Executing Agenda Trading Strategy for Stratospheric Returns · Lukas Frohlich (The Short Bear)

EP 259 | Executing Agenda Trading Strategy for Stratospheric Returns | Lukas Frohlich
Lacking education, mentors or money, Lukas Frohlich, known to many as The Short Bear, became fascinated with financial markets when only 13 years old. Saving everything he could from jobs, he started trading before he could even legally drive a car. He created KZread and Twitter accounts to share strategies, victories and defeats to help fellow traders improve their game. Obsessed with learning from mistakes, understanding gains and improving his process lead to outrageous gains in 2020 with his Agenda Trading strategy. Changing market conditions propelled Lukas into innovating new strategies quite different from what he started with. His focus, dedication and discipline for self improvement allowed him to branch out in new business areas helping others that go beyond just the trading world.
* NEED ACCOUNTABILITY IN YOUR TRADING JOURNEY? LEARN ABOUT THE TRADERS ACCOUNTABILITY PROGRAM BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE CWT COMMUNITY: chatwithtraders.com/community/
Topics & Timestamps:
Please note: Exact times will vary depending on current ads.
0:00 Background
3:20 Early trading and mistakes
7:41 Staying in the game despite mistakes
8:24 January 2020 spectacular returns through a rush of liquidity
12:45 How he pyramided gains
13:55 March 2020 returns of over 600%
15:40 Process for trading setups
19:55 Quantitative process for small caps
22:00 Why he focused on small caps in 2020
25:40 How he avoided any monthly drawdowns in 2020
27:39 Agenda trading is the primary reason for his spectacular returns
28:58 Ended 2020 with returns of over 892,000%
32:00 When he gets out of a position
33:50 Reasons for drawdowns in 2021
36:00 Risk management evolving over time
38:18 Strategies evolve with changing markets
40:35 Technical vs Fundamental approach and importance of each
43:15 Money needed to pump small stocks for successful secondary offering
48:25 The disciplined pursuit of less
50:10 Habits and routine
54:15 Current market conditions
57:40 Naked short selling used by pumpers?
59:20 Impact of Silicon Valley bank on the economy and markets
62:45 Risks facing todays traders
65:00 Mental models
66:30 What Lukas struggles with
70:00 His goals
74:00 Biggest misunderstandings about trading
79:00 Best ways to get in touch with Lukas
See more show notes here:
chatwithtraders.com/259
Links & Resources:
- Blogs: theshortbear.substack.com/
- Twitter: / theshortbear
- KZread: / @theshortbear3250
* NEED ACCOUNTABILITY IN YOUR TRADING JOURNEY? LEARN ABOUT THE TRADERS ACCOUNTABILITY PROGRAM BROUGHT TO YOU BY THE CWT COMMUNITY: community.chatwithtraders.com/
DISCLAIMER:
Trading in the financial markets involves a risk of loss. Podcast episodes and other content produced by Chat With Traders are for informational or educational purposes only and do not constitute trading or investment recommendations or advice.
#stocktrading #daytrading #bearmarket #shortselling

Пікірлер: 99

  • @traderlope1164
    @traderlope1164 Жыл бұрын

    Trading since 13 is wild 😂 I give props to Ian and Tessa, great interview thanks guys

  • @mosherchtman
    @mosherchtman Жыл бұрын

    I've heard the name of this trader several times, it's cool that he's here

  • @salmanahmad8659
    @salmanahmad8659 Жыл бұрын

    I demand Part 2 Like Lance

  • @pacman.96

    @pacman.96

    9 ай бұрын

    even part 3 I would love to know how he nails down his short ideas, also the journey of his equity curve

  • @ajitassi7720
    @ajitassi77207 ай бұрын

    This guy is the real deal. Inspired by him when he was in madaz money's chat.

  • @hamafranklin1517
    @hamafranklin1517 Жыл бұрын

    Thank you for sharing

  • @JAYMOAP
    @JAYMOAP Жыл бұрын

    Keep up the great videos 🔥

  • @hamisintunzwenimana8083
    @hamisintunzwenimana808310 ай бұрын

    Good Technical 1. Strategy / Position Sizing 2. Risk management / Tharp Concepts

  • @boyangirginov
    @boyangirginov11 ай бұрын

    Excellent Interview (clap)

  • @sidneestocks
    @sidneestocks Жыл бұрын

    Nice interview!!

  • @jtFacts77
    @jtFacts77 Жыл бұрын

    Let's just say he started 2020 with $10,000. If he made 892,192% on his money, during that year, he would have ended up with $89 million by the end of 2020. Not saying it's impossible, but if true, much respect.

  • @Zykosis

    @Zykosis

    Жыл бұрын

    He had to have started with way more than that. Supposedly he was profitable for several years before 2020…

  • @artlenski8115

    @artlenski8115

    Жыл бұрын

    I am saying, it’s impossible.

  • @artlenski8115

    @artlenski8115

    Жыл бұрын

    @makelzs2708 this guy is 23 yo, so years ago he would be like 13? ;)

  • @swirlandsniff2335

    @swirlandsniff2335

    Жыл бұрын

    If it's too good to be true it probably is. Why is he selling courses? I think he's a fake

  • @DeividasJursa

    @DeividasJursa

    Жыл бұрын

    890% makes it 89k.

  • @hoatran-ll7lo
    @hoatran-ll7lo2 ай бұрын

    Really enjoyed this interview

  • @turkishromeo83
    @turkishromeo832 ай бұрын

    892'000% would be a world record! as i know, dan zanger is holding the record. but i never heard, that his record was beaten... so it's a little strange to be honest.

  • @books-4-free
    @books-4-free14 күн бұрын

    smart kid

  • @akidaboissiere8604
    @akidaboissiere8604 Жыл бұрын

    the negative comments on this are disappointing. I was able to build my scanner and get an average HOD and LOD and it improved my trading ten fold. There is many software to pull data and i started tracking manually in excel as well. You can't expect him to give every piece of his edge. This interview changed my trading.

  • @vuemeca

    @vuemeca

    10 ай бұрын

    What is LOD and HOD?

  • @akidaboissiere8604

    @akidaboissiere8604

    10 ай бұрын

    @@vuemeca low of day and high of day.

  • @alexcherfan7762
    @alexcherfan7762 Жыл бұрын

    Lets go Lukas! Thanks guys!

  • @ikaantynytlapsi9474
    @ikaantynytlapsi9474 Жыл бұрын

    This was great.

  • @G_B_G_B
    @G_B_G_B Жыл бұрын

    23? I am questioning everything now 😮 my understanding of the universe needs to start over again.

  • @traderelated
    @traderelated5 ай бұрын

    whats the best way to learn about stuff like raising capital, SEC, promoter, stock offerings etc?

  • @rheuevr
    @rheuevr Жыл бұрын

    People who said hes selling stuff. What stuff is he selling ? He did mentioned he put in 1k into account . So his return 8720x turns into 8.7m?

  • @user-dv5gm2gc3u
    @user-dv5gm2gc3u Жыл бұрын

    Strange story. 892.192% performance in 1 year is great. Currently investing money for clients at 23? Ok.. But twitter looks like a marketing feed & website is full with affiliate links? Could be possible, but most of the time these are scams.

  • @traderlope1164

    @traderlope1164

    Жыл бұрын

    He more than likely works harder than a lot of fund managers and I believe a lot of everyday financial advisors can’t match up charts to fundamentals. Could be a scam sure but It’s not too far of a reach

  • @user-dv5gm2gc3u

    @user-dv5gm2gc3u

    Жыл бұрын

    @@traderlope1164 somehow I also give him the benefit of the doubt and hope there will be an episode 2 that goes more into his strategy/techniques. But it's imo balancing on the line between legit and scam.

  • @swirlandsniff2335

    @swirlandsniff2335

    Жыл бұрын

    ​@@traderlope1164 it's way out of reach. With those returns why does he have to sell stuff?

  • @adriandoe1090

    @adriandoe1090

    Жыл бұрын

    ​@@swirlandsniff2335 exactly what stuff is he selling the you keep on saying?

  • @HardcoreYTAddict
    @HardcoreYTAddict2 ай бұрын

    I used to know this guy and I was always simultaneously appreciative of his helpfulness and wisdom and also extremely jealous of his savant trading abilities. He was never selling or advertising stuff so idk what people in the comments are going on about. One of the most disciplined and intelligent traders ever.

  • @ismaelamaro7728

    @ismaelamaro7728

    Ай бұрын

    Pretty cool that you knew him. Sounds like a nice guy.

  • @AlejandroRasmussen7
    @AlejandroRasmussen73 ай бұрын

    dude is 22 and talks like he is a 50 year old trader... great interview

  • @bluered1686
    @bluered1686 Жыл бұрын

    Without the charts , its a bit .. charts on the screen definitely helps understand 🙄

  • @Zykosis

    @Zykosis

    Жыл бұрын

    Yes they need to go through chart examples or trade examples with the fundamentals/technicals he’s talking about so people can understand the trades with edge

  • @ChatWithTradersPodcast

    @ChatWithTradersPodcast

    Жыл бұрын

    Agreed. When feasible (depending on the guest and nature of the topic) we may include a static chart (or other supporting documentation) in the show notes on the main ChatWithTraders.com website. We are a podcast in the traditional sense - primarily an audio medium made available to listeners on podcast players. We then make it available on KZread as a secondary method of access to the podcast, therefore it is also audio only. From time to time, we invite past guests for a follow up interview inside our CWT Community where there will be more opportunities for follow-up topics, in-depth chart and screen sharing, community members interacting with the guest, and Q&A. If you're interested in this and other exclusive benefits, then you may consider becoming a member of the CWT Community >> community.chatwithtraders.com/

  • @robertsimonuy9743
    @robertsimonuy9743 Жыл бұрын

    If it's audited he should replace Dan Zanger's return of 29k % return.

  • @utica2burn

    @utica2burn

    Жыл бұрын

    Interesting point!

  • @robertkubica149

    @robertkubica149

    Жыл бұрын

    Yes, it has been 'audited' by a money transfer from a brokerage firm this 'trader' is promoting to a ChatWithTraders owners.. Most probably. Shame, shame, shame.

  • @jtlynch6761
    @jtlynch6761 Жыл бұрын

    In person would have been way better 😊

  • @phunchoktrades...
    @phunchoktrades... Жыл бұрын

    Anyone after Asits tweet?? 😂❤

  • @TheMountainBeyondTheWoods
    @TheMountainBeyondTheWoods Жыл бұрын

    I really don't like interviews like these, I learned nothing about how he actually trades or executes, just that he shorts and that he made a ridiculous amount of money. If it's true than he is one of the most successful traders in history, and if so, great for him, but I have to say I'm extremely skeptical of any of this.

  • @Zykosis

    @Zykosis

    Жыл бұрын

    I never understood why in these interviews they never go over the exact trades that made those extreme returns.. in detail? I would think that’s adding real value to the community. Instead they talk about discipline, emotions, preach risk management blah blah blah

  • @calvintong5036

    @calvintong5036

    Жыл бұрын

    Because no one is gonna share their real edge. Is the same as other successful people. If you ask any successful people " what is your secret sauce to success" they will just say "do what have passion in. Never give up" and everyone will be like " this is very inspirational"

  • @trocchiettoski

    @trocchiettoski

    Жыл бұрын

    @@calvintong5036 holy words, if he would give the edge, would lose. But between the lines a lot of perks in this episode

  • @billyblack3816

    @billyblack3816

    Жыл бұрын

    Hater

  • @munix9351

    @munix9351

    11 ай бұрын

    Go to your library and get all the old books on trading. These guys are never going to tell you the whole truth. That's the whole point of the branding. It's to entertain and draw you in. Go get the tangible k owledge. Read, read read. Get the authentic information

  • @gazzoob6953
    @gazzoob6953 Жыл бұрын

    funny how chatwithtraders deleted my comment where i asked if they saw the deloitte audit with their own eyes. they said they did but now all of that conversation is deleted? will be funny when this short bear fraud finally gets exposed. i will then post screenshots.

  • @ChatWithTradersPodcast

    @ChatWithTradersPodcast

    Жыл бұрын

    Were you under this same KZread user id that you are logged in here? If not, what was your user id when you started that conversation so we can find out what happened? As a side note: from time to time, we may essentially "block" a KZread user id from our channel if any comments were outright offensive or disrespectful in any video of this channel. For example, if a user id was blocked from any of the videos, then that user id is blocked from all videos on the entire channel. This could have been a mistake if your user id was blocked. We do remember that conversation that you mentioned. Nothing has changed on our position. We asserted that we received and reviewed the audit related to our guest's performance and found it to be credible. Additionally, here is a link to FAQ regarding guest credibility: chatwithtraders.com/faq/

  • @samuelandrade6646
    @samuelandrade6646 Жыл бұрын

    so this guy has been trading since 13 lol so 23 to 33 he has been trading for 20 years.

  • @petersax7305
    @petersax7305 Жыл бұрын

    Shorting into small caps and pyramiding: Lukas counts with help from naked short sellers and regulators that look the other way. If ever these short sellers should be truly trapped into a real short squeeze, Lukas will not find the liquidity required to close at the desired stop loss price. At that point losses might get out of hand. Lukas should read up on illegal naked short selling as he trades side by side with those guys. This is not to say that Lukas does illegal short selling but better know on who's side you are trading. Liquidity is as high because if it wouldn't big shorts would be dead. Liability then would be with the brokers so as they don't like to be liable they prefer to look the other way. Check FINRA fines on brokers for wrongly categorizing short sales as longs. It's a crime in progress.

  • @gazzoob6953
    @gazzoob6953 Жыл бұрын

    🤣 that guy is full of it. @chatwithtraders do you even vet your guests?

  • @ismaelamaro7728

    @ismaelamaro7728

    12 күн бұрын

    No, he's legit.

  • @gazzoob6953

    @gazzoob6953

    11 күн бұрын

    @@ismaelamaro7728 so is santa claus

  • @aleno45n66
    @aleno45n66 Жыл бұрын

    Poor Title Choice!! You should have included his returns in the title

  • @gazzoob6953
    @gazzoob69534 ай бұрын

    @ChatWithTradersPodcast You'll be delighted to know that your wonder boy is now spamming affiliate links on Twitter. Makes sense for a guy who returned 900,000% in a year. 🤣😂

  • @DK4Code
    @DK4Code10 ай бұрын

    Just another trust fund baby

  • @bus3014
    @bus3014 Жыл бұрын

    Not impressed at all. First off, his father was an engineer but poor Lukas was the underdog because he was too stupid at school? Does this guy even know how much rich privilege you have to have to even to get into “unhealthy habits” because you’re financially allowed to focus all in on trading ? Just a rich kid who made even more money with his parents money. Cool, but he is a toddler in life

  • @joshtanner9964

    @joshtanner9964

    Жыл бұрын

    There's a lot more to trading than having supposed "rich privilage"

  • @RVOL-Addict

    @RVOL-Addict

    Жыл бұрын

    I respectfully think that you are an idiot.

  • @alexchala7035

    @alexchala7035

    Жыл бұрын

    Yea right mate... have a go a something rather then winging about others success

  • @TwelfthRoot2

    @TwelfthRoot2

    6 ай бұрын

    you think being an engineer makes you rich? lol. good traders can start with $1000 and do numbers on it after a few hundred trades.

  • @ismaelamaro7728

    @ismaelamaro7728

    Ай бұрын

    Why the hate? Why not try to learn something from the guy?

  • @jasonstazm
    @jasonstazm Жыл бұрын

    Any pig made money in 2020

  • @thanoo9373

    @thanoo9373

    Жыл бұрын

    You pig made money in 2020 too?

  • @navrasapictures3798
    @navrasapictures3798 Жыл бұрын

    Hi everyone. i learn alot from you. i am a vwap trader. means only vwap nothing else in my life. i just want to know one thing, if i trade with vwap should i follow trailing stop-loss or i just get out from trade below vwap. that it i want to know. thanks you in advance. any trader cab answer me. @chatwithtraders @ChatWithTradersPodcast

  • @bonevays

    @bonevays

    11 ай бұрын

    I have no idea, but I would backtest it and stick with the result.