Thank you so much, been waiting for this video!

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

Thank you for watching!

Anyone else got loads of money left after selection? I have 2m left and I feel awkward leaving that much in the bank.

@yt-_-trickgamerfc5793

5 күн бұрын

I have 10😭

@KalChoedan

5 күн бұрын

4m left over here :D

@Joel_gym

5 күн бұрын

I have 7, I fell like the expensive players aren't the best choices.

@Coupsie99

5 күн бұрын

Nah was pretty easy to use up all funds

@yt-_-trickgamerfc5793

5 күн бұрын

@@Joel_gym same debating on who to get for both my 5th mid and def bc I have some uncertainties with the ones I’ve got

Love taking a nap to your voice Fran 🙏

@user-cm8xf3hi1q

5 күн бұрын

Is that a compliment 🤣🤣

@TB-bh8tj

5 күн бұрын

@@user-cm8xf3hi1q Yes, just awake now. I always have a good nap while listening to Fran he is the man.

@DMV_Burna

5 күн бұрын

🤣🤣

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

breev

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

ummm

Hi Fran, love your videos. Now we're in the knockouts I like players who don't get subbed, especially considering extra time. Who's most likely to play the full game for Spain?

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

Rodri, Fabian, defenders probably.

Hi Fran, While watching your strategy bit I was thinking about your estimation of Spain vs Germany. When you sort by SF Spain is higher yes, but isn't that purely due to higher QF chances? if you divide SF/QF for both nations you get a pseudo conditional probability that is higher for Germany than Spain. Doesn't this indicate that Opta believes Germany is slightly favoured against Spain if they were to play?

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

Without knowing these inputs, this works the other way too though no? Because there must be an implication that if Georgia go through, Germany would more easily get into the QF in most instances than Spain would vs Denmark because of how much stronger Denmark is vs Georgia.

@philoperycr7

5 күн бұрын

@@FPLFran I tried calculating it based on these odds. If we assume the odds of Germany - Denmark and Spain - Georgia remain the same if we swap Germany and Spain. Then we can calculate the chance of Germany winning over Spain to 53 % by Opta and Spain to win at 48,5 %: the reason it isn't 100 is because of course Germany and Spain are not exactly the same. I use the common formula from probabiliy where the chance of going to SF must be equal to the chance of going to QF * the probability of winning QF + 0(not going to QF) * times the probability of not going to QF. While you are right about it incorporates the chance of facing Georgia or Denmark, you also have to remember Spain face Denmark 30 % of the time and Germany face georgie only 17,6 % of the time so the impact of facing Georgia is small.

Good video as always. But I´m not sure I agree with your your no WC left draft. I find it very difficult with 4 from spain, yes they will beat Georgia, but I don´t trust them to beat Germany, if that fail you are booking in 4 transfers just from that game. Imo if you don´t have a WC left and wanna play "safe" then you spread your players out so you don´t have for example 4 from 1 country and focus more on right side of bracket not left. I personally don´t play safe because I always try to beat my best rank for previous, but that comes with a huge risk. But on the other hand I can follow your thought about Spain, because it should be easy for them to advance from Georgia came and then you could maybe if everything goes well from other matches, swap 2 out for others. Good job

@FPLFran

4 күн бұрын

In theory you'd have 7 transfers to address Spain getting knocked out though, no? Maybe 4 is close to overkill, but there is also an opportunity cost to missing potentially the most one-sided fixture left in the tournament too on the flipside. Appreciate your thoughts as usual! Thank you

I wouldn't be surprised if Koeman decides to play Simons in a more central midfield role instead of Veerman. For right forward he's got alternatives (Frimpong) and for central midfield not really. And Veerman in the lineup after his performance is also not so likely.

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

that's what we said no - Veerman unlikely. See what you mean about him playin deeper but I genuinely don't think that's the role he'll play

My current team is: GK: Pickford and Costa DEF: Cancelo, Carvajal, Cucurella, Guehi, VVD MID: Fernandes, Nico, Saka, Musiala, and Baumgartner FWD: Mbappe, Morata, and Gakpo I still have my wildcard available and 2M in budget to spend. But I have some doubts: Should I include Mbappe and Kane? Should I put Pedri in place of Nico? What are your suggestions?

@FPLFran

3 күн бұрын

I probably would have gone Kane but I like the draft!

@FPLFran

3 күн бұрын

And Nico over Pedri is fine

Do I go for kane or mbappe and ruiz or gundogan, btw love the channel keep up the good work!

@FPLFran

3 күн бұрын

Sorry mate. Likely would have gone Kane and Gundo to be honest. Hope all is well

My capts rudiger - cucurella - Pepe, ball recovering cbs are out scoring everyone else, one of them is getting 9 points

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

fair play.

@topcravy6699

5 күн бұрын

Guehi will outscore them all

Hey Fran, who do you think is most essential out of Pedri and Sabitzer? I’m currently thinking about a double up on Germany with Musiala and Gundogan as well as Nico Williams and Bruno F. I would love to hear your thoughts on the midfield situation as a whole!

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

Sabitzer.

@Silver-Surfer97

5 күн бұрын

@@FPLFrandoes a midfield of Nico, Pedri, Musiala, Gundo, & Sabitzer need to sacrifice someone to include Bruno? I feel like Bruno plays too deep for Portugal to produce direct goals/assists *no chips

@vitorboa5569

4 күн бұрын

@@Silver-Surfer97I personally think that Germany are a little overrated due to the Scotland game, they’ve looked shaky and didn’t create many chances against Switzerland, with the Danish defense being solid, I personally only went with Musiala. Think Gundo is also being overrated due to his big game against Hungary

Ok same draft, I got Baumgartner instead of Musiala. And Carvajal for Le Normand

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

I might do these exact two moves - but I'll keep Musi.

thanks for the content as ussual!! are you doing a deadline stream tomorrow?

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

100% we will be there.

if you plan on twisting on captain, why not go higher risk with williams or pedri?

@FPLFran

3 күн бұрын

I think they’re all quite similar frankly

So what's the difference between me going to the opta website and watching you

@FPLFran

4 күн бұрын

Watch the video and decide

Really tempted to take a gamble with frimpong. Easy matchup and Malen played terribly there, I think Frimpong deserves a shot at RW again but I have no clue on if he will. What do we thing lads?

@Jack-rk7zb

5 күн бұрын

I might do the same

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

I feel like people have been punting on him since MD1, but I can't blame people for trying aha

@Ali-xu4cu

5 күн бұрын

@@FPLFran legit haha. Don't think anyone knows what Koeman is cooking

I think i would to go for Depay for ronaldo What's your opinion ??

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

I think that's fine mate.

Hello can anyone tell me what happens in extra time. Do you lose clean sheet points if a goal is scored in extra 30 minutes. Also do penalty shootouts score points. Cheers

@dondon3030

5 күн бұрын

Extra time and penalties Players will keep scoring points throughout extra time. However, players who play 120 minutes don't get double points for appearance or clean sheet (2 x 60 minutes). If a match goes to penalties, no points will be scored during the shoot-out.

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

you do lose CS. no additional extra points for appearances. No pen shootout counting.

@resalefromhome.9468

5 күн бұрын

Thank you . Interesting. Wondering if I should pick LB RB options that are likely to be subbed off keeping their clean sheet intact. Or CBs who are likely to stay on into extra time making it harder to keep a clean sheet but getting ball recoveries. Thanks anyway

With Luke shaw potentially fit again and Trent not starting next game there’s now 3 right backs competing for that spot. I think there’s a chance Walker won’t start because of that and he’s been underperforming too

@tombadcott7512

4 күн бұрын

Now you’re being silly

@FPLFran

3 күн бұрын

I think people expect way too much rotation from a manager who infrequently does it.

If you haven't used 3 free transfer available to use for QF and use it before stepping into Semi Final(which we get 4) .... Will that means i'll have 7 free transfer or 6 free transfer?

@weidai347

5 күн бұрын

4, transfers cannot be carried in the knockout stage

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

correct

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

was responded to!

@avo7

4 күн бұрын

@@weidai347 that means if you haven't use free transfer set for Quater Final i.e 3 Free Transfers ... Then it'll be lost and comes to zero free transfer... And step into Semi Final with 4 free transfer

@weidai347

4 күн бұрын

@@avo7 exactly

I have a very similar team but Gunogan over Musiala

@FPLFran

4 күн бұрын

Not bad to pick Gundo instead!

I’m surprised you dropped rank with 61 points - I got 60 and went from 14000 to 3000

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

was weird for sure - but idk how calculations work aha

Can the unlimited be used in the final?

@user-yz6qo7xh2f

5 күн бұрын

no

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

nope - used MD4. Chips can work then though.

Yo Federeru, Imal se league code za uclanit se?

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

q4oMJt

The Dutch betrayed us all in the last Euro hopefully not this time. 😅

@FPLFran

4 күн бұрын

😂

I am rooting for Spain too, but I feel like you underestimate the germans a lot

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

It's close but I'm not going to side with the other country aha. I'm not underestimating them, just backing the odds with a touch of bias.

Can i get williams and pedri together to cover morata and get ronaldo instead ?

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

I do tend to think that's fine - but ofc Morata has a lot moreee goal share.

Koeman has said that Van Dijk is the first choice penalty taker for the Netherlands

@FPLFran

4 күн бұрын

I'm going vvd :D

Xavi Simons or Fabian Ruiz guys? Still have the wildcard and I already have 2 dutch and 3 spanish

@Smokeycfc

4 күн бұрын

I’ll go simons uno

@edvinsundstrom1173

4 күн бұрын

F.Ruiz nailed on to start

@FPLFran

3 күн бұрын

I would probably have gone Simons but definitely a close call. Didn’t like the Austrian mids either?

@jorgemelo1324

3 күн бұрын

@@FPLFran i've gone with Sabitzer and Simons. Williams, Musiala and Bruno the others

Thoughts on Ake?

@FPLFran

4 күн бұрын

I think he is a great pick but leaning slightly more towards VVD

Fantastic data. Fpl Now and Fpl Mate are not in your class. Keep it up 👋

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

Thank you George!

Gakpo or depay or morata and why

@FPLFran

4 күн бұрын

I prefer Morata, maybe I am biased but I think the Spanish game is much better

FRAN, cant believe how you guys dont tell people its free to subscribe. People assume subscripion means a payment.🙂

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

hhahaha

Will Simons start?

@FPLFran

4 күн бұрын

He really should.

This may sound completely dumb but why would you use a wildcard now, MD4?

@turtlesfcge

5 күн бұрын

Everyone has a free wildcard for MD4, you can't use your actual wildcard for this round.

@user-op2ch1dn4l

5 күн бұрын

@@turtlesfcge did I misunderstand what Fran was saying about a non wildcard draft for the round of 16? I'm not sure why a wildcard is mentioned for MD4?

@manthony1058

5 күн бұрын

​@@user-op2ch1dn4l if you don't have your Wildcard left you need to think a bit more strategically and look at games after this round ....

@TheNuffHD

5 күн бұрын

@@user-op2ch1dn4lif you dont have a wildcard you need to plan more ahead rather than targeting the immediate match(es)

@turtlesfcge

5 күн бұрын

@@user-op2ch1dn4l Some players like myself, used their wildcard during the group stages, and no longer have it left to use later in the tournament. It makes sense, therefore, to build a 'safer' team that doesn't quadruple up on any particular team to avoid a catastrophe if an upset happens (i.e. Have 4 Portuguese players to target their fixture against Slovenia, and Portugal get knocked out). A team that still has their WC can be aggressive with their draft, and target Spanish/Portuguese players, to target their easier fixtures, safe in the knowledge that they can change their team in MD5 if needed, for example.

I thought Van Djik was on pens

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

he should be if depay gets subbed, but I don't expect him to take over Memphis

De vrij,upamecano or pepe i dont have my wildcard

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

De Vrij

Cancelo over mittelstadt?

@FPLFran

4 күн бұрын

Yeah

Bernardo and kane or Bellingham and ronaldo

@MartinMurray-gm7pf

5 күн бұрын

Kane will find form. Go for him

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

close, I'd prob back the latter but I'm not sure if I love either pairing

have to remove 1 of this Williams, Gundogan, Ruiz, Musiala pls help 🍻

@FPLFran

4 күн бұрын

Probably Ruiz

Kane or gakpo

@FPLFran

4 күн бұрын

I prefer kane

Would you go gundo and musiala

@FPLFran

4 күн бұрын

Yeah they are both great choices

I feel like lukaku and mbappe could be good because I think that game could be a bit of a goal fest

@FPLFran

4 күн бұрын

Could be! But I'm more confident with just mbappe

Pedri or Ruiz?

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

Still Pedri fo rme.

@mr.drybones

4 күн бұрын

@@FPLFran Thanks.

why no dutch players?

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

just a case of me finding other options to be better. Nothing really wrong with Depay/Gakpo, Ake, VVD, Verbruggen or Simons though.

you are downplaying the fact that ranks and Opta scores are less meaningful in these tournaments, every single team wants to win it.

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

what do you mean by ranks sorry? Opta doesn't look at fifa rank as any indication of anything. Every single teams wants to win everything, not sure what this even means as a point.

@smokosish

5 күн бұрын

@@FPLFran it means stats did not work well when Morocco and Croatia made their runs deep into tournaments. Focussing on just 4 teams might not be the best approach.

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

@@smokosish we're not trying to focus on 4 teams but I think the main point is to say it's hard to pinpoint the direction of certain upsets. I get what you mean though - all these stats ultimately have each team with less than 20% chance to win, which tells you all you need to know. I tend to like betting where the odds are anyways and it usually works out well, provided I add some spice.

@smokosish

3 күн бұрын

@@FPLFran how did the triple England defense go ?

@FPLFran

3 күн бұрын

@@smokosish Guehi did fine. But generally not well. What defenders do you have?

Ronaldo couldnot even score with georgia

@FPLFran

5 күн бұрын

Hah, yes. Much worse team though - I might go Morata in fairness

“Go look at the odds” Gakpo > Morata

@FPLFran

Күн бұрын

hah, I said he had better odds to score, which is factual. If you backed Gakpo, that's fine and you were rewarded - it's not like he was a bad pick. Congrats again though, great game from Gakpo. Just don't go around calling people racist

@notmyself5340

Күн бұрын

@@FPLFran I call them as I see them. simple as.

@FPLFran

Күн бұрын

@@notmyself5340 And that's totally fine - but it's not like we always get our calls right. Once again, well done on doing that today :)

Verbruggen? Obvious cheap way in the Dutch defence.

@FPLFran

3 күн бұрын

Fantastic pick but prefer backing England

@LPCRONALDO

3 күн бұрын

@@FPLFran doubled up on that too, two England, and three Spain and one Portugal