In this video, I endeavor to consolidate the learnings from the last three episodes of this series to build an investment strategy that can potentially help navigate this on-going rally right up to the eventual “market peak”, and also help reliably get out before a material correction kicks in. The strategy relies of key market inflection points and parameters such as the balance in the Reverse Repo (RRP), peak in Fed Funds Rate (FFR) and Inversion of the Yield Curve to predict when equity markets could potentially top out and make way for the next large correction/crash!

@Malay200

2 ай бұрын

If possible then make a vedio on the recovery phase of an economy like emerging country which sector done well in term of stock performance. .

@avb530

19 күн бұрын

sir today fed rate meet is happening.what will happen to usd ...strong or weak

@drnayanmoni1

14 күн бұрын

Excellent Information.How could we know the live condition of this 3 parameters. Please mention the way....!

Havent seen such detailed and logical reasoning for market peaking and correction. Hats off for sharing amazing information.

@IndraanilGuha

14 күн бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video

For a housewife who has started her equity investment journey, this is what I needed. Thank you.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video

The details mentioned by you here are an absolute must for people following the indices. Not sure why so less views . Thanks for explaining these complex terms in simple words. Really appreciate it !

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks for such generous appreciation... very happy to know that you liked the video! I look forward to the continued support and love of viewers like you, which should help push up the viewership on the channel in due course

Was looking for these logics along with your disclaimer which is nothing is holy grail. You deserve more viewership and appreciations. Thanks a lot sir!

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video

I am writing this just after I happen to comment to my wife that this 50-minute video is one of the best videos in almost 10 years of myself in stock market which taught me very important lessons that I need to carry with me throughout my financial career and the top few parameters that I need to teach my kith and kin who would like to join the stock market. Thanks so much My Friend. The least I could do is to Like and Subscribe. Love You.

@sachinpatel863

2 ай бұрын

💯 +1 percent agree dear ❤

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Absolutely overwhelmed to read your comment... this made my day! Many thanks for such generous praise and appreciation! God bless you... I promise to keep working harder still to produce similar content in the future too!

Very well put together. I'll actively keep an eye on all three indicators. Subscribed.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks for kind words... glad you liked the video

Sir, I have rarely seen such insightful Gyaan being given away for free. Quality of viwership matters for such highly complicated subject. Thats why there are less number of views.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video! If we continue to be showered with love and support of viewers like you, I am sure even the views will pick up over time!

@hemantwarankar4319

2 ай бұрын

One of the best videos on timing the markets , very informative and interesting 👍

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video

One of the best analysis I saw on the web till now

Your analysis is superb. Even If you analyse charts you would see Nifty corrects every four years. 2008,2012,2016,&2020 the covid fall..it always comes to meet 50Sma Right now Nifty's Monthly candle is way above 50sma on and Moving Averages have a Love and Hate relationship they often get apart and they meet again..Generally History repeats itself. India story is definitely ON and we r in a Long term Bull trend for sure but a Good Correcention will b healthy for new money to come in our Market. Yearly RSI on Nifty is above 85.. Definitely the stratergy should b Buy on Dips for India. The 423. 6% Fibonachi Extension on Nifty Monthly Charts ( From the Covid Fall) comes to 23700 levels. May b the final bull wave? Good to b invested but with cautious. Thank you so much for providing such a detailed Analysis.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Wow! that's quite a perspective! Thanks for the feedback... Technical Analysis is NOT my strength, but I am sure those who understand TA will find this perspective very interesting... thanks for sharing

Amazing!. Quality of content is great . Looking forward to more such insightful content from you.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video My primary motivation is just that - to make things easy, so that anyone - even those NOT from a finance background - can understand my content

Absolutely bang on ....thank you

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

Thank you. Loved the analysis - to the point but also detailed at the right spots. Loved the visualization and your presentation of the topics. Subscribed to your channel.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many many thanks for such generous praise and appreciation... really glad you liked the video

Great . Informative.Must .Thanks

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video

Wow if this happens exactly u said in the video then we all can hit a jackpot🎉

Wow. What an analysis. Bang on. I have used ffr and yeild conversion. Now rrp is new tool in my toolbag. Excellent work.

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you found the video to be useful

Wow, what an explanation. Hats off sir

very very enlightening ,thank u so much

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you like the video

This is great. So simple to understand and digest. Thank you, Jay Shree Ram🙏

Probably the best detailed analysis on the market. Thank you Sir.

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many thanks for these super kind words... glad you liked the video

FANTASTIC LEARNING .......Thank u very much

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

Gem of a video.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

Super knowledgeable video. Pls keep posting the wisdom.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

This video is warning bell for June 2024. A short correct in April is needed. A flash news coming in April.

Simply brilliant!

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video And thanks more so for subscribing to the channel

Awesome, unexplored areas are coming out of the darkest canvas ......A new territory of knowledge. Thank you sir for sharing your knowledge and expertise

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many many thanks... glad you liked the video

I am really surprised by your persistence and conviction to prepare the audiences for a crash and its timings amidst prevaling circumstances. Stock market trading and investing is not about timing or predicting the markets, its all about trading and investing strategy and risk management. Opportunities always exist in the markets during all the phases e.g., Downtrend, Accumlation, Uptrend and Distribution in sectorial rotation. Even market crashes present the opportunity and even in the worst of the fall there are strategic buyers who enter during such crashes because their risk management and strategy is well in place. Thus in any circumstances one should not ever predict the markets and its timings and strategize in anticipation.

Thank you very much, Sir I am a fan of the CLARITY of your expression of so deep subject. GOD BLESS YOU ALWAYS

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks for the generous appreciation... glad you liked the video! Look forward to your continued love and support for upcoming videos as well!

Amazing video. Great work and contribution to humanity. Thank you for educating others on our financial systems, as they are the current backbone and core of our civilization (A problem in itself).

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video

My best guess is, that the FED will time this, so it has the LEAST direct influence on the US presidential election on November 05, 2024. XLNT information. Probably the best video I have seen on this topic so far. Thank you so much, Mr. Guha, for your very useful and clear explanations. Many greetings from Denmark.

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video... happy especially so to see this kind of appreciation and support pouring in from viewers based in places outside of India, US and UAE, where I thought most of my viewers are based out of. Agree, the Fed will do all it can to prevent any large scale disruptions in markets till the November elections, but I am NOT sure if it would necessarily be successful in that.... 2008 and 2020 were election years too, and the Fed was under pressure even then from the incumbent administrations to keep things from falling apart till election day, but it's NOT as if Fed was able to do that. Even if you discount 2020, which was a pandemic-induced recession, and hence beyond the Fed's control, 2008 is a classic example how onset of recessions isn't really something that the Fed can prevent, or even delay beyond election day for that matter. Once again, many thanks indeed for your love and support!

Interesting analysis. Liked it very much.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... really glad you liked the video

Very informative Waiting for more 🙏

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video

Excellent !!!

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video! Look forward to your continued love and support for upcoming videos as well!

Subscribed immediately...wow what an analysis

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks for generous appreciation... glad you liked the video

Brilliant!

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many thanks for the kind words.... glad you found the content to be useful

This is institutional level research and analysis. Thank you so much for presenting this.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

Excellent. Thank you very much

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many thanks for the super kind words.... glad you found the content to be useful

Very much informative sir. Last 30 seconds disclaimer also. Because during past incidents indian markets were highly dependant on FII, but now DIIs offsets FII outflows. Let us see. Thank you for your valuable information sir

@IndraanilGuha

5 күн бұрын

Many thanks Glad you liked the video

Your analysis is very detailed and could understand most of it..thank you..

@IndraanilGuha

7 күн бұрын

Many thanks, glad it was helpful!

Very useful... thanks for such an informative video.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video

Great work Indranil! Highly informative videos presented in a very easy to understand format. Look forward to your videos

@IndraanilGuha

29 күн бұрын

Many thanks for these kind words... glad you liked the content

Truly a valuable information n beautifully explained…. Would love to listen n gain knowledge from you, thanks

@IndraanilGuha

12 күн бұрын

Many thanks...glad you liked my content

Such a complex topic explained with such eloquence and clarity, thank you very much Indraanil. Appreciate all the work that may have gone in the prep. You are a very good teacher.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many many thanks for such generous appreciation... glad you liked the video

great content. thank you so much

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks.... glad you liked the content

Top notch explanation in a simple, lay men's language. I am very lucky and gifted to learn this precious information from you. Hat's off ! for the pain you took to teach this most important content.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks for the generous appreciation... really glad you liked the video

Thank you 🎉❤

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

Such an amazing video.🎉 Thank you so much for rhe valuable learning. If I am able to take a timely exit, I am coming to meet you with a gift 😊

Excellent ❤❤.. I added you in my watch list..

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Thank you so much 🙂

Brilliant analysis of correlation between yield curve inversion and uninversion and stock market indices.

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many thanks for the super kind words.... glad you found the content to be useful

Great analysis subscribed!

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks.... glad you liked the video

Awesome 🎉

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

Sir, This has been one of the best videos I ever watched on equity market. So enlightening and informative. I highly recommend the viewers must forward in huge numbers to the serious people for their knowledge even if they are not dealing in equity market. these kind of subjects must be included in early education too.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many many thanks for such generous praise.... . glad you liked the video

You're a blessing to us Sir 🙏 😊 Thank you so much 🙏

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many thanks for these super kind words... glad you liked the video

Excellent session - no parallels thank you so much sir for sharing your valuable insights

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... really glad you liked the video

Thank you for this excellent explanation of interest rates and nifty.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video

Wondeful Analysis backed with Historical Data.. Thank u so much for such Informative session worth Learning the Stock Market charts to understand the Trends to secure the Individual Capital.. Thanks a Lot..

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many many thanks for the kind words... really glad you liked the video

Lucid and insightful , thanks !

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

This video should reach all new investors to save their capital and future.. very useful information.. Thanks for your time

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks for the generous appreciation... glad you liked the video! Look forward to your continued love and support for upcoming videos as well!

Excellent explanation, really enjoyed, keep going head .

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

Thank you so much

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many thanks for the super kind words.... Glad you liked the video

Very well explained,salute

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video

Excellent explanation.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many many thanks.... glad you liked the video

Excellent video..Thank you Sir

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

Fantastic analysis

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

Wonderful analysis

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video

Thanks for the clear depiction

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

@k4621

2 ай бұрын

@@IndraanilGuha this is the first video where someone showed the correlation between nifty 50 and yield curve inversion. Usually this concept is talked about in US content but they do not clearly show it like you did

It is very usful to plan exit strategy. Thanks.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video

Excellent historical analysis sir. Kudos!! Certainly gave a new and very important perspective in timing the markets

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many many thanks.... glad you liked the video

Amazing video ! Salute your knowledge ‘ never seen sucha welle explained video

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks Mallika for such kind words... glad you liked the video My primary motivation is just that - to make things easy, so that anyone - even those NOT from a finance background - can understand my content

Great analysis

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

Jabardast, too good. Never come across such valuable analysis. Its simply superb. Thank you & indeed grateful.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video

Very well explained

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

Extremely Detailed Analysis video. Thank you for this Knowledge

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many thanks for these super kind words... glad you liked the video

Wow!! Just Wow!! Indranil... the clarity of explanation is beyond 2 Wow's

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many thanks for the kind words... very happy that you liked the video Yes, that's the key motivation - to explain these complex concepts without making them sound like rocket science!

Fantastic analysis.. good job

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

Sir, thank you so much for very insightful and educative content .Indeed, it is a good knowledge that i gained and will be useful ...🙏

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked to video

Very interesting video. Thank you for presenting it.

@IndraanilGuha

14 күн бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video

Excellent ❤

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many thanks for the kind words... glad you liked the video

Thanks for the quality content

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Welcome! Glad you liked the content

Great analysis sir, and very well presented, thanks for pointing out these great data points. Thanks for sharing ❤🙏

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... really glad you liked the video

Sir, this most insightful video, this kind study, research and analysis i can not done. Hope your guidance will continue in future and the alarm bell before the crisis. Thanks Sayak

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks for the generous appreciation... glad you liked the video!

Superb Sir

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

Great, sir

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video

Excellent Analysis Sir!!!

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video And thanks more so for subscribing to my channel

thank you sir...

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video

Awesome analysis

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

SIR VERY VERY ENLIGHTENING. TOPIC.

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many thanks for the super kind words.... glad you found the content to be useful

Very indepth and clear explanation of potential market tops. What do you think about the US FED pulling off a soft landing and rate cuts in time wiithout the following recession? Will NIFTY continue its upward rise without correction then or are there internal economic factors that can predict a top , regardless of US policy?

Just a amazing content with all insights. Will keep eyes on it.. Thanks for sharing such valuable information.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many many thanks for the kind words... really glad you liked the video

This is a very informative video and will make me take informative decision in the market when there is a really uncertainty of whats coming next. Thank you Sir.

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many thanks for the super kind words.... Glad you liked the video

Amazing analysis ❤

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video! Look forward to your continued love and support for upcoming videos as well!

very good explanation and very useful

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video

Very nice

@IndranilGuha .. Sir you are giving the real genuine knowledge about Investments. I am your Fan.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks for the kind words... glad you liked the video

Subscribed as a member sir based on so much value you're giving

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Welcome aboard

@IndraanilGuha

29 күн бұрын

Many thanks... very glad you liked the content

Very nice video! You are a good teacher and a clever investor, Sir! 🙏🏽

@IndraanilGuhaClips

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video!

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many Thanks.....Glad you like the video

Great informational video. Thank you. Couple of things are different when compared to previous events, 1) USA economy is still on strong foot, of course there is never ending debate on soft vs hard landing. 2) 6T dollars still sitting on sidelines 3) Indian market and economy is more mature and robust now.

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you liked the video I agree, things continue to look up for US economy for now, and liquidity continues to be healthy, which is why I have been unequivocal that one should remain fully invested in markets for now... but if history is anything to go by, this can't last forever... laws of economics catch up and the cycle eventually comes to its logical end

brilliant

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many many thanks for the kind words... really glad you liked the video

Good analysis indeed ..... For a person like me who is far from understanding economic dynamics ..... Its a good teaching ..... Hope you will do further video and let us help in timing the market as best as we can

@IndraanilGuha

2 ай бұрын

Many thanks... glad you found the content useful And thanks once again for subscribing to the channel

Amazing sir❤🙏

@IndraanilGuha

Ай бұрын

Many thanks, glad you liked the content