What Is A Black Swan Event?

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Пікірлер: 123

  • @TheGoodStuff
    @TheGoodStuff2 жыл бұрын

    Back in the olden days, European explorers and Roman poets didn't think black swans exist. So a black swan was something impossible in their eyes. They even made a whole expression about it. But then they discovered black swans. And Black Swan events came to mean something unexpected and impactful, but not entirely impossible. 9/11, WW1, the fall of the Soviet Union are all considered Black Swan events. But there's more out there than just black swans. Here Be Dragons . . . . Enjoy!

  • @jimbob5487

    @jimbob5487

    2 жыл бұрын

    You get downvote for citing climate change as a problem. Congratulations communist.

  • @Gladness2023
    @Gladness20233 ай бұрын

    Yes, they knew that’s why we call it the PLANDEMIC

  • @kookiesk4873
    @kookiesk48732 ай бұрын

    POV you are here because of the Baltimore bridge event

  • @sharondalewis1620

    @sharondalewis1620

    2 ай бұрын

    Yep

  • @prettycoolPJ
    @prettycoolPJ12 сағат бұрын

    That video told me everything I needed to know, then somehow undid itself, halfway through, confusing the hell outta me and told me nothing. Now I'm back to square one.

  • @davehart7943
    @davehart79432 жыл бұрын

    A black Swan just Landed in Tianamen Square the other day .. I think such an event is about to happen .. I could be wrong, but time will tell ..

  • @hereandthere6001

    @hereandthere6001

    2 жыл бұрын

    I saw a whole field of black swans today and nothing happened.

  • @NoName-rq9we

    @NoName-rq9we

    2 жыл бұрын

    time will tell lol

  • @Laurennn

    @Laurennn

    Жыл бұрын

    Nothing happened LMAOOOOO

  • @mariabolt3881

    @mariabolt3881

    Жыл бұрын

    I bet the Chinese ate the poor thing.

  • @UncleRuckus7600

    @UncleRuckus7600

    Жыл бұрын

    At some point you'll be right since you don't give a specific time. What good is this information really?

  • @adatewithkate
    @adatewithkate Жыл бұрын

    This was wonderfully informative and concise. It was the perfect pace, with the right mix between animation and the narrator's face. I'm happy to know about black swans and grey rhinos, but even more happy to have found this channel. :)

  • @dougfredricks2017

    @dougfredricks2017

    10 ай бұрын

    We live during Interesting times.

  • @TOTAL457
    @TOTAL4572 жыл бұрын

    Great video. Thanks. I am subscribing.

  • @jamescheddar4896
    @jamescheddar489618 күн бұрын

    The key characteristic of "Black Swan Events" is they permanently alter the rules when they happen. Often they're more based on information resolution than true/false statements too, such as needing to explore the last continent to see black swans.

  • @Noone-of-your-Business
    @Noone-of-your-Business2 жыл бұрын

    _"unpredictable ... at least until they happen."_ Genius. I'm out.

  • @AmericanAF

    @AmericanAF

    2 жыл бұрын

    yeah. this guy is kind of dumb tbh

  • 2 жыл бұрын

    Not looking forward to any Black Swan events, however Grey Goose events are welcome.

  • @oldplucker1
    @oldplucker12 жыл бұрын

    There are very few actual black swan events. Most events are ‘ Flashing Glitter-ball Elephant’ events. It is just that those in power are too stupid to recognise them. The Millennium Bug was not a Red Swan either. It was a ‘Multi flashing herd of glitter-ball elephants’ event that was dealt with correctly by IT staff and plenty of money thrown at it hence why it was minimised but not totally fixed. There were still millennium bug events but they were dealt with quickly by knowledgable IT staff. Also Covid was not a Black Swan either because it was already known due to SARS 1 and other events which were dealt with correctly. Many events are unpredictable but not Black Swans such as asteroid hits and death stars because we know they can happen. Most events are entirely predictable such as recent energy price rises and food and fuel shortages. These were inevitable.

  • @James-fg1el

    @James-fg1el

    Жыл бұрын

    Wormwood hitting the earth is one black swan

  • @nghtwtchmn129

    @nghtwtchmn129

    9 ай бұрын

    I first recall the term "black swan" used in connection with the 2010 Deepwater Horizon disaster, possibly suggested by the film Black Swan which was released later that year. (The title referred to the role of the "Black Swan" dancer in Swan Lake.) A "black swan event" was described at something that would be highly unlikely to happen, but catastrophic if it did.

  • @DashValkyrie
    @DashValkyrie2 жыл бұрын

    Me, an Australian: wait, there weren't any black swans in Europe? weird

  • @Ladida386

    @Ladida386

    2 жыл бұрын

    Very rarely. I saw one this year, the first time in my life. Usually they are white as adults, and gray as young.

  • @jannetteberends8730

    @jannetteberends8730

    2 жыл бұрын

    But are there white swans in Australia?

  • @thankyoudearjesus1
    @thankyoudearjesus12 ай бұрын

    THANK YOU FOR THIS!! You answered my question beautifully when I could not trust Giggles search results!

  • @DGaryGrady
    @DGaryGrady2 жыл бұрын

    I always learn a lot from this channel. In an effort to return the favor, here's a cheat sheet for classical plurals. Many other words with the same endings follow these same patterns: Singular phenomenon, plural phenomena (3:30 in the video) Singular bacterium, plural bacteria Singular vertebra, plural vertebrae Singular parenthesis, plural parentheses Singular vertex, plural vertices Singular fungus, plural fungi Naturally there are exceptions (e.g., stigma / stigmata), but this covers most of the classical plurals that show up in scientific and mathematical contexts.

  • @alexsetterington3142

    @alexsetterington3142

    3 ай бұрын

    Sheep, sheeps

  • @ethanalanbarnett2850

    @ethanalanbarnett2850

    Ай бұрын

    I love language and learning idiosyncrasies, but in my opinion, those that have imported words in to English over the centuries should have done a better job with grammer consistency. English is already unpredictable enough due to its base of two distinct language stocks (Anglo-Saxon and Norman French). What I believe we should have done over the years is, import the needed root word of foreign origin, but apply all of our own grammatical rules, like affixes and plurals. That way, we would have the benefit of the new word that we lacked, but we would still have a predictable way of using the word. I think the same should also be done with spelling. We should either pronounce the word the way the other language did (probably not going to happen due to languages using phonemes unfamiliar to eachother), or update the borrowed word's spelling to match our comfortable pronunciation. It's only recently that I learned that the confusing silent letter is some words like "psycology' were never meant to be confusing. The 'p' is pronounced in Greek (where we got the word) , but in English, it feels awkward to our sensibilities to pronounce 'ps' at the beginning of a word (though, it doesn't hurt our feelings to say it at the end of a word, like 'collaps'). Another fun one is the word 'vigilante' that we borrowed from Spanish without any change in spelling. In Spanish, it's pronounced 'beeheelantay': totally different. Anyways. Enough with the rant. I do appreciate your educational efforts, and while something is a standard, people ought to know it. So thanks.

  • @jannetteberends8730
    @jannetteberends87302 жыл бұрын

    The video beside this one has the title: “next black swan event”

  • @rachinter
    @rachinter2 жыл бұрын

    The perfect storm bro

  • @alanfurlong-drummer4419
    @alanfurlong-drummer44192 жыл бұрын

    Very good cheers

  • @Learna_Hydralis
    @Learna_Hydralis11 ай бұрын

    I'm thinking gray rhino can be considered a white swan and dragon king can be considered a black swan.

  • @JasonTheKnighthog
    @JasonTheKnighthog2 жыл бұрын

    Love the video but as an Australian gotta let you know that wasn’t a Soccer team Jersey at the end that was an Aussie Rules football Jersey just FYI

  • @TheGoodStuff

    @TheGoodStuff

    2 жыл бұрын

    What??? I thought Australian football and soccer were the same thing!

  • @djblc2201

    @djblc2201

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@TheGoodStuff “Australian Rules Football” is a separate sport… it’s big in Melbourne

  • @thevannmann

    @thevannmann

    Ай бұрын

    @@TheGoodStuff No, you're thinking about the UK there. The term "soccer" isn't only used in the US, it's also used in Canada, large parts of Ireland, South Africa, New Zealand and Australia, even as a romanisation in Japan. "Football" can actually refer to 3 or 4 different sports in Australia. Australian rules football (Aussie rules), Association rules football (soccer), Rugby League & Rugby Union footballs (league, union).

  • @aisadal2521
    @aisadal25212 жыл бұрын

    Oh cool, never knew Swan Lake occurred IRL

  • @ymj4256
    @ymj42562 жыл бұрын

    Finding alien would be a black swan event for sure

  • @sk8rdman

    @sk8rdman

    2 жыл бұрын

    Would it be though? Scientists have theorized about the possible existence of alien life for decades. Sounds more like a white swan event to me. Many scientists expect that aliens definitely do exist somewhere, but nobody knows if or when we will ever find them.

  • @oldplucker1

    @oldplucker1

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@sk8rdman Agree, aliens don’t look like Black Swans😂😂😂

  • @mattymurdo4134

    @mattymurdo4134

    2 жыл бұрын

    Americans found aliens a long time ago

  • @madhounddog04

    @madhounddog04

    Жыл бұрын

    They're already here. They're called democrats.

  • @innerspacesurfer
    @innerspacesurfer2 жыл бұрын

    I saw that flannel and thought you were giving black swans 8/10

  • @kanucksfan94

    @kanucksfan94

    2 жыл бұрын

    Shameful downgrade from swans in general getting a 10/10

  • @PogieJoe
    @PogieJoe2 жыл бұрын

    Thank you for sharing history!

  • @TheGoodStuff

    @TheGoodStuff

    2 жыл бұрын

    You bet!

  • @teriscallon
    @teriscallon2 жыл бұрын

    so many metaphores

  • @user-ki3dj9pu9y
    @user-ki3dj9pu9y2 ай бұрын

    I'm surprised they didn't go over the Purple Mongoose

  • @raelene101
    @raelene1012 жыл бұрын

    What about a white elephant

  • @casbot71
    @casbot712 жыл бұрын

    Australia; is full of animals that were somehow missed by the chroniclers of Noah's Ark…

  • @noahway13

    @noahway13

    2 жыл бұрын

    Um... nobody chronicled/ named/counted the animals on the arc. A few are mentioned as characters in the story. And anyway, story is a myth.

  • @kategem4603
    @kategem46034 ай бұрын

    2024 is shaping up to be the blank canvas for one

  • @t-pott4504
    @t-pott45047 ай бұрын

    It seems like based on the definition of a black swan versus a white swan event that a financial collapse like in 2008 could not be considered a black swan event because we know those are inevitable, and they have happened enough times in the last century to be predictable And, in fact, many people did predict the 2008 collapse.

  • @GTradesJournal

    @GTradesJournal

    5 ай бұрын

    inevitable yes, predictable meh tell that to all the banks that failed. Many people guessed it, a lot more didn't

  • @ewanfraser
    @ewanfraser10 ай бұрын

    What’s the difference between a white swan and a gray rhino again?

  • @alexsetterington3142

    @alexsetterington3142

    3 ай бұрын

    Spelling and pronunciation

  • @andersthons
    @andersthons2 жыл бұрын

    did you kill kyoko???

  • @TheRojo387
    @TheRojo387 Жыл бұрын

    I woulda called the category "WHITE swan event(s)".

  • @robyngevas1761
    @robyngevas1761 Жыл бұрын

    Black cats are awesome 😺

  • @madhounddog04

    @madhounddog04

    Жыл бұрын

    Yes, with bar b que sauce. Awesome!!!

  • @omarn1946
    @omarn1946 Жыл бұрын

    I'm trying to learn English by my own and the word Swan bringed me here, lol- great-. By the way, a real Alien contac will be a Black Swan, a White Swan or a Rhino?

  • @EllisJ16

    @EllisJ16

    Жыл бұрын

    i say rhino because there is documented proof of ufos

  • @azuresonic69

    @azuresonic69

    Жыл бұрын

    @EllisJ16 not of alien's. Just of things you can't identify, unless you have a brain. Then you know it isn't an alien from outer space.

  • @claudeyaz
    @claudeyaz Жыл бұрын

    I hope this Shinzo abe shooting won't cause a domino effect. So sad

  • @derlerner8378
    @derlerner83782 жыл бұрын

    cheers to all the daffy ducks out there!

  • @mitchellfromAustralia
    @mitchellfromAustralia2 жыл бұрын

    The Black Swan is the number 1 Globe killer

  • @ToxicVaccines_HivHoax
    @ToxicVaccines_HivHoax2 жыл бұрын

    I'll believe all this when I see a green horse.

  • @Evadooker

    @Evadooker

    2 жыл бұрын

    Do sea horses count?

  • @ToxicVaccines_HivHoax

    @ToxicVaccines_HivHoax

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Evadooker - Nah. The only other acceptable alternative are flying pigs.

  • @hamoalblo513

    @hamoalblo513

    2 жыл бұрын

    Do you believe Jesus is coming to erase EVERYTHING from the face of the earth? Except his people 😁🤜🏼🌍

  • @ToxicVaccines_HivHoax

    @ToxicVaccines_HivHoax

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@hamoalblo513 - are u a bot?

  • @teqialinda44
    @teqialinda442 ай бұрын

    Who’s is here after the Baltimore bridge collapse 👀

  • @Weidjeep
    @Weidjeep Жыл бұрын

    It can also be a grift by the governments of the world.

  • @Matt-to1bi
    @Matt-to1bi Жыл бұрын

    The uneven trim of you bear gives me anxiety yes I am weird

  • @GuyFauwx
    @GuyFauwx2 жыл бұрын

    the video is good, but man you need a better camera (or more light)

  • @marthak1618

    @marthak1618

    2 жыл бұрын

    I got a major uncanny valley vibe. Not sure it was actually him.

  • @PogieJoe

    @PogieJoe

    2 жыл бұрын

    I think the color was just a little over-saturated.

  • @GuyFauwx

    @GuyFauwx

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@PogieJoe nope, that‘s what a high ISO looks like after compression.

  • @PedanticAntics
    @PedanticAntics2 жыл бұрын

    TIL life is a psychedelic zoo

  • @WaschyNumber1
    @WaschyNumber1 Жыл бұрын

    This days storms ect are man made with weather manipulation mashines and chemicals.

  • @jerryr.6908
    @jerryr.69082 ай бұрын

    Back swan = premeditated?

  • @davidicke4451
    @davidicke44512 жыл бұрын

    Prepare for the coming black swan event: kzread.info/dash/bejne/ep1skqN6oLS6gMo.html

  • @vidividivicious
    @vidividivicious2 жыл бұрын

    Nah, the economic crises are a norm

  • @James-fg1el
    @James-fg1el Жыл бұрын

    Will that be a grey swan when the Antichrist appears or a gray swan when Jesus returns? That's interesting No smart ass answers I'm f serious..(ノ`Д´)ノ彡┻━┻

  • @jasonring5231
    @jasonring52312 жыл бұрын

    But you never even mentioned rainbow watermelons. People REALLY don't want to know about rainbow watermelons.........

  • @madhounddog04

    @madhounddog04

    Жыл бұрын

    Or a straight pride event

  • @panthergal7399
    @panthergal7399 Жыл бұрын

    Well hopefully the Rapture will be our Black Swan event

  • @briangarrow448
    @briangarrow4482 жыл бұрын

    So Tom Brady’s career would be a …

  • @caynebyron
    @caynebyron2 жыл бұрын

    That mark on the wall is so annoying

  • @moosestubbings1853

    @moosestubbings1853

    2 ай бұрын

    Clean your screen lol!😂

  • @beerasaurus
    @beerasaurus2 жыл бұрын

    HONK

  • @StarlightJosh
    @StarlightJosh2 жыл бұрын

    One direction reunion Is a grey swan event

  • @DgurlSunshine
    @DgurlSunshine2 жыл бұрын

    eat the ‘Black Swan Event’

  • @woahssk2032
    @woahssk20322 жыл бұрын

    Came here from Mach hommy

  • @karenmckenzie5931
    @karenmckenzie59312 жыл бұрын

    Let's see how long my comments stay before they are removed by algorithms.

  • @joshuaamado559

    @joshuaamado559

    3 ай бұрын

    Ur pp is smal

  • @Melo-rt3zk
    @Melo-rt3zk3 ай бұрын

    What is the plan how did they know?