Center for a New American Security (CNAS)
Center for a New American Security (CNAS)
CNAS develops strong, pragmatic and principled national security and defense policies. Building on the expertise and experience of its staff and advisors, CNAS engages policymakers, experts and the public with innovative, fact-based research, ideas and analysis to shape and elevate the national security debate. A key part of our mission is to inform and prepare the national security leaders of today and tomorrow.
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It would be much more beneficial to have American influence with sexual deviants, the chosen people and the melanin rich engineers from the great nations.
Oh wait, we have just that and it's working out AMAZINGLY
Good show, more should listen
EU migration policy was such a losing issue across Europe. It galvanized the people against Brussels which is out of touch from the people they claim to represent.
Why aren't you as concerned about Israeli interference in our elections and internal affairs as you are about Russian and Chinese interference?
FIONA.. your and CNAS ' geopolitical ideas are the reasons of PUTIN' s long political career and after him Medvedev ( worse than PUTIN i bet u)
Respect Monsieur
Oh I wonder how we got here?! Maybe we’re all fed up with politicians eroding our culture.
biden proxy war
It's cruel and unusual punishment to make your viewers , listen to your nonsense . Your not saying anything new ,just steeling From other sources. Worse yet your speculation and conjecture should be classified as misleading statements. False narratives. reniments of Russian Propoganda. Almost as bad as the history channel feeble attempts of man made building products were actually from an advanced culture.
I think everyone is underestimating Trump's penchant for changing his mind when confronted with reality. When he's briefed on Russia's war crimes and when he tries to bring them to the negotiating table and they snub him, he's going to take personal offense and go hard on supporting Ukraine (and on forcing Europe to support them more).
More Lies about the Ukraine War
9:36 11:23 GOFA 2006
Ukraine struggle today is because US & Europe strategy is a failure. We will all learn a very hard lesson years from now if Ukraine falls. Failure is also from lack of sanction enforcement.
These interviewers should at least be informed that Michael is not a futurologist. They missed a golden opportunity to ask him about past developments, current trends, and force-structural issues from a strictly military standpoint, rather than constantly ask him what the future will look like. The War on the Rocks podcast does a way better job in this sense.
Props to the Chinese for deterring dangerous NATO expansion, helping much of the Global South through investments and increasing de-dollarization efforts, and continuing to undermine American imperialism and hegemony. I for one came away after listening to this episode feeling very cheerful. ☺️
I often hear the phrase, "Russian efforts are only possible because the Soviet Union was a thing." but that also applies to the West where their support of Ukraine is only possible because of their own Cold War stockpiles. America has not built a new Abrams tank from scratch since 1996, it's only been upgrading or using existing chassis, and Europeans are in a similar position. While the Russians can only build 200 tanks a year, that's more than the West can manage at the moment. Additionally there is a 3 year backlog on orders for new Patriot missiles, among other munitions and artillery production is only just beginning to ramp up. The point of a stockpile is to expend it until your production catches up to demand, so while the Soviet Legacy might be being expended it's unclear how much longer the BMP-1s, T-62s, and T-55s would have been relevant anyways in a hypothetical NATO confrontation or conflict over Siberia's sovereignty with China.
What a U turn he did! That is the man, who said "NATO is brain dead!" Well, his predecessor Nicolas Sarkozy was about to sell two Mistral Class LHA to Putin's Russia!
I never heard of Fiona Hill before but damnn! She’s very knowledgeable in geopolitics, history, geography…. I enjoyed every minute of her interview!
Fion Hill is a national treasure-❤
Russia won. NATO is fake
Just listen to Michael kofmans last years assessment it will show how accurate he is..
I did and it was in accurate . Just guestimate these scenarios. To keep his job and sell books on conjuncture and speculation. Unless you are granted special access , when everyone meets and makes plans for the next counter offences. I can't see any point of listening to this crap
You have just deserted Ukraine for seven months, just so one person can keep their job, if you want to be the worlds hegemony, then do your job.
No American ever voted for hegemony or empire.
You have no clue of the degree of support US provided Ukraine.😂😂😂 Seriously.
No American ever voted for hegemony.
Look at the numbersI know it might be inconceivable to you being from the USA, but Europe is in the lead on supporting Ukraine, I have not included the latest supplemental. Why do you always have to be the biggest and the best when it's not true?
Jake Sullivan = Zbigniew Brzezinski Let us not forget the role he played in the US failure in Libya and Afghanistan. While he may repeat valuable information, he cannot be trusted for objective analysis; hence, he could not be nominated to a Senate confirmed position even when his party has the majority.
Western propaganda getting funniest now. Washing machines are kicking nato's ass
Pukes like you are pathetic.yiu make these half ass comments That prove to the entire world. You don't have a clue of what Your talking about . There is something big being planned . And it's causing Putin to be even More desperate . Making predictable mistakes is his specialty. He and him alone is the biggest reason who Russia will Never succeed in anything .
You mention China at the end. China is the beginning of it all
I enjoyed the part where it’s asked “who are European saving this equipment for”. The answer is simple, obvious and historically inescapable: “each other”
yeah right. have you set foot in europe in the last 60 years ? I almost hope you're a paid troll
Yeah because Luxembourg is very sure the French are coming for them Or something Schengen area exists btw
@@looinrims I forgot about the Schengen treaty. Well as long as we PINKY sweared and we signed a piece of paper then intra European war is impossible. That’s what Europeans thought when the 30 years war ended. Then when the French revolutionary wars, then the napoleonic, then ww1, ww2. Basically for the past 2000 years europe has been in a constant state of war. This isn’t even an exaggeration. Open wiki and search for major armed conflicts in Europe. It’s a fucking blood ocean. I mean the longest period Europe has been without major wars was 1946-2022. And I’m excluding those “insignificant” things like genocide in the balkans in the nineties. Can you blame them?
Mike hasn't a clue. The 60 billion passed by congress is for weapon value. Older US weapons and munitions can be valued as little as 5% of cost so the package in theory could be as much as 800 billion. Also g7 are preparing a 50 billion package for the summit in june using interest on Russian assets. If passed ukraine can buy more of US older stock at a fraction of the price. USA has over 400 million 155mm howitzer shells alone. Also nato are ralking about an additional 100 billion aid package too. Mike hasn't a clue.
You no what problem is they don't believe it how long for Air power no military don't fight with out Air don't believe ukraine has not got some good Air I think they put them out to dry freak out about Nukes always gonna nuke someone Russian that's only thing they say.
You think so not Agressive enough maybe can't help it Woke.
To believe we can resort to conventional warfare to settle differences between major nuclear powers is crazy. It’s all well and good as long as both sides think they’ll win but ultimately the side that’s losing will threaten to use nukes and the side that’s winning won’t want to give in. Wars become absolute or existential as everyone likes to say. You’ve gone on for almost a hour here talking about continuing this fight but without a settlement this will likely lead to brinksmanship where it’s just a coin flip whether we destroy civilization.
Ukraine isn't a nuclear power, while Ukraine is getting conventional weapons from the west, the west is not going to go to war for Ukraine, probably not even if they got nuked, just like the USSR was not going to go to war with the U.S. over Vietnam and the U.S. wasn't going to go to war with the USSR over Afghanistan under almost any circumstance. I'm not saying proxy wars don't increase the risk a general war, but there is a big difference between a nuclear power supplying weapons to a third party that is fighting a conventional war with another nuclear power,(which is a practice that has been going on pretty much non stop since the end of ww2) and a conventional war between NATO and Russia directly.
putins willing to suicide ruzzia with popular vote? truly a failed state
Except Ukraine is not a major nuclear power, and this conflict is between some third-world countries that are unlikely to involve China or America directly; and if superpowers are not involved, the destruction of civilization is a wild conjecture with flawed assumptions. I wish people would stop bringing up nukes already.
@@fare-5174 USA is no longer a superpower.
ukraine is 💩 Israel is 💩
ruzzia is 💩
Is THIS all the channel is. Simply a drawly female voice just talking talking, talking. Anyone can do that if they read the news. HOPELESS! CENTER FOR NEW AMERICAN SECURITY.. WHAT RUBBISH!
Always like to hear what Mike has to say. I’d like to recommend Dr Phillip Karber for the show on Ukraine. He can give a great breakdown of ways to counter Russia and the tactics behind recent battles.
Mike hasn't a clue. The 60 billion passed by congress is for weapon value. Older US weapons and munitions can be valued as little as 5% of cost so the package in theory could be as much as 800 billion. Also g7 are preparing a 50 billion package for the summit in june using interest on Russian assets. If passed ukraine can buy more of US older stock at a fraction of the price. USA has over 400 million 155mm howitzer shells alone. Also nato are ralking about an additional 100 billion aid package too. Mike hasn't a clue.
I feel like listening to Mike for the last several years I've earned an Associates degree in force generation
And it contributed to my misanthropy when people speak about Ukraine around me hehehe
Mike hasn't a clue. The 60 billion passed by congress is for weapon value. Older US weapons and munitions can be valued as little as 5% of cost so the package in theory could be as much as 800 billion. Also g7 are preparing a 50 billion package for the summit in june using interest on Russian assets. If passed ukraine can buy more of US older stock at a fraction of the price. USA has over 400 million 155mm howitzer shells alone. Also nato are ralking about an additional 100 billion aid package too. Mike hasn't a clue.
The only issue is we often talk about the West increasing production, we make it seem like Russia is not investing heavily to produce more and started the process much earlier. We know they have tripled their imports of industrial machinery and are building new factories. So while I like Kofman I disagree that the gap is going to narrow, but I do agree both sides are going to have more munitions in 2025. Kofman is normally pretty good but he is falling into that analyst problem where they forget the enemy responds.
Russia can’t compete with the unified west when it comes to production
@@jakeb3157 Right. That’s why the best hope is for continued European support. Which relies on Poland, Germany and the United States. As long as the US is helping the situation can be stable I would imagine
@@Rokaize IF "the unified west" switched to wartime production, then you'd be correct. But we're unlikely to do that.
Mike hasn't a clue. The 60 billion passed by congress is for weapon value. Older US weapons and munitions can be valued as little as 5% of cost so the package in theory could be as much as 800 billion. Also g7 are preparing a 50 billion package for the summit in june using interest on Russian assets. If passed ukraine can buy more of US older stock at a fraction of the price. USA has over 400 million 155mm howitzer shells alone. Also nato are ralking about an additional 100 billion aid package too. Mike hasn't a clue.
Well, heaven knows Henry had enough baggage to fill a train, but he also had enough intellect to sink a battleship and enough insight to fill a library. Among his many books, "Diplomacy" is one of the most insightful I've ever read on western statecraft, which I highly recommend.
Warmonger fart
Ukraine armed forces are about to crumble and you consider to peddle this wishful thinking.
Now say this with the voice of Darth Vader please.
Are you Russian? You offer no explanation for your statement or knowledge/
So true.....they are washed.
Ukraine is _still_ not conscripting 18 to 24 years' olds, why not? If, as Michael Kofman says, Russia has a 2024 window of opportunity, then _surely_ this is the critical point in time at which to call up the most combat effective age group to stop Russia making good its temporary advantage. It seems to me the Ukrainian government is giving weight to political rather than military considerations in failing to effectively draw on their manpower reserves.
manpower reserve is very limited considering that around 600,000 young ukrainian men live a good life in western europe. These men won't go back and fight in the trenches. In additiion there were reports saying that a sizable portion of young ukrainian men trying to escape conscription. If you pay some people enough money you won't have to join the armed forces of ukraine. Lastly Zelenskyy mentioned that it needs 7 taxpayers to fund one ukrainian soldier. Manpower shortage will continue to be an issue for Ukraine.
Because their demography is fragile. 6 million women gave already left and will lively never return. Even if Ukraine wins, theyre probably terminal as a nation at this point
Wait. Ukraine is invaded by an evil dictator and the only way it can get enough soldiers to repel the invader is by mass conscription?
@@timthetiny7538 putin is 200'ing ruzzian future - its epic losses already
@@gregc8567 You don't know diddly. Artillery is the King of the Battlefield, Russia outguns Ukraine by anywhere from 5-1 to 10-1 in artillery but somehow people like you think that translates into tremendous losses for Russia and moderate losses for Ukraine. This isn't even taking into consideration the even greater advantage Russia has in missiles and glide bombs. Here's the truth. Ukraine casualties are several times higher than Russian casualties, and this with a population 1/5 of Russia. Do the math if you're capable. It's simple addition and subtraction.
What happened to game changer Westan weapons like Abrams and leopard and hiding Challenger tank and if Ukrainian army million strong than they only lost 31000 soldiers why they need mobilization
what happened to BSF? Why so many fires in ruzzia? What FSB do for people of Crocus massacre? why did VDV leave so much kit at Hostomel? Deputy Minister of Defense corrupt? after 2 years all still "going according to plan" ? radioactive floods?? good thing its a police state or people would protest more!
You are delusional, there are no weapons to sell, Ukraine. There are not enough men to fight for Ukraine your advocating for World War
What an gnorant a stupid commentary.
Thanks for your reporting ❤ I think both USA and Europe have to stop telling UAF and Ukrainians how and when to do this, because they know what they are doing and how to fight against Russia and we don't, full stop! We must and need to support Ukraine with all weapons, except nukes, they want, because they are defending us our children and our future. Anything more than suggestions and ideas should not be made from us. Slava Ukraine from Scandinavian Vikings/Sweden
If wishes were horses, beggars would ride. /Nursery rhyme
If they ask we should give nukes. After all, they know what they are doing .
If you brought us Michael kofman on these amazing discussion, you deserves a noble Journalism prize, a brilliant and Outstanding experienced security and conflict analyst, Michael kofman is remembered on his book "The war on the Rock" humble and Wiseman. Thank you for you efforts in such fascinating episode. Slave Ukraine 🇺🇦
I think Mr Kofman is the most objective commentator on this disastrous war on Ukraine I've come across to date. Thanks to all contributors for their sobering thoughts and painful insights.
😂
well I think the 60 billion USD the largest ever US aid package will last the whole year. and when Biden wins this year, I predict the Ukrainians will get 100 billion USD aid in 2025 and another increase in 2026. The Russians are doomed.
and when Biden wins this year and the dems sweep the congress and senate time is up for the Russians hahaha. 2025 and 2026 will be annus horribilis for the Russians , I can see Russian defeat in 2027 when Russia goes into civil war. and Ukrainian major offensives collapse the Russian army in Ukraine which has lost command and control. The Russian defeat will be so bad that it will be compared to the Iraqi defeat at the end of Desert storm 91., mass surrenders of Russian soldiers. I remember the Russian defeat at Izyum 2022, according to Igor Girkin, the RUssians lost 450 tanks, mostly abandoned and captured by the Ukrainian mostly intact and in full working order hahah, since the Russian units collapsed and the remnants stole civilian cars and bicycles and ran back to Russia hahahaha. you will see this again in the future when Russia loses this war but on a much bigger scale hahaha
yah when the Russians start deploying vintage T-55s in large numbers and using WW2 artillery and begging the NOrth Koreans for poor quality ammo and copies of 80s Soviet SCUDs. you know teh Russians are in trouble. In fact the last time the Russians used T-55s in large numbers was to put down the 1956 Hungarian revolution, heck its so funny that many of the T-55s currently being used in Ukraine by the Russians served in the 1956 Soviet invasion of Hungary hahah. Yah I read that the Russians will be running out of tanks and APCs or at leaset have shortages by late 2025 and into 2026, Im not surprised the Russians start buying North Korean tanks which are poor quality copies of Soviet 50s to 70s designs in large numbers hahhaha. Oh the humiliation. and for a supposed 2nd strongest military power int he world cant even do breakthrus and collapse the Ukrainian lines who are supposedly much weaker supposedly than the Russian army, is so embarassing for Russia. hahhahah
Stalled past tense.
Mike hasn't a clue. The 60 billion passed by congress is for weapon value. Older US weapons and munitions can be valued as little as 5% of cost so the package in theory could be as much as 800 billion. Also g7 are preparing a 50 billion package for the summit in june using interest on Russian assets. If passed ukraine can buy more of US older stock at a fraction of the price. USA has over 400 million 155mm howitzer shells alone. Also nato are ralking about an additional 100 billion aid package too. Mike hasn't a clue.
The speaker calling Ukraine having to lower it's draft recruitment age "good news" tells you, that people like her really have Ukraine's best interest at heart.
Look up what happened to the male population in occupied parts of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts bozo
More telling to me early on when she says... there is a more optimistic plausible story we can tell.... hope to hold on for a year, everything goes bad for russia great for ukraine and the west... and that gives a plausible story to tell...
@@caracallaavgWhat happened? The DNRs Somali battalion was the lead in taking Mariupol.
Fool.
@@caracallaavg They are fighting for its land and they are alive. 600,000 Ukranian solders are dead. 100,000 left the military units, reported by Ukranian authorities.
Crimea is still the key 🔑
Forget about Crimea.
@@andrekeefer2034 i just can't.
CRIMEA IS RUSSIAN
@@jordizee They used to have a big bridge there, but then it got destroyed! (Sent from ipad 20.7.2024)
Rofl....morons still talking about that bridge.....Russia built a railroad further north to circumvent that.....Crimea is never leaving Russian hands again....wake up.