On the thumbnail, which is a photo taken at a recent COP climate conference, I appear to be a napper while James Hansen appears to be dapper!! Hot off the presses; today’s exciting news flash is a new letter by the esteemed Sir James Hansen. If I was the King of England, I would certainly knight this brilliant climate scientist. If I was asked to name my most admired climate person, I would have to say James (sorry Greta). Guess who is second?? Yes Virginia, there is an acceleration of global warming since 2010, with 99% probability. If you don’t know about James and his work, start here: www.google.ca/search?q=james+hansen&sca_esv=17f8a8f7a4f95661&source=hp&ei=xdtGZseuCYOfptQP8Iuq2A0&oq=james+hansen&gs_lp=EhFtb2JpbGUtZ3dzLXdpei1ocCIMamFtZXMgaGFuc2VuMgUQLhiABDIFEAAYgAQyBRAAGIAEMgUQABiABDIFEAAYgAQyBRAAGIAEMgUQABiABDIFEC4YgARIkzJQ7QpYuy5wAngAkAEAmAGXAaABuAuqAQQwLjEyuAEDyAEA-AEBmAIOoALrDKgCFMICBRApGKABwgIKECkYgAQYQxiKBcICBRApGIAEwgICECnCAhAQKRgDGOUCGOoCGIwDGI8BwgIQEAAYAxjlAhjqAhiMAxiPAcICEBAuGAMY5QIY6gIYjAMYjwHCAhEQLhiABBiRAhixAxiDARiKBcICCxAAGIAEGJECGIoFwgIOEC4YgAQYsQMYgwEYigXCAggQLhiABBixA8ICCxAAGIAEGLEDGIMBwgIKEAAYgAQYQxiKBcICChAuGIAEGEMYigXCAg4QLhiABBiRAhixAxiKBcICEBAuGIAEGLEDGEMYgwEYigXCAg4QABiABBiRAhixAxiKBcICCBAAGIAEGLEDwgILEC4YgAQYsQMYgwGYAw2SBwQyLjEyoAeegQE&sclient=mobile-gws-wiz-hp If you want to see his recent letters, then look here: www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/ For a direct link to his most recent writings, here is the scoop: www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2024/MayEmail.2024.05.16.pdf To support my work, please donate to my PayPal at PaulBeckwith.net or find me on Patreon, as I connect the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem. By the way, you are my second favourite climate personality. Yes you. Why? Because you are watching this video, commenting on it, and sharing it to at least one friend. Oh, and hopefully donating to support my efforts. One supporter sent me 8 lbs of nuts. I must say that when eating them I feel a bit like a cannibal. After all, aren’t I the biggest nutter (affectionate British slang) of them all!!

@ExtinctionLife

20 күн бұрын

Paul you may be a nutter but you're looking rather dapper yourself in that thumbnail. You look quite a bit younger in it, must be the nuts 🐿️

@jj6148

20 күн бұрын

Could you make a video about the storm in Houston? It looked insane.

@joeymurdazalotmore6355

20 күн бұрын

stfu , Nazi spell check , way more news worthy than the info, this planet is doomed how dumb are they now

@Tommytightlips

20 күн бұрын

Hahahaha, love you Paul, been following you for 6 years or something, along with guy and all the truth tellers! If you re not a bit nutz at this stage then somethings wrong

@musicaismylovica

20 күн бұрын

You got a climate crush on James Hanson. Bromance afoot. 😂

It's always worse than previously anticipated, go figure.

@odoylerules4503

20 күн бұрын

thats the fun of using lagging indicators and data blindspots

@christinavuyk2026

20 күн бұрын

That’s the fun of having a society with their heads in the sand 😕

@proudchristian77

20 күн бұрын

U know what, beautiful little children have been getting hurt for yrs, we don't get away with stuff, y all this it's almost payday for thugs of this world! We grew up with some ! & were older now , but here it is ! In real time too ! U know little kids cannot stop grown ups , but He can & will too !, 💝🚴‍♀️

@JdTaylor-xf4bc

20 күн бұрын

That's commonsense.

@russmarkham2197

20 күн бұрын

that's easy. There is an optimism bias in the forecasts. Scientists funded by fossil fuel lobby. Scientist groupthink. James Hansen however is courageous enough and old enough to tell it exactly how he sees it. Same with Paul.

The scariest data point is the percentage of people who have no concept of what we have brought upon ourselves. Naive passive innocence won't help. Humans are not exempt from extinction.

@QT5656

17 күн бұрын

Not just naïve, willfully ignorant, conceited, and dismissive.

I don't know where we'd be without people like you, Paul. Cheers.

@1237barca

20 күн бұрын

Same place as we are now.

@clivemossmoon3611

19 күн бұрын

You'd be living your life instead of being addicted to fear porn. James Hansen's prediction record is 0 for 100. But the self-loathing cultists still believe.

@1237barca

17 күн бұрын

@@clivemossmoon3611 what are his 100 incorrect predictions

@ceeemm1901

12 күн бұрын

@@clivemossmoon3611 The science is a bit beyond you medieval peasants.Just stick to your blood-letting and the flat earth will look after itself just fine.

@ceeemm1901

12 күн бұрын

@@1237barca Yeah, FKD.....

Guy McPherson explored this outcome years ago and that we are in runaway-turns out he was a little late, but he nailed it. Actually we could be at 2.5C by 2027!!!

@MrGman6897

18 күн бұрын

Does that mean we could be nudging 3 degrees before 2050?

@Polymath9000

17 күн бұрын

​@@MrGman6897Possibly even earlier.

@flyingtoaster1427

15 күн бұрын

Didn't he predict his death would come with the rest of humanity in 2026?

@gumpyflyale2542

15 күн бұрын

2016 plus or minus 3 years except that's not gonna happen is made up live your life have children there is no climate crisis

@gumpyflyale2542

15 күн бұрын

​@flyingtoaster1427 yes 2016 plus or minus 3 years BOE yet the record low is 2012

If only I could have been in that thumbnail photo in full doom wizard attire.

Q: How does an entire species commit suicide at once? A: Climate change without mitigation.

12 month running mean is over 1.65 now. (Vs 1850-1900) Vs pre-industrial that puts us over 2 for the last 12 months.

@frinoffrobis

20 күн бұрын

thank you for using the pertinent dates .. 👍

@randyrapaport2806

20 күн бұрын

We in runaway to be presently sure.

@reuireuiop0

17 күн бұрын

... though indeed, as both the paper and Mr Beckwith mention, we're coming out of a strong El Nino, aerosol cooking effect has decreased because Marine shipping emit less sulphur, _and_ current solar max also seems to be quite severe. Last time solar was so strong, Europe had its hottest summer in decades. So remains to be seen whether these rising top temps are here to stay, or we might be in for another temporary temp standstill like after the 1999 El Nino and 2003 Solar Max...

What we actually want to know, Hansen fails to mention, for political reasons, because it means we are utterly doomed within a very short time, and Hansen is worried both about being criticised and blacklisted, and he doesnt want to prematurely destablize society via public panic. We need to know how much global temperature rise there will be in each decade, between now and 2200, based on projected greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere and based on the current rate of global heating accelleration, and then based on the projected rate of accelleration increase. Global heating accelleration rate is increasing due to both increasing emmissions, and the increasing temperature catalyzing more heating from the dozen powerful climate feedbacks already triggered. My projections are below for temp rise per decade, based on estimated accelleration rate increase: I am not a mathematition. 2014-2024-- 0.3c 2024-2034-- 0.39c 2034-2044-- 0.52c 2044-2054-- 0.75c 2054-2064-- 1.1c 2064-2074-- 2.c 2074-2084-- 4c 2194-2204-- 300c Obviously, the increase of the accelleration rate will not be constant as civilization collapses and as climate feedbacks become tapped out. For example, when all the subsea methane is thawed and released, there will be no more heating coming from the subsea methane feedback, and global heating accelleration will decrease from that factor. Also, when all the ice caps and glaciers have permanently dissappeared, there will be no more global heating accelleration from the Ice Albido climate feedback. When the oceans have completely evaporated, there will be no more accelleration of global heating coming from the water vapor climate feedback, because there will be no liquid water left evaporate. All of the water on earth will be in the form of water vapor, the most powerful greenhouse there is.

@abody499

20 күн бұрын

😂

@christinearmington

20 күн бұрын

When will the Annunaki overlords step in? Maybe we should follow their example sooner than later and pulverize all the gold to shield us.

@vaunniethayer1484

20 күн бұрын

Tragic

@michaeldeierhoi4096

18 күн бұрын

I thought you might like to know that you make at least two irrelevant assertions toward the end of your comment. When when you state "when all the ice caps and glaciers have melted". That won't happen for hundreds of years. And the oceans won't evaporate for thousands of years and only if warming continues. So that point is even less relevant to mention. Let's just deal with the current reality shell we?

@ceeemm1901

12 күн бұрын

"I am not a mathematition"...not a spellitaitionist either, haha.

OT, but I think Canadians teach humility well. When I was a junior hockey player in Michigan, we would go to Canada to play our compatriots. The Canadian families would board us. The Canadian teams would beat us by double digits but congratulate us for playing so well and trying so hard. I'm also reminded of the humility of the great pianist Glenn Gould. Canada has changed, I know. It seems now as hubristic as the rest of the West. For whatever reason, though, Paul reminds me of the Canada of old, a country that acted like we are all in this together.

I’m moving to Florida where there is no Climate Change thanks to DeathSantos

@Patrick_Ross

20 күн бұрын

You are moving to Florida why?! Surely some friends or family are trying to talk some sense into you?! Listen to them!🤪

@gumpyflyale2542

20 күн бұрын

2016 Plus or minus 3 years

@wadeinn463

20 күн бұрын

@@Patrick_Ross i was kidding.. We just sold our home in FL last year. Got hit by Ian and didn’t want the stress any more. This last winter in Michigan wasn’t bad at all, hardly any snow. No reason to spend winters in FL anymore. Snowbirds are going extinct.

@benevolencia4203

20 күн бұрын

@@wadeinn463 congratulations on successfully exiting Florida. I sold my house in Florida last year too, and moved my family back up north (Great Lakes region) This past winter has been “mild” here to say the least. My human “normalcy bias” made me wish that everything was, or would be OK in Florida. But my gut instincts told me to get me and mine out of the south last June 1st. Then sold everything, and was on the AutoTrain headed north overnight by mid August. 🫡 So long Florida, it was nice knowing you, but I don’t want to spend anymore time, effort, or money with you.

@reuireuiop0

17 күн бұрын

Doesn't have Fl _all_ it's citizen pay for hurricane related damage, instead of having them rich folk in their multi multi $ beachfront properties pay up for living dangerously?

You Earthlings never had a chance because you could never control yourselves.

@OldJackWolf

8 күн бұрын

I donno... We report to work everyday and raise kids, etc. I think its more about the corrupt systems we have and how polluters can get off Scott free.

@BradleyWinter-ih7ns

6 күн бұрын

I think you and the "letters from earth" guy? (Satan, maybe, maybe not) I think your both right.

Lol, the nuts bit was hilarious. Love ya, Paul!

Hey Paul, you know we all love you, brother, but I need to express my profound disagreement with you regarding the efficacy and the wisdom of geo engineering! While it may have a short term masking effect, long-term it will green light business as usual. Not only will this result in continued carbon loading but it will extend overshoot which is the real existential threat.

@russmarkham2197

20 күн бұрын

I think you are underestimating the consequences of doing nothing - other than the global geo-engineering that humans are already doing through massive CO2 emissions! At least, there needs to be research into the options. Doing nothing dooms our civilization, since there is no way humans are going to reduce CO2 emissions in any meaningful way, whatever happens.

@unbiasedthoughts7875

20 күн бұрын

I wish more people could see this. You are 100% correct. The argument for using geo-engineering is to continue BAU.

@russmarkham2197

20 күн бұрын

@@unbiasedthoughts7875 i have the opposite opinion. Yes, overshoot is an existential problem but overshoot is going to happen anyway. And the climate change threat is the most immediate and dire consequence of overshoot. If we do nothing about it, our civilization is doomed due to climate change. Humans are already doing a huge geo-engineering project by emitting massive quantities of CO2. And that is not going to change. CO2 emissions will keep going up. Desperate times call for desperate measures, or at least research into the options.

@unbiasedthoughts7875

20 күн бұрын

@@russmarkham2197 we deserve everything that’s coming to us and more. How many innocent wild animals have humans obliterated in the name of “progress”? The creatures that help keep our environment healthy and stable…ya know, those ones… You have a very anthropogenic outlook. Another reason humanity finds itself in deep shit. It’s all about preserving our civilization - screw the living world right?

@johnziggykelleher4871

20 күн бұрын

park ,Sulfur aerosols will do the same harm as acid rain. No mention of acidifying of the oceans and death of life within. Paul your denial of the spraying I see everyday shows you are not wanting to disagree with the government.

It looks like we’ve got 3 more years …No more tears, enjoy every minute … tic toc 😅

Paul knows what he is Talking about

A veritable warning for sure. Thanks for the update, Paul.

Thanks Paul. I swear I never click a video as fast as I do when I see yours pop up. Any thoughts on preps from a scientist? Prep a garden? Generator? Bike and bike spare parts? Feeling like I wish I knew how to strategically and financially prepare for things to come as I finally have a little spare change

@davidaltamirano6828

16 күн бұрын

Gather some good drugs maybe?

Concise and, yes, difficult to argue against !

It makes sense if aerosols wash out of the atmosphere in weeks, while methane persists for decades, and CO2 for centuries.

@reuireuiop0

17 күн бұрын

And perfectly illustrates the intensity of our economy, that those rained out aerosols would be replaced the very same day by freshly emitted from container freighters' exhaust pipes -until that stopped. Not that the shipping stopped, though, and not the carbon ships emit, plus all the product they transport and their connected emissions. (Hell, Even your clean new E car emits most of its carbon in its production, transportation and demolition. Plus all carbon emitted in either producing electricity, or building the renewables if electricity happens to be "green", in the mining for metals needed to build them renewables etc etc

You have been a great resource and an inspiration, Paul, but your avid pro stance on geoengineering might be a little misplaced. Let's not forget that it has never been done before so I think the topic should be approached with a little more caution. We are not talking about GMOs here.

Thanks for sharing Paul.

Oh so it’s official? Thx for sharing the news flash with us. Hey those are my two favourite people too!!! ❤😊 🌪️

Thank you Paul.

Has anyone yet gone to the IMO and asked “Do you guys realise what you’ve done?”

27:51 mining deep sea minerals? Why? So we can have better batteries? Faster computing? Electric cars? This is crazy.

@reuireuiop0

11 күн бұрын

Crazy indeed, but big money to be made. Only a timely collapse can save what's on the deep sea bottom. At that, they'd be luckier than most coral reefs.

@OldJackWolf

8 күн бұрын

Well, I did see a headline about mining lithium from frack wastewater here in PA. But I wonder about the residual solution... That's got to be even nastier than untreated frack wastewater stuff, but we'll see.

Reductions of aerosols is simply called global brightening

@russmarkham2197

20 күн бұрын

i think it's the other way round. sulphate aerosols increase cloud brightness thus reflecting more sunlight into space and cooling the planet

@LK-pc4sq

19 күн бұрын

Google "66 million year CHIXULUB meter strike and find out what really killed the dinosaurs...hint, it was not totally from the heat and blast...

how long before someone says "we need" to go back to the high sulfur fuels in order to mitigate global warming?

No thank you!! Thank you for doing these videos :)

I am"... I said To no one there And no one heard at all Not even the chair I am"... I cried "I am"... said I...

@noelduffey2395

13 күн бұрын

Neil Diamond

Such is our fate 😔

It's undeniable now.

"Religion is a culture of faith, science is a culture of doubt." - Richard Feynman. Does anyone doubt that James Hansen is correct? No? Science? Not.

Climate change is still too slow for most people to notice in their lifetimes, and human lifetimes are too short to worry too much. What's the point of worrying all the time if it's not really worth it? [edited]

@christinearmington

20 күн бұрын

What was never worthwhile, worrying in general or worrying about climate change?

Oh yes please! Let's call it geoengineering when people stop geoengineering. That's how you sound, Paul. I'd be furious with myself if I ever donated to the geoengineering cause.

@michaeldeierhoi4096

18 күн бұрын

And what geoengineering is it that you think is going on now?

Life on this planet is toast, garaunteed. But can we save civilization? For the masses, that seems to be the big question. Anthropocentric cultures are always doomed, of course. Which is a good reason to avoid the polluted sediment of the mass mind.

@1237barca

20 күн бұрын

You have it backwards. Civilization is toast. Life on earth will be fine. Humans will survive as hunter gatherers. It has happened before and will happen again. We aren’t the first advanced civilization and won’t be the last.

@michaeldeierhoi4096

18 күн бұрын

Your sentiment is understandable, but in reality nothing is guaranteed including believing our culture is doomed. Humanity still has a chance to make an abrupt change, but we need to do it in the next few years.

@user-ym5hx6ky2m

18 күн бұрын

@michaeldeierhoi4096 I've been listening to your sentiment for decades now. We were told 30 some years ago that we have ten years to turn things around. And we continue to hear the same bull. They were right the first time. We overshot the biocapacity of the planet decades ago, and there is no going back. The Mega Machine will not be turned around because it is an addiction. Civilizations do what civilizations do, collapse, sooner or later. That's history. Acceptance is the best path now. With acceptance comes humility and grace. I'm spending my time bearing witness to the splendor of nature before she's gone. Thank you. I appreciate the discourse.

@michaeldeierhoi4096

18 күн бұрын

@@user-ym5hx6ky2m I appreciated your response.

Thanks Paul

EEI was already increasing from 2000 to 2010 and that was before the reduction in aerosols.

Welp, it was a great run.

At about half way through your video Paul you appeared to suggest that we just need to get over our concern about adding aerosols like SO2 back into the atmosphere to counter global warming, but then offered no explanation about how we can do that. The link below is from Startalk in which NDT talks to Gavin Schmitt, the NASA climate scientist at Goddard Space Institute, who talked generally about how the models underestimated the 2023 warming. And specifically, he addressed the problem with geoengineering. There are in fact many draw backs. Once the aerosols are added into the atmosphere we cannot stop because as soon as we do the warming would come back and much worse!! There are issues with cost and unintended consequences as well. kzread.info/dash/bejne/dXx-ra2sf6vacc4.htmlsi=mOHpN-nkCMvPt7Kg

"The acceleration of global warming since 2010 is due to the decrease in aerosols since 2020" I'm going to impolitely disagree. WTF? What caused that spike in warming since 2010? Actually since about 1960. Hansen is relying a lot on Leon Simons, and Leon is not a straight actor. Another proponent of aerosols has been Guy MacPherson, and they both have been playing with rewriting history. Leon put out a tweet saying that in 1968 the CEO of Shell said that aerosols would keep the planet cool. I asked him how the oceans absorbed all that heat if the planet was cooling? He blocked me. Guy tried to blame the European Heat Wave of 2003 on some temporary energy policy, and I looked into his statement. Bovine excrement came to mind. The most important climate scientist today is Jim Massa. His thermodynamics calculations of Deep Ocean Heat should be discussed in the MSM. Or even in Mainstream Independent Media. I'm calling everyone such as the Grayzone, Jimmy Dore, the Duran, Judge Napolitano and that ilk since they might have politics that appeals to people in these times of endless war and the rewriting of medical principles. But they all piss on renewables and tell us that there is a climate hoax. And everyone has an argument on the WEF, and it's identical. MIM. We needed to stop burning fossil fuels nowsterday. I knew this in 1980, when we had discussions about Peak Oil, fracking, tarsanding and the climate. Even petroleum engineers didn't want us to see those alternative methods. I started writing to Big Finance in Swizerland over 25 years ago. It has gotten a target put on my back. I'm amazed that more climate scientists or climate groups haven't supported Windyday Concept. My amazement has turned into massive indifference now that I am concentrating on learning music theory. I gave up my seat on the upper deck, and will be playing in the band.

@user-pj5ub5cp9k

20 күн бұрын

Seriously? The disbarred lawyer Alexander Mercurios at the Duran, the Putin and Assad apologists Mate and Blumenthal and the downright fascist Napolitano? Immoral unethical grifters the lot of them. Apart from that good comment.

@Tommytightlips

20 күн бұрын

I hear you ❤ silos, silos siloed. ..holistically,where are we at? We ve cooked the goose. There is no autumn/winter where I am, the ferocity of the sun is unmistakeable...the end is nigh. Act with integrity and love as best you can

@LivingNow678

20 күн бұрын

What about the Earth's core actual anomalies ? Music 🎶🎵 from a nearly unknown space .... Freddie mcCoy dit Ahmed Sofi album: Soar on, track: Maybe One Day (instrumental, guitar solo)

@LivingNow678

20 күн бұрын

climate change ? same artist {Freddie mcCoy dit Ahmed Sofi (1976?)} album: On My Way, track: The Next President Boomplay music 🙂

@user-hc8ki1rl4t

20 күн бұрын

You are obviously mentally unbalanced. You ascribe unwarranted poisinous labels to scientists. Very cheap. And you jump around.

I think your insights about the impact (or absence of impact) of the solar maximum on climate would be interesting to hear. Can we expect any temporary cooling or is it negligible ? What are the good papers on this ?

@ricksmall5240

20 күн бұрын

The difference between solar maximum and minimum is 0.5w/m2/sec, this is very minimal but amplified by increasing ghgs

@avii.8075

20 күн бұрын

@@ricksmall5240 I'm reading otherwise from NOAA website, which seems to be a credible source. "the resulting change in the temperature of the atmosphere is measurable. It should be noted that the change in climate due to solar variability is likely small, but more research needs to be done." ... "The duration of solar minimum may also have an impact on Earth's climate. During solar minimum there is a maximum in the amount of Cosmic rays, high energy particles whose source is outside our Solar system, reaching earth. There is a theory that cosmic rays can create nucleation sites in the atmosphere which seed cloud formation and create cloudier conditions. If this were true, then there would be a significant impact on climate, which would be modulated by the 11-year solar cycle." I'm not insinuating climate change is caused by the sun, just asking a genuine question about the impact of solar activity.

Paul, can you find out if the paper that the 35:00 chart in the video, "The Geopolitical Risks of Climate Change - Myles Allen", is from is based on SAI? If so they seem to be dismissing MCB as risky without evidence, based on a SAI study.

It's nuts what's going on in the mainstream is the correct interpretation. Eventually they will catch up and those ahead of their time will be recognized.

Meanwhile I read in the local article that China imposes no limits on their EV production rates, in order to keep the prices low to destroy western markets.

@PaulBeckwith: Hi Paul. I’m curious to know if you listened to Gavin Schmidt’s interview on Climate Chat and his opinions on James Hansen’s work? Thanks for all your hard work!

Isn’t it still a good thing to stop polluting, at least in the long-term? I mean, with the ships no longer using aerosols, along with less being used in China, translates to short term additional heating from a reduction in the aerosol masking effect, but in the longer term it would still help to cool the planet, right? Or am I missing something? It seems like the fact that the recent boost in warming is ironically due to less air pollution is fuel for the right-wing climate deniers who can now say “you see, we need to keep the fossil fuel industry going if we want to save the planet!”

@danielfaben5838

20 күн бұрын

This is an important point. It seems easy to pull a statistic out of context in my view. I can imagine a time in the near future when travel and trade is severely restricted for any number of reasons political, social, environmental, economic or just practical. This reduction is the likely mid and long term future for the planet. If that means temps rise then that is what we have created by our hubris and unthinking belief in our beneficence. The planet will take it on the chin and we will get on with the massive elimination of our carbon fart-print.

@christinearmington

20 күн бұрын

DeSanctimonious and the Red Skull who preceded him in Florida don’t want anyone to even say climate change or global warming. 💀🐙🦑

Doesn't "preindustrial" refer to the period before 1750? Was the goalpost shifted forward 130 years (to 1880) so as to make our predicament appear somewhat less dire?

Recently I read an editorial in the *Scientific American* newsletter about a "421-day marine heatwave in the North Atlantic Ocean which ended recently and an uncertain scenario for the upcoming hurricane season. La Nina compounded with overheated sea surface temperatures (SST) leading to increased humidity... will probably create spectacular storms. Well, of course! 😢

Interesting to redact a second for learning more about aerosol debates. Notice they come off cooler.

Paul, you made a quick comment about SOS being “the solution,”please point me to more on that idea. Or Maybe I misunderstood you, but that comment really grabbed my attention. Thanks.

@basilbrushbooshieboosh5302

20 күн бұрын

Paul's referring to SRM (or SOS, as Paul maintains) as being our (the global 'our') fastest method of reversing from accelerated global warming. It, SRM, would however only be a stop-gap (band-aid) solution until we can implement true emissions draw-down. This is because, while being very effective at reducing temperatures, it doesn't address the root cause of % greenhouse gas emissions in the atmosphere. The permanent solution is CO2 draw-down. SRM may save us from imminent catastrophe. In my opinion, the permanent solution will and must be targeted ocean iron-ore fertilisation. It can be implemented as the least damaging (environmentally, socially, commercially, and financially) and draw-down CO2 the fastest and cheapest. Proper management though is the key. All other geoengineering methods fail various of the above six requisites.

@jamiethrogmorton2540

20 күн бұрын

@@basilbrushbooshieboosh5302 thanks, I think “may” is the important word. I’m highly doubtful.

@abody499

20 күн бұрын

"highly doubtful" based on what?

Why is everyone upset? The planet is doing what is does. It found things that bothers it and it's now working to remove the irritant. Yes everything must go but just think it's a new beginning. Just not with you or me. Sit back and enjoy the rich people show.

Sounds like they should not reduce sulfur in shipping fuels, but rather increase it!

@cyberfunk3793

20 күн бұрын

And add it to the gasoline cars people drive, if warming is a bigger problem than pollution.

@michaeldeierhoi4096

18 күн бұрын

Because we as a species waited so long to even begin to address this issue of climate change we are now stuck with this Faustian Bargain. Whatever we do now there are serious drawbacks. If we start aerosols to the atmosphere we cannot stop for hundreds of years until the climate cools on its own. We can guess the unintended consequences of doing that??

Global Warning - Freudian Slip?

Thanks Paul, on the hot topic ( sorry) of aerosol masking. Google A.I has just help reduce chemtrails by over 50% by changing flight pathways. Also it is helping traffic pollution with a new program called green light. It’s nice to see so many positive changes in our environment. 😂 thanks for the humour. I will watch this space for more positive climate updates

We are not being told the truth about the ozone layer. From what I understand is that the ozone layer is getting bigger (source Adapt 2030, David Dubyne). I would appreciate your take on the ozone layer. Also your thoughts on the sun's activity and how it affects the planet.

"If you thought that science was certain - well, that is just an error on your part." - Richard Feynman

"Blind belief in authority is the greatest enemy of truth" - some guy named Einstein

Paul thank you for the information, and the very "cool as a cucumber" way of presenting it 😉..... even though it's 😬

We should build our homes underground.

Paul, the Title of the video has a typo ✌🏻. Thank you for all you do!

@christinearmington

20 күн бұрын

Warning about warming 🤷‍♀️😆

Dubious climate scientists should be called out…..Paul avoided naming Michael Mann.

Here in Port Elizabeth it's been quite chilly.

Watching this increase with great anticipation.

What sort of timeline does Hansen predict 3 degrees? Before the turn of the next century?

Global warming acceleration I thought was the correct research title?

@lesterdalley5993

20 күн бұрын

8:04 it says warning!

Can anyone speak to what looks to be a spike in temperatures in the 1940-45 time period, which would seem to coincide with the industrialization in support of World War II. Would the correlation between increased carbon emissions and temperature anomalies be that direct or is that spike just coincident with some other factor (e.g. another super El Nino event)?

A great sleep aid.

The current warming is from a very very large reduction of Ship Tracks which has been around since satellite data started in 1979

@michaeldeierhoi4096

18 күн бұрын

The reduction in ship emissions is only part of the current warming. The other TWO reasons are the acceleration in CO2 and CH4 accumulation in the atmosphere. and

He should spell it El Niño rather than "El Nino" (since "n" and "ñ" are different letters in Spanish).

Does anyone know is it true we launched a satellite to measure aresols years ago but it blew up on launch?

CDN NEXUS points out a scientific study finding: CO2 doesn't cause temp fluctuation"A review of key properties of global climate MODELS and statistical analyses conducted by others on the ability of the global climate models to track historical temperatures. These tests show that standard climate models are rejected by time series data on global temperatures. Finally, we update and extend previous statistical analysis of temperature data (Dagsvik et al., 2020). Using theoretical arguments and statistical tests we find, as in Dagsvik et al. (2020), that the effect of man-made CO2 emissions does not appear to be strong enough to cause systematic changes in the temperature fluctuations during the last 200 years.variations.

80+ degrees for a few days in a row in PA.. in what we used to call the month of May.

just watched your geoengineering video from 10 years ago, I wonder if there is any serious program going on? Especially with the China shipping emissions data you described, it would seem to be pretty effective and simple and cheap and easily reversible.

Seems very likely that the trend is nonlinear. Emissions are not decreasing significantly and there are positive feedbacks. Let's hope for a very strong La Niña.

@michaeldeierhoi4096

18 күн бұрын

A strong La Niña also means a strong hurricane season.

so injecting aerosols... that block the sun, decreasing energy to surface for plants and solar panels, while needing this forever, while emitting more co2 to power the planes to do this??

@unbiasedthoughts7875

20 күн бұрын

It’s insanity but this is the corner humanity has backed itself into. This trajectory we are on has a horrific ending and it’s pretty much here now. Don’t look up…

@unbiasedthoughts7875

20 күн бұрын

Hey now - you be careful with your rational reasoning! We won’t have any of that while dealing with the only known habitable planet in the universe.

Algo boost!

Audio inaudible (extremely low).

We may need to write SOS in the clouds if we mess with the atmosphere in the geoengineering sense. It's a really bad idea. If we do it, how will we reverse it? Set a spider to catch the fly?

Paul, What is the equilibrium point for the average global temperature at 427ppm CO2 or 585ppm AGGI Iceage maximum, CO2 was 180ppm and the average global temperature was 7c, so the equilibrium point for the average global temperature point for 180ppm is 7c Iceage minimum, 1750, CO2 was 280ppm and the average global temperature was 15c, the equilibrium point for the average global temperature at 280ppm is 15c So what is the equilibrium point for the average global temperature at 427ppm CO2 Using the higher ghg value of AGGI at 585ppm, what is the equilibrium point for the average global temperature at 585ppm Why do you think the average global temperature rise is accelerating, this rollercoaster is just getting started The global thermostat setting is 1c/12ppm 1750, 280ppm Today, 427ppm 427ppm - 280ppm = 147ppm difference ÷ 1c/12ppm = 11.75c rise above 15c The equilibrium point for the average global temperature at 427ppm is 15c + 12c = 27c AGGI, 585ppm CO2 equivalent - 280ppm = 305ppm difference ÷ 1c/12ppm =25.4c + 15c = 40c

@dutch-prepper6587

20 күн бұрын

Is there evidence that the effect of CO2 is linear ? Aerosols seem to be highly exponential.

@abody499

20 күн бұрын

Those numbers are all nonsense, pulled from the backside. Not sure what you mean by "iceage minimum" - 1750 was the centre of the "Little Ice Age" so a relatively cool period of the Holocene, thus, not a minimum period of glaciation. Global average temperature for the year 1750 was around 13°C, calculated to a high degree of confidence from multiple proxy data, although not definitive. The equilibrium point for any given CO2 composition is not equal to the global average temperature for that point in time because changes in GHG composition have a lagging effect on global average temperature. Thus, 1750 levels, which were subject to various natural changes as well as human activity such as significant reductions in forest cover, do not give a synchronic measure as claimed. Sources: Copernicus; Kaufman et al., 2020 Holocene global mean surface temperature, a multi-method reconstruction approach (open source); National Research Council, 2006 Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years.

Will SRM prevent business as usual? Until we can draw down CO2 by direct air capture at scale, SRM will only buy time and allow for more business as usual. Plus, what about the other plethora of positive tipping points? Only AI can formulate a strategy/theory of where and how to begin. It seems our predicament is too big for humans to absorb and believe. We could use a good ol' ice age to recalibrate and redirect human numbers and consumption to reach sustained planetary equilibrium.

@ronwalker4998

20 күн бұрын

AI is part of the problem, and I doubt it will be part of the solution

Look for news stories dated Tuesday May 21 2024 regarding a deadly air turbulence incident over the Bay of Bengal on a Singapore Airlines flight from London to Singapore. From a climate change point of view, regional sea surface temperature in the Bay of Bengal region was fairly uniform at about 31 1/2 degrees Celsius. CAPE (convective available potential energy) was very definitely non-uniform, with locally higher CAPE locations at about 1,300 joules per kilogram. Perhaps Paul Beckwith might be able to explain from a both a climate point of view and a climate change point of view why turbulence events show up fairly frequently over the Bay of Bengal, and also why "set and forget" overland on board radar settings for detecting turbulence are often too non-optimal for air travel over especially warm regions of ocean.

How can we rule out that we havent simply passed a tipping point somewhere in the 1990s leading to the release of ocean heat content at an exponential rate? The data seems to indicate that Idk. (kzread.info/dash/bejne/oH2sj8yFY9fLeqQ.htmlsi=cILMsI6F6PlWQwXk) Interesting take on the topic

Just buy a tesla. It will fly wherever you want when the atmosphere is gone. You won't be here because you bought a tesla.

Our solar system evolution event is happening right now. They have no idea of what is happening. Radiation is coming stronger every day.

I wasn’t aware of the bugaboo surrounding geo engineering but I guess that makes sense given all the other allergic reactions people seem to have re: science and facts. Given that, aren’t we already doing a massive geo engineering project called, let’s pump billions of tons of climate warming gases into our atmosphere and see what happens? I didn’t say it was a well planned, or thought out engineering plan, but it’s definitely working 😮

@gsnyder2007

19 күн бұрын

Now that my paranoia is properly primed, maybe the oil and gas folks are “the engineers” and they want to warm the planet so as to rid it of all the people and other organisms they don’t want? A kind of population rebalancing effort? Once we’ve killed a few billion people and wiped out half the “annoying” species, and exhausted fossil fuels, it will be so much easier for the fossil fuel elite to control those who remain? I sound like someone from the extreme left! Ha ha ha. Oh boy. What is happening?

Case Re-Opened⁉ Hansen’s/model’s data is biased due to a failure to include the bi-seasonal Arctic tropopause lift and the related increased planetary insolence due to increased refraction (and this seems to be starting to show up as arriving in the Antarctic as well). These #InuitObservation derived/deduced additional heat means that SRM/SOS will be, and likely significantly so, miscalculated. When/if militarized, such will twice be exemplary of our species’ alleged intelligence (military/academic #MotivatedReasoning). Directly in response to the ⁉, please note that tracks that are not in a heat blob are line-like. Given the direction that Coriolis effect forces have on Ferrel Zone westerlies, ‘China’s' and the ‘US’s’ sulfates are integral to ‘lines’ being masked by air mass transport and the observed heat blobs.

when earth broke up?

If the climate changes for what ever reason , call for money is the give away. Don't need money to tell people to get out of the way. The earth's climate is not to be teraformed to acomidate monkey's.

We all Know Kieth Briffa graph is most accurate not Micheal Manns yet you use his data why the Bias ? Also 2016 plus or minus 3 years for a BOE can you explain why that did not happen?

Have yall apologized to Guy McPherson yet??

BLOCK OUT THE SUN 😆

@Knifymoloko

20 күн бұрын

The Second Renaissance (animatrix)

@PaulHBeckwith

20 күн бұрын

Not block. Optimize the Sun.

@richardpowell1389

20 күн бұрын

@@PaulHBeckwith apologies for the dark humor

@citizendisposable7427

20 күн бұрын

Mr Burns from the Simpson's devised a plan to do it

@LK-pc4sq

19 күн бұрын

twice in petroleum history were surfer was reduced in petroleum. 1979 and 2022. Twice, earth is over heating due to removal of surfer caused earth temperatures to rise.

Nice clean-up love the uncluttered look!

If only you had the views that a failed and criminal ex-president commands for his hissy fits... Then everyone would be climate aware. Thanks, Paul.

Pays to proofread your title. 🙄

@christinavuyk2026

20 күн бұрын

A Freudian slip indeed 🤔

@LK-pc4sq

19 күн бұрын

@@christinavuyk2026 he is tired yes grammar mistake.

Geoengineering seems to be helping as much as I’m not a fan of it seems to be a necessary evil. Maybe they are trying to save the planet. I wish there was a better way though.

Your audio is difficult for me to hear sometimes Like at the start

@abody499

20 күн бұрын

go to "volume" and press "up"

Great info, but best watched at 1.5 speed, as he is a slow talker.

Temperatures have already passed 2C if we are honest with ourselves because even if we could stop all emissions today the temperatures would continue rising for decades to equilibrium. But all climate scientists pretend we have options until we actually reach the temperatures. So talking how bad it is with actual ways to change our direction is just a waste of time. Geo-engineering and its hopes are a waste of time because we can’t agree to do anything together and while the south may cook the north only gets more livable. War is our future and geo-engineering will only speed our way to war.

We need to stop all SRM & Geoengineering if we are to have any chance.

@unbiasedthoughts7875

20 күн бұрын

Agreed. However, I have lost hope for humanity to do the right thing. All signs are pointing toward us continuing our destructive patterns. The game is up and the bill is due…

@abody499

20 күн бұрын

No, that's completely false because the only "chance" we have is to get the albedo back to what it was before the industrial revolution, and probably a little further to deal with the heat already locked in. There's no other way of getting around that. It's an absolute unequivocal fact.