RR

Тәжірибелік нұсқаулар және стиль

There are seven equations that, if understood, will put you in the best possible position to tackle your retirement plan. Today we speak with business professor Moshe Milevsky about these equations, which he’s written extensively about in his best-selling book, The 7 Most Important Equations for Your Retirement. After introducing Moshe, we dive straight into the first equation that maps out the longevity of your money. Following this, we talk about determining how long you will live by comparing your biological and chronological ages. Regarding the third equation, Moshe provides his insights into evaluating the usefulness of an annuity plan, and at what age they become relevant to you. We then chat about what annuity plans are offered in Canada versus elsewhere and why people don’t want to buy annuities during a bull market. Despite the popularity of the ‘4% spending rule’ - which we also unpack - Moshe discusses the importance of being adaptable with your retirement spending rates. Reflecting on the key theme of another of his books, we explore the question of whether people are stocks or bonds. Moshe shares some investing advice for younger listeners and touches on what the ideal mix of stocks, bonds, and human capital looks like. For the last equation, we look into the impact of probability frameworks and why financial advisors need to understand the math behind retirement plan probabilities to make meaningful recommendations. Throughout our discussion, Moshe presents coherent answers and pragmatic advice. Tune in and learn more about the equations needed to build the best possible retirement plan.
Key Points From This Episode:
0:00 Introducing today’s guest, Professor Moshe Milevsky, and his work.
3:25 Mapping the longevity of your money according to Moshe’s ‘Fibonacci Equation’.
6:22 Understanding the difference between your biological and chronological age.
10:03 Introducing the concept of annuities and how they can be valued.
14:04 Moshe shares his thoughts on how much insurance companies factor in biological age.
18:30 - Canadian annuity plans versus elsewhere; “The shelf feels empty here.”
25:25 Establishing your ideal retirement spending rates - flexibility is important.
31:08 What your mix between stocks, bonds, and human capital should be.
40:54 Details on the life of Andrey Kolmogorov and his effect on understanding probability.
47:24 Keeping finance students engaged in this industry.
Books From Today’s Episode:
Are You a Stock or a Bond? - amzn.to/3ovR2Lv
Pensionize Your Nest Egg - amzn.to/3gTGOAI
Retirement Income Recipes in R on Amazon - amzn.to/34zMnAe
The 7 Most Important Equations for Your Retirement on Amazon - amzn.to/2TvAVPG
Links From Today’s Episode:
Moshe A. Milevsky - moshemilevsky.com/
Moshe A. Milevsky on Twitter - / retirementquant
Rational Reminder on iTunes - itunes.apple.com/ca/podcast/t....
Rational Reminder Website - rationalreminder.ca/podcast/122
Benjamin Felix on KZread - / @benfelixcsi
Braden Warwick on LinkedIn - / braden-warwick-a40b48a3
PrARI Model - www.cannex.com/index.php/serv...
IBM Annuity Study - pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/1...

Пікірлер: 30

  • @daveschmarder-1950
    @daveschmarder-19503 жыл бұрын

    This is one of the best interviews that you've had. And you've had lots of good ones. In retirement, my spending is around 1% of my stash. My worst case was in 2015, when I spent 2%, due to replacing my car and my heating system boiler.

  • @TheSteinbitt

    @TheSteinbitt

    Жыл бұрын

    Humble brag lol good for you!

  • @jean-claudebertrand7125
    @jean-claudebertrand71253 жыл бұрын

    I have very much enjoy this episode. I very much like Prof Moshe Milevsky delivery, so entertaining while highly educative.

  • @DekarNL
    @DekarNL3 жыл бұрын

    This was a fantastic video. Thank you. It was funny to see Ben bite his lip a little about prof milevski being so enthusiastic about stock picking. Don't worry Ben, your subscribers will know better ;)

  • @shamusom
    @shamusom3 жыл бұрын

    Informative, energetic, intelligent interview. Well done. Wish I had had a prof like Prof. Moshe when I was in university. What a card!

  • @shonabertrand8642
    @shonabertrand86423 жыл бұрын

    Re the "sell me an annuity" part of the conversation around 28 min., I've always used a "reason why" type of letter as part of a post-meeting documentation process with a client. In other words, (1) here are the risks we've identified and talked about, (2) here's my advice on how to manage those risks, and (3) here's the decision and the "why" behind it. I've found some clients need some time and space to sit on annuity/insurance issues, or need to take the time to explore some of their reasoning and resistance, (with guidance and support where required.) Putting the discussion / decision in black and white helps with that, in my experience. Great episode! (Full disclosure: risk nerd here.)

  • @Woj_Poznanski
    @Woj_Poznanski3 жыл бұрын

    Hi Ben and Cameron - just wanted to say that it was another great episode (great dynamic between you and slightly overcaffeinated professor Milevsky:) ). I found out about the podcast and Ben's channel around March 2020, when markets tanked and I was looking for tips and opinions about the recovery shape and value stocks to buy (I've been a stock picker and a market timer since I started investing in 2008), after watching almost all your videos (on both channels) I am completely converted to the idea that a well diversified ETF portfolio is the way to go. One thing I could not find anywhere in the internet is an analysis whether one should diversify between ETF providers or is it ok to have all your ETFs with one provider (e.g. Vanguard, Blackrock, State Street). Thanks for what you're doing - the quality of the channel is enormous! It is very useful for people from outside of Canada too! Greetings from Krakow, Poland.

  • @WorldWideRide2012
    @WorldWideRide20123 жыл бұрын

    Loved the energy! Look forward to Moshes' history book, sounds awesome! My first episode viewed while drinking a morning java from a fresh Rational Reminder mug. Life is sweet.

  • 3 жыл бұрын

    55:41 Ben, you have definitely made index investing cool for me and inspired me to start my own youtube channel to educate people in Czech republic about indexing and rational investing.

  • @viacheslavsavateev6522
    @viacheslavsavateev65223 жыл бұрын

    Watched from the beginning to the end !

  • @khamady
    @khamady3 жыл бұрын

    Really enjoyed this episode, terrific! Thank you guys!

  • @stevebridge4375
    @stevebridge43753 жыл бұрын

    Fantastic interview and content from Professor Milevsky, thanks for doing this! Loved Pensionize Your Nest Egg, but as you point out, people are not keen on buying annuities. The one point I would debate with Mr. Milevsky is his take on active management - I have seen no evidence that anyone can consistently beat the markets.

  • @nataschas9552
    @nataschas95525 ай бұрын

    57:22 "Success is: Wanting to wake up in the morning" :)

  • @squidlife4032
    @squidlife40322 жыл бұрын

    The book about investing history is exactly the kind of thing I've been looking for. Hope it becomes a reality soon.

  • @igalrogalsky5052
    @igalrogalsky50523 жыл бұрын

    Gents, i really enjoy your work. Perhaps a tad too much; keep this up! This interview left so many skid-marks on my brain... I don’t think there is any untouched surface left.

  • @MarcoEmeryLinden
    @MarcoEmeryLinden3 жыл бұрын

    Great conversation. I enjoyed this episode. Milevsky was a really interesting guest.

  • @kimberlylamoureux4108
    @kimberlylamoureux41083 жыл бұрын

    Fabulous guest! I really enjoyed this episode.

  • @stevo4535
    @stevo45353 жыл бұрын

    I started my career as an annuity wholesaler in the U.S. and I'm surprised that Canadian 's dont have the full breadth of annuity options. That said, now as an advisor, a little dash of a SPIA can help take the pressure off the managed money as the insurance carriers will give you a little more withdrawal rate than you can take on assets because when you pass, there is nothing left. Although rates on all annuities are down historically bc of rates.

  • @windowpane1000
    @windowpane10003 жыл бұрын

    This episode was fantastic!

  • @arnaldobermudez8894
    @arnaldobermudez88943 жыл бұрын

    Amazing episode

  • @skirmish23
    @skirmish233 жыл бұрын

    Very informative and entertaining

  • @stevo4535
    @stevo45353 жыл бұрын

    Early upload guys

  • @asmrgirlies7248
    @asmrgirlies72483 жыл бұрын

    Hi Cameron and Ben, so this annuity thing just seems like a sense of sleeping well at night to me. Basically you just get rid of a jump sum to get monthly or yearly cheques? And then nothing gets left to my kids when I have them and if I do? This just seems off to me, market risk , small value risk , etc.. Are proven to yield better results over long term. I dont want to give my money back to the government tbh, f that. Still good episode. I would appreciate a response since Im genuinely confused at what little benefit they provide other than mental assurance or a feeling of “wellness” (which I dont need) i just need money

  • @tiendoan1333

    @tiendoan1333

    3 жыл бұрын

    Annuity eliminates longevity risks, and your kids does get to inherit the annuity via a death-benefit provision as an optional feature. Market risk, small value risk, etc has proven to yield better results BUT with more risks involved. As counter-intuitive as this maybe, the risk of investing in equities is the same regardless of your time horizon. If time diversification works, then the equity risk-premium by definition must approach to the risk less rate as one's time horizon approaches infinity. Research about it long enough, and you will begin to understand the time diversification fallacy.

  • @firstlast3192
    @firstlast3192 Жыл бұрын

    If I start say a 7-year FIA and attach an income rider, do I have to keep that 7-year FIA till I die in order to get the guaranteed income for life stream from the income rider? If so, and on the way to my death date (paying 1% or more annual income rider fee) and I turn on the income stream at some point, am I depleting the FIA until zero and then the income rider kicks in?

  • @yairgannot8952
    @yairgannot89523 жыл бұрын

    Hilarious conversation. But important key points to consider.

  • @RobbieSolo
    @RobbieSolo3 жыл бұрын

    What assurance does a person who buys an annuity have if the company it bought it from go bankrupt ?

  • @JQZ888
    @JQZ8883 жыл бұрын

    I could’ve done without the snarkiness from the professor. He makes good points but it’s hard to take him seriously when he’s being sarcastic half the time

  • @allenlane5000
    @allenlane50002 жыл бұрын

    Not a fan of Milevsky. Way too full of himself. Way too hard (implicitly cuz he's not an idiot) on Bill Bengen. You guys should have pushed back a bit on Bill's behalf and his research on the 4% w/draw rate. Folks need to start somewhere on how much to spend in retirement, and Bill's research gives an important framework to start that discussion, but you have to understand the context of the research, then apply for your circumstance. Like it or not, every time you get on a plane, or in a car there is a statistical probabality that you will not make it back safely. He implies that if ignorant people knew this we would not fly ? This is what happens when you have too much communication with college students that can't or don't push back.

  • @dbclower
    @dbclower2 жыл бұрын

    that guy is a knob

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