[Saturday] Beryl Restrengthening; Landfall in Texas Expected Monday

Ғылым және технология

Website: www.tropicaltidbits.com/
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Please note that these posts do NOT necessarily reflect the official forecasts of the National Hurricane Center (NHC), and should not be interpreted as such. While tropical storms exist in the Atlantic, official NHC information is available at www.hurricanes.gov. Please refer to the NHC when making decisions, and heed the advisories and evacuation statements of your local National Weather Service Office and emergency management officials.
Dr. Levi Cowan creates videos and blogs pertaining to tropical cyclones, primarily hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean. Posts occasionally concern other, non-tropical weather events around the world. Dr. Cowan has a Ph.D. in meteorology from Florida State University.

Пікірлер: 124

  • @gregknipe8772
    @gregknipe877210 күн бұрын

    dont worry about audio quality, we are here for superior forecast quality

  • @Mustafakafir

    @Mustafakafir

    10 күн бұрын

    Yes we're going to read them tarot cards in order to predict the hurricane .

  • @OscarEDodier

    @OscarEDodier

    10 күн бұрын

    Yes very true!

  • @falcon8531
    @falcon853110 күн бұрын

    the mic quality is fine mate no need to apologize all we care about is that you willingly take time from your trip to give us your feedback for the storm, and that we thank you for 🙏

  • @weaponxreject

    @weaponxreject

    10 күн бұрын

    Literally the only noticeable difference is the mouse clicks in the background as he draws on-screen, very minor issue if one at all!

  • @delcameron1992

    @delcameron1992

    10 күн бұрын

    Some of his videos have had birds chirping in the background. I kept pausing thinking the bird’s outside my house were freaking out. But besides that being a little distracting, he’s always been understandable which is what is important lol

  • @deepquake9
    @deepquake910 күн бұрын

    Mic is fine. You are fine. Thank you always for the expertise.

  • @isabelvzp
    @isabelvzp10 күн бұрын

    Thank you for your videos. I just started watching you these past couple of weeks and I can’t believe I didn’t find your videos sooner! Keep up the good work 😊

  • @Tropical-Tidbits

    @Tropical-Tidbits

    10 күн бұрын

    Love to hear that - thank you :)

  • @hegemonycricket2182

    @hegemonycricket2182

    10 күн бұрын

    Im so glad you found this channel-- TT has been a huge help over the last few years. Pertinent information, right to the point. As someone who lives on the gulf coast i really appreciate it. ✌️

  • @ianfacerollsyou

    @ianfacerollsyou

    10 күн бұрын

    @@Tropical-Tidbits been watching since Irma in 2017, always enjoy your video formats, keep it up! :D

  • @suzanneforasiepi3942

    @suzanneforasiepi3942

    10 күн бұрын

    I'm in southeast Texas Houston Texas area wish me luck 🤞 🙏 please 🙏 🫂 ​@@Tropical-Tidbits

  • @melissakay6143
    @melissakay614310 күн бұрын

    Thank you, Dr. Cowan for the heads-up for Texas & your analysis is always easy to understand. Great job even while you're traveling!

  • @lochmoigh1
    @lochmoigh110 күн бұрын

    Don't apologize for helping on your vacation. Thank you.

  • @churchlady31
    @churchlady3110 күн бұрын

    Thank you, voice is great!!

  • @txtoolfan
    @txtoolfan10 күн бұрын

    really appreciate you taking the time while traveling to do these.

  • @nickp4961
    @nickp496110 күн бұрын

    You do an amazing job…..No audio issues. Thank you very much.

  • @BiaMaria_777
    @BiaMaria_77710 күн бұрын

    Irma 2017 is when I started to watch your videos. Thank you!

  • @aaronhome27
    @aaronhome2710 күн бұрын

    Always appreciate your thorough updates. Thanks

  • @haroldclark1787
    @haroldclark178710 күн бұрын

    Dr. Levi Cowan for president 2024! Your insights are immeasurably helpful, and your understanding of the weather phenomenon of the hurricane is priceless. Thanks for your learned expertise!

  • @richard1835
    @richard183510 күн бұрын

    Beryl already has a center of circulation and she is moving into a less hostile environment. Once the hurricane hits a hot deep upwelling in the ocean with minimal wind shear , she will intensify rapidly. Texas could see a Cat 3 hurricane or higher. Thank you for the updates.

  • @jake3306

    @jake3306

    10 күн бұрын

    Wishcasting…

  • @mjmgoad
    @mjmgoad10 күн бұрын

    Thank you. I'm in Kleberg county, this is the best info I've been able to find all day.

  • @bodacious12Barb
    @bodacious12Barb10 күн бұрын

    One of the best forecasts ever , explained very thoroughly , but not talking down to us or over simplifying.

  • @klove0313
    @klove031310 күн бұрын

    Yay corpus christi needs water ! Thank goodness 🙏.. we been in water restrictions for 5 years !

  • @rtaylor616
    @rtaylor61610 күн бұрын

    I appreciate your factual forecast with no drama, thanks. Been a user of TTB website for last couple years

  • @sbchildrey1
    @sbchildrey110 күн бұрын

    Thanks for all your great work, Dr. Cowan! You are very appreciated!

  • @kyleflounder9783
    @kyleflounder97839 күн бұрын

    Your audio sounds just fine; some of the wishcasters I used to watch back in the day could only dream of sounding this clear. 😂 I always turn to your site in times of winter weather forecasting and of course for the tropics as well. I live in a land-locked state far from the coast but we get the remnants often; always good to remain weather aware for as large a zone as possible so nothing surprises you!

  • @kristierutledge88
    @kristierutledge8810 күн бұрын

    Thank you Dr. Cowan for excellent updates! Watching closely from Rockport, Texas and getting out of harms way. Beryl is forecast to come in very near the location that Hurricane Harvey landed. San Antonio Bay / Matagorda / Calhoun County is 30 miles northeast of the city of Rockport and is adjacent to the Aransas National Wildlife Refuge. Harvey blew up from a tropical depression to Cat 4 in less than 42 hours. 🙏🙏🙏

  • @markspann
    @markspann10 күн бұрын

    One of the best features of Doc Cowan's report format, is he doesn't bother showing his not-ugly mug in a headshot throughout the video, as do so so many other web-weather guys. I find this very respectful of his viewers because others that do the talking head thing don't seem to realize it is a) annoying b) distracting c) a poor use of the limited screen display. Doc C is not self serving, and only interested in presenting useful, not useless, information. In a potentially life threatening event, we appreciate this genuine respect of and his interest to the viewers. Thanks Doc !!

  • @hegemonycricket2182

    @hegemonycricket2182

    10 күн бұрын

    I agree 100%. I prefer the voice only with no face on screen, not only for weather channels but also for true crime type channels. If your voice is good and unique i dont want to know what you look like-ruins the mystery. And to your point, most people are viewing on a phone with a limited screen so it is not useful to the viewer to have your face taking up valuable real estate!

  • @janesmith7331

    @janesmith7331

    10 күн бұрын

    Also I love how he gets right to the point and none of the usual “hit the like button and subscribe” nor does he blather on incessantly before getting to the information. Straight to the meat of it.

  • @hegemonycricket2182

    @hegemonycricket2182

    10 күн бұрын

    @@janesmith7331 yes! Pertinent information, right to the point. Love it

  • @markspann

    @markspann

    10 күн бұрын

    @@janesmith7331 Yes I do appreciate this kindness that he just gets right into it "like a dog on point" as we say down here in Alabama, with now self-serving promotions or pleas etc. That's another reason why I wait with baited breath for every video report Doc posts

  • @nobytes2

    @nobytes2

    10 күн бұрын

    If you don’t like talking heads don’t watch them but that’s their format and what they like to do.

  • @RashMonroe
    @RashMonroe10 күн бұрын

    Thanks for taking time out to do another update!

  • @paulstein916
    @paulstein91610 күн бұрын

    Thanks for the update Levi.

  • @reneesheppard1901
    @reneesheppard190110 күн бұрын

    Good morning Levi Thank you for all you do. God bless you 🙏❤

  • @tjtampa214
    @tjtampa21410 күн бұрын

    Thank you. 🌿

  • @tmondaro1
    @tmondaro110 күн бұрын

    Another excellent discussion !! THANK YOU !!

  • @unicornpaco
    @unicornpaco10 күн бұрын

    You're the absolute best. Thanks doc

  • @Kit-Ballou3664
    @Kit-Ballou366410 күн бұрын

    Just the info I was looking for at this point. Thank you. Safe travels!

  • @suzannelummus
    @suzannelummus10 күн бұрын

    Ok..thank you Levi

  • @fresh-eggs
    @fresh-eggs10 күн бұрын

    Watching from Barbados 🇧🇧

  • @eric131313
    @eric13131310 күн бұрын

    Storm looks really healthy i expect cat 3 on landfall

  • @NesconProductions

    @NesconProductions

    10 күн бұрын

    Agreed, with rapid strengthening a Cat 2 or stronger at landfall seems more probable. Also see a continued shift in the model tracks to the East, meaning more time for the storm to be over open (& very warm) water. As a broad comment it seems when water temperatures are extremely warm models tend to underestimate the capacity for tropical systems to strengthen. It's very interesting that with tremendous amount of data gathered on tropical storms how difficult they are to forecast. A few days back many models predicted the storm would track much farther west and south into Mexico. Will be curious to revisit our our predictions Eric in the next few days .

  • @johnmoore3504

    @johnmoore3504

    10 күн бұрын

    I’ll take the under. So far it’s struggling to get its act back together. Due to the shear it has not stacked back up yet. It’s been running above average in terms of strength but the current model guidance is only low end Cat 1 so reaching Cat 2 is questionable but it could get there. Tomorrow will let us know, it will either already be a Cat 1 working towards a 2 or still be just a TS. Right now all the strong winds are NE of the center so it hasn’t wrapped up. Pressure actually went up not down during the last recon flight.

  • @arielmatinez
    @arielmatinez10 күн бұрын

    If a hurricane cools the water, does that effect make it less likely to have higher intensity systems during the rest of the season specifically around its track?

  • @Tropical-Tidbits

    @Tropical-Tidbits

    10 күн бұрын

    This can happen over a narrow area, but only persists for a week or two before the cold wake warms up again. It typically takes a special coincidence for a 2nd storm to be hindered by the first one's cold wake.

  • @houstonwehaveaproblem4187

    @houstonwehaveaproblem4187

    10 күн бұрын

    Only for a short period of time. Don’t forget that Rita tracked over some of the same water that Katrina became a Cat 5 on but Rita became the strongest Gulf of Mexico hurricane on record.

  • @arielmatinez

    @arielmatinez

    10 күн бұрын

    @@Tropical-Tidbits thanks for the explanation

  • @sarahterry2140
    @sarahterry214010 күн бұрын

    Sound is fine and we so appreciate your expert analysis (plus your delivery is so much easier on the ears than that met student with the hyper “weather man” voice.)

  • @BADrury1
    @BADrury110 күн бұрын

    Thanks for the updates!!

  • @aviancm
    @aviancm10 күн бұрын

    Fantastic reporting.

  • @chrisvarcados5812
    @chrisvarcados581210 күн бұрын

    Thanks Levi!

  • @lounaj7184
    @lounaj718410 күн бұрын

    Thank you! God bless you

  • @vaderjones357
    @vaderjones35710 күн бұрын

    Thanks Levi! 💜🌀

  • @PetitJoeLouis
    @PetitJoeLouis10 күн бұрын

    The sheer cerated by the upper low to the West also veers Beryl a bit more to the North. I bet on a Cat2 between Corpus Christi and Port Aransas.

  • @tyronewalker5764
    @tyronewalker576410 күн бұрын

    Those of us in central Texas are, shall we say...concerned.😏

  • @0tt0z
    @0tt0z10 күн бұрын

    Thank you!

  • @ChrisEllenBliven
    @ChrisEllenBliven10 күн бұрын

    Thanks, Doc!

  • @rowleyma
    @rowleyma10 күн бұрын

    Thanks for the update!

  • @jeffreystevens964
    @jeffreystevens96410 күн бұрын

    Hopefully the intensification won’t be like Harvey 😢

  • @essiebessie661
    @essiebessie66110 күн бұрын

    Thank you.

  • @bherylkuebler986
    @bherylkuebler98610 күн бұрын

    Thank you for the updates!

  • @LichaelMewis
    @LichaelMewis10 күн бұрын

    Watch out for the rain Louisiana, we need it though.

  • @catherinebreitfeller669
    @catherinebreitfeller66910 күн бұрын

    Beryl is not done yet !!!!!

  • @bherylkuebler986

    @bherylkuebler986

    10 күн бұрын

    I really hope they retire the name after this. I'm getting teased a lot.

  • @douglascooper1987
    @douglascooper198710 күн бұрын

    Thanks Sir.👍👍

  • @Dave-po2mz
    @Dave-po2mz10 күн бұрын

    Love your content!

  • @weathermanmark
    @weathermanmark10 күн бұрын

    Sounds great doc

  • @michaelcegielski8859
    @michaelcegielski885910 күн бұрын

    My lawn is being watered right now. From South east Texas

  • @netta358able
    @netta358able10 күн бұрын

    Gratitude is a must ♥️ thanks always for your update 🇯🇲❤️💛💚

  • @ReeferMadman
    @ReeferMadman10 күн бұрын

    Thanks doc!

  • @mandy416
    @mandy41610 күн бұрын

    I have a bad feeling… don’t ask why

  • @benbryceholden1
    @benbryceholden110 күн бұрын

    Best coverage I’ve seen. Awesome explanation of the atmospheric phenomena affecting the storm’s strength and direction. I like seeing comparisons between previous forecasts and current storm composition.

  • @benbryceholden1

    @benbryceholden1

    10 күн бұрын

    Also, hello from Matagorda County!

  • @michaeldugger6964
    @michaeldugger696410 күн бұрын

    mic quality is great!! ROCK ON!!

  • @scythezilla9163
    @scythezilla916310 күн бұрын

    thanks brotha levi

  • @williamhalloran4218
    @williamhalloran421810 күн бұрын

    Very informative. Thanks from Port Isabel Tx.

  • @vincea2996
    @vincea299610 күн бұрын

    Thank you Batman

  • @gy4bg-iz8wq
    @gy4bg-iz8wq10 күн бұрын

    Thank you

  • @Michael-ty2uo
    @Michael-ty2uo10 күн бұрын

    That is quite possibility one of the best laptop mics ive heard in my life lol

  • @samhain9283
    @samhain928310 күн бұрын

    Im in NW Harris county so I'm all in on watching this storm over the next day.

  • @JonMembersonly
    @JonMembersonly10 күн бұрын

    Beryl doesn't quit. I like his style.

  • @FourOf92000
    @FourOf9200010 күн бұрын

    is there a one-time donation option to support your work?

  • @QGJohn
    @QGJohn10 күн бұрын

    Thanks. What is this HASP B modeling you refer to. Even though on the runs you mention European (ECMWF I think) and of course GFS. How come it's pretty rare for these tropical systems to just fall apart after traveling over various land masses. Yet tornados often fall apart easily after interaction with large structures or terrain on the ground.

  • @astronemir

    @astronemir

    10 күн бұрын

    Inertia. Compare physics of hurricane vs tornado

  • @mdog86
    @mdog8610 күн бұрын

    Looking like Corpus will be on the south side of the storm, thank god. Been on the north side many a times and it's always so much worse.

  • @benn746
    @benn7469 күн бұрын

    The way it looks makes me wonder if one of these could ever split in two after going over a land mass or there's probably not enough fuel or they will always combine into one because of physics. You know like it would be crazy if the part on north that looks split off became it's own Hurricane or tropical storm and now there were two back to back!

  • @FourOf92000
    @FourOf9200010 күн бұрын

    tbh your laptop's mic is pretty good

  • @unnamed2737
    @unnamed273710 күн бұрын

    I’m concerned about rapid intensification. Seems to happen to us on the gulf coast lately.

  • @mikeschoolfield
    @mikeschoolfield10 күн бұрын

    Go Noles!

  • @kappc2014
    @kappc201410 күн бұрын

    Do you think my Monday 7am flight out of Houston will be affected? Headed to Tampa hopefully.

  • @lelelum4103

    @lelelum4103

    10 күн бұрын

    @@kappc2014 I think it will be affected Monday morning is supposed to the worst time of the storm in Houston

  • @emilywhite5459

    @emilywhite5459

    10 күн бұрын

    Yeah... probably not happening

  • @MariaHernandezdelfierro
    @MariaHernandezdelfierro10 күн бұрын

    Brownsville

  • @JosesGaraje
    @JosesGaraje10 күн бұрын

    I certainly wish we (Central Maine) had the expertise demonstrated in your forecasts. We have to deal with an AI or computer generated forecast map that changes every 30 minutes, not much time to deal with severe weather.

  • @MegaMikeylikes
    @MegaMikeylikes10 күн бұрын

    I'm very very glad Beryl didn't have this convection hit last night and the storm did weaken to 1001 MB or you would be talking cat # on a Texas landfall. My other Dr. friend Reed Timmer is headed for Texas Dr. Cowan hehe he never stops chasing.

  • @ThatBoyFlossy
    @ThatBoyFlossy10 күн бұрын

    Will it hit Corpus Christi bad brotha?

  • @8bitorgy
    @8bitorgy10 күн бұрын

    Let's go beryl!

  • @Lunaticked
    @Lunaticked10 күн бұрын

    Why do meteorologists refuse to tell us what the ceiling is on a storm? If I’m in the path, I want to know if there’s even a modest possibility it could come in far stronger than forecast. What’s to prevent Beryl from going through RI again and stop it from being a major hurricane at landfall? It already went from TD to Cat 4 in less than two days once. Not a single meteorologist told us that was even a possibility, it’s important information that you need to get out. As someone who used to talk to you on the wunderground days, please help the industry figure out their messaging on this. I had family members get absolutely blindsided in Michael because y’all didn’t get the message out that Michael could go through RI. All us enthusiast knew it was a possibility, the professionals did too, but the public didn’t.

  • @lelelum4103

    @lelelum4103

    10 күн бұрын

    Mainstream media is VERY bad at this!!! This is why I go to KZread for the forecast bc watching mainstream u will be a sitting duck

  • @markspann

    @markspann

    10 күн бұрын

    Yes sir, you are spot on sir. And same with 2020 Sally which at last minute took a hard right WHILE UNEXPECTEDLY STRENGTHENING. Even without the track divergence, if folks down on the AL FL panhandle had heard messaging it could have a stronger top-end, they would have not been caught flatfooted.

  • @TheJoshlaymon

    @TheJoshlaymon

    10 күн бұрын

    It’s simple actually. If they mention high end forecasts, that’s all people will talk about. Then when it doesn’t end up that bad they will say that the meteorologists overhyped the storm. Then people will stop listening and the situation will be even worse. If you want to listen to worst-case-scenario people, you can find them all over KZread. If you want an honest analysis of the most probable outcome, then you have already found what you are looking for.

  • @churchlady31

    @churchlady31

    10 күн бұрын

    I have heard many forecasters say it could strengthen up.

  • @14720509

    @14720509

    10 күн бұрын

    They are not great at predicting the intensity of a storm so I think they are more cautious. I would expect that if it's already showing signs of organizing that it would be a major hurricane. They predicted Beryl to only be a Cat 2 at the windward Islands. It was a Cat 5.

  • @wecutgrasslawncompany9445
    @wecutgrasslawncompany944510 күн бұрын

    🔥🔥🧐

  • @beatsbyjoeezy1440
    @beatsbyjoeezy144010 күн бұрын

    They cloud seeding like MF

  • @Antholina
    @Antholina10 күн бұрын

    Realy abuse realy crime not lie i wander if the president didnt know this always beyond the kaw

  • @geezermann7865
    @geezermann786510 күн бұрын

    I'd like to get the additional updates, but I don't have a TwiX account. Do you also post on Truth Social? Thanks.

  • @cajunoneforchrist4545
    @cajunoneforchrist454510 күн бұрын

    Im still predicting Louisiana

  • @PabloRodriguez-xj1yk
    @PabloRodriguez-xj1yk10 күн бұрын

    Fake news

  • @ericjovenitti6747
    @ericjovenitti674710 күн бұрын

    You’re not being forced to do anything dog

  • @bandislife2004
    @bandislife200410 күн бұрын

    Thank you.

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