F1 Predictions Challenge 2022 | "A mix of outright cynicism"
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Every year I challenge some expert F1 pundits to predict what will happen in the upcoming season in a competition of skill and jamminess. What will they foresee for 2022? This was recorded on 25th January 2022.
This video is 1hr20 long! I can't be around for the Premiere but enjoy!
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00:00 Introduction
04:37 Simple Starters
14:44 Best Looking Launch Car
18:35 Top N after N
23:32 One Bold Prediction
30:39 All the Podiums
36:25 Team Mate Wars
46:15 The Sprints
55:28 Get Yuki's Points
1:00:57 The Unreliables
1:08:20 True or False?
1:20:07 Wrap Up
Dan: / @racingreviews
Sean: / thef1word
Hazel: / hsouthwellfe
Jonty: linktr.ee/JontysCorner
#F1 #Formula1
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Patreon: / chainbearf1
Twitter: / chainbear
En Español: / @chainbearf1enespanol357
Music: "Dirty Air" by Chain Bear and Simeon Smith ft Rebecca Coburn-Lay
• "Dirty Air" - Lyrics v...
Пікірлер: 428
A question that I think would be interesting: 'How many times will the home anthem be played on the podium?' So if Latifi wins in Canada, an Alpine wins in France, etc the anthem of the host country would be played.
@JontysCorner
2 жыл бұрын
That's a great idea!
@basmca1
2 жыл бұрын
That's a great one!
@Bekyboooo
2 жыл бұрын
second this! nice and fun question!
@stevesquad7110
2 жыл бұрын
I like this one
@theleftuprightatsoldierfield
2 жыл бұрын
All the possible times this could happen: Ricciardo wins in Australia A Ferrari or AlphaTauri wins in Italy Sainz or Alonso win in Spain Leclerc wins in Monaco Gasly or an Alpine wins in France (Ocon counts twice) A Haas wins in the US Stroll or Latifi wins in Canada A Red Bull wins in Austria Hamilton, Russell, a McLaren, an Aston Martin, or a Williams wins in Britain (Norris counts twice) Verstappen wins in the Netherlands Mazepin wins in Russia Tsunoda wins in Japan Perez wins in Mexico Of these I think 5 happen this year Update: 8 races to go and none of these have happened. This week is easily the best chance
Few beers in and I almost thought we were going back to India next season. Who knew they share a flag with Miami 🇮🇳
@LogieT2K
2 жыл бұрын
To be honest i would rather see a return to india than a race miami myself
@godoftenors
2 жыл бұрын
@@LogieT2K Or Sebring, if you're doing Florida.
@LogieT2K
2 жыл бұрын
@@godoftenors yep, but yeah lets race in carpark because it was brilliant last time we tried 🙃
@Sheamu5
2 жыл бұрын
Huh that's actually Miami's flag
@jez_77
2 жыл бұрын
@@Sheamu5 Well, but you cant say its not similar to the flag of India
To the tiny percentage of audience members who voted for Alpine, Alonso, and El Plan whenever they could, you all have my deepest respect
@jayspice4987
2 жыл бұрын
We're a small fan base but we're loud like familly
@duttyburger6528
2 жыл бұрын
Gotta represent, we all know what those guys are capable of
@stevesquad7110
2 жыл бұрын
Hehe same for me
@beausigmon2969
2 жыл бұрын
I’m feeling title number three this year…
@jayspice4987
2 жыл бұрын
@@beausigmon2969 I'd sell my left kidney for it
“The winning constructor takes 10 or fewer race wins” I was hoping Hazel’s TRUE was going to be because Ferrari will win every race and then be disqualified.
The diagram shows that the audience voted for TRUE on the question if the changes of the track in Melbourne improved it, yet it says that the audience voted FALSE.
@TheEvilCheesecake
2 жыл бұрын
We're as fickle as eveyone says, changing our mind every moment.
@jakehyams8659
2 жыл бұрын
This is getting manipulated man
@JoePCool14
2 жыл бұрын
At that speed it's so dangerous man
@georgevana
2 жыл бұрын
@@jakehyams8659 Mike, this is not right!
@NunoSalvaterra
2 жыл бұрын
👆 these replies above me are pure gold 💀
Some truly bonkers predictions in here. Love it. Also Oscar Piastri is absolutely THE Formula 2 champion, and will be until there is a new one. If he gets a 2023 seat before there is a new F2 champion he should count.
@rachelkoiks
Жыл бұрын
Agreed. Because at time of predicting with the wording of that question, I think Piastri should count.
Do we count Mazepin as coming last if he doesn't start a race?
@idkjustchangingmyname7343
2 жыл бұрын
Considering he finished 21st in a 20 car field last year it wouldn’t be his worst result.
@jackdavies8127
2 жыл бұрын
Maybe K-Mag's results will replace Mazepin
@hubaiiiii
2 жыл бұрын
With Hulk replacing Vettel for Bahrain, he might be 22nd this year then
@ThatRetroAussie
2 жыл бұрын
I was about to say XD, Does Mazepin count at this point??
@JohnLudlow
2 жыл бұрын
We might be able to say he completed the fewest laps
Could this be the hardest season to predict in recent memory? So pumped for this season!
@FormulaJuan75
2 жыл бұрын
Especially before pre-season testing. It's basically gambling.
@UncleKennysPlace
2 жыл бұрын
Any major change exposes wild cards.
@sesu5604
2 жыл бұрын
Haha that's awesome
@GBGB000
2 жыл бұрын
Watch it still somehow be HAMVERBOT every race
@evanyoon1230
2 жыл бұрын
@@GBGB000 Ham Ver Bot would still be a very crazy result. Replace Bot with Rus and it’ll become normal
Can you please do a summer break mid point predictions video. I loved it when you done it previous. The season is too long to go that long between these
@Matoyak
2 жыл бұрын
I'd love this as well
Love that Hazel took this as a storytelling opportunity!
@Atlas.Brooklyn
2 жыл бұрын
🤔
Hulkenberg will get a podium this year, MARK MY WORDS!
@Dylanf1fan
2 жыл бұрын
Now with Omicron it seems really likely that he at leaat races ones a podium is mabe to much but I'd love it
@2sthimo449
2 жыл бұрын
@@Dylanf1fan tbf what team would give him the call except Aston Martin? Is he a reserve somewhere I missed?
@frederikbrandt424
2 жыл бұрын
In go karting maybe. The bum isn’t cut out for F1. Magnussen owns him
@nerd_nato564
2 жыл бұрын
@@2sthimo449 Loving the way everything here aged after certain recent events, ngl.
@2sthimo449
2 жыл бұрын
@@nerd_nato564 Well...it did end up being Aston Martin yeah :D They seem to be fundamentally unlucky with their drivers getting corona at bad times
Love how the Sprint questions have already aged poorly considering it seems they're going to 3 sprints for the year
Everyone just ignoring the awesome new intro? Great job Chain Bear :)
I'm really digging Hazel's predictions and reasoning. They are the right mix of bonkers (e.g. Ferrarri DSQ) and insightful (e.g. Yuki).
Yes! I love this series, its so much fun. Another fun addition this year, since we've never seen the cars: maybe give people a chance to change their answers after pre-season testing... but if they do, punish them by making each answer worth half points. A nice risk vs reward scenario could make for fun :)
@Trendyflute
2 жыл бұрын
How about just a second post-testing predictions challenge? Double the fun!
@2sthimo449
2 жыл бұрын
I suggested a token system in last years video where you can change 3-5 answers after pre season testing. Jonty responded calling it a good idea so I assume they considered it but must have actively decided against it. Probably logistical reasons. (Am aware of course that theres no gurantee they actually discuss a random YT comment one of them saw once)
The production quality on this is so great. Really well done, love to see it getting better each year!
Hazel is amazing. I dont know how no one was pissing themselves with laughter like i was. when she was on about Charles being disqualified for the illegal car had me in stitches
@stevesquad7110
2 жыл бұрын
Carlos will be fine though
Stuart, despite some little errors in the presentation, I'm glad you got this as quickly as you did, with subtitles and way more details than I could count, editing is a pain in the arse and you did a good job overall. Here's hope that the this race is the best we've got so far!
Man I just want to say thank you. There is soo much effort put into this. It’s very fun and really gets me in the mood for the upcoming season
"Which driver will complete the fewest racing laps overall" well, everyone who picked mazepin has an instant full points here i guess
Highly entertaining, extremely well produced, lovely animations and quirky questions! Getting better every year 🥰
Haas WCC and WDC 2022 lets gooooo
@thesunnynationg
2 жыл бұрын
You had a little too much Vodka tovarishch
@kama2106
2 жыл бұрын
Dave grindset
Ooo I said 3 first time winners as a bold prediction. Sainz, Russell and Norris are likely. My boldest prediction was Sainz wins the drivers title without winning a race
@gergelystechnicmodels8565
2 жыл бұрын
@@lostalone9320 to be fair in 1961 and 1982 the champion only won one race. In 1984 the champion did not have a single pole position. The prediction is very bold but not impossible.
@alessiorappa2081
2 жыл бұрын
@@gergelystechnicmodels8565 An era when reliability was vital and pole position was way less important
"Oh no, the battery" - Haas at some point this season.
@RaiderRich2001
2 жыл бұрын
@@lostalone9320 "We look like fokking vankers again."
Such a great production you've put on, lad. Good work!
Hazel is an amazing addition to this, really enjoyed her perspective
@francoisbertrand7612
2 жыл бұрын
Yeah that "Ferrari last" is a 200 IQ move!
Love it! Are you planning to do another round after testing but before the first grand prix? Then at the end of the year you can have two recaps, the saner one and this absolutely whacky one haha. Would love to see it, happy to see this, cheers and happy racing!
@chainbear
2 жыл бұрын
Ha ha no, just for our own sanity I think we're going to ride this to the end of the year!
So keen for this season. Let's go!
Given Bottas was only 6th after Baku in the W12, 7th after Monaco in the new Alfa is a bold call from Hazel.
@formulafish1536
2 жыл бұрын
He would have been higher had the wheel it not decided to become a part of the rim in Monaco.
I check everyday for the results, can't wait!
I hope we have a trio in the top this year. Dont care who, even though I like Red Bull. And I just realized the logo are of two camshafts and a crankshaft sprocket with a clutch. 🙈 Putting Ferrari last in the championship due to being disqualified - WOW I like her style! Almost wanting to put some money on it for the lols. 👌
@snoboreddotcom
2 жыл бұрын
Have you noticed it makes the shape of a teddy bear head?
@OlaJustin
2 жыл бұрын
@@snoboreddotcom Yeah, thats how I've seen it all this time... I just never looked at it and thought about what it represented before this video.
At first, I thought 23 points for 3 first-time winners was way too low since the current grid already has 10 race winners (Hamilton, Verstappen, Perez, Leclerc, Ricciardo, Alonso, Ocon, Vettel, Bottas and Gasly). Then I realized 3 of the remaining 10 were Sainz, Russell and Norris, so it does make sense. I hope this does work out haha - I think all 3 of them deserve it. And hopefully, there's also a truly wildcard race winner from the remaining 7, akin to Gasly winning Monza 2020.
"Ferrari haven't been very loud, more like a quiet confidence." .....have I been on a different planet?
Bahrain has produced some exciting races in the most recent era of higher downforce and wider cars. So I don't think that'll be a letdown.
Oooohhhh, Hazel is here! Great addition!
I can't wait for this year's results
Favourite videos of the year
Loved the hazel addition. More of!
Yoooooo awsome intro, music is fire
Rewatching so i can be ready for the results video!
The only flaw in Hazel's logic is that the FIA would never disqualify Ferrari 🤭
I'm enjoying Hazel - sounds very knowledgeable and completely out there
The podium round points encourage picking as many as possible. If you pick someone, it's -3 if you're wrong versus +5 if you're right. If you don't pick someone, it's -3 if you're wrong versus 0 if you're right. If someone has even a 28% chance of getting a podium, it's still better to pick them.
@chainbear
2 жыл бұрын
I ran a lot of simulations of different scenarios and different points systems and this one seemed fair enough, all in all. Balances pushing to take a risk while still having to hold some back.
Jonty knew something
Geroge Russel: "He isn't known for his qualifying" 🤣🤣🤣🤣
Hoo boy, how quickly these videos can age
Great convo
I love that Charles will be disqualified but not Sainz 🤣🤣
@callumblyth3741
2 жыл бұрын
I swear hazel said that only Charles car was illegal
Why did people vote Russell being 'last'. Did that many forget he's in Mercedes now? Lol
@king_zapp
2 жыл бұрын
@@lostalone9320 GOATilliams
@hkr667
2 жыл бұрын
For some reason quite a few viewers hate him. I guess he's one of those love-or-hate drivers.
@JoePCool14
2 жыл бұрын
I accidentally voted for Yuki being last. So, yeah maybe...
@2sthimo449
2 жыл бұрын
@@hkr667 At least on Reddit the community turned on him instantly when he posted his take on Abu Dhabi saying he's just saying shit to please Mercedes
@rorybessell8280
2 жыл бұрын
@@hkr667 Probably bc he's quite arrogant. I really like him but as I usually hate arrogance I sometimes don't know why I like him so much tbh
Love to see Hazel on here
for the Top N after N Race question (pretty confusing)... i feel like a possible alternative could been like "pick 4 drivers who will start strong and then slip down and then pick 4 drivers who start weak but climb up" and you could quantify it however you like. for instance, "starting strong and then slipping down" could be quantified by avg finishing place in the first 4 races vs the last 4 races. idk if that makes sense. my answer was probably as confusing as the question lol
I've only just got to this, (8th March) and it is great hearing all the Mazepin predictions in light of reality
51:33 Well we can now assign first points on the three Sprint races scheduled Dan +10 Sean +15 Hazel +5 Stuart +10 Jonty +5 Audience +10
Excited!!!
Hazel was just having fun with the narrative, wasn't she?? LoL
Maz picks didn't age well.
The thing about a considerable Haas improvement is that it still doesn't mean consistent points scorer - my idea of significant Haas improvement is like 5 or 6 9th-10th places, maybe one as high as 7th. For Mazapin to score 15 points then he would basically need to do all of that himself and Mick to do nothing which is extraordinarily unlikely. Still very curious how Haas does turn out though after its extra year in development.
Great predictions. Looking forward to seeing how bad they were 😀
I think this is a lesson on why predictions should be made just before Q1 Bahrain and not when cars haven't even been shown.
Great quizz as per usual. Is it possible for you to upload a form so you can do this quizz with a few friends?
Always looking forward to this. 😁 Drivers Champion - Norris Last - Mazespin First construction - Red Bull Last construction - Haas Highest placed A team - Alpha Most drivers of the day - Verstappen F1 overtake award - Albon Most beautiful car - McLaren Top N after N. Ricciardo, Russell, Norris, Vettel, Ricciardo, Alsonos, Tsunoda, Bottas. One bold prediction - There will be a new world champion Podium finishers - Hamilton, Russell, Verstappen, Perez, Sainz, Leclerc, Norris, Ricciardo, Gasly, Tsunoda, Alonso, Vettel, Stroll, Albon, Bottas, Difference between Sainz and Leclerc - 28 Schumacher and Mazespin first points - Schumacher Difference average starting position Vettel and Stroll - 3.2 Most points finished Ricciardo and Norris - Norris Q3 most frequently Albon or Latifi - Albon Champions position difference Bottas and Zhou - 6 Sprint Champ if sprint gave race points - Russell How many sprints same winner as their GP - 1 Which six GPS have sprint - Silverstone, Spa, Austria, Canada, Spain, Brazil Tsunoda points - Suzuka, Canada, Bahrain, Austria, Monaco Driver fewest racing laps - Mazespin Most power unit components - Alpine Races DNFs - Spa, Monaco, Miami All teams points - True Russell outscores Perez - Yes Winning constructor 10 or less wins - False Constructors after round 12 same as final - False F2 champion 2023 F1 seat - True Miami great addition - False Melbourne better track - True 2022 rules improve racing - True
Hazel southwell! Yay!
Hazel’s perspective has been a great addition!
Woohoo! Hazel is back this year.
More Hazel...hopefully when she's fully awake. SHe's great.
There's some slight errors in the subtitles, mostly in names. My favourite is "George Russel, Dad I mean" at 47:56
@chainbear
2 жыл бұрын
Ha ha ha ha. I started with an auto transcriber and then went through it making corrections but I definitely missed a couple of things sorry
@justmy-profilename
2 жыл бұрын
@@chainbear Three first time winners: Russel, Norris and Science 😂 Computer Sainz made my day 😂
Glad to hear Dan is still alive 😀
There will be fewer than 15 points between the Top 3 Drivers at the Summer Break -- this aged badly.
I'm watching this right before Singapore, and oof, this is difficult. Especially the make a prediction one. Although one of them is on track right now.
Looking at the N after N question again now after all relevant races have taken place and big congratulations for Haxrl getting 3 exactly right. Also the audience on 2 exacts.
Hazel is great to have here, I really liked her FE coverage on inside-electric back in the day. I'd love to see you do more FE content, Chain Bear!
Dan's Haas predictions turned out quite well so far :D
WDC: I guess it'll be a fight between Leclerc and Sainz, and Sainz will come on top in the end Last in WDC: Bottas WCC: Ferrari by much Last in WCC: Alfa Romeo Overtake Award: Gasly The others are irrelevant lmao and all my predictions are bold predictions
WHAT A VIDEO- I’m cheering for all the teams. And if we get one Haas - Mercedes battle I’ll be happy 😊 great work as always Chain Bear!
This is your yearly reminder that for every year this quiz has been run, if you named all 20 drivers in the Podiums round, you'd have got more points than anyone else. For example, last year, you'd have got 60 points - 75 for the 15 that made it (same number of CB this year), minus 15 for the 2 Haas, 2 Alfa Romeo and Latifi
@theleftuprightatsoldierfield
Жыл бұрын
Tsunoda and Stroll didn’t get any podiums last year either
I think you guys are nuts if you think there will be this many drivers on the podium. You didn't factor in the fact that the new cars follow better, so even in case someone has a misadventure in quali they will be able to climb their way back easier, leaving too little chances for slower cars. And if you think performance will be that close, I feel like this is more wishful thinking than anything else.
Here we go again. Here's my bets. -WDC Verstappen -Last Mazepin -Winning Constructor Mercedes -Last team Haas -First team with A Alpine -Driver of the day Russell -Overtake award Alonso -Prettiest car launch Ferrari -top n after n 1verstappen 2hamilton 3leclerc 4russell 5perez 6sainz 7norris 8gasly -less likely prediction vettel retires this season -drivers on the podium hamilton russell verstappen perez leclerc sainz norris ricciardo alonso ocon gasly stroll -difference between sainz and leclerc 15 -shumacher scores points first -1.5 average start position between stroll and vettel -norris points more often -albon more in q3 -2 final positions between bottas and zhou -sprint champ verstappen -3 sprints with same winner -sprint gp brazil monza silverstone austria miami baku -yuki's points suzuka baku abu dhabi bahrein miami -fewest racing laps zhou -most pu components alpine -races with most dnf miami singapore baku -all teams score points f -russell outscores perez v -winning constructor has 10 or fewer wins f -team standings at round 12 same as final order f -f2 champ gets a f1 seat f -audience opinion miami track v melbourne changes f 2022 improved racing v
I predict that all of the drivers are going to struggle to adapt to the new cars, and the expected performance gains will not be met by the end of the season. You should make an update video comparing the lap times of F1, F2 and F3 cars for this season.
9:33 Hazel's pick and reasons took my breath away good! 🤯
you could have a weekly video on monday to see how you did on the F1Play prediction game. I think that would be pretty cool
Surprised not to see Brazil on anyone's most DNFs list - a bit of rain at the Senna S corners and that beautiful track can easily become a river of chaos.
Hmm Yuki did well at Brazil? Stuart, you don’t think much of him if 1 collision, broken front wing & 2 penalties for 15th place was a good race for him?
Love the addition of Hazel to this lovely group
So on Upgrades... Reliability upgrades are still legal. No performance upgrades. Don't ask me the rules between the two, but a case could be made that work to fix a part like the exhaust could still go on, if the goal is to not use more than the allocation.
I think I'd have to spend about a week of deep investigation to even attempt the N after N question . So much to consider.
I hope Hazel stays...
1:16:50 Wait, it is true or false for the audience? The pie chart says true.
Loved Hazel's Yuki defence. Felt very wholesome but also lots of facts.
Wow, these predictions couldn't have foreseen the Mazepin situation. So fun to watch them in April 2022.
I have a question for the replacement driver question, does Magnusson count as a replacement driver or as Mazepin
@captaintoyota3171
Жыл бұрын
Being that he was replaced after this id say itd havta be a sub in this "fantasy f1" league
So I played this game last year with my F1 fan friends and it was great fun. We also had a whole afternoon figuring out the answers but I would so love it if you could put the form that you sent your F1 pundit guests somewhere I could use it too?
I like that at least some of the audience vote for el plan
Maybe the breach between top and bottom teams becomes closer, but not enough to changes the actual tide, again Mercedes, Red Bull and maybe Ferrari, McLaren and Alpha Tauri be in the top ten most of the races.
Man some of these already getting pts. But the Charles/Max battle was missed by most. Yeah Mazepin will 10000% have fewest laps this year good call on that
That was a great line from Hazel! “They need the seats, their knees are old!”
Maybe I'm just a fanboy (I'm totally a fanboy) but I'm amazed how little love Checo got in this
45:35 “Zoo” 😩
Hazel is hilarious lmao
Hazel with the clutch last place championship prediction
@nosoyarkano7624
2 жыл бұрын
It’s an F1 insider who has seen that Merc has stuffed a toaster as their engine, absolute genius prediction, you will see.