A very important paper was released with very important information on humanities “Age of Destruction” to our Earth, and how we can make small steps back from the precipice edge that we are on or have already crossed (like Wily Coyote chasing the Roadrunner). Peer-reviewed scientific paper (open source; free access) Earth at risk: An urgent call to end the age of destruction and forge a just and sustainable future academic.oup.com/pnasnexus/article/3/4/pgae106/7638480 “Abstract Human development has ushered in an era of converging crises: climate change, ecological destruction, disease, pollution, and socioeconomic inequality. This review synthesizes the breadth of these interwoven emergencies and underscores the urgent need for comprehensive, integrated action. Propelled by imperialism, extractive capitalism, and a surging population, we are speeding past Earth's material limits, destroying critical ecosystems, and triggering irreversible changes in biophysical systems that underpin the Holocene climatic stability which fostered human civilization. The consequences of these actions are disproportionately borne by vulnerable populations, further entrenching global inequities. Marine and terrestrial biomes face critical tipping points, while escalating challenges to food and water access foreshadow a bleak outlook for global security. Against this backdrop of Earth at risk, we call for a global response centered on urgent decarbonization, fostering reciprocity with nature, and implementing regenerative practices in natural resource management. We call for the elimination of detrimental subsidies, promotion of equitable human development, and transformative financial support for lower income nations. A critical paradigm shift must occur that replaces exploitative, wealth-oriented capitalism with an economic model that prioritizes sustainability, resilience, and justice. We advocate a global cultural shift that elevates kinship with nature and communal well-being, underpinned by the recognition of Earth’s finite resources and the interconnectedness of its inhabitants. The imperative is clear: to navigate away from this precipice, we must collectively harness political will, economic resources, and societal values to steer toward a future where human progress does not come at the cost of ecological integrity and social equity.” This detail packed review paper by a bevy of distinguished authors does not hold back any punches. Urgent language details how dire our present situation is, and provided a glimmer of hope on what society must do to have any chance of pulling back from the precipice where we are today. Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos as I connect the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.

@graemeguy341

2 ай бұрын

Thx Paul That is a very difficult read....and a desperately depressing outlook. We seem incapable of living correctly and appear doomed by our very nature. Can it be traced back as far as Plato and the birth of duality...where perfection was an ideal only. This concept was adopted by Western religions in the idea of heaven and earth allowing us dominion over nature. After we 'killed' God (Nietzsche) with the advent of the scientific method and the philosophy of materialism was our course to armageddon finally set. According to Prof Steve Keen (who name checks you) it is the dogmatism of neo classical economics that is to blame. It is a model that omits energy (depletion) and CO2 (waste) meaning GDP loss to climate change is negligible which convinces governments and suits fossil fuel producers. We are also forecast to return to using coal as oil becomes less viable with reduced reserves . Until the narrative determining the economic model changes I wonder whether all other approaches to restoration are stymied. Please keep informing us all the same but I don't anticipate anything other than more confirmation of what is most likely....environmental and social collapse as an unfolding terrifying horror show

@thelastaustralian7583

2 ай бұрын

i saw it coming over Fifty Years ago .When the Bay i grew up in ,which was full of Marine Life disappeared . Funny coincidence Mcdonalds , and all the other Toxic foreign crap also flooded in ....

@earthsystem

2 ай бұрын

It’s not so bad, living out the answer to fermi’s paradox, I mean, it’s something to ponder-history unfolding

@earthsystem

2 ай бұрын

And in my defense, no air travel minimal driving for food, buy only used goods, organic garden, kind to mature.

@RonSonntag

Ай бұрын

The way to stop this insanity is to vote these people out of office. While it is true that billionaires directly influence Congress way more than the rest of us can, it is also true that they get only one vote. Biden must be reelected and then we have to turn over almost all of Congress. Young people need to run who have brains and are uncorruptible. Then we have to take control of both houses and overturn Citizens United and put in place campaign finance reform. This will take at least a decade from our current low point.

I dedicated years to a “Vision for Earth” website, went absolutely no where, and realize it’s pointless with a planet full of monsters.

@roberthornack1692

2 ай бұрын

I hear you! The problem with so called humanity is that humans only think of themselves!

@everythingmatters6308

2 ай бұрын

Thank you for trying. 🤗

@craigsmit4384

2 ай бұрын

Yep, once you realize humans will NOT voluntarily reduce their standard of living, no amount of individual effort will shift the needle. Best you can do now is find as safe a place as you can and get ready for the dark side of human need/consumption. Good luck.

@roberthornack1692

2 ай бұрын

If only the Bonobo in us had gained dominance, then perhaps we might have had a chance & not been so self destructive!

@franciswarnock8977

2 ай бұрын

Me too. Spent many years as an environmental advocate and activist, mainly for open space, wildlife and habitat conservation. The only result was PTSD after seeing how corrupt govt is. Nobody cares. It is completely hopeless, futile.

The messaging on our predicament is so consistent, and the sense of urgency combined with a sense of futility is growing

@earthsystem

2 ай бұрын

It's crazy but President Biden's pouring tons of money into getting more energy from existing dams and solar, reengineering the switches in electrical transmission lines, cutting the length to supply chains, fixing existing infrastructure for efficient transportation, vast solar array seed money, all kinds of seed money for local business growth..

@Je-Lia

2 ай бұрын

Futility increasing by leaps and bounds, because, in all reality, what can the common citizen do? All our governments are captured, politicians do not represent the people, they represent their own personal gains by kow-towing to corporate interests. It's becoming easier and easier for large mega-billion dollar corporations to simply do whatever they please.

We're in deep shit.

@EmeraldView

2 ай бұрын

Soon to be in over our heads with our mouths sticking out of it gasping for air.

@svarog63

2 ай бұрын

@@EmeraldView And the rich will survive by having their genes altered so they can breathe and see in deep shit.

All animals need habitat to survive. The human animal is no exception.

@unbiasedthoughts7875

2 ай бұрын

I’d argue we’ve pushed far too many other species out of their habitat already. The human animal needs to contract its totality rapidly in order to preserve a living planet (it’s almost certainly too late anyway).

@greengooflight

2 ай бұрын

we are an alien species, the earth suffers from the alien-invasion called "development"

@Deebz270

2 ай бұрын

@@greengooflight - I tend to see humans as an 'aberration of evolution'... More than necessarily 'alien' per-se... Looking back to perhaps the very first Mass Extinction Event [MEE]... The only (proxy) example I know of, of an organism causing widespread biotic extirpation - MEE. [re: 'Great Oxygenation Event'; Huronian; Cryogenian - 'Snowball Earth''....etc....] Yet these organisms were Proterozoic... One would argue, with zero cognitive function and predisposed to merely munch their way to close extinction... Yet, subsequently paving the way for the 'Cambrian Explosion' and the proliferation of eukaryotes (multi-cellular complex life). What constitutes the 'aberration' or your 'alienism' - the evolution of the cerebral cortex, specifically that of Homo sapiens -''sapiens''.... Another reason perhaps in placing minimal faith in an all-benevolent - omnipotent - 'grand designer'... For what intelligence would design such a complex organism, with cognitive functions way in advance of anything yet evolved, that can comprehend its very existence and 'placement' in nature; from micro-to-macrocosm and even the nature of that nature, yet become the likely instigator of what could be Earth's FINAL MEE... ? ? ? Or are we just a metastasizing, malignant cells....? That is how the 'biocentric thinker' might see it... Of course, keeping open-minded and healthily sceptical ... I don't rule-out Ridley Scott's 'black goo' either, even with the xeno-bio-engineering...

@ferrreira

2 ай бұрын

Human exceptionality was the single biggest mistake humans have ever made.

@sedonars1

2 ай бұрын

@@ferrreira Yes, it will be the factor Nature generated to self control humans. Too bad it will take all other vertebrates with it. I guess there is one fact mentioned in the bible "the meek shall inherit the earth"........ for what it's worth (algae, bacteria, etc.). The primordial soup that will start the cycle all over again.

Never will you see a presentation of this importance in the mainstream media. Let's ask ourselves why...?

@bellakrinkle9381

Ай бұрын

MSMs specialty is propaganda that supports the Military Industrial Industry and their WARS.

Daniel Kahneman’s take on humans’ abilities to deal with climate change, “A psychologist could barely dream up a better scenario for paralysis “

Human 1: "We are killing the planet!" Human 2: "I have an idea: let's stop!" Human 3: "I'll go jump in my car and spread the word!"

@sentientflower7891

2 ай бұрын

Expecting one person ceasing to drive as solving a global problem is both naive and dishonest.

@earthsystem

2 ай бұрын

Expecting all persons to drastically limit their transportation footprint is reasonable, myself, and many others have stopped taking air flights, and so forth

@linmal2242

Ай бұрын

Human 4 + 5 + Lets get married and have a family! Human 5 : how many babies do you want me to bear? Human 4 : I love children, and I want my name to continue into the future. ?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

@therealdesidaru

Ай бұрын

@@earthsystem You are fortunate to have a choice. Most workers don't.

@therealdesidaru

Ай бұрын

@@linmal2242 Life is perception. Drug the world with food so they don't see it coming.

Love to you, Paul❤

Dear Paul, I think we both know, it's now too late!

@linmal2242

Ай бұрын

Gary, never too late, but the adjustment is yet to come. "Madam Gaia' will alter conditions to supplant and reduce the corroding effects of Homo Sapien Sapiens but reducing their number, in the only way that it can do; extreme distopia; fire, flood, and pestilence ! That will sort us out, if we don't do it our selves with our own smarts; ie nukes !

8 billion & growing! The kitty litter box is overflowing!!!

@freeheeler09

2 ай бұрын

Bingo!

@ronaldturner4849

2 ай бұрын

The world is not a litter box. It's the bed we sleep in. We just treat it like a litter box. It seems it's too late to convince humanity that you shouldn't 💩 in your bed.

@alan2102X

2 ай бұрын

Bullshit. @alan2102X 0 seconds ago "Propelled by imperialism, extractive capitalism, and a surging population, we are speeding past Earth's material limits" -- true enough, except for the "population" part. The statistics are perfectly clear: it is NOT total population that is the problem, but the RICH population. That is, the Golden Billion of the OECD; generally speaking the people who make (and spend) upwards of $50K per year.

@robbenfelix

Ай бұрын

nice rhyme

And that's without civil war and economic collapse not to mention global thermonuclear exchange

Let's just face it, the grim reality is we are truly screwed because because we can't stop the climate catastrophe. There's no way in million years we can turn around all the decades of fossil fuel use. Fossil fuel use is increasing and that's keeping the climate catastrophe on going. I'm pretty sure we have surpassed the point of no return. I'm sure we have already passed that milestone a decade ago.

@roberthornack1692

2 ай бұрын

& there's the aerosol masking paradox! Better not shut off the tap or things will really heat up!

@unbiasedthoughts7875

2 ай бұрын

Climate change is only one by-product of ecological overshoot…we’re dealing with several other existential problems as well, each of which is potentially a mass-extinction level event. But we get to enjoy them all simultaneously! Good times /s

@klaatu368

2 ай бұрын

@@unbiasedthoughts7875Overshoot is inevitable.

@teemulaulajainen9410

2 ай бұрын

What have you done for the cause?

@kirkha100

2 ай бұрын

@@unbiasedthoughts7875exactly. Thanks.

Many thanks Paul on this very Important paper..And thank you for sharing.

@michaellynch8709

2 ай бұрын

i mean its not a paper, its a youtube video. bit of a difference

I’m going to listen to ‘Bad Moon Rising’ now

I like how the graphic is shaped like the Pentagon and imperialism is at the center with a bright nuclear flash. Well done!

I look at horror poster movies on subway and think that climate change deniers are scarier. I think they should make more relevant horror, etc. movies: a burning koala stumbling from forest fire, a family trying to escape burning forest in a car with trees collapsing left and right. And so on. This would be REAL, scary horror movies.

@kti5682

2 ай бұрын

I went to a nature reserve near the ACT in Australia that burned down, some distraught park ranger told me that little was left to look at. At some point I also saw pictures of crispy wild life. In addition to that there was also a documentary about the fires in California, so after all there is coverage on the topic just not statistically relevant.

@Cyberpunk_Radio_PBS

2 ай бұрын

There's a Civil War movie coming out about current events. Might be up our alley

@Uup9xn

6 күн бұрын

I think the Americans found the Australian fires scarier than Australians. I guess it all comes down to how it's covered and described in the media. Being in Australia when people overseas were saying "Australia is on fire" was a good lesson in hyperbole and its effects..

What will end us first: Nature or Nukes! Place your bets!

@EmeraldView

2 ай бұрын

Nature will begin it. Nukes will probably end it once the resource and mass migration wars begin in earnest.

@kti5682

2 ай бұрын

Nukes, people go nuts faster than the climate.

@freeheeler09

2 ай бұрын

Collapsing agricultural systems.

@aegisfate117

2 ай бұрын

​@@freeheeler09and as the systems collapse, and food dwindles, you don't think people will try to nuke other people in hopes of stealing the nuclear protected (remember, this is the hypothetical future so of course nations have moved the remaining food underground in nuclear containment facilities where the last of humanity in that area is hiding) food storage?

@rolandgibson-murphy2853

2 ай бұрын

... hmm... Nature: Diseases, viruses, and super deadly microbes, climate... Direct human actions: Nukes, war with the destroyed food production. Genetic manipulation, death of good microbes due to poisoning of the environment. It's too close. But it looks like doom more than coming together to fix the problems.

Another supportive diagramatic vision is Kate Raworth's "Doughnut Economics" of "outside externalities and inside assets" in a circular medium.

Many thanks for sharing this information. It should be disseminated far and wide.

@bellakrinkle9381

Ай бұрын

It seems useless to educate since 90% or more run from climate change, at least in the US. The world is unraveling. Who cannot see reality?

Thanks for sharing

I come here to get cheered up.

IMO... corporations run things, not governments. Expecting governments to regulate corporations is dreaming, corporations only care about quarter to quarter profits, not long term societal survival. So, what else is new?

People should think really hard before they bring a new life into this gargantuan temple of doom. I escaped, no baggage hence no Grandkid baggage😎 Gaz UK

Aside from that, how was the play, Mrs Lincoln? Gallows humor is setting in.

@PaulHBeckwith

2 ай бұрын

Exactly!!

Barry McGuire song “We’re on the eve of destruction”: kzread.info/dash/bejne/o5qOuNdpkc-7YKw.htmlsi=YX3OJ6rVMbBMDkpx

@EmeraldView

2 ай бұрын

We really are. 😕

@junglie

2 ай бұрын

Remind me never to hire you as a party DJ Paul.........

@maxsmith695

Ай бұрын

@@EmeraldViewWhat is that timeline in your view. Roughly 20 years ago I read a book on something to do with saints. I recall a short chapter on some of their prophecies. A Catholic nun from a nation in South America said there will come a time, when the living will envy the dead. There was no further detail. I have thought about what could that look like. Climate change seems to solve the mystery.

@EmeraldView

Ай бұрын

​@@maxsmith695 I don't think we have long unfortunately. I hate to put a timeframe on it, but I suspect most people alive today could live to see the end. What exactly that end will look like is hard to say, but it's unlikely to be pretty or pleasant. The living will envy the dead. Could we also go extinct? Well.. yeah that's a distinct possibility.

Another really important video. Brilliant Paul, thanks for pointing this paper out.

So much energy, both environmentally and mentally, is expended on building more and more cars, green or otherwise. What's the lifespan of a car? Say its 15 years then needs to be replaced. Infinite growth is not going to work. No economist or business tycoon has the brain cells to comprehend this

@dbadagna

2 ай бұрын

Wind turbines, solar panels, and batteries (our supposed hope for a "green" energy future) also only last a few decades at most.

The problem is SYSTEMIC. Too complex. It is hopeless & way too late

@rolandgibson-murphy2853

2 ай бұрын

It's too many people. After 2 billion, it has been fixing a breaking system that has been put in a wobbly simi - balance

@user-ym5hx6ky2m

2 ай бұрын

Agreed. Everyone is so busy focusing on the symptoms, not the disease - the SYSTEM.

Sure things look bleak right now but think of all the profits we made along the way.

@louishennick6883

Ай бұрын

That about sums things up in one sentence

Merci beaucoup

the diagram would be improved if it just said megacancer in the middle and biosphere all around the outer section, and if the bit in the middle pulsated and glowed eerily and slowly grew bigger as it obliterated the outer section

Thank you for one more enlighting video, Paul. A question: do you believe it possible for humankind to stop its biosphere destructive ways? I don't, really. 😢

@unbiasedthoughts7875

2 ай бұрын

Absolutely not - what evidence do you see for that to happen? If anything, we are accelerating destruction on every front possible. Brace for impact.

@billr1129

2 ай бұрын

Neither do I , the statement about man being the only creature to foul his own nest comes to mind . We certainly have, and on a grand scale. Sad

@EmeraldView

2 ай бұрын

Sadly no. There seems to be a fundamental fatal flaw in the very nature of the human animal that prevents us from acting for the collective good on a global scale. And in fact we act in precisely the opposite way.

@SolutionsWithin

2 ай бұрын

​@@unbiasedthoughts7875 Ironic that it costs a lot of money to do all the “prepping” some are rumoured to be doing.

@linmal2242

Ай бұрын

Not without population reduction. We are consuming the planet; mostly the Biosphere, which cannot go on. The only answer for us is to reduce the number of Homo Sapien Sapiens ! Whether we do it or Nature does it is in question !

You missed the number one risk...... , multi-continent crop failures (like no plant 19 in America but in many top growing areas)all others we can deal with, massive crop failures is the elephant in the room no-one dare talk about.

@rhene1548

Ай бұрын

Yep. And the river valleys are full of warehouses

@beverleybarnes5656

Ай бұрын

Paul has discussed crop failures in previous videos.

@ireallylovegod

Ай бұрын

@@beverleybarnes5656 We are in the middle of this in the UK right now , loads of crop failures due to lots more rain than usual.

It's the pentagon of pure joy and partying...

I have no faith that the fossil fuel corporations will let go of the greed for more and more. How much money does one need? When the last river is posioned, the last tree cut down, the last fish is caught...can they eat their money? We were a better species when we were primitive (indigenous). I live in the US...the politics here are absolutely insane...I have no hope things will be eco friendly

Eileen Crist has written wonderful and instructive counter-anthropocentric analysis of the discourse the enemies of Nature’s regeneration utilize.

Thanks again Paul. This is a great paper... Dr Charles Fletcher- Chair of the Honolulu Climate Commission. Has appeared with Sir David King in a 50 minute presention with Q and A organised by Just Stop Oil. And similarly interviewed by Nick Breeze with David King and Charles Fletcher. Both scientists onto the science and the activism with a keen understanding of the urgency.

Unfortunately, in the US, any progress from EV's is being offset by people buying ever bigger ICE SUV's and Pickups that aren't used to tow or do real work.

Excellent heads-up Paul.... Thanks for the PDF! Always the most important part of your 'service'. The 'Pentagram of Anthropogenic Vectors of Doom'. And look...! There in the centre... The Woolly Mammoth in the room....

Over on the side with "Social Inequality." The issues of all the other sides is exacerbated by that single grouping. If not directly caused by the failure of human societies. Is the "big brain" the fatal flaw in evolution? Did we become too smart for our own good? Are we the evidence of why we have detected no other "intelligent" life in the universe?

@unbiasedthoughts7875

2 ай бұрын

It’s a pretty sound argument that advanced civilizations will consume all of their available resources before venturing out into the cosmos. Hence why we haven’t seen any and also why we will never go venturing ourselves. Fermi’s Paradox

@user-uo7fw5bo1o

2 ай бұрын

The problem is, we can't serve both humanity/nature and mammon. And our society has been set up so that we have to serve mammon in order to get by. 😢

“Five-to-one, baby, one -in-five…”

All of that is essentially known since the 1970s. But the status qou for the societies in the developed countries is still too compelling to change anything fundamentally.

@KateFrancis-eo2rp

26 күн бұрын

And people mocked the hippies 😮.

Why are the poor, less developed and marginalized always deemed most vulnerable to climate change? Those people are the most self-sufficient, resourceful, and autonomous on earth. It is wealthy people who participate in advanced markets, and rely on complex global supply chains that are most vulnerable. Their networked interdependence, combined with inadequate survival skills make them vulnerable to even small failures in any global subsystem. Their wealth might provide optionality, but it also means they have the highest exposure to shocks, and therefore the most to lose.

Love you Paul. Call when you have some good news!

I knew this video would be coming out sooner rather than later. By the way Paul, I see you figured things out like I did. You’re better off with cacti!😁

A lot of these problems exist because citizens have let their governments be overtaken by monied interests. Will they ever get it back?

@unbiasedthoughts7875

2 ай бұрын

Not a chance.

@sedonars1

2 ай бұрын

@@unbiasedthoughts7875 Indeed! Did we ever have influence on the government, or was it just a great marketing and PR blitz by the founding sociopaths ( I mean fathers, of course).

Hi Paul, thank you so much for what you do. Now that many scientists have pointed out what is happening to our planet, perhaps a huge call to action on the things we can do to help. From governments to individuals, I think we all need various detailed plans and actions to follow. If the same scientists could put something like that out there it would be extremely helpful. An ad campaign to put it in our face, coast to coast and around the world. Our rights and freedoms will get stepped on but what are rights and freedom without civilization and planet earth? Chaos and death. This is not something we can prep for. I know this is simple minded and idealistic, but it is just a thought.

Things that increase the Warming Rate 1/ Sea Ice Melt = Ocean heat absorption and less albedo. 2. Permafrost Thaw = More GHG 3/ Boreal Forest Fires = More GHG and less GHG absorption 4/ Drought and Floods = More GHG and Erosion of Top Soil 6/ Increase in Water Vapour = Extra Warming

It’s not just our “mindset” that needs to change, it’s how we act that needs to evolve. Not a word about the animal agriculture subsidies…😢 And what’s the easiest lever to pull for those of us living in the “first world”? Dietary habits, just go to a different aisle in the store and leave the animal products off your plate. What daily habit intersects with many of those listed drivers in that outer ring of that graphic? What we eat. Since our elected representatives and their corporate masters are failing at every level to seriously address this we need to step up and take the lead starting with ourselves and demand change at the political level by voting differently. 💚🐾✊🏼💚🌏✌️💚

@SolutionsWithin

2 ай бұрын

My son and I have been vegan for 10 years next month. Feels good. Meat industry is one of the biggest contributors to carbon emissions. Feels good to have been making better choices and caring about the animals. Glad we’ve done it. Better for the soul too. If I have extra funds I will be funding pro-vegan advocates.

Checkmate

One of the major issues missing from the chart is depletion of commodities particularly fossil fuels. While fossil fuels are a major problem there are not viable replacements for more than a small fraction of current global population.

@kti5682

2 ай бұрын

From what I hear peak oil has been pushed out to 2035. There have been multiple panics about peak oil in the past there was one in the 1920s even.

@dan2304

2 ай бұрын

@@kti5682 Research after World War 2 by the US Geological Survey and Shell Research compiled a large amount of geological evidence both for the formation of oil and gas and for The Theory of Plate Tectonics. Plate Tectonics was scientifically accepted in the 1960's but the first paper was published in 1956. From that time the geological mechanisms for the formation of most commodities and especially fossil fuels was well understood. Geologists have known where to look from that time; there are few new reserves to be found. From the 1960's the head of Shell Research accurately forecast US conventional oil peak for 1970 and global conventional peak for about 2000. US peak was 1970 and global peak was 2005 with global total oil production declining since 2018. Better informed analysts than I, say global capacity to meet global demand for petroleum (oil and gas) will be short by 2031, that is nearly 60% of global energy and the energy for transport and agricultural production going away. Coal is also in that boat. While production of all three will continue much longer all will be largely depleted in terms of global supply needs by 2070.

@ggray3671

2 ай бұрын

@@kti5682 From what I hear, peak oil was 2018. Nobody knows.

@kti5682

2 ай бұрын

@@ggray3671 Production has been increasing to me that means we have not reached the peak. What demand is doing and whether it can be met and how people are coping if it is not met is another issue.

So we screwed up some where around discovering all corners of the known world, got it.

So, when you say: _"We are on the Eve of Destruction"_ .. exactly how much time is there in an "Eve"? How long do we have left before the "Destruction"?

@Spice1_

2 ай бұрын

About 5 years (5 seconds in geological time)

@rachaelnelson3789

2 ай бұрын

That was my question. It’s coming sooner than most want to believe.

@unbiasedthoughts7875

2 ай бұрын

By many metrics, global industrial civilization is already well into collapse - as evidenced by the report. You don’t have to wait - we’re living through it and have been since we first overshot Earth’s carrying capacity back in the early 1970s.

@unbiasedthoughts7875

2 ай бұрын

We are already living through the “Destruction” and have been since we overshot Earth’s carrying capacity back in the early 1970s - that’s the entire purpose of this channel. Rest assured, your wait is over!

@EmeraldView

2 ай бұрын

It's difficult to pinpoint exactly when, but let's just say... soon. Unless you are a very old person, it will be within your lifetime. There's no turning back even if we tried now. We should have begun trying at least two decades ago, and probably more like 50 years ago to have assured our chance of survival.

Great Video Paul. One of your best! I had to share.😀

That graphic doesn't even include the most immediate threat: Macronism - the belief that it's possible to escalate just enough to win a conventional war against a nuclear superpower that considers that war an existential threat (and which many of your allies, large and small, have declared as being exactly for the purpose of destroying that power).

Wish I could feel optimistic about this. I don’t even think nations will be helpful in relocating displaced people.

Thanks Paul

Thanks for all your hard work getting this information out. Much love! I'm curious on your input on something. Are both the poles acting like a press, keeping pressure on the tectonic plates? Melting ice is clearly causing tremendous weight loss. Daily earthquakes in the forecast?

@Corrie-fd9ww

2 ай бұрын

I think this should be discussed more, because there are many unpredictable ways that rapidly shifting water weight in the oceans can impact the land around it. I would think volcanic activity, quakes, and more tsunamis as a result will be a more frequent part of life

I'm so glad to realize that CC is going to wait until all our CC studies are completed...lol...I used to think CC problems were real, but now I realize god just wouldn't let that happen...lol...humanity will go on forever, why worry about some silliy paper written by a bunch of people with a ajenda on their minds...god simply won't let that happen. After all, he created the place, he's all powerful, and, he loves us (why is god always a 'he'?)...lol...lol... Seriously folks...I agree that we're likely down to a few decades of 'hell on earth' for our kids and grandkids...then the planet spins on for eons without any life...oh, well, it was fun while it lasted... Glad to be an older person...

Game set match

@Sentimental_Mood

2 ай бұрын

Bingo!

@EmeraldView

2 ай бұрын

​@@Sentimental_Mood Tennis actually.

short answer is yes

Where are all the Despots? Living in luxury

We're done for ...

Welp. Thank goodness that since the weekend, I've had the feeling that I'm ready to die. It's the feeling you get when you have enough, and much more on top of enough. When is enough, anyway? It is a rhetorical question, I do not need answers since I already have my own.

I wonder why they don't mention the Elefant in the room: "Peak oil".

This looks interesting, but I'm trying to find out what March's average global temperature was relative to pre-industrial. 2024 Jan. was 1.66C & Feb. was 1.77C. I'm curious to see if March continues an ascent in temps or levels off or is lower. It's pertinent to see how its trending because supposedly this El Nino is waning and should mean lower global avg. temps. If not, it may mean we're in a new climate state.

"Propelled by imperialism, extractive capitalism, and a surging population, we are speeding past Earth's material limits" -- true enough, except for the "population" part. The statistics are perfectly clear: it is NOT total population that is the problem, but the RICH population. That is, the Golden Billion of the OECD; generally speaking the people who make (and spend) upwards of $50K per year.

@unbiasedthoughts7875

2 ай бұрын

While I tend to agree with you, almost everyone outside of the Golden Billion sees the comforts and amenities afforded to those people and strive to attain the same levels of material comfort. And who could blame them? It would be completely hypocritical of someone in the OECD to tell developing nations that they must remain poor (remaining poor would equate to not using fossil fuels as that’s how all OECD countries generated wealth…well that and slavery and theft from indigenous people). The challenge is to bring the over-consumptive lifestyles of people in OECD countries back in line with what the planet can sustain.

@alan2102X

2 ай бұрын

@unbiasedthoughts7875 "almost everyone" -- false, and if you think that, you've been the victim of Western (or global North if you prefer) propaganda, which saturates our airwaves, media, and minds, continually, from birth; i.e it is very difficult to escape, and I do not blame you for not having escaped (YET!). "It would be completely hypocritical of someone in the OECD to tell developing nations that they must remain poor" -- yes, of course it would, and that is the furthest thing from my mind.

@alan2102X

Ай бұрын

@@unbiasedthoughts7875 "almost everyone outside of the Golden Billion sees the comforts and amenities afforded to those people and strive to attain the same levels of material comfort." --- false. Western propaganda.

Great presentation as ever, Paul. Here in the foothills of the Sierra Nevada in California, we are getting our first winter storm of the winter. In April. This was far and away our warmest winter on record. We have six inches of snow on the ground and will get our first night significantly below freezing. So much for my fruit trees this year, which had just begun to flower.

Thanks Paul for continuing your releases.

You cleaned up your office

The scientific knowledge is available to humans to save themselves from the consequences of their current life strategy. However, social governing structures are unable to respond appropriately. I believe that human societies won't adapt until the current fossil fueled capitalism is unable to turn a profit. By then we will have passed tipping points that make our situation exponentially worse. This won't turn out well for homo sapiens.

We like war more than we like science. I've lost hope long time ago.

@roberthornack1692

2 ай бұрын

It's science that gave us the atomic bomb!

@unbiasedthoughts7875

2 ай бұрын

War is more profitable for the psychopaths clutching to power. There is no money to be made by not exploiting nature. Sad, but true.

@unbiasedthoughts7875

2 ай бұрын

War is more profitable than preserving a healthy biosphere.

It will need a self imposed evolution to homo sapiens 2.0. It's imposiible to say if it will happen or not. The balance between the current race with its drive for domination and power and the need when the earth's system unravels to do whatever is required to survive with whatever resources, will and technology are available. We have no precedent to work on - we are the experiment I'm afraid. It will definitely need a very large slice of luck. There may be civilisations out there somewhere that have survived the transition successfully but they are too far away to help us.

According to true Yoga Science humanity is almost totally insane. You generally cant help people that are utterly mad....

Thank you Paul Beckwith

Sea Level Rise may have two faces..! Atmospheric Rivers for the Inland Flooding ; and Standard Coastal Flooding that changes the Shorelines..! Surfs Up..! Yikes..!

24:50 ctrl + f to find it the SDGs sentence (page 3), it says: The United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), a suite of 17 objectives with 169 targets established in 2015 for achievement by 2030, face a grim forecast: current trends suggest none of the goals and merely 12% of the targets may be realized. This shortfall underscores the urgent need to dismantle the entrenched model of resource extraction and wealth concentration, advocating for a paradigm shift toward genuine sustainability and resource regeneration

we are done.

Who is talking Human Population Reduction? Hmmm! No one ! Well 'Madame Gaia' will shortly !

That cactus in the corner is very similar to one I have from Texas, a horse crippler, not its' Latin name I'm sure. On your topic you are spot on, it's already too hot for me way past so many tipping points some people think a simple fix is right around the corner others have already given up it being too late to change or to mitigate. The trouble is they all think they have time. How is it no one is talking about this, guy giving the local weather needs to hit on it every day but they talk about how nice it is to have temps in the 60's in January. And like George Carlin said the planet will be fine but not human beings or other living creatures well maybe jellyfish will thrive.

Regarding the picture of you standing next to a small vehicle on X.. what is that vehicle?

@PaulHBeckwith

2 ай бұрын

It’s a little 2 seater electric car…

@Sheyz123

2 ай бұрын

Wish we could get cars like this in the United States. 🤦🏼‍♀️

A big part of the problem is all the natural disasters

My new video… My new video… Earth at Risk: We are on the Eve of Destruction… kzread.info/dash/bejne/l42qt8Wlm6bOfqQ.htmlsi=EkV3E4It4nqsOCel We’re on the eve of destruction… genius.com/Barry-mcguire-eve-of-destruction-lyrics #climate #ClimateEmergency #ClimateJustice #ClimateAction #ClimateActionNow #GlobalGoals #GlobalHealth #SDG

Any Lord of the Rings fans out there know the “One ring to rule them all…” line. With regard to the biggest threats to human existence, the single most important issue, tge one problem driving all others, is human overpopulation. Everything else, even climate change, the extinction crisis, ocean acidification, habitat loss and the extinction crisis in the natural world, are all driving by human overpopulation.

@steverooke1717

2 ай бұрын

a lot of countries are facing possible population collapse due to mass emigration and falling birth rates

@Askalon9

2 ай бұрын

'Overshoot' by William Catton.

Wars are taking priority, sadly. Meanwhile we just went from 30 deg C back to 0 in two days.

Paul, thank you for all you do. It is important for everyone...but...we all know we will not survive a plus 3.0C world, who are these authors trying to kid? We know it, they know it, so what is the aim of the paper? Publish or die? Critical funding? Job security? The wish list is just that, wishes/dreams/shared delusions. I dislike, oh if only.................

@donfletcher2986

2 ай бұрын

You are correct

😢

Jevons Paradox rearing it's ugly head again. No matter how much 'green' energy we have, the oil, gas and coal will still be required. If for nothing else than to build the 'green' energy facilities...!! Are we exponential yet...? Cheers, as ever, Paul.

@louishennick6883

Ай бұрын

False logic That’s like saying that just because we use the same means to manufacture a bicycle as our 8 cylinder 4 wheel drive pickup truck, that it wouldn’t make a difference to emissions which one you drive or ride 3 miles back and forth to work everyday. Of course we use the old fuels and manners to build new things You gotta start somewhere

oh good lord, Paul, backwith has jumped the shark, there’s too many comments here 😡

God I hope so.

so depressing

"With 16 years more data under our belts, we see a very different outcome. The 2023 sea ice minimum on 18/19 September was indistinguishable from that of 2007 when all the hysterical screaming began. ZERO net change in 17 years. "...Arctic sea ice: the canary in the coal mine. by Greg Goodman

@user-uo7fw5bo1o

2 ай бұрын

I think Russia's figured out that if the AMOC collapses they're going to freeze. That's why imo they're now committed to endless war, to get out of the future icebox.

@karlwheatley1244

2 ай бұрын

Anyone who understands global ice knows that sea ice extent can be extremely misleading because a square mile of ocean covered 100% in 6-foot thick ice is counted as covered in sea ice but if the same square mile of ocean in a different year is only 16% covered in slushy 1-2 foot thick ice--and is 84% open ocean--it's also counted as covered by sea ice. What really matter is sea ice mass, and that has been cut in half since 1979. Furthermore, scientists who have been going to the Arctic for decades to do research report a radically changed environment--and they often can't out onto the ice to do experiments where they used to do them because the ice is too slushy or it's mostly open water Thus, please don't let yourself geet fooled by misleading statistics--the amount of ice in the Arctic is steadily declining.

Seas and waves crashing, nations in perplexity. The worst tribulation since the beginning of the creation. God be with you all.

@user-uo7fw5bo1o

2 ай бұрын

And except those days be shortened there should no flesh be saved alive! Good luck everybody!

You know ANONYMOUS,where the F are they

Your anthropocentric-centered send off is exactly why we’re in the way we are; pregnant with hope and fear. George Carlin pointed all this out decades ago to anyone listening. And people thought he was funny.

Sounding more and more every day in agreement with Dr Guy Mcphersons observations. When the admission you were wrong and apology for your comments calling him a extremist rather thrn a rralist Paul???

The concentric pentagon's of death.

Waiting for new forms of renewable energy to come online is too little. Reduce ALL energy use from all sources, clean, dirty, renewable or finite. It is too late to worry about saving BAU. That is NOT, or should not be, the main priority. Downsizing energy use, economic activity and population are the priorities. Green energy sources have the additional problem of needing fossil fuels to be launched. Green energy alone can not launch green energy although an attempt to do so will have the side benefit of reducing economic activity which will be useful.

@roberthornack1692

2 ай бұрын

Reducing economic activity is a bad idea. Better hope those reflective sulphates stay in the air to buy us alittle more time!

@unbiasedthoughts7875

2 ай бұрын

@@roberthornack1692I’m fairly certain we will see artificial Sulfate seeding of the atmosphere within a year or so (if governments aren’t already doing it without telling us plebs). The only choice is to geo-engineer at this point (not that burning through hundreds of millions of years of stored fossil energy in the span of 150 years wasn’t geo-engineering). We will not be curbing our fossil fuel use until they run out - or we would have done so already.

@coweatsman

2 ай бұрын

@@roberthornack1692 More economic activity means more environmental destruction. In a way global warming is not the problem but an effect. Aerosol sulphates may alleviate the global warming effect but not address the problem of collective humanity simply being too large for the planet. Geoengineering has to be paid for. It's not free. That means diminishing marginal returns on economic growth because of our created need to alleviate the effect of that growth. Cheaper to downsize instead to a level where nature can process our civilisational waste for free. No charge. At a lower level of economic activity there is no need for ever more expensive alleviation. That is the story of human progress. Paying for more and more for what used to be free, provided by nature at no charge in terms of recycling our waste products back into the biosphere. The price we pay for growth.

Just had a personal conversation with a parent who realizes how fucked things are. Came out of nowhere, yep