Sergei Pavlovich vs Tom Aspinall | Dan Hardy Breakdown, The War Room Ep. 287
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The War Room, where Dan Hardy breaks down the UFC 295 Co-Main Event, for the Interim Heavyweight Championship, Sergei Pavlovich vs Tom Aspinall
#ufc295 #tomaspinall #sergeipavlovich
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Dan is the best analyst in the game
@janb.9296
5 ай бұрын
Is he though? He got most of his picks wrong in the end. Do like his knowledge of the game
@C_Pedro13
5 ай бұрын
Facts
@JamesHussain82
5 ай бұрын
@@janb.9296oh, you think it's about guessing who wins? Are you a child?
@ballbag1280
5 ай бұрын
MMA Guru the best
@schism6976
5 ай бұрын
@@ballbag1280that dude is 🤢🤮
The moment we've all been waiting for! Dan coming through clutch for the MSG card 💪🏾💪🏾
Aspinall is such a well rounded fighter. Great movement, great ground game truly amazing for a heavyweight. Pavlovich wins by KO rd 1.
@FinnMMA
5 ай бұрын
Lmaoo on the same boat
@seboge
5 ай бұрын
this joke format is too played out
@alexyo2440
5 ай бұрын
@@sebogeIt's not a joke, just facts
@Sorted906
5 ай бұрын
@@alexyo2440It’s facts when it’s conclusive, right now it’s merely an assumption 😂 Tom wins in my opinion, again just an assumption 👍
@protopigeon
5 ай бұрын
100%
Dan is the best at breaking down a fight and showing us stuff we didn't even see.
First round should be absolutely wild so pumped
@user-tr6rt5ej9o
5 ай бұрын
Legendary fight already
This man's analysis has made me gain a whole new appreciation for not only mma but, the art of sports overall. He lives and loves what he does and it's felt, thanks for awesome stuff!
Quickly becoming my most anticipated prefight show, thanks Dan
This is by far the best fight breakdown I've seen, it is my first video I've seen of his so excited to watch more of his
Keep up the good work dan! Pumped af for pav vs aspinall and for jiri vs Alex Aspinall needs to use footwork and not get backed to the cage where pav usually starts to uncork his shots
Pavlovich is arguably THE scariest heavyweight in the division, I'm more excited about this fight than i am the main event! Pavlovich has huge punching power and the threat of a knockout within 1 min and great boxing, but I feel like Tom has more tools in his belt and a more well rounded MMA game. I also think people are sleeping on Tom's power, going to be a tense fight but i think Tom gets it done! Love your breakdowns Dan, best in the business
@user-tr6rt5ej9o
5 ай бұрын
He’s a fucking problem
@ysl6549
5 ай бұрын
I think the samething pavlovich has 1 way to win this fight tom has 100 and their striking isnt close pavlovich has good boxing but struggles against big guys who can kick (overeem fight”
@bobbys1308
5 ай бұрын
@ysl6549 Overeem is a K-1 legend and that fight was during the start of his career.
@ysl6549
5 ай бұрын
@@bobbys1308 still aspinall is a vet he’s been fighting since the robok days
Tom's got a huge challenge ahead but has the skills to make it look easy.
@Steven-jd3ey
5 ай бұрын
It's takedown or bust for Tom IMO. He got fast crisp boxing but he gets tagged to much.
@user-fx5cd4px3k
5 ай бұрын
no prep tho
@cjboyer4355
5 ай бұрын
@@Steven-jd3eyname one fight he got tagged? If you say Blaydes then I know you have no clue what you’re talking about.
@user-tr6rt5ej9o
5 ай бұрын
Hope he has the chin
@Steven-jd3ey
5 ай бұрын
@@cjboyer4355 Tybura, Arlovski. And they're old and slow as shit.
Love ya work mate. I do take and learn a lot from your break downs.. thnaks for the content brother
Tom Aspinall vs Sean O'Malley and Chito Vera is the fight to make
Dan has long been my favourite fight analyst in the game. Total honour to meet you and V outside the MK show in London earlier this year too!
For sure the best analyst, Dan! I wish you could still show us clips and all the details there
“British analyst glazing British fighter” should’ve been the title of this piece. 👍🏻
@13JazzyG
5 ай бұрын
What’s wrong with us supporting our own, every other country does it!
@user-tr6rt5ej9o
5 ай бұрын
Pavlovich is a fucking problem though for sure
Looking at Aspinall vs Blaydes, Aspinall is in danger...
@philiplewis7572
5 ай бұрын
Why can u explain ur comment
@GR-13
5 ай бұрын
@@philiplewis7572 Blaydes was connecting way too often
@philiplewis7572
5 ай бұрын
Yeah good point I’m sure he won’t make same mistake here knowing the power Sergei has I fancy Tom submission here
best breakdowns in the game, my guy. Keep at it!
One of the best in the business breaking down fights! Thanks. Do you have one more fight in you, Dan?
If there ever was a 50/50 fight this is the one.. it could end early but its realy 50/50
Fantastic work Dan. I’m relatively new to the MMA world 3 years now) relative to the span of the UFC. However, it’s channels such as yours that have in given me the profound access to bolster my knowledge of the sport and its fighters. Through your content along with many others I regularly consume since I became well versed with mma, my love for this sport continues to grow exponentially. Look forward to live watch alongs God willing in the new year🙏🏾
@Shereef-uh9pc
5 ай бұрын
Excuse my typos
Love Aspinall but this feels like a huge test. Pavlovich is an absolute monster.
@ByproductRebelMind
5 ай бұрын
but will speed kill?
Dan is the best at what he does and that is easy to see. Cheers Dan lad.
Are you doing the picks podcast? Thanks for the content
Gonna be a great card im feeling it...LETS GOOOOOOOOO. Thanks for the content Dan and fam. #UFC295
I'm just a casual UFC fan. My first fight ever that I saw was in Australia (I'm from Estonia) at 4am or something in the morning and it was McGregor vs Aldo :D One of my buddies who I met in Australia was hyping this fight up for me, for about a week so we watched it. Great 13 seconds :D Anyway, now, 8 years later (holy sh*t time flies) I pretty much know all the ranked guys in all weight classes and I watch all the big fights, usually I start with Main Card. I'm also a betting man and for some reason, UFC is very profitable for me. BUT! When there's a fight that really excites me - I mean REALLY excites me - then I always come here and watch you Dan! The intro is kinda creepy but that adds to it :D Thanks for what you're doing, great analysis as always - keep it up! Your long time subscriber, Chance :D
@foundnotlost
5 ай бұрын
doesn't matter when you discovered MMA we all started same way, I know your 4am pain too 🇬🇧
@Shereef-uh9pc
5 ай бұрын
Nice man👌🏾 I was aware of MMA as a sport since I’ve been alive and faintly understood the setup of the UFC organisation. I have few people on my circle who were massive MMA fans, some of which who practiced it - whether that be Muy Thai or Judo. However, it wasn’t until just under 3 years ago that the sport grew on me and started to watch it. Since then, my knowledge of the sport, fighters and overall universe has grown tenfold with continuous room for growth. I’m in love with the sport man and continue learn fighters across the board and devote time to cards (PPV or fight night across men and women). I used to be disinterested as I thought I would be behind and wouldn’t have the knowledge to engage in convo, but we all start somewhere. Channels like this along many other platforms I use have bolstered my understanding and depth. Glad we both share similar paths, enjoy the card my friend👊🏾
Hate that it’s on short notice, because Tom already had an uphill battle, just makes it steeper
Great Analysis Dan, I think you should be getting more views!! I think if you can insert more clips of the fights (like you used to with stopping and drawing etc). I suspect it’s a copyright issue, but is there an option to purchase the footage. I think overall would be a good investment. Big fan of you Dan, keep up the good work!😊
@Tykenolm
5 ай бұрын
Afaik he used to have full access to fight footage because he worked for the UFC but after he got fired he only has access through BT sport
Thanks boss. My most anticipated HW fight since Ngannou-Gane. Super pumped for this one
Dan I miss the BT Sport breakdowns so much. What are the chances of you doing more long form breakdowns in the future?
Pavlovich for the win
I think Aspinal doesn’t care if he loses he’s just happy to have a fighter who can really test him. He kind of said so in an earlier interview.
Dan the man put me off me keybab when he took everything GSP had to offer, one of a kind in the cage. And what a human being he is ❤
Truly amazing card with arguably the best two fighters in the heavy weight and light heavy weight divisions fighting each other. This probably has never happened before. Pavlovich and Peirra by brutal knockouts.
@kevinmcglynn3529
5 ай бұрын
R u retarded?? Jones isnt fighting
Dan the man, great breakdown as always. Have you ever trained with Tom and his dad/been around them?
Top content. Hopefully veronica finds the time to do picks with you 🙏❤️❤️
Best breakdowns in the game. If your relying on analysis from pundits to pick your bets than you deserve losing money. Mma math doesnt work. Dan can do an amazing job breaking it down and the fight could go way differently. Thats why this sport is so great.
I don’t understand why everyone thinks Sergei is for sure the more dangerous fighter. Toms average fight time is less then Sergei and he’s has multiple ways to get it done.
I wish that the ufc would switch up their physical attributes stats. I like the pfl giving leg length and would prefer to know armpit to fingertip
Hello Dan! Won't there be any Dan Hardy Breakdown show? Like the one on BT?
Nice work
Been arguing on instagram all week about this fight, all the casuals think Tom has no chance
@MikeDuggan-cl5hp
5 ай бұрын
Great boxing nasty kicks I'm predicting TOM 2 ROUND K.O . 1ST IS A FEEL OUT 2.BANG LIGHTS OUT AN NEW BRITISH HEAVY CHAMP
@FinnMMA
5 ай бұрын
Idk usually the UK are soo overhyped look at Till look at Paddy their hype was crazy but they were trash and Tom is completely unproven he only has 1 decent win I kinda think the same rn but its heavyweigh we will see everything can happen
@simshe99
5 ай бұрын
Tom has a chance , but quite lower, my opinion Tom gonna be sent to another dimension from these bombs that Pavlovic throws.
@KING_NIMROD
5 ай бұрын
toms gonna get munched homie lmao argue these nuts
It is crazy to see Pavlovich have 6 inch reach advantage while being 2 inch shorter in height! It is like Volkanovski in his division but Sergei has the power of a russian NGannou 😂With average fight time for both guys around 2mins, it will be very interesting to see if the fight goes beyond 1st round. Awesome match up!! Irrespective of the outcome, future of HW looks exciting!
This is my most hyped fight for 2023. Cannot wait!
Why no outlawed podcast? Really enjoy this before every big card 😢
Looking for this one👍
Thank you Master. You are a true MA Master !! Uuussssss 🥊🥋🏋🏻♂️
Glad too see him to do well.outside the UFC
Excellent breakdown... but pretty biased towards Aspinall
Is there going to be an outlawed picks podcast for this event? Really hoping there is
Tom Aspinall is going to shock alot of people on Saturday just how good he is. This ends in the 1st round
@mongobubongo834
5 ай бұрын
yes it ends in the first, but its not gonna be tom with the belt
@peterbalac1915
5 ай бұрын
Hope were all right, let's go Tom🤜
@craigfoy5492
5 ай бұрын
@@mongobubongo834 morning I see u were completely wrong 😂😂😂😂
@Laymansinsight
5 ай бұрын
Great call, mate - respect!
@mongobubongo834
5 ай бұрын
@@craigfoy5492 it happens
How does Dan only have 181k subs he’s breakdowns are the best out there I enjoy Chael and DC but they don’t break down the game like this dude and they got damn near a million subscribers. Sub this man’s channel and like his shit to show your love
Best breakdowns on KZread. Really looking forward to this fight ✊
Yo Dan what brand is the hoodie?
Thanks, Dan!
Dan you are the best at this brotha!
Cant wait for this one 🔥🤌🏼
Thanks Dan!
This is an amazing fight in prospect
Knew this fight would happen eventually but I wish Tom had a full camp
@ByproductRebelMind
5 ай бұрын
seize the moment
@lukebutterworth3397
5 ай бұрын
And just that he did! Buzzing
Dan will we ever see you in combat sports again? Thanks 4 great coverage long live the BRITISH OUTLAW .
@finnneilson6229
5 ай бұрын
He is in combat sports he does work for BT boxing and pfl now.
Tom does this unorthodox maneuver with his guard where he Olays and lifts his arms. He does it egregiously on leg kicks and even on punching exchanges. Baudot clipped him at will. You know who else does this? Abdurakhimov. And Pavlovich noticed and then timed a hydrogen bomb straight down the center. I expect the same in this fight. Especially bc Tom does have hand speed but at the expense of relative power. Yes I know he’d decapitate me but I’m talking relative to other heavyweights. Arlovski ate 22 shots to the head in multiple flurries in a single round. Yes he can put someone’s light out but it won’t be Sergei in one punch. And Sergei will be firing back in those exchanges. And we all know he 100% can make you real horizontal, real fast. As far as Tom matching Sergei in punching power 9:24 no chance. He’s never put anyone down in a single punch in his career in the ufc. And only once in career ever 2 promotions ago. Pavlovich set tai down of all people with a jab, then gave him the same uppercut that shadow realmed Golm which I believed you called that night with John Gooden. No way you can say they have the same punching power that’s preposterous IMO.
@FearTheIndoorHorseRancher
5 ай бұрын
All this babble and you clearly have no idea what you’re talking about… stick to motorsports buddy.
Jesus! Never seen that leg kick from big Tom, fucking gruesome man.
I believe Aspinall is favored in every aspect of this. Of course Pavlovich has that insane power, but acting like Tom can’t finish it in a blink of an eye is wrong. Aspinall will take him down and get the RNC after Pavlovich gives his back after some serious ground and pound.
A 50/50 between two heavyweight prospects
Costs for heating are still high in the UK, hm?!
Dan is a true professor of the sport.
I think Sergei mows him down. He seems to always find his shot in the first 3 or 4 exchanges and he dives right in. He’s too accurate and powerful. But he’ll get tested fighting Jones if he gets the chance.
@johnygrigg5299
5 ай бұрын
😂
Pav will all out attack Tom within 1 minute, with a massive reach and power advantage and controlled aggression at level 10. Kill or be killed. Q is, can Tom weather this initial hurricane and make this a more tactical, drawn out battle, drain Pav and sub him? A buck each way.
Ground game aspinal takes the fight, if it remains standing pavlovich is a knockout monster.
I wish Dan still commented ufc event 😞
Picks podcast?
Gold content again.
I’m actually glad Jones fight was off. Basically a number 1 contender fight. Stipe is done, would of happened already.
Pavlo by ko
@krishnendusamanta2900
5 ай бұрын
Hope soo
I like both guys, I don't want any of them to lose 😢
Speed kills, but will it pay the bills.. Both will test each other out first two rounds.. By the 4th round Tom's speed will be to his advantage, Tom will catch Sergei with a kick to the noggin, Tom will mount his back,. choke for the win
I’d say it’s 60/40 on pavlovich’s side. Aspinal coming off a bad injury on short notice makes it not 50/50. Conclusively picking someone to win between two heavyweights with the shortest fight time is impossible. Always a chance these fights go 5 rounds when no expects but probably ends in round 1.
Big reach advantage for the shorter guy. I want Tom to win but idk it’s a tough fight
Aspinall lock of the week, easy money!😊
@renderpeach
5 ай бұрын
‘easy money’ is a stretch.
@user-ko8kx8vf1k
5 ай бұрын
My lock of the week last week was Lewis fight over 1.5 rounds at +200 . Got lot of comments calling me crazy. Wait and see!
@FinnMMA
5 ай бұрын
Easy money 😂😂
@KING_NIMROD
5 ай бұрын
lmaooo xD
Dan should go on Morning Kombat and Luke Thomas should come on Dan’s podcast. Both MMA Wizards and enthusiasts.
let's go Tom, thanks Dan
Well we’ll well looks like Tom won in the 1st round like I said and what’s funny is people still don’t know what Tom can actually do because he’s finishing people that quickly he still has his grappling to fall back on which is equally as special
If I was Tom I would be looking for low kicks, single leg TDs and lateral movement.
Just in time for this zoot I just rolled - lets go Tom!
No picks?
I don't see how Pavlovich is going to be able to pull out a win against Aspinal.
Let’s Go!
This should be for the real belt. Jones and Miocic will retire after fighting each other. So my question is, who will fight the winner of this fight?
9:20 lol
Now the 2nd breakdown.. its officially fight week after this.. need my reptile breakdowns....
Tom need to be ready for the first few minutes of an all out …. A perfect oppprtuiity for Tom to pick him off and KO him.. lets go Tom, an easily humble guy to like.
dan makes it a clean sweep. not a single british pundit is picking sergei.
@eddiel7635
5 ай бұрын
He just broke it down for you
best in the game!
This fight is literally the following; chin or be chinned.
IIIITTTTTSS TIME!!
I'm no expert but to me it's brutal strenght and agression VS speed and technique. If I had to bet it's 70/30 Aspinall
@user-fx5cd4px3k
5 ай бұрын
but zero camp for tom
@khimaros
5 ай бұрын
@@user-fx5cd4px3kyeah, that’s the scary bit, but he said in his interview with Bisping he’s been training for this moment for 22yrs, so we’ll see how prepared he is.
@user-ov6jl2ru8r
5 ай бұрын
@@user-fx5cd4px3k i had no idea, thought they were scheduled to fight and just replaced main event of jones-stipe. Well no camp is a big deal, but maybe he can pull off "the bisping".
Blades smoked him like 3 times with right hand. Especially the first time. Covered in guard and counter right on the button. Pav walked right through it hahah. Tom will crack him with it
Didn't realise Pav had an 84 inch reach ..that could be a problem for Tom
If Pavlovich wins it's going to be like Ngannou's reign but without the gassing out. Scary heavyweights always bring out the best fights
@katatista
5 ай бұрын
Francis only gassed once And that was because of him being way to agressive