Great to see Clark Kent back for another insightful interview. Blake is always good to listen to.

@benjaminperez7328

Жыл бұрын

Wait until the glasses come off!

@konsyjes

Жыл бұрын

lol so true

@STROONZONY

Жыл бұрын

I thought he was a bird or a plane

@tonywilson4713

Жыл бұрын

Yeah I agree. I went a rewatched his conversation with Ward from 4 months ago just to get the context before watching this. As an analyst I think he might be one of the most underrated there is. Its maybe Wards greatest ability as a public information service - he keeps finding people who actually know what they are talking about. Pako's recent talk on the F15-EX and how its fits in with the F35 strategy as well as the subsequent talk on the F35 and how its operated were both incredibly informative. Merryl Tengesdal on operating the U2 and how it was used in Iraq was amazing. Justin Bronk's (the Brit) discussions on Ukraine are 100x more informative than anything else in the media. Bryan McGrath on the 2023 Pentagon Budget from 11 months ago was incredible. If you watch that and then watch that recent 60 Minutes on the US Navy and its programs you'll get a great understanding of the sorts of issues Blake is talking about. What Ward is doing is getting experts on who can link these things together and make sense.

@tlevans62

Жыл бұрын

@@tonywilson4713 well said. I wish Ward would do more of these interviews. They're fascinating.

On the topic of Japan, by far the funniest thing to have happened in this war so far is that Ukraine recognized Japan's claim to the entire Kuril Island chain (which are currently split between Japan and Russia)

@travkin8842

Жыл бұрын

Теперь нам придётся их отдать🙈🙈🙈

When you watch & listen to this channel you just instinctively realize you're hearing & seeing really good caring people!!!!!!

Blake's argument that the U.S. is seeing an economic benefit from the war in Ukraine is going to ring alarm bells in some quarters about a return to the Cold War days and the "Military Industrial Complex". But I'd agree that it's unfortunately a reality that the days of a "peace dividend" seems like ancient, rose-colored history. I think this situation is turning a lot of doves into hawks.

@stupidburp

Жыл бұрын

Sufficient spending to deter a strong Russian military is more expensive than sufficient spending to weaken the Russian military by supporting Ukraine.

@bravinneff1

Жыл бұрын

​@@stupidburp very well said and almost certainly true

@clemsonalum98

Жыл бұрын

I'm sure some doves are hawks for these reasons, but lets be honest, a lot are simply because their team is in power. Sad state of affairs.

@The_ZeroLine

Жыл бұрын

The MIC always always bears watching, but at least the big uptick is warranted now. However w/most allies increasing defense budgets, we need to ensure we don’t over prioritize our own procurement at the expense of getting lots of orders canceled in favor of South Korea and other arms exporters. Yes, let’s restock on any critical stockpiles we feel are too low., but not put ourselves in front of the cue on everything despite still being massively better than 🇨🇳 and 🇷🇺 In basically every department. Don’t underestimate the enemy, but also don’t overestimate them either. Russia’s military, besides its nukes, is now considered a joke. Yet we’re quaking in our boots over the PLA despite them being every bit as corrupt as the Russian army, every bit as political and the fact they’re getting much of their training from the Russian military. An additional factor to remember is that in Chinese society, besides being a high ranking officer, being in the military is considered the lowest of the low. Only those with absolutely no prospects enlist in the PLA and they only come from the rural areas, which get zero access to education or upward mobility. With the one child policy, multiple generations of family invest all their money in the best education they can in the one boy (or girl if they accepted having a daughter) who is expected to earn money and take care of the parents and grandparents as they get older. So, the last thing any of them want is their son entering the military. He’d be completely disowned and never spoken to again.

@christopho3255

Жыл бұрын

A real concern for the American people is the effective value of the defense budget i.e. systems development, procurement, legacy maintenance ect. If defense contractor consolidation reduces competitive systems procurement with longer lead times while charging more and more per unit produced, the only winner is the shareholder and company executive. Another glaring issue is U.S./allied weapons systems contractors doing more to ensure security, IP and true adherence to export controls. RUSI has found many U.S. semiconductors and specialized subsystems on advanced russian munitions used in Ukraine... Haas Automation has allegedly kept supplying precision CNC machines and or systems support to Russia after sanctions were put in place according to a new report. We all know u.s. defense contractors have been compromised quite a lot....

Excellent interview as usual. Very straight forward, easy listening. Thanks to both of you for your time in making this.

Some of the finest conversations with you both. Very informative, thank you both.

@Dan-Martin

Жыл бұрын

You must be a feeble minded drooler to come to that conclusion.

Thanks for another informative discussion on the geopolitical state of our world. I really enjoy hearing points of view beyond the typical media information offered for consumption. It's difficult to have a well rounded, and informed view of things when information is spoon-fed to us. I'm not necessarily looking to agree or disagree with views offered here....just looking for muti-faceted information that gives me something to digest and consider. You do that well with your channel, Ward! Thanks.

Thanks again Mr. Ward for posting the issues that really matter!

Thank you so much for all of what you do, Ward. It's hard to find the words to express the value of a source you can trust. You are my go-to.

@friendlyreptile9931

Жыл бұрын

Strange to trust someone that you don't know -.-

Right away, out of the gate, I feel this man is so on point. Remembers the context and has a very clear picture. Super intertesting and insightful input

Bravo Gentlemen! Love it when Blakes on and this one is superb! Great voiceover work Ward!

Excellent interview ! Thanks, Mooch.

Great job as usual gentlemen. I appreciate your knowledge, insight and commentary.

@shinobi2119

Жыл бұрын

You’re an a$$hole for giving these white supremacists money.

Great content as usual Ward! Thanks for your commitment and the work you do.

Great segment and analysis, Mooch; thanks for the insight. I would love to hear your take on the 2nd half of that 60 minutes piece, which IMO was talking about the US industrial base that supports the Navy.

Very informative again , really look forward to your vids !

LOVE this episode! Great work guys :)

Awesome episode Ward! I saw the 60 minutes episode a couple nights ago, and I was just thinking the whole time, "I can't wait for Ward to make a video response to all this!" 😁 Cheers, and keep up the terrific content sir! 🍻

@thezirons

Жыл бұрын

Same here!!

@bobp3738

Жыл бұрын

Ditto!

@tonysu8860

Жыл бұрын

Yeah, I saw that 60 minutes episode and thought that the tone and the statements were artful with the right tone. I'm less pessimistic than a lot of recent press relating to wargame conclusions and the state of the USN. I feel the USN will do just fine, thank you if a strategic plan is worked out between Taiwan and the US with other important allies in the region doing their parts. China should have not even the slightest inkling it could invade Taiwan successfully, and preparations should be in place so that Taiwan can not only withstand any invasion attempt but to also remain fully supplied indefinitely.

Great video guys, I appreciate you.

Great interview…thanks for the info.

Wonderful stuff! What a great channel this is! No sizzle, just steak, and presented in a nonpartisan way.

thankyou for bringing these perspective on internet. it is very helpful for the students of international relations.

17:00 Definitly Semanics Judo Black-belt that was really awesome from the Admiral!

They can cry all they want about NATO expansion but the fact is that for all it’s problems countries have scrambled toward the west and away from Russia since 1991 for no other reason than Russia’s actions and how they treat their people! These former USSR countries joining NATO is purely ensuring they never again fall under russias thumb!

@CCGNZ65

Жыл бұрын

Completely agree,ALL former Soviet Reps. and Warsaw pact nations couldn't wait to get out from under IVAN'S thumb.

@MrSeidurman

Жыл бұрын

U are delusional 🤣

@Tod_oMal

Жыл бұрын

You forget something important. Half of Ukraine are Russians and don't want to belong to the EU or NATO. They want to stay Russians.

Watch Blake at 20:10 as Mooch says China expansion stops at the second island chain. At my poker table, Blake reads "no Mooch they will keep expanding". At 20:17 Mooch says they are still a threat however and Blake's thoughts balance with discussion and agrees whole heartedly with Mooch with a nod and smile.

@GSteel-rh9iu

Жыл бұрын

18:25 Blake says we don't have the industrial capacity.

Great info. Thanks, Ward.

4:00 - “Axis of states that don’t want to see people that look like them fall apart”. I’m starting to understand why Bush II just kept it simple with Axis of Evil. At least he kept the copy editors satisfied on word count.

Thanks for sharing this great conversation between to very informed and worldly Americans.

Your discussions are always great joy to listen to. Always informative (at least for a German watcher) and in a charming relaxed manner.

@Gabriel_McMillan

Жыл бұрын

Is debate on this topic allowed? Why exactly does anyone think the Russian spear is shattered on Ukraine? It looks to me like it is very slowly piercing right through the neck of the Ukrainian state, which will soon bleed out right before our eyes, and then what? Then Russia starts backing Maidans across Europe, and arming them, while China invades Taiwan. Yes, we can defeat a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, but we cannot defeat Russia in a land war on the Russian border, and certainly not both at the same time, not by proxy, and the instant we fire on Russian air defenses with an F-35 is the instant Russia nukes a US aircraft carrier and air bases in Poland and Germany with tactical warheads delivered by hypersonics, which Russia will do, because they know we are not going to use strategic nukes on Russia itself in response, because tactical nukes on German air fields is a whole lot better outcome for us than Poseidon torpedoes on New York and L.A. Let's get real about this, before we get vaporized.

@jameswright2974

Жыл бұрын

Germany still got Hitler ideology sore losers Nato (NORTH Atlantic Terrorist Organisation) a usa brain dead puppet like zelensky last one Gauido lasted 3 years

Thanks for your excellent analysis of media and realities of the Western Pacific fleet.

The insights here are greatly appreciated!

The image at 4:46 is the Royal New Zealand Navy Fleet at the 70th Anniversary in 2011. You can see the HMNZS Canterbury In the middle of the picture.

Excellent meaningful, in-depth discussion

@vasilijevukadinovic6843

Жыл бұрын

Except the part that we'd don't have an answer to the zircon. Carrier group is a sitting duck

I really love these types of podcasts!

thank you gents. insightful as always

Very interesting interview ..again! 🦘

Ward you spoil me every time that I click on one of your podcasts! Well done!!!

Very interesting Ward. You always knock it out of the park with your analysis. God Bless America! 🇺🇸

One of the very BEST video commentary summarizing today’s global geopolitical political landscape. Excellent job!! I salute you sir 🫡

Outstanding content! Including the 60 Minutes piece was outstanding, Admiral Paparo was very impressive! I've heard the comment "Quantity has a Quality of Its Own' in the strike fighter debate going back ten years. Will the Navy have the right mix of aircraft capabilities (stealth, weapons, refueling, EW) on its carriers during the next conflict? The Marines don't think we have enough amphibs, they put an amphib on their Unfunded Priorities List. With all the Navy and Marine Corps is responsible for; ships (carriers, subs, combatants, amphibs), aircraft, special ops and other capabilities, it's easy to make the argument that they have been under resourced for a long time. The real question for the nation is, "Do we have the political leadership in place to take on the "Axis of Bad Dudes?"

@purplepidgin

Жыл бұрын

Exactly!!! Couldn’t agree with you more🤙🏾

@vasilijevukadinovic6843

Жыл бұрын

The fact that u all haven't realised yet that the zircon has made the aircraft carrier useless blows my mind. Russia has demonstrated 1500km hypersonic speed while hitting a moving target. We have no answer to that. Yes are subs are amazing but that doesn't change the ship and carrier problem. This means projecting power with fighters just became virtually impossible. Stay asleep

@ianstobie

Жыл бұрын

No worries! Corn Pop also was a bad dude, and he ran a bunch of bad boys.

@blakeh6250

Жыл бұрын

​@vasilije Vukadinovic not true, carriers aren't that easy to sink, so the delusional aspects of these comments are ridiculous.

@vasilijevukadinovic6843

Жыл бұрын

@@blakeh6250 it's so easy that u forgot to explain how it would be stopped. U look foolish

Excellent content Ward.

You provide really insightful perspective on things in this world, Thank you for doing this 🙂

@19:36: China refers to their SCS islands as “unsinkable aircraft carriers”, but they are also immovable aircraft carriers. Easy to find and target at any time.

@Sinkorswim1225

Жыл бұрын

These Islands would be highly targetable rspecially with stealth bombers or attack subs which is how the US would upen up the air and see from defenses and eventually being in a mass Naval operation. China might be able to keep the US at bay for a few weeks but would eventually be overpowered.

great stuff ward!

Good information to think about.

14:38 For the record, a lot of products requiring high-end semiconductors still have a very long lead time.

17:00 EXACTLY! This should always be the first thing out of someone’s mouth when they are confronted by someone saying America is trying to contain China

Thank you Ward. Very honest look at the "situation" we see ourselves in. I find myself trying to envision our current leadership playing the roles of the critical people we had in place during the last great confrontation and I am not inspired...which may play a part in how we got here...but that is another discussion.

@stuartfury3390

6 ай бұрын

Hopefully you vote accordingly

I saw India took part in a military exercise with Russia and China September last year. I find that interesting given China and India's history of border disputes.

@stc2828

Жыл бұрын

India rather be friend with Russia than US

@grahamstrouse1165

Жыл бұрын

India likes to keep all of their options open…

Great to hear, again, a man with a moral sense, a strong moral orientation.

Blake in the East, Justin in the West…..and Mooch builds a golden bridge.

Great video Ward 🫡

Thanks for Posting. I figured you know The Admiral. I agreed with his answers.

Perhaps in a future video you can both take us for tours around the rooms you're in and point out what was or wasn't made in China (the bad one). Don't forget the light bulbs. I'd even stick around for a tour of the whole house, the garden shed, and the workshop (especially the workshop) if applicable.

Another great episode, Ward and why I’m a patron. I particularly enjoy your strategic and operational assessments. As a former army guy, I can tolerate 😅 your aviation stuffs, but prefer your deep analysis. 😎🇺🇸🇺🇦

Excellent!

Thanks!

Great video

Some good books Blake has in the background there.

Great stuff.

Yes Ward video drop 😎

The “Quantity has a quality of its own” is a quote from Napoleon himself. This is due to his French army at the time being massive and dwarfing the English army. Going off what I remember from HS history 15 years ago

@Dinops907

Жыл бұрын

are you sure it wasn't Joeseph Stalin..?

@N330AA

Жыл бұрын

@@Dinops907 It's a myth that he said it, i think.

@ianstobie

Жыл бұрын

​@@Dinops907 Unfortunately I think it probably goes back to the German philosopher Hegel, and then given his prestige later within the Marxist movement any of the leading Marxists actually engaged in fighting wars might have said something along these lines in relation to war - Trotsky, Lenin or Stalin. I say unfortunately, because Hegel, writing a century before in a German academic context has an impenetrable, mystical and technical philosophical style. So it's not only hard to find a pithy quote in his work, but when you do you may find a quote with the apparently opposite meaning on the very same page! At least the Russian revolutionaries were concise. Necessary for giving orders and coming up with slogans! Georg Wilhelm Friedrich Hegel: *"At first, then, quantity as such appears in opposition to quality; but quantity is itself a quality, a purely self-related determinateness distinct from the determinateness of its other, from quality as such. But quantity is not only a quality; it is the truth of quality itself, the latter having exhibited its own transition into quantity. Quantity, on the other hand is quality itself in such a manner that apart from this determination there would no longer be any quality as such."* Yup, clear as mud - and this is a translation of course. The original work is The Science of Logic (Wissenschaft der Logik), Volume 1, published in 1812 and 1813.

@MartinMCade

Жыл бұрын

@@ianstobie I suspect that the ways Hegel uses "Quantity" and "Quality" in this passage are very different from what we think of now when we think of those words. I would guess he might be using "quality" an a technical philosophical sense, not in the sense where we think of quality as a measure of goodness or fitness. But I'm the guy who has never taken a course in philosophy, so I should probably refrain from commenting more than that.

@ianstobie

Жыл бұрын

@@MartinMCade Well it's possible. But the real smoking gun for Hegel being the ultimate source of this idea making its way into the language of the Russian revolutionaries is Lenin. His collected works (after his death just about everything he ever wrote was eventually published in subsidised volumes as his cult took off) contain in Volume 38 (!) transcriptions of three notebooks on Hegel's Science of Logic, written in Lenin's own handwriting. Lenin wrote these starting in September 1914 right after the first world war had kicked off, while he was in Switzerland. He spent eight months going through Hegel key works in this way. This seems rather remarkable giving that the war was in full swing. But what he seems to have been doing isolated in Bern library was turning his back on day-to-day events and trying to figure out what had gone wrong. Why had most of the left abandoned an international perspective and joined their local national rulers in enthusiastically embracing war? And what could be done about it. But first he went right back to basics in the Marxist system of thought he was using. This might seem a bit odd to us now, but WW1 really was a shock and called into question the way these guys had been assuming the different classes would behave. This is where he started forming his plans for dealing with the nationalism of the first world war and getting the revolution he wanted back on the road. So some of his later work and speeches leading up to his return to Russia in 1917 were probably still informed by this Hegelian study.

Commander Carroll, great site, great video. Loved the episode with Captain Kelly, too. I grew up on a TAC base during the Vietnam War, so I'm naturally biased to Eagles, Falcons, and Raptors over Tomcats and Hornets, but I'm super glad all are on the same team. A point not made by you or Blake is that, while yes in a war to defend the Chinese mainland, their navy doesn't have to go far from their shores, however, much of their fuel and food travels long distances over the oceans on container ships, and if the US is not going to keep the peace, then China will have to ensure those ships safety - and how the heck are they going to do that? Their navy is not designed, nor at all capable to do that. So, in a shooting war, who the heck is China going to feed itself or keep the lights on? And as to all their funky little islands, manmade and otherwise, from which their planes will operate - I don't recall anyone, ever, saying nothing can stop the Chinese Air Force. As soon as they move out of range of their SAM coverage, I think everyone knows how it ends for the Chinese Air Force. Thanks again, pls keep up the good work.

Even if we tripled shipyard build capacity, and say we doubled output of small to medium vessels, who the hell are we going to put on them? Last I saw, all branches are having a REAL hard time recruiting. And even if you can recruit them, the slots aren’t there. Here’s a thought, eliminate 50% of the non-military department slots, starting with the provably useless TSA, and redirect that money to military slots, recruiting and pay. We all know there’s a ton of waste in non-military government departments, clean it up.

The death of the battleships was that their main weapon ( big guns ) was the big guns were very ineffective against airplanes. They were slow ,compared to Aircraft Carriers. When the Aviators took over the Upper Ranks in USNAVY, no more Capital Ships ( battle cruisers) have ever been built. The Perry Class, Virginia Class, Arleigh Burke ,Knox Class were ALL built to be Good Enough and not too Expensive. The Metcalf Class( never built) was the closest thing to come to conception of what could actually defend aircraft carriers. A nuclear powered battle cruiser which , actually possessed good armour, great speed, could launch many missiles. This video threw nothing but soft ball questions. The reality is the US DOD ( Ordinance Division) has not developed ANY NEW MISSILE SYSTEMS since the 1980s and the USA has not successfully built any new BLUE WATER Destroyers/ Cruisers since the 1990s. It is was past time to dismiss the entrenched leadership at the DOD.

@CCGNZ65

Жыл бұрын

The Zumwalt and LCS programs set us back 20 yrs.,NO FRIGATES in our navy,the sm. blue water surface combatants that take the load off of the Arleigh Burkes.Just starting to adress w/Constellation class.Let missile tech developement take 20 yr. nap during war on terror.Tichonderogas getting long in tooth. Adm Yamamoto quote "their industrial might is awesome" now applies to the Chinese. China is cranking out Type 52 and 55 spanking new modern capable destroyers like shit thru a goose. Longer range air to air missiles and deadly anti ship hypersonic cruise missiles and ballistic missiles all state of art.Pray that our brave sailors can deal w/this very capable and scary threat if needed,hope the "silent service"(the one area that we maintain a sig. advantage) can put a lg. number of these threats on the ocean floor before our national treasure and personnel of carrier battle groups have to go in harms way.

My personal moniker for your Axis of Bad Dudes is the WAT, or the Wicked Axis of Tyrannies. Also, l'AMD, l'Axe Méchant des Despotismes, or צהר"ע, ציר הרשע של העריצויות, depending on which language I'm debating in at any given time. Cheers, and keep up the good work!

As a Canadian, I echo the feeling of NOT BEING READY. Canada's military is supposed to be effectively an army to train an army. fine. But we just DO NOT HAVE THAT.

Another great episode. I was very interested in the discussion about our diminished ability to build naval ships due to the loss of so many of our shipyards. It is important for the US to realize that in any future war against great powers we will not have the luxury of time that we enjoyed during WWII to bring the capacity of "fortress Americas" to out-build our opponents to win the war.

@tonysu8860

Жыл бұрын

The problem goes far deeper than having only a bare skeleton of working shipyards in the US, of which many tasks might be possible at only one shipyard. There is a major shortage of skilled labor which probably would have to be filled by immigrants if even one or two new shipyards were created. Basic materials like steel and aluminum would be in incredibly short supply and perhaps no source would be available except from China.

Terrific discussion!! I love these independent channels rather than corporate America with all the watered-down content. USA

Because of the recent Russian-Chinese agreement, I was moved to re-read Herman Wouk's "Winds of War" ... I am surprised at the political similarities between Hitler's actions in WWII and what we're seeing from Iran, North Korea, Russia and China. If I was able to learn from history and I was in a position of power, I think I'd be a little better prepared than the US is now, but that's just me.

@levelazn

Жыл бұрын

the u.s are the bad dudes. china hasnt fired a shot in a war in over 40 years. U.S was drone striking afghan children while pulling out a shit show

@chrisoffutt8968

Жыл бұрын

Totalitarian governments benefit immensely from the stability of long terms in power when it comes to setting and achieving their ambitions. 4-8 year presidencies along with the rest of the electoral process creates difficulty in setting and achieving long term goals. Then add in the budgeting process and the bureaucracy of acquisitions. The founders created an excellent government with limited powers, but there are some aspects that don't work well when you're the current leader of the global order.

@alexplummer6397

Жыл бұрын

@@chrisoffutt8968 the USA, constantly meddles in foreign affairs. Often to protect or gain markets ie. oil and gas. Americans are unaware of this so it’s always surprising when most of the world disagrees. Like this current war. It will benefit every American to educate themselves rather than discussing how much to bomb country A….. all empires fall, but the actions and legacy lives on. Look at England now, and now look at India

@stacey_1111rh

Жыл бұрын

Your not in a “position of power” you are in a position to learn from history. It’s similar and also not to world war 1 and 2 and the Cold War and other blah blah. Hey ya just you yes and you have no no actual idea of how prepared or unprepared we are for a potential conflict.

I wonder about the argument of: don't fight, use your assets to cut off their energy supplies. Make the enemy come to you, if they can.

I think American Air power is stifling. Lobbing JDAMS at 60-70km while there's a storm of static on a PLAN ship's sensor monitors. Throw in a few sea-skimmers and you've got a party. And if you want to go even further: palletized munitions. Same-day air shipping on all those, and it's only a fraction of what the US can do.

@w0mblemania

Жыл бұрын

Don't underestimate just how China has expanded and modernised its arsenals over the last few decades. They may or may not be peer-level but they're also not a paper tiger. And its their home turf. They can patrol, surveil, replenish *much* more easily than the US will ever be able to.

Admiral Paparo: "If you want peace, prepare for war." Peace comes at a cost for sure. History has shown that.

Mooch. Can you please do a "deep intel" on why the F/A-18 E/F/G conformal fuel tanks for Block III were not carrier suitable? That was a big blow to giving Rhinos longer legs. Thank you.

@chrismaggio7879

Жыл бұрын

Erik, I hadn't heard that, but as a former deck monkey I can only guess (and yes, it's a guess for those who want to be super corrective... ) Two reasons come to mind. First: That is a LOT of fuel and that means massive additional weight. The launch of a laden bird is easy. Hell, we could launch fully loaded ANYTHING that you could hook to the cat... but landing is more delicate and weight is critically important. Normally if there were an emergency or situation where an incoming Rino, or any bird, needs to hit the deck quickly (malfunction after take off or battle damage, etc) they cannot jettison the conforms, meaning they would have to land with all that extra flammable weight!! They could technically dump the fuel like in a standard setup, but not if it's a critical final turn and there is no time to dump that much fuel. They already "crash" when they land by comparison to Air Force aircraft when they flair and land on nice 10,000 ft runways. (hence the phrase "flair to land, squat to pee") Second is the same reason above with weight and control, but if they have to take the barricade it may be damaging to the tanks, and a rupture could turn a successful capture into a serious flaming failure! I will look to see Mooch's response to see if I'm close.

"Is the U.S. Navy Ready for the “Axis of Bad Dudes”?" I would imagine that the US wouldn't be fighting alone. I think many analyst are discounting the US's greatest power and that is its friends

@donderstorm1845

Жыл бұрын

i think only AU is a given. japan maybe. everyone else, i doubt they'll go beyond diplomatic/economic sanctions.

@dialecticcoma

11 ай бұрын

yeh i don't think you have many friends left other than us and the aussies lol

@Kokoda144

11 ай бұрын

@@donderstorm1845 pretty sure the UK and the Baltic states would be on board

@donderstorm1845

11 ай бұрын

@@Kokoda144 UK not sure. also the royal navy is in a bad shape nowadays. baltics can't do much. this is on the other side of the world. surveys have shown that the european public is quite averse to war with china. politicians show the same. i wouldn't assume they'd just go along with war against china.

@Kokoda144

11 ай бұрын

@@donderstorm1845 after Putin's flop in Ukraine I am sure China is going to at least second guess its chances of taking Taiwan. It has no friends to count on as every other Asian country around China has the shits with its antics

Wow, have you noticed Admiral Paparo's voice sounds almost exactly like Ward's?

UNCLOS. Mooch, please do an episode on that!

I would be interested in Ward having an interview with Peter Zeihan. Hearing economic, resources and world trade viewpoints mixed with Ward's military expertise might be an interesting mix. I also heard interesting perspectives from the former head of USA military in Europe. He made a good debunking of Putin's NATO expansion excuses for invading Ukraine. He firstly said that the Russian/NATO borders cover only 6% of the total Russian borderline and that NATO had become incredibly eroded in armaments quantity since the end of the Soviet Union, which the Kremlin knows. After all, there is a reason why the NATO spending based on GDP is being lifted and why there is a panic to produce new weapons and consumables.

India and Saudi are both helping Russian economy to stay afloat. Brazil is working with China to eliminate the dependence on US dollars. Singapore is hosting Chinese money that is running from US and EU. Add them to the axis too and you will eventually isolate yourself. By the way, an ex-president of Taiwan had just visited Mainland China to facilitate bilateral trades and was warmly received like an incumbent president. The western media is crazy these days in promoting China threat.

Red Hill is not lost. What is lost is the ground water quality moving down the mountain toward the harbor.

This was enlightening, especially how Taiwan and Ukraine are linked. I hadn't thought of it that way before. Lots of good stuff here. Thanks! Also, "Do they need to be contained?"

Very interesting conversation. I definitely like where you guys went with the issue of Ukraine and how it affects everything else. What was missing though is the fact that the Chinese economy is incredibly weak. They have a national debt problem that is arguably four to five times worse than what we had back in 2007 to 2009 and on top of it they are incredibly dependent upon guess who? The United States consumption economy to continue to fuel their incredibly weakened economy. The biggest reason why Xi is fundamentally focused on expansionist policies (in addition to the CCP just being completely authoritarian and not at all interested in doing the right thing) is because they simply have no choice other than to be expansionist to continue to fuel what is arguably an economy on the brink of breakdown. If you look at the contraction of their workforce versus the expansion of senior population, it is one of the worst in the world. We of course have the same problem but nowhere near to the same degree that China does. On top of it, China is walking an extreme tightrope in that if they decide to challenge us over Taiwan, they risk the biggest fuel that they have to their economy, which is again our consumption-based economy that they depend upon. The real question becomes, do we as a nation recognize that while it may be a free market principal to take advantage of things like cheaper labor etc. the bigger picture in terms of our national interest demands that we make certain economic sacrifices in the short term in order to secure our continued way of life in the longer term. The question is, do we have the intestinal fortitude to see it through? Particularly when we were talking about corporate interests. As an ex-naval officer and a current financial advisor for the last 30 years, it is extremely disheartening to see how gutless our corporate interests are when it comes to profits versus doing things that may hurt in the short term but are vital both are national interests as well as to a more peaceful world where the rule of law is abided by.

@tonysu8860

Жыл бұрын

Absolutely the Chinese economy's recent disasters are positive signs that might restrain the CCP's aggressions but should not be viewed as something that would affect the CCP's intentions towards Taiwan with certainty. Do not underestimate Xi's deep desire to reunify Taiwan by force if necessary to embellish his historical stature as one of the greatest leaders of China.

@GintaPPE1000

Жыл бұрын

The solution is not as simple as economic separation from China. If we stop partaking in trade with them, then not only does the Chinese economy collapse on itself - giving Xi much less to lose in an invasion of Taiwan - but we lose our greatest deterrent against China taking aggressive military action. As we've seen with Iran, North Korea, and now Russia, once a state is cut out of the global economy, there's very little we can do to pressure them besides use or threaten use of military force. And against nuclear-armed states, a military response is not an option, which means we essentially have no leverage beyond economic leverage. Moreover, China will turn to the second and third world for leverage against us if they cannot pressure us directly. Those nations will be happy to trade with Beijing, since it's additional money flowing through their economy, and Beijing will be happy to exploit them as consumers and sources of natural resources. If China institutes an African or east Asian equivalent of the Marshall Plan - which they already sort of are with the Belt & Road Initiative - and successfully outcompetes us for influence in the second world, then we're going to be fighting another long series of proxy wars, most of them back in the same sand pit we just escaped from, to keep Chinese influence from spreading further. This is exactly the trend the USSR took after they were unable to outcompete us for influence in Europe, and that chain of events ultimately led to the Soviet Union's downfall - except this time, *we* are in Moscow's former position, and Beijing is in our former position. Continuing trade with China will not necessarily prevent that, and we need to figure out how to build more than just political alliances with the region, but the more Chinese money is tied up in the West, the less they have to use in the East. And if nothing else, Chinese leverage over the US helps to keep our own government honest - we probably wouldn't have dared to invade Iraq if China was willing to pull out as many sanctions as we slapped on Russia for invading Ukraine.

@bluemarlin8138

Жыл бұрын

@@GintaPPE1000 ​ ​ It would be hard for China to continue to build up its military-much less sustain it-if its economy collapses. And how is China going to sell its goods to Africa when Africa is too poor to afford most of them, and when the companies that actually manufacture the goods (but build factories in China for the cheap labor) pull out of China? It’s not as if the US and Europe would just make all that stuff at home. We’d move production from China to Africa and South/Central America, which would create jobs there and help keep China out. And if China did take aggressive action, having a primary market that is extremely vulnerable to being cut off the US Navy is going to be problematic. And as far as East Asia, most countries there have a view of China that ranges from suspicion to loathing, due to its current behavior and attitude of Han superiority. Having money tied up in the West is the only way China is able to make money. It’s the source of their power, not a check on it. Also, China wasn’t capable of inflicting much damage on the US economy in 2003. It can inflict damage now, but only at the cost of doing much more damage to itself.

Please talk about the AWG-9 BIT book, flycatchers and the green NATOPS.

It's good to see John Cena not soiling his pants because of china for once

@danielsoderqvist9836

Жыл бұрын

Underrated comment lol

Point of trivia: Putin is driving a Toyota Land Cruiser second gen 100 series.

I'd also add most of South America to the disinterested list. Though they have economic interests in China. Or rather, from China. Lots of infrastructure in SA is being built by China and Chinese loans. China doesn't care if the local government is elected or self appointed. Need to get rid of the Jones Act. Building commercial vessels is practice for building warships.

@GSteel-rh9iu

Жыл бұрын

I agree with USC Prof. David Kang that painting China as an automatic threat is the US is not helpful. We need to prepare and strengthen alliances with Japan, Australia, Philipines. But this is not a good path to go down. Go Navy!

what isn't being addressed is that capital will flow to the cheapest manufacturer (and not necessarily the best). pre ww ii investment by ford, coca-cola, ibm, et al helped fund the German military. (I admit to using broad strokes on these points, but this is a comment and not a treatise.) post ww ii, Japan and then South Korea grew exponentially with 1st world investment. china has the shipyards because they have western (1st world) buyers lining up for their goods. shift that capital more aligned nations and suddenly china's abilities are going to wither. when we begin to address the issue with a consideration for the roles all play--government, citizenry, and corporations--perhaps we will then get a clearer picture of how expansionist countries can be moved to an understanding.

Mooch, what are your thoughts on the current state of fleet defense, whether it's against aircraft, missiles, or drones. Is the F-35 up to the task amid its readiness issues? Should we be looking at a pure fleet defense aircraft or ship-based system, instead? If so, what should that look like, in your opinion? Or are we too close to a conflict to have time to develop such an aircraft or system? Losing the Tomcat, imo, left a large gap in fleet defense that even a well-rounded aircraft like the Hornet has struggled to fill, and Lightning II doesn't seem cut out for. While I understand the security reasons behind the decision to take the Tomcat out of operation, I can't help but think that there has been too much of a focus on building aircraft that can do two or more things competently, rather than having a specialized aircraft that will do its job exceptionally.

@mikefallwell1301

Жыл бұрын

We don't have time to develop a new family of ships. But we do have time to develop a new family of drones that could turn it every ship into an aircraft carrier. Too bad we didn't start on that five years ago, I still don't think we're up to speed

@grahamstrouse1165

Жыл бұрын

@@mikefallwell1301There’s a limit to what drones can do. They’re not magic. And they’re not cheap. We COULD accelerate industrial production, but that would require us to stop fucking around with Western European allies & start building stuff with Japan, South Korea, Eastern Europe & similar countries that don’t treat war like a vanishingly distant possibility. There’s a reason why Israeli kit is so good-Israelis live in a really, bad neighborhood.

Thank you Cdr. Unfortunately it feels to me like the war, as far as direct US involvement, is getting closer and closer to reality. My EOS was up in April 1981. I have since worked for one of the large defense contractors on and off for many years but, I haven't worked in 12 years now. I thought, apparently incorrectly, that all this nonsense was behind us. I guess I could go teach AD "A" school if needed but I am too old and my health is not good so really can't help any other way if called on. Damn Cdr. didn't we go through everything in our past so we wouldn't have to fight another big war? Again, thank you. Have a great day and be safe.

@YMagoulo

Жыл бұрын

We have been killing each other since day one. it's our nature and it isn't going to change. In my lifetime the world's population has doubled and there is only so many resources for all of us, a lot of bad times ahead.

I wonder if the admiral would like some Super Tomcat 21's...

Did we forget the Japanese stalled for time with "negotiations" and played the " were the injured party!" even as the Kudo Butai sailed for Pearl Harbor? I haven't.

@horaceweatherby2910

Жыл бұрын

bro get over yourself. you just sound ridiculous.

@baldersn4474

Жыл бұрын

Did we forget why the Japenese invaded in the first place ?

@drewpooters62

Жыл бұрын

@@baldersn4474 if you are referring to the attack, is because we moved our fleet to Pearl Harbor in anticipation of FURTHER Japanese aggression....like more genocides such as Nanking and other sites in Manchuria...but I guess you forgot that part.

@baldersn4474

Жыл бұрын

@@drewpooters62 Im referring to the real reason why the Japenese invaded...You may want to do a bit of research...

@drewpooters62

Жыл бұрын

@@baldersn4474 I'm well aware that the Japanese wanted an empire after being slighted by " the Allies" right after World War One, but only hot a handful of Oacific Islands. It still did not justify her brutal tactics to obtain her "East Asia Co- Prosperity Sphere" which lead in a chain if events to our moving our fleet to Pearl Harbor, which they saw as a threat. What was clear is that if they didn't get their way, war, even as short as it would be in their favor in Yamamoto's view, would be inevitable despite " negotiations".

USAF annual budget = $215b. 🇷🇺’s = 9b. Our pilots avg 3x more monthly seat time + double b4 becoming nuggets. 🇷🇺 pilots get -180h before entering combat & 🇨🇳 has those guys training their pilots. So, air power aspect = no contest.

@GSteel-rh9iu

Жыл бұрын

Xhzeena cranks out 8-12 type 055 guided missile cruisers a year. We can't produce SM6s we've already ordered and paid for. We can't get more than 2 Arleigh-Burkes a year.

600 ships sounds really good right now

Another thought-provoking, if concerning, episode. Thank you, sir. 🤙🏼

You know, if I were a pirate this sudden fleet of off-the-grid oil tankers would be a pretty juicy target. What are they going to do, call an allied anti-piracy patrol?

@grahamstrouse1165

Жыл бұрын

Maybe it’s time to give the Somalis a call…😉

What about shoring up Guam's defenses? There have been a number of recent upgrades. Do you know anyone you could interview about that?

Dear Sir; I got in a silly dispute with another KZreadr in the comments section of a picture of an A-6. My comment included mention of a Grumman F-10 that I thought the A-6 resembled. Back and forth we went. Anyway, I was wondering what you might think? Or do you know any retired engineers from Grumman or enthusiasts of the brand who could comment?

Anyone paying attention to the diminishing number of VLS tubes?

@blakeh6250

Жыл бұрын

What are you babbling about? Plenty of VLS

Ward, Your channel is my geopolitical go to. 👍🇺🇸.

What an excellent conversation to cover what’s really going on in the world.Thank you both.Why can’t America reopen our industrial sectors again vs financially supporting the opposition parties that have so much hatred for the United States?