RR

Тәжірибелік нұсқаулар және стиль

After months of research, number-crunching, and receiving listener requests on the subject, today’s episode is devoted to introducing our new model ETF portfolios - which promise to offer a smoother ride to getting reliable returns. We open our conversation with a financial news roundup and by touching on our book of the week. We then dive into the theory behind our model by first exploring how market assets are priced. We discuss historical views on asset pricing models before looking at what academia has done to overcome challenges to the idea of market efficiency. Host Benjamin Felix methodically shows how our model addresses the five systematic risk factors that are included in the Fama-French Five-Factor Model. From emerging markets to stock size, we share insights into what our model accounts for and how this should impact your portfolio distribution and premium expectations. After reflecting on how factor-loaded indexes get higher returns without extra risk, we talk about the ETFs that we use for factor exposure, as well as how you can apply our findings to your portfolio. We round-off today’s show by chatting about the latest bad financial advice. Tune in to hear more about our findings in this, our last episode of 2020.
Check out the new model portfolios: rationalreminder.ca/
Links From Today’s Episode:
Rational Reminder on iTunes - itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/t....
The Almanack of Naval Ravikant - www.navalmanack.com/
Episode with Dr. Brian Portnoy and Josh Brown - rationalreminder.ca/podcast/126
‘Crashing a 5.2 Trillion Dollar Party’ - www.bloombergquint.com/market...
‘The Death of Diversification Has Been Greatly Exaggerated’ - papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.c...
‘The Relationship Between Return and Market Value of Common Stocks’ - www.sciencedirect.com/science...
Franco Modigliani - www.econlib.org/library/Enc/b...
Merton Miller - www.nobelprize.org/prizes/eco...
Episode with Marlene Lee - rationalreminder.ca/podcast/79
‘The Vanguard Total International Stock ETF: Right Idea, Wrong Implementation’ - seekingalpha.com/article/4387...

Пікірлер: 121

  • @amsalmeron
    @amsalmeron2 жыл бұрын

    This has been one of the most valuable things I've ever seen on KZread. Thank you so much for this!

  • @danraes5661
    @danraes56613 жыл бұрын

    Greeting from Romania and the UK. This is a very insightful podcast as always. Ben, I truly see you as a mentor. You really inspire me to do research and back my thinking with quality data. Best Wishes, Rares

  • @travisbritt299
    @travisbritt2993 жыл бұрын

    Thanks guys, great content again. I have now relentlessly forwarded so many of your youtube links to friends and fam on the US West Coast, I feel I could qualify as an honorary rational reminder marketing intern. Keep it up.

  • @pablopiquante3227
    @pablopiquante32272 ай бұрын

    FANTASTIC PODCAST AND CHANNEL!!! Just discovered this last week and have listened to/ watched many episodes. Thank you very much for helping to enlighten investors.

  • @georgezuwala7075
    @georgezuwala707511 ай бұрын

    Calm cool intelligent, useful videos. Keep up the excellent work. Very rare this type of quality of youtube.

  • @pezata
    @pezata3 жыл бұрын

    Ben,in one of your papers you recommend that the US equity part of the portfolio consist of 1/3 total market,1/3 large value and 1/3 small value ETFs,but how would those ratios change if one were to use AVUS or the new DFA US ETFs instead of ITOT,VTI or a similar total stock market fund? Should the use of those more tailored ETFs prompt a lesser allocation to large value?

  • @93andresen
    @93andresen3 жыл бұрын

    I want the hoodie. I never buy stuff like this but i love that hoodie. Plus you helped me ALOT

  • @xbrain13
    @xbrain132 жыл бұрын

    Hello Ben and Cameron. First of all a big thank you for all the incredible content. You guys helped me understand so many things that I feel confident enough in making my own investment decisions. I have a question about the model portfolios. How are dividends considered ? Are they reinvested ? If that's the case at what tax level ? I am asking because I ran a few simulations. If the model portfolios ignore dividends and I am willing to reinvest them, then the 80/20 portfolio beats the 100/0. Oh by the way, on the 100/0 portfolio one shade of gray is wrong on the chart ;).

  • @Steven-wq8tx
    @Steven-wq8tx3 жыл бұрын

    So for someone like me who’s invested in VGRO, it’s probably best to wait for vanguard or Ishares to release ETFs that can increase my exposure to small cap value stocks. I buy VGRO for the simplicity and I’m not really one to think about buying USD listed ETFs because of the currency transaction costs and tax withholdings

  • @chris9053
    @chris90533 жыл бұрын

    Great podcast thanks for the info! Where can i find the pdf and look through the numbers?

  • @M88JABER
    @M88JABER3 жыл бұрын

    1:08:18 ♥️

  • @pinkstardiamond

    @pinkstardiamond

    3 жыл бұрын

    i wonder what a US investor can do to achieve this structure

  • @thejonfedor

    @thejonfedor

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@pinkstardiamond I wonder that as well. Time to do some research

  • @thejonfedor

    @thejonfedor

    2 жыл бұрын

    Thank you thank YOU!

  • @og7952
    @og79523 жыл бұрын

    Model portfolio is pretty close to VEQT + a VVL or value exposure. Cool

  • @jimmyhirr5773

    @jimmyhirr5773

    3 жыл бұрын

    Looks like AVUV and AVDV exclude large caps, and AVUV also excludes mid caps, but they have more blend stocks than VVL. This is going off of their Morningstar charts.

  • @anonymousswimmer4010
    @anonymousswimmer40103 жыл бұрын

    I feel like ben never cares for cameron's book and tv recommendations 😂"Cool"

  • @SickYeti

    @SickYeti

    3 жыл бұрын

    Yeah, that guy totally needs to lighten up. Makes it kind of painful tbh.

  • @Austden

    @Austden

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@SickYeti I like it - so matter of fact that it can be appreciated. makes me curious what kind of drunk he'd be too lol.

  • @HKdouche

    @HKdouche

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Austden I second this. Ben Felix is more of a straight-to-the-point type of guy. His videos are huge info dumps. They balance each other here and I like it tbh.

  • @dhruvdnar

    @dhruvdnar

    Жыл бұрын

    ​@@Austden Asks you to invest in a well diversified set of low cost index funds

  • @user-zo2ge3oe8d

    @user-zo2ge3oe8d

    7 ай бұрын

    Yeah he barely batted an eye to Cameron's excitement for the Netflix show. He probably only invests his time in diversified low cost index shows.

  • @mangoh69
    @mangoh693 жыл бұрын

    Love this podcast! Thanks for the great content.

  • @arnaldobermudez8894
    @arnaldobermudez88943 жыл бұрын

    I said it before and i will say it again, Cameron and Ben work so well together both vital parts of the podcast. Great episode,i can't really use the portfolios but i got great general knowledge.

  • @haydenong45
    @haydenong45 Жыл бұрын

    Between the Avantis and DFA ETFs launched, can we get an updated recommended portfolio for the equities portion if it would be better to not just have factor tilt limited to small cap?

  • @conw_y
    @conw_y Жыл бұрын

    Can you guys produce a meditation track consisting of new age synth chords with Ben & Cameron’s voices explaining the small value premium drifting in and out?

  • @2bearnest
    @2bearnest Жыл бұрын

    Would appreciate a five factor model for a U.S.-based investor.

  • @jimmyhirr5773
    @jimmyhirr57733 жыл бұрын

    The joint hypothesis problem sounds like an example of the Duhem-Quine thesis. According to that thesis, no scientific hypothesis can be tested in isolation. For example, Galileo's observation of moons around Jupiter depended on the hypothesis that telescopes faithfully represent reality and don't introduce moon-like artifacts.

  • @mcneelynorman1
    @mcneelynorman12 жыл бұрын

    Awesome as always, and loving the new hair cuts!

  • @InvestitorulInteligent
    @InvestitorulInteligent3 жыл бұрын

    Since as Europeans we don't have access to small cap value ETFs in UCITS format, should we add additional tilts to small cap blend asset class or stick to the large + medium cap market return of Vanguard FTSE All World?

  • @rationalreminder

    @rationalreminder

    3 жыл бұрын

    It might be worth reading this thread community.rationalreminder.ca/t/rr-2020-model-portfolios-ucits-eu-version-discussion/2173

  • @minasmina2700

    @minasmina2700

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@rationalreminder Why is login required?!

  • @sshrinivasan42
    @sshrinivasan423 жыл бұрын

    Please differentiate US listed ETFs, since that kind of a big deal for many Canadian investors (in the actual PDF)!

  • @The_Good_Bad_Ugly
    @The_Good_Bad_Ugly2 жыл бұрын

    Great topic ! It will be better if there are graph shown for understanding !

  • @michelceloria7360
    @michelceloria73603 жыл бұрын

    I am not sure I understood the momentum premium. Is there any paper, podcast or else that could explain it a little more. By the way, thanks for the great advices!

  • @xbrain13

    @xbrain13

    2 жыл бұрын

    The book from Andrew L. Berkin and Larry E. Swedroe, 'Your Complete Guide to Factor‑Based Investing' has a very good explanation of this factor and all the other ones.

  • @BitsOfInterest
    @BitsOfInterest7 ай бұрын

    14:20 the title topic starts 1:03:10 ETF portfolio

  • @jsmith108

    @jsmith108

    5 ай бұрын

    👑

  • @brokesy3515
    @brokesy35153 жыл бұрын

    So dumb question...if I currently hold something similar to last year's model portfolio in my TFSA (VCN, XUU, IUSV, IJS, VIU, VEE) do i just sell everything and buy the new portfolio? Am I likely to do this every year to some degree if there are changes and I want to follow Ben's model?

  • @JB-ov3qx

    @JB-ov3qx

    2 жыл бұрын

    Depends on costs...

  • @fib6156
    @fib61563 жыл бұрын

    Thanks. Why you only consider only the Avantis factor ETFs in your paper. What do you think about the Vanguard offering: VVAL, VBR, VSS?

  • @monicadalton5091

    @monicadalton5091

    3 жыл бұрын

    I would like to understand that as well. (why Vanguard ETFs are not included) . The Vanguard MERs are almost 50% lower.

  • @chubbs6684

    @chubbs6684

    3 жыл бұрын

    Vanguard funds don't target the factors as well

  • @fib6156

    @fib6156

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@chubbs6684 They did but they closed some; VVAL was closed. VBR targets value factor wouldn't you say so? VSS small cap factor.

  • @zafarmahmood4365
    @zafarmahmood43653 жыл бұрын

    Can I replace VUN with ITOT?

  • @Jordanhendersonshair
    @Jordanhendersonshair3 жыл бұрын

    Love the Podcast and your channel Ben. I had a question regarding the ETF blend used in the Model Portfolio. Why use a Total US Market Cap Index like VUN in the model, when you can use a combination of a SP 500 Index + a Small Cap Value Index to gain exposure to Large Cap growth, Large Cap Value and Small Cap Value stocks and avoiding Small Cap Growth? I suspect the MER ratio will be a bit lower too using an SP 500 Index. Is it just to provide the diversification benefit?

  • @BenFelixCSI

    @BenFelixCSI

    3 жыл бұрын

    You would miss mid caps that way. Total market is a great starting point for any portfolio. Small growth is a small portion of the market.

  • @Jordanhendersonshair

    @Jordanhendersonshair

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@BenFelixCSI Thanks, Ben.

  • @daktuno
    @daktuno3 жыл бұрын

    Where can I find the new model portfolio?

  • @benfelix

    @benfelix

    3 жыл бұрын

    community.rationalreminder.ca/t/new-rational-reminder-2020-model-portfolios/2162

  • @naif897
    @naif8972 жыл бұрын

    It would ne amazing if you can put the names of the papers you have mentioned It looks very interesting read

  • @briansmith5239
    @briansmith523910 ай бұрын

    One of your best and most informative podcasts. Keep up the great work.

  • @coltukkor
    @coltukkor2 жыл бұрын

    In this podcast you spoke about Dimensional ETF products that helped replicate 5 factors however were not available to the public. I came across some public dimensional products recently and was wondering if you recommend any to help achieve a more factor diverse portfolio. DFAT and DFAS. Do you recommend either of these products or is the portfolio in this video still as relevant today?

  • @SpaceTravel1776

    @SpaceTravel1776

    2 жыл бұрын

    He's Canadian and works with Canadian clients, so he may be talking about certain Dimensional Canadian funds not being available to Canadians. DFAT has been around for US investors since 1998 according to their website.

  • @naif897
    @naif8972 жыл бұрын

    Can you write the names of the papers you used for this episode

  • @martins.o.4388
    @martins.o.43883 жыл бұрын

    Great research. Great video. Thanks so much fo all your good work. Any thoughts on x2 or x1,5 leveraged ETF? Any thoughts on good online brokers for international trade?

  • @ipohertroyanov464

    @ipohertroyanov464

    3 жыл бұрын

    Ben has a video about leveraged etfs. He is not a fan. I use interactive brokers

  • @douglasnielsen6599
    @douglasnielsen65992 жыл бұрын

    I know this is late, but do you post the titles of the research articles you reference in your podcasts? I would like to use these in the classes I teach. Thanks!

  • @rationalreminder

    @rationalreminder

    2 жыл бұрын

    We do usually, but they should also be here www.pwlcapital.com/resources/five-factor-investing-with-etfs/

  • @douglasnielsen6599

    @douglasnielsen6599

    Жыл бұрын

    @@rationalreminder thank you very much.

  • @user-vt6fd5qk7w
    @user-vt6fd5qk7w Жыл бұрын

    Hi, this video is amazing!!! The best one that talks about factor investing. I am an US -based investor, and I clone your porfolio by using VT instead of VUN, XEF, and XEC, but I don't know which ETF should I use to replace XIC?? Is it apporptiate to use SPY or something else??

  • @siegfriedfurtwanglerknappe6188

    @siegfriedfurtwanglerknappe6188

    Жыл бұрын

    You don't replace XIC, you leave it out. In investing it is often smart to have a home country bias, but if you're not from Canada VT and AVDV both cover Canadian stocks as part of your international equity.

  • @daves6488
    @daves64883 жыл бұрын

    Will you be getting bigger sizes for the hoodies? And in tall versions?

  • @cameronpassmore1561

    @cameronpassmore1561

    3 жыл бұрын

    We have xxl, and Ben, at 6’11” wears large, and I wear xl ... but I’m 7 inches shorter than Ben :)

  • @turtleh
    @turtleh3 жыл бұрын

    Thanks guys, my current "safe" portfolio consists of XUU as a combination of choices from both your PWL capital and Dan's Couch potato's model portfolio from 2017. XUU,VCN,XEF,XEC,TEC and some ZAG. As a current holder of XUU, what's the best way forward, do I sell all XUU and buy VUN or stay the course?

  • @jwebes

    @jwebes

    3 жыл бұрын

    IMO it's probably not worth it to jump ship right now. I'm sure BlackRock Canada had noticed the tracking error and will try to correct for it. Also this could be a short term fluke with the later addition of Tesla to S&Ps index which XUU has as a benchmark. If it continues for a while or gets worse then maybe. (FYI I have pretty much the same ETF mix as you)

  • @turtleh

    @turtleh

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@jwebes yea, my concern is that XUU doesn't seem to be trading a very high volume comparitively. Not sure if that would factor into their willingness to make such corrections.

  • @AirsoftTeamOSMD
    @AirsoftTeamOSMD3 жыл бұрын

    Are there US listed ETFs that a DIY investor can use to capture the profitability and investment factors?

  • @prestonlui6451

    @prestonlui6451

    3 жыл бұрын

    I think just use DFA and Avantis ETF suffice, no point leaving value and/or small-cap alone when capturing the two newer factor

  • @jimmyhirr5773

    @jimmyhirr5773

    3 жыл бұрын

    Ben mentioned that VIG has positive exposure to both profitability and investment. However it has slightly negative size and value exposure.

  • @persieprince9345

    @persieprince9345

    Жыл бұрын

    Yes all dfa mutual funds are now with etfs versions ,plus avantis avuv avus aves aviv avlv Plus take a look on shareholder yield etf like syld from cambria interesting

  • @talmiller19
    @talmiller193 жыл бұрын

    What's the reasoning for only 16% small+value?

  • @khalidkhalaiwi3348
    @khalidkhalaiwi33483 жыл бұрын

    @10minutes I think he meant the opposite. That the 10 year yield is now lower the dividend of 60% of SP 500 companies. I think this is because the treasury yields are at historic lows. Sign of the times

  • @Kylome1

    @Kylome1

    3 жыл бұрын

    Ben was completely zoned out at the beginning of that question.

  • @khalidkhalaiwi3348

    @khalidkhalaiwi3348

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@Kylome1 that’s ok. Still the brightest young man in this field IMO. A few more years and he will make an impact

  • @davemacdougall6039
    @davemacdougall6039Ай бұрын

    @rationalreminder Which portfolio would work best for an RRSP? I'd there any disadvantage to holding Canadian etfs in there?

  • @paolonervi2208
    @paolonervi22082 ай бұрын

    Interesting podcast.thank you for sharing this kind of information.if it's possible next time may could you please show some charts and tables with the values you are talking about, and analyze the distribution of the values as well? Just listening to the numbers doesn't help with understanding. Thank you very much. Paul.

  • @M88JABER
    @M88JABER3 жыл бұрын

    Greetings all the way from the Middle East and as always, thank you so much for the great value you deliver. I hold 20% in VBR, is it worth switching over to AVUV? Considering I have no tax implications if I made the switch.

  • @gordongustafson2799

    @gordongustafson2799

    3 жыл бұрын

    AVUV or IJS is more value tilted than VBR.

  • @gordongustafson2799

    @gordongustafson2799

    3 жыл бұрын

    He mentions VBR vs a similar DFA fund towards the end of "the problem with small cap stocks" video

  • @M88JABER

    @M88JABER

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@gordongustafson2799 Thank you for the reply. I do understand that AVUV has deeper value and smaller caps but I was interested to see if Ben thinks it would be worth switching 🤷🏻‍♂️ Only thing making me hesitant is that VBR holds a lot more companies

  • @SonPham-CompetitiveProgramming
    @SonPham-CompetitiveProgramming Жыл бұрын

    Hi Ben and Cameron, I plan to implement a factor tilt in my portfolio. I think it might be a good time to get in, given the giant performance of large cap growth stock. What is the rebalancing strategy that you recommended? I know that you don't give advice directly but perhaps what to think about when deciding rebalancing strategy?

  • @rationalreminder

    @rationalreminder

    11 ай бұрын

    Look at Larry Swedroe’s 5/25 rule.

  • @DocWilly77
    @DocWilly772 жыл бұрын

    If the factor premia are more robust than the market premium, why not have a higher allocation than 30% to small cap value in the model portfolio? I have 50% SCV in my portfolio for that reason.

  • @smalltalk.productions9977

    @smalltalk.productions9977

    Жыл бұрын

    depending upon your age, that is what paul merriman suggests. thumbs up.

  • @MischaRiedo-gd9sy
    @MischaRiedo-gd9sy6 ай бұрын

    which paper is he talking about? Is there a link somewhere?

  • @rationalreminder

    @rationalreminder

    6 ай бұрын

    www.pwlcapital.com/resources/five-factor-investing-with-etfs/

  • @celesm2799
    @celesm27998 күн бұрын

    Fidelity asset allocation ETFs?

  • @blank-964
    @blank-964 Жыл бұрын

    👍

  • @giuseppebellomo165
    @giuseppebellomo165 Жыл бұрын

    Hi guys amazing job as usual. Is there any video where you explain why you have decided to drop the small cap value from your portfolio allocation?

  • @rationalreminder

    @rationalreminder

    11 ай бұрын

    We have not dropped small cap value.

  • @napalm8030
    @napalm80303 жыл бұрын

    Can I invest with you guys at PWL Capital, specifically with you guys in Ottawa, with investible assets of 2.5 million? Or do you have a minimum investment amount higher than that?

  • @hanst7218
    @hanst72186 ай бұрын

    1:00:01 wait but that shouldn't come as a surprise right? The factors SMB HML etc are long / short portfolios so 100% long and 100% short. So these are basically zero investment or hedged portfolios. So periodes where the market premium or simply the market minus the risk free rate was negative are the periods where it would be wise to have a fully hedged portfolio instead of being fully exposed to the market.

  • @Spandex08
    @Spandex08 Жыл бұрын

    what should i do, i live in europe

  • @miguelcg5475
    @miguelcg54753 жыл бұрын

    Ben, could you recommend me a book about the way you see investing?

  • @thao6112

    @thao6112

    3 жыл бұрын

    Check out the other videos for materials and books from guests like William Bernstein (Four Pillars of Investing, Intelligent Asset Allocator, etc.), Larry Swedroe, etc. and obviously anything from Ben's heroes Fama and French. You should also check out the Rational Reminder community.

  • @Maloha486

    @Maloha486

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@thao6112 I've been trying to get in but apparently you need an invite? Any way you can help?

  • @Ramschat
    @Ramschat7 ай бұрын

    It feels like anytime we discover a way in which markets are inefficient, someone slaps a label onto it with the word "risk" on it, and says, "see, now the market is efficient again". What is the proof that there is real added risk when buying value stocks compared to the market? Reminds me of string theory...

  • @davec3974
    @davec39742 жыл бұрын

    It just occurred to me that if 'value' is a risk factor then this would appear to contradict the concept of 'margin of safety' used by value investors. Am I missing something?

  • @xaldath4265

    @xaldath4265

    Жыл бұрын

    The risk that they are undervalued for a known reason. Companies don't just randomly lose meaningful valuation.

  • @davec3974

    @davec3974

    Жыл бұрын

    @@xaldath4265 yes, in an efficient market, the valuation of a stock reflects its risk. Therefore, investing in a stock with a low valuation (i.e. high risk) wouldn't provide a margin of safety.

  • @xaldath4265

    @xaldath4265

    Жыл бұрын

    @@davec3974 agreed. In an truly efficient market, there is no such thing as a margin of safety. In our mostly efficient market, on a long enough timeline, history dictates the margin of safety is legit...but misinterpreted by most to indicate less room to fall/low volatility, whatever short term metric you want to attribute to potential loss.

  • @davec3974

    @davec3974

    Жыл бұрын

    @@xaldath4265 the metric could be the risk of going bankrupt, which is as long term as it gets. But it seems we agree that to invest with a true margin of safety would require the exploitation of a market inefficiency. So the two concepts appear to be incompatible.

  • @pablopiquante3227

    @pablopiquante3227

    2 ай бұрын

    Remember, the concept is called efficient market theory...what is the definition of a theory? Nothing is static, especially information and awareness and the rate which it is uncovered and applied in the market.

  • @esorka
    @esorka3 жыл бұрын

    You are the best guys. I want to buy a sweatshirt from Turkey. but you don't send ship to Turkey. can you help me?

  • @cameronpassmore1561

    @cameronpassmore1561

    3 жыл бұрын

    sure we do ... visit the store and place the order. Free socks included!

  • @esorka

    @esorka

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@cameronpassmore1561 yess. i did it. i ordered water bottle like yours :) thank you. cant wait :)

  • @user-zo2ge3oe8d
    @user-zo2ge3oe8d7 ай бұрын

    Cameron: He passed away, complications from smoke inhalation from a home fire a week before that. Ben: The only thing that jumped out to me as interesting in that story was the fact that he died without a will.

  • @sleepless2541
    @sleepless25412 жыл бұрын

    40:33

  • @sleepless2541

    @sleepless2541

    2 жыл бұрын

    24:24

  • @paulpoco22
    @paulpoco226 ай бұрын

    Have you had Paul Merriman on the podcast yet?

  • @machoheadgames8854

    @machoheadgames8854

    6 ай бұрын

    Paul Merriman was on a couple years ago episode 147

  • @nOor___NOOR
    @nOor___NOOR Жыл бұрын

    😭😭😭😭

  • @marianomontiel
    @marianomontiel3 жыл бұрын

    Great episode!! But, how does someone construct such a portfolio with ex-US etfs?

  • @pranshubansal355
    @pranshubansal3553 жыл бұрын

    Who is the other guy who is just sitting in red jacket and not saying a thing. looks like a manager who isn't aware of project and doesn't care .

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