A STOCK MARKET TOP FOR THE AGES | Robert Prechter
On October 21, 2021, Elliott Wave International’s Robert Prechter gave a 20-minute live video presentation to the New Orleans Investment Conference. Prechter showed 28 charts to assess the state of the U.S. stock market just one month before the broadest indexes topped.
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Пікірлер: 41
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@alpinismutilitar3886
Жыл бұрын
Yardini Margin debt deflated!
The video presentation was made on 10/21/2021 while posted on 04/03/2023, almost 18 months apart.
Update a video with charts that aren't 2 or 3 yrs old. Something from 2023.
Great video. Kudos to Prechter. But this from 2021, how about posting one from the present!
SPX was 4544 when this video was made. Top out less than 90 days later in Jan of 2022. It has not exceed that high since.
@jbestradaperspective
5 ай бұрын
SPX is at 4768🎉😂
amazing that there is so much optimism.
Top, thank you Sir!
That's the vibe I'm getting
An update would be welcome.
The market was so overvalued and had risen pretty much vertically. It doesnt take a genius to predict that a market will correct in proportion to its advance ( which it did). But the Dow has rallied since it came off and now looks likely to take out the previous high. I studied EWT for 3 years and have no doubt that it is flawed. The problem with Prechter and his deciples is that they always try to call key tops and bottoms, but always have a "get out of jail" alternative count. I actually attended an EWT conference in Atlanta in October 1994 and Prechter started his address to informing the assembled that we had all recently witnessed a super - cycle high of the US stock market at 3985 on the Dow! He received a standing ovation - please.... These dudes are the worst - they remember the good trades and forget the ( many ) bad ones1
bob is awesome
Brilliant as always Mr. Prechter today is your day for fulfillment! August 2, the most perilous day in history (read the books)
I feel that a lot of these graphs you could have said the same thing anytime from 2012-2022. But I agree with your conclusion, just not so sure about many of the graphs as supporting evidence.
Robert, how about a brief update? It's 2 25 2024 now.
A "Stock market top for the ages" since August 1987. I used to receive his EV newsletter, then.
@wuasilekerpici7812
Жыл бұрын
Is their newsletter worth paying for?
@noobahoi
Жыл бұрын
@@wuasilekerpici7812 Yes, definitely.
@CarlosGunX
Жыл бұрын
@@wuasilekerpici7812 Bob was on fire in the 1980's, but his 1987 call of a deep crash never materialized, the October 19 crash recovered and has lead to a massive bull market. Since 1987 Bob has stayed on the wrong side of the market, re-appearing on every correction, like we are having, now.
@noobahoi
Жыл бұрын
@@CarlosGunX The start of a Grand Supercycle bear market wave 4 is difficult to forecast. Anyway, this looks like the big bear market in the making.
@CarlosGunX
Жыл бұрын
@@noobahoi Agree. But over 40 years forecasting wave 4 (since 1987), is a long time.
Ages probably means a year! SPX is now higher than when the the video was made
Is this 2021, I was thinking 2023😅😅😅
This video was from 2021. How long can the bubble keep inflating?
@felicitymabudusha4761
Жыл бұрын
Chk your positions carefully!
@noobahoi
Жыл бұрын
The bubble stopped inflating a year ago. There were no new DJIA tops since then. Now we have a bear market. Further declines will continue in a few days/weeks.
@felicitymabudusha4761
Жыл бұрын
@@noobahoi OK! 😀 I didn't see that coming. How many days or weeks are you referring to?
@noobahoi
Жыл бұрын
@@felicitymabudusha4761 They did hold back my longer answer. Yes, we have a so-called bull trap or bear market for around 8 months. Also called a sucker's market. ;-) That will end the next weeks. I'm not sure when exactly because it depends on the herding behavior of the investors. I am almost certain that we will have lower prices in the summer all together.
Posting an old video for click bait..?
Thank you Legend this bubble is way too inflated a long term bear market should happen soon maybe not now but latest 2030's
It seems Winter is coming
Prechtor does admit when hes wrong. He even said in another video around this time that this one was made, where he said hyperinflation may be a possibility, which elliot wave would go out the window. I dont think prechtor or people that practice ewt ever thought the government would have such a grip on markets.
Thanks Robert... but isn't it DIFFERNT this time? lol
2000 should have been named as "COVID FED" Peak
Maybe one leg more of upside, the European and Asian markets will migrate to USA and then we will ATH then the lows of decades
Even a known Pandemic was dismissed till we actually had a death on our soil. The disinflation cycle is over, a 40 year cycle. All bets are using disinflation to prop up all asset classes. One trillion dollar bet on disinflation was already lost. We can't handle inflation without a major disruption. The current rebound can get as high as the prior top but unlikely to exceed that before another CRASH! Fed Funds unanimous assumption is no higher than 5.75%. When we hit 6% the street might already see a crash.
He's been saying this every year for the last 25 years, so there's no need to worry guys.