Very educational way you put it. Being in SWFL I am concerned 95L could head up this way our waters are very warm ...wished you had long term just so we know what could happen

So happy that I found you!! Very Impressive 😊

@hurricanetrack

2 күн бұрын

Thank you!! 😊

The NHC might start issuing watches for the Windward islands for the 5pm update. Invest 95 imminent to become Beryl (100%. chance at 1pm.)

@justinw-bs7053

2 күн бұрын

Ive never seen 100%, only 90. Is this new or is does it show 100 for a short period of time in the past.

@johnnyfrancois9491

2 күн бұрын

Man this thing is about to explode to Cat 4 or 5 Hurricane Beryl

Just raised the odds of development for invest 95L to 100/100

@ericjones8791

2 күн бұрын

It be a td by 5 pm

@justinwilson3922

2 күн бұрын

@@ericjones8791I should have been a TD during this update I don’t understand why they didn’t

Mark i enjoy all your vidoes with coffee so educational and interesting at once

@hurricanetrack

2 күн бұрын

That’s fantastic!

@perrylim9728

2 күн бұрын

@@hurricanetrack I am a fan of u since the Ian video last yr!

Watching from BARBADOS thank u

Hello from the UK. Wonderful video, very informative.

I’d like you to talk about the Atlantic La Niña developing too. Because that is going to really help the MDR activity too this season I would think

Without El Niño being a factor, I think this hurricane season is gonna be extremely active. Even NOAA is predicting its most intense hurricane season forecast in a while. But fascinating analysis Mark thank you! ❤🌀

Very informative video, thanks!

I always enjoy your vids, especially in Hurricane season. Thanks.

@hurricanetrack

2 күн бұрын

Glad you like them!

Those SST anomalies tho...I think this season will be a beast.

Thanks , Mark. 👍

So ur gonna convert the Tacoma from Hail Collector to Hurricane Tracker? Nice!!!

Watching from Grenada on a boat ⛵️

Thx Mark

thank you it's refreshing to get information based on data instead of infotainment

@hurricanetrack

46 минут бұрын

Glad it was helpful!

105 mph PEAK with a 85 mph storm heading south of Barbados 😮 definitely one to seriously consider

seems like the Atlantic every year is +4/+5° SST above average. What's scary is that raises the average slightly every year yet the next year it's still +4/+5... 😬

thanks mark. awesome aurora pic

It truly takes thousands of years to truly know what’s rare or not rare or what’s unusual. if we were living 15,000 years ago, we would’ve never seen any hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico because we were 8° colder.

@hurricanetrack

2 күн бұрын

Well yeah but we only have 150 good years so we have to go with what we’ve got.

Also watching from Barbados !!

Heres something to consider the years where we have had early carribeanhurricanes like this might be? 2020 2005 1933 The top 3 busiest seasons

With Facebook memories around this time a few years back; we had Bret; Cindy; PTC 2. Also remember Beryl in 2018?

Very informative

I guess the ECMWF wasn't far off from its idea of this being one of the strongest signal seasons its ever predicted ahead of time. I'm not that shocked the eastern pacific is dead this year but the fact there's been zero activity there for almost 2 months is very alarming for the atlantic. Though what's really alarming is the fact the intensity models are seeing this system get to category 2 or potentially category 3 strength in this area...the only other year I can remember that ever pulled something off like that in July was 2005 with Dennis.

The wave behind 95L could be pulled in to the gulf end of next week because a incoming trough and the heat dome moving to the south west states

We are leaving Orlando July 6 for a cruise that goes to St Thomas and st Marteen, July 10 and 11, how will things be looking then?

TD two as of after 3pm!!!!

I would never accuse you of fear-mongering... We know you and your passionate about your work and fear-mongering is not amongst it. The fear-mongers are easy to spot because it will look like they spent more time on their thumbnail than they did the entire video

Mississippi river is cresting sunday in st Paul MN

TD2 has just been designated on the best track 👀👀, im going for a 75 mph peak on the first advisory, definitely everyone in windwards to need brace for atleast a strong tropical storm...also it wont just blow by like Elsa did at 30 mph, it will be moving at 20 mph which is still brisk but not anywhere else to how fast systems can travel in June/July in this part of the basin. The wave behind TD2 also looks kinda interesting on the models, cant imagine having two tropical cyclones moving through the windwards within 3 days like 2004 TD Charley and 5 days later Tropical storm Earl came through. Definitely one system to watch

My family's are from Aruba 🇦🇼 ❤️

How long is that high pressure front going to stay in the Atlantic if I have a vote I want it to stay the whole season😂

Hi on vacation from mon. Going to the us soon omg.

Is this August?

Per NHC this will be designated TD 2 at 5pm

@hurricanetrack

2 күн бұрын

Yep. Here we go. First up will be Windward Islands.

A category 4 or 5 hurricane in the Caribbean? Seems possible to me depending on the RI phase if it goes through that. I'm more unsure about category 5, but category 4 is never off the table yet even if the models don't show it as they could underestimating this storm that's now already a depression expected to become beryl by this evening or tonight and any RI phases will boost odds of this to be stronger than a category 3.

@tedjustadmitit.1540

2 күн бұрын

Absurd. Its June. Relax.

@ADreamingTraveler

Күн бұрын

Hurricane Emily in 2005 was the only category 5 July hurricane we ever got. Dennis in that same year got very close to cat 5 as well. But 2005 was a anomaly. There have only ever been 2 category 4 hurricanes ever in July and those were the same two I just mentioned back in 2005 so it is very hard to get them. Not saying Beryl can't do it, it definitely could if things line up perfectly for it.

Me and my family are just getting ready to go on a cruise actually from the 4th of July to the 13th, and it'd be real extremely concerning if any tropical cyclone whether hurricane beryl or another system moves into the subtropical Atlantic based on where we're going to. We'll be in Bermuda first then later in the Turks and Caicos and the Dominican Republic. It would be nice for things to clear out during our time sailing in the Atlantic, but because we're not sure hopefully our ship is prepared for anything and that we'll be fine. Not all shipping interests luck out to survive rough seas as we've seen before.

@kattmilk

2 күн бұрын

Take it from a seasoned Floridian - The best time to cruise is December - March. Lowest prices and of course hurricane season is over.

@brandondunn4562

2 күн бұрын

@@kattmilk I know but a lot of people cruise during hurricane season regardless because the summer season is within that time which is the normal time when people like to do it and the warm weather by then.

Plz explain barbados weather today nd tommorow ❤

100/100

I live on Hutchinson Island and I'm disabled now. I"m so scared and me, the sick one, is responsible for two 80+ year olds. :(

Watch in jamaica 🇯🇲

Has ther ever been a hurricane season in east Pacific that had no named storms

@hurricanetrack

2 күн бұрын

No, but this is the latest we’ve gone without one.

@Gamingsystum-ch7jh

2 күн бұрын

Barbados weather today and tommorow

How will Cancun be July 2-6 trying to seee if we need to cancel our vacation

@hurricanetrack

2 күн бұрын

Wish I had an easy answer - too many puzzle pieces right now.

@ashleybabb1764

2 күн бұрын

@@hurricanetrack thank you: I will continue to monitor the situation

Setting up like 2004 😮

94l probably gonna heep TX soil saturated with water?

Why do you only look till 5 days (120 hours) while the NHC have outlook for the next 7 days (168 hours) ? Are 7 days forecast are even relevant and useful ?

@TheTania323

Күн бұрын

The farther out you go, the higher the uncertainty. 7 days out give countries an understanding of who needs to be on alert. Mark prefers to stop at 5 days😊

Beryl might likely form today based on that it's now a depression!!!!

Tropical Depression Beryl!!!!

Thanks for the update, Mark!!! Interesting stuff happening in the tropics now that foreshadows the rest of the season!!!❤💘💝💖💯.

How hard would this hit Puerto Rico

Mark, please we get it, there are some people out there that pull your hair out, but man, i just wanna get to the point and forget about all other stuff because it's hurricane season, had to skip the vid so many times just to get to the point of the vid. thanks. 7:35

@hurricanetrack

2 күн бұрын

Duly noted.

👍🏻👍🏻❤️🇺🇸

Hey bro, I really appreciate the information you share. I only watch your channel for tropical information. For the record, I have zero social media accounts, so I'm not fully aware of the amount of detractors and opposition your presentation of science faces that necessitates the constant defensive stance you take in all of your videos. Is there that much pushback to you interpreting the NHCs data and telling everyone about it? And if so, what is the counter-argument, and what meteorologist is offering it? It would be nice to see you more relaxed and just talking about the weather without having to constantly defend yourself and justify why you're saying what you're saying. For what it's worth, I believe you. And hey, cool stuff you're doing with the hail study.

@hurricanetrack

2 күн бұрын

I like this comment - great perspective from you end. Yes, I need to just keep on keeping on and those who wish to counter the science do so at their peril.

i wonder if the female storms are going to dominate this season?? its something interesting to keep an eye on

Time change

"...especially tourists"...smh

I don't believe you are fearmongering!

"if you complain, I just dont care" ... goes on to bitch about people complaining for 20 minutes (which is I guess a complaint as well LOL) very informative video, could do without all that commentary

dude chill. we had hurricane Alex in january2016. so anything in june is mega normal. wake me up when we get a cat 5 in june

@Holabirdsupercluster

2 күн бұрын

What

@hurricanetrack

2 күн бұрын

Not impressed except in cases of cat-5, got it. Duly noted.

@nicholaspark4165

2 күн бұрын

Do Cape verde hurricanes, especially ones that hit the W. Atlantic, happen during June? Normally, I thought not.

will have to wait till at least august before anything affects the us mainland.....until then, STAND DOWN..........take a nap🙄

@gregd4633

2 күн бұрын

How do you know that?

@Nadine-bv3jm

2 күн бұрын

Please stop spreading false news. Make sure your supply kit is ready no matter what.

@canucksfan2024

2 күн бұрын

Anything can happen no matter what STAY VIGILANT