This channel is for active value investors that are interested in analysis and comments on stocks, bonds, crypto and real estate. The mission is to share my investing journey as an active individual investor with reviews of various investment ideas. Channel reviews use a value model that is created with the financials of each investment.
My Active Value Investor scorecard for a good investment is as follows:
1. I invest in companies I understand, and I want to own.
Do I want to own this business?
Is this a good industry to invest in?
Is company is operated and performing well?
2. I invest in good balance sheets.
Is debt less than 3X EBITDA?
3. I want a discount on the stock price.
4. Decide to buy, hold or sell this stock today.
This channel is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Any information or comments expressed on this channel should not be used to make investment decisions.
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Topline growth is too weak, margin slightly. Need to see PE at 50 or below
Thx for your comments
The stock market is one of the few places where when things are bad people will say I told you so, when things are good everyone wants to tell you they’re about to get worse and decades later those who just didn’t care and stayed invested regardless are perfectly happy with their gains lol That coupled with the fact if you had your money out of the market on the top 1% of trading days over the past 40 years you would have made a negative return gives enough reason to say in the grand scheme of things nobody knows and it doesn’t matter.
Thx for the comment
Do you believe that a correction will affect real estate, even though real estate is already so down? I see maybe a small decrease but shouldn't be like it will be on tech.
These markets will operate independently but influence each other
Hey there thanks for your opinion - which Travel and Resort stock did you mention bg ? maybe you can write it to me so I vae a chance to look into it. - check the TUI Stock . It is the same sector and I think it is underated as well. best greetings from Germany
Victor looking at the 5 years performance of the tech sector it’s clear it’s the bast place to put money to work . I think now that software stocks have the best value now . What do you think
I agree, software stocks look good
Hope it will come faster.
Let's see how the stock market performs
Insider trading? Can’t beat them, join them! NANC (or KRUZ)
Thanks for watching
Thanks for covering. U R covering different types of companies to the ones I normally look at. U R adding value in this space. And your thought process is different to mine. I am a DEEEEEEEP value investor, a.k.a. a sucker for a value trap / catcher of knives 😎😂Interesting to see a fundamentals-based person with an approach we can learn from
Thank you for watching and let’s collaborate
@@victorhinvesting Thank you for the offer. I will definitely return to honour it one day. I have no channel launched yet. Thought of it a few times, but for now I am happy to learn from better retail investors than me. I meant the stocks I research for my portfolio. I share with a few friends, but not yet a wider audience. I am based in South Africa and we have very few ppl contributing to the space, so I am always tempted to enter the fray to help teach domestic retail investors.
@@victorhinvesting Let me promise you this. If and when I launch a channel. You will be the very first person that I reach out to, to collaborate with. Your process and insights would be invaluable to a South African retail investing audience.
Adobe stock jump up 14% on good earnings
Thank you Victor, very informative. Any word about Lennar stock please, thank you
Let me put it on the list of stocks to look at
By the way Chuck your mic is making a lot of noise.
Sorry about the noise, I'll see how I can improve it
@@victorhinvestingsorry I commented on the wrong video. I was watching fast graphs new video and then I watched yours and it was late. Your mic is fine. I appreciate all of the analysis you have done especially for the cvs video, this one and comcast. I'd be curious of your opinion on gpn stock
@@bryanmclaughlin1048 No problem, thank you for watching
Great analysis mate. Like you will carry on building out my position. Once the company buys back a meaningful amount of the float I think this will fly in the next 24 months😊
I agree
very good video. After reading Ben Grahm's book I like to take the same approach. The stock hit all-time High almost to the penny from your analysis!
Thank you for the comment.
Dead money
Based on the price action on this stock in the past year, I cannot ague. I expect at some point that will change and the stock will go up.
Cathy Woods has certainly made more money than I and continues to do so. Her ARK funds mostly have a mission to invest in innovation/ disruption. To that end, she does not seemingly interest herself in financials. She wants to hit grand slams by, essentially, being a seed investor. Private equity investors have up to a 90% failure rate on their investments. The returns on winners are remarkable. That’s what you sign up for. She invested in TSLA, Bitcoin, NVDA very early and made outrageous returns. Most of the companies I’ve followed in her funds fail horribly, but when you’re making a 100x return on a large portion of the portfolio, that covers a lot of mistakes. Her style is poorly suited to high interest rates. Did you notice that her funds surge when the market thinks there will be a rate cut? I won’t attempt to defend all of her moves. She navigated the market downturn horrendously, but her style was never meant to work under those circumstances. If you were an investor and held, that was your mistake. Revisit judgement on her funds by what would happen if you invest now and wait for 5 years or so after rates drop.
Thank you for the perspective, and I take back what said about her, I under appreciated her strategy
@@victorhinvesting To be clear, I’m not a big Cathy fan. I just realize she’s far more successful than I, and she has an approach that seems highly misunderstood, IMO. She sticks to her method. The investor has to read between the lines to grasp what that is and decide if they are willing to partake. I’m still not buying. I’m just not counting her out.
@@iangantner6976 she thinks tesla will go back to 400, time will tell
This guy is losing at least 10% now 😂. I wonder whether he covered his ass..
Let’s see how this plays out
Thank you for shedding light on Pfizer, interesting points and it seems they are strongly focusing on the future portfolio of oncology drugs..
Good day for Coinbase stock, it is up more than 7%
Interesting choices! If you're looking for a potential healthcare gem, OncoSil could be a game-changer in 2024. Its unique cancer treatment approach might be worth exploring for your next video!
They are producing their own LL and Ai database. That is power. Also the combo of Ai and actual humans will always have customers because people need other people at some point. Cut and paste won’t reach you everything. I believe this is way undervalued. They do need to improvise and improve their app. Market themselves as “safe Ai for students”. I’m holding and buying the dip.
I agree
Haven’t looked at SMCI in a while. I remember thinking about buying puts at 1200, but then thought “you’re crazy.. you know they can outlast your timeline!” I don’t want to rehash it so much. I will say this, I’ve scooped up a bit of FMC because their price crashed due to overinflated inventories. Completely different industry for sure, but FMC is a far more seasoned company. If they can grossly overestimate demand, I’m relatively certain SMCI can. HOWEVER, the argument that “companies have been using AI for a long time” doesn’t hold water. Just because I was learning OOP (object oriented programming, designed to program AI) in the mid 90s, does not mean that companies were spending reckless amounts of money on it. They are now. The technology is catching up to the promise. I feel we really are witnessing something revolutionary. Sitting on the sidelines may not “hurt” you, but it will leave you with an “AI leader” shaped hole in your portfolio. I don’t know who the next winner will be, but I know there will be one and more. Failure to buy because “it’s too high” or “it’s going to crash” will leave you wishing you had taken a chance. My advice, pick some companies. Buy small. Set a stop loss. Move it up at a convenient time. Then, hope for the best. At least you tried! I’d rather go down swinging. Throw a jab out there in an attempt to set up a combination. There is room in my portfolio for speculative plays, and as they say, “scared money doesn’t make money.”.
Do you think google and amazon will suffer from AI crash?
to some level, yes since they are hyperscalers that are providing GPU services for AI
@@victorhinvesting not good I own both
@@reds1122 They are both great companies, I own GOOG and will be a holder for a long time.
ZIM been crashing man whats the deal.
IDk, the stock went up a bit on Friday, I bought more shares last week
I'll start by saying that since I started using GitHub Copilot and ChatGPT a year ago, my productivity has probably doubled. Sure, they're basically supercharged chatbots (worth mentioning that natural language processing was very hard until 3-4 years ago, e.g. Alexa and Siri), but we're still in the early stages. If big tech is right (that more compute equals better models), we might just be at the dawn of a "revolution." Of course, this could all end up like the big data "revolution," where companies like Under Armour spent $500M on MyFitnessPal claiming, "once we have data, magic will happen." Only time will tell. BTW, thanks for your videos, Victor. I really enjoy the content.
There is no AI without self awareness.
Good point
If you ask me I think people start to realize that "AI" is just a market strategy name in reality there is no AI just some mathematical algorithm yes they seems to be imitating intelligence but its just an ilusion. Dumb algorithms are not even near what intelligence should look like, at this point in time the real AI is just a dream.
I cannot argue with you
When they get all your data.
Thank you for watching
When you die the data collection end.
@@AndroidPCMMORAW You can't take it with you
Sir, do u have a tip about where I can see all company figures of a company no matter wether its paypal, amazon or starbucks? Google offers google finamce in Germany where I can see revenue etc. Of a company but I am not sure wether the figures are correct
Yes, I like using stockanalysis.com/
Congratulations on the Wall Street article 🎉 great work
Thank you
Personally, I’d consider buying at 150
What stock?
@@sergioaraujo4519 ODFL, long term. As Victor said, narrow economic moat, but, as far as a LTL trucking company, balance sheet is in good condition with debt/EBITDA less than 1. I tend to stay away from economically driven companies, but, I’ve driven for 2 large companies in the past. ODFL seems to be well managed.
Thoughts on ODFL?
The company balance sheet is good, business is okay, if the economy grows this company benefits. Not a lot of competitive advantage, this could be a modest gainer over time. I would hold on this stock but that is just my opinion and not advice. Good luck.
Thanks to those of you sharing your investing journeys online + sharing knowledge. The modern day accelerated learning curve is thanks to people like yourselves. Congrats on the new sponsorship.
I appreciate the comment very much, thank you
You lost me at “ride the subway in NY”. We were on the same page until PRECISELY that point. At any rate, I wish you luck in your retirement journey.. I will be a few years behind you at this rate, but I’m looking forward to it.
LOL, I grew up and live in California where there is no subway or mass transit. Riding the subway system in NY, Europe and other places is fun for me because it is something I never had at home. Thank you for watching.
I've definitely thought about retirement...planning to do this in 6-7 years, but I plan to work part time so I don't get bored. I've even thought that when I retire I may want to work at the local gym so I can stay physically fit and active. Until then I will continue building my investments (dividend portfolio), paying off my house, and working out at the same gym.
Great plan, the better we invest, the more freedom we get
Congratulations on the advertisement partnership aswell man.... totally deserved 👏 ❤️ 🙌
Thank you for your support
Number one goal....
Good plan
How did you calculate PE? Like what two numbers did you use? Is it share price / EPS?
It is total earnings divided by the number of shares outstanding
@@victorhinvesting I meant price to earning ratio
@@therealapyt Sorry, I answered the wrong question. PE is subjective to the investor. I take into account revenue growth rate, industry value, FCF growth and the overall value of the business to arrive at a PE that want to use.
Awesome as always!
Thank you
Great video
I'm glad you found it interesting
I "retired" in 2021 then after six months I was bored to death so I had to get a job.
😎😂
I've heard that from others, and I have heard some say, "why didn't I retire sooner?" thanks for the comment Scott
😂
I was included in an article in the Wall Street Journal yesterday and I talked about fixed income www.linkedin.com/safety/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.wsj.com%2Feconomy%2Famericans-have-more-investment-income-than-ever-before-84b7a6c6%3Fst&trk=flagship-messaging-web&messageThreadUrn=urn%3Ali%3AmessagingThread%3A2-MjVmZGI4ZWYtOTBkZC00MDRmLWJiOTctYjU1ZDA1OWJjYzQxXzAxMA%3D%3D&lipi=urn%3Ali%3Apage%3Ad_flagship3_messaging_conversation_detail%3BwXwMdfqeSn%2BUUV%2FDFFk%2BZQ%3D%3D
Interesting, margin interest is a major reason I don’t short shares for long term trades. I generally reserve shorting for daytrading. I assumed that since the short immediately went onto my margin account, there would be interest on anything held for a day or longer. I’ll check into how it would be calculated if I covered it with cash and how (or if) that affects my margin buying power for day trades.
I was pleasantly surprised that if I have the cash to cover the short, no interest would be charge.
If semiconductor and utilities are too far up right now, wouldn't it make sense to short a semiconductor and/or utility ETF?
That makes sense
SMCI is down 34% from the stocks 2024 high price
SMCI is down 34% from the stocks 2024 high