I've got a few more good years in me… How do you feel about learning that computers can accurately predict your death and have been doing so for years? Let me know in the comments!

@RichConnerGMN

26 күн бұрын

idk

@AbdullahCumhur

26 күн бұрын

i got the 2nd reply ill edit it to answer the question when i watch the video :)) *EDIT:* Bruh it was all because the insurance people wanted more money 💀

@gojohnniegogo

26 күн бұрын

I'd be a lot happier if it was used for our benefit and not so insurance companies had a nice a excuse to jack up insurance premiums. One thing I'm glad of is that the UK hasn't had people go bankrupt because of medical costs, as much as our current government are trying get this through.

@michaelmayhem350

26 күн бұрын

🎼Shame on us, doomed from the start May god have mercy on our dirty little hearts Shame on us for all we have done And all we ever were, just zeroes and ones....

@VictarisGX

26 күн бұрын

And here I thought we'd see a Futurama professor's Death-Clock reference. Well done!

**throws himself in front of a car** AH AH! YOU DIDNT SEE THAT COMING, COMPUTER! ow..

@arth__BK

25 күн бұрын

Computer:" added to the database"

Me: “Computer, when am I going to die?” 'Puter: “Tomorrow” Me: “Oh, sweet, thanks. That's a load off my mind.”

@resistanceisfutile520

26 күн бұрын

I wish

@blobs2635

25 күн бұрын

Lol, I would be sooooooo scared if the computer said that!

@nathantowns2043

25 күн бұрын

@@blobs2635so would YasugoLiebu. They’re just trying to be edgy

@crystalclear6864

25 күн бұрын

😂

@Daniel-sy6gs

25 күн бұрын

​@@nathantowns2043it's sarcasm, he's not trying to be edgy.

love that the Hank Green doppelganger joke is still going lol

@thyblackpanther

25 күн бұрын

What joke?

@kagenekoUA

23 күн бұрын

@@thyblackpanther at the end (of the video)

@ShirinRose

23 күн бұрын

I actually saw an Instagram comment the other week on one of Hank's videos asking him why he changed the name of his youtube channel from 'It's Ok to Be Smart' to 'Be Smart' xD

@JohnThurner

23 күн бұрын

Doppelhanker

@s.l.summers2958

22 күн бұрын

Watch the Scishow Quiz episode where Hank and Joe face off. They look so similar lol.

There always will be bias because somebody will decide what data to record. If favourite colour is important and nobody writes it down, it will be missed - and other (combinations of) factors will be found, thinking that will be enough. The problem with computers is that they can't be curious about types of data they don't have. They can't ask their subjects new and surprising questions, opening new ways of thinking.

@Aaron.Thomas

24 күн бұрын

Of course not, but that was never the goal.

@Cybored.

16 күн бұрын

not yet!

6:50 finally, Charon bought something nice for himself with all those gold coins, he looks really happy in his new yacht Edited: Noo the ending, Joe stole his yacht

before watching: i mean this is the whole business of life insurance. those folks are literally betting on your life after the video: i mean, yeah

Can a computer be an actuary? Well, yes.

Celebrating Germany today with your running gear?

@besmart

26 күн бұрын

How do you know it's not Belgium

@dannya8614

26 күн бұрын

@@besmart Because it is horizontal, not vertical :)

@trevinbeattie4888

26 күн бұрын

@@besmart Germany’s flag has the red stripe in the middle; Belgium’s middle stripe is yellow.

@mr.invisible5528

14 күн бұрын

​@@besmart Amateur. ;)

I had anxiety about death until a conversation with my father in which he had me consider how I felt before I was born.

@erindickerman6138

23 күн бұрын

Same! I just recently "learned" this and it has helped so much!

@odin6108

22 күн бұрын

I have been aware of this 'thought experiment' since I was in 3rd grade or so, and it honestly terrifies me way more.

@Alex1891

22 күн бұрын

@@odin6108 The reason it doesn't terrify me is probably a combination of the fact that I was experiencing high anxiety about it already and that I truly didn't care at all about anything, say, 5 billion years ago. It's not easy to reject your natural aversion to your own demise but doing so earlier in life will save you stress later. Seriously, be well and if you ever want to chat, I'm generally open to.

pre-watch comment: i mean.. actuaries have been doing essentially this for forever... with the added part of BETTING when you will die, it is the definition of life insurance. post-watch comment: yup

@CurtOntheRadio

26 күн бұрын

No, actuaries have been estimating life expectancies for groups/cohorts of people, not individuals. Surely? It's more like predicting cancers given X level of exposure to Y radiation in a population? You can pretty accurately predict a rate of cancer but you can't say which individuals within the population will succumb. "During the 17th century, a more scientific basis for risk management was being developed. In 1662, a London draper named John Graunt showed that there were predictable patterns of longevity and death in a defined group, or cohort, of people, despite the uncertainty about the future longevity or mortality of any one individual."

@Andre-qo5ek

26 күн бұрын

@@CurtOntheRadio if you are part of the given group, it is a prediction of you as an individual in that group. the issue is only specificity of the data. there is NOTHIGN that can specifically predict YOUR specific death.. no... you would need a team of people that run around the world collecting specific data from everyone around YOU and people similar. im not sure i see your point?

@CurtOntheRadio

26 күн бұрын

@@Andre-qo5ek "if you are part of the given group, it is a prediction of you as an individual in that group. the issue is only specificity of the data" No, it's a prediction for the group. There is no way to tell average outcomes for individuals - only the group.

@CurtOntheRadio

26 күн бұрын

@@Andre-qo5ek Imagine throwing a 600 sided dice many times? You have no idea what number the dice will land on for any particular throw but you know the average will be 300. Human lives are like the single throw of a dice. One might live to be 110 whatever one's lifestyle, or one might die very young, regardless of lifestyle etc.

@Andre-qo5ek

26 күн бұрын

@@CurtOntheRadio form the video .... "This is the mathematical theory called the law of large numbers. Basically, the larger your data sample is, the more likely it is that the average of that sample will reflect what actually happens.:"

“You hear that guys. I don’t look old!”

Never tell the actuary about your cocaine usage or that you are learning how to juggle chainsaws.

I choked when that little cartoon Joe shoved the grim reaper out of the speedboat.

@hungryjackman

15 күн бұрын

I'm sure Achilles tried it, but Charon's smarter than that

😂 "ahoy hades" on the boat, dying. Pun intended

Statistics can only tell you the LIKELIHOOD that something will happen. It cannot tell you that something WILL happen.

Don't worry-we're all going to die.

1:29 I Like The Vsauce reference 😂

I think a follow up video exploring which factors are most predictive of long life is in order. What are factors people tend to over value? What are factors that marketers over emphasize? How important is family medical history vs country of residence? I think there are many more interesting angles to approach the subject from.

@x--.

19 күн бұрын

How rich are you and how long did your parents live... I'd bet those are the most predictive factors by an AU or two. Wealth plays into so many other important factors (health, schooling, neighborhood, food abundance, stress, country). Now what I'd be curious about -- what factors under your control have an impact greater than 5 years?

2:21 yup, an algorithm used by Target mall guessed correctly that a girl was pregnant from the online choices. The girl's dad did not know and complained why she was receiving offers for baby products. The dad apologized when he learned the girl was pregnant.

@Artyomi

26 күн бұрын

Okay that case was not really even that much due to the algorithm - rather the incompetence and audacity of the dad. It would be like saying “a forensics program predicted you’re gonna make amphetamines because you have receipts that you bought solvents, acids, phosphorus and ammonia from home depot”

@jillcrowe2626

22 күн бұрын

I read that book too. "The Power of Habit" by Charles Duhig

@shaider1982

22 күн бұрын

​​@@jillcrowe2626 yup, I first read about it in that book.

I wish you live a healthy live into your 100s! Thanks for your videos.

If you're old then man, I'm ancient 😂

@aaron101889

25 күн бұрын

What was Mesopotamia like Grandpa/ma?

@bloodycomedy1927

24 күн бұрын

do you have pet dinosaur?

Like your content entertaining informative and funny can’t wait to see 40 + more years of premium content ❤😂

Well, gosh! This is a feel good episode!

again well presented

Fantastic 💯 👑 thanks

Hey Joe! Really love the videos. A request, please make a video about astroinformatics. How AI and Data Science is helping in astronomy.

I always learn so much from joe

The original Lloyd's of London wasn't a company that sold insurance. It was a place in a building where people who sold insurance congregated.

@Gigaheart

25 күн бұрын

Fact check needed.

3:30 Wrong, I actually am very predictable, I have already determined what to eat four weeks from now for example. 3:40 Wrong, because my sleep schedule is terrible. 3:50 Wrong again, because I'm unemployed.

I do remember showing my 7th grade science teacher your 12 days of evolution series when it was new

As people age, a common assumption about them is they sense they have less time remaining. At 74, I don't sense that the time I have left is getting shorter, just increasingly indeterminate.

1 min into the video and I’m rolling.

love this

Have a high VO2max and don't go caving and you're good.

@aaron101889

25 күн бұрын

I'd rather die young than train in a way that increases my VO2 max

Hey Joe, smart people here! please make videos more often, they are always so interesting

You look fine Joe, don’t worry about it, until you’re 50. Great episode, thanks. Episode on living longer? David Sinclair?

I sort of learned about this when I had to learn how life insurance works and determines how much you have to pay them. I had to do it by hand with given percentages. It was extremely difficult. But the principles are the same.

8:16 NOTHING is free from human bias. The computer can only use data we provide, therefore it also is biased at some level. That's why so many early ChatGPT type programs that were trained on social media quickly became racist, misogynistic, and homophobic. ChatGPT uses much larger data samples and algorithms that are tweaked to try and avoid that pitfall.

@NicitoStaAna

25 күн бұрын

Never forget Tay ❤

I always lean so much from Joe.

Does anyone know what song is playing during the 2:30 mark?

In the spirit of staying curious, I would like to to see how close the fortune teller's prediction of your likely death is to the computer's prediction.

I just got done watching an investment video stating “past performance is no guarantee of future results” and here I am watching a video about predictive analytics which studies past performance to predict future results.

I correctly matched 86 before the actuary.. but is used to sell life insurance

When my appendix burst and i went into septic shock, i felt strangely serene like "if it's my time, so be it". Why be anxious your whole life about death when you're so chilled while you're actually near death?

Reminds me of the death clock from Futurama

@DavidCaveperson

24 күн бұрын

I like to think the guy who wrote that joke studied a lot of math and kept talking about becoming an Actuary and passed several exams and never got hired, so he was poking fun at becoming a bitter old man (i.e. not a recent college graduate) and now he feels like a joke, but at least he can write comedy. But I don't know... what do you mean my impression is based on personal experience???

I was expecting that you will mention something about DSS decision support system

Fantastic

Question: does the computer also take in possible events? Having a kid, adopting a pet you’ve never had before (like a snake or something) etc., or stressful events like your job gets really bad, someone you love dies, etc. if it can not consider possible events, how is it accurate?

@xomiachuna

25 күн бұрын

It is accurate in a sense that for a large population the predictions on average will be fairly close to the true results. On a case-by-case notion it is not guaranteed to be precise (many random things affect the mortality), but in general it will be close (in the order of 1-10 years in many cases) for many people. So think of it as of a vaguely correct, but not exactly precise.

@richardbeck8945

24 күн бұрын

For the most part, yes. Many common life events such as if and when people will have kids or what types of pets people will have and at what ages those things will happen are recorded in all that data they amass. So they have a fairly good idea how many people will own poisonous snakes and at what age a person will most likely be when they have children and how many they have. But also keep in mind, the younger you are, the less accurate the predictive model will be, because of all those predictive variables haven’t happened yet. Which is why the guest mentioned that at birth the prediction for Joe would be to die in his 70’s. But now it’s his 80’s. i.e. the older you are, the more data points you have resulting in more accurate predictions.

i love ur videos man you're the best :))

Hi, please could u make a video on the frontal lobe development?

Yup! Not sure all Canadians exercise regularly and eat healthy foods but we do have access to good healthcare when we need it AND it’s “free”. 😊

@lajya01

25 күн бұрын

Not the Canada I live in. I have to pay private care or wait until death.

@fortierma64

25 күн бұрын

@@lajya01, I am sorry to read that, I am in Quebec and it’s a different reality at least for me and my family.

@lajya01

25 күн бұрын

​@@fortierma64 That's exactly what's happening in Qc. Wait until your GP retires...

@fortierma64

25 күн бұрын

@@lajya01, I hear you. Mine is retiring in a couple of years so I’m good for now but you’re right, could prove to be a challenge then. Fingers crossed. I still think that when everything works we have a good system.

Just curious....any reason why his sweat bands colors are the as the German flag?

I honestly JUST finished re-reading "Machine of Death: A Collection of Stories about People who Know how They Will Die" and "This Is How You Die: Stories of the Inscrutable, Infallible, Inescapable Machine of Death" about a week ago.

It must have been weird for you to see your face as a "dead guy" on the ABC TV show Will Trent. I got a kick out of that. I hope you live a long time to continue sharing interesting science. Thanks for sharing!

My iPhone has a builtin accelerometer, and if it measures a 100g impulse it will probably figure I fell out of an airplane and dial 911, assuming it survived. I'm 81 years old and have outlived three iPhones, and over the years, not one of those iPhones has accurately predicted its own demise, so I'm not holding my breath that my current iPhone will accurately predict its or my demise. I believe in the inevitability of probability: wait long enough and the probable is inevitable. There is about a 50-50 chance that the computer I'm typing this comment on will die before I do, but it won't admit that, so who can you trust these days?

4:30 Is he really called Dall-E HAL 2001?!!

Heroes may die, but legends live forever... or something like that... if you are unlucky you might die earlier than expected, yet since you have built something up, others will remember you for quite a bit. some famous guys are dead for centuries now, but history still preaches their deeds or misdeeds. hopefully you can enjoy your few good years in peace and may haps spoil us with your ever-growing wisdom in the future, but keep in mind some good folks still went down the river of Styx way to early.

Working for a life insurance company, I have heard a lot about predicting when someone will die. I don’t work in the department that deals with that sort of thing, but it absolutely influences my job. It’s almost surreal to hear words used in my industry and know that in the next several years, my company will more than likely be using that AI software.

Noting new, period!

Well "When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure", thus people will change there behavior. You might not seek a psychologist when you need it cause you don't want it on you record, you might install software on your computer that dilutes your data, or something else.

The logic about insurance, is that you spread the risk from an individual to a whole cohort. Such that an occurrence of an event is financial, too expansive for the individual. When predicting an individual's behavior causes an insurance ad absurdum. Because you don't spread the cost evenly to a cohort anymore. Obviously, this is the desire of the insurance company to lower risk and gain more profit, but the idea of spreading risk is lost. But luckily, health insurance companies are not allowed to process such very private data, otherwise the healthcare system would crash, this is in most European countries embedded by law, not the idiotic-false-believed-freedom state. *Addedum; that's why you should only take out insurances, for events which could bring you in a financial ruin. And not for an event like accidentally dropping a smartphone. *Nota Bene; When the prediction of events are "too" good, people will stop paying for the insurance, so the business model of insurances will vanish.

Q: Can a Computer Predict Your Death? A: Sure! Why not? Heck, an octopus can predict your death! As can a tarot card, or a parrot... The real question is how accurate will that/those be...?

A person often meets his destiny on the road he took to avoid it (Jean de La Fontaine). Be careful of what you try to avoid, lest you invite it in.

Hey, don't have a heart attack, you're not 92 yet.

This is sinister. From it's inception: who does the pirate data help: the sailor or whoever funded the voyage? In this era: the data does little for the individual but is used by powerful groups that don't consider you but rather a dehumanized 'average you'. Creepy really.

Yes i went to the website

8:17 Is it really 'free' from human bias? Given that humans are selecting/collecting/etc.. the data which is fed into the ML algorithm, wouldn't thete be some bias making it's way into the process?

It would be interesting to have an AI call/text you on your birthday: “Happy birthday, ! I wish you many more, but you’ll only get to enjoy more of them. Bye!”

Hmm the computer in a more advanced version existing on Death Note will make an interesting plot

Damn! This reminded me to Rehoboem from Westworld 😱

I wanted some kind of website where we can fill in our information and get an estimate bruh

I am still baffled by my inability to distinguish between Hank and yourself. And I apologize. 😅 🤘🏽

@astronics

26 күн бұрын

they do look quite a like, i just think hank is the more chaotic one!

@dillonrose3428

26 күн бұрын

@@astronics nahhhh, they are both chaotic lol putting their own spin on the way they choose to present themselves. It could maybe be from me watching them both daily, but this one had me lost in thought thinking this was Hank! Embarrassing as it is, I was confused and convinced Hank found the most beautiful and flawless wig! 😅😂 I was baffled

@aussie405

25 күн бұрын

You may have Prosopagnosia.

@dillonrose3428

25 күн бұрын

@@aussie405 well if that be the case, fingers crossed everyone gets their name in Braille on their faces lol 🤞🏽

@richardbeck8945

24 күн бұрын

It’s easy now that Hank has curly hair. :)

So oooooold. Wait, what’s the alternative?

"Ahoy Hades" will be the name of my next album.

I'm not old but it still scares me out of my mind

Super funny intro! You're a runner like me Joe, we'll get to 90 easily. Do we want to be 90 though? ehh

@-Subtle-

26 күн бұрын

90 with a 30 year old body and brain? Yeah. 9O with a 90 year old body? No

Got my daily quota in, thanks to Joe.

if all the visible Ray passes through glass then why we see glass white in colour

Robert Heinlein had a short story on this topic but when Lazarus Long was test the scientist said his machine was broken.. forgot the story name but entertaining

"Dennis, our lives are in your hands and you've got Butterfingers!"

to those trolling about someone looking "Old" I hope you're lucky enough not to have to suffer the same fate

They should start calling the "black swan" events, "Dean Winters" events. "Mayhem, like me!"

I think it’s important to clarify that your individual tracking apps like health trackers are not submitting your data to mega-databases on a super computer somewhere to be harvested for global data - it does explain in this video it takes a collection of data to create a ‘Frankenstein’ of data and that’s important to remember. Your ‘personal’ evaluations and recommendations are based on Frankenstein data, not the same as individualised personalised recommendations. So yes, more and more companies are collecting your data every day, but it isn’t kept connected to your individual identity throughout the data line, and overall estimates and analytics are what are being looked at. Anyone who works in analytics knows how misunderstood it is that all data lives somewhere on an infinite computer database accessible somewhere :D

As soon as I saw how happy you were that he thought you were about 40 I was like wow he is old😂

The insurance companies will love it!!!

I can\t wait for a black box AI to tell me that my incurrence will get why more expensive without anyone knowing why.🤦‍♂

Where do we go or who do we contact if we want to hire AI to predict our own personal death?

What I walk backwards 1hr a day? Is there a category for that!

For US citizens, I wonder if AI will consider mass shooting events as "black swans" or?

The 4am prediction missed me, oooops. Guess I'm not so predictable.

While we have free healthcare in Canada, we sometimes just walk away from it because it's been 5 hours waiting at the hospital and you had the time to convince yourself you'll be fine 😂

@leehamilton4459

12 күн бұрын

And here in the US it is common for people to refuse ambulance service because they don't want a $1,200 bill coming to their mailbox. My husband fell off a roof, he was unconscious for a moment, an ambulance was called, he woke up and flat refused the ambulance ride. I ended up taking him in my car. Crushed R hand, ankle damage and thankfully just a bump on the head. His hand took most the impact.

My husband has almost no digital footprint. He uses my daughter's Amazon account. He barely answers his cell phone.

Me reaching 45 years old this years hurted. I don't feel old, but.. that is not a lot of life remaining... totally feel that mid life dread.

@Joshua52391

14 күн бұрын

its ok you still have the potential to live another 30 years maybe even 40 years if you're health isn't to shitty

*cries in american healthcare*

"Suggest some good videos to watch while we're waiting..." Scene from "Meet Joe Black" when Hopkins knows his time is short and there's his "daughter" worries... He's playing Solitaire (with real cards)... Kinda makes ya think, no?

"All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us." GtMFG

0:26 not me thinking he didn't have shorts on 😂

man, as peaceful as death was, I sure do prefer the times when I'm alive

One thing that I wished this episode had made explicit is that life expectancy means you are 50% likely to make it to that age NOT that you are likely (unquantified) to make it to that age