I can't wait to buy his book. George Friedman is to me the voice of reason.

I read this book already. In less than a day. Its really great. Really profoundly. I love it.

@juelznjules

4 жыл бұрын

So what's it about?

@connorjameson3152

2 жыл бұрын

Instablaster.

Bart and George.... you guys are impressively complementary. Enjoyed this podcast tremendously. I'm 72 in Western Michigan. TYVM.

@Guynamejoe

4 жыл бұрын

The book, having read it cover to cover, is fantastic.

@dr.ksartplace3785

4 жыл бұрын

Boxcarcifer TYVM - Thank You Very Much. (Most likely 😀)

@jacklunetti8850

3 жыл бұрын

gross

Today's world is in love. And if everybody feels numb, nobody feels bad. And that can bring the extremism of a world of its own. The events of past tragedies must show how to strive for a better world...

Whether we like it or not, change always comes with time. So we should always try to reveal all the potential possibilities that result in change. Throughout history, we have had to adjust our lives, in order to accommodate our needs. Unfortunately, there are people who take advantage of others to benefit themselves (wants vs needs), without concern or empathy for the one that they hurt, either physically, emotionally, and / or financially. This freedom, we have had in the USA, is what is causing the "Great Divide" which is tearing the country apart. I don't blame it on Capitalism, but the people who think they own it...

@martinh1437

2 жыл бұрын

Quotes on changing yourself “Do not dwell in the past, do not dream of the future, concentrate the mind on the present moment.”. Quotes on changing yourself. “Just as a snake sheds its skin, we must shed our past over and over again.”.

Eurasia has always been the heartland of Humanity, Goerge Friedman said. World is changing, the gravity of power is shifting from the USA back to Eurasia, that's the storm.

@Jackrobert28

4 жыл бұрын

Everyone knew that.

@inter3684

4 жыл бұрын

Jack Robert Take it easy

@Jackrobert28

4 жыл бұрын

@@inter3684 one belt one road. SCO group. Eurasian union for Russia. The Persian gulf and the Eastern European plains plus South China sea will cause great wars like never before

@inter3684

4 жыл бұрын

Jack Robert I agree

@luism5514

4 жыл бұрын

It really isnt, you guys have abysmal demographics. You didnt have enough kids to replace the current population. Europe and Asia will fall, Turkey and India are the only bright spots in Eurasia, Africa will have an over population so great that it might sweep over the entire Earth. Civil unrest lies in Eurasia's future.

Van Ark is a terrific interviewer. He asked relevant questions and kept Friedman on track. Friedman reminds me of other successful big picture commentators like Peter Drucker (another European) and John Kenneth Galbraith (a Canadian). Friedman says that the US government is becoming less able to administer services. I disagree. The government has done an excellent job of managing my Social Security, Medicare, and taxes. I successfully interact with the government on-line. When I have problems, I can call my congressman, if not the local political boss. My complaints concern the giant software companies that don't respond to my software and hardware problems and the woke media companies that censor my news and comments. Maybe government's failure lies in its failure to counter corporate abuses of power and the extravagant wealth and power of the top 1%.

The many Chinese and Russians commenting here in English, while everyone else uses English as their native tongue tells you who is and isn’t doing a good job!

@mikeygee7

3 жыл бұрын

Checkmate! Brilliant comment.

@MBBurchette

3 жыл бұрын

I couldn’t agree more. It’s an accurate measure of economic & cultural influence. Perhaps one day a sizable number of native English speakers will be incentivized to learn Chinese or Russian, but I wouldn’t hold your breath.

Governments & Macroeconomics have become intertwined therein lies the Problem. How much Debt is going to be written off or passed onto the general public globally?

We are a nation of people who got up and left, sometimes many times.

How about now?

Your words were the words that back every American 's hopes and having Trump sounding the world we must fight to protect what our ON going Hero's have sacrificed is here and real but as you have pointed out every generation have had apart in saving American 's Freedom Your spot on. Thank you for all your knowledge

Despite the ingrained, systemic, issues disrupting global unity in the face of civilization ending problems, Friedman continues to look great in headphones.

Simplistic.... I do agree though that urgency and survival are great motivators for innovation. It doesn't matter who is the biggest right now if you are not just in your dealings you will push the others urgency to replace you.

@jacklunetti8850

3 жыл бұрын

your input is really intresting. wear can I find mor?

@Durangotek

3 жыл бұрын

@@jacklunetti8850 on what specifically do you want to know more?

I agree. No shortage of reasons why worrying about climate change is pointless.

George Friedman puts me in mind of Ben Gazzara.

@davidpitchford6510

2 жыл бұрын

He looks exactly like Ben Gazzara. "The Bridge at Remargen". Even similar aura and gestures.

Good luck with the illness, get well soon

@erx2043

2 жыл бұрын

What illness did/does he have? i remember seeing him shaking during one lecture

George is mostly right but, has underestimate the election landslide and following civil unrest.

@Sean-ot5xo

4 жыл бұрын

What happens if it's a 50-50 split and Trump "wins" it? I doubt unrest is possible in a society of obese sub-average IQs

@jhrusa8125

4 жыл бұрын

@@Sean-ot5xo Yet we rule your ass.

As an American the notion that my nation is “invented” and that “we all came from somewhere we weren’t wanted” or “somewhere we had failed” is grotesquely offensive. It’s simply Friedman, as a Jewish descendant of immigrants, projecting his identity onto my nation. And that project denies my nation’s authentic identity.

@peteralund

4 жыл бұрын

It is true though, you are a violent bunch of misfits and deviant bullies that believes in might makes right.. could you please stop with the interfering in other countries?

@brett22bt

4 жыл бұрын

Peter has already said half of what I'd like to say to you. I'd also like to add that you're racist antisemitic rhetoric is what's really "grotesquely offensive". You're nation has been corrupted by corporate interests, trading democracy for plutocracy without any of you actually realizing due to the corporate sponsored mass indoctrination you've all been subjected to. You were all stupid enough to believe that ridding this corporate take over of your government could be achieved by appointing a President from the corporate sector itself in an ultimate act of delusional self sabotaging irony. If you nation wasn't responsible for more genocidal death's than Hitler, we'd all be laughing at you, but I'm afraid the situation is far more serious. You're country is exporting international state sponsored terrorism on an industrial scale and should be held to account for your war crimes against humanity. FUCK USA.

@theodoremccarthy4438

4 жыл бұрын

@@peteralund actually we believe that right makes might, and don't worry we'll be happy to go home and leave the rest of the world to it's own devices. The American people never wanted an Empire, and we're fed up with footing the bill for everyone else's security. Especially since we're getting no security for our selves out of the bargain.

@theodoremccarthy4438

4 жыл бұрын

@@brett22bt your*

@ConanTheContrarian1

4 жыл бұрын

@@brett22bt I guess it's easy to pretend to analyze a country when your own is unknown, particularly when your opinion isn't formed by actual knowledge, but by whatever liar you give preference to for whatever reason. You mainly sound jealous.

More Africans (2 million ) and more than 1million blacks from the Caribbean have emigrated to the U.S. in just the last 20 years.This is more than were brought here in slavery. George's premise is correct.

Europe and America are at a breaking point.

The calm before the storm!!!!!!!

@jacklunetti8850

3 жыл бұрын

yeah

I appreciate Friedman’s optimism and imagination, but I can’t get passed the feeling that the United States won’t be united much longer. From where I am sitting all signs point to a contested election, constitutional crisis, and civil war. I hope I am wrong and Friedman is right.

@Ussurin

3 жыл бұрын

I think civil conflict is certain in US near future, but that one side is so outnumbered that it would require foreign powers aiding it for them to achieve anything. I don't even think that it will be "bloody", one side seems mentally unable to arm themself. If army stays at the side of status quo, then they have no chance, if they join the "revolution" of soycialists, then it will get bloody, but I don't see why would they.

@mytube650

3 жыл бұрын

I’m one for three so far. I can’t help but wonder how much of what we’re seeing is a result of foreign influence, foreign money, and misinformation. Our culture truly seems to have broken down and our institutions captured. Friedman’s solution “commanders intent” is novel but I don’t know if it will ever come to pass.

As the world shrinks so thus the geopolitics.

Great book!!

Dear George : Your books are great! Those who timely read "the next decade" were treated to a crystal ball. At 12:42, you seem to say "that world is frekin to come back". You seem to suffer from opposite the articulating effect of Dr. Richard Wolff Who is a great articulator but a super slow, loud talker. You could use a little dash of Dr. R. Wolff. As a South Texas Hispanic of Mestizo background I think you may have glossed over what was the fastest growing minority's attitude about being "from somewhere else".

Sounds like a great book, something I would enjoy reading. "Not shared by the British." I question that. England created most of modern Western civilization via the industrial revolution. I see the US as improving upon and perfecting it, with the information revolution. Bravo for his skepticism on global warming and all the other climate change BS.

@traumatizedwick1760

4 жыл бұрын

imperialism and colonialism is perfection?

@thegeneralist7527

4 жыл бұрын

@@traumatizedwick1760 It is your choice to cooperate with the world power or work against it. Many nations choose cooperation. Those that resist determine their own destiny.

holy fucking hell his ears!!!

He gets MUCH wrong but he also gets plenty RIGHT (some damn harsh comments in here)! Jeez, these commenters need to “get a life.”

I've said for thirty years now, just in time shipping was a disaster looking for a place to happen! Now the disaster is here, factories are closing worldwide, after only a months break in the supply chain! The world economy soon to follow! 🤭🤭🤭

@peteralund

4 жыл бұрын

A broken clock is right twice a day, your prediction skills are worse.. not very useful

@brett22bt

4 жыл бұрын

@@peteralund After carefully considering both of your comments, I've decided you're a fool my friend. Richard brings up an extremely valid point due to the fact that globalization has centralized manufacturing within Asia in the corporate search for the exploitation of low wages and leaves us susceptible to the problem he describes. You're broken clock analogy as entertaining as it may be, is an extremely shallow insight into our fragile and fallible system.

@dragonfly1929

4 жыл бұрын

CHINA WAS APPROACHED BY THE USA.TO SINCE NIXON,TO COVER UP THE FACK ,THAT AMERICA WAS SCREWD/INSTED OF HELPING TO IMPOVE THE SOCIAL ORDER,THEY OPT TO KILL THE WORKING CLASS,THEY WENT TO 'CH EN LAI',KISSINGER AND NIXION/ASKING CHINA TO USE ITS,CHEAPE LABURE,TO KEEP ON FOOLING THE AMERICAN POPULATION ,THAT THEY CAN KEEP THEIR LIFE STYLE,THE CORPORATIONS,MANE OBJECTIVE WAS 'KILL THE WORKING CLASS',KILL SOCIAL SECURITY/KILL THE UNIONS',TO HAVE THE WORKING LABURE CLASS,THE TEACHERS/THE HEALTH INDUSTRY/IN THE HANDES OF THE FEW,GREEDY 1%,THAT COULD NOT CARE LESS/JOBS WERE SHRINKING,NO JOB SECURITY/NO SOCIAL MEDCIN/NO MINIMUM WAGE ,IN FAKT LESSER,THAN 20 YEARS AGO ..AMERICAN BILLIONAIRES GOT REACHER AND REACHER ,ON CHINAS ,CHEEP LABURE,BRAKING BACK JOBES,IN AMERICAN OWNED FACTORIES/SWEET SHOPES ,IN CHINA,TO MAKE AMERICAN PRODUCTS CHEAPER ,AT 1000% PROFIT,NO CEO/WOULD RATER STAY HOME AND PAY HIGHER WAGES AND MAKE LESS MILLIONS///I SAY AMERICAN DREMES ON THE BACK OF CHINESE ,UNDERPAID LABURE,NEVER GAVE A THOUGHT TO ANY CEO/EVEN ONE THOUGHT,REGRET WHAT WAS BECOMING ,OF ALL THE LABURE FORCE AT HOME,THE FACTORIES THAT THEY CLOSED,THE JOBLESS/SOON BECOME IN THEIR MILLIONS/THE HOMELESS,AFTER 2008.CORPORATE GREED,THE STOCK MATKET IN THE HANDES OF 1%.CHINA IN 30 YEARS BROUGHT OUT OF POVERTY ,1.2 BILLION PEOPLE,WHILE AMERICAN DROVE ITS POPULATION TO POVERY/ITS FAILING MEDICAL SYSTEM/THE SHOOL SYSTEM/THE RICHEST NATION ON EARTH,HAS ITS 2%,IN PRISONS ,P RIVET CORPORATIONS OWN IT ,THE GOVERNMENT PAYS US48.000,PER MATE,FROM YOUR TAX MONEY ,PER MATE,SNAPED BY COPES,BY MINORE OFENSE ,LIKE A JINT IN THEIR CAR/MISSING PAYMENTS ON THEIR DIVORC MONTHLY CHECK ,SPECIALLY IF THEY ARE AFRICAN AMERICANS,OR LATINO/THE COPES,HAVE TRIKES,WELL ESTABLISHED LOOP HOLES,TO GET THESE PEOLE ,IN JAILES,A COTA,A GREAT WAY TO DRUM UP BUSINESS ,FOR THE AMERICAN GULLAG,THEY MAKE BIG MONEY ,FOR THESE PRIVET CORPORATIONS ,2% OF350 MILLION AMERICANS,THAT IS OLMOST 7 MILLION PEOPLE,IMAGINE THE MONY TO BE MAIDE THERE ,TAX FREE,7 MILLION IS AS BIG AS THE ARMY..THEY ALSO PRODUCE CHEAP ITEMES,THAT ARE SOLD IN YOUR CLOSEST HOME DEPOT,ANOTHER WAY OF PROFITING FROM AMERICAN GULLAG,WHO EVER SAID,SLAVERY THAT MAIDE AMERICAN RACIS WHITE LANDLORD , RICH,IS OVER ?/NO IT IS ALIVE..ENDLESS WARS,MAKES AMERICAN 1% ,THE GOVERNMENT/PENTAGON/THE CONGRESS MEN WOMEN RICH,THER LOOTING IS MINDE BUGLING/THE MILITARY INDUSTRIAL COMPOUND ,THE SHAME LESS WEAPON INDUSTRY ,THE OIL INDUSTRY /THE LENDING BANKES/ARE THE BARBARIAN MONSTERS,THAT AMERICA IS ALL ABOUT /THE ONLY NATION THAT HAVE USES,BIO/WEAPONS/ON INNOCENT CIVILIAN POPULATION SINCE1943/IS AMERICA/THERE IS SOMUCH,BARBARIC/CRUELTY ,IN THIS NATION/THAT ALL THE FIRE SENT BY GOD TO DESTROY IT ,CANNOT ERASE,THESE WAR CRIMES/AMERICA HAS MURDERED 200 MILLION INNOCENT PEOPLE ,SINCE THIS LAST 100 YEARS/HITLER AND STALIN TOGETHER ,COULD NOT HAVE HOLD A CANDLE,TO THE LAST 8 PRESIDENTS,VICUSE GENOCIDES,STILL GOING ON TO THESE DAY !TO LISTEN TO THE HUNGARIAN JEW/ FRIEDMAN..MAKES YOU KRINGE ,THAT PEOPLE ARE SUCH MORONS/NOT ONCE HE ADMITS ,HE IS PART OF A GREAT CONSPIRACY ,TO KEEP AMERICANS MISINFORMED ,ON HOW AMERICA IS BEING LOOTED BY HIS OWN RACE,THE ZIONIST AMERICAN JEWS,THAT OWN EVERYTHING IN AMERICA,ALL THE WAR CRIMES/THE US.10 MILLION DAY TO ISRAEL,THAT FILTH 'APARTHEID' NATION/THAT SLAUGHTER HOUSE,OPERATING WITH FULL SUPPORT OF AMERICA,BECAUSE AMERICA HAS BIN SOLD LONG AGO TO THESE NATZI JEWS/THAT OWN EVERYTHING IN THE USA.!CAN AMERICA SURVIVE WITH NO WARES??NEVER,IT IS LIKE THE CRAZED SHARK,THAT SWEMES IN BLOOD OF OTHERS NATIONS /CANNOT STOP EVEN FOR A MOMENT, IF HE DOES,HE SINKES AND DIES !AMERICA HAS TO CREATE ENEMY AFTER ENNMY,TO WAGE WAR CRIMES,PRETENDING TO GIVE PEOPE,FREEDOM AND DEMOCRACY??THERE IS NO FREEDOM AND DEMOCRACY IN AMERICA,ONCE WHEN THE PEOPLE THEY REALIZE WHAT FOOLS THEY HAVE BIN,TO SEND THEIR KIDS TO JUNGLES,OR DESERTS TO DIE,FOR LIES CREATED BY THEIR OWN GOVERNMENT/TO GET THE 1% RICHER AND RICHER/THERE IS ALWAYS A BOOGY MAN CREATED,BY THE FILTHIEST CRIMINAL ORGANIZATION IN THE UNVERS ,THE CIA.IT HAS CHANGED ,YEAR OF YEAR AND AMERICAN MORONS,BLIVE IT 100% ,THEY EVEN FASS IT TO THE 5-EYE NATION DUMMIES..SINCE WWI/WWII ,IT KEEPS CHANGING ITS FACE,EVEN GOING BACK AND FORTH,ANS STILL THE FOOLS ,THE SHIPP,SLEEPING ,IT WAS THE GERMANS/THAN THE JAPANESE/THE KOREANS/VIETNAMESE/THAN THE COMMUNIST CHINESE/THAN THE RUSSIA COMMUNIST/THE USSR/THE SOUTH AMERICAN NATIONS,NEEDED DEMOCRACY/THAN IT WAS YUGOSLAVIA,TO HELP THE MUSLIMS/THAN IT WAS 9/11/JUST IN CASE PEOPLE DID NOT FINDE ENOUGH REASON ,TO SPEND TRILLIONS TO MAKE WARS ,ALL THE WAY IN AFGHANISTAN /ALL THAT OPIUM//VERY TEMPTING ..THAN IRAQ/ALL THAT OIL //THAN LIBYA/SYRIA/MUST DEFEND THE PEOPLE,BY BOMBING THEM TO HELL/ALL THAT BILLIONS OF GOLD/OIL/HOW CAN EWE RESIST ??OH SYRIA/ASSAD KILLING ITS OWN PEOPLE ??WHILE 500.000 RECRUT ,ISIS/AL-KAIDA/TERRORISTS WERE FUNDED BY THE USA/S.ARABIA/400.000 TRUCK LOADES OF AMERICAN WEAPONS WERE SHIPED TO BENGAZI,THAN WENT IN SYRIA VIA TURKEY ,WHAT IS WRONG WITH YOU PEOPLE,WHY ARE YOU SO DUMB ,TOY STEEL BLANE RUSSIA CHINA??WHILE THESE NATIONS,CANNOT HOLD A CANDEL TO YOU IN BARBARIC/CRIMINAL/GREED/IS IT IGNORES OR STUPIDITY OR BOTH,AMERICAN BASSES,ARE NO.1/BIO/WEAPON/PRODUCING FACTORIES/ARE YOU PEOLE SO STUPID,NOT TO KNOW THIS??THE LATEST COVID-19 VIRUS,WAS PRODUCED ON FORT DETRICK ,MARYLAND,THE HEAD OFFICE OF MILITARY DEFENSE LABES,WORKING ON ALL KINDE OF VIRUSES,SINCE THE LAST 70 YEARS,THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LABES, UNDER THE COVER OF DEFENSE/PRODUCE ,DEATH AND DESTRUCTION TO END HUMAN LIFE!THERE ARE OVER 40 SUCH LABES IN THE USA/ON US.BASSES/AS WELL AS ALL OVER EU.COUNTRIES,WHEREVER US.BASES ARE ..THE LAST 20 YEARS,THE AIME WAS TO DESTROY CHINA,AND VAROUS ATEMPT WERE MAIDE ,MERSC/SARS/LIVE STOCK KILLING VIRUSES.IN 2018.AND THE LATEST 2019/WITH THE HELP OF ROBERT GATES,THEY HAVE CREATED A MARVEL/THE COVID-19/ATTACHING TO THE CORONA VIRUS(THE BRANCH NOT IN THE CHINESE LABORATORIES),CORONA,WITH. H.I.V./PNEUMONIA/DNA.SELECTIVE,TO HIT CHINESE YOUNG MEN WOMEN OF WORKING AGE ..ONLY THEY FORGOT,GOD HAS HIS OWN WAYS/YOU CAN DIGG GRAVES TO KILL OTHERS ,FOR PROFIT ,AND OUT OF PURE GREED,YOU WILL NEVER KNOW,WHO WILL END UP IN IT !IT HAS ONLY JUST GEGAN ...BARRY YOUR DEAD,BEFORE MAKING FURTHER PLANES,IN WAR AND DECEPTION !GATED ESTIMATED 65 MILLION PEOPLE WILL DIE ...I WONER HOW MANY AMERICANS WILL DIE,TO MAKE A POLICE STAE PLANES,TO BECOME REALITY,ANY DAY NOW..MANDATORY,CACINE ,WITH NANO CHIPS/FEMA CAMPS/AGENDA 21/PROJECT 201/IT IS ALL PLANED FOR YOU AMERICAN SHIPP,WHERE ARE THESE TRIGGER HAPPY,VIGILANTE AMERICAN PATRIOTS/CHASING POOR MIGRANTS AT THE GATES/WHILE THE US.BORNE CHILDREN,ARE PUT IN CAGES,RIGHT IN THE USA,NOT IN AN OF OF/COMMUNIST COUNTRY,4 TO 15/KIDS IN CAGES,WHILE THEIR PARENTS ARE DEPORTED,SLEEPING ON CIMENT,CHILDREN WITH SOILD DIAPERS,TEENS GOING AROUND WITH BLOOD STAINED CLOTH,NO SANITARY NAPKINS,EATING FOOD FITT FOR GOGS/COSTING THE TAX PAYERE US67.00,PER DAY PER CHILD,GOING IN SOME MILLIONAIRE POCKET LIKE 'DE VOS;,THE SAME,BILLIONS WORTH FAMILY ,ULTAD RADICAL CHRISTIAN FAMILY ,WHO ARE PROUD TO TRANE THE BEST KILLERS,KNOWN TO BE NO.1/IN THE PRIVET CONTRACTING BUSINESS,THE KILLING MASHIN UNDER 'PRINCE;.'BLACK WATER',ONLY IN ANGLO SAXON MAD HOUSE,THE EVANGELICAL FAKE BIBLE,CAN PROMOTE DEATH AND DESTRUCTION ,USING GODS AND JEUSE NAME !I WAS JUST GOING TO SAY,MAY GOD FORGIVE YOU ,BUT I DO NOT THINK IT WILL THIS TIME ..REPENT AMERICA IF YOU WANT TO LIVE !!!

@brett22bt

4 жыл бұрын

@@dragonfly1929 OK

Plants need CO2 to live and grow. It’s not pollution. If it was, the UN etc. would make China and India institute zero emissions. Love from Australia 🇦🇺

You can't invent soil, or forests, or minerals, or fish stocks you can only manage and conserve these precious resources. At current rate of erosion we harvest our last corn crop somewhere between 2050 and 2060. Fisheries will decline precipitously in the next 15-20 years while conventional petroleum disappears in about 18-19 years.

@johnroberts8233

3 жыл бұрын

But we keep putting off these resource crises that certain think tanks keep predicting, don't we? Rather than oil and gas being depleted we keep finding new oil and gas fields and new ways of creating energy are being continually discovered. Likewise with the proper stewardship of food and land, technocratic solutions are applied in the form of better management based around sustainability, recycling, and finding more efficient and ecologically friendly ways of doing things (though for the capitalists/corporatists sustainability is just a propaganda term not to be taken seriously).

@Al-bo4cv

3 жыл бұрын

@@johnroberts8233 Discovery of conventional oil fields has dropped precipitously in the last couple of decades...discovery is far below what is necessary to sustain current production. Conventional oil production is being supplemented by fracking old fields and shale oil production from the Bakken which simply won't last. Unconventional fields will also go dry sometime mid-century but these sources have an EROI or energy profit ratio of about 5:1 which is far below the 50:1 or 100:1 that has sustained industry, mining, and agriculture. There is simply no way to sustain a current global use of 100 million barrels of oil per day. Another issue is energy density of fuels vs. batteries. Only diesel which has an energy to mass ratio of 37:1 can be used to operate large harvesters, loaders, and heavy machinery necessary for mining operations and industrial ag. Currently Li batteries have a ratio of 1:1. Also, plastics production is estimated to increase by 25% in less than 10 years so cost must increase significantly in the next couple of decades as cheap conventional sources dry up. The Iraq war, Pompeo's and Trump's interest in the Arctic, and US attempts to assassinate Maduro in Venezuela all support the contention that the elites are beginning to realize that conventional sources will begin to dry up therefore prices will rise very rapidly next decade if not sooner. There have also been reports that the Saudis have been pumping a slurry of water and sand into the Gohar to extract more oil. With regards to soils it takes about 500 years to produce a couple of centimeters of soil but erosion can remove this much soil from a field with one flooding event. We simply cannot sustain our current population of nearly 8 billion as erosion, depletion of aquifers, oil, and climate change continue to deprive people of their means of support. Food insecurity has been increasing for more than a decade now and climate change is contributing to the now 70 million refugees around the world fleeing areas that are no longer suitable habitat. Failed states are also on the rise and perhaps tripled in number in the last two decades. Read World on Edge by Lester Brown.

@Al-bo4cv

3 жыл бұрын

@snowy the snowman Won't be the case 10-15 years from now given everything I've read and listened to. 100 million barrels per day pre-Covid = about 1 trillion barrels every three years. Discovery as you well know has been lagging behind demand for decades. Unless we make the change to renewable very rapidly we are done. How will you run heavy mining machines and combines without diesel? And it's very unlikely that the US trucking industry will make the switch to battery powered trucks in this short period of time let alone the construction and refitting of the infrastructure needed to power the vehicles and recharge the batteries. On top of this remember that 6 months before the 08 subprime collapse oil hit 147$/barrel- that was a factor for the collapse that often went ignored. The price of oil is going to soar past this before the end of this decade and precipitate another and much greater collapse of the economy we are currently in. In about 20 years those who survive will be picking up the pieces trying to eke out a living in a world rife with famine, 100s of millions of climate refugees, failed states and constant resource wars. We have little time left- the Apocalypse is here and it's all about our failure to understand the meaning of exponential growth. You cannot grow an economy, affluence, and population indefinitely on a small planet with limited resources. At our current rate of economic expansion the economy and all of the 'crap' it produces doubles in about 20 years. By then the coral reefs will be gone as will the Ogalala Aquifer and many of the great alpine glaciers of the Andes. 100s of millions of climate refugees will be moving from the flooded shores of the tropics and drought ridden areas to find refuge in Europe, Russia, and North America. I'm retired and living in the Philippines now and estimate 20-30 million alone from low lying regions here to move as the ocean takes their villages and rice fields. Although the risk is still small given in instability of the W. Antarctic Pine Is. and Thwaites Glaciers along with the melt down we are seeing in Greenland (lost a record 532 billion tons of ice to the ocean last year) it is now possible that the IPCC has significantly underestimated sea level rise. There are more recent publications that are also pointing in the direction. One meter of sea level rise by 2050 is now a possibility which would have a devastating effect on global maritime trade and wipe out large coastal regions. Our children will see this devastation along with much more.

@Al-bo4cv

3 жыл бұрын

@@johnroberts8233 Rate of discovery of new oil fields, especially low cost conventional oil is far lower than current rate of use. That's a fact that has been in operation now for decades. Most experts in the field believe we hit peak oil somewhere between 2005-2010. Yes, there is a glut now but that doesn't mean we will have cheap oil in the future. Eventually at 100 million barrels a day over three years you've used up what petrogeoloists believe is in the Gahwar (1 trillion barrels of crude). Nothing like the Gahwar in Saudia Arabia has been discovered. We are running on fumes- our civilization, as we currently experience it, will end in about 20-25 years. I'm not the only scientist or futurist who believes this. Indefinite exponential growth on a small planet is not possible- collapse is inevitable.

@Al-bo4cv

3 жыл бұрын

@RUSSIAN ROBOT Communism turned out to be just as wasteful with it's highly vertical management system. The ecological disasters and social upheavals in Russia are case studies of how not to run a civilization even as great progress took place there. Unfortunately, all human civilizations eventually fall as history shows. The coming Apocalypse will be truly detrimental as the system is now global and highly interdependent with extremely complicated supply chains. Given the rate of climate change and the current debt servitude people willingly adopt for immediate gratification and affluence there is little to no hope as the debt must be serviced- world wide about 280 TRILLION $. Bottom line is that you cannot grow an economy exponentially on a small planet indefinitely without running out of resources. This is something I used to teach my HS students but bankers and traditional economists have yet to comprehend it. We are only about a decade or two from complete collapse in my opinion. Club of Rome predicted it would occur by 2030. Covid-19 has given us a heads up and provided a taste of what it will look like. I'm quite sure it will be far worse than this however.

As usual a blithe disregard for facts and reality or perhaps just carelessness. at 24:10 Friedman claims Reagan 'had to do something about 18% interest rates'. In fact it was Reagan and his team who raised interest rates to that level and higher in order, they said, to control inflation. Friedman probably meant 18% inflation, not interest rates or he's just talking complete nonsense.

@erx2043

2 жыл бұрын

Once inflation is under control, then he was able to start bringing interest rates down, is what George means. Because the two follow one another

Look guys, if you want the read the original theory that has more refined analysis and greater predictive power then go read "The Fourth Turning" by Neil Howe and Bill Strauss. Friedman basically just ripped off the concept of cycles and I don't see that he added any additional insight to it.

👍🙏

Very intelligent man. I’ve followed and liked his work for sometime-Stratfor, his books, all that. He’s thinking too conventionally. How a man that smart can focus solely on geopolitical matters and not see how the elites and bankers have gutted the financial system so badly, this time is different. The Breton woods system is at its end due to total mismanagement. That combined with the erasure of history, the stoking of the young with feelings of entitlement, a self hatred, born of a long integration of socialism into the universities, and open borders, makes this different. This will destroy the things that have held us together:

Old age means putting your things in order and dying

@cliftons6811

3 жыл бұрын

Georgey boy didn't get the memo, he's still got wisdom to say and poon to slay :)

@vivianoosthuizen8990

3 жыл бұрын

@@cliftons6811 these old men are dangerous they sell their words and affect the world but because they are not going to be around to see the effects of their words it’s dangerous

That he so completely fails to intellectually take in climate change is astonishing. Maybe that is what I would do, too if I were his age, though. Or it is just hard for a historian to imagine something of a new qualitiy playing in. But there are many historical examples of empires collapsing quickly because of relatively minor climate shifts - as well as examples of empires that overcome such changes. Many geopolitically important changes, such as the opening of the northern passage for shipping, are already here and the race for the arctic and generally the northern lattitudes will be intense. But that will probably all be after his time.

Technology which allows old people to remain productive in the workforce is meaningless unless you can get them to want to postpone retirement. That’s a hard sell at best. Keeping in mind the US is the second slowest aging advanced country in the world. The aging problem is much worse in countries like Germany, Italy, China, Russia and Canada.

@hydroac9387

Жыл бұрын

Yup. And China allows retirement at 50 to 55. Yikes

We have had 7 deaths in Yadkin county NC USA as of 9 9 2020 (total) out of 39,000 people, really!!! Much ado about nothing, we have a 100 plus people die from the flu every year!! 3 of the Deaths had stage 4 Cancer,2 were elderly and had diabetes, the other one I don't know! In Jackson County Ohio 2 deaths out of 34,000 people as of 9 9 2020, my father's family is from there!!! Really!! If you are dying, the China flu might finish the job, but they are dying!!

@TheChristianRight09

3 жыл бұрын

@snowy the snowman true i don't know anyone who has been hospitalized or died in NC,i asked my cousins in Ohio the said same thing!

@ClarksonsinUSA

3 жыл бұрын

@snowy the snowman correct the shut down did more damage to the US than the China flu!

@ClarksonsinUSA

3 жыл бұрын

@RUSSIAN ROBOT =This channel doesn't have any content=Bot!

He says he was raised with ideas of population explosion. Then he says there never was any population explosion! Global population was 2.5 billion 1950 and have grown to close to 8 billion now, that is an unprecedented growth. If that’s not a population explosion what should be. Then he claims there was a population shortage! He might be a good military and geopolitical analyst, but he is not all knowing. Yes, there was no food shortage, if there had been, there had not been the enormous population growth. It is the green revolution that did take of in the 50s that facilitated the unprecedented population growth. The causation is food -> population growth, not the reversed. imgur.com/a/oPh4UIq Irelands population was 2.5-3 million in second half the 18th century, in the 1860s when the potato famine did hit, the population had grown to 9 million. Its when food production go down famine and starvation comes. Populations do not grow beyond it’s ability to feed itself.

@johnroberts8233

3 жыл бұрын

A sudden increase in absolute numbers of the Earth's population is not, in itself, evidence of the planet being overpopulated. The fact we have kept pace with the demand for food and energy despite this increase shows that we are quite capable of maintaining the current level of the Earth's population. The problem is not population size _per se_ (or the rate of population increase even) but rather the ability of a given population to access adequate food, energy and healthcare. That is, it's not about *not* having enough resources, but about having *access* to those resources in the first place that is the main problem.

I've got idea for your next book title. 'The Genius Before the Idiot'

@JK-ix8zi

4 жыл бұрын

@CRALLINGRAD after the bleach remark... Its changed again to 'The Idiot Before the Moron'

We need to move away from coal to something that also provided reliable power, innovation needed, especially if nuclear power is rejected.

@cooldudecs

2 жыл бұрын

There is nothing else… cheap

not much here

"When you look at the warrior, who goes off to war for himself"..... Did he actually say that? All this time I thought I enlisted to ensure the safety of family and friends, and my descendants if I made it back. Silly me. And that what you do defines who you are? I thought the question revealed the likely frame of reference and life experience the person was likely to have, giving a starting point to the conversation. Anyone who sees this guy as a contributor to the public discourse is sadly mistaken.

The 80 year institutional cycle and 50 year socio-economic cycle puts US at an inherent disadvantage against China which takes a much longer term view of the world and plans ahead to avert the pain of and disruption change. Historically Chinese cycles are much longer and more robust. George scholarship is getting emotional and less data driven.

@hydroac9387

Жыл бұрын

Really? The CCP didn't exist 80 years ago. 50 to 60 years ago Mao was starving his people to death and doing astounding cultural damage to an ancient people with the Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution. Not only were Mao's brilliant policies shown to be less-than-brilliant, but it shows that the CCP is at this time no better and operates on the same time frames as noted by Mr. Friedman. Moreover, China is rising because of the (misplaced?) generosity of America and the West. China should be thankful that America invited the CCP into the American-led Global Order, which allowed China to access resources and markets it never had before. In time we may better understand how foolish the Americans were to be so generous to China.

@johnross5133

Жыл бұрын

So true and realistic Americans turned China into modern global factory and transforming China to the biggest economy in the world China helped themselves coping or stealing all USA technology including most modern and latest military arsenal What a shame

Friedman's dreams are bad, but Friedman is still sleeping geopolitical and dreaming of the day when America will be big again. Even if it is big again, America will not look at all as Friedman dreams, showing that it has permanently sold 100% unreal and incredible imaginations to the world.

Bureaucracy kills

Very entertaining but useless generalisation and mass psychology.

@Durangotek

4 жыл бұрын

Exactly

@luism5514

4 жыл бұрын

The guy literally founded Stratfor, who are you?

@tedlozano8668

4 жыл бұрын

Luis M m

@sword7872

4 жыл бұрын

Yes I was expecting to hear more about the current situation and his take on how it will turn out.

@rimckd825

3 жыл бұрын

U are FOS.

I wish this dude would rethink his view of Americans. He says they all are all on the run from their past. That applies to everyone, everywhere. What matters Is not always territory so my point is territory is not a big issue. He should have some faith in human nature. We all want better futures for our family and friends. I doubt his books sell outside America.

@kokofan50

4 жыл бұрын

He didn’t say anything like we’re running from our past. He said we are inthralled with making the new.

@albacan

4 жыл бұрын

kokofan50 if so, it’s propelled by self pity

@kokofan50

4 жыл бұрын

@@albacan only self pity like Julius Caesar felt in front of the statue of Alexander the Great for not having conquered the known world by 33.

@albacan

4 жыл бұрын

kokofan50 thanks. How I envy your departure from reality

What a boring conversation. Friedman had been wrong in many of his predictions before, I dont understand why some of these interviewers dont challenge him

@Withnail1969

4 жыл бұрын

Friedman is saying things here like China is in decline and has been for some time but provides no evidence. he says the lockdown of cities in China shows that the government is repressive but there are lockdowns all over the world now. he has about as much insight as the average guy in the pub.

@luigimanzoni2705

3 жыл бұрын

@@Withnail1969 oh, so you think all of the western countries welded people into their homes or screwed all the doors closed and sealed the windows and left their citizens to die like the Chinese Communists did their citizens. Examples please.

@Withnail1969

3 жыл бұрын

@@luigimanzoni2705 i dont think the Chinese did any of that either. it sounds like complete nonsense.

@luigimanzoni2705

3 жыл бұрын

@@Withnail1969 Either you did t bother looking for it or you just refuse to believe your lying eyes. Either way you are naively wrong

@Withnail1969

3 жыл бұрын

@@luigimanzoni2705 if you have evidence, show it, or you're lying.

@39:00 this is exactly what is problem (with old people). why climate is problem. it is about social justice and correcting your mistakes, even if late. earth as a rock doesnt care if humanity will survive or not. old people should.

У апытанцы ў ВК «Советской Белоруссіі» большасць выказалася за ўжыванне назвы «Масковія» замест «Расeя»

Opinions are like A-holes, everybody is one.

@johnroberts8233

3 жыл бұрын

Your point being…?

American culture? Beautiful guns.

americans are tired winning

what is wrong with this guys mouth? and thought process.... Friedman is awesome as usual.

Stop buying Communist Chinese exports.

@lance8080

4 жыл бұрын

tdot22 communist Chinese are killing us with stealing our jobs and technology, now with their weaponized biological weapons and you want to go on supporting this ?????????

@lance8080

4 жыл бұрын

tdot22 you need to step up take personal responsibilitie to stop supporting this dictatorship and making excuses. People had to sacrifice during WWII and the Great Depression are you so selfish you can’t stop buying from China ??????

@robert3302

4 жыл бұрын

@@lance8080 The US is a much greater threat to world peace than China.

Dutch people always speak english in a funny way

@timfronimos459

4 жыл бұрын

Just like Goldmember😏

@1schwererziehbar1

4 жыл бұрын

They also speak Dutch in a funny way.

@TXL-BER

4 жыл бұрын

Ricardo Pires True, the Dutch speak with an accent. At the same time, they often speak several languages fluently-as opposed to most Americans.

@PT5684

4 жыл бұрын

@@TXL-BER yep ....but i am not american

@robert3302

4 жыл бұрын

Before you make fun of a person's accent, bear in mind that English is not their first language. If you cannot communicate in a language other than your own, you have no business mocking people who do.

Productivity is low because it’s literally IMPOSSIBLE to get anyone inspired sitting behind a computer all day everyday to produce it’s a mind killer and VERY unhealthy

This guy (Friedman) predicted a war with Japan in the past..... so not sure if he has any clue of the problem or the solution..... best solution probably is that US government forces US corporations to significantly reduce their dependence on China... move factories and jobs out of China back to USA etc.... we don't need unnecessary wars ....

@jarule8065

4 жыл бұрын

@CRALLINGRAD with our greedy companies and incompetent government I am not sure much will change.... I hope we bring jobs back.... We really need them in the long term....

@johnroberts8233

3 жыл бұрын

The war came and went without a shot being fired. The Japanese lost. They are no longer a threat. Their Pearl Harbour? The Plaza Accords. The problem is now China. Can China be persuaded or coerced into doing something that is not in its economic interest the way that Japan was? Time will tell.

naval gazer

In america, do politicians represent their constituents or money waving Lobbyists?

There's no population explosion problem? Really?

@johnroberts8233

3 жыл бұрын

No, quite the opposite. We are finding that we are faced with the problem of fertility levels dropping worldwide with national populations declining to below replacement levels. And this global trend seems unstoppable. There are now more than enough resources to feed, house and care for the world's population several times over so the excuse of resource scarcity caused by overpopulation is simply not true. It's a lack of political will and ability, combined with lazy, prejudiced and dangerous thinking by the elites in relation to the rest of us, that keeps pushing the overpopulation agenda.

@jasonsccheung3831

3 жыл бұрын

@@johnroberts8233 Yeah, India, China and Africa should let millions swarm the west…

@jasonsccheung3831

3 жыл бұрын

@@johnroberts8233 Yeah, India,China and African countries should let millions swarm the west…

what a joke after two months after this interview.

Interesting topic and author, but the nose whistle breathing sounds were too much for me to bare. Please fix, otherwise can’t listen.. had to turn off.

@brett22bt

4 жыл бұрын

Maybe you'll both realize that people don't stay perfect forever as you age. On behalf of any extraneous breathing sounds I'd like to apologize for these people not reaching your lofty standards of human existence you ageist, condescending pricks.

@brett22bt

4 жыл бұрын

@Karl Müller I'm no snow flake, but when you get older you'll find out what I mean. Then people will be able to hang shit on you and you think back and remember this and realize I was right.

@griffinharvey3910

4 жыл бұрын

@Karl Müller Your day will come and you'll be filled with dismay with how your aged body has let you down.

@777mofo4

4 жыл бұрын

@@brett22bt This has nothing to do with age, I made no mention of the sort and you are the only one bringing it into the conversation. Don't take offense. I generally choose videos that I can listen to on headphones while I am working or doing other things. Actually taking a closer look at the video now I can see it appears that quite some time and money have been invested into this set. I can see they invested in wind screens and considered this issue, actually the studio looks great! But those also look like highly sensitive omni-directional studio mics that would likely pick up a mouse fart if there were one in the next room. So maybe they either need to adjust down the sensitivity of their microphones, invest in a compressor to cut out audio below a certain level. Presentation is paramount and there is a reason why we are taught to chew with our mouths closed, because nobody want to hear or see that.

He obsess with china. He see china everyday in his sleep

DingHY Best comment on Mr Friedman. No substance

Hard to listen from the nose whistling

@be4unvme

3 жыл бұрын

lol that was so annoying

@jacklunetti8850

3 жыл бұрын

I know, but nose whistling keeps G.F. rock hard. LIKE A STONE > THAT cock

these two need to read " j as in junk economics "

The American story about Europe is boring. Here in Switzerland people ask what you do, and most people come from somewhere else.

All nations are invented. Are you looking for God?

@baklava6138

4 жыл бұрын

richardscathouse there is a delineation between ethnos and nationality. The US has no ethnos and the nation is named after the continent and not the country itself. Very odd, also if you look at the background of the peoples in the US, they’re all from different places. French, German, English, Dutch, etc are ethnic groups who have a ethnos-based countries.

i hate clams

George Friedman: US-Agenda - Wars! Chicago!!!

lol George, why can't both Japan and the U.S. be 1st together?

@jacklunetti8850

3 жыл бұрын

homophobia

BS

I dont understand anything he says . Why cant he speaks in laymen terms

@artsseriouschannel

4 жыл бұрын

March 04, 2020. In order to speak in laymen's terms an "an expert" needs a profound knowledge of his subject and deep , abiding respect for the truth and for laymen. Neither of these people has these qualities. Richard Feynman, the Nobel Prize winning physicist, was a man who demonstrated these qualities and had an excellent sense of humor.

@wanderingdoc5075

4 жыл бұрын

@@artsseriouschannel You cannot compare any of these pundits with the genius that is Dr. Feynman

@secrets.295

4 жыл бұрын

@@artsseriouschannel I dont think it is that hard to do. I think experts dont want to explain in details bcoz they dont want to waste their time. Ive seen interview from Richard Werner. He doesnt took that much time to make a complicated economic concept became clearer for non experts. I believe experts should be ready for interviews. Do their preparations and try to summarize everything within a simple context. Its not hard to do. U just need to spend some extra time.

@Guynamejoe

4 жыл бұрын

I get what you’re saying, but to be fair The Conference Board’s target audience have been senior execs. since the First World War. So, they tend to speak to that group’s jargon-level.

@margyrowland

4 жыл бұрын

Keep listening and reading. You’ll get it. You’ve got to start at the beginning with Adam Smith. You’ll love learning about the great American genius. Love from Australia 🇦🇺

I disagree with the first 5min of his response because of his poor understanding of China, hence I stopped listening. His expertise is in Europe, stick with that, no one is an expert in every area.

@tuele4302

4 жыл бұрын

Actually, he is not wrong. Crises reveal the strengths and weaknesses of a government, any government. Unfortunately, the Chinese Central Government has problems being open about the actual extent of the Wuhan coronavirus crisis.

@yttean98

4 жыл бұрын

@@tuele4302 I can accept the 1st sentence(a general statement anyone can make that) but not the subsequent sentence, I disagree with you on 2nd sentence how do you know, do you have any evidence? I did my research on China in general, he is incorrect on a no of his 'predictions' .. You can disagree with me it's your prerogative.

@tuele4302

4 жыл бұрын

@@yttean98 It is clear to any observer that there is a cover up here. Why would you be so secretive? Why make the people who warned others about the virus disappear? Why censor social media?

@murc111

4 жыл бұрын

@@tuele4302 because it's China... that's how dictators operate.

@brett22bt

4 жыл бұрын

Well as you're such an expert would you care to explain yourself? We'd all be interested in your informed view......lol.

Stupid. Of course they want empire.

Immigrants built this country, they are the force which sustains it, and they are what makes it such a great country!!!

@kimberlynolin2100

4 жыл бұрын

Yeah, the legal ones.

@darkstarZ74

4 жыл бұрын

In nature diversity equals conflict.

Britianshould reinvigorate the monarchy, Britain must rule the oceans. I am fed up with America's domination

@Jackrobert28

4 жыл бұрын

Your crazy. Nobody wants that. As a Brit it only means wars and refugees

@inter3684

4 жыл бұрын

Jack Robert then let the liberals screw you

@robkitchen5344

4 жыл бұрын

Sorry to hear that....... NEVER going to get knocked off the top

Not much content here. He's missing the point on our better environmental future with a few changes.

@jacklunetti8850

3 жыл бұрын

thanks for pointing that out Dan Cooper. I've enjoyed your books.

Mystified bullshit. I ve been following this guy “forecasts” for years, he is very entertaining but has been wrong on everything. He has no common sense at all, only preformed conclusions.

“AMERICA FIRST”&”DEUTSCHLAND UBER ALLES” Coronavirus is Made in USA!!! Not a first and not a last Virus! This is US-Biological War!!!

Coronavirus is US-Economical Desaster!!! Coronavirus is Trumps Fight without russ. Gas!!!

Jew

I had to stop the video. I was afraid I'd get dumber by listening to all the unargued an unchallenged assumptions and generalizations. I don't mind assumptions and generalizations at all, but they have to be argued and based.

This guy has never been right about anything.