Ab Ki Baar, Kitne Paar? Surjit Bhalla's Election 2024 Forecast I Barkha Dutt LIVE in Maharashtra
#bjp #congress #elections2024
As India gears up for the third phase of voting on May 7, there are heated political discussions on the voter turnout in the first and second phase, while the political repartee between BJP and Congress has become more and more aggressive, whether about Muslim Quota or Inheritance Tax.
Join this conversation between economist Surjit Bhalla and Barkha Dutt about voting patterns and the elections!
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Пікірлер: 182
It's like Thomas Shelby dialogue only person can defeat him is Thomas Shelby himself ❤Only Modi can defeat Modi💯
Agree they will retain their seats and also win more in bengal also debut in kerala and tamilnadu
@SadguruPrernaTrust
18 күн бұрын
Watch Punjab result.
@muhzina
18 күн бұрын
They won’t win a single seat in kerala
@ankitchandrakar2403
18 күн бұрын
@@muhzinanot sure about winning but they are in fighting in 3 seats in Kerala
Atleast BJP is giving some number...Can any congressi tell how many seats they are expecting for congress
@Fambam-cu1wk
19 күн бұрын
Less than 40.
@dnyaneshdaga8444
18 күн бұрын
0-9
@SadguruPrernaTrust
18 күн бұрын
Pappu shall reach his target of 39 paar.
@Fambam-cu1wk
18 күн бұрын
😂
@Sawvage
18 күн бұрын
Rahul Gandhi has announced to his party members that he will throw a party if they cross 30 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
Those who are thinking this analysis is false are far away from ground reality
Even before 2-3 dates of polling days left, people have started predicting BJP numbers
She's got that Burnol look again 😂
@Fambam-cu1wk
19 күн бұрын
Burqa with burnal on her entire body 😂
@sandeshpandit5540
18 күн бұрын
She has changed a lot. Please stop throwing dirt on everyone.
@Fambam-cu1wk
18 күн бұрын
😂
@snathan3198
18 күн бұрын
@@sandeshpandit5540not quite. Her loyalty to the "family" shows when Pollster talks about 50yrs of wasted time and PVNarasimha Rao!
@GirishV-bf9cy
18 күн бұрын
@@snathan3198don’t take few things here and there. She is talking to RW people like Abhijit, Shehzad, writer of Savarkar and her shows are much interesting now.
उस पार्टी के जिताओ जिसकी जीत पर हिंदुस्तान खुसी मनाये नाकि की पाकिस्तान।।
@ivangomes2411
18 күн бұрын
Where does the name of Pakistan figure out in this discussion..??
@AarJay8587
18 күн бұрын
@@ivangomes2411 when congress win the election, Pakistan celebrates..
@pappug5319
18 күн бұрын
@@ivangomes2411 freedom of expression
@mountolympus1098
18 күн бұрын
@@ivangomes2411 why do you guys behave as if Pakistan doesn't exist?
@ivangomes2411
18 күн бұрын
@@mountolympus1098 I don't behave as if Pakistan does not exist. What is the relevance of Pakistan in a discussion about Indian elections..?? Secondly, why are some people so obsessed with Pakistan..?
Congress party is totaly desperate.... Most of the leaders are leaving from the pary due to high dsperation, because the party has no any quality leadership and the PAPPU Autism leader is every day making irrelevant statements of lies which hit back him from the public.
Barkha is disappointed that BJP is winning a majority
Hallo ! BJP had 37% votes share plus 6% alliance partners = 43% ..In 2024 BJP goes up to 41 and alliance partners 8 = 49% ! Koi hai takkar mai ??? NONE.
Karachi or Rawalpindi is sure shot secure seat for Rahul Gandy. Where he and his party can give first and last right of resources to darra hua community !
@SadguruPrernaTrust
18 күн бұрын
Islamic congress held Kacharachi seat in 1946 election !
UP,Bihar,Jharkhand,Chhattisgarh, MP,Rajasthan,Gujarat, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh and Haryana,Assam,Orissa West Bengal all these places BJP has edge. Maharshtra,karnataka Telengana ,goa is tough fight between both Tamilnadu,kerala,Andhra pradesh India is winning
@arjunmurali8178
17 күн бұрын
I think in Karnataka also BJP has the edge though they may loose a few seats.. Say their tally could be 18-20
@sandeepbangari
17 күн бұрын
Situation in telangana changed now, ppl r preferring bjp and brs more than congress, bcoz congress failed to implement their poll promises
31:57 Just because a party gets 350+ seats doesn't necessarily mean it's a wave election. It might be just that the party has actually a large general acceptance.
@ErikBerg666
18 күн бұрын
😂😂
@ASMandya
18 күн бұрын
The wave changed and swept in 2014 and each time thereafter the wave size is larger- that is all! Accepted.
@Sawvage
18 күн бұрын
Ok Mr.holding the same ear from the opposite side 😅
Bharka now in competition with Ani smitha prakash
@shywatching
18 күн бұрын
Bharka should learn to be neutral not anti Modi. Listen to the pulse of the people. Modi is the father of Modern Bharat.
I think Narendra Modi will become the longest serving PM of India for atleast 20 years if he wins the third term there will be no challeger for him nor in it's party nor in the opposition 💯
@vinodkbg
19 күн бұрын
We should transform from leader centric to institution centric country. Party or leader may change but the policies and institutions should continue.
@dhavaldesai6202
19 күн бұрын
I think he should hand over choose succesor before 2029
@FabwnganqShnywjwyk
19 күн бұрын
@@vinodkbg it's impossible to build institution without having a leader with brutal majority it's a shame that's in 21st century we are surrounded by the politician that only give seats to his daughter or son look at Congress manifesto garibi hato se amiri ghatao pe aagye
@Khalsa1817
19 күн бұрын
There is no if he will win
@yasho.
18 күн бұрын
@@vinodkbg great men change histories ...we need more great men in every generation
Seeing Barkha's face made me laugh a lot
Tu bhi mojo ho tayyar Ab ki baar 400 par
@Sawvage
18 күн бұрын
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
As an Indian iam ashamed antimodi and Sonia Gandhi family acolutye luteyns media analysts like Ms.barkha, Mr sagarika rajdeep,SG are openly campaiging for India alliance which will be a disaster to this great country. As a father of an international journalist my question to barkha and her co traveler in the lutyens media y ur campaign against Modi.
@sridharmahalingam8190
18 күн бұрын
My question to Sonia Gandhi family funded barkha if her icon Rahul Gandhi can create employment y is party is announcing doles. Today Indians are prepared to believe Modi to give them a better life than barkha icon Rahul Gandhi.Shame on barkha in the guise of journalism is openly campaiging for India alliance to defeat Modi which is a mirage.
@govindaraghavankrishnamoor8273
16 күн бұрын
Yogendra Yadav also
@mohdshajar7874
16 күн бұрын
Mainstream media doing charanvandana also
Abki baar 40 paar for rahul baba
What’s the point of doing these predictions before the elections are all done. A sure way to depress voter turnout.
Wow…I would never invest based on how this guy predicts!! Simple high school student will tell you you don’t do regression analysis based on average over a period!!
@Anilkumar-ze8po
11 күн бұрын
He is an India rep in WB. God help us.
Ab ki baar 400 par
Abki baar tadi paar😂😂
But wave is different this time bjp loosing some seats in gujarath,UP
He said he was born in 1948 n grew up in independent era so it means he grew up in Dev Anand Era 👍 😊......
In my Telangana, BJP is expected to win 8-10 seats
@samindherreddy
18 күн бұрын
8 will be max for bjp in Telgangana
@Fambam-cu1wk
18 күн бұрын
Ok, 8 seats means big win for BJP
@samindherreddy
18 күн бұрын
@@Fambam-cu1wk indeed
@myway1715
15 күн бұрын
బీజేపీ కి 10 సీట్స్ పక్క
nice interview
Loved this interview purely from the point of view of clarity in thought and use of data to justify the arguments. Will wait for Barkha to interview Mr Bhalla post 4th June
Mr. Bhalla you dont know iota about Bihar. Last time NDA had 39 out of 40 seats. and You say they will gain there. Please dont shoot from the hip which is your old tendency
Barkha is wonderful her interviews are interesting to hear. Not just this one you do interview with intellectual bot left, right and centre❤
He looks like Late I K Gujral sir
Madam you are wrong. It is not people it is you who frces people to say in your way by your itellectual capacity.
Please please please Dr Bhalla, please predict at least once that BJP may not win the election. For Barkha’s sake please say Congress may return to power. Please please please
@ErikBerg666
18 күн бұрын
😂😂
@ASMandya
18 күн бұрын
You mean "will return..."!😮😢 theory of impossibility cracked with statistical mis-analyses with a standard deviation of a perfect 100!
How can you argue against his analysis of the data? Unless there arises some dramatic factor data driven indication will prevail.
Mr Bhalla, how was the interview with Karan Thapar😂😂😂
Sir you are very right.congress supported lt liberal jounalists miss that or donot give importance.
When rajeev won 400 plus seats vote % was lower than the vote % in the first two rounds election 2024 !! Ghamandia voters are not coming out because they have no PM face , funds , adverts . credibility , Hindu voters are pissed off with them on Prabhu Ramji mandir issue and no anger against the Hindutva Maharaja.
@mohdshajar7874
16 күн бұрын
Sadguru operated in apollo
@jayakishore565
16 күн бұрын
@@mohdshajar7874 so??? what if he is operated??
I absolutely agree with Dr Bhalla
BJP or Congress aside, what wins is logic and data 🎉 Excellent fact based argument and questioning 👍🏽
Jairam Ramesh got it wrong as usual. Rahul is not contesting Amethi, Priyanka not contesting at all. 100% wrong is what is expected of Jairam
Elections are not decided by Statistics alone. There is something called sentiments also which statistics fails to take into account. Anyway good publicity for the book. Maybe a million copies get sold.
@ASMandya
18 күн бұрын
Burkha hopefully purchased a copy!
Kaafi paar kar Chuke congress ki Line of control!
Disappointment on barkha face is clearly visible
Modi is a disaster for his own party, which doesn't exist anymore. He has distorted the whole narrative , that even RSSS is not in support of him. Bhalla can lick whatever he has !
@pankajmishra2410
18 күн бұрын
Bhagna mt ....milte h 4 june k baad
@hemikovsky
18 күн бұрын
@@pankajmishra2410 Maa ko le ke aana Dung eater.
Very balanced and nuiansed views👍
Ab ki bar bjp down bar🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳✋️✋️✋️✋️✋️
hahahaha look at Barkha's face. She is so depressed 🤣
What is the worst case for bjp?
@samindherreddy
18 күн бұрын
Less than 50% seats with govt by NDA
@nikhilsharma1106
18 күн бұрын
@@samindherreddy is there any chance of that happening?
The panelist seem in his dream
Why so much speculation.go ask kharge rahul priyanka.then answer may come.also this speculative predictive analysis and narration of will have no imact on election and people.
Yet another Election doing the rounds; Contesting Parties are promising a robust, rosy tomorrow. Sure, this reassurance gets the assurance every five years. My plea, Spread Education like wild fire. Let everyone vote, well educated to know what/ whom they are voting for...
GST why, all goods even medicine price very high.
@Vimrati
18 күн бұрын
It’s not high compared to developed and other countries
@ASMandya
18 күн бұрын
World oil prices! Affects everything you touch.
@PanakaluPoonakam
18 күн бұрын
So you want 200 different tax regimes across 29 states instead of GST? You seriously are a model progressive person. Chew-tiya kahin ka.
You are trying very hard to change public opinion towards bjp but sadly your efforts are going to drains . Mr Bhalla told you very clearly worldwide based on data suggest low voter turnout means it's in favour of party in power . For challengers to win there should be increase in vote percentage but you don't get it 😂😂
Barka dutt is also part of lutons lobby
@SadguruPrernaTrust
18 күн бұрын
Soros funds beneficiary.
This is how things were 2 weeks ago. BJP is losing ground in Maharashtra now. Already suffered loss of at least 3-4 seats in Rajasthan. Some pockets of UP have huge anti incumbency. Tamil Nadu there is not going to be any historic gain. Even satta bazar has lowered their prediction to 300 from 330.
@aayushgarg5912
19 күн бұрын
3 june tk bjp roz haregi..4june ko sbh chup jaayenge
@abhiJI3045
19 күн бұрын
@@aayushgarg5912 300 seats does not mean ki bjp haaregi
@jayakishore565
16 күн бұрын
exactly 300 seats after 10 years rule is big loos for bjp.
Barkha is getting annoyed ! Burnol?
This old man must be a modi supporter, this time definitely BJP will be ejected from the centre.
35 just pass
His arrogance will be his downfall!
If you stay neutral you will get more audience.
Let Gandhi family donate their entire wealth to poor of India
barkha is unhappy with this data
500
Barkha seething 30.0 onwards... Balm ya Burnol laga lo
These are most dishonest people in media, if they strongly believe Modi is immortal, Rahul will keep losing and Congress if finished, why they are obsessed with congress and keep debating. They ask questions to congress whom we have voted out and never ask questions to a party whom we have voted in. It’s the funniest thing, I feel😂
Surjit Bhalla is a known Modi Bhakt. What is the purpose of this programme, Barkha? What are his credentials to forecast Lok Sabha seats and what are his research methods? I dont see you asking this
@sumondutta1101
19 күн бұрын
His book might satisfy your curiosity.
@aryandixit229
18 күн бұрын
Watch the video. It is the rationale that matters not the individual. It is you that seems to have a bias not him.
@jayakishore565
16 күн бұрын
if you listen to video you would know.he explained clearly.its not one line statment.
This guy is dreaming
10:28 AAP stormed into power in punjab with 6% lower voting
@sadeeshck
18 күн бұрын
yes..right..less votes mean change...U GOT IT...
@aryandixit229
18 күн бұрын
@@sadeeshckwhat rubbish? Turnout increasing means change while decreasing means status quo. Just look at Gujarat where turnout decreased but BJP still won its best victory in history.
Modi hatao Democracy bachao 💯🔥
Old man.... please suggest for the advantage of the youth in future.....BJP will ruin the country.
I am stupid as it gets, yet i know bell curve.
We don't want hitlar, dictator in India, so Modi hatao Desh bachao 💯🔥
BD and likes are desperate to find some😊
Poor fellow doesnot know elections are not fought on statistical data
Barkaji, sad to see that you are leaning towards bjp. Balla is hardly sincere.
@vandanayesade361
19 күн бұрын
Let me rephrase your statement. An intellectual whose study doesn't confirm my own biases is not a sincere intellectual.
@piyushdas079
19 күн бұрын
Lol .well said@@vandanayesade361
Barkha has no morality because she campaigned with Congress in 2009 for what ever reason for plum portfolio for DMK MP in the cabinet and hence barkha is a disgrace to journalism.
If this man's prediction goes wrong, never bother this pathetic selfish so called BJP's souldier.....
Vote for change vote for Congress
ही विल बाईट डस्ट
Bhalla is a Bhajpayee!
Choka Bar
Fake
Let me tell you the audience here about the ground reality. I'm from small village in Odisha. We have hardly 70-75 family in our village. Out of 75 family 25 families got Pradhan mantri awas yojna. They have now pakka house first time post independence. This is how bjp penetrated in every household.
ECI +EVM = BJP 450 PAAR
@Okdj123
19 күн бұрын
Rote raho evm pr😂
@rak366
19 күн бұрын
Chutiyapa + ghulamgiri = AnupMaharsya
Feku ji win
@praveenkumar3239
19 күн бұрын
Buy burnol😂😂😂
@piyushdas079
19 күн бұрын
Rahul ji is not feku..
@rak366
19 күн бұрын
Jali na? Jali na? 😂😂😂😂😂
Is it just me or does it look like “F democracy” on the top of the video lolllllll
barkha is desperate to hear some negative news for BJP .. so biased
Abki baar bjp 400 paar Congress 40 paar
barkha has covered a lot of election ..but very little logic in her brain
चरखा पैसे पुरे वसुलना नो उधार !! मालुम है पीछला अनुभव
APP KEE BAAR 190 KE PAAAR BYE BYE MODI JUNE 4❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤
If this man's prediction goes wrong, never bother this pathetic selfish so called BJP's souldier.....
@aryandixit229
18 күн бұрын
Only BJP will win. Not some silly dozen party alliance that can’t even figure out a PM candidate or cohesive narrative.