To be fair, I’d say the number of people worldwide who seek out astrologists for birth control advice probably does measure in the _hundreds_

@Skeloperch

11 ай бұрын

Hundreds? It's probably in the low - mid thousands.

@laurencewinch-furness9450

11 ай бұрын

Astrology is becoming more popular, although I've never heard of anyone using it for birth control advice

@thomascocks9136

11 ай бұрын

​@@laurencewinch-furness9450I've seen astrology apps give fertility advice

@Denebreus

11 ай бұрын

Then you'd be surprised, indeed. Clearly you aren't taking into account the MILLIONS who actually utilize astrology as part of their religion(s). You're living in a small world, friend.

@SchwarbageTruck

11 ай бұрын

I mean astrology has worked as a form of birth control for me personally, in the sense that girls saying stuff like "OH YOU ARE SUUUCH A SAGITARIUS" has been a pretty big red flag

Knowing what New York was like in the 70s I’m not surprised some psychics thought it would no longer exist

@LordSathar

11 ай бұрын

they actually probably thought it would be underwater, they didn't talk about climate change as such, but rising sea levels was a big topic as i remember being on the news lots

@etrestre9403

11 ай бұрын

Why? What was it like

@obi-wanshinobi2353

11 ай бұрын

@@etrestre9403famously a crime-ridden den of scum and villainy.

@legochickenguy4938

11 ай бұрын

yeah 70s new york was a hellhole (i mean it still is but it's not nearly as bad)

@coldwar45

11 ай бұрын

@@etrestre9403 Crime ridden and a serious financial crisis that nearly caused bankruptcy.

I think that the aspect that won't change much in 40 years is architecture. All of those old sci-fi predictions always include people living in 2000-flore super-futuristic skyscrapers, while in reality since at least 1950's the way we build our homes has not actually changed that much and I think that it won't change in the near future.

@arnoldszwarzenegger6832

11 ай бұрын

Yeah because newer materials etc and some futuristic projects are expensive. Price of housing went too much, people that want to build house will go for cheaper materials and cheaper projects.

@trish8964

11 ай бұрын

I agree ... my house was built in 1926 - it has been remodeled over the years in keeping up with the current tech and building standards - but it outside apparence has changed very little.

@Azurethewolf168

11 ай бұрын

I hope it’ll change, people are getting sick of the same basic design all around the world

@trish8964

11 ай бұрын

@@Azurethewolf168 People? or just you?

@Azurethewolf168

11 ай бұрын

@@trish8964 maybe just me but I’m kinda sick of it

You know what makes this guy's videos great, he asks the questions most people don't care about until they see a video about it.

@mahatmarandy5977

11 ай бұрын

Hell yeah!

@nelly5954

11 ай бұрын

I get a similar thing with Vsauce. You would not guess by any of his videos' titles that the subject could conceal so much depth.

@rooney0423

11 ай бұрын

Wait until you discover Half as Interesting

@mahatmarandy5977

11 ай бұрын

@@rooney0423 I like the stuff about bricks….

@carsondickerson5125

8 ай бұрын

Dude, this is why we love him! He is one of the FEW people on KZread who I truly consider Joining and using Patreon due to his work.

One prediction that seems to always be wrong is the upgrades in household appliances. I feel like most people are content with the home technology we have, and the next phase of 'smart appliances' is being widely rejected by most. Back to the future 2 was huge on these predictions, with all the wild entertainment systems, and kitchen appliances, made it look like homes would change so dramatically. Yet plenty of homes today look very similar to ones from 1985, maybe with just a nicer TV.

@JJMcCullough

11 ай бұрын

That's a good one. Is the fridge of 2023 really THAT different from the fridge of 1993? I would say hardly. When it comes to basic food things, the machine either does it well or not.

@NeelLLumi-AnCatDubh

11 ай бұрын

​@@JJMcCulloughI think it might be worse, because of planned obsolescence.

@tomifost

11 ай бұрын

So many smart appliances only work for a few years before it needs something fixed, if you can find the part, and the "smart" doesnt really do much anyways other than giving you mostly pointless information and settings. Its a novelty that isnt better than having an appliance that works for 20 years.

@chelseafan4eva

11 ай бұрын

​@@JJMcCulloughdude fridges in 2023 can give me recipes and keep my shopping lists.

@grzegorzha.

11 ай бұрын

@@chelseafan4eva So what? A fridge of 1970 could keep your shopping list as well if you had a small magnet and a piece of paper. And you could access recipes from a book. Plus your fridge lasted 20 years instead of 5.

Anybody remember uncle Jon’s Bathroom reader? Basically combines this content with your 90s kid nostalgia content in dozens of baffling but entertaining volumes. There’s gold in them hills JJ.

@PASH3227

11 ай бұрын

He needs to see this!!

@northdakotagamer

11 ай бұрын

I thought about this when he described this book

@XER0GRAVITY

11 ай бұрын

My aunt has a bunch of those. I never really read them but I heard they are interesting

@themoviedealers

11 ай бұрын

I have one on my toilet tank top right now.

@katyafan

11 ай бұрын

@@XER0GRAVITY I highly recommend them!

"miniature television sets the size of cigarette holders will be used as everyday video phones" I feel called out as I'm watching this on my phone 😂

@Azurethewolf168

11 ай бұрын

How small even is a cigarette holder?

@magecat14

11 ай бұрын

@@Azurethewolf168 Let me put it this way. I've recently seen vintage fashion KZreadrs talk about how vintage cigarette cases are often the perfect size for holding smartphones.

@Azurethewolf168

11 ай бұрын

@@magecat14 so they even got the size right.. wow

@magecat14

11 ай бұрын

@@Azurethewolf168 When you think about it, there are lots of things about the size of a pack of cigarettes: smartphones, decks of cards, small steno notebooks (think old-school reporter stereotype if you're unfamiliar with that style). There all sized around the same human metric: the average size of the adult human hand. Most things intended to be carried around and used at random, fairly frequent points in a day are going to be about 2.75 inches or 7 cm wide, because that's just a very convenient size for a huge portion of the population.

@StrawhatRye

3 ай бұрын

​@Azurethewolf168 A larger cigarette is 100 mm, although they also have made 120 mm cigarettes for a while. Which would be about 4.7 inches. For space they'd be about 5 inches tall. Your average smart phone is 6.3 inches. So some phones may work, especially flip phones, but mine def wouldn't fit in one of those. I just like big phones tho.

I can imagine the least change would surprisingly be in the field of communication. Throughout the last century, we went from being limited to speech and letters, to being able to talk and see anyone in the world from anywhere instantly. I honestly don't see any practical improvements to this. We are currently seeing companies trying to make us communicate in VR or AR via digital avatars, but this just feels gimicki and cumbersome. I would much rather just tap my phone to talk to someone, rather then having to put on some headset and wave my arms about to control it. There are some people looking for ways to connect our brains to computers, and communicate like psychics, brain to brain. But the tech is still incredibly far off, and I think we would need a lot more then 45 years for people to start accepting the risks of brain surgery without a medical need for it.

@JJMcCullough

11 ай бұрын

What is interesting to me is how resistant it seems most people are to video phones. In old timey depictions of the future that was the default, but in the real world it seems like something most people are inclined to avoid unless it’s with a very close loved one, or required for work.

@Azurethewolf168

11 ай бұрын

⁠@@JJMcCulloughmaybe it’s something like we always see the future as optimistic and when that thing we predicted comes, we see the negatives of it we didn’t think of before.

@TombaFanatic

11 ай бұрын

As someone who rather enjoys VR, I don't necessarily see it as something companies are trying to force us to adopt as much as it is people who like VR hoping more will adopt it and companies wanting to be the first in case that happens. My limited experience is that it sort of captures old internet feel with more real life interactions - it's a bar where I can meet people from around the world. An avatar to shield myself from social anxieties but human enough to reduce the sort of anti-social behaviors i associate with text only online forums and voice-only video games. I see it as a potentially healthier (or perhaps just a new form of unhealthy) alternative to social media. But that might not be what people want. It's certainly not convenient (yet), so maybe that is the barrier, but it could also be that people just don't desire to interact with others in that way and it will remain a niche platform.

@phonicshfi

11 ай бұрын

@@JJMcCullough I think if video phones had spontaneously become an affordable option before the rise of the Internet and cell phones it would have been a big deal, at least for a decade or so. I remember as a child of the early 90's it was really common for adults to spend hours on the phone just chatting with friends and relatives. The rise of texting, email, and social media have changed phone culture so much that it instead has become uncomfortable and weird to even take a phone call, much less a video call. Text based communication was always going to be a simpler endeavor for technology companies to implement than video based communications and so texting beat video to market. Since texting is such a mundane idea in comparison to video calls people back then didn't even know they would prefer it when given both options. In hindsight, our actual reality of text in all its forms being more popular than both video and voice was inevitable.

@reshpeck

11 ай бұрын

​@@JJMcCulloughBecause who wants to check the mirror before having a chat?

7:59 It's refreshing to hear a comparatively positive view of 2020.

@kaanlenny

11 ай бұрын

maybe she was making a massive metaphor where the antichrist would be the virus and the battle of armageddon is the worlds struggle to find a vaccine, after all, millions were indeed involved and we found the cure

@hiiexist479

11 ай бұрын

It kinda did happen with COVID, it's still not completely gone but going off the fact that no one talks about it too much anymore I think that we at least made a pretty good dent in it

The idea that AI will completely replace art, music, in the next 5 to 10 years is something i think we will cringe at in 20 years. But who knows

Weirdly the most accurate SF prediction I ever read was EM Forster’s “The Machine Stops” in 1909. He predicts an internet, wall-sized TVs used for entertainment, communications, and some kind device connected to them that allows people to do office work and stuff from their homes. He also predicted electronically ordering stuff you want, and having it delivered directly to your home, and, most importantly, how reliant humanity has become on all this kind of stuff, so that when “the machine stops” people die in droves. The irony being he wrote it as kind of a backhanded joke, considering it the least plausible future

@judgesaturn507

11 ай бұрын

Isn't that the book which predicted COVID isolation? Like everyone lives in a tiny cell with no windows and everything is delivered through tubes?

@vylbird8014

11 ай бұрын

@@judgesaturn507 That's the one, though it wasn't specifically because of disease. Travel was still possible, just very rare because there was no reason for it. No point, when one place is much like another and electronic communications make it easy to talk to anyone regardless of location.

@mahatmarandy5977

11 ай бұрын

@@judgesaturn507 Well, it was written in 1909, so it didn’t predict the Spanish Flu, much less Covid :) But, yes, it predicted people living in large bedrooms underground, having almost no physical interaction with other people, but being very happy with it, and looking at our world as primitive and disgusting.

@Kitsunekone

11 ай бұрын

I'd like to think that a lot of that might be self-fulfilling prophesy. Like, inventors read his book and thought, 'I wonder if I could make that happen?'

@mahatmarandy5977

11 ай бұрын

@@Kitsunekone Could be. It was fairly obscure up until basically it was 100 years old, but that doesn’t mean it couldn’t have been influential. I mean, Blade Runner didn’t really find an audience until 10 years after it bombed at the box office, but it had already been wildly influential in film. So, yeah, sure, even if only 100 people remembered it, if 50 of those people were in the IT industry, it’d have a much bigger impact than something a million people liked, but had no fans in tech industries

Orson Scott Card's predictions about anonymous internet personalities influencing the course of world events in his Ender series seemed so silly at the time but he was way too accurate.

@vylbird8014

11 ай бұрын

Accurate, but also inaccurate in one key way: He assumed that the smartest voices would naturally rise to the top because, on a network free of social cues, ideas would have to stand on their own merits. His two internet campaigners gain a following because of their highly insightful and detailed analysis of complicated technical subjects, but in a real conversation they would have been utterly ignored because of their age. The real world is really the opposite. Communication is entertainment, so the most influential voices are not those who produce the most insightful ideas, but those who can be the most emotionally engaging - even this very video is formatted as entertainment over education, with jokes and musical stings. People don't want insightful analysis: They want to be reassured that everything they believe is true, and all the problems of the world are to be blamed upon someone else.

@reshpeck

11 ай бұрын

@@vylbird8014 Yeah, he was far too much optimistic in the role that the general intelligence of the population has in guiding people's decisions.

@Craxin01

11 ай бұрын

@@vylbird8014 To be fair, his prediction was based in a world without algorithmic influence to maintain longer viewership for a free product to sell ads. Remove those influences, he might well have been right. But, as my grandfather used to say, "if the frog didn't jump, he wouldn't have bruised his rump."

@jackyex

11 ай бұрын

​@@Craxin01improbable, people always had a preference to the charismatic, not the smart, it was like that since the start of civilization, at the start of the internet before the modern algorithm it was the same way, in television it was the same, on radio too, it's unlikely that it would change anything, that's just part of human nature.

Something you didn't mention, but I think is relevant, is how Elon Musk's businesses are deeply tied to the kind of old fashioned futurism expressed in these predictions. A lot of the cultural (and thus investment) excitement around his businesses, especially the hyperloop, SpaceX and Tesla was precisely because they appealled to the nostalgia for the sense of a brighter, technological future (one not so heavily based on computers as post-90s futurism became) as envisioned in 60s-70s culture that I think people generally remember fondly.

@MattMcIrvin

10 ай бұрын

Musk is about my age (just a few years younger) and I've noticed that the stuff he's preoccupied with absolutely is the stuff that was all over, say, Omni magazine as visions of the future around 1980 or so.

@ojgsk8ter

8 ай бұрын

That’s a good point. Apart from Tesla I think his other enterprises will be viewed very unfavorably by history as time goes on unless one of them unexpectedly creates massive benefit for humanity. I think space x and especially the hyperloop will be viewed as an incredibly foolish and wasteful endeavor 50 years from now, especially considering the fact that he could be using that money to develop likely more profitable technologies that humanity really needs right now.

I feel like I read multiple books as a kid (in the 1990s) that said someday, you could see someone on a screen while talking on the phone (with an illustration of someone holding a landline to their ear while watching their friend on a giant TV screen)

@TheLurker1647

11 ай бұрын

And we absolutely can do that, but most people don't because voice suffices. The real sea change has been the ability to send text messages.

@stephengray1344

11 ай бұрын

@@TheLurker1647 Zoom, Skype, and Teams calls are exactly doing that, and most people do it at least some of the time.

@weichang9693

11 ай бұрын

@@TheLurker1647 and we do its called face time

@magicalwizard99

11 ай бұрын

To be fair, 2001: A Space Odyssey has a scene where a father video calls her daughter from space and that movie came out in 1968

@brokkrep

11 ай бұрын

@@magicalwizard99 They also had tablets on their breakfast table. At first I didn't even realise, they predicted something so familiar from today.

Just wanna say, I am a huge fan of your work, and always look forward to your content. I can see the effort you put into producing this stuff for us-- I appreciate it. It can't be easy doing this work week in and week out, but you're pretty consistent with it, which is no small feat!

@JJMcCullough

11 ай бұрын

Thanks so much my friend. It is indeed a lot of work so I really appreciate it.

I always find these types of videos so interesting. It’s kind of cool knowing the answers to what people were trying to predict in the past

@user-ed7dy1mq9u

11 ай бұрын

I think the question at the end comparing these predictions to the ones that we are making now is super useful and not asked often enough when this topic comes up.

@LuckyHicks2

10 ай бұрын

Plus, when you really start to think about these more, it can kind of train you to be more ready for "historical curveballs" so to speak. And when you think about those, you start to learn more about the small-scale stuff, and wonder about how that's going to affect the world. God, learning is so fucking fun.

I feel like AI will change the world in a big way, but it seems like the kinds of predictions all these techbros are making about it are unrealistic.

@bhairammozumder7705

11 ай бұрын

yes, i agree. But i think both anti and pro AI go way off about their prediction. Its a new a tech so its also kind of fun to speculate where it will be, even though we know we could be very wrong.

@terdragontra8900

11 ай бұрын

Robert Miles' youtube channel really convinced me the risk of a misaligned general AI killing everyone is very very real (go watch, its a great). If its smarter than us, and has a goal different from us, it will do everything in its power to prevent us from turning it off, and to make itself smarter, and it will win. And if we all abstained from making one due to the danger, still it will be easier and easier for a small team (or one individual!) to disagree and make one themselves. If there is *one bug* it could be all over.

@LordSathar

11 ай бұрын

Having lived through all the climate scares in the 1970's, which never amounted to anything, acid rain, ozone layer, mini ice age, is why i don't go nuts about global warming/climate change, it's a lotta bluster over what in the end are just predictive modeling with too little data.

@arnoldszwarzenegger6832

11 ай бұрын

I feel like these super insane predictions might be true for extra rich, but they wont be implemented to the same degree for most people.

@xylo5750

11 ай бұрын

@@terdragontra8900 The fundamental problem with that is how would that AI gain the power to take over the world? Texas can barely agree to share it's power grid with the other US states, I highly doubt any country is willing to give AI access to it's nuclear weapons.

To be fair, unless they gave a time limit, you technically can't say that the prediction failed. You can only say that it hasn't happened yet.

I think the biggest thing that won’t change is our socioeconomic structure. It seems pretty locked in and I don’t think it will change unless there is a massive war or natural disaster

@Azurethewolf168

11 ай бұрын

*in the western world

@yutyuiiu

11 ай бұрын

its already changed a lot since 1980's so I would anticpate continued change likely reverse back to greater income equality

@treyshaffer

11 ай бұрын

​@@yutyuiiuright now we have much higher inequality than in the 80s

@lajya01

11 ай бұрын

On the global scale, the world is richer than 40 years ago because of global trade. Extreme poverty, famines and widespread disease were much more common back in those days.

@brokkrep

11 ай бұрын

Or some revolution

Love how the moon tobacco guy was one of the few to get something right.

@Craxin01

11 ай бұрын

Crediting a guy for getting one dart on the board with dozens in the wall around it.

@microcolonel

11 ай бұрын

@@Craxin01 it's more that a lot of those misses were by people who did not predict moon tobacco.

@Craxin01

11 ай бұрын

@@microcolonel I guess a blind monkey making a bullseye would be impressive even if there were dozens of misses.

Psychics saying how important they'll be in the future is like Plato saying that philosophers were the most important roles in society.

The DNA technology + 'strange creatures' predictions were actually pretty close "if you squint". GMOs (which are everywhere now) are basically combinations of different living organisms - specific genes that regulate a desired function are extracted frome one, to be implanted into another organism's genome. It's basically dogs with horses' heads, but not grotesque; more like sunflowers with roses' allele nr.37493422 (or smth, I'm not a biologist:).

@sdrawkcabUK

11 ай бұрын

Didn’t they make a rat with an ear growing on it? Tbh most ppl find this whole idea quite gross and disturbing, the technology/knowledge is in principle there to be used

@SasquachPL

11 ай бұрын

@@sdrawkcabUK Personally I'd guess there must be secret experiments somewhere (government or otherwise) where very grotesque things are created. Think of MK Ultra, also Occam's razor - the technology is there to be used, and very unethical people exist, so what's the simpler answer - does someone out there have a dog with a horse's head or not?;)

@SasquachPL

11 ай бұрын

@@sdrawkcabUK i haven't heard about the rat though. P.s. but to my knowledge most rats have not one but two ears growing on them;) without the help of science haha

@LuckyHicks2

11 ай бұрын

@@sdrawkcabUK I think the mouse was just an experiment. And even then, they had to cheese it a little. According to Wikipedia, it "was actually an ear-shaped cartilage structure grown by seeding cow cartilage cells into biodegradable ear-shaped mold and then implanted under the skin of the mouse, with an external ear-shaped splint to maintain the desired shape. Then the cartilage naturally grew by itself within the restricted shape and size." And, if I had to guess, I feel like GMO-adjacent stuff will advance, just in ways that are less flashy and less...meat. More "can we advance cancer research through this" in the better cases, and "can we sell our seeds so they don't work without our specially-made fertiliser" in the depressing cases. It might even get folded in with the anti-corporate movements on the rise nowadays.

@jswets5007

11 ай бұрын

Humanized mice are a real thing and are being used in research labs right now. They are genetically altered mice with certain human DNA sequences.

Hot take, I think we have reached the upper limits for mobile computing and that on the consumer side. Pretty much that IPhones and such will see little difference in user side interaction. Maybe we will have fancier microprocessors but I think the phones will most likely become simpler and more streamlined without as many bells and whistles than they currently are and smaller the qualitative difference would be minimal as the quantitative measures of processing power may increase. The way we use the internet will probably continue to grow in relevance but there won’t be any qualitative difference in how the internet is used. The biggest change I see in the future is going to be artificial wombs. I do not know how they will be used but when they are. It will redefine civilization.

@nycbearff

10 ай бұрын

I think some phone functions will become embedded in us, others will be included in our clothes, and others will be taken over by smart walls that can provide whatever video and audio we want. Mobile phones as they exist now are a transitional technology.

TLDR: Predicting the future is hard and it's easy to be over-confident with your predictions even if you're a professional.

@Leofwine

11 ай бұрын

Predicting the future is extrapolating and exaggerating recent events into the future - we cannot predict tomorrow's fashion or kaboomy threat of the day. That said, I think that around 2068, AI will have led to the Matrix for the sake of a sustainable planet

@CTGReviews

11 ай бұрын

Oneshot pfp detected, opinion accepted.

@arnoldszwarzenegger6832

11 ай бұрын

Biggest issue with predicting the future is that at any given time there are few scenarios that all have chance of happening. If someone smart were to give predictions about only 1 thing but write about all scenarios he can imagine, then most likely he would have 1 right. Instead 1 person gives 1 prediction about a topic and it doesnt have a huge chance of being correct if it isnt something super obvious. Even things like, who will win next elections in a country can drastically change the future for the entire planet but we cant see it from our point of view. Lets say that for whatever reason for next 50 years leftist political parties in european countries will have amazing charismatic leaders that will constantly win elections, that will simply change the world and make some predictions completely obsolete.

@franzhalls2174

11 ай бұрын

niko hewwo

@Azurethewolf168

11 ай бұрын

@@arnoldszwarzenegger6832I mean if you’d ask a historian or someone who knows the previous trends in the world like Peter Turchin they can get pretty close to it but will still miss the mark by a bit

I remember a lot of this stuff came up around the year 2000 in public school. That got me to make a prediction of my own. Prediction for 2010-2020 back in 2000: There would be "video game channels" where all you would have to do is plug your controller into the tv, set it to the video game channel you wanted, enter payment information, and join a live game in progress. At the time I imagined it more like a live version of a story mode/campaign that's usually done on single player or co-op play. Interestingly enough this happened with the Titanfall series. I also had no idea that you could play games on the internet without having the physical copy at the time.

My prediction for what doesn't change, anything that has been around for 50 years will still probably be around for another 50: trains, cars, and oddly the B-52. Something that will sound cringe? Probably the AI hype. Right now their limits are unknown, in the future their limits will be “obvious”, and we’d be silly for worrying so much.

@almightycinder

11 ай бұрын

As far as we know, AI might end up like cloning, where we talk about it for a few years then just kinda forget about it. There was Dolly the sheep then basically nothing

@KanyeTheGayFish69

11 ай бұрын

The b-52s will all be over 100 years old when they’re retired

*"Robot Slave's"* Well I mean that depends on how you treat your Roomba.

I love how I never know what you're going to make a video about next; it always makes it exciting when a new one comes out

More people need the kind of confidence in their profession that psychics have in theirs.

Great video as usual. Very entertaining. I'm going to say that, barring major breakthroughs, AI is not going to change, or change society as much as many people currently think it will. The chatbots that generate so much hype remain very broad tools that are inconsistent and mostly one-size-fits-all, with little ability to be adjusted so that they perform specific tasks. Perhaps we'll better understand how to make these tools specific yet adaptable in their uses, but I believe their current design makes it difficult for them to be the transformative tools that many people seem to think they will be. I'm likely wrong though!

I think the current geopolitical concerns of today will subside fairly quickly, and we will (roughly) be back to the early 2000s status quo. The prevalence of "far-right" politicians in Europe and the USA will probably only last another election cycle or two, and things will become a lot more boring again. Also, I don't think the big war between the USA and China over Taiwan will actually ever happen.

@austinwilkerson84

11 ай бұрын

Boy, here’s hoping!

@Azurethewolf168

11 ай бұрын

I mean do you think so? With the world getting worse it’s likely it’s gonna get more radical, we are going into a era where everything sucks and nobody is doing anything to fix it. When people don’t get what they want they become more angry.

@Marylandbrony

11 ай бұрын

I actually think the opposite sort of, where a lot of the “far-right” just simply tones it down over time and evolve into a new mainstream. With the “far left”, mainly various forms of anti-capitalism and hardline environments actually taking over the role of the insurgent force in politics. Think contemporary Italy or even post-Brexit Great Britain under Johnson and Sunak would be an example. While Taiwan is just a part of a broader world war 3 between India and a China/Pakistan alliance. Although I do kinda of think that in the long term. We will see a new global order stabilize with America as the leading superpower. China more or less second and India, Europe and maybe Nigeria, Indonesia, or even Russia or even a new Islamic superstate as great powers.

@banksavram

11 ай бұрын

That’s some optimistic wishful thinking but I think far-right politics and general polarization are here to stay, especially when a large percentage of the electorate in the US (as well as other developed nations) fully mistrust “mainstream media” and instead have permanently turned towards social media echo chambers as their source for political news and opinions. As for war with China, I firmly believe that we’re going to war with them within the next five years. Xi Jinping’s consolidation of power last year means that he finally has absolute, unchecked power over China (he at least had some checks to his power in his first two terms), and he has increasingly surrounded himself with yes-men since then in a similar way to how Putin consolidated power and purged his inner circle in the several years prior to his invasion of Ukraine. Furthermore, in the last year China has dramatically increased their antagonization of American naval vessels and aircraft operating in the South China Sea and West Pacific.

@Extinctanimals22

11 ай бұрын

I just hope we don't look back this comment in 2030 and be like "well that didn't happen."

Being a British history student, the first thing I thought of that wouldn’t change much was the British government. It always seems whenever there’s a historical change like the age of revolution, Britain steers clear of it almost entirely.

JJ, I’m in love with the idea of you doing a series. You started with 1978… now for 79! 😁😁😁😊😊😊🙌

@JJMcCullough

11 ай бұрын

The wha?

@grzegorzha.

11 ай бұрын

I wonder what the Romans thought of the future in 79, considering one of their cities (Pompeii) was just destroyed by what they considered to be a god.

@Meshamu

11 ай бұрын

@@JJMcCullough Do it man! Do the wha!

@dgoosen4878

11 ай бұрын

​@@JJMcCulloughDO THE WHA

I feel like I’ve seen this before…

@williamcox632

11 ай бұрын

Cause u did as it was up like 2 hrs ago

@pratyaykundu711

11 ай бұрын

Mandella effect bro😂

@marcello7781

11 ай бұрын

More than once

Can't wait to see the video! JJ always has entertaining commentary and many fun facts about things I would have never known otherwise! If you read this, thanks JJ for all that you do, best wishes! Edit: Old predictions of the future will never not be hilarious, great video!

JJ I love your videos so much they feed my brain’s need for random knowledge!

Tasers are less popular than bullet guns because they can be defeated by thick winter coats, metal armor, or anything that can block or short out the needles. They also only have one shot, and limited range. They're great in situations where the only alternative would be to shoot someone with a gun, but not good enough for the battle field.

3 uploads in one day, you're really picking up the pace!

I cant believe no one has said that jj will not change the quality of his award winning videos.

Interesting and funny! One of my favourite videos from you 🙂

I think in 45 years music as we know it today wont change that drastically. Some new instruments might be created, or new ways to generate interesting sounds, but in general i think we will just see going back to some older music genres and reinventing them in some way. AI might be used more for music creation and songwriting but ultimately people will still focus a lot on the image of person or band they are listening to and there will still be real life concerts happening.

@ampersignia

11 ай бұрын

Yeah concerts are still remarkably similar to what they were in the 80s. Lining up, expensive tickets, needing hearing protection, being sweaty around others, wanting an autograph/photo with the artist, buying merch, waiting in line for a bathroom, some overpriced refreshments and alcohol, having a hoarse voice the next day. The process of buying tickets has changed, people record things with their phone, and there’s probably more merch these days but I think it is one of the least-changed activities.

@reshpeck

11 ай бұрын

Hard to imagine but think of how much innovation in popular music occurred in the last century, starting from jazz and blues, through rock and metal, hip-hop and EDM. Certainly for the last 15-20 years there really hasn't been much innovation whatsoever but who knows what we may see come about in the next half century?

@arnoldszwarzenegger6832

11 ай бұрын

@@reshpeck Well in that regard music is changing a lot but we expect it to change in that context. There may be a new genre but it will be inherently connected to some other genre and not 100% new. Thats why I think we will mostly see old genres coming back to be mixed and changed. That being said I dont think this type of music will go mainstream.

@reshpeck

11 ай бұрын

@@arnoldszwarzenegger6832 We're certainly seeing that now but I'm still open to the possibility of a legitimately new and innovative genre. It doesn't happen overnight or with just one band or musician, even though through the distilled lens of history it seems that way with, say, The Beatles

The robots that work in many factories, like BMW factories, could definitely be considered "robot slaves".

@daviebananas1735

10 ай бұрын

They’re free to leave if they choose.

@oaf-77

10 ай бұрын

@@daviebananas1735 my roomba knows if it tried to leave, it hunt it down like simon legree

I love this video, and this is a great look for you!! Your hair looks amazing!

I always look forward to seeing whats new with JJs hair

45 years from today. Clothing will be pretty much be the same. Lots of space movies about how we should all be dressed like baked potatoes. But i think the tshirt and jeans are here to stay. Also: we have robot slaves! voice controlled roomba

@almightycinder

11 ай бұрын

Fashion has basically stagnated since around 2000 or so. Music used to influence fashion quite a bit, but not really anymore. I don't really see that changing.

@Azurethewolf168

11 ай бұрын

@@almightycinderI personally hate fashion now, most things in society like music, architecture or fashion have become sanitized and basically the same

@treyshaffer

11 ай бұрын

​@@Azurethewolf168lol that's ridiculous, music is more diverse sounding than ever nowadays. Billboard top sellers get far fewer sales than used to as a portion of all sales in music

@Azurethewolf168

11 ай бұрын

@@treyshaffer yes I know, I mean mainstream, what most people listen to is totally soulless and bland now. It’s a good thing there’s more diversity but the issue is no one really has shared songs they like, you ask anyone about popular songs they know from the 70s-90s and they could list a ton but nowadays there’s not much diversity in sound or genre.

How many times is this gonna be uploaded lol

Glad to see you!! JJ. Enjoy NW, love NW ourselves when we come there.

Luv your vids, especially your pronunciation of ‘about’. Acheson Alberta 😊

I loved those books! Discovered it in a pile of used books we bought to decorate our Haunted House when I was ~10, and while a lot of it was a bit beyond me at that age (the Interpol story comes to mind), I read & reread the predictions section dozens of times. Definitely a key formative work in my life, forever grateful to have found it amongst the pile

@uydagcusdgfughfgsfggsifg753

11 ай бұрын

1st edition was great too, 2nd from what I recall was the best, and the 3rd was a bit of a drop-off

I hope I can make it through this time before it’s made private again.

Would love to see more of this, predictions about the future from throughout modern history

This is the kind of content I come here for :)

5:45 tasers already existed by 1978, also they cant ever replace bullet guns as long as they still need a cable to work

@MrDannyDetail

11 ай бұрын

They're surely battery powered? Granted the battery needs charging from time to time, so they probably do get a wire plugged into them from time to time, but it's not like the police can only use their tasers within a cable's distance of the police station...

@SwordsDanceQwilfish

11 ай бұрын

@@MrDannyDetail he is likely referring to the wires that connect the darts to the main unit. they are necessary to deliver the electric shocks and because of this tasers can only fire 1-2 shots. Meaning if you miss it becomes useless.

@MrDannyDetail

11 ай бұрын

@@SwordsDanceQwilfish Oops, I had never realised that they actually fired projectiles at the victim, for some reason I had always believed it was just electricity coming out of the thing, kind of like an artificial lightning bolt (but with less charge than lightning obviously).

I’m a teacher. A coworker recently predicted that education will swing away from the heavy focus of technology, and return to traditional methods to educate our kids.

Hi J.J.! A video so nice you uploaded it twice!

Random note: Glenn Seaborg was my grandfather's boss. Timely relevance note: he discovered plutonium, the material used in the atom bombs and was a close colleague and acquaintance of Oppenheimer. That's all. Just thought it was interesting this popped up in my feed. Small world. Also, you look like a Canadian gigolo. Those hair waves are majestic. Great video!

Many years ago my father gave me a book he bought in the 1970s with a similar premise, and some of the things I remember the most were how big and box-like the computers of the future were, according to the authors.

@sajeucettefoistunevaspasme

11 ай бұрын

NVidia agrees with the book your father bought

I think one thing that is going to be very similar in 45 years is home computer, and I think they reach there apex shortly. We are already having computers powerful enough to generate images in real time that humans cant distinguish from real photos, and storage devices that can hold over 1,000,000 of these high definition photos can be had for under 100 bucks. Computers are still going to get more powerful in the buisness/server applications of course, but I think on the consumer level we are reaching a peak.

@XetXetable

11 ай бұрын

Depends on what you mean by peak. We're still a few orders of magnitude from doing what you described for video, and that's independent of what algorithms have been developed. On top of that, consumer hardware struggles to run larger open source LLMs, and this will only be worse as multimodal LLMs are developed. You can always point to the most impressive things a computer can do and say "I can't imagine wanting anything more impressive!", but that reflects a lack of imagination more than anything. Eventually people will want real time VR generation with the fidelity and flexibility of image generators, but that wouldn't be possible on current hardware.

@Roaether

11 ай бұрын

@@XetXetable by peaking I more so mean that we won't be seeing the leaps that we have been. Let's take an example of GTA: GTA 5 was released 10 years ago, and it's graphics are still decent even by today's standards. Now compare this to GTA SA, which was released 9 years before GTA V. The point I'm trying to make is that the graphical fidelity between those 2 games is far larger (in my opinion) then the graphical improvements we've seen from GTA V til now. A similar thing can be said to the flight simulators as an example: compare Microsoft flight simulator 2020 to X (from 2006) and then compare that to one released in the in the mid 90s. Yes we are seeing graphical jumps but they seem less impressive in scale. The reason I keep brining up graphics is because I'm talking about on the CONSUMER level only. I could be wrong, but these are just trends I've noticed. I feel like we're approaching a fidelity level of graphics and computing where getting any better will be less and less noticable. Again, I'm not an expert in this field so I could be wrong.

I love that you made 4 brand new thumbnails for a 1 second bit. That's commitment.

Off subject, but I love ur whole look for this video!

I still have the authors' "The Book of Lists" from 1977... A popular Christmas gift, it was quite engaging (and racy for a young lad!)

The first part of Tenny Hale's prediction about DNA is actually kinda true. In 1983 PCR was invented which has been used in the development of tons and tons of medical science and has probably indirectly led to saving millions of lives.

This video is great!

these are wonderful predictions for the year 1978 factorial

I love these kinds of videos because it proves that people have been saying the world is going to hell for decades.

Andddddd, the video is back

This video is remarkebly brighter than usual

Very cool video! Thank you for taking many of us internet degenerates and giving us an opportunity to truly think about some very cool topics. We love you JJ!

You already uploaded this like 2 hours ago, what happened in the original?

@williamcox632

11 ай бұрын

Good question.

@cassidyjewel3639

11 ай бұрын

I know right, for a second I thought it was a new video, I was hyped, like yay two JJ videos back to back

@FransLebin

11 ай бұрын

there was a typo in the first one. not sure what was wrong with the second upload

I think cutlery is gonna change the least in the next 50 year. How do you improve that type of stuff? Maybe some minor production streamlining but we’ve already got metallic, plastic, and wooden cutlery

@halfsourlizard9319

11 ай бұрын

That would be amazing. The world could do with some utensil innovation; basically nothing's changed since the fork. (Meh, I guess you can count the spork as some sort of incremental innovation.)

@arnoldszwarzenegger6832

11 ай бұрын

I wonder if like liquid meals will gain more popularity. Like a shake that you dont have to chew but it has everything a good meal should have.

@halfsourlizard9319

11 ай бұрын

@@arnoldszwarzenegger6832 Unless it becomes really cheap and people become way poorer, I doubt it? Ensure has been out since the early '70s ... and it hasn't displaced much demand for things like 'flavour' and 'chewing'😉

@arnoldszwarzenegger6832

11 ай бұрын

@@halfsourlizard9319 it all boils down to "will it become cheap" because if something will never become cheap then it simply wont be popular for most people. Thats the case with most of these inventions etc. We might have some insane brain augments or whatever but it wont affect most people, same way any of our space discoveries dont affect most people. We spend too much resources and attention on rich people toys while milions of people are starving.

@halfsourlizard9319

11 ай бұрын

@@arnoldszwarzenegger6832 'The mass of men lead lives of quiet desperation.' Just statistically, have to have lots of below-average people so that the highly-above-average ones can exist.🤷‍♀

9:54 You forgot to mention that also the element of Seaborgium is named after him!

Your usage of songs from Shane Mesa’s mother 4 soundtrack always catch me off guard. To be fair, they always match the mood and tone that you’re going for, but as someone who has been following the Mother 4/Oddity project since 2014, it just throws me off specifically lmao

One of the biggest changes that we are currently predicting that I think will happen and be even bigger than we expect is Augmented Reality (AR). With cellular networks becoming OP and Apple's Vision Pro, we are on the cusp of something like the smartphone revolution. We all just assume we can have maps and google search anywhere anytime. The AR (with AI assistance) will become the norm and our brains will atrophy even further than we thought possible. HOWEVER, we are already seeing the cultural counter-balance to smartphones and social media, so with both of these trends growing at the same time, it may not be all that dystopian.

@treyshaffer

11 ай бұрын

Imho Apple's Vision Pro is gonna be a flop, AR will be useful in some niche engineering circumstances but I definitely don't see widespread adoption at the level of the smartphone

What is happening

Great video! I'd say that the part of society I see changing the least in 45 years is agriculture, with the only shift I could see happening is the widespread adoption of water-efficient irrigation techniques as clean water resources dry up.

Great episode

I feel like predictions about AI will likely turn out to be wrong. Largely because, as soon as the NFT craze died down, a lot of the same people jumped on AI. Its a little different because AI does have some valid use cases, but we seem to be rapidly approaching diminishing returns of what it can do. So i think its gonna stay in this area where its sort of useful for some things, but not near as good as a skilled human would be at the same task

@XetXetable

11 ай бұрын

Can you name an example?

@thezipcreator

11 ай бұрын

I mostly agree but > we seem to be rapidly approaching diminishing returns of what it can do it's kind of impossible to be sure of this; we don't know if we're at the beginning or the end of the logistic curve

To Seaborg’s credit, AI is becoming increasingly prominent in drug research and development. Of course, less as a master intellect immediately spitting out cures for cancer and more as a big aid to eliminating a lot of the trial and error research in new drug discovery.

@oaf-77

10 ай бұрын

for no benefit to itself, almost like a form of slavery...

45 years from now JJ will just have just released his latest award winning video.

@krgoodrich1

11 ай бұрын

*not award winning

@arnoldszwarzenegger6832

11 ай бұрын

wont he be 85 by then? I dont think he will be making content at that age

Calvin (of Calvin and Hobbes fame) once referenced "automatic insurance machines like at airports." I thought he was talking about X-ray machines.

We've had so many advancements recently - LK99, Generative AI, Machine Learning - that the 2020's should be a rife time for predictions about the future!

@randommonacur2151

10 ай бұрын

LK99 is unconfirmed.

A lot of AI stuff currently is rife with bad predictions. AI will be useful for sure, but I honestly think we are seeing the platueing of many of its breakthroughs. Human labor is very much critical to the success of many industries.

@Azurethewolf168

11 ай бұрын

Yeah just because chatGPT acts human like doesn’t mean we’re gonna see a revolution

A video so fine, you gotta upload it 3 times

Read those books in the library in the 90s, I loved them

You know, I may be wrong about this, but the psychics' lack of accuracy may be down to what kinds of tricks psychics often use. Specifically, I'd like to single out "cold" and "hot" reading. The former involves making guesses about an individual person's life and background(Do they have a wedding ring, is their kid nearby, etc), while the latter involves doing thorough research on a person or group ahead of time(If you're going on Oprah, you'll want to research the type of people who typically watch Oprah). But notice how both of these relate to, at most, a room's worth of people, and more often than not apply to single individuals. When you try to apply that tool to literally the entire planet, things are gonna be a bit weird. As for my own predictions of what WON'T change, I think it's safe to say China is going to be pretty safe, relatively speaking. It won't exactly take over the world, and especially in the Xi days are gonna be in a bit of inner turmoil, but I think people underestimate that stuff like its exploitation in the 1800's, the Mao years, and today's Xi regime are actually more the exception then the rule, at least from where I'm standing. Rather, I think it'll lean further into its more State Capitalistic tendencies, and, while not exactly belt-and-roading, is going to have increased influence over the Pacific. And, even outside of my own fears of war, a "2nd Cold War" isn't likely; Even Xi's China is no Soviet Union. As for what I think will be "cringe"...well, it's complicated. I do think American fascistic elements are on the rise. I think distrust of "elites", the belief in a conspiracy, and hatred of the perceived "other" are still going to be around. I just think a lot of Americans underestimate that, what often seems like(and kinda is) Jackboot Shit is just sort of old-school American evils, just louder. I don't think(Or at least, I hope against) any sort of "American Mussolini" is going to come and take control. I think the backlash against any kind of dictator, even a military one, would be too much to try. Rather, I think it'll be more of the Old Hits, but rebranded. The Southern States are still gonna be sh1t for minorities, just more empowered by corrupt courts and culture war nonsense. The more New-England-y states are still gonna be bastions of American Progressivism(TM), just more friendly to socialism then the Kennedy Days. And there's still going to be controversy over immigration, except instead of Irish or Mexicans, it'll likely be climate refugees from poorer African countries. Honestly, if I wanna depress myself, I can think about how many Latino immigrants who have come in the last decade will see their grandkids demanding the Congolese stay out, or something. It'll be a lot less American Jackboot and a lot more...well, disinformation, arguments, and culture wars based on outright lies. The old hits, but rebranded. Keep in mind, though, this is just the opinion of a left-of-center 20-something. I do not know enough about these to give a definitive conclusion on this. Sometimes history throws us curveballs, and none of this is just inevitable; It is our responsibility to examine the past, judge the presents, and shape the future. Also call your congressman, thanks for reading.

@jackyex

11 ай бұрын

I have seen people say that "Latinos are the new Italians" in a way that a very distinct and at the time considered non white minority is accepted into the mainstream US as a non racial group, and that seems quite probable, more and more Latinos are part of the US mainstream culture, considering that many Latinos are already white or white passing and have a quite high number of intermarriages with other races, and specially white and the lost of the Spanish language outside of boder/tradiotiona areas they will soon be seen as a standard American. They are already 20% of the population and growing, 20% beign engulfed into the mainline America would bring more stability to the US at least.

@LuckyHicks2

10 ай бұрын

@@jackyex ​ Oh, dang, I didn't even think about the dissipation of Spanish as a language. Yeesh, that's a bit of a downer to think about. HOWEVER, I have realised something else that throws a wrench in my prediction; Many latinos have noticeably darker skin than what many Americans view as "White." It's an obstacle to assimilation faced by groups like Asian-Americans and especially Black Americans that just doesn't apply to, say, European Immigrants from the 1900's. It kind of makes me wonder if it'll be less "assimilation" and more...diverging subcultures? Like, maybe a more "assimilated", upper-to-middle class latino culture on one end, and a less "assimilated," working-class latino culture? Or maybe working-class latinos might assimilate, to an extent, into working-class "black" American culture? I know we already have "white" and "non-white" latinos, but, like, is this going to increase as time goes on? The thing about predictions is that, well, it involves a lot of this would involve things I can't really predict; Will Latin-American immigration increase with time, or decrease? What'll the state of these countries be in 10, 20, even 30 years? Will America even be seen as the best place for, say, Mexican immigrants to go to, anymore? It doesn't help that the term "white" is just sort of a "Not The Other Ones" label, at least in the U.S. Like, 100 years ago, my pasty-ass self wouldn't be considered "white." Hell, by some definitions, 200 years ago, people like Donald Trump may not be considered "white." I should really do more research into this. It's weird.

@jackyex

10 ай бұрын

@@LuckyHicks2 the linguistic homogenization is a process thats is occurring all over the world, the lost of linguistic diversity is quite alarming really. Well I think in the modern times the color of the Latinos will matter as much as you think, beign tanned, at least right now is seeing as a desired characteristic, for example most non white Latinos are the color of Kim Kardashian, so I would expect that the skin tone won't be a very strong factor. You do have a interesting point about Class and assimilation, but from the example I've seen from other ethnic minorities it would be different from what you propose, for example the wealthiest members of the asian minority tend to be much less assimilated than a middle class one, this is something that happens both with east asians and south asians, those asians in the middle class are much more likely to intermixed with other races while the rich are more connected to their homeland and ethnic kin, and about Latinos mixing with black people, that is already quite common, but its more restricted to mixing with middle-class people, poor Latinos (and most poor people) are more unlikely to have interracial relationships, but Latinos have a equall rate of mixing with any race, there's just much more white people in the US. Well the most probable thing to happen will be the decline of migration, I think it will still be constant be it will decline with time, and Mexico stopped beign the main source of US Latino immigrants for quite a bit actually, I think since the mid 2000s? Right now most of Latino immigrants are from Central America but depending on the state of the world we will know if the migration shaw increase or decrease, for example when Venezuela started collapsing migration increased, when Mexico started growing economically migration decreased, it will only depend of the stability in the region, Well but at least one country will have its levels of migrants decrease, El Salvador, that even with its controversial government did make the country stable and less violent. The change in demographic information is fascinating but hardly predictable.

I mean, you could argue that a Roomba is a type of robot slave.

Glenn T Seaborg is 100% the alias of a robot dolphin hybrid

I watched this the day it came out, but KZread keeps recommending it to me, so I’m gong to watch it again

Guess Canada Bill C-11 won't let him upload the last two version. Because it isn't Canadian enough.

3rd times the charm

I had tons of magazins citing and copying American magazins from the 60ties on depicting a future with automated kitchens and much more tech stuff and consumer culture. Very interesting and fun. Though I was somewhat sceptical. Reality is far better today. Good video, thanks for sharing 👍

My favorite book on predicting the future is E M Foresters 1909 book " The Machine Stops" which predicted :the internet, video conferencing. On a more sobering note the book also predicted an over dependence on machines and technology which would breakdown leaving humanity somewhat helpless.

Carter is generally liked as a man but I’d hardly say that he’s thought of as a great president.

@FameyFamous

11 ай бұрын

No. He's a great ex-president.

@georgedoty-williams2085

11 ай бұрын

Yeah, he had many troubles during his term that prevented him from being a great President

@etrestre9403

11 ай бұрын

Ok

what we currently define as "renewable energy" is certain to be the most cringe take 45 years down the road. It is possible that wind and solar are major inputs into the grid then, but if they are it will be through the use of technology totally unknown to us now.

Cool shirt, and cool video

As Yogi Berra once said, "It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future." I do think that some of the predictions you marked wrong are not exactly wrong (we *can* create animals and plants with genes from other animals and plants, so there's nothing stopping us from creating human-horse chimeras other than ethics.)

@squidwardtortellini362

11 ай бұрын

No, we are most certainly not capable of creating a human-horse chimera lol

I suspect the most dire predictions about climate change will end up sounding a bit off. This is not to say that climate change will not effect the way we live, but that the extreme end (eating insect protein, for example) will not have come to fruition like some expect. That said, dire predictions about the state of the world in regard to climate change will likely be a feature of public discourse well into the future.

"beakin' off". Ok, i like it.

5:42 Tazers don’t have a long range. At most, it’s 15 feet. I’d also imagine that they are more difficult to use.

To answer your terrible question about why tasers aren't used as much. From a law enforcement perspective, they have one chance to deploy and if they fail for a number of reasons your target is not incapacitated and you likely don't have time to draw your gun. It is deadly when you don't want it to be, as it can start a fire and burn your target alive, or aggravate a heart condition, or many other things that cause it to be lethal when lethal force is not warranted. It can also be lethal sometimes when used as a non-lethal way to subdue someone. It doesn't have the range, speed or multiple rounds of a gun. If you were in an active shooter or hostage or self defense situation, it is far inferior to any firearm. For a home defense purpose, the tool is so useless, that it is pretty understandable that law enforcement is the only useful application, and it has its place but not really as a gun alternative.