7. Value At Risk (VAR) Models

MIT 18.S096 Topics in Mathematics with Applications in Finance, Fall 2013
View the complete course: ocw.mit.edu/18-S096F13
Instructor: Kenneth Abbott
This is an applications lecture on Value At Risk (VAR) models, and how financial institutions manage market risk.
License: Creative Commons BY-NC-SA
More information at ocw.mit.edu/terms
More courses at ocw.mit.edu

Пікірлер: 347

  • @avarmauk
    @avarmauk7 жыл бұрын

    I think MIT is doing a great service to humanity by allowing people to see such lectures online. I will donate. I hope others do too. Together we can make education a right and not a privilege.

  • @oussamaelbaz5932

    @oussamaelbaz5932

    5 жыл бұрын

    @@raulbartolome8389 Not all heroes wear capes, thanks man! :)

  • @cherieminn2673

    @cherieminn2673

    5 жыл бұрын

    YES KNOWLEDGE FOR ALL

  • @alexvidal821

    @alexvidal821

    2 жыл бұрын

    Agreed

  • @evgeniyagorovaya8075

    @evgeniyagorovaya8075

    2 жыл бұрын

    Especially considering a conceited self-appraisal half the lecture. The fuck I care about who the teacher is. The best teachers talk about the subject non-stop, not their credentials.

  • @firstal3799

    @firstal3799

    Жыл бұрын

    So what? He seems an intelligent engaging and sympathetic teacher.

  • @SeikoVanPaath
    @SeikoVanPaath3 жыл бұрын

    Some notable Timestamps: 0:06:19 Methodology 0:38:33 Covariance, Correlation & Matrix algebra 0:46:50 The big picture 1:00:51 Monte Carlo

  • @antonioaltamore618

    @antonioaltamore618

    2 жыл бұрын

    44:40 cookie

  • @pakonicoco
    @pakonicoco11 ай бұрын

    Best takeaway from the lecture: “Whats the difference between a bond and a bond trader? A bond matures.” 😂😂😂

  • @ravennsiregar

    @ravennsiregar

    10 ай бұрын

    🥲🤣🤣

  • @sylwek1177
    @sylwek11774 жыл бұрын

    He might not have a PhD, but he is an amazing lecturer. Natural born teacher.

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    4 жыл бұрын

    Thank you. I'd be a lesser teacher if I had a PhD. My value-add proposition is to explain how things are actually done.

  • @marko1039

    @marko1039

    6 ай бұрын

    It seems to me that he can empower people and has a lot of knowledge. So the PhD is just a title not a necessarily proof of knowledge.

  • @andile5945
    @andile59452 жыл бұрын

    This man is brilliant. We are very lucky. Thank you MIT for the content and the sourcing of brilliant lecturers

  • @lavaneesh7274
    @lavaneesh72743 жыл бұрын

    Along with explaining the concepts in simple and effective manner he gave life lessons too! Thanks a lot Sir!

  • @jericjamespernitez392
    @jericjamespernitez3923 жыл бұрын

    Six years later and this is still an amazing lecture. Thank you so much!

  • @kiwoongpk91
    @kiwoongpk912 жыл бұрын

    I love that "can I have a piece of that cookie" hahahaha what a human moment

  • @pettPette
    @pettPette6 жыл бұрын

    Why are some people saying the video is useless. The lecturer is cool, did his best to simplify key concepts. i don't think they expected him to give a rigorous/detailed lecture. chill - and enjoy!

  • @daweili9843
    @daweili98437 жыл бұрын

    Thanks a lot to MIT and Mr. Abbott! A very lively and essential lecture.

  • @selorm5188
    @selorm51884 жыл бұрын

    Who is still bumping this 2019?

  • @roscoeroscoe8818

    @roscoeroscoe8818

    4 жыл бұрын

    Why do you ask?

  • @tclexi
    @tclexi4 жыл бұрын

    Excellent teaching, well done! Been through a Bachelor and now doing my Masters', never found anyone being this easy to understand.

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    4 жыл бұрын

    I'm glad you liked it.

  • @sundarj8174
    @sundarj81744 жыл бұрын

    This professor has an awesome way of teaching.

  • @LDacic
    @LDacic2 жыл бұрын

    The stats teacher we all wish we had. Thanks for the upload, MIT.

  • @oscarobioha595
    @oscarobioha5952 жыл бұрын

    I have to say a big THANK YOU to MIT for providing these lectures. Im currently doing a math/physics double major in NewZealand but I really want to become a quant. This has really opened my eyes to financial markets and the math involved. I am honestly at peace with all the mathematics as I understand most of it. For statistics however, I have done some physics labs that make the statistical concepts in this course reminiscent of the physics labs I have done but I dont know it to much detail; so i guess im gonna have to self study statistical theory.

  • @salimkarakoc6787

    @salimkarakoc6787

    Жыл бұрын

    hey oscar ,how ıs ıt goıng your beıng quant adventure?

  • @moonbull3137
    @moonbull31372 жыл бұрын

    So glad I saw this. This opened my mind wide open about finances. I need to study this more

  • @Steephhnnn
    @Steephhnnn3 жыл бұрын

    Super interesting and informative teacher! I am a non-market risk professional at a global investment bank and loved every minute, thanks Ken hope you are well!

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    3 жыл бұрын

    I am well, thank you very much. I'm glad you enjoyed it.

  • @guillaumep2790
    @guillaumep27909 жыл бұрын

    Hi, I am a french student majoring in financial markets and I would have loved to have you as my teacher. You look so passionate, I envy your students. Thanks for the video!

  • @Boy90547
    @Boy905478 жыл бұрын

    The instructor is very down to earth. I like it.

  • @yeiyei84
    @yeiyei842 жыл бұрын

    This lecture and the lecturer are amazing! Thanks for sharing it.

  • @oscarobioha595
    @oscarobioha5952 жыл бұрын

    The guy coughing at 29:03 reallllly pissed me off lol

  • @daraeloise6768
    @daraeloise67689 ай бұрын

    It’s 2023 but his lecture is still useful and plus points to Mr. Abott’s quirkiness and witty jokes hahahaha

  • @muborizmirzoshoev4127
    @muborizmirzoshoev41273 жыл бұрын

    Very informative lecture and his sense of humor is on another level of graetness.

  • @crypticsgamer
    @crypticsgamer2 жыл бұрын

    So relaxing to hear everyone coughing, miss these old days

  • @krrishagarwalla3325
    @krrishagarwalla33252 ай бұрын

    his energy is infectious.

  • @iraqimusiclover8777
    @iraqimusiclover87775 жыл бұрын

    I wish attending one of your great, rich and well presented classes, great work

  • @jaybariya9
    @jaybariya9 Жыл бұрын

    Thanks Prof. Kenneth for this amazing lecture!

  • @shreyaskali996
    @shreyaskali996 Жыл бұрын

    can't believe they are having such great courses online for free! Courses are very good.

  • @StandardDeviationMusic
    @StandardDeviationMusic Жыл бұрын

    45:45 that was a great insight for simplifying portfolio volatility calculations... wow

  • @DivineAffection
    @DivineAffection2 жыл бұрын

    What an amazing teacher. Great lecture

  • @MrAsardi
    @MrAsardi8 жыл бұрын

    somebody give this guy one more cookie!!!!

  • @lochestnut

    @lochestnut

    5 жыл бұрын

    XD

  • @jaco6yR
    @jaco6yR5 жыл бұрын

    2 Years later and this is still an amazing lecture.

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    5 жыл бұрын

    Thanks

  • @adamfattal9602

    @adamfattal9602

    Жыл бұрын

    @@kennethabbott8248 No, thank you. Amazing lecture!!!

  • @abioduntaiwo8443
    @abioduntaiwo84437 жыл бұрын

    Thanks for this video it gave me the basic background I need to understand VaR in my Financial Engineering Module.

  • @mmitbitw
    @mmitbitw9 жыл бұрын

    post more videos of Mr. Abbott

  • @doc_lenz
    @doc_lenz Жыл бұрын

    This man is amazing. I would be honored to work with him.

  • @leezhou1010
    @leezhou10104 жыл бұрын

    I love this guys, incredible amazing

  • @jef922002
    @jef9220029 жыл бұрын

    if all my lecturers were as good as you, i would be going to every lecture happily

  • @marketmr5161
    @marketmr51614 жыл бұрын

    Mit VaR course conducted by a top speicalist from the industry... Just wonderful. Great uni and high class lecturer. Props for opening the course for outsiders like me. 👍 Ty mit and Ty lecturer Ken

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    4 жыл бұрын

    Happy to be of use. Let me know if you have any questions.

  • @mohamadternanni5955
    @mohamadternanni59554 жыл бұрын

    Very helpful for people who are trying to self study this stuff. Thank you so much for the lecture and the anecdotes.

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    4 жыл бұрын

    I'm happy to be of service.

  • @ktcd1172
    @ktcd11724 жыл бұрын

    I know this is late, but this greatly helps me understand the various scenes in Margin Call where they were discussing the potential upcoming losses. Not just that they were about to lose a huge pile of cash, but how they figured out that it was about to happen. Had no real clue or understanding of what VAR numbers meant.

  • @ktcd1172

    @ktcd1172

    4 жыл бұрын

    Also FORTRAN & COBOL coder using cards. USAF required that I be able to read blank Hollerith Cards at 1 card per minute, Baudot paper table at 25 characters per minute. Am another of the ancient ones.

  • @berdore
    @berdore8 ай бұрын

    Thank you for making this available to everyone.

  • @gj8128
    @gj81285 жыл бұрын

    I wish this man was my mentor as I begin my journey. Great attitude and lecture.

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    5 жыл бұрын

    I'm happy to provide any help I can.

  • @kenanerdag5992

    @kenanerdag5992

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@kennethabbott8248 hi Ken ı realy need help about my life ı have to ask questions How can ı connect to you

  • @behrouzraftari3044
    @behrouzraftari30444 жыл бұрын

    A true teacher, awesome indeed!

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    4 жыл бұрын

    Thanks.

  • @anuragagrawal3187
    @anuragagrawal31873 жыл бұрын

    The Cornish-fischer expansion technique is also very useful and practical for VaR

  • @cherryzamudio560
    @cherryzamudio5603 жыл бұрын

    Excellent. I am so thankful for this video.

  • @rmdfra
    @rmdfra3 жыл бұрын

    Loved this class. The comments about the sign of an FX contract in the position vector really clarified some practical issues to me. By the way, is that spreadsheet on Monte Carlo avaliable somewhere? Couldn't find it in the related MIT course page.

  • @UnkleRiceYo
    @UnkleRiceYo3 жыл бұрын

    I love this guy! Great lecture!

  • @reachspring2067
    @reachspring20675 жыл бұрын

    What a great teacher.. respect! Gratitude.!!

  • @SPEARHEADGLOBAL
    @SPEARHEADGLOBAL Жыл бұрын

    Unbelievable ! based on this video. i passed a counterparty risk job interview.

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    Жыл бұрын

    I'm glad it was useful for you.

  • @user-sj9ky3hx7n
    @user-sj9ky3hx7n5 ай бұрын

    Your tips help me become a better trader. Thank you very much for your time and effort!

  • @Macuyiko
    @Macuyiko3 жыл бұрын

    "Are you taking something for that?" Me watching this in 2021.....

  • @elaine6060
    @elaine60604 жыл бұрын

    Incredible teacher! I just started my career in Financial engineering attribute and I cant agree more that never trust the data from others!!!

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    4 жыл бұрын

    Thanks.

  • @kidbornbrat1812

    @kidbornbrat1812

    3 жыл бұрын

    Same career

  • @ntuigideon1871
    @ntuigideon18715 жыл бұрын

    Wao. This is an awesome lecture on risk management. I love your sense of humor. Thank you sir.

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    5 жыл бұрын

    Thanks. My wife thinks I'm just ok, though.

  • @achilleasmanousakis4622
    @achilleasmanousakis46227 жыл бұрын

    Nice lecture, thank you!

  • @AndreCuber
    @AndreCuber2 жыл бұрын

    Amazing Lecture!

  • @andreamarkos
    @andreamarkos7 жыл бұрын

    I guess I will be able to replicate it myself, thanks Mr Kenneth for the keys of the KINGDOM

  • @aliphonse
    @aliphonse2 жыл бұрын

    Great Content, Thank you MIT.

  • @alexanderpurity
    @alexanderpurity9 жыл бұрын

    amazing lecture

  • @CautionBarrier
    @CautionBarrier3 ай бұрын

    I wish they had a whole lecture series with this instructor.

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    3 ай бұрын

    I do a whole lecture series every year at Baruch in the MFE program. I teach undergrads, as well. Come sit in!

  • @CautionBarrier

    @CautionBarrier

    3 ай бұрын

    @@kennethabbott8248 Thanks! And thanks for the great work you put out!

  • @allancontaoi933
    @allancontaoi9332 жыл бұрын

    The lecturer is so good

  • @EvanEvansE3
    @EvanEvansE34 жыл бұрын

    You can use polar coordinates for correlation

  • @arpitjain3430
    @arpitjain34307 жыл бұрын

    What an attitude....cool nerd!! Need more teachers like him

  • @mberoakoko24
    @mberoakoko246 жыл бұрын

    This is a cool lecturer , when I get money , I will donate.

  • @summaalchemica364
    @summaalchemica3644 ай бұрын

    This guy is hilarious, and doesn't use jargon. Keeps it very close to application and explains things well.

  • @soukainaiguansad8247
    @soukainaiguansad82472 жыл бұрын

    (2020) thank you so so much for all those explanations ❤️

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    2 жыл бұрын

    I'm glad you found it to be of use.

  • @hashbrown9245
    @hashbrown924511 ай бұрын

    44:51 had me cracked up

  • @inmortal009
    @inmortal0094 жыл бұрын

    what a great professor!!

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    4 жыл бұрын

    Thanks

  • @sve2727
    @sve27273 жыл бұрын

    Goid vid. Like the experience and not theory perspective of bad data.

  • @kylemaharaj9563
    @kylemaharaj95632 жыл бұрын

    Amazing teacher

  • @KurtDarmanin
    @KurtDarmanin3 жыл бұрын

    This lecture is amazing

  • @jac6003
    @jac60033 жыл бұрын

    You´re great, Ken!

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    3 жыл бұрын

    Thanks. Quiero visitar El Salvador algún día.

  • @lejlagaribovic4995
    @lejlagaribovic49959 жыл бұрын

    Thank you! I could listen to you for ages! :)

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    7 жыл бұрын

    My wife says I'm only "better than average". That's all I got after 25 years I guess. KA

  • @chaztikov

    @chaztikov

    4 жыл бұрын

    @@kennethabbott8248 Hahaha after 25 years that's pretty damn good!!! I've only been able to make it to 5, and my fiancee dropped my course...(then me...)

  • @financeexplainedgraphics
    @financeexplainedgraphics5 жыл бұрын

    All, there is an error on slide 40. The formula for the portfolio variance should be: =MMULT(MMULT(A2:C2,E2:G4),TRANSPOSE(A2:C2)) then ctrl+shift+enter. Despite the small error, spectacular video, thanks for posting MIT! Kenneth Abbott, you are a great teacher, thanks for sharing your knowledge!

  • @financeexplainedgraphics

    @financeexplainedgraphics

    5 жыл бұрын

    @Ken Abbott Haha, totally understand. Would you mind sending me your email? Would really appreciate having a contact like yourself for topics like this. Best!

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    5 жыл бұрын

    abbottk (at) post (dot) harvard (dot) edu.

  • @Aditya-ne4lk
    @Aditya-ne4lk3 жыл бұрын

    At 30:30 you mentioned graphing the data - what do you look for in the graph? If prices are true random walks then what good is graphing the data?

  • @badoubachou3513
    @badoubachou35134 жыл бұрын

    Crazy fellow wonderful professor

  • @sandyjr5225
    @sandyjr52253 ай бұрын

    Fantastic, fantastic lecture.

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    3 ай бұрын

    I'm glad you liked it.

  • @sandyjr5225

    @sandyjr5225

    3 ай бұрын

    @@kennethabbott8248 Mr. Abbott, where can I find related papers/journals from which I can read more about VAR, Portfolio, Options, Derivatives, etc related to finance? I believe that getting a good in-depth know-how of these things would be beneficial in the long run, atleast for me.

  • @ragaalpasha7346
    @ragaalpasha734611 ай бұрын

    God bless you MIT

  • @badoubachou3513
    @badoubachou35134 жыл бұрын

    Thanks MIT ...Harvard you should take example of thé best education non profit approch

  • @treepeenbawlz1934
    @treepeenbawlz19344 жыл бұрын

    Way better than LSE finance lectures

  • @rutgerolsen848
    @rutgerolsen8488 жыл бұрын

    I love this guy, at 50.10 he had me dying laughing. Kenneth I will bring you an entire box of cookies to come sit in on one of your lectures.

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    7 жыл бұрын

    Let me know when you're in NYC. You can sit in.

  • @Valkush

    @Valkush

    4 жыл бұрын

    ​@@kennethabbott8248, Great lecture! definitely useful even not for quants (CS grad from Israel here)

  • @HelloThisIsAnon

    @HelloThisIsAnon

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@kennethabbott8248 Sorry but at 52:15 that bit about Abe Lincoln and the Internet just fell completely flat 😂

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@HelloThisIsAnon Yeah. That one didn't go over.

  • @mohammedouallal2

    @mohammedouallal2

    2 жыл бұрын

    I have spent so many years at several universities, I have never seen something like thatbefore!! I laughed out loud! That was genuinely funny!!!

  • @MadridistaUlle
    @MadridistaUlle2 жыл бұрын

    0:31:53 Crazy... 9 years later and negative yields are common all around the world

  • @jellyjams7217
    @jellyjams72172 жыл бұрын

    Can I have a piece of your cookie - this guy is a legend

  • @Mentorites123
    @Mentorites1238 жыл бұрын

    please do a video on monte carli simulation for calculated value at risk for a forex trade

  • @whatitmeans
    @whatitmeans Жыл бұрын

    Does somebody have the link to the spreadsheet with his Monte Carlo simulations?

  • @tneuhaus4967
    @tneuhaus49674 жыл бұрын

    I wish I was in this lecture!!

  • @shelleywang3659
    @shelleywang36595 жыл бұрын

    Awesome lecture! Lucky MIT kids. I have a master degree in risk management. I have learnt almost all of the stuff, but I enjoyed it a lot! I love how it refreshes my memory and links my knowledge to practical world. And I liked the jokes haha.

  • @firstal3799
    @firstal3799 Жыл бұрын

    Good. I am ready to play my part in next financial crisis now.

  • @kpatel306
    @kpatel3069 жыл бұрын

    Hi There Lecture is really very good as it is presented by experience quant. Is there any possibility to get the Excel spreadsheet presented by Kenneth? Thanks, KP

  • @mitocw

    @mitocw

    9 жыл бұрын

    Krunal Patel Sorry, the course materials do not include any Excel spreadsheets... but the course lectures notes do have a number of data tables on the slides that might be of some help? See the course on MIT OpenCourseWare for the course materials at: ocw.mit.edu/18-S096F13

  • @IAP_mkt
    @IAP_mkt Жыл бұрын

    What's the difference between a bond and a bond trader? The bond matures

  • @anish3240
    @anish32404 жыл бұрын

    Watching this in 2020 while in iso

  • @victoriarudolph6453
    @victoriarudolph64534 жыл бұрын

    Wonderful and helpful lecture. Lively speaker with interesting professional experience. Thank you. Also great to see a black female at MIT.

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    4 жыл бұрын

    Thanks. I'm glad you liked it.

  • @smoosq9501
    @smoosq9501 Жыл бұрын

    i love this guy !!!!!

  • @hahahat47
    @hahahat474 жыл бұрын

    everytime there is a lecture,the same old professor will be seating in the seats,he must like studying a lot

  • @amanjain5626
    @amanjain56266 жыл бұрын

    Good one

  • @terrym8816
    @terrym88164 жыл бұрын

    Oh man, it ends just as things start to get super interesting. Kenneth what should I watch next??

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    4 жыл бұрын

    The answer to that is usually cat videos. Where are your interests?

  • @jules_tbl1010
    @jules_tbl10107 жыл бұрын

    Does anyone know the bibliography they use?

  • @Vlad88667
    @Vlad886679 жыл бұрын

    Great teacher! Shame he couldn't get into more detail near the end.

  • @mousquetaire86
    @mousquetaire862 жыл бұрын

    Great lecture, Mr Abbott! Have a cookie!

  • @whatsup7184
    @whatsup71842 жыл бұрын

    LOLOLOL... I like the last line of Prof Ken's comment. And I will copy that as my tagline. LOLOL... Tell you what? I will come back here again for the completed note. Too perplex with that log-ish chart. LOLOL

  • @Patrick-li8nh
    @Patrick-li8nh6 жыл бұрын

    He has a serious problem with Mother Theresa huh? Jokes aside, I find it a really enjoyable lecture and one of the few ones that don't need 1.5x playback. Thanks and best wishes!

  • @kennethabbott8248

    @kennethabbott8248

    5 жыл бұрын

    Thanks. I clearly can't please everyone, but if I can make the material clearer for a few, I'm satisfied.