report: library.wmo.int/viewer/68835/?offset=#page=1&viewer=picture&o=bookmark&n=0&q= I noticed that there was zero mention of aerosols and sulphur reduction in marine shipping fuels; in my view this is a huge oversight by the WMO in light of James Hansen’s brilliant work. Mainstream science does not yet accept what Hansen is saying; but I am sure they will confirm it soon, since it is impossible to ignore the harsh truth forever. Some startling tidbits that do appear in the report are the following: Heatwaves, floods, droughts, wildfires and rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones caused misery and mayhem, upending every-day life for millions and inflicting many billions of dollars in economic losses, according to the WMO State of the Global Climate 2023 report. The WMO report confirmed that 2023 was the warmest year on record, with the global average near-surface temperature at 1.45 °Celsius (with a margin of uncertainty of ± 0.12 °C) above the pre-industrial baseline. It was the warmest ten-year period on record. “Sirens are blaring across all major indicators... Some records aren’t just chart-topping, they’re chart-busting. And changes are speeding-up.” said United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres. “Never have we been so close - albeit on a temporary basis at the moment - to the 1.5° C lower limit of the Paris Agreement on climate change.” said WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo. “The WMO community is sounding the Red Alert to the world.” “Climate change is about much more than temperatures. What we witnessed in 2023, especially with the unprecedented ocean warmth, glacier retreat and Antarctic sea ice loss, is cause for particular concern,” she said. On an average day in 2023, nearly one third of the global ocean was gripped by a marine heatwave, harming vital ecosystems and food systems. Towards the end of 2023, over 90% of the ocean had experienced heatwave conditions at some point during the year. The global set of reference glaciers suffered the largest loss of ice on record (since 1950), driven by extreme melt in both western North America and Europe, according to preliminary data. Antarctic sea ice extent was by far the lowest on record, with the maximum extent at the end of winter at 1 million km2 below the previous record year - equivalent to the size of France and Germany combined. “The climate crisis is THE defining challenge that humanity faces and is closely intertwined with the inequality crisis - as witnessed by growing food insecurity and population displacement, and biodiversity loss” said Celeste Saulo. The number of people who are acutely food insecure worldwide has more than doubled, from 149 million people before the COVID-19 pandemic to 333 million people in 2023 (in 78 monitored countries by the World Food Programme). Weather and climate extremes may not be the root cause, but they are aggravating factors, according to the report. Weather hazards continued to trigger displacement in 2023, showing how climate shocks undermine resilience and create new protection risks among the most vulnerable populations. The State of the Global Climate report was released in time for World Meteorological Day on 23 March. It also sets the scene for a new climate action campaign by the UN Development Programme and WMO to be launched on 21 March. It will inform discussions at a climate ministerial meeting in Copenhagen on 21-22 March. Dozens of experts and partners contribute to the report, including UN organizations, National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) and Global Data and Analysis Centers, as well as Regional Climate Centres, the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP), the Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW), the Global Cryosphere Watch and Copernicus Climate Change Service operated by ECMWF. Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos as I join the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.

  • @williamtomkiel8215

    @williamtomkiel8215

    2 ай бұрын

    Solution: Climate will survive. Humans- most likely not.

  • @GhostOnTheHalfShell

    @GhostOnTheHalfShell

    2 ай бұрын

    When intuition that stuff gets bad is right. :( And mainstream economists like Nordhaus are still given funding and influence in IPCC reporting. Their methods are dangerous because they are treated as experts, while their methods are wholly faulty. Criminally, negligently so in everything they touch (universities on a business footing and debt driven higher education). It’s time the scientific community calls them to account.

  • @fredfred9000

    @fredfred9000

    2 ай бұрын

    @@williamtomkiel8215 you mean planet earth will survive

  • @Vbluevital

    @Vbluevital

    2 ай бұрын

    Thank You Paul

  • @Vbluevital

    @Vbluevital

    2 ай бұрын

    I very much appreciate your written synopsis.

  • @markfrancis5164
    @markfrancis51642 ай бұрын

    Good or bad - we the informed, simply want to hear the truth. Thank you Paul for keeping us informed.

  • @earthsystem
    @earthsystem2 ай бұрын

    I'm so sad. There's always worse impacts and concerns to report. Prof Beckwith keeps us in the know.

  • @boyfauna19

    @boyfauna19

    2 ай бұрын

    I am so sad deeply utterly too, we are not going to make it eventually, I am just saying it and I care about people so much honestly too utterly, I don't want us to all endlessly be suffering etc. Thank you and love really

  • @CandC68
    @CandC682 ай бұрын

    As always with Paul, I click thumbs up, before he says a word. If our leaders would only listen.....

  • @GhostOnTheHalfShell

    @GhostOnTheHalfShell

    2 ай бұрын

    Leaders listen more to mainstream economists, a quack school in the midst of academia and gov policy. There are plenty of other economists that refute their faulty work, but they don’t have traction.

  • @forestdweller5581

    @forestdweller5581

    2 ай бұрын

    That seems pretty stupid to me.

  • @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    2 ай бұрын

    Listen to what? I guess you didn't get the memo: there are no solutions within this system. "Leaders" make for great scape goats, though.

  • @philipm3173

    @philipm3173

    2 ай бұрын

    Insanity is doing the same thing expecting different results. Why would we think the same crooked system wouldn't wind up with crooks at the helm?

  • @antonyjh1234

    @antonyjh1234

    2 ай бұрын

    It's not about listen, it's about the ability to remove oil from the system, try it in your own life and you can see how hard it is for society as you know it to continue.

  • @juliebarks3195
    @juliebarks31952 ай бұрын

    Hi Paul. You are a great teacher. I love listening to you.

  • @PaulHBeckwith

    @PaulHBeckwith

    2 ай бұрын

    I appreciate that!

  • @user-vl7vk3ne6y
    @user-vl7vk3ne6y2 ай бұрын

    More people perish from extreme heat than in natural disasters, I am dreading this summer.

  • @rdallas81

    @rdallas81

    2 ай бұрын

    Each year will set new records. Each year. People do not understand what's happening and most will deny it as they cover for shelter- We will live to see (at least) the beginnings of catastrophic events of biblical proportions. Massive movements of people,.property sell offs, scarce food and water, lawlessness. They will exodus equatorial areas and flee North- through Mexico into US and Canada- and Through Africa into Middle East into Europe, Caucuses, Russia-

  • @timbookedtwo2375

    @timbookedtwo2375

    2 ай бұрын

    says who? btw more people have died of cold than of heat.

  • @demontrader1222
    @demontrader12222 ай бұрын

    Years ago, I moved to live a quiet crofting life in Orkney. Live off the land so to speak. It was the Cold War days and I was hopeful capitalism would fade away to be replaced by a more saner economic global model. Then Reagan persuaded the Chinese to abandon fraternal socialism for Japanese style nationalistic socialism and heavy engagement with capitalism. At that point, my hopes fell. Then the USSR collapsed as did our alternative to heavy consumerism lifestyles and I knew we were done. So I abandoned ideals and joined the frenzy. And I come here each time only to see my bleak expectations come to fruition. Sad species.

  • @bakedbean37

    @bakedbean37

    2 ай бұрын

    "Sad species." From one of the sad specimens of the species now I can confirm your observations. Sadder still the prognosis for my kids ...!!!

  • @demontrader1222

    @demontrader1222

    2 ай бұрын

    @bakedbean37 Thatcher and Reagan used the Japanese (developed by the Austrian gentleman) model of welfare socialism inside which they embedded capitalism. This is the equivalent of continuously subsidizing your drug dependent customers as a drug dealer while making that the desirable model of world development so its spreading by the day to all corners of this planet. Only a technological marvel can reverse its toxic effects.

  • @FrankWhite437
    @FrankWhite4372 ай бұрын

    Would love to see those "early warnings for all" in action: "Tropical storm approaching. Please leave your improvised sheds and seek shelter in those non-existing solid houses next door. And whatever you do, don't flee to the developed world."

  • @rdallas81
    @rdallas812 ай бұрын

    "Hello. I'm Paul Beckwith" Classic!

  • @iamme9138

    @iamme9138

    2 ай бұрын

    Yes he did good with the intro.🤗

  • @michaelschiessl8357
    @michaelschiessl83572 ай бұрын

    Thank you Paul very sobering report but thanks to you.. those of us in the know...know!! Thank you for being the constant voice of honesty and truth in this climate madhouse called earth 2024!!

  • @alienoverlordsnow1786
    @alienoverlordsnow17862 ай бұрын

    The WMO forgot to mention that the greenhouse gas ppm in the atmosphere and the exponential rate of global heating, combined with over a dozen climate feedbacks already triggered, indicate that runaway greenhouse is in progress. People should also be made aware that at 34c of global heating, the oceans will evaporate, the atmospheric pressure will double, and the global average temperature will skyrocket to 400c. At 3c, agriculture is projected to collapse. At 5c, humans are projected to go extinct quite rapidly. The WMO is hesitant to be so honest.

  • @antonyjh1234

    @antonyjh1234

    2 ай бұрын

    At 5c it will take 330 years for 10% of the ice to melt, not sure where 34 degrees celcius is coming from but at 3c, which agriculture, because it might change planting times and the months that are the best growing seasons too. We will run out of oil before the time frame of 5c but extinct might be going a bit far.

  • @linmal2242

    @linmal2242

    2 ай бұрын

    @@antonyjh1234Back to subsistence economies for those that are left !

  • @CitiesForTheFuture2030
    @CitiesForTheFuture20302 ай бұрын

    It's estimated that by 2050'ish 75 - 80% of people will live in cities. Since people are concentrated in cities, extreme weather & socio-economic shocks (such as food & water insecurity) tends to concentrate here too. The urban enviro can also exacerbate extremes. For example, the urban heat island effect makes cities much hotter than the surrounding countryside worsening the effects of heatwaves. Urban heatwaves increases the use of aircons, worsening the urban heat island effect, awa increasing the demand for electricity, straining electricity grids, overwhelming emergency services & healthcare facilities, impacting education & productivity and putting the lives of outside workers at risk etc. Violence, especially GBV, tends to increase as temps increases. We need to start recognizing & talking about the impact of the climate breakdown on cities, awa appropriate mitigation strategies (cities must become part of the solution) & adaptation measures (via blue, green & grey infrastructure etc).

  • @Vbluevital

    @Vbluevital

    2 ай бұрын

    We do and Paul has discussed these issues many times.

  • @CitiesForTheFuture2030

    @CitiesForTheFuture2030

    2 ай бұрын

    @@Vbluevital Tx - that's great. Now we need to get MORE climate communicators talking about cities. Several related international agreements have been signed - Agenda 2030 (SDG 11 deals with cities specifically), the New Urban Agenda awa the Sendai Framework on Hazard Risk Reduction. So the world IS aware of the importance of cities and HAS committed to making cities more sustainable & safe. Now we need to hold them accountable to their commitments!

  • @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    2 ай бұрын

    By 2050'ish there won't even be a memory. Breaking news: humans cannot exist without their habitat, which will certainly disappear before 2040.

  • @SueFerreira75
    @SueFerreira752 ай бұрын

    "The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function" - Albert Bartlett, Professor of Physics - Univ of Colorado - Boulder.

  • @PaulaTourville-po7fg
    @PaulaTourville-po7fg2 ай бұрын

    The disruptions and impacts to everyday life will reach a point when we are forced to work together in agreement . Sadly things seem like they always have to reach a crisis before we figure this out .....

  • @Rodrigo-tk2fm

    @Rodrigo-tk2fm

    2 ай бұрын

    We're not program to figure this out. A great population reset back to the mean is inevitable.

  • @edtremblay6694
    @edtremblay66942 ай бұрын

    Don't forget the insects disappearing.

  • @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    2 ай бұрын

    Don't forget, we're about to disappear.

  • @linmal2242

    @linmal2242

    2 ай бұрын

    @@user-ym5hx6ky2m Not just yet; the tribal systems and communities are more resiliant than industrialised societies. They will survive; they are used to dynamic systems and confrontations, of which there will be many !

  • @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    2 ай бұрын

    @@linmal2242 It is the rate of environmental change that determines the success of every population and species. We are experiencing the most rapid rate of environmental change in the known history of the planet. All species require habitat - industrial or tribal. When industrial civilization fails, so will 450+ nuclear reactors, hence, the atmosphere will be ionized, destroying the ozone layer. In other words, bacteria will be lucky to make it past 2050. Sorry to break the news.

  • @forestdweller5581

    @forestdweller5581

    2 ай бұрын

    @@linmal2242 Tribalism helps nobody survive at all. Tribalism may as well be a bunch of football hooligans. As for resilience and sustainability it is not a difficult thing. We have 3 kinds of human society on Earth. Hunter-gatherer, agrarian and industrial. The first are clearly proven to be the resilient and sustainable ones. And it is not because of tribalism. It' s because they stick to primary survival needs such as food, water, shelter. You do not need tribalism for that.

  • @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    2 ай бұрын

    ​@@linmal2242It is the rate of environmental change that determines the success of every population and species. We are experiencing the most rapid rate of environmental change in the known history of the planet. Whether tribal or industrial, all species require habitat, and we're about to lose ours. When industrial civilization fails, so will 450+ nuclear reactors, hence, the atmosphere will be ionized, destroying the ozone layer. Bacteria will be lucky to make it past 2050. Sorry to break the news.

  • @tordkarl
    @tordkarl2 ай бұрын

    The moment when politicians will start to put the blame on somebody else is closing in.

  • @xxogierschundco3528

    @xxogierschundco3528

    2 ай бұрын

    I'm in local politics. You can try to establish house greenery, retain water, build a hospice, expand local public transport... but you are often blocked by other political actors. That's why I don't think "The Politics" is fair. But otherwise I agree with you.

  • @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    2 ай бұрын

    The politicians? I thought the problem was Western Civilization. Thanks, now we don't need to question our bread and butter!

  • @NapoleonGelignite
    @NapoleonGelignite2 ай бұрын

    I’ve been watching this for 30 years. It’s so predictable and yet so unavoidable due to human psychology.

  • @larragunn2809

    @larragunn2809

    2 ай бұрын

    Me too.. at least 30 years, back then it was so obvious we were headed to exactly where we are…

  • @hooplawithbilliesue8143
    @hooplawithbilliesue81432 ай бұрын

    Thanks Paul

  • @robertcartwright4374
    @robertcartwright43742 ай бұрын

    When their base line is anything other than the 1750 true pre-industrial, it would be more honest and transparent if they called it the "nominal pre-industrial". Scientists like precision; it's surprising to me this isn't established practice.

  • @souravsana974
    @souravsana9742 ай бұрын

    Thank 🌹for teaching

  • @mamapretz
    @mamapretz2 ай бұрын

    Thanks Mr. Beckwith for another important video.

  • @linmal2242
    @linmal22422 ай бұрын

    Civilization is a heat engine. More people wanting MORE = HEAT !

  • @EmeraldView
    @EmeraldView2 ай бұрын

    I'm sure things will turn around. 🙃

  • @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    2 ай бұрын

    In heaven😮.

  • @alienoverlordsnow1786
    @alienoverlordsnow17862 ай бұрын

    Paul please do a video with this title: 'Left unchecked, will global heating reach 34c?' If not, you should explain the mechanisms that will prevent that level of heating. Thanks.

  • @jonovens7974

    @jonovens7974

    2 ай бұрын

    basic physics...not enough available CO2. You would need a massive flood basalt event, to get it that high. And even then you are asking for a temp that has not occurred before even when there was much more CO2 in the atmosphere (over 2000 ppm). Best estimate would be +10 to +15c...back to the temp before the CO2 was locked away in the fossil fuels.

  • @lifewriter7455
    @lifewriter74552 ай бұрын

    Wow, Paul's office of climate news looks so tidy and clean! Love that yellow moose warning sign. Absolutely Magnificent. 😎🖤👍

  • @bcmo2307
    @bcmo23072 ай бұрын

    Paul, in relation to your question about increased Antarctic ice sheet, I think I heard or read elsewhere this is due to increased atmospheric temperature->humidity->precipitation(snow)

  • @rmleighton1
    @rmleighton12 ай бұрын

    “It’s all over now, baby blue.” B. Dylan.

  • @TheDoomWizard
    @TheDoomWizard2 ай бұрын

    Thank you

  • @michaelgarcia2203
    @michaelgarcia22032 ай бұрын

    pre-industrial baseline...the ever moving goalpost.

  • @frinoffrobis
    @frinoffrobis2 ай бұрын

    what's that beautiful tree in the thumbnail.. it's just amazing 👏 😮

  • @matthauslill4577
    @matthauslill45772 ай бұрын

    Diagnosis : very good.

  • @rogerlong6969
    @rogerlong69692 ай бұрын

    Any chance you can cover the Milinković cycles and where we are at in the cycles. Should we be warming up, or cooling based on the Milinković cycles?

  • @Spice1_
    @Spice1_2 ай бұрын

    Great vid Ty

  • @-LightningRod-
    @-LightningRod-2 ай бұрын

    i have been populating the QUESTION PERIOD CANADA CHANNEL lately i'm really alarmed at the ignorance and foolishness of my fellow Canadians

  • @juskahusk2247
    @juskahusk22472 ай бұрын

    23:10 I think the phrase is 'drought or deluge'.

  • @graemenash3121
    @graemenash31212 ай бұрын

    your not wrong about the co2 ppm increase, I think march 2024 is going to be about 4.5ppm higher than march 2023. I think humans only produce about 7ppm don't they? and since 2015 global co2 production hasn't gone up that much but it seems the planets ability to absorb co2 seems to have basically halved since then, this has to be sign of collapse doesn't it?

  • @xxogierschundco3528
    @xxogierschundco35282 ай бұрын

    thx

  • @petrlonsky2332
    @petrlonsky23322 ай бұрын

    I am on the same wave of sadness in your voice. Why others don't care at all...

  • @xxogierschundco3528

    @xxogierschundco3528

    2 ай бұрын

    If you're up to your neck in shit, don't let your head down :-) At least we won't get bored ^^ Hopefully my humor isn't too dark... but what are you supposed to do? The day still has 24 hours... (well... even if the rotation changes a bit due to melting etc...) but there is still enough time to think about things :-)

  • @davidwatson7604
    @davidwatson76042 ай бұрын

    Algo boost! For one day a crystal flute

  • @BROWNDIRTWARRIOR
    @BROWNDIRTWARRIOR2 ай бұрын

    Paul, please give clarity on the discrepancy between arctic sea ice loss due to global warming and artic sea ice gain due to the slowing AMOC? I am missing something here.

  • @xxogierschundco3528

    @xxogierschundco3528

    2 ай бұрын

    I think he pointed this out in one of the last videos. The topic is not that easy. And that wasn't a main part of the WMO report either. I would suspect... without a weakening of the Amoc, or Gulf Stream, a near blue ocean event might have occurred. It had been forecast since 2016. Maybe we don't even realize how weak the Gulf Stream is? Similar to the reduction of sulfur in ship fuels. They fell into a La Ninja, which is actually a cooling off period. Didn't happen. You were surprised... now you're relatively safe... everything is very exciting.

  • @BROWNDIRTWARRIOR

    @BROWNDIRTWARRIOR

    2 ай бұрын

    Exciting? This is not exertainment, buddy,

  • @wendydelisse9778

    @wendydelisse9778

    2 ай бұрын

    The portion of the Arctic Ocean near Wrangle Island is distant enough from the entry of AMOC water into the Arctic Ocean that the southern limit of sea ice extent in August is close to independent of the AMOC. In other words, look to the trend of August sea ice extent near the 180th meridian (180 degrees of longitude) to continue to tell a true enough tale of the progression of global warming, regardless of how much the AMOC shuts down during the 21st Century. In contrast, the region of ocean near Denmark's Faeroe Islands is highly affected by the state of the AMOC. Ireland, Scotland, Iceland, and Scandinavia are in the 2020s highly dependent on the AMOC for something reasonably close to a maritime climate that can be warm enough for commercial scale outdoor growing of cool weather crops such as potatoes and peas.

  • @xxogierschundco3528

    @xxogierschundco3528

    2 ай бұрын

    @@BROWNDIRTWARRIOR sure

  • @graemeguy341

    @graemeguy341

    2 ай бұрын

    It's not gaining due to slowing AMOC....its the reduction in loss that is slowing cause warm waters not coming as far north

  • @stephentrueman4843
    @stephentrueman48432 ай бұрын

    26:30 Those stats on undernourishment are crazy... those are in millions of people too.

  • @souravsana974
    @souravsana9742 ай бұрын

    Take rest

  • @paxwallace8324
    @paxwallace83242 ай бұрын

    Paul could you please review the mutual amplification of positive self reinforcing feedback loops? Thanks for your great work keeping us abreast of this sad frightening data.

  • @matthauslill4577

    @matthauslill4577

    2 ай бұрын

    Nature works mainly through negative feedbacks, or stabilizers. Alarmists think only in positive feedbacks, which are extremely seldom in Nature. Our interglacial, the Holocene, shows the most stable climate of all 8 interglacials which are reasonably well known and well studied. Does Mr Beckwith think that humans disabled the perfectly working negative feedbacks since the begin of the industrial period? Which one of the negative feedbacks or stabilizers does Mr Beckwith think is being disabled by humans by greenhouse gas emissions?

  • @paxwallace8324

    @paxwallace8324

    2 ай бұрын

    @@matthauslill4577 okay Mr know it all I'm humble that's why I ask a real scientist not rightwingnut Pseudo science misinformation purveyors. If this interglacial was stable it ain't no more not with the measurable accelerating increase of greenhouse gasses. Natalia Sharkova has been doing real field geology into methane Clathrates throughout the Arctic for over a decade and she is deeply alarmed along Greenland Glaciologist Jason Box. Hey man that's just the tip of the disappearing iceberg. It's simple really once the multi-year Arctic Ice is gone we're fu©ked.

  • @patrickmclaughlin6013

    @patrickmclaughlin6013

    2 ай бұрын

    Just throw a dart at a map, you'll probably get more accurate results

  • @gnorman-ct2lt
    @gnorman-ct2lt2 ай бұрын

    They can't see the forest before the trees

  • @jjlawy
    @jjlawy2 ай бұрын

    I remember seeing a map made from a computer model that predicted some regions would get much more rain and some regions would get much less rain. Do you know where I can find a more up to date model or even an older one (I can't even find the original map)

  • @PaulHBeckwith

    @PaulHBeckwith

    2 ай бұрын

    The WMO report has a good map for precipitation in 2023. There is a lot of structure, namely, some regions in the top 10% or 5% of rainfall lie very close to patches in the bottom 10% and 5%. Very heterogeneous; not homogenous at all!!

  • @darthex0
    @darthex02 ай бұрын

    U noted the inaccurate fire chart for Canada. I noticed the inaccurate precipitation chart for Australia. 2023 marked the most rain I have seen in my lifetime. This report is compromised!

  • @xxogierschundco3528

    @xxogierschundco3528

    2 ай бұрын

    I can imagine that some people here are curious about your sources. Or do you associate global weather events with the fact that it rained in your area?

  • @ranradd
    @ranradd2 ай бұрын

    Diagnosis: Bad, Prognosis: Worse. Great, guess I'll go mow the lawn so things will look nice till worse is so worse it won't matter.

  • @xxogierschundco3528

    @xxogierschundco3528

    2 ай бұрын

    I think this is why the public media does not explain the obvious situation. But I can understand you well. However, I'm off the lawn. I put berry bushes and fruit trees in the front yard. Hence the flowering meadow. I only have to mow it twice a year. Always something to snack on and significantly less work.

  • @ranradd

    @ranradd

    2 ай бұрын

    @@xxogierschundco3528 I agree. I'm currently residing with a relative in an upper middle class neighbor hood. When I proposed a plan such as yours, they were somewhat in shock and disbelief even though they "know about" climate change.

  • @xxogierschundco3528

    @xxogierschundco3528

    2 ай бұрын

    @@ranradd It requires courage at certain points. I put signs on the different berries...you can't imagine how many kids stop and look. 20 properties around it have lawn... lawn, lawn... A flowering meadow means less work. Mow twice a year. Instead of weekly. Herbs are available all year round... and berries can also be eaten all the time.

  • @keithfoster3831
    @keithfoster38312 ай бұрын

    Many ice ages have been and gone Paul, each time the global average warms back up to reach around 71f , we are approximately 58f now so no matter what you say, what we do , it will continue to warm up, that’s what the real science says .

  • @TheDanEdwards

    @TheDanEdwards

    2 ай бұрын

    "that’s what the real science says" - you are confused.

  • @robbenfelix
    @robbenfelix2 ай бұрын

    yet i find myself giggling by myself, huh

  • @GeorgeTsiros
    @GeorgeTsiros2 ай бұрын

    please do not take this to be demeaning, but what did you add to the report? You made a video to highlight some of the information in it?

  • @xxogierschundco3528

    @xxogierschundco3528

    2 ай бұрын

    What do you mean by that? He's always looking at papers or studies? Should he add something? I am grateful that he presents reports and explicitly emphasizes his own opinions. And it is logical that in a long report you emphasize your topics. If everything were discussed in detail, it would take hours. In addition, everyone has the opportunity to view the report themselves and critically. Maybe I misunderstood you too.

  • @GeorgeTsiros

    @GeorgeTsiros

    2 ай бұрын

    @@xxogierschundco3528 Okay, so it is intended as a kind of read-along with some comments here and there, okay.

  • @patrickmclaughlin6013
    @patrickmclaughlin60132 ай бұрын

    Artic sea ice at a 20 year high.

  • @TheDanEdwards

    @TheDanEdwards

    2 ай бұрын

    "Artic sea ice at a 20 year high" - you too are confused.

  • @richdiana3663
    @richdiana36632 ай бұрын

    WASF.

  • @Dampflanze
    @Dampflanze2 ай бұрын

    I can´t listen to you anymore. KZread keeps pushing you in my feed though. I wonder how you can keep going without zombieing or loosing it.

  • @PaulHBeckwith

    @PaulHBeckwith

    2 ай бұрын

    Sorry!

  • @Dampflanze

    @Dampflanze

    2 ай бұрын

    ​@@PaulHBeckwith Keep it locked!! I will just listen while watching commercials on tv to make it a borderline experience

  • @user-qg5dp4tl8c
    @user-qg5dp4tl8c2 ай бұрын

    It's important these reports are visible to people as you're doing Paul, because hopefully at some threshold of crisis level data, the world as a whole will reach a point of reckoning, and suddenly there will be the political will to stop subsidizing fossil fuels & instead subsidize renewables expansion on the scale needed to finish peaking in carbon emissions and begin a substantial decline.

  • @xxogierschundco3528

    @xxogierschundco3528

    2 ай бұрын

    I've already said it elsewhere: Politics... There are many parties that see the problem. But the dark side fights with other means. And they are strong. Please don't lump all politicians together. The political will is often there, but the people don't want to hear it. So those who say what people want to hear are elected. And that's not to say that there is a problem (for which there may not even be a solution anymore). As a tiny local politician, I often don't have the power to rebel against the power of money. Maybe more of us should get into politics. Help me and other idealists/realists... and please don't lump us all together.

  • @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    2 ай бұрын

    This civilization is an end game, full stop. Wasting your time on politics is, well, a waste of time. But if that's what turns you're crank, go for it.

  • @sergioperezio5523
    @sergioperezio55232 ай бұрын

    Thank you.. I wonder if folk would take on activism in a form that describes to others the worlds we envision. Urban and agricultural systems designed for the benefit of the people not billionaires. Something like the Venus project or fiction that describes the day-to-day life of a person who lives in such systems. My dream society utilizes the wisdom of Indigenous Americans mixed with technology and science and replacing billionaires for car parks.

  • @user-gf3lw5pi4t
    @user-gf3lw5pi4t2 ай бұрын

    Boomers for Bobbie❤❤

  • @noahking4725
    @noahking47252 ай бұрын

    Sea level rising on paper but not on eye

  • @jacobgordon7998

    @jacobgordon7998

    2 ай бұрын

    You should probably travel to the locations currently bearing the brunt of sea level rise to present. Or at least do any online research. There's plenty of available information for you to find.

  • @____________aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

    @____________aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

    2 ай бұрын

    Just visit Florida and watch the weekly water incursion

  • @mikeheath6516

    @mikeheath6516

    2 ай бұрын

    @@jacobgordon7998 yet you don't provide supporting evidence for your claim.

  • @jacobgordon7998

    @jacobgordon7998

    2 ай бұрын

    @@mikeheath6516 NASA, the NOAA, the ESA, JAXA all have detailed records if you have any intellectual honesty. Put the work in and do some research. What we say here in an internet forum has zero bearing on the reality, get off your ass and look for the evidence because you will find it if your interjection into this conversation was based off any genuine thirst for knowledge.

  • @Elwren
    @Elwren2 ай бұрын

    doomer asmr

  • @ppetal1
    @ppetal12 ай бұрын

    Half a mm a year ocean rise is here. How much of that is from non-polar ice loss? I guess that's nearer exhaustion.

  • @sc20910
    @sc209102 ай бұрын

    Sorry to say, but if Biden understood anything about competitive marketing tactics, he would not be running again. His running against the liars’ party candidate is ridding this stuff getting enormously worse over the next 5 years.

  • @preimer22
    @preimer222 ай бұрын

    Sigh.

  • @timothyhume3741
    @timothyhume37412 ай бұрын

    I can still hardly hear you, Paul. Maybe the powers that be do not want your message getting out. I follow you as often as I can but the volume on your pod posts is way beyond what I am able to hear. It is just to difficult attempting to listen, Cheers

  • @PaulHBeckwith

    @PaulHBeckwith

    2 ай бұрын

    I’ll have to sort this out, once and for all…

  • @lawrencetaylor4101
    @lawrencetaylor41012 ай бұрын

    Is this because of volcanoes? Asking for a friend.

  • @delburnwalter2024

    @delburnwalter2024

    2 ай бұрын

    No.

  • @patrickmclaughlin6013

    @patrickmclaughlin6013

    2 ай бұрын

    No, seismic activity and the sun have no effect on the climate according to the climate faithful. Amen.

  • @TheDanEdwards

    @TheDanEdwards

    2 ай бұрын

    ​@@patrickmclaughlin6013 Maybe you don't know much. Go take a real science class.

  • @PatMcLJr

    @PatMcLJr

    Ай бұрын

    @@TheDanEdwards Maybe, but I sure don't subscribe to the climate cult. Going to call me a denier now?

  • @souravsana974
    @souravsana9742 ай бұрын

    Don't you get after+ pen+ session that's mean money

  • @PaulHBeckwith

    @PaulHBeckwith

    2 ай бұрын

    ?

  • @eriklaken1025
    @eriklaken10252 ай бұрын

    The magnetic pools change and the magnetic poolshift wil weaken the field and allow fast warmin of earth.

  • @andrewfinlay5160
    @andrewfinlay51602 ай бұрын

    Can't hear the truth when the temperatures are manipulated data ..sorry..

  • @xxogierschundco3528

    @xxogierschundco3528

    2 ай бұрын

    What do you base your theory on? On the small deviations of Barkley and Co's temperature curve from 1850-1900? I would be interested to know how you came up with this. Thanks in advance!

  • @andrewfinlay5160

    @andrewfinlay5160

    2 ай бұрын

    @@xxogierschundco3528 look up Tony Heller. He does the research on the climate. Check him out . Maybe read Michael Creighton book The State of Fear. Also if you are a scientist and have different views on the subject you get destroyed fired then no grant money for the rest of your life.. just like COVID trials and research. Manipulated data in favor of the the NIH Niaid CDC FDA AMA and moderna vax .also these so called predictions are computer models and AI . Estimated past present and future. .nope sorry . Don't believe what they are selling.

  • @TheDanEdwards

    @TheDanEdwards

    2 ай бұрын

    ​@@andrewfinlay5160 "Tony Heller."

  • @andrewfinlay5160

    @andrewfinlay5160

    2 ай бұрын

    @@TheDanEdwards lmfao

  • @matthauslill4577
    @matthauslill45772 ай бұрын

    Hopefully it is getting warmer. The climate has not recuperated from the Little Ice Age. Not one extreme weather event is getting worse, as per IPCC AR6. The earth is getting every year greener caused by the mild warming and by the CO2 fertilization.

  • @xxogierschundco3528

    @xxogierschundco3528

    2 ай бұрын

    You definitely sleep better than me ^^ lol

  • @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    2 ай бұрын

    @@jcldctt You mean there isn't a fairy God mother? Poop.

  • @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    @user-ym5hx6ky2m

    2 ай бұрын

    @@jcldctt Great. My magic bong hasn't been cutting it lately.

  • @matthauslill4577

    @matthauslill4577

    2 ай бұрын

    @@jcldctt All facts I mentioned are measured facts and published in peer review articles. No hypothesis. Look for IPCC AR6 WG1 regarding the not observed global tendency of extreme weather events. Look for NASA "The greening of the Planet", regarding the very strong greening of the planet, measured very exactly by NASA Satellites since 1978. 1850, the IPCC reference year, was one of the coldest years of the last 10.000 years and is considered as the end of the Little Ice Age. But the warming tendency by natural variability of the climate was clearly observed long before the strong CO2 emissions started around 1850. F. e. 1710 till 1740 is a 30year warming period in England reported as strong and fast as the warming from 1978 till 1998, which was interrupted by the hiatus. CO2 emissions may have helped in the warming of the last 150 years. The average global surface temperature was 1850 about 13,5 C. The average temperature of our interglacial lies at about 15 C, which we reached thanks God as per the WMO not before the year 2020! By the way, even the Sahel in Africa is greening since the late 1980ies, as NASA reports. I am no climate scientists but I can read and analyze.

  • @timbookedtwo2375
    @timbookedtwo23752 ай бұрын

    "Warmest on record." Which record? How far does the record go back? In the 1920's and 1930's it was much hotter in the US, where the "best" temperature records are kept, than it is now. The Earth was much warmer in the Medieval Warm Period and the Roman times than it is now. So, which record is the WMO referring to?

  • @marklinnane1744

    @marklinnane1744

    2 ай бұрын

    Think you've been misinformed. Earth wasn't warmer then. Plenty of misinformation going around.

  • @timbookedtwo2375

    @timbookedtwo2375

    2 ай бұрын

    @@marklinnane1744Been reading too much Michael Mann stuff, eh? Easy to cry "misinformation." There are US government temperature records going way back. There are geological and climatalogical (ice cores for example) as well as plenty of other proxy data showing the earth has been much warmer than now and not related to amount of CO2 in the atmosphere.

  • @timbookedtwo2375

    @timbookedtwo2375

    2 ай бұрын

    @@marklinnane1744 Actually, it was. Michael Mann is wrong. US government records show the 1930‘s days were hotter and heat waves lasted longer.

  • @BelisarioHRomo
    @BelisarioHRomo2 ай бұрын

    Propaganda juice!!

  • @DanaVastman
    @DanaVastman2 ай бұрын

    😢

  • @BelisarioHRomo
    @BelisarioHRomo2 ай бұрын

    Too much shit...so little time!

  • @xxogierschundco3528

    @xxogierschundco3528

    2 ай бұрын

    Congratulations! That was really a lot of nonsense in a few words :-)

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