Shopify Stock (SHOP) Analysis: WINNING SHARE! Cheap?

Is Shopify stock (SHOP) finally cheap? SHOP stock is down 30% in the last few months yet their underlying fundamentals continue to improve. In this video I discuss Shopify's latest results, why the stock may have sold off, and the structural thesis behind Shopify's historic growth.
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Пікірлер: 45

  • @gford9988
    @gford998815 күн бұрын

    as always, high quality info. I've been a paying member for about a year. VERY happy with the guidance/analysis that Daniel provides

  • @unrivaled

    @unrivaled

    15 күн бұрын

    Thank you! It's the paying members of the UNRIVALED NATION that keeps this channel going!

  • @RenewableEnergyInvestmen-it5jl
    @RenewableEnergyInvestmen-it5jl15 күн бұрын

    I don't think asking whether a company in a secular growth industry is "cheap" is the right question. This is how people miss fantastic companies. What is far more important is whether it is a fantastic secular growth business, with an indefinite moat and great management. With secular growers, it is far more important to be correct on the business, then for the stock to be cheap.

  • @msaw504

    @msaw504

    15 күн бұрын

    Do you think Shopify could be a secular grower in the future based on its business model and challenges it faces?

  • @RenewableEnergyInvestmen-it5jl

    @RenewableEnergyInvestmen-it5jl

    15 күн бұрын

    @@msaw504 Im not personally invested enough in this stock so I haven’t done the DD to be confident. But for most growth stocks the bulls vs bears battle ultimately is decided by the durability of growth. Bears project growth tapers off. Bulls project ongoing or accelerating growth. Typically the outcome of this debate has far greater impact on stock price than the current price.

  • @opencase9903

    @opencase9903

    15 күн бұрын

    Shopify has no moat.

  • @amostageer

    @amostageer

    13 күн бұрын

    @@opencase9903what?! Literally no other company does what Shopify does!

  • @TheParamike

    @TheParamike

    6 күн бұрын

    I’m DCA’ing in heavily now. Should see huge growth as more and more brands shift over to their platform.

  • @mechannel7046
    @mechannel704615 күн бұрын

    9:20 cash flow chart 12:20 SHOP still not cheap

  • @iakobkv271
    @iakobkv27116 күн бұрын

    when Daniel posts youtube video, I am sure stock is expensive and NOT a buy, in advance :D

  • @unrivaled

    @unrivaled

    16 күн бұрын

    I'm picky! kzread.info/dash/bejne/oKesqcuzp6-6lJs.html

  • @johno1104

    @johno1104

    15 күн бұрын

    Because he usually has a very similar but better stock behind the paywall

  • @iakobkv271

    @iakobkv271

    15 күн бұрын

    @@TwitterVerifeddont be silly, no 100 Daniels will pump a stock with billions of market cap

  • @nguyendat6714
    @nguyendat671413 күн бұрын

    For your base case scenario, if SHOP grows at 17.5%, why would you only give the company a 30x multiple? The SP500 on average grows about 5-10% but its currently trading at 25 PE. IF SHOP grows 2x faster than the SP500, it should deserve at least a 40PE, right? Did I miss something here?

  • @johnmcquaid7524
    @johnmcquaid752415 күн бұрын

    Excellent video. Thank-you for your channel!

  • @Hestayeating
    @Hestayeating10 күн бұрын

    I love the new thumb nails!🔥

  • @cianle-ginger802
    @cianle-ginger80215 күн бұрын

    Is it possible to get a hold of your valuation model spreadsheet?

  • @FKAS8410
    @FKAS841012 күн бұрын

    Hi Daniel. Just a thought, why not bundle AI ticker chat as part of your premium services?

  • @mattanonysaurousrex
    @mattanonysaurousrex15 күн бұрын

    Just because the stock price drops, doesn't mean it's cheap. However, if lots of retail investors think the drop means it's a sale, and if traders are going to take advantage of the volatility, the price will go up in the short term. My metrics show I should consider it at $45. If you really believe in the company, I don't think it's a bad opportunity.

  • @GoldfishLiberty
    @GoldfishLiberty6 күн бұрын

    What would your buy price be for this stock then?

  • @JuanBattaglia45
    @JuanBattaglia4510 күн бұрын

    At 35 BN I'll start to think about it.

  • @trollheim-bavaria
    @trollheim-bavaria15 күн бұрын

    smart money is different

  • @karldoring9887
    @karldoring988715 күн бұрын

    More than half of their FCF is stock based compensation ...

  • @howardpratt7962
    @howardpratt796216 күн бұрын

    I have 1000 shares

  • @IM-gc1vp
    @IM-gc1vp13 күн бұрын

    Shopify is a great product but the stock is still very EXPENSIVE!

  • @johno1104
    @johno110415 күн бұрын

    I have $12k invested at an average of $25..... Just can't but at current price

  • @cxns155

    @cxns155

    15 күн бұрын

    Don’t get price anchored my G

  • @TheParamike
    @TheParamike6 күн бұрын

    Buy and Hold this one. I see no end in my lifetime to the growth of this secular play.

  • @Martin_Gark
    @Martin_Gark16 күн бұрын

    Second!!

  • @Mr3ek
    @Mr3ek16 күн бұрын

    Why touch SHOP when you have likes of BABA

  • @svladylen

    @svladylen

    16 күн бұрын

    They completely uncomparable, Chinese vs Can, light assets vs heavy assets, growth vs decline

  • @Zizook

    @Zizook

    16 күн бұрын

    Because everyone’s scared to buy it. That’s why

  • @raidtheairwaves42

    @raidtheairwaves42

    16 күн бұрын

    Yea but why SHOP when WMT?

  • @frankydiamond5589

    @frankydiamond5589

    16 күн бұрын

    Thats like comparing tesla and Nio

  • @Chris-vz2kv

    @Chris-vz2kv

    16 күн бұрын

    Because one is Chinese the other isn’t