insane flooding rain to Greenland - rapids in an atmospheric river

Ғылым және технология

It’s not just flooding in Vermont, Japan, Mexico, new study documents deluge rains to Greenland
Article: dx.doi.org/10.1002/met.2134
We add a new term to the atmospheric river vocabulary, “rapids”
Copernicus, Arctic, Regional, Reanalysis video: ”What is the Copernicus Arctic Regional Reanalysis?
• What is the Copernicus...
2021 August rain study videos
Long version • Greenland Ice Sheet At...
Short version • Greenland Ice Sheet At...
Article: Box, J. E., Wehrlé, A., van As, D., Fausto, R. S., Kjeldsen, K. K., Dachauer, A., Ahlstrøm, A. P., and Picard, G., (2022). Greenland ice sheet rainfall, heat and albedo feedback impacts from the mid-August 2021 atmospheric River. Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2021GL097356. doi.org/10.1029/2021GL097356

Пікірлер: 507

  • @patrick247two
    @patrick247two11 ай бұрын

    Thank you. You are my Pecos Hank of Greenland. If the forests are burning, the ice is melting.

  • @pauljames1873
    @pauljames187311 ай бұрын

    Digestible material for me as a layman, I wish everyone was listening. Thank you

  • @MarkHopewell

    @MarkHopewell

    11 ай бұрын

    Sadly MSM are failing to sufficiently report the increasing frequency of catastrophic impact events. For example, not one mention on the BBC this past week about the catastrophic flooding events in Vermont or Montréal. I was astonished over the omission, so much so I complained to them about it.

  • @lawrencetaylor4101

    @lawrencetaylor4101

    11 ай бұрын

    @@MarkHopewell LOL Swiss also have state run media and they did mention 2 rain events, including calling one a 1,000 year flood, with nary a mention of climb at.

  • @a.randomjack6661

    @a.randomjack6661

    11 ай бұрын

    @@MarkHopewell Silence is just another form of propaganda

  • @MarkHopewell

    @MarkHopewell

    11 ай бұрын

    @@a.randomjack6661 Yes, you're right.

  • @Maungateitei

    @Maungateitei

    11 ай бұрын

    Doesn't fit with their pre planned "Record fires because of drought" scam narrative. (there isn't record fires, they've just expanded the area they monitor into the Arctic, and they are more stinky because they are volcanic dike insertion into tarsands and peat initiated. The only thing you need to fear is those who seek to scare you, and by that control you. There is nothing unusual about what Jason is talking about. There is not an IceSheet on the area Jason is talking about anymore. This Ocean heating and CO2 degassing is driven by 59 and 210 year Earth-moon-sun orbital parameters that cause the equatorial circumference to expand by 10 kilometers while the Earth's polar radius decreases by 1.5km. And back again. This is now known to be the prime driver of plate tectonics, and as the moons orbit tilts more or less steeply relative to the plane of the solar system, also draws the weather belts Further towards the poles. This causes peaks in volcanism, particularly the seafloor spreading vulcanisim similar to recently observed occuring in Iceland and under the Greenland and Antarctic Icesheets. And in the deep Arctic and Southern Oceans. The atmospheric gas record from Ice Cores has proven worthless, as the volitility is on far shorter timescales than the 5000 to 9000 years that it takes to seal gas into an ice sheet. Leaf stomata proxies, and speleotherm, and sediment cores have taught us that there has been warm and cold oscillation on around a 230 year cycle for the last few thousand years, we are past the hot peak, we are not as high in greenhouse gases or temperature now as the medieval warm period. And we now know that subglacial volcanism has melted Greenland and Antarctica Ice sheets back past where they are today, and then the glaciers have advanced again fed by the enhanced evaporation from volcanically heated polar seas, many times in the holocene, the last 20000 years. Tell Jason to catch up with the science.

  • @kevinjpluck
    @kevinjpluck11 ай бұрын

    Very clear, well explained, and disturbing as hell!

  • @billgoedecke2265

    @billgoedecke2265

    11 ай бұрын

    Right!

  • @toddnelsen8694

    @toddnelsen8694

    11 ай бұрын

    this is normal, not disturbing. Don’t be scared. It’s just whether.

  • @billgoedecke2265

    @billgoedecke2265

    11 ай бұрын

    @@toddnelsen8694 whether or not!

  • @lawrencetaylor4101

    @lawrencetaylor4101

    11 ай бұрын

    @@toddnelsen8694 Whether is how we climb at something that's always been changing.

  • @bholmes5490

    @bholmes5490

    11 ай бұрын

    @@toddnelsen8694 It scares me you can't spell weather and want to be trusted. I'm not scared for me, but for future humans and the other animals.

  • @donovanjones4175
    @donovanjones417511 ай бұрын

    I was in Chicago in the 90’s, one night saw 17 inches of rain, down by the Gulf of Mexico, a foot of rain is also possible. This however is mind bending, the revenge of Gaia and feedback loops are as James Lovelock said, accelerating.good work, by this fellow here, I’m a layman and I get it.

  • @iamdone7094

    @iamdone7094

    11 ай бұрын

    so extreme weather is nothing new?

  • @iamdone7094

    @iamdone7094

    11 ай бұрын

    why would so called scientists NOT use ALL of the available weather data in their dooms day charts? Wait, I think I just answered my own question

  • @bengagnon2894

    @bengagnon2894

    11 ай бұрын

    @@iamdone7094 Extreme weather, no. Getting hit repeatly by extreme weather every other week, yes.

  • @marvinmartin4692
    @marvinmartin469211 ай бұрын

    I’ve worked and played outdoors for all of my life. I’m 67 . I know for a fact our weather is not the same!

  • @monkeyfist.348
    @monkeyfist.34811 ай бұрын

    Nice presentation! And wow, the detail is incredible. Congratulations on passing the hazardous tent test. Assuming that was your tent in +100km/hr winds. I just couldn't help but think you must have been wondering at the time if the tent was going to fly off up the glacier.

  • @user-md9yv7jx2c
    @user-md9yv7jx2c11 ай бұрын

    Las Vegas had 4 inches of rain fall one day. They had to get a helicopter to rescue the guys on a firetruck that was being washed away.

  • @bitkrusher5948

    @bitkrusher5948

    11 ай бұрын

    10 in Vermont recently we are in trouble yet our gov won't admit it.

  • @jimmoses6617

    @jimmoses6617

    11 ай бұрын

    @@bitkrusher5948 Such rainfall amounts have happened forever. Please understand this and calm down.

  • @jimmoses6617

    @jimmoses6617

    11 ай бұрын

    @@bitkrusher5948 Are you being sarcastic? John Kerry is trying to scare everyone into believing this hysteria.

  • @ericstevens8131

    @ericstevens8131

    11 ай бұрын

    ​jimmoses6617 if you're interested in data on the subject you can check out Climate Central Rising Hourly Rainfall Intensity.

  • @ericstevens8131

    @ericstevens8131

    11 ай бұрын

    bitkrusher, our government has done more than admit it. It rejoined the Paris Climate Accord and devoted more money and resources than ever before in the huge infrastructure bill that passed last year.

  • @paulreimer9358
    @paulreimer935811 ай бұрын

    Incredibly well explained, and unfortunately rather terrifying in its implications. You've earned a subscriber.

  • @TheDoomWizard
    @TheDoomWizard11 ай бұрын

    You're the man. This is incredible.

  • @Naturalook
    @Naturalook11 ай бұрын

    Thanks…. Good job Jason…. Your careful, deliberate, well paced explaination makes for an easy to understand, and interpret what is really at hand…. Hang on to your butt, the time is now, or never…

  • @TennesseeJed
    @TennesseeJed11 ай бұрын

    The trickery about carbon capture is It'll take as much or more energy than we took from the hydrocarbon in the first place to fix it back in solids. Not to mention the waste heat we would create to add to the mix of an already warmer planet.

  • @voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885

    @voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885

    11 ай бұрын

    Pretty smooth trickery since it was just promoted on 60 minutes as the techno-Fix that will save the planet. haha. Nothing to see here folks.

  • @TennesseeJed

    @TennesseeJed

    11 ай бұрын

    @@voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885 they have to say something other than our society is going to collapse and the population is going to dramatically drop in the next few years.

  • @truebrit71
    @truebrit7111 ай бұрын

    Interesting, and very alarming. Thanks for continuing to share your research.

  • @jimmoses6617

    @jimmoses6617

    11 ай бұрын

    Alarming...yes. Climate Change Alarmism at its finest.

  • @gilbertsatchell6866
    @gilbertsatchell686611 ай бұрын

    I am astounded by your delivery Prof. I would be on the ceiling screaming. I may have to watch this many times to get the full massage/lesson. Thank you for Being.

  • @jimthain8777
    @jimthain877711 ай бұрын

    Thank you Mr. Box for this very clear warning. I hope the right people see/hear about it! The part that should worry them, (us too) is the data that is NOT included in your ice sheet models. Depending on just what the effects of that data are on the ice sheets, our entire calculation of how fast the ice sheets will melt could be seriously wrong. The difference between millimeters of sea level rise per year, and centimeters of sea level rise per year, may not sound like a big difference, but it compounds year over year. I really hope I'm wrong about the melting speeding up, but that's the conclusion I come to from the type of data not in the models currently being used. This is important, because what we don't know is coming, we can't plan for and that will hit us like a sledgehammer in coming decades.

  • @Calligraphybooster

    @Calligraphybooster

    11 ай бұрын

    No, I think you are spot-on. The models predicting ice sheet melt are more like setting a timer next to an ice cube on a plate, discounting a myriad of effects that hasten the process taking place in nature, most of which will probably take us by surprise.

  • @tedg1278

    @tedg1278

    11 ай бұрын

    Another factor that I believe is not properly accounted for regarding Greenland is the topography of the bedrock. Greenland is like a bowl with a huge ring of mountains and a central area below current sea level. A small rise in sea level is all that is required to lead to destabilization of the center of the ice sheet.

  • @Calligraphybooster

    @Calligraphybooster

    11 ай бұрын

    @@tedg1278 Ah yes. That seems to make sense. But it may be compensated (although I do not know at what speed this process takes place) by the bedrock rising, as the pressure of the ice on top of it is reduced due to melt.

  • @syberawa7429

    @syberawa7429

    11 ай бұрын

    You are in no way wrong. Accelerating icesheet melt has undisclosed effects.

  • @tatradak9781

    @tatradak9781

    11 ай бұрын

    Dream on... Honestly it's pathetic what little is being done..

  • @rickricky5626
    @rickricky562611 ай бұрын

    i thought i was old enough to die long before the bad stuff.......i was wrong......this is all coming really fast.....we almost out of time folks.

  • @MarkHopewell

    @MarkHopewell

    11 ай бұрын

    I frequently comment elsewhere that any human that lives to their full life expectancy and are currently 60 years old, they will all not just witness these catastrophic changes elsewhere but also experience them directly.

  • @guesswho6038

    @guesswho6038

    11 ай бұрын

    @@MarkHopewell Simply no.

  • @littlesigh
    @littlesigh11 ай бұрын

    I was a weather forecaster at Thule 2007-2014. Worked a lot with the NASA Ice recon guys and other science researchers through those years. Your reports have always intrigued me and this latest fits the bill. Thank you! I miss working and living at Thule.

  • @TheLittleAlien
    @TheLittleAlien11 ай бұрын

    Excellent work and very informative video.

  • @andywomack3414
    @andywomack341411 ай бұрын

    The model presented at 5:14 triggers a memory of Colorado Front Range weather called "terrain-anchored convective events." Could that be analogous to what's happening in Greenland? Do the mountains inland from US West Coast create a similar pattern? When thinking about our atmosphere and patterns of vertical and horizontal circulation I think it important to realize how using vertical exaggeration in visual representations can give us a distorted mental image and basic misunderstanding of the process. The first feature of the troposphere that we should be aware of is it's incredible shallowness. Rapids, and standing waves. Like the Chinook 70mph stiff breezes that frequent Boulder, and those magnificent lee-clouds.

  • @hinatasigosson8812
    @hinatasigosson881211 ай бұрын

    Thank you. You are correct and your work is finally being rewarded.

  • @jespermikkelsen7553
    @jespermikkelsen755311 ай бұрын

    Excellent video. I guess this effect is self-reinforcing. It is extremely worrying that this is not incorporated into current climate models.

  • @andreleblanc7616
    @andreleblanc761611 ай бұрын

    Thank you Jason and please keep sharing these video's, they really help me and others I'm sure when trying to explain to friends the magnitude of our climate problems.

  • @BenBuja
    @BenBuja11 ай бұрын

    Thanks for the video. Very informative!

  • @MarkHopewell
    @MarkHopewell11 ай бұрын

    Absolutely fascinating research. Thank you for carrying out this vital work, I've been following your work for a while as I have followed Alun Hubbard's work too.

  • @brittandthatsall
    @brittandthatsall11 ай бұрын

    Thanks so much for patiently explaining this part of the complex situation we're in. I'm so glad you're doing this, as bad as data reveals are. Cheers!

  • @hasehirokazu72
    @hasehirokazu7211 ай бұрын

    Thank you very much for informing us very impressive heavy rain effect in Iceland!

  • @letransformateur6477

    @letransformateur6477

    11 ай бұрын

    Greenland

  • @lawrencetaylor4101
    @lawrencetaylor410111 ай бұрын

    Swiss Cheesification of ice. Faster than expected. Quite the strong message about stopping fossil fuels, and maybe using the only carbon capture technique we have today that works? I've proposed that students be taught renewables as well as uses of hemp & bamboo at a Swiss professional school. It initially was accepted in early 2018 before it was blocked by the fossil fuel lobby. Surprisingly no climate group supported this idea. Greta and her group rejected it at SMILE in Lausanne. But 2 weeks ago one member of FFF Sweden expressed support, and so I wrote another letter. The school hasn't answereed but the local OECD is interested. Maybe someone might give a call to EPAC Bulle and express support?

  • @voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885

    @voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885

    11 ай бұрын

    why would Greta reject it - and what is Greta's "group"?

  • @CharlesBrodheadIII
    @CharlesBrodheadIII11 ай бұрын

    Great content, thanks. Immediately subscribed.

  • @kenny3485
    @kenny34858 ай бұрын

    Thank you Dr. Box for all you do!

  • @nancyhope2205
    @nancyhope220511 ай бұрын

    Thank you.

  • @shaunhall960
    @shaunhall96011 ай бұрын

    I grew up near Bailey Colorado and I have seen change here in our climate. This year I will be 60. I remember 40 years ago scientist telling us what was going to happen to our planet if we didn't change our ways. We are definitely experimenting on our own existence.

  • @eliaslyman9256
    @eliaslyman925611 ай бұрын

    Thank you for your work.

  • @-LightningRod-
    @-LightningRod-11 ай бұрын

    oh my goodness, ..i feel so much empathy for you MrBoxx, ...i am Alarmed, i can only imagine how YOU feel after a Lifetime of effort trying to get people to pay attention, ...well, Im paying attention MrBoxx.

  • @nitapenz5547
    @nitapenz554711 ай бұрын

    Thanks for this video & for the increase of consistent monitors & rain maping.

  • @weathergirl369cloud
    @weathergirl369cloud11 ай бұрын

    beautiful work. WE thank you

  • @grumpy1311
    @grumpy131111 ай бұрын

    Great to the point , digestible information

  • @conanbreslin4409
    @conanbreslin440911 ай бұрын

    Looks like slumping will be a bigger issue than surging glaciers. Live now. Thanks for the update

  • @MQ-cw9qx
    @MQ-cw9qx11 ай бұрын

    Thank you--hope this information reaches a whole SPL of people.

  • @TheMrCougarful
    @TheMrCougarful11 ай бұрын

    Jason Box knows what's up.

  • @robertdiehl1281
    @robertdiehl128111 ай бұрын

    Excellent video by the way.

  • @WildcraftBritain
    @WildcraftBritain11 ай бұрын

    Wow 😮 another amazing video 😊 thank you so much for taking the time 🙏 your really helping my knowledge base and therefore understanding of the mess we find ourselves in 🌧️🌀

  • @LilA-zl6tf
    @LilA-zl6tf11 ай бұрын

    Thank you....

  • @hagvaktok
    @hagvaktok11 ай бұрын

    I saw the mass balance loss of the Greenland Ice cap [the newly exposed rock] from Etah [Smith Sound] down to Upernavik in 2008 and it was staggering. The ice cap looked black. Same with northern Ellesmere Island ice caps where I worked.

  • @veronicasvevabrugnetti
    @veronicasvevabrugnetti11 ай бұрын

    thank you

  • @JeffLemmon-kh4nm
    @JeffLemmon-kh4nm11 ай бұрын

    Excellent report, thank you.

  • @enospitch9466
    @enospitch946611 ай бұрын

    The Variance (or Standatd Deviation) is often a more important diagnostic than the Mean.

  • @erikolsen5802
    @erikolsen580211 ай бұрын

    Awesome video, really informative

  • @sean900fps
    @sean900fps11 ай бұрын

    thank you well done .. great explanation of data collection and interpretation 🥃

  • @DanA-nl5uo
    @DanA-nl5uo11 ай бұрын

    Ironically this video hits as VT is being hit with a second river of rain predicted to drop 14 more inches just days after the rain fall mentioned in this video. I am watching it from NH wondering how bad the flooding will be here today.

  • @Patrick_Ross

    @Patrick_Ross

    11 ай бұрын

    The Vermont flooding is yet another wake-up call in the ever increasing number of wake-up calls stretching across the nation. And yet those with the ability to take action are still asleep. Good luck with this next round of flooding. Some parts of the U.S….and the planet….might be safer from extreme weather but nobody is completely immune.

  • @em945

    @em945

    11 ай бұрын

    I am not in the US , but just saw a video on my weather channel forcast that said an extremely fast rising flash flood in Pennsylvania has washed cars off a road, with at least 3 dead already. Terribly sad. Stay safe, and in place if you can.

  • @mykota2417
    @mykota241711 ай бұрын

    On your greenhouse gases graph what rises first c02 or temp? Also thoughts on increase on artic ice rebound over past decade?

  • @joejoe-vx4xs

    @joejoe-vx4xs

    11 ай бұрын

    liar

  • @jimmoses6617

    @jimmoses6617

    11 ай бұрын

    Good questions. Thank you! @joejoe and his ilk will accept 100% of all "bad news" about climate without question, while denying 100% of any "good news" or even "not so bad news" about climate without question. They all seem to be the same people more or less who were also scared into believing that CViD was going to wipe them out, so lined up to get all the shots and masks they could without question.

  • @christiandufour4152
    @christiandufour415211 ай бұрын

    Excellent 👍

  • @phloxdiffusa
    @phloxdiffusa11 ай бұрын

    That is one good video. I have shared it on several climate groups.

  • @merbst
    @merbst11 ай бұрын

    I got stuck at work in Solvang California when all possible highways back home to Goleta California were flooded by 20+ inches of rain in a 36 hour period in February 2006 (maybe 2005 or even 2007)... when weather stations in Santa Ynez, & Santa Barbara recorded all time 24/48 hour historic precipitation records for the continental US. I worked in a newer building with a flat roof that sounded and looked like it was ready to collapse. I remember hitting refresh on Cal-Trans highway information page many times that day. I saw some photos of the ridiculously huge boulder that fell, blocking the pass between Santa Barbara & Santa Ynez, very close to the station that gave the highest precipitation readings in US Mainland history.

  • @boblatkey7160

    @boblatkey7160

    10 ай бұрын

    I lived on Camino Cielo during all that and it was one hell of a ride! Crazy times! Later I moved down to North Ontare Rd. and then had the blessing of losing my home in the Jesusita fire.

  • @JosephNordenbrockartistraction
    @JosephNordenbrockartistraction11 ай бұрын

    very well spoken and presented. thanks

  • @pascalbercker7487
    @pascalbercker748711 ай бұрын

    Great presentation as ususal, but the music should be just a little less prominent. I like the tone and the mood of the music, but it sometimes overpowers the detailed presentation which I struggled to stay focused on. I have ADHD and the rhythmic beat of the music kept hijacking my attention.

  • @themusicofnewyork1570
    @themusicofnewyork157011 ай бұрын

    What about increased heat conductivity of wet snow? Ican imagine that dry snow acts like a down jacket keeping the ice underneath cold and wet snow is like a wet down jacket that doesn't work anymore

  • @tikaanipippin

    @tikaanipippin

    11 ай бұрын

    Ice and water generally equilibrate at 0C under normal atmospheric conditons from the definition of the freezing point of water. If it loses heat, it freezes, if it gains heat it melts. So it depends on the environment. If energy is input, melting, e.g. if the sun shines on the melt pools, or air temperature is above zero, but if the melted ice water passes over subzero ice, it can freeze, or if there is wind chill.

  • @boblatkey7160
    @boblatkey716010 ай бұрын

    Fantastic presentation! Studied positive feedback loops in meteorology at UCSB 20 years ago and this is really interesting stuff to watch. Stuff that you are confirming in these videos. Thank you!

  • @Supershark83
    @Supershark8311 ай бұрын

    Great graphics, excellent presentation. Also scary

  • @michaeldepodesta001
    @michaeldepodesta00111 ай бұрын

    Thank you: that was terrifying. Do you have more videos/links about the impact of Arctic warming on the Jet stream?

  • @edwardmiessner6502
    @edwardmiessner650211 ай бұрын

    Thank you for doing this important work to help us understand the processes of global weirding, especially after all that rain turned your glacier into a virtual Slush Puppie! 😱

  • @Andre-jg7gq
    @Andre-jg7gq11 ай бұрын

    We are Toast!

  • @EmeraldView

    @EmeraldView

    11 ай бұрын

    Mmmm toast

  • @aum82

    @aum82

    11 ай бұрын

    Nomnom

  • @JasonBoxClimate

    @JasonBoxClimate

    11 ай бұрын

    The poor are toast, and some of the rich who end up in the wrong place and time

  • @DanA-nl5uo

    @DanA-nl5uo

    11 ай бұрын

    ​​@@JasonBoxClimate will stick with Peter Carter who said few people will see 3C and no one will live to see 4C over pre industrial. That comes from his interview with Roger Hallman about 2 years ago the video is on Roger's KZread channel.

  • @Andre-jg7gq

    @Andre-jg7gq

    11 ай бұрын

    @@JasonBoxClimate Hard to live in a bunker with other psychopaths for 100,000-200,000 years.

  • @daviribeiro8846
    @daviribeiro884611 ай бұрын

    Very intetesti G your work

  • @OldScientist
    @OldScientist10 ай бұрын

    Greenland has been cooling since 2012. How inconvenient!

  • @caseychris2010
    @caseychris201011 ай бұрын

    Chilling!!!

  • @adrianbratt9927
    @adrianbratt992711 ай бұрын

    Hi, please do you have references for the rounding of ice crystal leading to darker snow? Many thanks Ade

  • @haydenbsiegel
    @haydenbsiegel10 ай бұрын

    Nice work! I wonder if the rain and rapids are worse on the western or eastern side of Greenland? If I am not mistaken the North Atlantic Drift and Eastern Greenlandic Current circulate off the eastern shore of Greenland which produces a lot of rain. Maybe it is contributing too? I have so many more questions now.

  • @wolkenbummler
    @wolkenbummler11 ай бұрын

    Jason, can you pleas explain the atmospheric greenhouse effect? So far I never saw an explanation of this effect, that was compatible with basic physics.

  • @voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885

    @voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885

    11 ай бұрын

    look up 2011 Raymond Pierrehumbert's article on Physics Today on planetary climate. I'm just now reading Pierrehumbert's review (with David Archer) of global warming science starting in 1824 with Joseph Fourier figuring out that "dark heat" (infrared radiation) was warming Earth and that "industrial activity" would increase the warming!! So you're just 200 years behind in your science. That 2011 book by Pierrehumbert and Archer includes all the science article along with their commentary.

  • @joejoe-vx4xs

    @joejoe-vx4xs

    11 ай бұрын

    blödmann

  • @rickkearn7100
    @rickkearn710011 ай бұрын

    A tipping point will be reached. The only problem is, it's devilishly difficult to predict when that will be. It's too bad that weather data from the 1880's to the 1960's is so unreliable otherwise the climatology community would have a larger data set to work with, instead of the very small data set used in all current modeling. Ice core sampling offers some hope but is still in a learning curve. Hopefully one day, this will be a thoroughly understood science that can be applied to modeling of when the tipping point will arrive.

  • @jimmoses6617

    @jimmoses6617

    11 ай бұрын

    There is no scientific evidence for the concept of a "tipping point" in earth's climate history. The 1930s was the hottest decade in the U.S. and in areas where temperature data was available. The earth cooled from 1930s to the late 1970s, and every single major newspaper and scientific journals published articles about the "coming ice age". They were using the raw temperature data to come to this conclusion. Also, the medieval warm period was quite warm relative to today...when warm-weather grapes were able to be grown in Britain so successfully that the French put tariffs on red wines. Keep in mind that fear/alarmism is what sells, so that's what is being sold. Modeling is also nothing more than another format to present one's hypothesis. There is nothing inherent to a model that allows it to predict the future, though so many people have been manipulated into believing there is.

  • @letransformateur6477

    @letransformateur6477

    11 ай бұрын

    @@jimmoses6617 Even Exxon was able to predict the current temperature in the 80s with a model... Also a large part, if not most of the cooling in the 1930 to 1970 was from uncontrolled aerosol emissions. I hope you start learning from credible sources soon

  • @guesswho6038

    @guesswho6038

    11 ай бұрын

    ​@@letransformateur6477 Oh so you say the cooling was there anyway? With recent "history adjustments" it converts to warming at a rate probably proportional to money flowing in.

  • @thomasellis8586
    @thomasellis858611 ай бұрын

    Dr. Jason Box is the gold standard among climate scientists!

  • @Zed_Oud
    @Zed_Oud11 ай бұрын

    Only watchable by older viewers. Please check your audio for high pitched noise. Good thing CC exists.

  • @rapauli
    @rapauli11 ай бұрын

    Time to revise estimates for how fast Greenland will melt. No longer centuries.

  • @Calligraphybooster
    @Calligraphybooster11 ай бұрын

    This is a process unleashed by changing circumstances previously totally unforeseen, right? Peter Wadhams didn’t mention it yet in het ‘A farewell to Ice’ as far as I remember. We also spike, we learn more then ever at ever greater speed, and then all this knowledge, down to the ability to read and write get washed off the earth. Thanks for briefing us anyway, very clear presentation.

  • @OldScientist
    @OldScientist10 ай бұрын

    "Greenland ice sheet mass balance from 1840 through next week." (Mankoff et al., 2021). If you examine Fig.2 on page 5, you will see there would be no correlation with the exponential increase in the concentration of carbon dioxide (280ppm to 420ppm) and the change in the annual Mass Balance Sum shown in the paper. Indeed there have been periods of increasing mass of the Greenland ice cap in the 1940's, 70's, 80's and 90's. (Remember CO2 was rising all the time.) The Greenland ice sheet is thought to contribute 0.7mm/yr to sea-level rise, so 54mm by 2100 (just over 2 inches). That sounds small because it is small. Also an accounting error. More recently Greenland Total Ice Mass Balance rate of loss reached its maximum in 2012 but the trend rate of loss has been diminishing ever since. That's while we've added 500 million tonnes of CO2 to the atmosphere (14% of total human emissions). The average annual loss is 0.005% of the total mass (around 3 million gigatonnes). That's neglible. Come back in 20,000 years.

  • @Rexini_Kobalt
    @Rexini_Kobalt11 ай бұрын

    Were you by chance the dude rocking those sick glasses in a segment from Before the Flood? Havnt seen that film in years, but I recognized you almost instantly. How melancholy it feels now to think about that piece, seeing as the message was missed entirely..

  • @rustywater3219
    @rustywater321911 ай бұрын

    How much of this has to do with hot tub temp waters around Florida?

  • @sumiland6445
    @sumiland64458 ай бұрын

    Is there an ipdate?

  • @daviribeiro8846
    @daviribeiro884611 ай бұрын

    Those cases of extreme flores are similar tô a tropical eventos of squash lines

  • @rosemariebredahl9519
    @rosemariebredahl951911 ай бұрын

    Are any of these frequencies "popping" cavitation-bubble(ish) structures, and, if so, what's being learned about that energy release contributing , with other self-feeding factors, toward accelerating the rate of climate-crisis changes?

  • @denispontbriand
    @denispontbriand11 ай бұрын

    Thanks for your public involvement. The general public is unaware of magnitude of present state of affair concerning the climate change. Our psychology is so wired that we deny or avoid listening to bad news.

  • @thomasbongers5322
    @thomasbongers532211 ай бұрын

    ❤👍

  • @tomlakosh1833
    @tomlakosh183311 ай бұрын

    Can you estimate the amount of methane trapped in hydrates that are yet to be released from permafrost and oceanic sediments? Has anyone done a parametric analysis of the timing and effect of the hydrate sublimation and permafrost decay?

  • @mrpaul5726
    @mrpaul572611 ай бұрын

    AH Great, Nothing to worry about then.😱

  • @ngsq12
    @ngsq1211 ай бұрын

    Younger Dryas II?

  • @steveberkson3873
    @steveberkson387311 ай бұрын

    Is there a lot of lenticular clouds ? The loop you describe is kind of frightening.

  • @TheNetatube
    @TheNetatube11 ай бұрын

    THX 4 posting! One question: how dramatic do you think this is? I am not suggesting to act like crazy while streaming video but add a bit more of emotion, which may induce not just "amazing" but "panicking" instead, 'cause this is not the case when one could say "don't get panic": it absolutely IS time to panic.

  • @mickdaly2778
    @mickdaly277811 ай бұрын

    Thanks Jason, when the time comes will the greenland ice sheets collapse like Jenga ?

  • @JasonBoxClimate

    @JasonBoxClimate

    11 ай бұрын

    It won’t happen so abruptly.

  • @-LightningRod-

    @-LightningRod-

    11 ай бұрын

    you mean like "TsunamiBergs" toppling into the Ocean?

  • @tikaanipippin

    @tikaanipippin

    11 ай бұрын

    @@-LightningRod- Like it did back in 1912, when non-anthropogenic global warming melted the Arctic Ice, and sank the Titanic?

  • @-LightningRod-

    @-LightningRod-

    11 ай бұрын

    @@tikaanipippin im tellin ya, i can't make this stuff up fast enough to be shocking anymore i was working on "Giant Flaming Cyclonadoes" Thanks canada and russia, Rain Bombs is done all i got left is TsunamiBergs,.....or maybe Bomb Cyclones,....

  • @tikaanipippin

    @tikaanipippin

    11 ай бұрын

    @@-LightningRod- What about Holocolostomypants, or Necropaedophilistines vs. para-ano-succubinicacidophilusneopalindromicnucleicacidpolymorphisms? The keyboard is your Ostreatus :)

  • @daviribeiro8846
    @daviribeiro884611 ай бұрын

    High, Ana from Bradil in Csmpinas, São Paulo

  • @user-jl7up8qc8z
    @user-jl7up8qc8z11 ай бұрын

    This video should be shown,world wide, as a Public Information Film ,no information platform exempt.

  • @brettmoore3194
    @brettmoore319411 ай бұрын

    Could you use a different term besides gravity wave....? Bouyancy wave maybe or rarefaction, trough and peak of a transverse wind current🎉

  • @bobstuart2638
    @bobstuart263811 ай бұрын

    Interesting, but ruined by the "music."

  • @Patrick_Ross

    @Patrick_Ross

    11 ай бұрын

    The background is very low key and not at all distracting.

  • @bobstuart2638

    @bobstuart2638

    11 ай бұрын

    @@Patrick_Ross Maybe it is not distracting to you, but once you notice how subliminal music is being used to manipulate your attention and emotions, it can be intolerable. It is hard enough to be rational without deliberate interference with the subconscious.

  • @Patrick_Ross

    @Patrick_Ross

    11 ай бұрын

    @@bobstuart2638 - I seriously doubt Jason’s was intending to manipulate our emotions. There are plenty of channels out there with dramatic, doomsday type music trying to do that. Jason’s soothing music is definitely not one of them!😂

  • @seb4462
    @seb446211 ай бұрын

    everyone should watch this to understand how the climate changes lead to catastrophic weather locally, partially further fueling global warming

  • @northerncoloradotransparen1454
    @northerncoloradotransparen145411 ай бұрын

    If this is the end of man hope i can watch it on youtube

  • @the42the
    @the42the11 ай бұрын

    The City of Boulder owns its own glaciers technically. Do you get up to the university mountain research station on Niwot ridge re: Arikaree & Arapaho Glaciers? I used to work Patrol at the Boulder Watershed back in the 80s-2000, and wonder how the area is doing. Hiker's photos from Mt. Navaho show Arikaree Glacier as gone...

  • @lionrocklr9217
    @lionrocklr921711 ай бұрын

    Thank. you for this insightful report. It helps greatly to jostle our imaginations so we can comprehend what the hell is going on out there, Much appreciated,

  • @juanreza4500
    @juanreza450011 ай бұрын

    I would like a definition of "gravity wave" since that term is new to me in this context and can't be confused with that in cosmology.

  • @judithwake2757
    @judithwake275711 ай бұрын

    Somehow the scientists have had their tongues loosened today. FINALLY !

  • @nl5095
    @nl509511 ай бұрын

    How has the Hunga Ha'apai eruption on 15 Jan 2022 (largest since Krakatoa) being factored into the rainfall data now, living in New Zealand a significant increase in rainfall has occurred since this eruption, also seen in Australia?

  • @desertodavid
    @desertodavid11 ай бұрын

    What really scares me though is those atmospheric Cyclone BOMBS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!😴!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • @tikaanipippin
    @tikaanipippin11 ай бұрын

    Whereas @ 1:04 "Laser-focussed" sounds sharp and precise, @ 2:37 " 2/3rds-of-a-foot" and @ 2:45 "half-a-foot" seem particularly fuzzy, as most of the world understands millimetres as a measure of short depths or lengths. Once you begin using one metric, please stick to it. We have already absorbed that 200mm fell on Greenland and that one foot = 304mm, and we can mentally work out that 200/304 = ~2/3rds of a foot.

  • @peterjohnstaples
    @peterjohnstaples11 ай бұрын

    How similar is this to when the Vikings being able to live in Greenland when the C02 was around 300 ppm? and according to Greenland ice core records it was warmer then.

  • @snorfallupagus6014
    @snorfallupagus601410 ай бұрын

    Please explain the flash freezing of megafauna in Siberia 12,000 years ago. How did that happen?

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