WHAT ARE THE ODDS OF CS2 CASES? (REVEALED BY VALVE)

Ойындар

Finally the real case stats are revealed by Valve. Thank you Skinsmonkey for sponsoring: skinsmonkey.com/r/ANOMALY3

Пікірлер: 298

  • @Anomaly
    @Anomaly2 ай бұрын

    Wow, seeing this makes me not want to open cases anymore...

  • @Anomaly3

    @Anomaly3

    2 ай бұрын

    Classic Anomaly schizoposting on his own video 💀💀💀💀

  • @yahyatoor1724

    @yahyatoor1724

    2 ай бұрын

    @@Anomaly3 true

  • @honzakraner

    @honzakraner

    2 ай бұрын

    we are lucky that you are addicted 💀

  • @wh7eface3bg60

    @wh7eface3bg60

    2 ай бұрын

    and in 2 days you are going to open 2million cases in one video

  • @altboat6573

    @altboat6573

    2 ай бұрын

    @@Anomaly3 how did you reply to this 8 minutes before it was posted?

  • @eggegg6101
    @eggegg61012 ай бұрын

    did you know opening a stattrack red is rarer than a knife? 🤓

  • @katarow23

    @katarow23

    2 ай бұрын

    What? Opening a stattrak red is rarer than a knife? whaaaaaaaat???? I didn't knew a stattrak red is rarer than a knife... Probably a stattrak red is really rarer than a knife.

  • @LuxmSport

    @LuxmSport

    2 ай бұрын

    ​@@katarow23but did you know statrack red is rarer than a knife?

  • @gdvitoytbs

    @gdvitoytbs

    2 ай бұрын

    i opened a stattrak red on my 10th case lmao

  • @BlueWafer

    @BlueWafer

    2 ай бұрын

    But did you know stattrak red is rarer than a red?​@@LuxmSport

  • @LuxmSport

    @LuxmSport

    2 ай бұрын

    @@BlueWafer hmm I dontent know but did you know statrack red is superior than a knife?

  • @Aminsx_
    @Aminsx_2 ай бұрын

    The chinese law that requires valve to reveal their chances of getting a skin in a lootbox should be in absolutely every single country

  • @HaxxorElite

    @HaxxorElite

    2 ай бұрын

    China W

  • @Aminsx_

    @Aminsx_

    2 ай бұрын

    @@HaxxorElite very rare

  • @vracaze

    @vracaze

    2 ай бұрын

    @@Aminsx_ rarer than a stattrak red

  • @eyitsjay
    @eyitsjay2 ай бұрын

    the face reveal is real, and its in THIS video of all videos.

  • @Trashcan9999

    @Trashcan9999

    2 ай бұрын

    He has revealed it before

  • @Trashcan9999

    @Trashcan9999

    2 ай бұрын

    @@AbsoluteLam he accidentally showed it on stream like a year ago, there are KZread videos for it.

  • @evillp12

    @evillp12

    2 ай бұрын

    that picture was beeing send around for multiple years now, not really much of a reveal at this point

  • @vizionfox

    @vizionfox

    2 ай бұрын

    what timestamp?

  • @cs_kevin

    @cs_kevin

    2 ай бұрын

    ​@@Trashcan9999multiple years ago even. The mask isn't even to hide his face anymore, it's just his character/brand recognizion.

  • @TheSkyNlnja
    @TheSkyNlnja2 ай бұрын

    2:05 yes 6.4% for red

  • @TWASadream123

    @TWASadream123

    2 ай бұрын

    It should be

  • @DefuseKnudsen
    @DefuseKnudsen2 ай бұрын

    "covert red 6.4%" U what mate?

  • @RealUsername64

    @RealUsername64

    2 ай бұрын

    Bro simply can't read

  • @Anomaly

    @Anomaly

    2 ай бұрын

    I just can’t read, the text even says 0.6% 🤣🤣🤣

  • @luke.6885

    @luke.6885

    2 ай бұрын

    can you read how much you weigh

  • @NnLd

    @NnLd

    Ай бұрын

    @@Anomaly what are you doing? impersonating Anomaly 3? How shameful!

  • @kompo5997
    @kompo59972 ай бұрын

    fun fact. by using cumulative distribution you only have 63.3% chance of getting a rare special item in 391 cases which is the average and the following are odds of getting specific amount. 0 36.7055% 1 36.8350% 2 18.4352% 3 6.1352% 4 1.5274% 5 0.3034%

  • @67kingdedede

    @67kingdedede

    2 ай бұрын

    cool visualization

  • @RycoonGalloy
    @RycoonGalloyАй бұрын

    strange, i remember that, in the files, there being different odds/rarities of kins of the same tier, which is why there are so many more mp7 skulls and aug wings from the weapon case 1 compared to the other blues. Also why black pearl is so rare, it has "ancient" rarity, while other knives have "legendary" or "mythical" (or names like that, i cant remember exactly)

  • @notgamer9312
    @notgamer93122 ай бұрын

    what are the odds of anomaly losing weight??

  • @TR-Thresh

    @TR-Thresh

    2 ай бұрын

    1 in never

  • @UNUSUALstrangeVINTAGEgenuine

    @UNUSUALstrangeVINTAGEgenuine

    2 ай бұрын

    1 in the mc donalds menu

  • @k44killer52

    @k44killer52

    Ай бұрын

    Yes

  • @Miamove
    @Miamove2 ай бұрын

    What are odds of you going to gym ;(.

  • @greyscatsb

    @greyscatsb

    2 ай бұрын

    shawty you lookin fine asfff

  • @Radoslaw_Ptasinski

    @Radoslaw_Ptasinski

    2 ай бұрын

    ​@@greyscatsbbro

  • @tomgonk

    @tomgonk

    2 ай бұрын

    what are the odds of this being a bot

  • @purplesky135

    @purplesky135

    2 ай бұрын

    ​@@greyscatsbblud is down bad for a bot☠️☠️☠️

  • @swagsta6972

    @swagsta6972

    2 ай бұрын

    @@greyscatsb

  • @AstroGalaxyyy
    @AstroGalaxyyy2 ай бұрын

    2:06 Red is 0.64 not 6.4

  • @swedenisthemotherland3952
    @swedenisthemotherland39522 ай бұрын

    "Stat track red is rarer than a knife" -Pungvreds tjockis Ludde

  • @Exivinty

    @Exivinty

    2 ай бұрын

    De är du rätt i 💀

  • @Fizzyxd
    @Fizzyxd2 ай бұрын

    0:02 You really embraced that picture huh?

  • @justarandomgamer5385
    @justarandomgamer53852 ай бұрын

    The last badge capsule refers to the patch that you can place on agents.

  • @Shade_of_KinG
    @Shade_of_KinG2 ай бұрын

    CS2 skins are so cheap comparing to how much money you need to spend for them by opening cases. I collected amazing blue collection for playing for around $1k on market, and they are all at 0.00 float. Now imagine how much it would cost by opening cases, more than $20k sure.

  • @user-ls3rv8gq3p
    @user-ls3rv8gq3p2 ай бұрын

    OMG 0,0256% is amazingly the same probability of banning cheater by VAC

  • @yoad6577
    @yoad65772 ай бұрын

    but are we sure that the odds for cs2 china are the same as the odds for our cs2?

  • @nbdy3833
    @nbdy38332 ай бұрын

    So getting a purple sticker in a sticker capsule with only blue and purple is literally the same as rolling a 6 with a die

  • @dennisvanranderaad249
    @dennisvanranderaad2492 ай бұрын

    Wrong! odds are 50/50 u get the item u want or u dont

  • @T3LT
    @T3LTАй бұрын

    I opened a Hunstman gamma doppler worth like 700$ on my 7th dream and nightmare case, then on like 20-22 or so I got a butterfly knife lore field tested worth 1650$ at the time, then I opened specialist gloves marble fade worth 950$. Worst part is it was under like 400 cases I got a couple other shitty knives as well but nothing too crazy. But now im addicted lol.

  • @Reyshkh
    @Reyshkh2 ай бұрын

    THAT FACE INTRO THO

  • @carllarsen7361
    @carllarsen73612 ай бұрын

    i get home and see this dude has made 2 new vids. so nice

  • @unekedarlow7839
    @unekedarlow78392 ай бұрын

    Now that I see the %, it's crazy that I opened a single case one night and got a knife. 7 cases opened in total over the years. Guess I got really lucky xD

  • @joshuadavis785
    @joshuadavis7852 ай бұрын

    what about overpass collection, it goes from white to pink, i assume, just about the same as a normal case, but want to check.

  • @Mills_Official
    @Mills_Official2 ай бұрын

    Damn so maybe my cs2 shorts case open clip has incorrect info in it

  • @austinleonard7902
    @austinleonard79022 ай бұрын

    3:01 Do the actual weapon numbers in existence support this even distribution? Sometimes it feels like 1 of the 2 reds is opened in far greater quantity, or 1 of the blues seems to be opened more frequently than others

  • @SkywereProductions
    @SkywereProductions2 ай бұрын

    6.4% for a red is pretty good, thank you Anomaly for financial advice :)

  • @jefferyshanana7083
    @jefferyshanana70832 ай бұрын

    you should upload the %'s document so the community can look at it

  • @Yushe_
    @Yushe_Ай бұрын

    Seeing how close the % of getting a red and getting a knife is insane, I thought the chance of getting a red would be at least above 1%. It makes me actually upset that I got a red because there was a chance that I could've gotten a knife instead with those sorts of odds.

  • @MrMassacre157
    @MrMassacre1572 ай бұрын

    Anomaly como sempre com videos mt bons, agora é so esperar o 1337 copiar kkkkkkkkkkkkkk

  • @yahyatoor1724
    @yahyatoor17242 ай бұрын

    What are odds of you going to gym ;(

  • @rootns
    @rootns2 ай бұрын

    Anyone remember Sparkles opening a factory new suvenir D-lore on second case :D yeah...

  • @grapplix7633
    @grapplix76332 ай бұрын

    12:58 Oh Wildfire That's wild dude

  • @RelatableGamingClips
    @RelatableGamingClips2 ай бұрын

    After watching this and unboxing a fac new, stattrak ursus knife marble fade, I feel even more lucky :0

  • @TonyVirelli
    @TonyVirelli2 ай бұрын

    Top notch video. Doing gods work!

  • @Salkinmusic
    @SalkinmusicАй бұрын

    Me with a history of unboxing knives and gloves with 5-10 cases, pooping on the odds 😂

  • @williamnordgard1977
    @williamnordgard19772 ай бұрын

    dam, i have opened 2 awp fades. this makes me feel kinda lucky

  • @kayruuz
    @kayruuz2 ай бұрын

    that Intros gettin louder and louder

  • @terriegames7951
    @terriegames79512 ай бұрын

    These chances make me wonder why even put the red and pinks at such a low price on the market then? When it's so rare

  • @jR0xas
    @jR0xas2 ай бұрын

    Well actually trying to open a Crown Foil is worse than that because you need a key to open that sticker capsule as well.

  • @user-sp2yu9zt6h
    @user-sp2yu9zt6hАй бұрын

    Based on these figures there is only one or 2 souvenir awp dragon lores left to be opened.

  • @athmaid
    @athmaidАй бұрын

    Anomaly back with the special interest, his spreadsheets lmao

  • @igoris_batonas6922
    @igoris_batonas69222 ай бұрын

    what about souvenirs that go from grey to pink? inferno 2018 for example

  • @Jonas-lg6kz
    @Jonas-lg6kz2 ай бұрын

    What about the odds on the older cases?

  • @flyforthewin
    @flyforthewin2 ай бұрын

    Nice to know i opened 2 reds recently from souvenir packages😅

  • @lukeness
    @lukeness2 ай бұрын

    I believe I’ve opened around 100 cases. Can’t stop now. 1/4 of the way

  • @rudecs
    @rudecs2 ай бұрын

    I just invested in sticker capsule 2 before this video lol. Anomaly calling it really good capsule to open might bring its value up

  • @greyraven9164
    @greyraven91642 ай бұрын

    what about the odds of getting out of active cases drops? like cs case 1 etc.... anyone knows confirmed numbers?

  • @TerrorGamingg
    @TerrorGamingg2 ай бұрын

    Can you do a video on the odds of weekly drops and chance of rare skin/float drops

  • @davidofficiallps5063
    @davidofficiallps50632 ай бұрын

    my first souvenir package hat legitmently a weapon which has a 0.333 to appear and it was factory new wtf

  • @Ciguato
    @CiguatoАй бұрын

    I know someone who got a $330 knife on their second case, she didn’t even buy prime yet 😭😭

  • @larochejaquelein3680
    @larochejaquelein36802 ай бұрын

    Odds of Anomaly hitting the gym: 1 in 400, rarer than a knife

  • @ashootshftw
    @ashootshftw2 ай бұрын

    Everyone's probability is 0.2% for a knife Anomaly's probability is his weight multipled for a knife

  • @Raes96
    @Raes962 ай бұрын

    its funny how low are the chances. it almost looks like in 400 cases, you should get one knife but that is only in case of when you have infinity tries, if you will try infinity time then every 400 (approximately depending on elapsed time) you will get knife but if you open "only" 400, the chance of getting one knife is only 64%. I made this list with chat gtp, i think it is interesting. it shows the chance of getting knife depending on how much you plan to open. terrible numbers :D Number of boxes: 1, Probability: 0.256% Number of boxes: 10, Probability: 2.53% Number of boxes: 20, Probability: 4.99% Number of boxes: 30, Probability: 7.40% Number of boxes: 40, Probability: 9.75% Number of boxes: 50, Probability: 12.03% Number of boxes: 60, Probability: 14.25% Number of boxes: 70, Probability: 16.42% Number of boxes: 80, Probability: 18.52% Number of boxes: 90, Probability: 20.56% Number of boxes: 100, Probability: 22.54% Number of boxes: 110, Probability: 24.47% Number of boxes: 120, Probability: 26.34% Number of boxes: 130, Probability: 28.15% Number of boxes: 140, Probability: 29.91% Number of boxes: 150, Probability: 31.62% Number of boxes: 160, Probability: 33.28% Number of boxes: 170, Probability: 34.88% Number of boxes: 180, Probability: 36.44% Number of boxes: 190, Probability: 37.94% Number of boxes: 200, Probability: 39.40% Number of boxes: 210, Probability: 40.81% Number of boxes: 220, Probability: 42.18% Number of boxes: 230, Probability: 43.51% Number of boxes: 240, Probability: 44.79% Number of boxes: 250, Probability: 46.03% Number of boxes: 260, Probability: 47.23% Number of boxes: 270, Probability: 48.39% Number of boxes: 280, Probability: 49.52% Number of boxes: 290, Probability: 50.61% Number of boxes: 300, Probability: 51.66% Number of boxes: 310, Probability: 52.68% Number of boxes: 320, Probability: 53.66% Number of boxes: 330, Probability: 54.61% Number of boxes: 340, Probability: 55.53% Number of boxes: 350, Probability: 56.41% Number of boxes: 360, Probability: 57.27% Number of boxes: 370, Probability: 58.09% Number of boxes: 380, Probability: 58.89% Number of boxes: 390, Probability: 59.66% Number of boxes: 400, Probability: 64.13%

  • @TheSwiftDJ105
    @TheSwiftDJ1052 ай бұрын

    Ohnepixel: Case odds? 50/50 bru, you either get it or you don't. _Naur, Augggggggg_

  • @boitaco9554
    @boitaco95542 ай бұрын

    that's how I hit the howl pin two times in a row

  • @shimuthedoggo4496
    @shimuthedoggo44962 ай бұрын

    How rare is it to see anomaly hop on ozempic

  • @BeckenPowerPL
    @BeckenPowerPLАй бұрын

    Just opened 100 Copenhagen Challengers and got 76 papers, 19 glitters, 4 holos and 1 gold. Profited 150% thanks to c9 holo and furia holo

  • @awgans2271
    @awgans2271Ай бұрын

    0 in 879... that's the real odds for my knife rn.

  • @mr_saiiko
    @mr_saiiko2 ай бұрын

    This REAL anomaly face is such a funny meme.

  • @foxyy_cs
    @foxyy_cs2 ай бұрын

    So... Enfu capsule is the most profitable sticker capsule. You have 16.12% to get the most expensive sticker in the capsule (Unicorn Holo)

  • @AliYassinToma
    @AliYassinToma2 ай бұрын

    10:00 and i got 1.. after opening 5 capsules.. buts its worth almost nothing for now

  • @yeahboy5744
    @yeahboy57442 ай бұрын

    i opend 430 cases 12minutes ago and now im seeing this i never open cases agen mabye, nah i still gonna open cases

  • @jakethemoss240
    @jakethemoss2402 ай бұрын

    The tie fighter 😂

  • @JohnERico
    @JohnERicoАй бұрын

    While im 8 days late to this video, why are the odds of a souvenir package without reds but a pink, like Overpass not listed at all

  • @Edvardo0
    @Edvardo02 ай бұрын

    2:07 no, coverts are not 6.4%.

  • @Oreoezi
    @Oreoezi2 ай бұрын

    Do pin capsules have the same odds in real life?

  • @LUCKY-jy5nr
    @LUCKY-jy5nr2 ай бұрын

    50/50%.. you get either good or bad drop :D

  • @hardwolf
    @hardwolf2 ай бұрын

    2:55 but if actually the game first roll a number to have the rarity then randomly select a skin from the rarity those number are wrong because you get like .64% to get a red then you have a 50/50 on the outcome. or am i trippin x)

  • @clement3493
    @clement34932 ай бұрын

    Got a Pink in 3 major cases nicee

  • @R1kduv
    @R1kduv2 ай бұрын

    Is there a chance that Pw and normal cs have different odds or no?

  • @Bengr0
    @Bengr02 ай бұрын

    What are the odds of getting a specific rare special item, like Vice Gloves 😅?

  • @rdtyawiratamaXD123
    @rdtyawiratamaXD1232 ай бұрын

    0:00 😂 mosquito be like

  • @mital0s
    @mital0s2 ай бұрын

    I got a back to back gold on 2024 copenhagen INCLUDING the famous LYNN Vision. I guess I got a knife

  • @faisal1860
    @faisal18602 ай бұрын

    I bought a FT .159 eye of horus for 390 only for MW ones to reach that price a month later 🤦🏾‍♂️

  • @KineAbsol

    @KineAbsol

    2 ай бұрын

    ouch, I literally just bought a 0.08x that's flawless with the ingame viewmodel for 350 a few days ago

  • @derfnaf_master8819
    @derfnaf_master88192 ай бұрын

    Well, I unboxed a StatTrak gold 30 cases in soo

  • @mgp9822
    @mgp98222 ай бұрын

    THATS RARER THAN A KNIFE

  • @alieldeen5612
    @alieldeen56122 ай бұрын

    you know what that is? THAT IS RARER THAN A KNIFE

  • @Vandelex
    @Vandelex2 ай бұрын

    Dam 1:390 and I’m on a 1200 case dry streak

  • @user-db2xe2gd5c
    @user-db2xe2gd5cАй бұрын

    hi a little question is the cheater problem is solved in cs2?

  • @Pearlescznt
    @Pearlescznt2 ай бұрын

    "opening 1000 pin packages" video soon?

  • @Schwazzi
    @Schwazzi2 ай бұрын

    Soooo here is my personal experience from opening Cases in CS2 compared to CS:Go: In CS:Go I opened around 500 Cases in 2023 and got 0 Gloves, 2 Knifes (Falchion Gamma Doppler Phase 4 fn and a Falchion Lore ft), around 7 Reds (no ST 😢), around 18-20 Pinks, around 25 Purples and many many Blues! In CS2 I opened around 350 Cases and got 0 Gloves, 0 Knifes, 0 Reds, 4 Pinks (only crap! Best one was a fn P2000 for 12€ 🤮) maybe 10 or 12 Purples and way more than 300 blues!! Its sooo fckn ridicilous, just a fckn Scam! But unfortunately, my degen brain tells me everytime again: This time you'll DEFINATELY get a Gold, its about time! But yeah....still waiting for it! Not even a fckn red, just straight up bullshit everytime!!!

  • @HaxxorElite
    @HaxxorElite2 ай бұрын

    Valve when they release case odds but in Chinese so literally no one in the west could understand it anyways

  • @snaporules871
    @snaporules8712 ай бұрын

    Damn thicca thiccccc anomaly in the beginning had me thicccing 🤣

  • @lexcorp2393
    @lexcorp2393Ай бұрын

    I once opened a worthless 160$ knife from a fracture case

  • @ItsKevin183
    @ItsKevin1832 ай бұрын

    2:05 I wish it actually was 6.4%

  • @justY10
    @justY10Ай бұрын

    I must be the unluckiest one to hit 400 cases opened in a row with zero gold oof(my current no gold is 1000 cases and not opening anymore lol)

  • @bjorn3423
    @bjorn34232 ай бұрын

    intro made me laugh my ass off idk why HAHAH

  • @-dany-3374
    @-dany-33742 ай бұрын

    I opened over 1000 cases with no gold and never again. It's not like in yt that people take out gold every 100 crates.

  • @BicirikBey
    @BicirikBeyАй бұрын

    1:21 The Google translate translated to Turkish lol. And a bit of other languages as well but mostly Turkish.

  • @undercoverjesus9352
    @undercoverjesus93522 ай бұрын

    Anomaly is what a talented gambler is by definition! Keep gambling!!!!

  • @kobe1395
    @kobe13952 ай бұрын

    It’s less than 1/400 I’m happy about that always thought it was 1/400

  • @StreaXcs
    @StreaXcsАй бұрын

    Nice i opened 700+ cases not a single gold... thank you gaben

  • @Pyramid1HP
    @Pyramid1HP2 ай бұрын

    "A covert red is 6.4 percent" - Anomaly

  • @slurken26
    @slurken262 ай бұрын

    2:07 covert red is 6.2%? rofl

  • @BereciQ2137
    @BereciQ21372 ай бұрын

    that intro tho

  • @GenkiGenkay
    @GenkiGenkay2 ай бұрын

    what are the odds of in-game drops?

  • @Sjores87
    @Sjores872 ай бұрын

    2:07 bro said 6.4% when he meant .64%

  • @rlr700
    @rlr7002 ай бұрын

    So ur tellin me instead of getting a field-tested ST Classic knife Urban Masked.... I could have gotten a dragon lore instead :(

  • @44mikk
    @44mikk2 ай бұрын

    2:06 0.64%, not 6.4% mister Anomaly

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