InvestOrama

InvestOrama

A channel that Separates Investment Facts from Financial Fiction:

By analysing the financial scenes from movies and series like Billions, Succession, or The Big Short to figure out what's right, what's wrong, and what can be improved.
By conducting Due Diligence on asset classes, products and startups using footage from clips and movies to make it tangible

Because you can entertain yourself into becoming a more empowered investor!

InvestOrama is created by George Aliferis, CAIA, a reformed sales in derivatives and alternative products for investment banks. George is optimistic about investing but believes there's a gap between the resources people need to make educated financial decisions and the way investment products are marketed.
His mission is to support the true democratisation of finance, empowering people to make smart, informed investment decisions.

Пікірлер

  • @mykelengieza7057
    @mykelengieza7057Күн бұрын

    SPOILER ALERT!! SHE IS A VEGAN(in the show at least)

  • @alucardbrahmstone6659
    @alucardbrahmstone665920 күн бұрын

    Still fall short from billions and the MC she just never did have any moments of greatness. Only luck and hand out opportunities. Man i love when she got fired in the last episode. Remove her and this show will go sky rocket.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama19 күн бұрын

    I think she'll be back in season 3 though. She's interesting because she's bad!

  • @alucardbrahmstone6659
    @alucardbrahmstone665918 күн бұрын

    @@InvestOrama hahaha Rishi is a way better character than her. Yeah i agree these some kind of a masochistic enticement in this series for some people hahahhaha

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama15 күн бұрын

    Maybe Rishi needs a spinoff

  • @bobloss2269
    @bobloss2269Ай бұрын

    Not a good explainer at all man. C’mon.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOramaАй бұрын

    Oh no... What should I improve

  • @rahimzayd
    @rahimzaydАй бұрын

    No worries, you're explanations are based on the assumption that your viewers have specific trading/market knowledge- Perhaps give more anecdotes so non-finance people can grasp more easily.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOramaАй бұрын

    @rahimzayd that's excellent feedback and I'm aware of it but have not figured out a way to do it (nor spend time to think about it) but I definitely want to so something that works for beginners

  • @anubhavnigam1920
    @anubhavnigam1920Ай бұрын

    I've a question; where can you get this data on avionics and rental car fleet movements? Isn't that data encrypted for privacy reasons?

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOramaАй бұрын

    Well, I've got a video that answers that... kzread.info/dash/bejne/rKWYytt-ZZTWqZM.html (check out Brightdata)

  • @gabrielafanelli3453
    @gabrielafanelli3453Ай бұрын

    The more I listen to this the more I sense retail trading is super unethical at its core... and it is only legal because of the power of those who run it. So many companies (and therefore people) depend on bets, how a trader convinces a seller... or am I missing something? I know I sound so naive lol but I am still amazed that wars and trade are still accepted.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOramaАй бұрын

    Retail trading... do you mean what's happening on Gamestop?

  • @gabrielafanelli3453
    @gabrielafanelli3453Ай бұрын

    @@InvestOrama I mean retail trading in general, the whole speculation scheme.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOramaАй бұрын

    @@gabrielafanelli3453 speculation is a game, and there are rules, so I don't think it's unethical but I think it's stupid, you're much better off investing and trade as little as possible

  • @qwill8254
    @qwill8254Ай бұрын

    It's on half a billion

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOramaАй бұрын

    Yes

  • @qwill8254
    @qwill8254Ай бұрын

    I think u Missing key dialogues

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOramaАй бұрын

    What do you mean?

  • @ashish316rock
    @ashish316rockАй бұрын

    good at clickbait, bad at math

  • @investorama_podcast
    @investorama_podcastАй бұрын

    Best skill combo to become a successful youtuber!

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOramaАй бұрын

    How to win in 2024!

  • @wdai03
    @wdai032 ай бұрын

    Oh shit! Nicole's options are in the money lol

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOramaАй бұрын

    Oh yes! Well done Harper She's had some good ideas on real estate too

  • @monkynutss711
    @monkynutss7112 ай бұрын

    Very interesting! What's your background?

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    I used to do Harper's job... pretty much the same thing at DB, but not as successful!

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    You don't need a family office to chill and invest, check out my friends at wealthyhood.com/

  • @langa1533
    @langa15332 ай бұрын

    Is this really S3E12???

  • @investorama_podcast
    @investorama_podcast2 ай бұрын

    Did I get it wrong?

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    Yes

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

  • @langa1533
    @langa15332 ай бұрын

    @@InvestOrama thanks, I have been looking for this pitch

  • @amirkarim2307
    @amirkarim23072 ай бұрын

    All i'm hearing is how the ordinary person is getting f'd

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    That's definitely a possibility - although this is a bit like Gamestop where the little guys are taking on the big ones

  • @ooidstudio6517
    @ooidstudio65172 ай бұрын

    If she thinks housing market will struggle, housebuilders not the only option here. Housebuilders about new homes so its also highly correlated to employment, debt rates and policies (such as FTB). In the show, the research chap says the bank is confident on housing market so they could simply design a total swap (derivative) on UK annual residential returns(IPD). It might cost them a bit, but thats the insurance for a possible payout.. To create such SWAP you also need to have opposite party who thinks completely opposite (C:

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    Good idea - the problem is that this index is not treadeable. You can't just find another counterparty, you need a market makers. For property there was one attempt at creating a market on the actual property prices by creating future, but it failed (the futures are still there but the volume is 0).

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    If you enjoyed this video - please share it! So many people are confused and will be fooled by the IRR!

  • @shubhomar1615
    @shubhomar16152 ай бұрын

    Thanks man, i have a question how to tackle such sales persons: "what should be my counter?"

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    That is the trillion dollar "democrtization of alternatives" question! I think the first answer is "do not be sold to" these are complex, strategic investments that require due diligence. You could also ask questions: is this an IRR? If yes, what is the TPVI (or other ratio) and dig into the real performance? If you are an individual investor going through an advisor, you should also know the incentives and sales commissions: for Blackstone's BREIT it's 3% upfront - so of course they are going to push it!

  • @shubhomar1615
    @shubhomar16152 ай бұрын

    @@InvestOrama great answer, stay connected man need to know more Ratios and 2-20 standards are just numbers now, returns demand higher fees 😸

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    @@shubhomar1615 If you want to go deeper, I have not one but two podcasts on this topic kzread.info/dash/bejne/iX-HudSjo9a5cbA.html kzread.info/dash/bejne/k2R1yZh9YMjYgJM.html

  • @shubhomar1615
    @shubhomar16152 ай бұрын

    @@InvestOrama glad to know.. see you there then

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    Enjoy

  • @ianlyu8578
    @ianlyu85782 ай бұрын

    Stellar again George!

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    ⭐️🙏🐜

  • @nabilkamaludeen1804
    @nabilkamaludeen18042 ай бұрын

    Did Rishi just mentally (or randomly) price such a complicated option? Its most likely a one-touch option. How did he come up with 4bps? Also why was he so reluctant to show Harper a price? Would such a trade be difficult to square off? I guess its hard to find someone else to take the opposite end of that trade but surely he could square off the risk using the underlying directly right? Appreciate any responses!

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    All good questions. One hypothesis is that the series is not realistic, he should dive in his models before giving a price. But I prefer to think it's real and find an explanation for that, so there you go: He's reluctant because the option is so out there that the model gives it a probability close to 0, but that means it's going to be hard to hedge. The price from the models is pretty much 0, so he just adds a few bps to make one and that's why he also moves it from 5 to 4 (a 25% discount) without checking the models (I'm trying hard to make it work)

  • @nabilkamaludeen1804
    @nabilkamaludeen18042 ай бұрын

    @@InvestOrama Wow yea thats a great explanation and it really makes sense. When Rishi said 'i cant price that without losing money', my guess is that he would find it hard to be delta neutral (square off the position) as its hard to find another party to take the opposing side of such a punty trade, especially of that size (half a bil). I guess hedging that position (although it is so far out of the money, the delta is tiny) would require dabbling in the underlying, resulting in costs. Also, i doubt he has the limits to hold such a huge position in his book.

  • @williamj.dovejr.8613
    @williamj.dovejr.86132 ай бұрын

    As a fan of Limitless, I stumbled onto your channel. I have been looking for this kind of information. I'm hooked and I am about to subscribe. Thanks.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    Glad you're here. Did you see the other video on limitless (fund management)

  • @jacobtrevorbush
    @jacobtrevorbush2 ай бұрын

    Excellent video.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    Thanks. What should I cover next?

  • @jacobtrevorbush
    @jacobtrevorbush2 ай бұрын

    @@InvestOrama I think sequence of returns or different measures of risk and how that is marketed or used by firms.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    @@jacobtrevorbush excellent choice! There's actual an answer on my other channel from Prof. Phalippou but it deserves to be expanded kzread.info/dash/bejne/gGmtw5Nyo8a9fpc.html

  • @LeadingIndicator
    @LeadingIndicator2 ай бұрын

    Hi, I just wanted to say that I love your work, even though I don't (want to) understand it. Me, I'm a trader on short timeframes, so my Edge lies elsewhere, but I always watch your content. Actually, since I watch almost no videos about investing, per se, especially ratios and the like, I appreciate the few I watch all the more. The value here is the institutional angle, not the retail, since I need to understand how firms think to trade with, or against, them ... much like market makers. Cheers.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    Much appreciated - I'm trying to find the right mix of entertainment and information. PE is becoming relevant for many of us

  • @adanramirez8750
    @adanramirez87502 ай бұрын

    What ratio do you recommend we should look at? what do you recommend?

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    That's a topic of the next video, the short answer is that PE performance is very complicated to assess TPVI, MOIC, Modified IRR, PME... you can use a combination of those but they've all been criticized and now there's a new one DARC!!! So maybe don't look at past performance too much?

  • @bolokefe5300
    @bolokefe53002 ай бұрын

    Thank you

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    Full conversation if you have time kzread.info/dash/bejne/kWl-zaSOla-1fLQ.htmlsi=QgSGCBTyE1kFmwkx

  • @Financeforyou118
    @Financeforyou1182 ай бұрын

    Om shanti 🙏

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

  • @bolokefe5300
    @bolokefe53002 ай бұрын

    Doesn’t his argument against Buffett apply to Simons on the other side of the pendulum? Like it’s easier to achieve 66% when it’s smaller?? Impossible when it’s big easier when it’s small ?

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    Yes indeed but tha'st also what makes Simons so special. Who else is smart enough to limit the fund size? Here's a follow up video kzread.infoA8rffDegBLI?feature=share

  • @whatisantilogic138
    @whatisantilogic1382 ай бұрын

    Nancy Pelosi needs to be in the goat conversation 😂

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    Haha yes but I wanted to wait a bit after Simons passing to announce that 'actually...'

  • @DaNiyaHodge
    @DaNiyaHodge2 ай бұрын

    Rip James Harris Simons, you will be missed

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama2 ай бұрын

    Nobody can compare

  • @RS-xx9ve
    @RS-xx9ve3 ай бұрын

    4:43 its true that you can grow big quickly because the odds of a catastrophic event in a short time are low. But HIGH over a long time. That's why people build quickly then descale their aggressiveness.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama3 ай бұрын

    💰💪

  • @RS-xx9ve
    @RS-xx9ve3 ай бұрын

    4:32 its far easier to get huge returns with a small account. Big accounts move the market and it means you will only get a small fraction of what;s possible starting off. Or at least that;s what the financial Establishment tells us. (In fairness that's my own personal view too) I vaguely remember Eddie made about 6m USD over about a week with a 50k or so investment. He then went into a completely different world, basically fund management and finally looked to do a grand mergers and acquisition deal with de Niro's character. Finally he decided he wanted to become US president.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama3 ай бұрын

    Yeah I don't think the movie is very consistent with the figures, but it was useful for the point I was trying to make

  • @RS-xx9ve
    @RS-xx9ve3 ай бұрын

    @@InvestOrama Must admit Limitless is one of only a few film DVDs I've ever bought apart from martial arts ones. That and another trading film called Pi (Warchowski brothers of Matrix fame). Limitless really inspired me to say "my brain is gonna help me make money quick" : D Before trading I was really into IQ tests so Limitless sort of "double resonated" with me.

  • @slacker-us9gm
    @slacker-us9gm3 ай бұрын

    very underrated interesting video

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama3 ай бұрын

    Glad you think so! I guess asset management is not a very exciting topic

  • @SunofYork
    @SunofYork3 ай бұрын

    SEC not FBI

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama3 ай бұрын

    Actually the FBI went for Steve Cohen (and the SEC as well I think)

  • @BrokensStudios
    @BrokensStudios3 ай бұрын

    fuck bitcoin!

  • @jamessky1741
    @jamessky17413 ай бұрын

    Damn. Thanks for the breakdown.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama3 ай бұрын

    Glad you liked you'll find a few more on this channel

  • @legoman6124
    @legoman61243 ай бұрын

    Not to mention the bid ask spread makes it pretty hard to get exact prices even if the price you pay for the put equated the price you sold the call for. Maybe go down a strike or 2 to add a net credit for safety? Because who cares how much you limit upside if the goal is to sell ATM @ 40

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama3 ай бұрын

    Yes good idea. Although here the real problem is liquidity, there's another video about that kzread.info/dash/bejne/hoWhqNF8csjAfqg.html

  • @legoman6124
    @legoman61243 ай бұрын

    @@InvestOrama Agreed. I’m no expert but if you have THAT big of a liquidity gap you might as well be screwed. I mean what would you do? Fire sell it all for half the price and have a bunch of actual zero cost or net credit collars to compensate for the loss? But also the options liquidity is about the same as the shares so would be hard to get that filled too.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama3 ай бұрын

    @@legoman6124 you didn't watch the other video? That's where you get the answer from an expert... There's a solution

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama3 ай бұрын

    Tldr Liquidity is fragmented but you can harness it with algorithmic trading

  • @FarEastAlpaca
    @FarEastAlpaca3 ай бұрын

    Agreed. I didn't watch the episode but hedging a blackswan event is very different from making a play post black swan event. Assuming they are hedging an unforeseen event, then some of these plays make sense, for example the buying long dated vix, since it'll be cheaper, subject to less decay pressumably, and roll those positions forward until the event pays off. But by definition a black swan event is one you cannot foresee. So these plays will have a huge premiums if they are making trade post event, in which case none of these plays will make too much sense as much of the event must have been priced in. Huge risk and costs. It's not like she has the ability to tell when the event will happen😂

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama3 ай бұрын

    You are right, but here let's assume that they reacted quickly and it's just as the event is about to happen or right after. As for the VIX, like I said in the video, I don't think it can help. I've got a video about it here kzread.info/dash/bejne/nISexKqhdKradbg.html

  • @FarEastAlpaca
    @FarEastAlpaca3 ай бұрын

    @@InvestOrama Got it. Long term Vix future is almost always trading in backwardation. Thanks!

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama3 ай бұрын

    @@FarEastAlpaca yeah it's a tricky beast!

  • @seignee
    @seignee3 ай бұрын

    this is seriously a brilliant channel. and the editing is superb. well done!

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama3 ай бұрын

    🤜🤛

  • @sunandan_sharma
    @sunandan_sharma4 ай бұрын

    I think it's a very fair assessment. I also thought his going for the mafia person to ask for money is bit weird given he can quintiple is money so quickly but personally I think its just a sales pitch depending on his perception of the mafia guy's intelligence. When the mafia guy says he must have a "fix" he changed his tactics for the sales pitch and saying he has a insider person. Also I want to point out three more scenes in the film. I am going by chronological order. 1) Just before the business card scene he was explaining to bunch of people about gepolitics and history. That felt like George Soros/Ray Dalio style of macro investing. Finding commonality throughout different historical period. 2) During trading scene he was asked why he was buying a particular stock when the CEO got indicted he replied that a major government deal the company have due to bribes is still on. This seems like very close to "insider trading" probably a reference to Steve Cohen. Also this refers to his threatning of the Robert De Niro character at the end of the movie. He clearly loves informational asymmetry. 3) Also he was helping the Robert De Niro chaacter with Merger deal which seems to me another such a different style of investing. More like lawyer thing rather than investor. I guess the film tried to potray that not only he is charismatic person but he is adept with so many different style of investing and can process and aquire knowledge in unprecedented level. Honestly speaking rather than one throwaway line of "pattern recognition" there wasn't much discussion about quant. But maybe his brain can process so many different kind of data like a supercomputer on alternative data.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama4 ай бұрын

    Excellent analysis

  • @parthvalecha467
    @parthvalecha4674 ай бұрын

    Why couldn’t you just buy an in the money put, at say 45. The cost to buy a put at 45 is 3.95, which nets you a 41.05, higher than the goal of 40. Buy that, then dump the shares down to 41.05, then exercise all of your puts This is much better than being left selling naked calls

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama4 ай бұрын

    Is that what you see on screen put 45 at 3.95? I don't remember. You may have cracked the code

  • @10000yr-s
    @10000yr-s4 ай бұрын

    I put some money in masterworks…1.5 year later 1) all except one art piece prices dropped losing 20% of my investment. 2) the communication has been poor, in fact they don’t actually seemed to know in their email to me all the art pieces I’ve owned through them. 3) they don’t have a forum for investor to discuss or feedback the experience , making it feel more like a scam 4) my money is stuck and I’d better off investing it somewhere else. I hope in 5 years time they prove me wrong

  • @user-jw2xs9wy6q
    @user-jw2xs9wy6q4 ай бұрын

    Thank you for this video.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama4 ай бұрын

    🤽‍♀️

  • @guzy5667
    @guzy56674 ай бұрын

    Terrible list wow

  • @DisContent_by_Orama
    @DisContent_by_Orama4 ай бұрын

    What's yours?

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama4 ай бұрын

    Have I got it wrong?

  • @_.occult._
    @_.occult._4 ай бұрын

    From data analyst background can I end up to senior roles in hedge fund ? Thanks ❤....I didn't know this Netflix show existed. Thank you

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama4 ай бұрын

    It's hard to get into a hedge fund, but the data roles are increasing in areas like alternative data sourcing and processing for example

  • @gerardomenendez8912
    @gerardomenendez89125 ай бұрын

    GFY

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama5 ай бұрын

    Y?

  • @jbjab99
    @jbjab995 ай бұрын

    Is this movie any good?

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama5 ай бұрын

    It's ok not great. Here's my review kzread.info/dash/bejne/nKuLk9miiKfcmqg.html

  • @Nkunzi808
    @Nkunzi8085 ай бұрын

    If he were doing it as part of a long term hedge against Fiat?

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama5 ай бұрын

    Here he doesn't hold any crypto so it can't be a hedge. Also how do you hedge AGAINST fiat?

  • @Nkunzi808
    @Nkunzi8085 ай бұрын

    @@InvestOrama They never explicitly mention that he doesn't hold crypto and wherever they do bring it up, he seems to be active in the space (especially after this point/scene). Aside from when he's trying to take out an enemy, he's also someone who seems to constantly learn from his shortcomings, holding crypto would be a logical asset to hold should he need to flee as seen, I think, twice in the series. The more probable deduction would be that he holds it. As portion of holding a long term portfolio, a hedge for fiat that's also a form of currency (yet also more efficient in storing value) would be crypto.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama5 ай бұрын

    @@Nkunzi808 Good point! The series don't make it obvious but that may be the case. There's also crypto in series 7 i think

  • @anoriginalnick
    @anoriginalnick5 ай бұрын

    Isn't what harper did illegal? All calls on the trade floor are recorded as well..

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama5 ай бұрын

    Illegal? Not sure? Because she's helping the client instead of the bank, that's not a problem in common law. Non-compliant 1000% sure

  • @anoriginalnick
    @anoriginalnick5 ай бұрын

    @@InvestOrama great way to ruin all your political capital in the work place

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama5 ай бұрын

    absolutely@@anoriginalnick I can only think of one reason to do it: if you're about to go to work FOR the client

  • @anoriginalnick
    @anoriginalnick5 ай бұрын

    @@InvestOrama haha true. The dream is to get poached awayyy

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama5 ай бұрын

    @@anoriginalnick Not happening for Harper in S2... but there's S3 coming, so maybe?

  • @TuEIite
    @TuEIite6 ай бұрын

    Good format, I like the consulting point of view. Informative, thanks.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama6 ай бұрын

    🤩

  • @TuEIite
    @TuEIite6 ай бұрын

    Interesting analysis, thank you.

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama6 ай бұрын

    Much appreciated

  • @ginorako2176
    @ginorako21766 ай бұрын

    Why that annoying background music

  • @georgealiferis7345
    @georgealiferis73456 ай бұрын

    Because I messed it up? When I edit it doesn't sound so loud, sorry

  • @InvestOrama
    @InvestOrama6 ай бұрын

    🎺

  • @dr.azygos3585
    @dr.azygos35856 ай бұрын

    heyy ... can u explain the scene on the trading of orange juice futures in the movie "trading places" kzread.info/dash/bejne/hICttbqNeaW5Y8Y.html