Polls: Rishi Sunak really could lose his seat | Election 2024 | The New Statesman

The Prime Minister “is a margin of error away from defeat” in his own constituency, says Ben Walker.
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By campaigning in previously “safe” Conservative seats Rishi Sunak has shown he believes the polls, which predict a massive defeat for the Tories.
Ben Walker and Freddie Hayward join Hannah Barnes on the New Statesman podcast to discuss whether Rishi Sunak himself could be the “Portillo moment” of 2024.
Ben also reveals polling analysis on whether Jeremy Corbyn will win in Islington North, and if the Greens can take Bristol from Labour.
Read more: Rishi Sunak’s campaign tour shows he is nervous sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/06...
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The UK general election will take place on July 4, 2024 - and the New Statesman will be with you every step of the way. Our journalists including Hannah Barnes, Andrew Marr, Rachel Cunliffe, Freddie Hayward and Ben Walker will bring you analysis of the Conservative, Labour, Lib Dem, SNP, Green and Reform election campaigns as well as the best polling analysis and reaction from around the UK. The 2024 election will be the biggest shake-up of UK politics in years. Subscribe to the New Statesman on KZread to stay informed.
Watch all the latest episodes of the New Statesman podcast here: • The New Statesman Podcast
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Пікірлер: 377

  • @NewStatesman
    @NewStatesman2 күн бұрын

    Watch next: Nigel Farage has lost the right - Andrew Marr kzread.info/dash/bejne/i3aNuZWkmMebotI.html

  • @RichardEnglander

    @RichardEnglander

    2 күн бұрын

    No he hasn't, you just want us to think so, Legacy Media has spun what Farage said about Putin, understanding your enemy, understanding how they will spin events back home and use for justification, not underestimating your enemy and recognising their abilities is NOT supporting them or justifying their actions. The Establishment Uniparty is sh1tting itself, we see you.

  • @adamgrimsley2900

    @adamgrimsley2900

    2 күн бұрын

    Don't shout at the start!!

  • @Clare0116

    @Clare0116

    2 күн бұрын

    The Right WHAT? You taunt him and the Reform Party for being far right! You sound lost, maybe journalism is too difficult a career for your intellect?

  • @gilgamecha

    @gilgamecha

    2 күн бұрын

    Andrew Marr has lost the plot

  • @Purjo92

    @Purjo92

    2 күн бұрын

    @@Clare0116 Far-right is still on the right. It's just further on the right of the political spectrum.

  • @blackroseangel123
    @blackroseangel1232 күн бұрын

    You forget he WANTS to lose his seat. Probably even has a bet on it.

  • @user-wb4eo4lk4g

    @user-wb4eo4lk4g

    2 күн бұрын

    They are betting on Zero Seats

  • @glyngreen538

    @glyngreen538

    2 күн бұрын

    Means he can move to California sooner. He knows he’ll be sacked after the election and he’s claimed he’ll see out the next 5 year term as a backbencher but lots of us are sceptical.

  • @DarrenJamiesonJamieson

    @DarrenJamiesonJamieson

    2 күн бұрын

    ​@@glyngreen538Foreigners out!

  • @DarrenJamiesonJamieson

    @DarrenJamiesonJamieson

    2 күн бұрын

    Can we talk about The Election Campaign (traditionally only two weeks), which has been elongated so that The Media can make even more money from they're american tourists), and american rourists only?

  • @alanwatterson2850

    @alanwatterson2850

    2 күн бұрын

    😅

  • @user-jo9yw6bj6z
    @user-jo9yw6bj6z2 күн бұрын

    The more I see of Sunak, the more I dislike him. He is a spoilt privileged schoolboy who earned his money betting against this country as a hedge fund manager and bears responsibility for the collapse of Royal Bank of Scotland. Vote him out!

  • @stephenhill545

    @stephenhill545

    2 күн бұрын

    He's a Tory. They're a bunch of chancers these days, the days of the grandees are long gone.

  • @rinkydinkfretboard8737

    @rinkydinkfretboard8737

    2 күн бұрын

    He has calculated the deaths in utterly desperate, horrible circumstances of probably about 100k (further) disabled people against holding onto a few votes. “Insert pejorative term” does not come close to covering it. At the risk of skirting close to godwin’s law, have a look at the numbers of disabled people who’s deaths (never mind survivors suffering) have been attributed DIRECTLY to tory policies and their “hostile environment”/punitive attitude/scapegoating to the vulnerable. And compare that to the number of disabled euthenised in 1930s40s germany. Prepare to be shocked.

  • @rinkydinkfretboard8737

    @rinkydinkfretboard8737

    2 күн бұрын

    And it’s not just the cuts, it’s the gaslighting that is done to the disabled claimants…..basically telling people that simply can’t support them selves that they are simply workshy. Encouraging a situation where DRs are threatened for signing people off, assessors simply lie or ignore evidence…..etc etc. it’s like grabbing someones ha d and for cing them to stab themself with it while saying “why are you stabbing yourself”. The gaslighting element is the cruelest part, and wouldn’t surprise me if it was what lead to the extremely high tendency for suicide. By now…..the data is clear (although release was heavily opposed by the Tory govt) so you have an uphill struggle to convince me it is not by design.

  • @rinkydinkfretboard8737

    @rinkydinkfretboard8737

    2 күн бұрын

    He has calculated the end of the lives in utterly desperate, horrible circumstances of probably about 100k (further) disabled people against holding onto a few votes. “Insert pejorative term” does not come close to covering it. At the risk of skirting close to godwin’s law, have a look at the numbers of disabled people who (never mind survivors suffering) have been attributed DIRECTLY to tory policies and their “hostile environment”/punitive attitude/scapegoating to the vulnerable. And compare that to the number of disabled dealt with in 1930s40s germany. Prepare to be shocked.

  • @thatdawghouse

    @thatdawghouse

    2 күн бұрын

    At worst he was a good finance Minister's assistant, at best an utter dingus of a PM

  • @davidbrisbane7206
    @davidbrisbane72062 күн бұрын

    I hope Sunak loses his seat

  • @tenniskinsella7768

    @tenniskinsella7768

    2 күн бұрын

    Beer starmer awful man

  • @michaelfoy

    @michaelfoy

    2 күн бұрын

    DONT threaten US with a GOOD TIME!! 😊😊 After 14 years of DESPICABLE Tories .....NOT sure could Handle it!

  • @evildeed90s

    @evildeed90s

    Күн бұрын

    hes had to go with out sky tv and when the ice cream man came his mum always told him its choc ices in the freezer hes had hard life

  • @user-lh9ei6he1h
    @user-lh9ei6he1h2 күн бұрын

    He's already is an unelected prime minister!

  • @TommyOrigami

    @TommyOrigami

    2 күн бұрын

    New to the neighborhood? ALL prime ministers are 'unelected' - PM are selected by a majority of elected MPs.

  • @MintiesPoopin

    @MintiesPoopin

    Күн бұрын

    He was elected by MPs in the party who were also elected. Remember the MPs were voted in to represent the constituencies’ views and apparently landed on Sunak.

  • @markhayward7400
    @markhayward74002 күн бұрын

    Rishi Sunak earnt money as a hedge fund manager betting against his country. He is singularly ill placed to condemn other Tory MPs for betting against their party.

  • @nicksims2827
    @nicksims28272 күн бұрын

    I’m genuinely concerned that Count Binface is going to split the anti-Sunak vote. WTF has happened to the world? 😂😂

  • @glyngreen538

    @glyngreen538

    2 күн бұрын

    Yeah same! If it’s close a tiny amount of votes for Binface could be the difference between a loss or win for Rishi.

  • @Sammyli99

    @Sammyli99

    2 күн бұрын

    Don't matter the WHOLE of UK, is controlled, captured, and $cripted out of Tel Aviv 😮😊

  • @JohnR31415

    @JohnR31415

    2 күн бұрын

    I can only hope that more tories who are deeply uncomfortable with the party, but see voting as a duty, can make an “obvious” protest vote.

  • @kingpig8732

    @kingpig8732

    2 күн бұрын

    Binface should’ve just stepped out of the race in there, it’d be the best thing he could do

  • @drln1ghthaunter

    @drln1ghthaunter

    2 күн бұрын

    I'd be more amused if all other party's stepped out leaving a head to head between rishi and count binface for the seat.

  • @davidwebb4904
    @davidwebb49042 күн бұрын

    Rishi doesn’t care. He got what he care for. His family has made billions out of his short time in office.

  • @methanedirigible

    @methanedirigible

    2 күн бұрын

    How? Billions?!

  • @davidwebb4904

    @davidwebb4904

    2 күн бұрын

    @@methanedirigible In "intelligence" and fossil fuel contracts.

  • @methanedirigible

    @methanedirigible

    2 күн бұрын

    @@davidwebb4904 evidence that he _personally_ made billions from fossil fuel contracts?

  • @davidwebb4904

    @davidwebb4904

    2 күн бұрын

    @@methanedirigible Look who his families companies are. Then cross reference contracts awarded during his reign. Then add up the value of those contracts. Then cry that you didn’t study PolItic studies at college.

  • @DarrenJamiesonJamieson

    @DarrenJamiesonJamieson

    2 күн бұрын

    ​@@davidwebb4904Excellent. McPrice has made a bundle by stealing 'common land' from the monarchy. Do they teach you that (we got cops on our side too)!

  • @PeloquinDavid
    @PeloquinDavid2 күн бұрын

    It would be an act of mercy for Sunak's electors to relieve him of the embarrassment of having to immediately resign his seat after the election. BTW, here in Canada, we're quite used to both three-way splits and to Prime Ministers and Provincial Premiers losing their seats in general elections. Often, party leaders, senior ministers and star candidates headed for seats in Cabinet here actually prefer to stand in marginal seats precisely because they have no interest in being demoted to the opposition benches when they lose an election.

  • @danthsmith
    @danthsmith2 күн бұрын

    Please God, make it happen

  • @aclark903

    @aclark903

    2 күн бұрын

    By the rivers of #Babylon, there we sat down, yea, we wept, when we remembered #Zion… #Psalm 137:1

  • @jamesmilne2455
    @jamesmilne24552 күн бұрын

    Sunak should be jailed for COVID corruption and appalling waste of taxpayers money

  • @TheJon2442

    @TheJon2442

    2 күн бұрын

    After Sir Beer Starmer, he pushed for longer and harder! And never even received a fine for the lunchtime drinks party.... But when you have friends in high places within the police! Nothing to see here.....

  • @ArtyFactual_Intelligence

    @ArtyFactual_Intelligence

    2 күн бұрын

    @@TheJon2442 Are you looking for a legal summons? Keir's food delivery with one San Mig each was late at night when all places were closed and staff had done a ten hour shift. Learn a little before spouting.

  • @ElaineBonnell
    @ElaineBonnell2 күн бұрын

    He deserves to He paid £13000 for a pool in his constituency home whilst the local state school had to crowd fund to buy computers

  • @ArtyFactual_Intelligence

    @ArtyFactual_Intelligence

    2 күн бұрын

    State School? Oh well, there you are!

  • @BusstterNutt
    @BusstterNutt2 күн бұрын

    After 14 years they've reached the bottom of the barrel.

  • @JC-oy9ou

    @JC-oy9ou

    2 күн бұрын

    If Rishi sunak does win his seat, he should stay as Tory leader.

  • @paulgibbon5991

    @paulgibbon5991

    2 күн бұрын

    Remember, they've got another week to go!

  • @Simon-zb6fp
    @Simon-zb6fp2 күн бұрын

    The first sitting Prime Minister to lose his seat? Many of us still remember the time when Arthur Balfour 1st Earl of Balfour lost his seat as Prime Minister in the 1906 general election. What a night that was! Of course the cheeky young journalists of today overlook that important moment in the history of this great country.

  • @MrCaerbannog

    @MrCaerbannog

    2 күн бұрын

    Balfour was the first leader of the Tories to lose his seat, but he'd resigned as PM a few weeks before the election was called, meaning that the Liberal leader, Henry Campbell Bannerman was technically PM at the time.

  • @methanedirigible

    @methanedirigible

    2 күн бұрын

    @@MrCaerbannog Yes - Bananaman was leader at the time. 🍌

  • @Chocky-zv7sj

    @Chocky-zv7sj

    2 күн бұрын

    Sorry, how old are you? 😂😂

  • @camoTiaras

    @camoTiaras

    2 күн бұрын

    Imagine that, and also Starmer losing his, as Labour win the election, bring it on I say.

  • @SplashTasty

    @SplashTasty

    2 күн бұрын

    ​@@camoTiarasdeluded

  • @spacechannelfiver
    @spacechannelfiver2 күн бұрын

    I could see a longer term Liberal Democrat and Green coalition / merger working quite well. Look at the Teals in Australia as an example. The preservation of the Environment is a very strong through line between both parties; and indeed a LOT of one nation rural Tories. All of those factions tend to be socially liberal or at least tolerant. That sort of place is where you could easily find a Rory Stewart and would be a strong counterpoint to a Reform.

  • @jonsteele7227
    @jonsteele72272 күн бұрын

    Sunak losing his seat isnt a true portillo moment as he has no influence on future of tory party direction. Portillo was tipped as a future leader and a surprise defeat. Sunak would just be a really nice surprise. Badenoch or Truss losing would be comparable.

  • @geoffpoole483

    @geoffpoole483

    2 күн бұрын

    Sunak's campaign "strategy" has been strange to say the least. Early in the campaign he visited Henley on Thames (where he was photobombed by the Lib Dems). Henley is as Tory as it gets. Previous MPs include Boris Johnson and Michael Heseltine. It's pointless for a Tory leader to visit places like that.

  • @prakashnarismulu3332
    @prakashnarismulu33322 күн бұрын

    That saves him the hassle of resigning from the Con leader and returning to California

  • @ozandthemartianmonkeys173
    @ozandthemartianmonkeys1732 күн бұрын

    He's OK though 150 grand a year pension.... He should donate it to the NHS for life he doesn't need it but he won't because he's a greedy greedy man

  • @saminatharbastiampillai8234
    @saminatharbastiampillai82342 күн бұрын

    Sunak voters please remove him from Parliament.

  • @malcolmmitchell6529
    @malcolmmitchell65292 күн бұрын

    These photos are priceless , what a funny little man.

  • @Wilbtube
    @Wilbtube2 күн бұрын

    If he does, it´s not a Portillo moment, but a Balfour moment (cf. 1906). But I thought that his seat had been redistricted in such a way that the Labour-leaning wards had been dumped on a neighboring seat, and a few hard-blue wards had been "happened to be included", so as to guarantee him re-election. My understanding is that the Tories would have to dip below 16% nationally before Richmond comes into play.

  • @globalistgamer6418

    @globalistgamer6418

    Күн бұрын

    ❌ Were you up for Portillo? ☑ Were you born for Balfour?

  • @alanbrown9178
    @alanbrown91782 күн бұрын

    I doubt if many will shed any tears........

  • @ianworley8169
    @ianworley81692 күн бұрын

    The only thing Sunak wants now is a seat in the House of Lords. A title to impress his neighbours in Santa Monica. Lord and Lady Sunak of Southampton.

  • @ImranKhan-zn9st
    @ImranKhan-zn9st2 күн бұрын

    Good riddance, if he loses his seat.

  • @stephfoxwell4620
    @stephfoxwell46202 күн бұрын

    Come on Richmond. Its Wipeout to Help out.

  • @harrydebastardeharris987
    @harrydebastardeharris9872 күн бұрын

    He needs to have a better idea of his own limitations and his inability to cover up his Insider Trading and Corruption.

  • @bigtony4829
    @bigtony48292 күн бұрын

    Would love it if Sunak and Starmer both lost their seats ....lol

  • @denniswinters3096
    @denniswinters30962 күн бұрын

    If Corbyn had beaten Boris Johnson, this country would now be in considerably better shape than it is. Contrary to popular opinion ( largely the result of the right-wing media ) his policies were not "looney left," and would've been quite acceptable in any other European country with a left-leaning government. Corbyn was never the problem. The strangle-hold the Murdoch press/Daily Mail, etc. has on this country is the problem, and has been for far too long.

  • @pastyman001

    @pastyman001

    2 күн бұрын

    Corbyn /McDonnell wanted to take 10% of company profits on top of increased Corpn tax and 1/3 of the boards for non executive workers. What would they even say? How many would stay in the UK? This was all nuts

  • @glyngreen538

    @glyngreen538

    2 күн бұрын

    Corbyn was awful as a politician and very unpopular with the wider UK public. He effectively enabled more Tory governments and also Brexit by being anti EU. I’m leftwing and would prefer more leftwing Labour policies. Maybe a more competent left wing leader could have done better but Corbyn was a poor leader and personally the problem more so then the policies.

  • @malcolmmitchell6529

    @malcolmmitchell6529

    2 күн бұрын

    Corban was successfully demonised about " anti semitism.

  • @malcolmmitchell6529

    @malcolmmitchell6529

    2 күн бұрын

    Murdochs mouthpiece should be taken off air. Its all tripe. Sky arts? The ultimate oxymoron.

  • @annalieff-saxby568

    @annalieff-saxby568

    2 күн бұрын

    Oh, struth, yes! The Sun was like "Der Stürmer" in the run-up to '19's poll.

  • @brandonkepley8205
    @brandonkepley82052 күн бұрын

    I enjoy the informed reporting of The New Statesman. As an American, it’s refreshing to see a newsy podcast that isn’t so ridiculously sensationalized as everything here is. Everyone on your podcasts are fantastic Oh, and for sure, Freddie is definitely a keeper. 😉

  • @kellypaws

    @kellypaws

    2 күн бұрын

    Seriously? Your news must be like Bugs Bunny then.

  • @josephinebrevig8748

    @josephinebrevig8748

    2 күн бұрын

    @@kellypawsoh it is…Fox in mind

  • @kellypaws

    @kellypaws

    2 күн бұрын

    @@josephinebrevig8748 Ah, Fox. Darkside Muppet Show.

  • @brandonkepley8205

    @brandonkepley8205

    2 күн бұрын

    @@kellypaws, well I’d prefer you not denigrate Bugs Bunny - he and Daffy are pretty cool. 😀

  • @kellypaws

    @kellypaws

    2 күн бұрын

    @@brandonkepley8205 My apologies. Point taken.

  • @jonathanveale119
    @jonathanveale1192 күн бұрын

    The more I see of Sunak the less I like him. His lies proliferate, his answers obfuscate, and his behaviour in debate is both aggressive and discourteous. I would rejoice if he lost his seat. He deserves nothing less.

  • @johnburrows3385
    @johnburrows33852 күн бұрын

    Sunak losing his seat .... what a sweet sweet moment that would be .

  • @safirahmed
    @safirahmed2 күн бұрын

    Led By Donkeys has a short video on Rishi Sunak's rise to power and the involvement in the financial crisis in 2008.

  • @proteusnz99
    @proteusnz992 күн бұрын

    When you consider that the RishiBot only seems to open his mouth to change feet would you really want his ‘support’? More and more seem to want to pretend they’ve never heard of him.

  • @Chris-ln6so
    @Chris-ln6so2 күн бұрын

    Live in the seat. Not voting for him. He won’t lose it.

  • @ArtyFactual_Intelligence

    @ArtyFactual_Intelligence

    2 күн бұрын

    Dead ppl vote in Northallerton, we know that.

  • @pastyman001
    @pastyman0012 күн бұрын

    If I ran a political party, I would want Ben Walker's analysis

  • @pip1723
    @pip17232 күн бұрын

    After the TV debate last night it's hardly surprising he didn't display any leadership qualities he came across as patronizing and truculent .

  • @derekardito2032
    @derekardito20322 күн бұрын

    Rishi winning his seat would be ultra embarassing for Richmond Tories and the Tory party.

  • @WaywardPython
    @WaywardPython2 күн бұрын

    What Ben didn’t mention (unless I missed it) is that the Green campaigns in Bristol and Waveney are being assisted by the fact they’re being fought by the two party leaders. A higher profile never hurts when you’re gaining ground. (The fact that Siân Berry, a several-times candidate for London mayor, is standing in Brighton Pavilion is working the same way.) Ellie Chowns, the candidate in N Herefordshire, doesn’t have the same national profile, but she was MEP for the W Midlands prior to Brexit, so she’s not a complete unknown.

  • @lamudri

    @lamudri

    2 күн бұрын

    My intuition is that “higher profile” is doing a lot of heavy lifting here. I hadn't heard of Carla Denyer or the other one before the start of the campaign, and I still can't name the other one now.

  • @MelindaMelindaJones
    @MelindaMelindaJones2 күн бұрын

    Loosing hid seat will be good news to us.

  • @endermasa9451
    @endermasa9451Күн бұрын

    Ben talking about Yorkshire with such pride makes me so proud to be from Yorkshire too! Waiting on our devolved parliament and legal seccession from England !!

  • @jgh548
    @jgh5482 күн бұрын

    RISHI SUNAK’S ACHIEVEMENTS IN FULL: …

  • @ArtyFactual_Intelligence

    @ArtyFactual_Intelligence

    2 күн бұрын

    He wasn't that good.

  • @davidfenton4387
    @davidfenton43872 күн бұрын

    Sunak deserves to lose his seat, its his pathetic lack of leadership and betrayal, it would only be right if he went the way of the dinosaurs.

  • @user-us8le6lu4h
    @user-us8le6lu4h2 күн бұрын

    Poor Rishi, he's already lost his mind, his dignity, his integrity. He can always return to his job as a Roland Rat lookalike.

  • @BabuMosahi
    @BabuMosahiКүн бұрын

    This year we are having some of the biggest elections in the world, First Indian elections Second UK elections Third US elections Fouth.....

  • @mpsmi
    @mpsmi2 күн бұрын

    Oh please please

  • @TimesFM4532
    @TimesFM45322 күн бұрын

    Itd be so funny if it turns out he bet on the election

  • @nellyfett2681
    @nellyfett26812 күн бұрын

    He knows the game is up, and his position will be untenable after a massive defeat. Losing his seat saves him a tiny amount of embarrassment and having to resign. Probably is hoping to lose so he can make a quicker exit. Also Go Greens for Waveney valley!!

  • @perolagrande
    @perolagrande2 күн бұрын

    Very good analysis especially from Ben Walker, who displays detailed knowledge of many constituencies.

  • @hachi.
    @hachi.2 күн бұрын

    Oh God I do hope so

  • @BlackGriffin195
    @BlackGriffin1952 күн бұрын

    No loss.

  • @johnburrows3385
    @johnburrows33852 күн бұрын

    Here in South West London ,since the election was called ,driving around I have yet to see a single Tory poster .

  • @WaywardPython

    @WaywardPython

    2 күн бұрын

    Hammersmith here. There’s a posh square with big townhouses nearby. Lots of Tory posters last time. This time: nothing.

  • @bigtony4829

    @bigtony4829

    2 күн бұрын

    Twickenham and Richmond have the usual Lib posters up but nothing from the other Parties

  • @chaddiusmaximus69
    @chaddiusmaximus69Күн бұрын

    I would fucking love it if Niko won Rishi’s seat and started serving in Parliament, it’d be so fucking funny

  • @LynnD0109
    @LynnD01092 күн бұрын

    God, I hope so. It would be awful to have this smirking sycophant anywhere near politics again.

  • @TheAegisClaw
    @TheAegisClaw2 күн бұрын

    A friend of mine is the Labour candidate for Chester South and Eddisbury. Its starting to look good for Labour even there! Good luck Angeliki!

  • @mikefish8226

    @mikefish8226

    2 күн бұрын

    I'm sure friend is a lovely person, but I don't think the Labour party politicians have took on board that people are voting against the Tories, not for Labour. If the Labour party governs like they are secretly planning, then they'll be lucky to have more than one term.

  • @BenJ2020

    @BenJ2020

    2 күн бұрын

    ​@mikefish8226 exactly there is no love for labour, they are going to govern the same as the tories. They are not offering change, its more of the same rubbish that doesn't work, it's why I believe the polls are massively underestimating the vote for reform

  • @TheAegisClaw

    @TheAegisClaw

    2 күн бұрын

    @@mikefish8226 I don't know what this "secret plan" you're talking about is. It must not be very secret.

  • @mikefish8226

    @mikefish8226

    2 күн бұрын

    @TheAegisClaw You obviously haven't been paying attention then. They have been very specific to name three taxes that they won't increase (despite the fact they've announced an increase in the scope of one of them). They intend to increase lots of other taxes. They will just increase other taxes once in government despite it not being in their manifesto. They are planning a load of other stuff that's not in their manifesto too.

  • @colincampbell4261

    @colincampbell4261

    2 күн бұрын

    ​@mikefish8226please tell - what are Labour secretly planning?

  • @johnminnitt8101
    @johnminnitt81012 күн бұрын

    Regarding North Herefordshire, I was driving round there yestarday and saw a lot of Green party posters, absolutely none for anyone else.

  • @ArtyFactual_Intelligence

    @ArtyFactual_Intelligence

    Күн бұрын

    There are certain places where tactical voting is absolutely essential to ensure that the Greens have representation. If there was a Single Transferrable Vote System many would vote Green with Labour as the second option so that the vote may not be 'wasted'. Then, as more people do the same, one day the Greens win on First Option.

  • @ondank
    @ondank2 күн бұрын

    It would be fascinating to get a group of greens from around the country and make them speak to each other. Because I get the feeling its currently the broadest Church in British politics with rural conservatives, young urban liberals and socialists and corbynites all there alongside die hard environmentalists. Not much agreement in there

  • @eamonnconnolly5245
    @eamonnconnolly52452 күн бұрын

    Your statistician typically uses the expression “based off” which is an Americanism. In British English we should say “based on or based upon”. We have such a rich language and the British English version of it is the best, so we should all be alert to the anything that dilutes our own English For broadcasters in particular, proficient use of the language should be an aim and greatly helps to promote whichever version of English the broadcaster uses.

  • @jonmortermusic
    @jonmortermusic2 күн бұрын

    I was in Waveney Valley earlier today. LOADS of Green signs there

  • @beaufryer2042
    @beaufryer20422 күн бұрын

    I think you underestimate the number people nationally that still like Jeremy Corbyn.

  • @paulfr6768
    @paulfr67682 күн бұрын

    I'm in Bristol and I'll vote for Thangham, but I would be surprised if she wins. Greens are going hard here and the demographic shift to hemp wearing extinction rebellion trust fund kids emigrating from London is palpable.

  • @ambivalentsheep

    @ambivalentsheep

    2 күн бұрын

    Terrifying for young people to vote to not live on a dying planet. Shock horror what a privileged position.

  • @domchappell4775

    @domchappell4775

    2 күн бұрын

    Born and raised in Bristol Central. Met Thangham Debbonaire twice and Carla Denyer a few times. Definitely voting green

  • @WaywardPython

    @WaywardPython

    2 күн бұрын

    I grew up in this seat when it was safe(-ish) Tory. It fell in the Labour wave of ‘97, then the LibDems grabbed it in ‘05 as Blair’s support declined. Then Labour took it back as the LibDems suffered the coalition fallout. Now it looks like it could easily fall to the Greens. Tory > Labour > LibDem > Labour > Green It’s not hard to see why. It’s a mostly affluent middle-class seat which also takes in underprivileged areas. It’s always had a - what shall I call it? - a kind of quiet radicalism, a polite progressiveness. It looks like that low-volume subversion is turning louder as statues are toppled and Tescos trashed. So I’m not surprised to see the Greens performing well.

  • @alipanroosendaal9503
    @alipanroosendaal95032 күн бұрын

    Whether he holds his seat or not is irrelevant. He will be off to California within months either way.

  • @maureendavidson4635

    @maureendavidson4635

    2 күн бұрын

    Please don't say he'll be moving to Montecito California.

  • @jcdg6288
    @jcdg62882 күн бұрын

    I can’t care enough about what happens on election day. I’m only here to stare at Freddie and his chest hair :)

  • @skinwalker_
    @skinwalker_2 күн бұрын

    Fingers crossed

  • @justinbrooks7823
    @justinbrooks78232 күн бұрын

    The important question is What's the name of Freddie's wallpaper pattern.

  • @ivorsmith3999

    @ivorsmith3999

    2 күн бұрын

    "Welcome to the jungle"

  • @gregoryfisher7346
    @gregoryfisher73462 күн бұрын

    His got to go .🦦

  • @michaelbowling1362
    @michaelbowling13622 күн бұрын

    California Dreaming....🎶 🎵

  • @scsutton1
    @scsutton12 күн бұрын

    If it happens, we will rename it to the Sunak moment.

  • @kellypaws
    @kellypaws2 күн бұрын

    I wonder what odds he could've got on that in February? Just saying.

  • @alvindimes649
    @alvindimes6492 күн бұрын

    I really hope he does lose, this would be a ringing endorsement of how much the public disapprove of his and Tory politics. 😅😅😅

  • @Mr.Haque01
    @Mr.Haque012 күн бұрын

    One of the reasons why the UK economy is so bad is foreign policy. Foreign policy gets a lot of attention and a lot of money is invested in it, but no leader pays attention to their Internal issues. It is a pity that the government always pays less attention to the position of working-class families. People who are living illegally in this country should be sent to their own country, not to Uganda. Sadly, sometimes leaders talk too much and it's only brainwashed but people understand the hypocrisy of talk. 👀😡

  • @leegosling
    @leegosling2 күн бұрын

    Liz, Boris… Hold my coat.

  • @broadcast-east
    @broadcast-east2 күн бұрын

    Unlikely this is clickbait

  • @RM-pf3wd
    @RM-pf3wd2 күн бұрын

    Rishi has already booked his plane ticket out of the uk his work is done for his master's

  • @williamthompson4389
    @williamthompson43892 күн бұрын

    Hip. Hip. Hooray! Vote for REFORM UK. We need our country back.

  • @ArtyFactual_Intelligence

    @ArtyFactual_Intelligence

    Күн бұрын

    Back from where?

  • @CatholicSatan
    @CatholicSatan2 күн бұрын

    "...in that unfortunate position..."? His constituents might differ.

  • @roaldknutsen1924
    @roaldknutsen19242 күн бұрын

    Brighton- “the Greens will pick up a few seats “!!! They have one that they will probably keep- that is it.

  • @kevinwhale2998
    @kevinwhale2998Күн бұрын

    They are bricking it! So funny.😂

  • @davidbrisbane7206
    @davidbrisbane72062 күн бұрын

    John Howard was a PM in Australia. He lost his seat and his Liberal party lost the general election. I guess at least Howard was in a fairly marginal seat all along as opposed to the safe seat the UK Tories like to occupy.

  • @PeloquinDavid

    @PeloquinDavid

    2 күн бұрын

    I can also confirm that many sitting Canadian Prime Ministers and provincial Premiers have indeed lost their seats at general elections. It's often an act of mercy on the part of their electors...

  • @adamgrimsley2900
    @adamgrimsley29002 күн бұрын

    Sunak visiting safe seats doesn't mean polls are right. He doesn't know either

  • @davidjupp961
    @davidjupp9612 күн бұрын

    No one deserves it more

  • @JC-oy9ou

    @JC-oy9ou

    2 күн бұрын

    He has broken it

  • @MrBlaugeist
    @MrBlaugeist2 күн бұрын

    Good

  • @tommymorrison6478
    @tommymorrison64782 күн бұрын

    Why would anyone vote for an MP who, as soon as his party loses the election, will fly off to California anyway?

  • @ArtyFactual_Intelligence
    @ArtyFactual_Intelligence2 күн бұрын

    if it was a straight fight between Sunak and Binface I wonder..... Perhaps the other candidates' supporters should consider tactical voting.

  • @FranzBieberkopf
    @FranzBieberkopfКүн бұрын

    If Sunak loses (please dear Jesus), I'm looking forward to Laura Kunessberg on July 5th explaining that Sunak's defeat is really a Conservative triumph.

  • @TheJon2442
    @TheJon24422 күн бұрын

    Sadly we will go from awful to totally abysmal.... When Liebour get the key No. 10!

  • @ArtyFactual_Intelligence

    @ArtyFactual_Intelligence

    2 күн бұрын

    Cry those tears deeply and profoundly.

  • @mikeyrepublic
    @mikeyrepublic2 күн бұрын

    He would be the first PM To lose his seat. It happened to Arthur Balfour in 1906.

  • @JC-oy9ou

    @JC-oy9ou

    2 күн бұрын

    Boris Johnson,Liz Truss, Rishi Sunak, they must lose their seats at the general election.

  • @user-jg4oc6oh9x
    @user-jg4oc6oh9x2 күн бұрын

    I hope so

  • @lyudmilakutsenko7045
    @lyudmilakutsenko7045Күн бұрын

    And why Sunak was made cut his own term, during which he could earn more voters? The only party which benefited from that is Labour party as people knew them already from their longterm advertisement more than even Sunak who is just for more than a year.

  • @lyudmilakutsenko7045

    @lyudmilakutsenko7045

    Күн бұрын

    You all who advertise for Labour are mean and greedy people. I despise you.

  • @user-yz5yq7xy2u
    @user-yz5yq7xy2u2 күн бұрын

    Don’t think the Tories will do as badly as people make out Labour will get a healthy majority but won’t be surprised if it’s around 100 seats and I think the wipe out of the SNP will be overstated there is still a strong Indy feeling in Scotland and these people hate labour

  • @WaywardPython

    @WaywardPython

    2 күн бұрын

    I’d agree. I think there are a lot of shy Tories out there, who will still turn out. Or maybe I’m still traumatised by 1992.

  • @bigtony4829

    @bigtony4829

    2 күн бұрын

    Everything depends on how many Conservative and Labour Voters choose to take a gamble on Reform They will be the king makers this election even if they only manage a handful of seats themselves

  • @LeilaLamb
    @LeilaLamb2 күн бұрын

    Thangam Debbonaire wouldn’t speak to Owen Jones when she was out campaigning in the streets of Bristol. Not the way to win votes, really.

  • @scottmarriott1185
    @scottmarriott11852 күн бұрын

    And oh how we will laugh….the Tories are toast❤️

  • @user-cf3cr8ki7e
    @user-cf3cr8ki7e2 күн бұрын

    Opinion poll says YES

  • @maneshipocrates2264
    @maneshipocrates22642 күн бұрын

    He should use his plan to vote against his party.

  • @DarrenJamiesonJamieson

    @DarrenJamiesonJamieson

    2 күн бұрын

    4 Tories have defected to Labour. I'd have called the cops because most Tories who defect to Labour lose they're seats and thats four seats that Labour will lose. Even when they defect they are still Tories!

  • @stevendavis7079
    @stevendavis707923 сағат бұрын

    Traitors used to lose their head !!

  • @rosemaryowen6571
    @rosemaryowen65712 күн бұрын

    Very Good

  • @gary1642
    @gary16422 күн бұрын

    After 14 years of misery, started by Cameron and Osborne put in number 10 by Clegg how can 1 in 5 of our population want more of the same?

  • @anonnymous4684
    @anonnymous46842 күн бұрын

    Freddy is so dreamy!! 🥰 🥰 🥰

  • @sandrastewart2450
    @sandrastewart2450Күн бұрын

    Vote reform reform reform

  • @blackcoalboy
    @blackcoalboy2 күн бұрын

    Excuse me. UNFORTUNATELY FOR HIM But the rest is us it would be like Christmas yes

  • @user-bh1yd1ms1p
    @user-bh1yd1ms1pКүн бұрын

    He is in Stoke on Monday.....

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