Great stuff, thanks again Jacob!!! I love it!

Great stuff Jacob. Been watching your videos, I am usually a winner when I play this style. You have convinced me to be a don't player. Thanks

If you quit when you’re up, you can never lose

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

That's philosophy

@paulbuckler9778

Жыл бұрын

Probability of winning comes from luck alone 😊😊

@eddieonthemoney2520

9 ай бұрын

Rather than just bet the six and eight I would lower their value and still put money in the field. Cover the five with my first hit and continue to play the iron cross. If I’m only going to take three hits, I want a chance to score on every role.

Thanks Jacob, great explanation of the math and the thought process you went through.

Thanks Jacob. Another fine lesson!

An excellent tutorial. Thank you.

I have tested with practice many strategies and one that wins consistently over 70 % of the time is the 6,7,8. This includes using the iron cross when point is 5, 6 or 8. And especially important is walking when up 20% and having an adequate bankroll.

Thanks! Great info.

Great how you follow the math and encourage us to follow the probabilities and the math of the game while having fun. LLA proves it works.👍👍😎

You finally said what I learned the "hardway" (oh the pun-ishment!). After watching lots of your videos with your 100 bankroll, I thought I could play it with 300 or 400 B.R. With playing 15/18 bets. Ha! With 15.00 table minimums, the field takes too much from the box wins. I now see that the 25/30 level is just the starting point. Now maybe on smaller B.R. if I play straight 6 and 8 and on a good roll 1/2 press up to 25/30...perhaps change over to I.C.

Great point Jacob, your winnings aren't REAL until you leave the casino. Then using that money to do something special for family or your home, even better

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

Yeah man

Nice reality chat at end.

Of course they will allow to take a don’t pass bet down. It has a mathematical advantage over the house if it survives the Come Out roll.

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

LOL

The House Vig is collected everytime you win except w/ buys/lays. Use lower vig bets when available. Use 'Edging', the advantage of a line bet on a CO roll being 'spent' on other bets.

@wagermethis

9 ай бұрын

You play how you wish, the casino wants you to make "Line bets" that's why you have to have one to shoot. They could just force you to have action to shoot, but they are specific to Line bets. The Pass Line is a bad bet and the Dont Pass is just mediocre. I have proven many times that, "Risk for Risk" Place betting out paces Line/come plus Odds. But you play as you wish, I will play as I wish.

Great video Thx

Thanks Jacob I appreciate all your insight on craps. The question I have on the $60 DP would you hedge against that bet?

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

I don't hedge comeouts. I do play the CE at a separate play

Great way to show this Jacob. Math and stats are always the way to play for me. Thanks for reiterating a great way to play

How do you feel about instead of the DP just waiting for the come out then lay they 4 or 10 for 150?? Risking more on lay but no risk of losing on come out roll

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

Sure, I don't worry about the comeout, its the cost of doing business

The 6,7,8 is the baseball equivalent of small ball. Mathematically, the come bet is superior to the place bet. But if you are going to make place bet, you need an exit strategy. There must come a point where you regress and guarantee a profit or turn them off until your DP is resolved. If you lose, bring your place bets back into your rack. If you hit, either regress or simply turn them back on.

I tried ghis system and had schleprocks throwing the dice and emptied me out

So the premise of this vid is that for a single roll there are markedly more dice combinations that you win than lose. I know this really seams enticing as you elicited. But as with everything in life one must look at the whole picture, which, in craps of course, is the actual payout for any combination you select is reduced to a greater disadvantage. For this reason, if you go back to the casino time after time, eventually, you will succumb to the obvious disadvantage of payout vs. single roll probability. Of course you know this, so not discounting your strategy as you will loose less in the long run. You have a great presentation for craps and explain it well, thanks!

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

Have you ever played this way at the Casino? Because if you haven't, you wouldn't know how effective or ineffective it is. The whole picture is exactly what I put on video. It just doesn't fit whatever craps rhetoric you have told yourself is "right" so you feel the urge to comment on it. But you play the way you wish, and I will play the way that I trust. But inferring that I have misled or didn't show the whole picture is unacceptable.

@magncity1817

Жыл бұрын

@@wagermethis I apologize that my response came across in the way you felt. My intent was not that at all, next time I will be more careful of my words, and will reiterate that you have a great presentation.

Looks great nice video

Well, it you placed the bet on the "5", you should placed 15 bucks on the "Field" .. it's better than placed bet on the "9" .. so If the 5 come .. you still win 20 however, you will win 15 bucks on others numbers (2,3,4,9,10,11 and 12) ..

What way could I play this on a $5 minimum table? At riverwind in Oklahoma it’s a $5 minimum, this looks good.

Hey what do you do when the point is a 9?

Theory is one thing, in actual is for real. And as for your 6-8 bets, I once saw a couple clear over 42K just hitting 6s and 8s.

Only problem with this strategy is come out roll. I've seen on bubble craps 5 sevens and 11 on come out roll which would destroy $500 bankroll. Of course once you past that, potential of making money is great. I know in a long run hedging come out roll is not profitable but with this kind bankroll would be necessary. Great video Jacob. Also, what is your opinion on Greg Uholo style of playing. CSL made great video on that topic and I love to hear your opinion

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

I will have e to check it out

@christopheralvarez6076

Жыл бұрын

I love CSL's vids I wish he'd post more often..

@extrof

Жыл бұрын

​@WagerMeThis can you have a partner hedge the come out roll with equal bet on pass

@ronhanna6330

Жыл бұрын

If you are worried about sevens on the comeout, just wait until the point is established and run a DC bet as your don't pass. And then run the strategy just as Jacob does.

@eddiem1926

Жыл бұрын

@@ronhanna6330 There is no difference between DP and DC,you still facing same odds to establish point

Your exactly right that's it's not real till you leave the casino won multiple times a lot have it back cause I have a wife that likes to feed the slot machine. Especially when you stay overnight.

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

I know that feeling. I call my wife the black chip bandit. The dealers get a kick out of it.

The why is not hard to figure out. On average 6,7,8 are the most rolled numbers.

Do you play this on other people rolling? Like every shooter?

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

50$ dont and 6 and 8 place on others

Jacob my name is Jacob want to talk to you about a new system I have created…works on black jack wondering if we could get it to work real good 😊 n craps

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

Wagermethis@gmail.com

The house edge means a ton! If you bet eve $60 per roll, which is less than you are betting here in the example, at a conservative 130 rolls per hour and 2 hours, that’s a total of $15,600 bet. With a house edge of 1.4%, you should lose $218

@scottulbrich5376

9 ай бұрын

thats perfect math, on an extreme amout of rolls not taking all aspects into cosideration , such as hedging or martaingale

@scottulbrich5376

9 ай бұрын

or even just pressing

@EZBISME

9 ай бұрын

@@scottulbrich5376 pressing, martingale, or any other strategy doesn’t change the mechanism of math. You have how much you bet and the house edge to give expected loss.

the best way to win on craps is dont pass my system has not failed me in years modifed doey dont system place dont pass bet now say point is 5 or 9 lay odds like $18 which pays $12 on 7 out place 5 or 9 for $20 this gurntees you a profit if 7 out your paid $15 + $12 total pick up back in rack is $15 + $18 +12 plus $15 = $60 if point is amde you win $$28 total pick up is $48 if you lose to natural 7 or 11 no bets after take the $15 loss wat till dice pass of course you adjust to what table gives you if most shooters are making points lay minimum odds like if point is 6 or 8 lay $6 to win $5 place 6 or 8 for $24 pays $28 thats $52 back in rack you net progit is $31 do that 10 times in a hour baby = $310 just think long term this method on full table 9 or more will average you min $65 per hour

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

THE BEST WAY!!!! LOL. Thats bold

You should lay maximum odds on all don’t bets all the time. You might find a dealer that pays you even money on lay odds. Very few players bet the don’t and even fewer lay odds so some dealers will forget how to pay it.

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

I understand what you're saying, but it's not the reality of how most Don't players play. People don't want to win less than 1 to 1.

@emmanuelvacakis4463

Жыл бұрын

@@wagermethis The casinos are getting less than 1-1 on almost all bets placed against them. They get 1-30 on 12,they get 1-15 on 11. I’ll take that all day and all night.

Counting the ways to win versus ways to lose is a severely flawed way to account for a strategy’s worth.

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

???. It's telling you exactly what to expect each roll

@MyopiaMovie

Жыл бұрын

@@wagermethis it is an enormous flaw to use the percentage of the time you win because your wins and losses are not equal. Many people talk about “good” strategies because they win a large percentage of the time. You know another strategy that wins a lot of the time? Betting 32 individual numbers on roulette. Or playing crapless and covering all the numbers as place bets. If you want to actually summarize all of the outcomes then you should just do the EV of the strategy per roll.

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

@MyopiaMovie you must only watch and listen to part of my videos. I use probability advantage with hit counts, and regressions. It makes using probability advantage effective. If your going to dissect my videos at least use the whole video, not a snap shot.

@MyopiaMovie

Жыл бұрын

@@wagermethis I watch your video in its entirety before I comment. I could pick 8 things you say that are oversimplifications at best and pure ignorance at worst. You also said that you don’t care about the house edge in the short term which is another flashing neon arrow pointing at your misunderstanding. “Probability advantage” is just another way to express a partial concept. I understand why you do it. No one wants to acknowledge the real math because it’s boring and always tells the same story.

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

@@MyopiaMovie I will give you a chance to prove your words. I will meet you and we can play at the casino. Where do you play. I can prove my style. I don't just talk!

The field is awful with 12 paying only double. Will you play this strategy against me if I pay you even money on the 12?

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

What are you asking?? Some type of challenge?

I've been called names playing the DON'T(twice asshole even a dealer said at the table in front of me she didn't like don't players) just a little warning

Have the casinos de-monetized ya yet?

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

Huh?

@thelyonking9386

Жыл бұрын

I know some KZreadrs that get de-monetized for the most ridiculous things...and I figured since your advice is taking profits from the casinos...well ya never know!

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

@thelyonking9386 yeah. Most demonize stuff is social issues or political. I don't do either

What am i missing ? Lets look at your first roll here You established a don’t pass point on the 6 for 60.- now you set up the iron cross with 20.- on the 5 and 25.- on the 8 and 15.- on the field and you make the 7 valuable by putting 30.- in odds. Now when it comes to losing and winning rolls you have actually 33 ways to win vs 5 ways to lose because the 2 and 12 pay double so it is 31 + 2 no ? Now that means you will win 6.6 times before you lose on the 6. And if we say we win on average lets say ~20.- per roll that would be 132.- before the 6 shows up taking away 105.- so that would leave you with 27.- profit. On the other hand if we just left the point alone and did nothing with it you would have 5 ways to lose and 6 ways to win so you would end up winning 100.- which is much better. My point is whichever way you choose to play the iron cross from the dont... the naked dont will always give you a much better return in the long run.

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

Playing the Dont by itself is great and I will never say it isn't. But playing this way let's you take advantage of the whole game, and allows you to win while you wait for the 7. That's why you play this on a hit count. If you just play the naked don't, it's the only way to win, and that misses out on a huge majority of how sessions go. Playing this way also allows for having some donts knocked off and still making a profit from the Box/field hits. But like I tell everyone, "play the way you feel comfortable"

as far as the iron cross forgettitabboutit you bet say 5 6 8 field and pass line you have huge money out $15 $18 $18 $15 $15 say $10 in back total is $91 you better have a huge bank baby like $1000 beacus as the wise guys sharps do max is 5% of bank when tables are cold they stay cold last week my B day was mon strated with $350 bank played 1st set 4 hours won $250 $600 now got free food comps because i ws betting on every shooter went back after 1 hour break strated at 9 pm played until god like 4 am 7 hours won like $550 more happy Birthday $1150 home dosent always go this weell most times i srt out down like $90 then start pickng my spots only place bets 2 numbers hit once both are down evemn if only $18 6 or 8 $18 wins $21 down moddder fawker

The video has a statement "House edge means nothing....". In gambling, house edge means everything. The best odds for winning $500 (or whatever your goal is) is to make a single $500 bet on Don't Pass, and walk away. I admit that this will take the "fun" out of playing craps. If you make a point, Pass or Don't Pass, take the maximum odds possible because those bets have dead even odds.

@kenhyatt3673

Жыл бұрын

Really?

@twostate7822

Жыл бұрын

@@kenhyatt3673 Really! Taking odds after making a point is 100% the exact odds if you bet a multiple of the payout amounts so the house can pay without giving out change. ie bet a multiple of $5 is the point is 6 or 8 (or $6 if betting don't pass) As far as making a single $500 bet, also true. Pass line is 1.41% house advantage, don't pass is 1.36% house advantage. That's the house advantage on a single $500 bet. Suppose you are betting $25 a roll. You've got to win 20 bets more than you lose to win $500. Unless you were to win the 1st 20 rolls in a roll, you're going to have to make more than 20 bets if you ever get there before losing your bankroll. Every bet you make over 20 is an additional $25 where the house odds are eating up your bankroll.

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

Odds are literally a no advantage bet. So you are still just playing the line. Over time the odds will break even. House edge means nothing to a short term player like we all are. House edge is for the casino to use to judge their profits. But you play how you wish.

@twostate7822

Жыл бұрын

@@wagermethis If house edge is for the casino to use to judge their profits, it it also for the players to judge their losses. The casino house edge is how casinos are able to build billion dollar resorts (and these days, profits from rooms and restaurants/bars). And you lose at multiple times the pass/don't pass rate if you stray from those bets and get into proposition bets. which I see most (recreational) players do. There may be "serious" crap players, there may be tourists on a once in many years visit, but there are no professional craps players.

This guy might be on to something, except you try not to be 😮 a don't bettor.

Poor communication

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

Uhhh, more context please

I will never play the Iron Cross, sorry.

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

Your against having 31 ways to win vs 5 ways to lose in this case???

@jimklemens5018

Жыл бұрын

​@WagerMeThis If you are playing the Iron Cross, the value of the 6 or 8 is drastically diminished by the loss of the Field bet. If I had a $60 Don't Pass bet and the point was 6, I would simply Place the 8 for $48. Collect on the first hit and then spread out to the 5 and 9 for $25 each on a second hit.

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

@jimklemens5018 but that means you have to hit the 8. With the Iron Cross you have no choice but roll a winner, unless you hit the point. Even if you don't like the reduction on the 8 and 5 hits ,which only account for 9 combinations, the other 22 combinations you miss out on with your style outweigh the reduction on the 5 and 8.

No No No! You passline players with your Iron Cross which you worship. It’s got to make money, it’s called an Iron Cross, right? Wrong! I just had 4 winning sessions without using IC or the Passline. I set 2 Come Bets and play the DP with Full Odds and the DC. But if this works for you, go ahead. It doesn’t work for me at all.

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

No no no! Lol. Very sure of yourself. I will put my play up against yours anytime you wish

@dynjarren8355

Жыл бұрын

@@wagermethis I had a couple of losing sessions recently but overall I’m way ahead. You’re strategy relies on Wishful thinking. All pass line players do this. I don’t wait for all those numbers to roll out because they usually won’t. I prefer the 7 to pay me when 2 or 11 Comeout during play.

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

@@dynjarren8355 That is understandable. I actually like your answer here. It's not a sissy answer. I am a Don't pass player tho, I don't play the pass line. I also am way ahead playing my style, in fact I really never got ahead until I started playing the 6,7,8 style.

@dynjarren8355

Жыл бұрын

@@wagermethis Then all I say is stick to what’s working for you. My strategy which I got from Crappy the Craps man wins more often then loses so I’m sticking with it. I’m not claiming credit for anything. I just criticize the traditional players. Which I think are set up to lose. What’s worse is when they win or lose they think it’s blind luck and rationalize their wins and loses. Oh, I couldn’t get a roll going last night and lost and then I finally got lucky and won some money. The Casino loves rational like that. So you accept your loses and keep coming back for more. The hell will that! A good player adjusts his or her play accordingly. Long Rolls, Random Rolls or Choppy Rolls or Cold Tables. That way you take advantage of whatever the Dice 🎲 🎲 are doing for that hour or two. If you know some strategies to flip to. If you don’t then you are at their mercy.

@dynjarren8355

Жыл бұрын

@@wagermethis Sounds Good! Thanks!

It's not unconscionable

@paulbuckler9778

Жыл бұрын

60 bucks on don’t come

@paulbuckler9778

Жыл бұрын

Gets paid on come out😅

@paulbuckler9778

Жыл бұрын

On the ave deuce come out the d/c bet should of paid even 60 bucks😊

Pretty much torture to maybe win a few bucks , i was at Mohegan Sun last week and an older gentleman had about 15 k in his rack he was playing the passline 250 with 250 odds, and 800 dollar come bets ,with 400 odds he was two spots to my left , the guy next to me had the dice for about ten minutes then the older gentleman got the dice and rolled out three point numbers and a bunch in between by guess he racked and additional 10 -15 k, I was at the Atlantis Bahamas a few years back and two guys at opposite ends of the table were betting huge amounts and one player had the dice about fifteen minutes those two other players plowed it in on the hot shooter it was wild, those guys won tens of thousands and then immediately colored up after the shooter sevened out the pit super was called over and i swear there was sweat running down his face,, as the pit counted out the color up,,my new opinion is go big or go home and after playing for many years it is feast or famine on the craps table no in between, and no hedge. win one week lose the next week and know when to run with a profit. Great channel and respect the opinion

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

Small sample size for the Come bettor. You didn't see the times he lost his ass. I have seen the variants of the 3 point molly many times and many ways. Its a loser strategy and not even over the long term.

You need at least $1,000 to play this. 7-11 on a come out, followed by hitting a point or vice versa lights this strategy on fire. I burned through $500 like nothing. It is not uncommon to establish a point of 6. Place 60-30 on DP, 30 on 8, 25 on 5, 15 on field…next roll is a 6. Now you are down $105. Put another $60 on DP and come out is 7-11. Now you are down $175 in TWO rolls!!!! Now what do you do? You better hope is he doesn’t roll another 7-11. Cuz you just lost almost 50% of your buy in in 3 rolls.

@wagermethis

Жыл бұрын

It's easy to make up hypothetical situations. I can make a hypothetical situation that shows a large profit in 3 rolls