Thanks for your information helps in making Derby selections. Good work !

the greatest 2 minutes in sports , and its about all the real sports left .

@question_it_701

Ай бұрын

It's getting worse. Horses are now raced to be bred. Back in the day, they used to be bred to be raced. When it was like that, horses stuck around and raced to age 4 or 5. Great horses at 3, seldom race at 4. I think its b.s.

Great Information 👍

Thank you so much for your hard work. The info that you put out is unique, and well done. Jessica's show last year was extremely informative and well remembered out of all the shows I watched on the KD. I am looking forward to it. Thank you again.

If We Believe Just Steel Is A Bounce Candidate, We’re Saying Wayne Lucas Is Not The Master He’s Known To Be

@danangeletti3351

Ай бұрын

I believe Just Steele has been a cut under some of these horses but that second to muth was a big race.He about fell twice turning for home and top of stretch. Not sure why the big improvement. He has not been consistent

@gretafields4706

Ай бұрын

I read an article where Lucas said that they "had to get after him". He looked to have so much potential, but kept disappointing me at the end of races. Maybe he just doesnt know or care to get ahead of other horses. He should win more, imo.

@esmondrose5294

Ай бұрын

According to race pattern and breeding this horse is a race horse.Definately can respond to tough competition as shown in his unlucky tangle to keep running fast behind a great looking Muth.Also another one bred by Justify is Just A Touch who looks like the real deal with better rating tactics now. Both dangerous to run eacta along with Stronghold and Track Phantom,MYSTIK DAN for the trifecta.

Will you be doing the final furlough, eighth , and 16th time for each horse like last year. Was extremely helpful.

@vernonfrance2974

Ай бұрын

@raychun7496 I believe that Brisnet gives the speed ratings based on different speed a horse ran at different stages in the race. Where can you get the Brisnet speed ratings?

@question_it_701

Ай бұрын

It's a furlong. And a furlong is an eighth mile.

@raychun7496

Ай бұрын

@@vernonfrance2974 Mahalo for the info. Good luck.

@raychun7496

Ай бұрын

@@question_it_701 Mahalo for the clarification. I believe Jennie Rees had a chart of the info I'm seeking last year in a Horse Racing Nation post.

I started a reply earlier but lost it guy to continue The Lexington gives us zEncino. I LIKE 👍 alot! I hope he gets in.Elaine Acosta

Fierceness, Sierra Leone, Just A Touch, Catching Freedom, Honor Marie. If Fierceness gets a fast start. IMHO.

Nice informative video

Random Comment: If you want to see a brutal schedule.... take a look at Charismatic 1999. 14 races under his belt before the KD. Also, raced 6 races in 3 months-- between 3/6/1999 and 6/5/1999. And of course, came up lame on 6/5/1999 in Belmont.

Mint Juleps and Hot Brown sandwiches while I think Resilience is the one to watch.

Stronghold slowly and surely , good e/w on Derby Day ..😊😊😊

I notice some experts talk about Ragozin Sheets. Is anyone at liberty to give an opinion and/or explain what they mean and how they are arrived at? I know that they were developed by a man with the surname Ragozin and the lower the number the higher the horse's speed was rated. They also talk about pairing two races in a row as being good. Zero is considered "perfect." I heard it said that Forever Young has paired 6's.

Great information here about how to make your decisions , how to make a good pick for a winner And how to 💰 in.Blessings to everyone from God.Elaine Acosta

Fierceness, Sierra Leone, Honor Marie, Resilience, Just a Touch

Thanks Craig for this excellent analysis for the speed figures. I see Fierceness has improved his speed figures

Does brisnet factor in field size with their speed ratings? Given the Derby is a 20 horse field, I would be more impressed by a 100 speed figure in a field of 12 versus a 100 speed figure in a field of 7 or 8.

Im still on fierceness sierra Leone second

Why didn’t you mention fierceness on the bounce list because he bounce after every win

So your chart with days off...it doesn't have the Kentucky Derby as the last date - correct? My math says, for example, that if you put another column in there with Kentucky Day, that Fierceness would say 35 days. Catching Freedom 42 days. Endlessly 35 days. Sierra Leone 28 days. Resilience 28 days, I guess I'm just confirming that Derby day is not in your chart, and I wanted to clarify that for other subscribers. Love your channel! Keep it up!

@derbyologist

Ай бұрын

Yes I will clarify that for Derby as we run it closer to race will add that column

I did not see Track Phatom on graph charts of day away chart.

Really interesting

@derbyologist

Ай бұрын

Thanks for watching.

Really intetesting.

Do final fractions with brisnet late pace.

@derbyologist

Ай бұрын

Yes I will be doing those next week.

Just a Touch could follow in his daddy's footsteps to become only the 3rd horse in a century to win the derby after having not raced as a two year old. So it's tough to analyze , but Muth did it also last year, albeit against a soft field.

Does rain influence the speed figures

@lou__13

Ай бұрын

If a horse loves the slop over a dry track absolutely

@fredk9999

Ай бұрын

I think “track conditions “

Hey Derby O ' ! To me- Fierceness & Sierra Leone look good. Who do U prefer ? !

@derbyologist

25 күн бұрын

Maybe Fierceness at this point. Have to see how post positions and weather

Like Pletcher Said Fierceness Has Something In Reserve, Suggesting He’s Yet To Improve On His 2Yo Form

@deanalbertson7203

Ай бұрын

Fierceness needs a fast start, no bumping, no traffic. Wire to wire. Can he do it? We shall see.

my math says Track Phatom sitting on a win on derby day. 😂

Can mystik Dan get 1 1/4 Derby??

@derbyologist

Ай бұрын

It's going to be a challenge since they change his style to a closing style he has a better chance.

@oscarrivera474

Ай бұрын

@@derbyologist love u show, very helpful

@esmondrose5294

Ай бұрын

Yes Mystik Dan (101)running style reminds me of Secret Oaths big three furlong move and if track wet he could go on from Track Phantom (97)-106 weary speed on Fierceness(106) - 93 and Dornoch(94) forward approaches now.. However Steve Assumsen is dead serious about breaking his Derby Jinks and D.Wayne Lucas looking for a send off last Hoorah years of greatness with Just steel (96) (Justify).Note the Assumsen flavors either way Daddy,Son and Hall of famer connections to Lucas trained mentoring.

I don't use any pace or speed figures of any of these publication. I created my own for that.

I KD,The Lucky Horse,,will WIN In Preakness,The Fastest Horse I'm Belmont,The Horse with the Stamina (Breeding) Last,POST POSITION is Important Factor..

Seems to be a little too scientific for me. It’s artful and we cannot use numbers as a predictor

@vernonfrance2974

Ай бұрын

You are right that these numbers by themselves are not predictors. They show how fast the horse ran in that particular race. The times posted on the tote board are not comparable from track to track because some tracks are longer and others shorter. Even under different weather conditions the speed of the track may change even on the same day. Speed figures take these differences in to account. If certain trends are noted, these can be used to predict. Brisnet also gives numbers for the speed that a horse ran at different stages in the race. This enables us to see if the horse is fast early or late or runs evenly. Because if the greater length of the Derby, the ability to run fast late in a race is a positive indication. It is more scientific and that is a good thing.

POP 🎉AND FLOP = Fierceness 😂😢😂😮😮😮 Lookout