Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis for BEGINNERS - How to Value a Stock Using Tesla as an Example

In this video, I cover how to run a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis using Tesla as an example.
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⏱Timestamps⏱
0:00 - Introduction
1:44 - Conceptual Explanation of the DCF
6:04 - Why DCFs are Important and When to Use Them
7:51 - How to do a DCF and 4 Key Concepts
12:07 - Tesla DCF Example
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All content in this video is for entertainment purposes only. I am not a professional financial advisor and my statements are not to be taken as instructions or directions. In addition, some of the links above are affiliate links, meaning that at NO additional cost to you, I may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase.
#dcf #discountedcashflow #valuation

Пікірлер: 221

  • @rareliquid
    @rareliquid3 жыл бұрын

    *As I mentioned in the video, here are some further explanations of some of the concepts I brought up:* *Capital Expenditures (CapEx)* - Cash you spend on Plant, Property, and Equipment (PP&E). So Apple spends $100 million on a new office building, that's $100 million of Capital Expenditures. CapEx is NOT found in your income statement because they are usually really large one-time expenses and the income statement tries to capture expenses that occur regularly. Instead, the costs of CapEx are depreciated over time (see below). *Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)* - In the CapEx example, if Apple bought a new building for $100 million and that building had a "useful life" of 20 years, the annual D&A would be $100 million / 20 = $5 million a year. D&A IS found in your income statement either embedded into COGS or Operating Expenses. D&A allows you to fairly deduct CapEx spend over a period of time but it's not actual cash that you're spending (instead the actual cash was a one-time payment in CapEx). *Net Working Capital (NWC)* - For a DCF, this is your current OPERATING assets (i.e. excludes cash, includes assets like inventory, accounts receivable, etc.) minus your current OPERATING liabilities (i.e. excludes debt, includes accounts payable, deferred revenue, etc.). Standard definition for NWC is just current assets minus current liabilities but there's a difference for the DCF. NWC looks at the regular cash inflows and outflows from a company's day to day operations. *WACC Formula* - As a reminder, this is your (% of equity * cost of equity) + (your % of debt * cost of debt * (1 - Tax rate)). % of equity means [equity value / (equity value + debt)]. cost of equity is found through the CAPM formula (risk free rate + beta * market risk premium). % of debt is [debt / (debt + equity value)]. You multiply the debt part times 1 - tax rate because interest payments are tax deductible. 💰Get Free Money💰 ► Coinbase - Get $10 in Free Bitcoin: coinbase.com/join/chon_df?src=ios-link ► Moomoo - Get 2 Free Stocks: j.moomoo.com/005RTE ► Webull - Get 2 Free Stocks: act.webull.com/invite/share.html?inviteCode=5gwmzRWoEVWd ► Schwab - Earn up to $500: www.schwab.com/public/schwab/nn/refer-prospect.html?refrid=REFERBYVYKMZ6 ► Blockfi - Get up to $250: blockfi.mxuy67.net/Keje6z ► Audible - 30 Day Free Trial (Unlimited Audio Books!): amzn.to/3u8aBLq

  • @tilloberto

    @tilloberto

    3 жыл бұрын

    Hey Ben, thanks for all the explainations. I was wondering whether JPM really uses CAPM model and not a more advanced one as other tier 1 banks. It seems too simple to me :D Keep up the good work!

  • @qwertz9501

    @qwertz9501

    2 жыл бұрын

    i am missing an explanation of the following term: cost of debt would highly appreciate it.

  • @lukebarmakian3200

    @lukebarmakian3200

    Жыл бұрын

    @@qwertz9501 cost of debt (i think) would be the interest rate that theyre paying on debt, its like how much its costinf them to borrow money.

  • @hualaina6172
    @hualaina61723 жыл бұрын

    Hi Ben, I am a year-one LSE student. So many of our students are trying to get into investment banking and it's really nice of you to provide free contents. Thank you so so so so so so much!

  • @aaronlazarus3828
    @aaronlazarus38283 жыл бұрын

    I took a 9hr course on DCF and you cleared my problems in 18mins. Thank you so much

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    good to hear! haha

  • @qualityballer414
    @qualityballer4142 жыл бұрын

    It is crazy how helpful this channel has been for me over the past couple months. From learning about a career in investment banking a few months ago to helping me prepare for a finance quiz I have tomorrow… The high quality of your videos isn’t going unnoticed and I don’t doubt this channel will really blow up soon!

  • @jasonang3528
    @jasonang35282 жыл бұрын

    Your explanation is incredibly amateur-friendly and is definitely interesting that it made me watch the entire thing at 2.30am in the morning. Really appreciate your dedication and knowledge and I am excited to watch your other videos and those upcoming ones! 😁

  • @jordanm8542
    @jordanm85422 жыл бұрын

    Started watching back your live stream of how to build one of these models. Extremely helpful. Have been looking for a while around this topic, however have found your walk through on the live stream and explanation in this video to be one of the best ive found. Appreciate it.

  • @aguamenti1000
    @aguamenti1000 Жыл бұрын

    Thanks so much! Super helpful in preparing for a corp fin interview - concise and to the point. Also thanks for including text boxes - makes it much easier to write down notes 😊

  • @Jackmunropickleball
    @Jackmunropickleball2 жыл бұрын

    Really helpful. I’m 17 trying to get into this and your channel is so helpful

  • @Isabella-hd5ek
    @Isabella-hd5ek2 жыл бұрын

    Very helpful! I really like that you added explanation and how you use the DCF model at work .

  • @PrimeHarbor
    @PrimeHarbor3 жыл бұрын

    I’ve been waiting for this. Thank you for doing ittttt

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    no prob!

  • @chenchen5222
    @chenchen52222 жыл бұрын

    Love your teaching!!! so simple and clear :)

  • @antoniaplans2890
    @antoniaplans28903 жыл бұрын

    DUDE I needed this like last week!! The struggles I had at work trying to figure this out 😂😂

  • @hoanghieptran5460
    @hoanghieptran54602 жыл бұрын

    really appreciate this content. looking forward to future contents like this

  • @davidlegeros1914
    @davidlegeros19142 жыл бұрын

    Thank you for clarifying the concepts of DCF and WACC. it is very helpful to a non-business student earning an MBA.

  • @adamabdul2594
    @adamabdul25942 жыл бұрын

    Appreciate the work and effort in explaning the concepts!

  • @hansandinvestments3990
    @hansandinvestments39903 жыл бұрын

    Nice and simple breakdown. Great job. This would be useful for people who are learning

  • @zetsui0411
    @zetsui04112 жыл бұрын

    3:40 HOW MUCH CASH it coudl generate bike analogy 6:15 candidates for dcf 8:45 unlevered 10:00 perpetuity what was used at JPM 12:00 wacc ranges 12:15 fcf most assumption heavy part of the dcf BAM SEC allows you to import balance sheet as spreadsheet

  • @Aintnerd
    @Aintnerd3 жыл бұрын

    Thanks for sharing. Very articulated piece

  • @sergecanepa1971
    @sergecanepa19712 жыл бұрын

    great informative videos and appreciate the added video effects you do to make it more appealing

  • @Robay146
    @Robay1463 жыл бұрын

    Thanks for this! You're a good teacher! 👍🏾

  • @minh-ducnguyen2016
    @minh-ducnguyen20163 жыл бұрын

    Thank you so much for your video, Ben. I like it a lot, especially the way you explain and communicate. Love it and will be your loyal follower

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    no problem and thank you for the support!

  • @francescopici4104
    @francescopici41043 жыл бұрын

    Favorite kind of videos!! keep it up man!

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    thanks! will do

  • @joaolucaas__
    @joaolucaas__2 жыл бұрын

    Your content is great man!!

  • @thomasrichalot2517
    @thomasrichalot25173 жыл бұрын

    Thanks Ben for sharing precious information as always!

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    no prob~

  • @hyehyunpark530
    @hyehyunpark530 Жыл бұрын

    You are super helpful! Thank you so much for this!

  • @TheLogicman1
    @TheLogicman13 жыл бұрын

    Thank you for this! Super helpful and useful- loving the IB insights.

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    Glad it was helpful!

  • @TheZeignacio
    @TheZeignacio2 жыл бұрын

    Great video, thank you for sharing it. Congrats!

  • @michaelphonevilay8597
    @michaelphonevilay85973 жыл бұрын

    Thank you for this great video, I love the formatting

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    Glad you enjoyed it!

  • @andrewphillips1026
    @andrewphillips10263 жыл бұрын

    Love the videos. Keep em coming!

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    Thanks Andrew!

  • @asishjp3296
    @asishjp32962 жыл бұрын

    It was pretty much helpful 👍🏻👍🏻

  • @user-rd6en5vx6y
    @user-rd6en5vx6y11 ай бұрын

    Thank you, This video is very helpful, I'll learn many thing from your channel

  • @opheliewang5317
    @opheliewang53172 жыл бұрын

    Very clear explanation, extremely helpful ! thanks a lot ~~~~

  • @newyorkgumgum9960
    @newyorkgumgum99603 жыл бұрын

    Interviewer: Walk me through a DCF Me: hold my rareliquid subscription

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    LOL

  • @richieg.3192

    @richieg.3192

    3 жыл бұрын

    Interviewer: What's the best method for calculating Terminal Value? Ben: Perpetuity Growth Method is without a doubt the absolute best method Interviewer: Why? Ben: It's the only method I've used.

  • @AC-ke3ui
    @AC-ke3ui3 жыл бұрын

    Content keeps getting better and better🙌🏼

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    thanks!

  • @MrOtavioAFF
    @MrOtavioAFF8 ай бұрын

    Thank you!!

  • @kamilraimov312
    @kamilraimov3129 күн бұрын

    You are the best bro

  • @geddees
    @geddees2 жыл бұрын

    Fire video, thank you.

  • @walterchow6368
    @walterchow63683 жыл бұрын

    Good video, very helpful for my group work haha, thanks

  • @elkor2792
    @elkor27922 жыл бұрын

    Really great video! I personally look at forecasting and DCF as two different parts of an analysis

  • @wolfgangi
    @wolfgangi2 жыл бұрын

    Eyyyyyy glad to see my fellow bear. Go Bears! , instant sub.

  • @truongthevinh8926
    @truongthevinh89263 жыл бұрын

    Thanks for sharing Ben. I'll be greatful if you do a series about finance for beginners😍

  • @SuperJinming
    @SuperJinming3 жыл бұрын

    Love your videos so much!

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    Thank you so much!

  • @hermoinegrangerful
    @hermoinegrangerful3 жыл бұрын

    great explanation, rareliquid!

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    thank you anna!

  • @shmz8771
    @shmz87713 жыл бұрын

    Amazing!

  • @mastermindmaheshwari4095
    @mastermindmaheshwari4095 Жыл бұрын

    Thanks It very helpful

  • @sarasa4302
    @sarasa43023 жыл бұрын

    Very helpful! Thank you!

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    np sara!

  • @nicholasfenelon5785
    @nicholasfenelon5785 Жыл бұрын

    great video very informative

  • @rlbonner123456
    @rlbonner1234569 ай бұрын

    You rock, dude. 😊

  • @qwertz9501
    @qwertz95013 жыл бұрын

    thanks more then a lot (= keep up the grind: its unique

  • @jonaslim8144
    @jonaslim81443 жыл бұрын

    Love this kind of videos

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    good to hear!

  • @PELBTOR
    @PELBTOR2 жыл бұрын

    Thanks, your video help me a lot thanks

  • @milkYkiss7
    @milkYkiss73 жыл бұрын

    finally! this is exactly what i need ;p

  • @exodus3243
    @exodus32432 жыл бұрын

    Great Video! Even that i am advanced in this field, i kind of enjoyed the explanation. More of that !!👍

  • @inakastories23
    @inakastories232 жыл бұрын

    This is helpful...assisted me in my home work

  • @tmdngs
    @tmdngs3 жыл бұрын

    This was extremely helpful! I’d love more basic corporate finance videos and examples. Looking forward to your next vid🙂

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    thanks daniel!

  • @johnjohn2914
    @johnjohn29143 жыл бұрын

    Love ur videos better than my professors~

  • @alwynjohn-thesimpleinvesto4730
    @alwynjohn-thesimpleinvesto47303 жыл бұрын

    Great video, keep it up!!

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    Thanks!

  • @KateTLe
    @KateTLe2 жыл бұрын

    Thank you

  • @rickylin5561
    @rickylin55612 жыл бұрын

    Hi I'm recently getting my 1st year Finance classes started in GWU, I'm really nervous and stressful but after learning from your video at least I can have a little bit more confidence on prep for what I will learn in the upcoming classes! Thank you for YOUR useful content!

  • @abhyudayarajpurohit3484
    @abhyudayarajpurohit3484 Жыл бұрын

    nice content !

  • @nycbankers1427
    @nycbankers14272 жыл бұрын

    This is amazing bro as a trader this gives you an edge when it comes to trading and valuations thanks a lot brother

  • @bryce6985
    @bryce69852 жыл бұрын

    This is higher quality that the materials I was given at Uni.

  • @santiagoparra5047
    @santiagoparra50473 жыл бұрын

    absolutely clear! Could u plz make M&A transactions on the next one?

  • @athanasiusliau74
    @athanasiusliau743 жыл бұрын

    Here before rareliquid reaches 1M 🤩

  • @SL-yy4mn
    @SL-yy4mn3 жыл бұрын

    Leaving some love in the comments!

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    thank you!

  • @olzhasabdramanov1698
    @olzhasabdramanov16983 жыл бұрын

    Good Job!

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    Thanks!

  • @augustusg857
    @augustusg8572 жыл бұрын

    I would of lover to seen you use the exit multiple. And fcf gives us market value too, I've seen ppl use a terminal multiple times the fcf to get market cap.

  • @tron9345
    @tron93453 жыл бұрын

    Thanks:)

  • @toviyaondo
    @toviyaondo3 жыл бұрын

    How would you go about projecting NWC, EBIT, and Capital Expenditures?

  • @dylanquepasa
    @dylanquepasa2 жыл бұрын

    Hi Ben. I am late to this video but have watched it thoroughly and would like to thank you for the great knowledge shared. Could you please tell me how you arrived at the exact number for years 2021 and 2022 for the Unlevered FCF. I understand the equation but am struggling to arrive at the same numbers of 4,535 and 7,500 respectively, as you did. Thanks a lot!

  • @willyoung6891
    @willyoung6891 Жыл бұрын

    Thanks for the great video. I have a question: Why would you choose to discount the cash flow over 5 years versus 10 years? This would make a huge difference of the value, so how do you decide how many years to discount?

  • @monnombre6547
    @monnombre65473 жыл бұрын

    awesome!

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    Thanks!

  • @the96nix
    @the96nix Жыл бұрын

    Thank you for the video. It was simple and clear. Also, will you be posting a excel sheet with a templete for DCF?

  • @kyroz..
    @kyroz..2 жыл бұрын

    Very valuable content! I'm trying to go into IB but it's hard if you're 29 yo with no prior exp in that field. My goal is to get an internship (doesn't have to be in a BB oder top tier bank) and I'm trying to increase my chances by completing an IB course on udemy. Keep going with your content! I like them, new sub here👍

  • @FRANKWHITE1996
    @FRANKWHITE19962 жыл бұрын

    Great explanation. Subscribing ✅

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    2 жыл бұрын

    Awesome, thank you!

  • @leokal457
    @leokal4573 жыл бұрын

    Really good video! Very informative and easy to understand. But i realised that i really have to up my finance english skills. Some definitions you gave were a little fast for me. But thats not your fault!

  • @prashantchapagai6294
    @prashantchapagai6294 Жыл бұрын

    Brother, you are doing such a great thing. Thank you so much. i would like to request you to bring some more videos on financial analysis. if you are free then please try to make details explanation with some examples in excel.

  • @keanelynwaldriff657
    @keanelynwaldriff6572 жыл бұрын

    Great video. Where did you get the growth rates from?

  • @darkshinigami9438
    @darkshinigami94382 жыл бұрын

    Hello, just discovered and subscribed to your channel 😉 you mentioned DCF applied to biotech companies. Could you please share one of such DCF? I am working in a pharma company and I am very interested in this topic, thank you very much

  • @yugandharardekar1112
    @yugandharardekar11123 жыл бұрын

    Great video! Would really appreciate if you could also make some videos on LBO analysis and other valuation methods.

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    i did post about comparable comps already but probably won’t do one on lbo or precedent transactions because they’re not really relevant for most retail investors

  • @rifazrz
    @rifazrz2 жыл бұрын

    hi ben can you make a video teaching us how to calculate exact terminal growth rate of company

  • @tkceedits2377
    @tkceedits23772 жыл бұрын

    Can you teach us other valuation methods like ratios and other stuff.

  • @dannykataw7684
    @dannykataw76843 жыл бұрын

    Great content and love the animations in your presentation. "Off-White vibes"

  • @Keppiism
    @Keppiism3 жыл бұрын

    Great video, thank you! Can you tell us a bit more about how did you build up your excel sheet so that you can import the data from PDFs? Thank you!

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    if you go to bamsec and sign up either for the free trial or by paying you can download the data to excel

  • @lifebythenumbers
    @lifebythenumbers Жыл бұрын

    Great video! Do you have a DCF spreadsheet calculator that you recommend for beginners?

  • @tdogable
    @tdogable2 жыл бұрын

    What’s the best way for one to take a deep dive into this and become competent

  • @foyg5967
    @foyg59672 жыл бұрын

    Love from India 🇮🇳

  • @renrustandi
    @renrustandi3 жыл бұрын

    Waiting for the advanced DCF Model :)) Thanks a lot

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    coming soon~

  • @zackd7597
    @zackd75972 жыл бұрын

    Is terminal value not used when calculating actual share price? I thought it was but I am confused about where is it included in the equity value calculation

  • @loengkeoi
    @loengkeoi2 жыл бұрын

    Cool.

  • @ronaksolanki2317
    @ronaksolanki23172 жыл бұрын

    Could you please mention how did you move your borders in slides? I have searched everywhere but not able to find it. Please.

  • @edoardofurlan6284
    @edoardofurlan62842 жыл бұрын

    very useful video. My question is based on what you make your assumptions ?

  • @Unknowledgeable1
    @Unknowledgeable1 Жыл бұрын

    5:21 8:08 cf. Stable top line rev Enterprise value means the same thing as intrinsic value? 'Relatively predictable'

  • @killmills
    @killmills Жыл бұрын

    yo could you do a dcf or how you would value stocks that operate at a loss like coinbase?

  • @sydneybarzakay9123
    @sydneybarzakay91232 жыл бұрын

    You saved me for my finance final

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    2 жыл бұрын

    Hey Sydney! Glad I could help

  • @user-bx2kd7jt8t
    @user-bx2kd7jt8t3 жыл бұрын

    Damn bro wanna be my tutor 😂🤣 studying this in uni rn 👏😎

  • @609crew
    @609crew3 жыл бұрын

    Thanks Liquid! Was curious if you factor in FDA/patent expectations in doing a DCF for pharma companies?

  • @rareliquid

    @rareliquid

    3 жыл бұрын

    yes patent expiration results in a huge drop in revenue and cash flows and trial success probabilities are applied as well

  • @Youzarzif
    @Youzarzif3 жыл бұрын

    Can you do more examples and analysis of companies? Like a top down analysis of Ali Baba stock and then a DCF on it. Thanks!

  • @abhisheksingh8265
    @abhisheksingh82652 жыл бұрын

    Request to also put up This kinda series on LBO you did for 6.1 Bn deal

  • @GraysonKYC
    @GraysonKYC2 жыл бұрын

    i guess the crypto startup use similar valuation model now. it's a great explanation to a outsider like me who is currently trying to propose a valuation for fundraising event. thanks a lot