Marshall Brain on Robotics and Employment

Ғылым және технология

Marshall Brain speculates on how robots will change the economy and replace human workers. At Singularity Summit 2008.

Пікірлер: 42

  • @shishirscanter
    @shishirscanter5 жыл бұрын

    It is 2019, we are really at the verge of what he warned us about.

  • @efortune357
    @efortune35711 жыл бұрын

    Some great books on this trend of Technological Unemployment are "The End of Work" by Jeremy Rifkin or "The Lights in the Tunnel" by Martin Ford, and "Race Against the Machine" by Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee

  • @rebekah9758

    @rebekah9758

    2 жыл бұрын

    A great debate featuring Martin Ford kzread.info/dash/bejne/hKhkrbGpZbjPcaw.html

  • @Gigaloader
    @Gigaloader11 жыл бұрын

    Further we mostly have just changed human behavior or the environment. For example - If I go to an automated cash register in a supermarket...I now have to do the work of swiping the products myself. So the worker was in actuality never replaced, because I have to do his job now by swiping and bagging on my own! In the future this won't be necessary due to rfid. But truth is that the task what a human did was never replaced by a computer or robot - we just steamlined processes.

  • @MattHOMESchoolHelp
    @MattHOMESchoolHelp11 жыл бұрын

    im 15 and learning robotics right now. on my own.

  • @vaultsjan
    @vaultsjan10 жыл бұрын

    6:09 i am sure at some point Mr Brains kids would much rather appreciate Barney the purple dinosaur than their dad.

  • @42fontenator
    @42fontenator10 жыл бұрын

    Is Brain his real name?

  • @efortune357
    @efortune357 Жыл бұрын

    Quote: 17:29 “We, in creating the second intelligent species, should be creating the most wonderful thing that has ever happened to human beings. Finally, we’re going to be released from all these mundane jobs. And in theory we should all be able to go on perpetual vacation. The robots do all the work and we sit back and enjoy it. Instead, because of the way the economy is structured right now, when the second intelligent species arrives it’s going to have a devastating effect on all of us. Not just the people who actually do lose their jobs but everybody who’s around them because there will be so many unemployed people dumping into the marketplace. The thing I would like to encourage us to do is to think about how do we want to structure the economy given that we know this is going to happen. There is no doubt that truck drivers will be out of jobs in, pick a time frame. There’s no doubt. Wal-Mart workers they’re all going to be out of jobs. Construction workers, all of them. There’s no doubt that’s going to happen. So, are we going to let it happen or are we going to restructure the economy so that we can all go on perpetual vacation? I submit to you that we actually get to make that choice if we take it upon ourselves to do it. And we could actually redesign the economy to make that happen. And I think we should. We should redesign the way the economy works so that we all get the benefits of all this automation. So, how might you do that? You would spread the benefits of productivity increases to everyone. You would not let it all flow up to the CEO, who’s making five hundred million dollars a year or whatever ridiculous number they make. You would spread it out to everyone. You would break that concentration of wealth. You would increase pay for everybody. You would start reducing the workweek. You would actually say hey, this 40 hour workweek we’ve had it forever let’s make it 35, then 30, then 20 until we’re all on perpetual vacation. ~Marshall Brain Founder of HowStuffWorks, host of “Factory Floor with Marshall Brain” on National Geographic, Director of the Engineering Entrepreneurs Program at NCSU Author of “Manna”

  • @vain911
    @vain91110 жыл бұрын

    Why do they have bipedal..why not make LCD monitors with a avatar with non-humanoids delivering your?

  • @normbograham
    @normbograham6 жыл бұрын

    What happens when machines can 3d print a home with concrete? Whoa.

  • @vrshowdown
    @vrshowdown11 жыл бұрын

    yay for me

  • @knucklesamidge
    @knucklesamidge11 жыл бұрын

    Yeah so all 7 billion of us will be game developers. Genius. We can't all have creative jobs

  • @AmazingArends
    @AmazingArends11 жыл бұрын

    Why was the questioner so hostile? I thought guests at Singularity Summits were believers in technological progress. Secondly, did the speaker mean to say we are entering another recession in 2005 or 2015?? Thirdly, early robots won't look like people. They will look like giant mechanical arms or oversized Roombas. Humanoid robots are farther off in the future.

  • @Aphex217Twin

    @Aphex217Twin

    3 жыл бұрын

    This was in 2008

  • @TheodoreBolha
    @TheodoreBolha10 жыл бұрын

    We'll make great pets... we'll make great pets!

  • @SloveintzWend
    @SloveintzWend9 жыл бұрын

    Do you guys really think those CEO's are gonna let their wealth redistributed with all those robots (terminators) around? You wish.

  • @vrshowdown
    @vrshowdown11 жыл бұрын

    lets not forget 3d printing

  • @runvnc208
    @runvnc2084 жыл бұрын

    Andrew Yang for president

  • @volta2aire
    @volta2aire4 жыл бұрын

    Every species goes extinct in time. That includes the one that imagined it was intelligent enough to escape that fate.

  • @RedmotionGames
    @RedmotionGames6 жыл бұрын

    All governments will need to introduce high taxing of companies whose income is largely generated by AI in order to fund a universal income or similar system. It cannot be a one-ended wealth extraction scenario. Economies are eco-systems that only work because wealth circulates around from the bottom to the top. If the bottom falls away - in the same way a natural ecosystem with an overly-dominant species is affected - the whole system will collapse.

  • @Ace1000ks19751982
    @Ace1000ks1975198210 жыл бұрын

    We can't redesign the economy that is up to the policy makers. We also have a capitalist economy. The people at the top will not share their wealth with the masses.

  • @FrankFloresRGVZGM
    @FrankFloresRGVZGM9 жыл бұрын

    The self destructive trends of capitalism are inevitably going to come to fruition. Please investigate a resource based economy.

  • @Gigaloader
    @Gigaloader11 жыл бұрын

    The main reason why it looks like - automation - has made MAN made obsolete is because we have standardized products and processes. It has very little to do with intelligence of robots or machines.

  • @Tudor4398
    @Tudor439810 жыл бұрын

    Too bad they didn't accord more time to that issue they were discussing at the end. That 1 question. The way I see it will be fucking scary. I'm not a pessimist. But I think they'll keep it going on , more and more people will have no jobs, until they have no choice but to do something about it, when too many people will have no jobs. It doesn't matter how cheap their products will be thanks to automation. If people won't have jobs, they won't have money at all to buy their products.

  • @Aphex217Twin

    @Aphex217Twin

    3 жыл бұрын

    no man, universal basic income!

  • @erenthia
    @erenthia11 жыл бұрын

    the guy with the question didn't even present a remotely good argument. The Industrial Revolution largely displaced the usefulness of human muscle power. AI and Robotics will displace the usefulness of human intelligence and creativity. What's left?

  • @movieguy992

    @movieguy992

    7 жыл бұрын

    Exactly. What do people think will be leftover? I get that we have cried wolf before on this issue of tech replacing people but this time is different. We have never had this much tech hitting this many jobs all at the same time.

  • @pranksterpinkiepie
    @pranksterpinkiepie10 жыл бұрын

    Slavery will disappear, but so will employment... but then again employment is a form of slavery. Who will own the means of production?

  • @Zoza15
    @Zoza1511 жыл бұрын

    Most intelligent jobs will Always belongs to humans. Robots can take all practical jobs, but not jobs that are more suited for us. I dont see a goddamn robot developing a AAA FPS title, im talking about gamedevelopment.

  • @IsuAsenjo

    @IsuAsenjo

    7 жыл бұрын

    Morph Verse three years later and AI is already developing games on its own

  • @Aphex217Twin

    @Aphex217Twin

    3 жыл бұрын

    A.I will probably develop most of the stuff, and humans, if we merge with the A.I

  • @Zoza15

    @Zoza15

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@Aphex217Twin and 8 year old comment, and everything has changed. My point of view about A.I is now different too.

  • @withermusic8950
    @withermusic895011 жыл бұрын

    Wouldn't it be better for the planet if only 1% of the population get to go on vacation and the rest of the people disappear?

  • @Lamplighter4712
    @Lamplighter47126 жыл бұрын

    I definitely think robots can assist people . but i think these guys are way off in many areas .. robots cannot handle abbherrencies and they are only capable of concrete processes and will not be able to abstract .. so i do not think they will work well in the service industry ...computers have one 2 process 0 and 1 ... on and off creating electrical pathways .. but when an abherrancy occurs they will be lacking and still do .. self check out is not working well . people still need help

  • @MrSammo1
    @MrSammo111 жыл бұрын

    Number slavery is going away.

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