Dittos are not

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It’s a warm and sunny Saturday morning over in San Antonio, Texas, and Lost Tech City and its 400 players from all over the United States are about to bear witness to one of the rarest phenomena in Smash.
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#Ditto #MirrorMatch #SSBU #SmashUltimate #turndownforULT

Пікірлер: 313

  • @yan_dj
    @yan_dj24 күн бұрын

    As a Puff main the Puff matchup is 60-40 in the opponent's favor

  • @turndownforULT

    @turndownforULT

    24 күн бұрын

    Thank you for supporting our claims with facts and science

  • @St0rmaL

    @St0rmaL

    24 күн бұрын

    This is fact

  • @joy_124

    @joy_124

    24 күн бұрын

    That means that for the opponent you are winning.

  • @germangonzalez4347

    @germangonzalez4347

    24 күн бұрын

    Same with melee peach! The opponent's dsmash is so broken 😖

  • @samuelbrown1283

    @samuelbrown1283

    24 күн бұрын

    Why?

  • @vision4860
    @vision486023 күн бұрын

    In short I think a large part of it is this: Humans have a tendency to assume that other humans think like them. So when playing a ditto that tendency backfires for the more experienced player. They may subconsciously expect the opponent to have the same habits as them, so the differences in playstyle catch them more off-guard. Meanwhile, the less experienced player's mindset is less solidified, so they aren't as restricted mentally as to what they expect.

  • @qurturt8872

    @qurturt8872

    10 күн бұрын

    Experienced players have a battle tendency

  • @dereklouther9372

    @dereklouther9372

    14 сағат бұрын

    You gotta think tho that restriction forces experienced players to go deep in their bag

  • @RisterMice
    @RisterMice24 күн бұрын

    I beat Ploopy in the Game & Watch ditto once. That told me all I needed to know about dittos.

  • @electricssb

    @electricssb

    24 күн бұрын

    What is a ploopy?

  • @RiftyLuca

    @RiftyLuca

    24 күн бұрын

    @@electricssbone of the best gnw players in the us

  • @FlygonFactory

    @FlygonFactory

    24 күн бұрын

    Aren’t you the guy that pops off for DQ wins in brackets

  • @RiftyLuca

    @RiftyLuca

    24 күн бұрын

    @@FlygonFactory win is a win fr

  • @nathanmedsker5864

    @nathanmedsker5864

    24 күн бұрын

    AYO ROGUE RISTERMICE IN THE WILD!!! BIG FAN DUDE!!!!!!

  • @elicenyne
    @elicenyne22 күн бұрын

    "The simple part is that they can do everything you can do. The complicated part is that they can do everything you can do."

  • @blueice7906
    @blueice790624 күн бұрын

    Don't forget in a cloud ditto, for cloud facing to the left side b hits farther away at the bottom and closer and the top while cloud facing right is inverse meaning a cloud on the right is the opposite meaning you could argue the cloud cloud matchup is in favour to the cloud that is facing right since it anti airs better.

  • @Banana_D

    @Banana_D

    24 күн бұрын

    LEFT CLOUD BEATS RIGHT CLOUD

  • @akap

    @akap

    21 күн бұрын

    We know this is irrelevant, right? Like haha funny meme but if we're being serious...

  • @skyeschlueter9877

    @skyeschlueter9877

    19 күн бұрын

    ​@@akapEh, I dunno... Any advantage is relevant if the matches are close enough.

  • @cooperm4185

    @cooperm4185

    17 күн бұрын

    ​@@skyeschlueter9877The thing is that it's not actually relevant because it's not a constant. Which Cloud is on the left changes throughout the course of a game, and that advantage changes with it. Sonic beats Ganon because Sonic's ability to get a lead and then run away forever is a constant, it doesn't change throughout a set. Left Cloud vs Right Cloud is more like the PT mirror example; Squirtle vs Squirtle is the same but both players have the ability to switch to Ivysaur and Charizard

  • @salemmetal6433

    @salemmetal6433

    17 күн бұрын

    @blueice7906 still an even match up since I doubt the match up ratio would change due to that. Not to mention that who is facing left or right would change throughout the match, it would only matter for round start

  • @EinDose
    @EinDose24 күн бұрын

    This is something I noticed when playing Guilty Gear Strive. Axl Low is the zoner supreme, he wants to hold people at great range because they typically can't fight as well at it as he does, and he's relatively weaker in close range. But if it's two Axls against each other the victor is usually the one who's playing, by their typical gameplan, the WORSE Axl; the one that's more willing and able to completely forego his zoning tools and just charge in with his close-ranged attacks.

  • @IAmGun.

    @IAmGun.

    24 күн бұрын

    And then there's Faust.

  • @vivelespatat2670

    @vivelespatat2670

    24 күн бұрын

    We fight like men.

  • @leophyte9663

    @leophyte9663

    21 күн бұрын

    @@IAmGun. item spam go brrrrrr

  • @unnamedminus

    @unnamedminus

    21 күн бұрын

    As a millia main, I hate the millia mu

  • @giant9211

    @giant9211

    20 күн бұрын

    As an axl main, that’s the most true thing I’ve heard. Axl one of my lowest wr matchups.

  • @reghretti
    @reghretti24 күн бұрын

    If you're the best character rep in town, it's much less likely that you've studied the gameplay of the 2-8 next best reps for your same character than that each of those seven players has studied your gameplan extensively, thus lending them a player knowledge advantage. Surely over the course of a few sets your results would normalize and the better player would start winning outright

  • @emctwoo
    @emctwoo24 күн бұрын

    It's funny, coming from an RTS background the idea of mirrors being a stable consistent test of player skill would never have occurred to me. Starcraft 2 mirrors generally have a reputation for being very gamble-y and chaotic, though at the same time some of the best players in the world have set themselves apart by dominating the mirror with insurmountable skill.

  • @NaturesFlame

    @NaturesFlame

    24 күн бұрын

    I feel that last part is only really true with maybe Terran. The Zerg mirror is so volatile that Raynor picked up off-racing Protoss (a pro playing more than one race is nearly unheard of these days), because he felt like his odds were better playing a weaker race into Zerg, than playing the mirror and leaving too much up to the gamble. Serrel's (top ranked atm) worst matchup by far is other Zerg.

  • @StateOfTheMind11225

    @StateOfTheMind11225

    24 күн бұрын

    P

  • @clayton_games
    @clayton_games17 күн бұрын

    As for lack of experience on the "better player's" part, the underdog is probably also studying the better player as they are learning their character to become better.

  • @AntiZubat
    @AntiZubat24 күн бұрын

    They also know every little thing about their character which isn’t an advantage but a disadvantage because they’ll predict things the other wouldn’t think of

  • @memenazi7078

    @memenazi7078

    24 күн бұрын

    The opponent’s skill becomes evident real quick tho, you have to remember how to beat shitters.

  • @liampbjray5562

    @liampbjray5562

    20 күн бұрын

    eh. this will affect mid to high level players (for example, as an upper mid level greninja main, i am ASS at the greninja ditto because, for example, i dont expect the worse player to dash attack so much, so i try to play like they AREN'T going to randomly dash attack for no reason in a way thats super punishable), but no top 100 player is ever going to make a hard callout on something without having seen the opponent do it. and, back to my example, tarik might get hit by 1 or 2 surprise dash attacks by a bad greninja, but he's a top player. he's going to actually be able to adapt and change his gameplan to compensate.

  • @ekSil0

    @ekSil0

    20 күн бұрын

    ​@@memenazi7078I don't think major tournament contenders count as shitters anymore

  • @jerry3115
    @jerry311524 күн бұрын

    Falcon ditto is 70-30 for whoever is feeling themselves the most at any given moment

  • @bleachigo990

    @bleachigo990

    16 күн бұрын

    So 50-50

  • @jerry3115

    @jerry3115

    16 күн бұрын

    @@bleachigo990 well yes but actually no

  • @bleachigo990

    @bleachigo990

    16 күн бұрын

    @@jerry3115 so actually yes.

  • @jerry3115

    @jerry3115

    16 күн бұрын

    @@bleachigo990 no

  • @bleachigo990

    @bleachigo990

    16 күн бұрын

    @@jerry3115 that’s what I said…… yes.

  • @artstrange3230
    @artstrange323020 күн бұрын

    "We play more than Fox" "... Yet the only Ditto we see is Fox." Is absolutely hilarious to me

  • @wildmonkeycar
    @wildmonkeycar24 күн бұрын

    My second tournament, I ended up in a ditto with one of the best players in my state- Despite my complete lack of experience, I won game 1. I genuinely think it has to do with risk-taking. The more-experienced player will use as few risks as possible, while the player with less experience is far less careful, and thus takes more chances for openings that the better player wouldn't take

  • @toast9734
    @toast973424 күн бұрын

    as a joker player the ditto is unwinnable. -4

  • @CapnWarpBeard

    @CapnWarpBeard

    11 күн бұрын

    fr

  • @SmoothButtr
    @SmoothButtr24 күн бұрын

    I think it could be because top players don’t train to play AGAINST their own character.

  • @jackhumphries1087

    @jackhumphries1087

    24 күн бұрын

    Yea, since it’s so rare they don’t know the matchup

  • @mandalorianhunter1

    @mandalorianhunter1

    24 күн бұрын

    This is definitely it

  • @memenazi7078

    @memenazi7078

    24 күн бұрын

    They avoid dittos like the plague, it’s cowardice

  • @ShermTank7272

    @ShermTank7272

    23 күн бұрын

    @@memenazi7078"Cowardice"? How? It's an oversight at worst, not "cowardice".

  • @cosmiccook69

    @cosmiccook69

    23 күн бұрын

    Probably. It's mostly because since the roster is so vast you never actually account for what you should do if your fighting your own character.

  • @mrtable2861
    @mrtable286124 күн бұрын

    9:15 Small correction, he didn't start the bracket in losers. Ultimate Summit 2 didn't do the whole "2 lowest RR places start in losers" thing, which only started with Ultimate Summit 3. Tweek's low RR placement just meant that he was seeded as the 2nd lowest from his pool and thus had to fight Leo (who was the 2nd highest player in his pool due to an Esam loss) in R1 of winners in the final bracket. He lost and then had to fight Leffen.

  • @andrewbank4696
    @andrewbank469624 күн бұрын

    Walt learning Google Earth editing is something I've been waiting forever for.

  • @BarderBetterFasterStronger

    @BarderBetterFasterStronger

    24 күн бұрын

    It's just Prezi. There isn't much to learn. You can learn it too in a out 5 minutes if you go to their website. Students have been using it as a PowerPoint alternative for years. But most people stop as almost every Prezi looks exactly the same. It's why you don't see many KZreadrs use it much. It's incredibly easy to pump out but if everyone just makes Prezi content then everyone's content looks exactly the same.

  • @thelastnamesake9
    @thelastnamesake924 күн бұрын

    The hero ditto is ??-?? and favors the faster reader

  • @greatbrandini3967
    @greatbrandini396724 күн бұрын

    I think another underlooked aspect of the Hungrybox upset is that Hbox probably has much more experience in the ditto since he primarily plays Melee. Hbox being stronger against characters from the Melee roster makes a lot of sense

  • @ILiekFishes
    @ILiekFishes24 күн бұрын

    I'm upset you brought up the statistics of how matches go in dittos and then didn't compare with the trend in ultimate overall. "The worse player wins 1/3rd of the time on average" is not an outrageous statement unless you can show that it's meaningfully more than it is in non dittos.

  • @nemnogop

    @nemnogop

    24 күн бұрын

    "Now that we've stablished the volatility of dittos in ultimate from a statistical perspective." 💀

  • @cisummusic22

    @cisummusic22

    24 күн бұрын

    That is literally impossible to quantify. You could compare it to all matches and see how often the underdog wins, but that would be entirely misleading, because the gap between a top character rep and the next best player of that character is wayyy wider than the gap between the better and worse of 2 players meeting in a random top 64

  • @sirgarde2293

    @sirgarde2293

    24 күн бұрын

    @@cisummusic22 it also doesn't account for non-perfectly even matchups. The worse player will absolutely win a 60-40 mu in their favor a solid % of the time.

  • @sephikong8323

    @sephikong8323

    23 күн бұрын

    Probably because it's a much more volatile metric to compare, since you know, if the better ranked player faces off against a character that has a dominant match-up against his own then it will massively impact the results, I don't think that going "wow, This Min Min player is ranked pretty low but he beat the best DK in the world" is really the surprising The Ditto is more reliable to study for the question of the Match-up alone

  • @ByrneBaby

    @ByrneBaby

    22 күн бұрын

    I disagree, the point was to highlight whether "worse player wins the ditto" was accurate or not. You only need to look at dittos to determine that.

  • @JagGentlemann
    @JagGentlemann11 күн бұрын

    Can confirm, in a tournament I could barely touch an opposing Banjo, so I switched to Banjo, a character I didn't even touch before, and I won.

  • @clayton_games
    @clayton_games17 күн бұрын

    What if someone held a random ditto tournament? Each match would be given a random character for both players to use (not picking random in the game). Would that be interesting?

  • @cyprienramis1304
    @cyprienramis130424 күн бұрын

    Maybe a factor might be that the better player has too high expectations for the worse player (they might expect the other of being capable of what they themselves are, and therefore play it too safe in some interractions or not even try to match up check their oponent).

  • @rtg_onefourtwoeightfiveseven
    @rtg_onefourtwoeightfiveseven23 күн бұрын

    I'm not fully convinced that dittos really ARE volatile. Sure, the lower-seeded/worse player wins 1/3 of the time, but what are we comparing that to? The better player certainly doesn't always win in non-dittos either, and an overall upset rate of 1/3 doesn't seem that astounding. I feel like there should be some sort of comparison with non-ditto matches to give that statistic meaning.

  • @HeyoImKaGo
    @HeyoImKaGo24 күн бұрын

    The Prezi presentation was not what i was expecting

  • @fops

    @fops

    24 күн бұрын

    @@MakeVarahHappen it probably made it significantly easier to produce though

  • @cichlisuite666

    @cichlisuite666

    24 күн бұрын

    I was about to say, big Jon Bois vibes. It's a dated style but I do still love it

  • @BarderBetterFasterStronger

    @BarderBetterFasterStronger

    24 күн бұрын

    ​​​@@MakeVarahHappen Are they copying it from that guy or does every single Prezi look about the same since the late 2000s My Prezis looked like this in middle school like 15 years ago... Including like the very first one I ever made. They're very samey.

  • @ItsMeChair1
    @ItsMeChair124 күн бұрын

    15:52 bro turned on BobbyBrocolli mode for the last 3 minutes of the vid and refused to elaborate.

  • @nutradewar

    @nutradewar

    24 күн бұрын

    you should see the other videos that selfdestructgambit has made!

  • @zanderwhyte9104

    @zanderwhyte9104

    24 күн бұрын

    Hello fellow Bobbybrocolli enjoyer

  • @duffman18

    @duffman18

    24 күн бұрын

    It's actually the Jon Bois style. Jon Bois has made documentaries for a long long time now, on his own channel a bit but mostly for the channel Secret Base, and once you've watched his documentaries you realise just how many thousands of youtubers he's directly inspired. When the artform of online video making becomes an art form that's studied academically in universities, Jon Bois will be considered the most influential single creator out there, because his style is absolutely _EVERYWHERE_ with everyone copying it. The Beatles are to the artform of music as Jon Bois is to the artform of online videos/documentaries. I'm not being hyperbolic. Seriously you probably already are subscribed to at least dozens of channels who each took their main inspiration from Jon Bois and make videos in his style. He's just had such an absolutely enormous influence. BobbyBrocolli doesn't make videos in his own style, he makes them in the Jon Bois style. He freely admits this too, he even has 2 separate videos where he shows you _HOW_ to make a Jon Bois style documentary yourself. Another huge youtuber who openly admits that he just copies the Jon Bois style is Emplemon, who made the Hungrybox documentary that got tons of people into Smash. That was a Jon Bois style documentary. But yeah go and watch the documentaries by Jon Bois on Secret Base. Start right now, today. They have a playlist with his documentaries on there (because Secret Base are a big company and they make a lot of non Jon Bois videos too). For example, watch the 2-part feature length documentary about the history of athletes in sports with the first name "Bob". It may sound ridiculous, but I'm not exaggerating whatsoever, it's one of the most beautiful, most breathtaking, most heartbreaking, most touching, most poignant, most tear-inducing documentaries you will ever watch. It's genuinely incredibly moving. It all began as a kind of joke but the more he researched into it the more he realised how incredible a topic it is. You'll probably cry a bit when you watch it. Again, I'm not joking, not even slightly. It's seriously pretty nuts how genuinely amazing it is and how moving and touching and heart-rending it is. Here's the link to Part 1: kzread.info/dash/bejne/nqqcmLCFoa64ltY.htmlsi=fprlJKidNHhjNCH2 Please watch it, get started with it today. Please. Even if you think you have absolutely zero interest in sports. Just watch them anyway. Because Jon Bois' documentaries are really just incredible stories about extraordinary people, about amazing human beings, and sports just happens to be the flavour of that, while for Bobby Brocolli his videos are the same thing, stories about incredible people or events but the flavour of his videos is science. You don't need to have any knowledge of sports whatsoever to watch and fall in love with Jon's documentaries.

  • @duffman18

    @duffman18

    24 күн бұрын

    It's actually the Jon Bois style. Jon Bois has made documentaries for a long long time now, on his own channel a bit but mostly for the channel Secret Base, and once you've watched his documentaries you realise just how many thousands of youtubers he's directly inspired. When the artform of online video making becomes an art form that's studied academically in universities, Jon Bois will be considered the most influential single creator out there, because his style is absolutely _EVERYWHERE_ with everyone copying it. The Beatles are to the artform of music as Jon Bois is to the artform of online videos/documentaries. I'm not being hyperbolic. Seriously you probably already are subscribed to at least dozens of channels who each took their main inspiration from Jon Bois and make videos in his style. He's just had such an absolutely enormous influence. BobbyBrocolli doesn't make videos in his own style, he makes them in the Jon Bois style. He freely admits this too, he even has 2 separate videos where he shows you _HOW_ to make a Jon Bois style documentary yourself. Another huge youtuber who openly admits that he just copies the Jon Bois style is Emplemon, who made the Hungrybox documentary that got tons of people into Smash. That was a Jon Bois style documentary. But yeah go and watch the documentaries by Jon Bois on Secret Base. Start right now, today. They have a playlist with his documentaries on there (because Secret Base are a big company and they make a lot of non Jon Bois videos too). For example, watch the 2-part feature length documentary about the history of athletes in sports with the first name "Bob". It may sound ridiculous, but I'm not exaggerating whatsoever, it's one of the most beautiful, most breathtaking, most heartbreaking, most touching, most poignant, most tear-inducing documentaries you will ever watch. It's genuinely incredibly moving. It all began as a kind of joke but the more he researched into it the more he realised how incredible a topic it is. You'll probably cry a bit when you watch it. Again, I'm not joking, not even slightly. It's seriously pretty nuts how genuinely amazing it is and how moving and touching and heart-rending it is. Here's the link to Part 1: kzread.info/dash/bejne/nqqcmLCFoa64ltY.htmlsi=fprlJKidNHhjNCH2 Please watch it, get started with it today. Please. Even if you think you have absolutely zero interest in sports. Just watch them anyway. Because Jon Bois' documentaries are really just incredible stories about extraordinary people, about amazing human beings, and sports just happens to be the flavour of that, while for Bobby Brocolli his videos are the same thing, stories about incredible people or events but the flavour of his videos is science. You don't need to have any knowledge of sports whatsoever to watch and fall in love with Jon's documentaries.

  • @duffman18

    @duffman18

    24 күн бұрын

    It's actually the Jon Bois style. Jon Bois has made documentaries for a long long time now, on his own channel a bit but mostly for the channel Secret Base, and once you've watched his documentaries you realise just how many thousands of youtubers he's directly inspired. When the artform of online video making becomes an art form that's studied academically in universities, Jon Bois will be considered the most influential single creator out there, because his style is absolutely _EVERYWHERE_ with everyone copying it. The Beatles are to the artform of music as Jon Bois is to the artform of online videos/documentaries. I'm not being hyperbolic. Seriously you probably already are subscribed to at least dozens of channels who each took their main inspiration from Jon Bois and make videos in his style. He's just had such an absolutely enormous influence. BobbyBrocolli doesn't make videos in his own style, he makes them in the Jon Bois style. He freely admits this too, he even has 2 separate videos where he shows you _HOW_ to make a Jon Bois style documentary yourself. Another huge youtuber who openly admits that he just copies the Jon Bois style is Emplemon, who made the Hungrybox documentary that got tons of people into Smash. That was a Jon Bois style documentary. But yeah go and watch the documentaries by Jon Bois on Secret Base. Start right now, today. They have a playlist with his documentaries on there (because Secret Base are a big company and they make a lot of non Jon Bois videos too). For example, watch the 2-part feature length documentary about the history of athletes in sports with the first name "Bob". It may sound ridiculous, but I'm not exaggerating whatsoever, it's one of the most beautiful, most breathtaking, most heartbreaking, most touching, most poignant, most tear-inducing documentaries you will ever watch. It's genuinely incredibly moving. It all began as a kind of joke but the more he researched into it the more he realised how incredible a topic it is. You'll probably cry a bit when you watch it. Again, I'm not joking, not even slightly. It's seriously pretty nuts how genuinely amazing it is and how moving and touching and heart-rending it is. Here's the link to Part 1: kzread.info/dash/bejne/nqqcmLCFoa64ltY.htmlsi=fprlJKidNHhjNCH2 Please watch it, get started with it today. Please. Even if you think you have absolutely zero interest in sports. Just watch them anyway. Because Jon Bois' documentaries are really just incredible stories about extraordinary people, about amazing human beings, and sports just happens to be the flavour of that, while for Bobby Brocolli his videos are the same thing, stories about incredible people or events but the flavour of his videos is science. You don't need to have any knowledge of sports whatsoever to watch and fall in love with Jon's documentaries.

  • @violetstormcloud
    @violetstormcloud24 күн бұрын

    Holy shit my art is in a Turndownforwalt video (I made the PR Bassmage was on)

  • @SelfDestructGambit

    @SelfDestructGambit

    24 күн бұрын

    Ty for the lovely art!

  • @jaredkline2351

    @jaredkline2351

    24 күн бұрын

    Duuuuude I screenshotted it because it was so awesome. Where can I follow you or support?

  • @the_wake_
    @the_wake_24 күн бұрын

    Wouldn't we want to compare the % of mirror upsets to the % of non-mirror upsets to establish whether this is actually a thing? Or maybe look at other games as comparisons? I know it's more work, but just concluding "The higher seed only wins 2/3 of the time, this must be a phenomenon" seems kind of like statistical smoke and mirrors.

  • @nemnogop

    @nemnogop

    24 күн бұрын

    Yea sadly this 100% counts as misinformation. I think the angle of this video should have been "opinion" instead of this 😅

  • @the_wake_

    @the_wake_

    24 күн бұрын

    @@nemnogop Yeah... I wouldn't go quite as far as "misinformation" but it's certainly misleading and intellectually lazy. Which is par for KZread, sure, but I'd hoped for better.

  • @nemnogop

    @nemnogop

    24 күн бұрын

    I guess it depends on the definition you accept, misinformation can be "misleading information". But like 4:47 "Now that we've stablished the volatility of dittos in ultimate from a statistical perspective." oof haha

  • @the_wake_

    @the_wake_

    24 күн бұрын

    Fair, that's pretty bad.

  • @legomyeggo_7244

    @legomyeggo_7244

    24 күн бұрын

    @@the_wake_If top players lost 33% of any set they played, they would not be top players. That’s why it’s so significant that top players lose so much in the ditto. It’s not that hard to comprehend.

  • @lumensmith9787
    @lumensmith978718 күн бұрын

    Honestly, this video hits close to home because I abuse people not knowing their matchups by counter-picking Little Mac in situations I used to pick Luigi since many players don't know the Mac matchup; they incorrectly assume their general understanding of his weaknesses are enough to beat him, and so they pass him off as another low-tier with no options. The thing about Mac is his matchup requires you to know how to play against him speciffically since the things that make him so bad aren't trivial to exploit due to the volatility of his kill potential being so high. Making one or two mistakes in neutral can easily ghost you a stock. Speaking of neuteral, the Mac matchup is notably difficult to wing because it's based almost entirely around forcing Mac - a fast character with a myriad of powerful approaches - to stay in neutral for as much of the game as possible. Mac can be consistently countered with almost any character, given the correct knowledge since he has no consistent methods to force errors in neuteral-game. This would be a huge issue for Mac seeing success if it wasn't for him being a magnet for unforced errors rewarded with a full stock. This is compounds even further because of the Star-Punch - Mac's "comeback" mechanic. The Star-Punch is rather unique because it acts as both a way to close a stock disadvantage, but also as a reward for tight play that can extend you lead even further. The move itself charges with damage dealt and do made taken; it has a shockingly low kill percent and fantastic frame data (and I swear it has a huge disjoint) for a comeback move. The caviot is it can be easily revoked by being dealt miniscule damage, but this usually ends up being an upside because it usually finishes charging around the end of the first stock, meaning that you can potentially be rewarded with a 0 to death stock two. Needless to say, that scares players into taking unnecessary risks in neutral which are the most common way Mac connects a 0 to death. Mac is a fun character who's full of surprises; I highly recommend everybody try learning him. He has some of the most satisfying wins ever.

  • @ErroneousNickname
    @ErroneousNickname22 күн бұрын

    Something else to note thats kinda covered by point 2, but I don't think is emphasized enough is how much data someone learning a character has, and how much that data is effected by the highest represented player playing them. If I want to learn Corrin I watch Shadic, and that is also true for the people under them with that same character. They get so much data from learning their mains from watching the best, that they kinda already have the reads on the player.

  • @waxy_7806
    @waxy_780624 күн бұрын

    Great video! I think one hypothesis worth exploring is that by reviewing VODs of the best player of their character while trying to get better at the game, the underdog gets to know the playstyle and the habits of their top rep. They already have an experience of their opponent before specifically preparing for their bracket.

  • @mitchlel5516
    @mitchlel551622 күн бұрын

    i love the secret base style this video has

  • @mkunited7439
    @mkunited743924 күн бұрын

    I feel like another reason you may have missed comes down to preparation. If you pick a character and want to improve with it the first thing you do is watch every match of the best player at that character. This inadvertently makes you really good against them since you know all their habits and their playstyle inside and out

  • @brendanmohareful
    @brendanmohareful20 күн бұрын

    We need to compare unexpected defeats and game 5's of dittos to upsets and unexpected game 5's in general and by secondary characters for this to be considered notable at all.

  • @Aflay1
    @Aflay120 күн бұрын

    Two biggest lessons: 1. The better player isn't better. They get better (on an even playing field) 2. Some characters are easier to win with than others. Higher tier or not. If you get an advantage, there are many, top level players included, who just can't cope. Therefore, play as characters that can gain that advantage, depreciate that mental stamina. The majority of times, Dittos only influence one thing, and that's the unprecedented first impression. The exceptions, while few, shouldn't be ignored. Refer to lesson 2, you either have to be the better player at taking stocks, or...get ready for a baby slapfight. Also, picking multiple mains is a great idea. If some characters are easier to pick up than others, and happen to complement the playstyle or cover the weaknesses of your main, why not? Who knows? You might have an edge in the ditto that your opponent just ain't.

  • @merozero2818
    @merozero281820 күн бұрын

    First thing i thought when you asked what would be the reasons was the lack of practice on Ditto's, it just made sense to me that, people who main a character rarely plays against them as practice, and in turn end up not performing the best. Very good video! subscribed.

  • @skapenguin
    @skapenguin23 күн бұрын

    I think like you said, usually the top play who set the stand on how a character should be played, is a disadvantage. They usually have more vods on them and the lesser player, probably studies them, where the top player probably hasn't matched as much to understand their habits.

  • @nathanwaterser8218
    @nathanwaterser821813 күн бұрын

    For a lot of characters there's basically 2 or more playstyles that are nowhere near the same and thus you basically have to learn the matchup twice, and in mirror matches that makes it even more volatile Take Pikachu. Pikachu can play passively with t-jolt spam, aggressive by running behind the t-jolt, or bait and punish by abusing how small and hard to hit Pikachu is If you play one way and encounter someone who plays a different way you can't know for certain how your opponent will play

  • @Dareianrc36
    @Dareianrc3621 күн бұрын

    A friend of mine used to play the ditto against one of the PRd players in my region on purpose because that dude always had such a bad mental block in that MU. This was in Brawl.

  • @baddubs2826
    @baddubs282624 күн бұрын

    that steve transition was so stupid I had to sub, that is just way too good

  • @moth_farmer
    @moth_farmer24 күн бұрын

    As a pirahna plant main, I've only gotten 4 mirror matches online.

  • @jeanb.3967
    @jeanb.396710 күн бұрын

    I think this is how you can tell it is a 50:50 match. When even the one who mains it can lose to someone who doesn't.

  • @nighfinite
    @nighfinite18 күн бұрын

    It’s the best way to measure the skill of the player either raw skill, experience in the matchup, raw experience, or skill with the character specifically. It’s fun and perfect.

  • @nutradewar
    @nutradewar24 күн бұрын

    sdg MENTIONED

  • @nutradewar

    @nutradewar

    24 күн бұрын

    ME MENTION JUMPSCARE?????

  • @127marq
    @127marq24 күн бұрын

    Ultimate may have the hardest neutral to learn from any other smash game as the game is dependent on you winning every neutral encounter and knowing when to pick your spots due to lack of hitstun. From Smash 64 - Brawl higher skilled player were almost always going to win. Smash 4 and Ultimate had transitioned into higher IQ players will mostly likely win. Your ability expose a flaw in your opponents game plan is much better than you just being technically better than your opponent in Ultimate, hence why there's so many upsets in Ultimate compared to other smash titles. EX: in Melee a player could know how to beat a match up but it wouldn't matter if you aren't skilled enough in your tech skill to do anything about it.

  • @silaspq
    @silaspq20 күн бұрын

    the puff ditto is actually really fun in ult if you know how to combo floaties, and the puffs advantage against puff is actually insane lol

  • @VengefulCaptain
    @VengefulCaptain15 күн бұрын

    Another one that flew under the radar this year was JeJaJeJa vs WesNile, a battle between a top optimal kirby and a raw parry demon.

  • @dovesr0478
    @dovesr04784 күн бұрын

    Waaaay back in the day we used to joke that Marth dittos in Melee were 0-100 for both players

  • @kofatheballer5539
    @kofatheballer553924 күн бұрын

    The fact that you watched Steve AND Rob dittos for this video shows major dedication💯

  • @givecamichips
    @givecamichips14 күн бұрын

    I was perfectly willing to accept that the Jigglypuff ditto was the rarest match in Smash Ultimate

  • @worldscoolestperson7672
    @worldscoolestperson767216 күн бұрын

    “Exceptionally shorter lifespan” …An exception to what?

  • @NetullaGD
    @NetullaGD24 күн бұрын

    As a kirby main, the ditto matchup is 80-20 (opponents favour) because you can't get a free ability

  • @djdrizzy9139

    @djdrizzy9139

    24 күн бұрын

    Kirby's hardest mu is Kirby. Not even because of a lack of copy, but Kirby can space out himself lol.

  • @NetullaGD

    @NetullaGD

    22 күн бұрын

    @@djdrizzy9139 real

  • @wendewang673
    @wendewang67319 күн бұрын

    i really like the jon bois-style of presentation here!

  • @momoatsuko727
    @momoatsuko72720 күн бұрын

    as always, incredible scoring on these videos

  • @ByrneBaby
    @ByrneBaby22 күн бұрын

    I think dittos are also harder because of the mental/ego perspective and how advantage and disadvantage works. I think all of us at some point, have faced a worse player of our mains and thought "they're not as good as me, I shouldn't lose this," or something to that effect, and then proceeded to play somewhat differently, either with less aggression or just in a generally more lax way, trying to "prove" you're the better user of the character, and I sorely doubt top players are exempt from this. On the flip side, offense and defense are two halves of every character. They all exist on the spectrum of how well they can push advantage and how easily they can survive disadvantage... And this duality applies to the dittos. Roy, for example, excels at pushing his offense via momentum and keeping his opponent in disadvantage and forcing mistakes to capitalize off of with GIGA damage... But then if he can't get his foot in the door, he struggles in disadvantage and eventually loses after sharking about trying to find an opening and getting hit too much. Now apply the mental aspect to that example, and think about the "better" Roy slowing down or being more methodical in the ditto, consciously trying to apply more "skill" to their play instead of just playing, and thus making more mistakes and allowing more openings while they try to prove themselves, and you get a "better" Roy in disadvantage more often and making more mistakes and eventually losing to the "worse" Roy... And if this trend is common enough, you get a notable amount of "worse" players winning the ditto... Maybe even a third of them. I can't say for sure that this applies to EVERY ditto, but it makes sense on paper. In fact, it makes sense for an "optimal" specialist to barely feel a need to adapt exponentially on the fly, especially against a "lesser" player. But then they lose and start winning the ditto again because their mental awareness expands.

  • @Its_1cy
    @Its_1cy23 күн бұрын

    UNLESS WERE TALKING ABOUT BRAWL SNAKE WHICH HAS A 60-40 MATCHUP AGAINST HIMSELF

  • @yourmissingfather778
    @yourmissingfather77811 күн бұрын

    THIS IS SO FACTS IT HURTS

  • @electricssb
    @electricssb24 күн бұрын

    Left cloud is better than right cloud according to whydo so yeah!

  • @GrumpySylveon
    @GrumpySylveon23 күн бұрын

    6:23 why is he so stanced up lmaooo

  • @plasjan8592
    @plasjan859211 сағат бұрын

    You explain that the data shows that the underdog wins the ditto ~1/3 of the time, but how often does the underdog win in non-ditto matchups? Without knowing that number, we can't actually say whether dittos differ from non-dittos in this regard at all.

  • @vaxildagger
    @vaxildagger24 күн бұрын

    bottom corner of minute 4's graph just showing how marss dominates the ditto lol

  • @DoritoTime
    @DoritoTime23 күн бұрын

    The Sonic ditto is extremely frustrating for me. I’m the “A button Sonic” so the other Sonic just spins back and forth while I’m at center stage playing it like any other character would

  • @Solr05
    @Solr0522 күн бұрын

    I sure hope I don’t run into a mirror match, I play ice climbers

  • @gedster
    @gedster22 күн бұрын

    walt thank you for reminding me to rewatch light vs kaninabe

  • @JediBusouSonic
    @JediBusouSonic22 күн бұрын

    As someone who prominently played Ike in Smash 4, and a bit in Ultimate. He is his own worst enemy at times, but thats also because Ike's recovery is easily gimped by counter. (among other things unless Ike recovers basically frame perfect). So it was just always kind of a funny MU.

  • @joeymusselman8643
    @joeymusselman864324 күн бұрын

    I propose a fourth reason, underdog learned the game watching film of top player so they know their habits better.

  • @YourAverageLink
    @YourAverageLink23 күн бұрын

    When I played Rivals, one of my least favorite matchups was the Forsburn ditto. Feels like a winning matchup for the opponent lol

  • @srdjan455
    @srdjan45519 күн бұрын

    Keep tracking of which character is yours could also be a element in ditto matches that influence the match up.

  • @vgrants1717
    @vgrants171721 күн бұрын

    Me, a Plant main: I don’t have such weaknesses.

  • @jaxon3186
    @jaxon31867 күн бұрын

    Me facing MKLeo and picking his own main: I am... inevitable

  • @wusstunes
    @wusstunes22 күн бұрын

    TurnBrawlForWalt

  • @thedangerroom7747
    @thedangerroom774720 күн бұрын

    I'd say "Worse player wins the ditto" points more to Smash players obsession with player stats and how they can't wrap their heads around players beating players they "shouldn't".

  • @Paralellex
    @Paralellex20 күн бұрын

    Only kinda related, but mirror matches in card games are always delightfully degenerate. It's such a weird combination of high skill required but also a lot of luck to win those, because once you're put on the backburner you need to know exactly what's required to claw your way back to a winning position and also get lucky enough to do so.

  • @scottrandolph9629
    @scottrandolph962910 күн бұрын

    Really cool video, I loved it! This is how all matchups should be viewed imo tho. Not every matchup is a set thing, thats why so many players disagree on character matchups. Its all playstyle, experience with the matchup, and skill. (With a bit of character diff as well)

  • @souledgekirby
    @souledgekirby2 күн бұрын

    Ah yes, the world's worst swordsman wins again.

  • @SKsuprakirby
    @SKsuprakirby20 күн бұрын

    At least the Kirby ditto is a true 50/50 because like a true 50/50 MU, it doesn't exist.

  • @cringewyrm
    @cringewyrm16 күн бұрын

    THAT TIME SHUTON DOWN AIRED A PIKMIN

  • @BarderBetterFasterStronger
    @BarderBetterFasterStronger24 күн бұрын

    Man, I can't believe Prezi has stayed relevant since like 2010.

  • @RuneTacticss
    @RuneTacticss7 күн бұрын

    Kola the man to always win the dittos in big tourneys

  • @666blaziken
    @666blaziken20 күн бұрын

    As a melee Pikachu player, I get a lot of groans when I want to ditto someone just because most pikachus like to combo and the ditto has little to no combos in it.

  • @brzt4256
    @brzt425624 күн бұрын

    Calling it a "ditto" isn't a Pokemon reference, or at least it shouldn't be. Ditto is how English pronounce the Latin word 'dito', which means the same, usually in the context of 'idem dito', which has the same meaning.

  • @colinrussell2857

    @colinrussell2857

    17 күн бұрын

    Man i wonder if thats how a pokemon that copies another pokemon got its name, thats crazy

  • @mago474
    @mago4743 күн бұрын

    Now I'm extremely curious about pyra and mythra

  • @Sporca_
    @Sporca_18 күн бұрын

    14:05 I love the touch of adding the Shulk clip here

  • @usagiwerd6664
    @usagiwerd666424 күн бұрын

    I had to do something but 14:09 this was what I thought so glad I heard your opinion on that

  • @icenovice
    @icenovice22 күн бұрын

    steve dittos are just minecraft servers

  • @pika4668
    @pika466822 күн бұрын

    banger video I'm loving this stuff

  • @elesfinter9753
    @elesfinter975324 күн бұрын

    Another reason why this happens could be that top players can be easily sniped since it is the source of the most optimal playstyle. Players can just find a playstyle that counters that easily available information

  • @smoceany9478
    @smoceany947814 күн бұрын

    the melee G&W ditto is 40:6 0, ive never met a single person who isnt bad at the ditto

  • @securatyyy
    @securatyyy24 күн бұрын

    ...and then, charizard. I laughed

  • @memenazi7078

    @memenazi7078

    24 күн бұрын

    Charizard is good

  • @charlesdaugherty321
    @charlesdaugherty3212 күн бұрын

    You will naturally expect a mirror player to play the way you play. If they don't, you will be on the back foot. Constantly on the back foot, forever miss reading. It's that simple.

  • @drip5653
    @drip565319 күн бұрын

    as a peach main, the player who keeps advantage for the longest wins

  • @Lord_Marquaad
    @Lord_Marquaad4 күн бұрын

    I think it's like the lefty fencer dilemma. Where even lefty fencers struggle against a lefty

  • @klewis1373
    @klewis137324 күн бұрын

    Top players hate their characters so much that they play the ditto as if they’re playing against a low tier. I think that may be a factor as well

  • @SomeoneNooneTomatoes
    @SomeoneNooneTomatoes8 сағат бұрын

    I play Mii gunner so I’m safe from the ditto curse.

  • @YoyMcFroy
    @YoyMcFroy4 күн бұрын

    I hate dittos because it's always my least known matchup

  • @SmoothButtr
    @SmoothButtr24 күн бұрын

    Another banger!

  • @kennybosefus
    @kennybosefus5 күн бұрын

    I wonder if Cloud's cross slash being different from left to right or right to left is mentioned. Not really an issue when you can cross up... but still...

  • @mrhalfsaid1389
    @mrhalfsaid138915 күн бұрын

    Honestly it's insane that a game where your own character is one of your worst matchups is just an accepted thing. It's so dumb, but that's why it's smash, isn't it

  • @FrostburnICS
    @FrostburnICS3 күн бұрын

    The ice climbers matchup is 40:40

  • @thatmspaintgirl
    @thatmspaintgirl23 күн бұрын

    The Hungrybox "upset" is actual the reasonable conclusion to come to. He has been playing against other Jigglypuffs in Melee for decades, a game with 25 characters of which maybe 9 are playable, one of which happens to be Jigglypuff. Anyone with a brain could have seen this coming.

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