What a Russian assault on Ukraine would look like

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#Russia is at the highest combat readiness in its modern history. About 127,000 Russian troops have gathered near #Ukraine’s borders. #War remains uncertain, but if Russia is preparing for one, this is it.
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Пікірлер: 14 000

  • @CaspianReport
    @CaspianReport2 жыл бұрын

    Go to curiositystream.thld.co/caspian_0122b and use code CASPIAN to save 25% off today, that’s only $14.99 a year. Thanks to Curiosity Stream for sponsoring today’s video

  • @StarKillerSK

    @StarKillerSK

    2 жыл бұрын

    This new type of animation is killer man 🔶🔶 Keep up 🤘🤘🤘

  • @danhandshoe

    @danhandshoe

    2 жыл бұрын

    Please consider joining Nebula. I would love to see your videos on there.

  • @ThePresentation010

    @ThePresentation010

    2 жыл бұрын

    Thank you. Been waiting for you to do a vid on this

  • @antdx316

    @antdx316

    2 жыл бұрын

    Maybe if we all just ignore how broken the world is perhaps it would be normal? It doesn't matter if other countries and people are getting screwed over by the infinite US money pump, they should just be angry quietly , not fight back against the cheating, and earn all that money by being America's slaves.

  • @igbalmammadov9899

    @igbalmammadov9899

    2 жыл бұрын

    Shirvan just threw an atomic bomb in comment section.

  • @harryloo8544
    @harryloo85442 жыл бұрын

    "In war you can only be killed once, but in politics you can die many times over" Great quote.

  • @ChrisJohannsen

    @ChrisJohannsen

    2 жыл бұрын

    Winston Churchill quote, not shirvan

  • @caven7056

    @caven7056

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@ChrisJohannsen he's didn't say it's a quote from shirvan

  • @ChrisJohannsen

    @ChrisJohannsen

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@caven7056 I didn't say he did.

  • @TheTariqibnziyad

    @TheTariqibnziyad

    2 жыл бұрын

    Russia disagrees, they die multiple times in war

  • @davidmorris3981

    @davidmorris3981

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@ChrisJohannsen I think Churchill must have been chanelling Shakespeare "The coward dies many times before his death, but the valient will taste of death but once."

  • @GregCeballos
    @GregCeballos Жыл бұрын

    Shirvan: the Russian forces will go around Chernobyl Russian forces: hold our beer, we're digging trenches in the irradiated soil

  • @dinsel9691

    @dinsel9691

    Жыл бұрын

    😂😂😂😂😂

  • @Artificial-Stupidity

    @Artificial-Stupidity

    Жыл бұрын

    😂

  • @WaleedHiggins
    @WaleedHiggins2 жыл бұрын

    Very clever. I think you gave more thought to the invasion than the Russians did.

  • @Edax_Royeaux

    @Edax_Royeaux

    2 жыл бұрын

    From what I've heard, Russian soldiers were told that driving into Ukraine was part of a military exercise and they were not anticipating being shot at.

  • @Vinzenzx

    @Vinzenzx

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Edax_Royeaux You can't be that naive right?

  • @Vinzenzx

    @Vinzenzx

    2 жыл бұрын

    Dude... it's been more than 1 month how you don't know what was Russia goal? lol

  • @Edax_Royeaux

    @Edax_Royeaux

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Vinzenzx I told you what I heard, I didn't make any judgement or assertion. So please read more carefully and stop throwing around insults so baselessly.

  • @Vinzenzx

    @Vinzenzx

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Edax_Royeaux Being naive is not a insult my friend, sorry if you got ofended by it. If you don't know about what is happening don't go around with "I heard, that this and this and that".

  • @Miragexe
    @Miragexe2 жыл бұрын

    ''They have to go around Chernobyl'' Russia: Wait what?

  • @michaelbennett7561

    @michaelbennett7561

    2 жыл бұрын

    Naw, let's dig trenches and fortifications in the highly radioactive soil instead, that sounds like a better idea.

  • @LiticoBunenditcher

    @LiticoBunenditcher

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@michaelbennett7561 HAHAHAHAH XDD

  • @GLTLegislator

    @GLTLegislator

    2 жыл бұрын

    best comment

  • @warlord4713
    @warlord47132 жыл бұрын

    These map animations look amazing, I see Shirvan is stepping up his game

  • @lorenzzolorenzzo1619

    @lorenzzolorenzzo1619

    2 жыл бұрын

    Just like the russians do :)

  • @slickrick2420

    @slickrick2420

    2 жыл бұрын

    Funding from Turkish govt

  • @GaaraNous

    @GaaraNous

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@slickrick2420 I suspected it too, whether Turkish or even Western media. Cuz animations and editing style's really distinct from his other videos

  • @philippshevliagin9945

    @philippshevliagin9945

    2 жыл бұрын

    Russia is always has red colour on the map 😂

  • @knivesnico8775

    @knivesnico8775

    2 жыл бұрын

    He's escalating

  • @ChRW123
    @ChRW1232 жыл бұрын

    I had to laugh when you mentioned that they would need to avoid the area of Chernobyl. It would have been a reasonable approach if you cared about your peaople yet the Russians decided to dig trenches in the "red forest".

  • @kyle18934

    @kyle18934

    2 жыл бұрын

    nothing like that fine dust to keep ya warm at night

  • @bobs_toys

    @bobs_toys

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@kyle18934 It provides a good source of light as well. Any soldiers who are afraid of the dark had a comforting glow coming from their trench walls.

  • @kyle18934

    @kyle18934

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@bobs_toys nothing like the soft warm glow to help soldires sleep at night

  • @bobs_toys

    @bobs_toys

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@kyle18934 then in the future, Russians will know who the children of Heroes are. "Josef eleven fingers father's a true hero"

  • @kyle18934

    @kyle18934

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@bobs_toys lol that's good 👍

  • @chaost4544
    @chaost45442 жыл бұрын

    Months later... yeah.... CaspianReport is more competent than Russian military commanders.

  • @WanderingYankee

    @WanderingYankee

    2 жыл бұрын

    Hehe, yea: 10:18 "Russians would have to go around the Chernobyl Exclusion Zone".

  • @yomommashaus
    @yomommashaus2 жыл бұрын

    This was very well done. The main difference is that Russia appears to be going straight for Kyiv as a primary objective.

  • @mensrea1251

    @mensrea1251

    2 жыл бұрын

    Phase 1, 2, 3 all at once it seems…

  • @21preend42

    @21preend42

    2 жыл бұрын

    and casualties are way higher for Russians.

  • @A_annoying_rodent

    @A_annoying_rodent

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@21preend42 they are just throwing their men against the ukrainians like it's 1942!

  • @Fyrdman

    @Fyrdman

    2 жыл бұрын

    @J. M. I'm skeptical of those numbers. Even when you ask for Ukr losses, they remain at 130. Which is also unlikely

  • @abaddon6579

    @abaddon6579

    2 жыл бұрын

    @J. M. It's coming from Ukrainian sources and should be taken with a grain of salt, it's war both sides will have propaganda to keep morale high.

  • @sammu
    @sammu2 жыл бұрын

    You were absolutely SPOT ON about Russia wanting a quick victory as we are witnessing now with their version of shock and awe. Also the three pronged approach involving an amphibeous landing as well as an arial angle. Well done as always!

  • @fjames208

    @fjames208

    2 жыл бұрын

    Sucks

  • @centurymemes1208

    @centurymemes1208

    2 жыл бұрын

    apologist gonna flood here and try to talk different topics to not make russia the big baddie

  • @centurymemes1208

    @centurymemes1208

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@daddy_1453 keep deflecting topics commie

  • @person8064

    @person8064

    2 жыл бұрын

    Don't flood this reply section with useless bickering, it's not like it's going to convince anyone over the *internet*.

  • @alphaxbox3728

    @alphaxbox3728

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@daddy_1453 imagine defending Russia. Actually defending the guy who as little as back in 1930 did the same exact fucking think and forced every single native out of the country and slaughtered those who stayed.

  • @scoobiusmaximus9508
    @scoobiusmaximus95082 жыл бұрын

    It's pretty interesting to compare this video to what is actually happening right now. I would say it's like 95% accurate. The main difference is that Russia seems to want to do all 3 phases at the same time and isn't really making quick progress on any of them. They also definitely aren't showing the air power that was expected.

  • @latinamajor

    @latinamajor

    2 жыл бұрын

    Russia can't show their air power, especially in the western half of Ukraine. the russian's can't fly at low altitude without being in range of stinger missiles. If the russian's fly at high altitude, then USA radar planes flying in poland and romania can track them and send targeting information for Ukraines hidden air defense batteries, telling them to turn their systems on at the perfect time. So flying low or high is both risky for russia right now.

  • @MWGScorp

    @MWGScorp

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@aleksei8867 Russians opened fire on their own humanitarian corridors - looks like it's PR and an excuse for domestic support for their push to be paused.

  • @scoobiusmaximus9508

    @scoobiusmaximus9508

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@aleksei8867 the negotiations and "humanitarian stuff" were all shams. Russia has attacked civilians leaving Mariupol every time they tried to leave in compliance with what was negotiated. Russia did not at all slow due to these reasons. I have seen the videos of Russians looting stores and even asking Ukrainians for supplies because of the logistics failures of the Russian military. The relative lack of Russian progress in the invasion is almost entirely because they lack capability.

  • @Apipoulai

    @Apipoulai

    2 жыл бұрын

    They obviously didnt expect to be confronted by so much ant-air weaponry :P kzread.info/dash/bejne/kYt7xcikod27eZc.html

  • @thereita1052

    @thereita1052

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@aleksei8867 doesn't seem they made much progress a week from your reply. The only major city they captured Is cherson and now they are doing even MORE negotiations and humanitarian stuff.

  • @myronalcock4716
    @myronalcock47162 жыл бұрын

    Watched this last nite, now in disbelief as it's unfolding almost exactly as you scripted. Thanks for your work, it is helping process this insanity.

  • @ninaramezani4667

    @ninaramezani4667

    2 жыл бұрын

    Exactly my thought!

  • @davidbesir

    @davidbesir

    2 жыл бұрын

    Same here. Just watched it hours before it started. I cannot believe it and i wish to watch a video about how it will be going. But I'm sure, based on information, nobody can tell how it will be going. too scary.

  • @4partmedia

    @4partmedia

    2 жыл бұрын

    How? This man was calling for weeks upon weeks of Russian movement..... instead they literally pushed in in one day. 🧐

  • @israelbenitezjimenez533

    @israelbenitezjimenez533

    2 жыл бұрын

    almost exactly? it was logical, and Russia did it in a day. Wish peace comes back, NATO should guarantee not expanding on Ukraine for good.

  • @guitarhero0000

    @guitarhero0000

    2 жыл бұрын

    There weren't thousands that died within the first hour. Also, the attacked in the north almost right away.

  • @smoothmiles24
    @smoothmiles242 жыл бұрын

    This phase one analysis is shockingly accurate to what is happening right as we speak... Literally Russia is attacking from Belarus, Transnistria, via the sea, Crimea, and from the east in occupied Ukraine... This is no joke.

  • @ashiqurrahman4584

    @ashiqurrahman4584

    2 жыл бұрын

    Looks like it's finishing all 3 phases at once. Original version of shock and awe though we are yet to see the extent of Ukrainian response..

  • @ColonelBragg

    @ColonelBragg

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@ashiqurrahman4584 I think Ukraine losing is a forgone conclusion at this point

  • @ruffydoge5783

    @ruffydoge5783

    2 жыл бұрын

    only difference I'd say is the fact that he isn't waiting for negotiation, Putin is just attacking everywhere at once

  • @jakuanlhc123

    @jakuanlhc123

    2 жыл бұрын

    Not from Transnistria

  • @aaronhpa

    @aaronhpa

    2 жыл бұрын

    thay are not attacking from Belarus, at least officially

  • @Brahmdagh
    @Brahmdagh2 жыл бұрын

    "They'd have to go around the Chernobyl radiation zone" Holy schitt, they are going to come exactly through there. It's the new Ardennes, I'm telling ya.

  • @Gokaes

    @Gokaes

    2 жыл бұрын

    my first thoughts as well "they think we go around.. no we go through and FAST"

  • @gleqy

    @gleqy

    2 жыл бұрын

    just writing this comment so that i can tell anyone "see, i knew"

  • @Gokaes

    @Gokaes

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@gleqy exactly "we knew"

  • @StuffandThings_

    @StuffandThings_

    2 жыл бұрын

    Especially since Russia has little concern for the safety of its citizens with regards to radiation danger. Hell, they may well do both (around and through) to really catch folks by surprise. The thing is though, since the whole area is so flat, there isn't exactly much geographically advantageous/disadvantageous regions to play around with, just rivers and the exclusion zone. So I really doubt that it will provide a huge advantage. Now also, what about Transnistria? Why would Russia support such an irrelevant entity for so long? I wouldn't be surprised if they made very good use of that region too.

  • @tritium1998

    @tritium1998

    2 жыл бұрын

    They are going to make pop culture depictions of this scenario (more than they already have about Chernobyl), even if it never happens.

  • @sanlouci
    @sanlouci2 жыл бұрын

    When we needed him the most. Master Caspian returns

  • @wp12mv

    @wp12mv

    2 жыл бұрын

    A Caspian Report is never late, nor is it early, it arrives precisely when it means to.

  • @d3r4g45

    @d3r4g45

    2 жыл бұрын

    Russian moutpeace propaganda video.

  • @noobienoobie6358

    @noobienoobie6358

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@d3r4g45 wait how does he support Russia here? Seems unbiased enough for me, he even disclaimed that what he showed was just plans and they will most likely not hold in the event of actual war.

  • @aabens

    @aabens

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@noobienoobie6358 it's pretty clear from this and many other videos of his that he's biased towards Russia.

  • @samuellandos785

    @samuellandos785

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@aabens what a champ

  • @nathanielroberts7077
    @nathanielroberts70772 жыл бұрын

    “Ukraine is no pushover.” Agreed. Four weeks in as of today and this has been an absolute disaster for Russia.

  • @dmy_tro

    @dmy_tro

    2 жыл бұрын

    And a couple of days ago the US agreed to lend lease for Ukraine which will definitely be the end for Russia.

  • @gamer228r

    @gamer228r

    2 жыл бұрын

    80 days and yeah , even more costly for russia

  • @MrHav1k

    @MrHav1k

    Жыл бұрын

    Wait till you see the s**t Russia is in at the 10 month mark 🤣🤣

  • @menna7927

    @menna7927

    Жыл бұрын

    11 months in and russia has lost more than 100K troops, 1800 tanks, their aviation can't go pass the line of contact (when they dare to use it) and Ukraine is aquiring Western MBT's and IFV's. It is worse than a disaster for russia and it's not even the end.

  • @alicelund147
    @alicelund1472 жыл бұрын

    Their plans turned out to be as you predicted with the difference that they didn't do it in phases but all three phases at once. The Odessa move has failed and the other offensives have stalled.

  • @Vinzenzx

    @Vinzenzx

    2 жыл бұрын

    What?

  • @Klemm1988

    @Klemm1988

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Vinzenzx What?

  • @Vinzenzx

    @Vinzenzx

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Klemm1988 ?

  • @alicelund147

    @alicelund147

    2 жыл бұрын

    @Hannibal Sulla You want to murder the people is Odessa as well? Why? That is sick.

  • @rudolfabelin383

    @rudolfabelin383

    2 жыл бұрын

    Very well said. Maybe Putin read to many books on the Blitzkrieg?

  • @fast1nakus
    @fast1nakus2 жыл бұрын

    As a Ukrainian, I do appreciate the coverage of this whole shitstorm, but I kinda have a feeling that it's slowly turns in some kind of miseryporn

  • @Ikbeneengeit

    @Ikbeneengeit

    2 жыл бұрын

    I feel bad for the Ukrainian crisis and I want you to be able to have a good life and some self determination. I don't want dictators to push around democracies. That's why I'm interested. I hope war doesn't happen.

  • @lfx2mlfx2m8

    @lfx2mlfx2m8

    2 жыл бұрын

    does the media milk this like the ronacoaster?

  • @ethanc1121

    @ethanc1121

    2 жыл бұрын

    Well as a more cynical answer, this isn’t really about the Ukrainian people at all. Make no mistake, if this crosses the point of no return, Ukraine will become a battlespace first and humanitarian project a distant, distant third. You could probably replant an entire forest with the pages used to speculate on a US vs Russia conflict- and that’s just in English. The people that are hawkish on this war are chomping at the bit to see those theories and wargames put to the test.

  • @fast1nakus

    @fast1nakus

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@ethanc1121 Oh, I assure you, anyone who knows the history of this piece of land between east and west knows whats going to happen - the same shit that happens every century for the last 600 years. they come, they conquer, they piss off untill the next time. nobody will fight them. nobody in ukraine will even care much, just because not the first time.

  • @davesprivatelounge

    @davesprivatelounge

    2 жыл бұрын

    For the West, war is just something they see on television. Which is why they are always so eager to push for military conflict. It is the poorer classes who will fight the war when it comes down to it anyway.

  • @ALatvian
    @ALatvian2 жыл бұрын

    It's terrifying being in a country where war is a real threat. I wish you luck and peace from Latvia.

  • @unskilled822

    @unskilled822

    2 жыл бұрын

    in my country we were almost at civil war and it was frightening i cannot imagine the feeling of knowing you're gonna be invaded, its surreal like "Am i dreaming all this madness or its truly happening" sort of thing.

  • @korneplodus4605

    @korneplodus4605

    2 жыл бұрын

    Господи да кому вы нужны

  • @krulasfalt

    @krulasfalt

    2 жыл бұрын

    bruh latvia is next

  • @MultiCraftTube

    @MultiCraftTube

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@krulasfalt Latvia is in the EU

  • @MrSniperdude01

    @MrSniperdude01

    2 жыл бұрын

    I'm sorry... Was Latvia not a SSR satellite state ? I ask because if you listen to NATO/Biden, every nation that once belonged to Russia is endangered as Putin's ultimate goal is Rebuild the Soviet Empire !

  • @dhpropertymanagementownerv9167
    @dhpropertymanagementownerv91672 жыл бұрын

    I like the comment about going around the Chernobyl zone but in reality they weren't as smart as you and decided to go into it and dig defensive positions in to the radioactive soil

  • @mubbles1066

    @mubbles1066

    2 жыл бұрын

    100’s of Russians now dying of radiation poisoning in Belarus hospitals because of it as we speak…What a shame

  • @obcane3072

    @obcane3072

    2 жыл бұрын

    Reports are coming out that Russians were using 1985 maps...the year before the accident. Makes you wonder if the soldiers never heard of the accident.

  • @omargj1

    @omargj1

    2 жыл бұрын

    Even there are reporst that Russian soldiers were collecting "irradiated souveniers" from Chernobyl.

  • @hewhohasnoidentity4377

    @hewhohasnoidentity4377

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@obcane3072 the managers at Chernobyl said that they told the Russian soldiers they shouldn't disrupt the soil because it is dangerous and the soldier picked up a handful and asked how it is dangerous. I wouldn't expect low level troops to be very well educated. Even US Army enlisted troops only require a GED. Very few have college degrees. I wouldn't expect many enlisted personnel to know about Chernobyl.

  • @obcane3072

    @obcane3072

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@hewhohasnoidentity4377 I wasn't implying level of intelligence or education. Just age. They are all young 18-25. They weren't even born. So I wouldn't expect them to be aware or make the connection. I would expect their superiors to be aware and try to keep them from harm.

  • @sogerc1
    @sogerc12 жыл бұрын

    Maybe Putin should've watched this video before attacking Ukraine.

  • @AndreyBelenkiy
    @AndreyBelenkiy2 жыл бұрын

    Thanks for this video. I don't know what to think. As a resident of Kyiv, it's a complicated feat to go about daily life while simultaneously planning for the worst. I haven't thought of anything better than getting in my car with my family and driving west if war happens. I think many in the city haven't even planned that far. On the streets, it's as if a parallel reality exists where the threat isn't real. It's not talked about, it isn't felt. It's actively downplayed by the government and ignored by the people. Yes, there are individuals actively planning to resist, some families have probably talked through their potential actions on invasion day. The overwhelming majority however has opted for ignorance due to helplessness. Common wisdom is that "there's nothing we can do". And that thinking leads to a population that, despite the grueling conflict in the Donbass, is not ready for a war. Of course, war might not come, I hope for that and I'm not completely ready either. But the predominant indifference of people around me is even more troubling.

  • @roddbroward9876

    @roddbroward9876

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@cap.deanmarcelwinchester No one cares about Canada's help, Canada is absolutely irrelevant when it comes to international politics. Seek help.

  • @slobodankopanja2506

    @slobodankopanja2506

    2 жыл бұрын

    Russia will not attack unless Ukraine attacks the Donbass...

  • @magiclion

    @magiclion

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@cap.deanmarcelwinchester You support Victor Yanyoukovich the guy who won a fraudulent election and stolen the country's finances ? The majority Ukrainian population are under some American dictatorship ?

  • @magiclion

    @magiclion

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@slobodankopanja2506 Russia has already attacked first multiple times.

  • @dukejivetalker7541

    @dukejivetalker7541

    2 жыл бұрын

    be safe man praying for you.

  • @faganyusifli9039
    @faganyusifli90392 жыл бұрын

    This is so far the best explained scenario about the conflict. Great job Shirvan!

  • @opex9979

    @opex9979

    2 жыл бұрын

    Yeah, Washington doubling down on its propaganda

  • @opex9979

    @opex9979

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Ikabcda still better then Washington teaching literal nazis in Ukraine how to fight

  • @opex9979

    @opex9979

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Ikabcda yeah i agree. Too bad Washington sponsored coup in Ukraine and now Ukrmarcht SS Reich backstabbing, killing and invading its own civilians that decided to leave this Ukrwaffen SS colony and don't dance under murican flute

  • @onlyplaysveigar7241

    @onlyplaysveigar7241

    2 жыл бұрын

    @Volk Aye iTs ThE CIA bRo,!!??

  • @opex9979

    @opex9979

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@onlyplaysveigar7241 I don't know. But im sure its one of the clown agents from Washington

  • @TFreckle
    @TFreckle2 жыл бұрын

    I just rewatched this, and I am shocked and appalled at both your precision, and the ways in which Russia failed spectacularly in speedily conquering southern Ukraine, Kyiv and Kharkiv.

  • @MacTac141

    @MacTac141

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@aleksei8867 We are coming up on 2 weeks in and so far Russia has only managed to capture less defended rural areas and the city of Kherson which is on the smaller side and right by the Crimea peninsula. They’ve lost in the upper thousands of troops meaning they’ve already lost more than the US did in 20 years of Afghanistan AND Iraq combined and they STILL DONT HAVE AIR SUPERIORITY!!! That last one is the hardest to believe all Russia does is brag about its anti air capabilities and yet more and more videos emerge of Ukrainian drones destroying convoys and air defences. Couple that with the fact Ukraine still has some of its airforce it’s unbelievable! As a self proclaimed “Super power” Russia’s performance so far has been pathetic! It took the US 6 days after entering Baghdad to secure it and they only lost 34 troops. Compare that to Russia who have been attacking Kyiv with ground forces since day 1, they’ve already lost hundreds of not thousands doing it and it’s no where near falling! It’s honestly pathetic and hilarious🤣

  • @Misaka_Complex

    @Misaka_Complex

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@aleksei8867 OK Putard shill, sip hard on that copium as Putard loses thousands of soldiers, 2x major generals, dozens of planes including SU34s as the NATO "foreign legions" steps up to defend Ukraine. Keep reading Rusky copium maps which over-exaggerates Putard's gains.

  • @dfgpl

    @dfgpl

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@aleksei8867 I will accept dry facts, please prove him wrong for me.

  • @dfgpl

    @dfgpl

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@aleksei8867 Fair Enough. I think most of your points are a bunch of lies straight from the Kremlin, but I can of course be wrong. So how about we come back here in let's say 3 months? If the situation is substantially different in favor of Russia (Let's say entire territory east of Dnieper River is under Russian control). I will admit that you were right and that I was gullible idiot for believing bullshit in western media. However if it's not the case (Russian controlled territory similar to today or smaller) you will admit the same and accept the fact that Russian Media are full of shit. Deal?

  • @sot11cat

    @sot11cat

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@aleksei8867 Your analysis might have seemed quite sane back then. Can you please reassess development(s) since then?

  • @kcharles8857
    @kcharles88572 жыл бұрын

    Commenting 9 weeks into the invasion, and you got the early stages almost spot on. I don't think anyone could have predicted Ukrainian resilience. You know your stuff man :)

  • @adamkiraly7866
    @adamkiraly78662 жыл бұрын

    Russia wants a quick decisive victory" oh boi where have I heard this one before?

  • @Tony78454

    @Tony78454

    2 жыл бұрын

    Haha I rolled my eyes at the idea "Just a quick war guys"

  • @captainalex157

    @captainalex157

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Tony78454 well be back by christmas!

  • @danielelombardo8196

    @danielelombardo8196

    2 жыл бұрын

    desert storm?

  • @bradsillasen1972

    @bradsillasen1972

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@danielelombardo8196 Thankfully at least one.

  • @markopodganjek845

    @markopodganjek845

    2 жыл бұрын

    Iraq?

  • @vivekkaushik9508
    @vivekkaushik95082 жыл бұрын

    This has got to be THE BEST Caspian Report I have ever seen. The amount of research went into this beyond my guesses. Kudos Srivan.

  • @ArchonLicht

    @ArchonLicht

    2 жыл бұрын

    It's the worst, and amount of research seems to be around 0. Can't even spell the names right, PoltAva => PoltOva... So much research.

  • @kometblitz

    @kometblitz

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@ArchonLicht Poltava is spelled correctly

  • @ArchonLicht

    @ArchonLicht

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@kometblitz Sorry, I meant to say pronounced. But this the least of the problems.

  • @SkywalkerWroc

    @SkywalkerWroc

    2 жыл бұрын

    Hardly so. For anyone familiar with the topic, it's on the level of Daily Mail, including the parroting of the Russian propaganda and various minor nonsensical mistakes.

  • @noobienoobie6358

    @noobienoobie6358

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@SkywalkerWroc Ok then, what did he mess up? Tell us what he said wrong instead of just crying about it. He never claimed that Russia would invade, just what the plans could be IF they did, he even disclaimed that it is just plans and might very well end up differently in the case of war and actual resistance. "including the parroting of the Russian propaganda and various minor nonsensical mistakes." What exactly are you trying to say here?

  • @starfishprime7721
    @starfishprime77212 жыл бұрын

    Going around Chernobyl he says. Man watching this as it’s happening feels like you went back and edited this video, that’s how spot on you are so far

  • @madgavin7568

    @madgavin7568

    2 жыл бұрын

    Indeed the Russian's actually went right through Chernobyl and have beelined straight for the capital Kiev.

  • @juliusnepos6013

    @juliusnepos6013

    2 жыл бұрын

    Yeah

  • @juliusnepos6013

    @juliusnepos6013

    2 жыл бұрын

    Even captuirng the facility itself

  • @omargj1

    @omargj1

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@juliusnepos6013 They even set campaments in the irradiated exclusion zone around Chernobyl. dug trenches, and collected irradiated souvenirs, that level of stupidity is unbeliavable.

  • @horvathsogranfume658
    @horvathsogranfume658 Жыл бұрын

    i watched this video to remember russia used to have tanks

  • @dinsel9691

    @dinsel9691

    Жыл бұрын

    Muahaha😂

  • @rykwon4535

    @rykwon4535

    Жыл бұрын

    ..they still do

  • @horvathsogranfume658

    @horvathsogranfume658

    Жыл бұрын

    @@rykwon4535 i mean tanks that work

  • @G.A.C_Preserve

    @G.A.C_Preserve

    Жыл бұрын

    ​@@rykwon4535 that's like seeing the German bringing back the Tiger 2 to invade Poland and failed

  • @MehdiNakouriTn
    @MehdiNakouriTn2 жыл бұрын

    I'm thinking about the civilians here. We're talking about highly populated regions and cities, like Odessa. The recent conflict in Karabakh between Armenia & Azerbaijan caused a lot of casualties and suffering on both sides. I hope this gets resolved peacefully, or at least surgically avoiding any large scale confrontations.

  • @benjamindavidovichwaals2899

    @benjamindavidovichwaals2899

    2 жыл бұрын

    😂😂😂

  • @stefanhensel8611

    @stefanhensel8611

    2 жыл бұрын

    Russia is not exactly renowned for "surgical" strikes. See Aleppo or Chechnya for examples.

  • @GermanConquistador08

    @GermanConquistador08

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@stefanhensel8611 - Proof of their degeneration as a National State. Their failing is a threat to the World.

  • @vlad22rus

    @vlad22rus

    2 жыл бұрын

    As a person who lived in Odessa, I can say that it is reasonable for Russia to occupy only the south-eastern territories. In fact, there is a lot of local support for Russia, so in case of war, the occupation of such cities may not cause many problems.

  • @korovabozha4963

    @korovabozha4963

    2 жыл бұрын

    @Vapa I think you forget Russia has an entire fleet in the Black Sea and can bombard it both from the coast and aerially… It is a worry.

  • @breadorchopstix5920
    @breadorchopstix59202 жыл бұрын

    The quality of these videos are getting much better. The map animation and quality makes the video much more engaging, keep it up!

  • @opinion4755

    @opinion4755

    2 жыл бұрын

    Moscow is investing in its communication assets!

  • @berkt_9622

    @berkt_9622

    2 жыл бұрын

    any idea how they make those visuals?

  • @breadorchopstix5920

    @breadorchopstix5920

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@berkt_9622 I’m assuming they hired someone…

  • @frankmueller6522

    @frankmueller6522

    2 жыл бұрын

    Go forward, America and Ukraine! Long live the Nato and its allies! Long live freedom! Down with all dictatorships and terrorists all around the world! Best wishes from Germany!

  • @davelafontaine9832

    @davelafontaine9832

    2 жыл бұрын

    Indeed the map animation brings so much depth to the discussion. The use of the globe instead of flat maps and the various points of perspective rather then North up orientation is especially valuable!

  • @RamiShreds
    @RamiShreds Жыл бұрын

    So a year and a half in and Russia hasn't even completed phase 1 😂

  • @295Phoenix
    @295Phoenix2 жыл бұрын

    Holy crap, this guy very accurately predicted what the Russian plan would be like...except that it looks like the Russians combined Phases I and II.

  • @SergeyPRKL

    @SergeyPRKL

    2 жыл бұрын

    And they are taking all of Ukraine, not leavinag anything.

  • @gustavju4686

    @gustavju4686

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@tatfly5779 Think he means taking the whole territory (opposed to just seizing the east).

  • @animeB0y01

    @animeB0y01

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@tatfly5779 Liar - i have seen apartment blocks bombed and civilians hurt or killed. Russia will pay for this aggression one way or another . Count on that

  • @justADeni

    @justADeni

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@tatfly5779 Hahaha sure lmao. Bombing civillians is what RuSSia is doing

  • @naughtyfins6810

    @naughtyfins6810

    2 жыл бұрын

    and III

  • @jimmieavants5085
    @jimmieavants5085 Жыл бұрын

    Dude, since I found this site, I feel more enlightened than ever about the "back story" that is impossible to find anywhere else! I can't thank you enough for the work, research, and potential consequences of that work. I've been looking at your vids as far back as a year and it's amazing how prophetic you have been. Thankya kindly, Jim Avants TEXAS

  • @JFLehr

    @JFLehr

    7 ай бұрын

    me too!

  • @micanikko
    @micanikko2 жыл бұрын

    Oh boy. This video.. idk if it aged like wine or if it aged like milk. Its happening now.

  • @bonziboo7746

    @bonziboo7746

    2 жыл бұрын

    Aged like a fine poison

  • @theuselessdrunk
    @theuselessdrunk2 жыл бұрын

    russians like: you know what? i'm going through radiation zone even harder

  • @Yuki-tw8tj
    @Yuki-tw8tj2 жыл бұрын

    Just want to say I'm so glad Shirvan narrates his videos again. Shirvan, you're the best!

  • @Darkrunn
    @Darkrunn2 жыл бұрын

    Man your map animations are really really great here. Captivating without being too flashy and distracting. Your analysis remains as insightful as always. Good to see this channel growing and improving.

  • @SaladBowlz
    @SaladBowlz2 жыл бұрын

    I feel that you will be a great asset to those of us who are trying to understand this conflict from a far. Thank you for your work, and thank you in advance for the work I'm sure you're doing right now to help bring understanding of this conflict to those of us who do not live in the sphere of influence of the former USSR.

  • @Quixote1818
    @Quixote18182 жыл бұрын

    Reports that Russian troops are landing in Odessa. Looks like you nailed this one so far. Tragic.

  • @dogeyes7261

    @dogeyes7261

    2 жыл бұрын

    As long as the primary casualties are Ukrainian Nazis and their allies then this will be a net benefit for Ukraine.

  • @Babe-jq2sy

    @Babe-jq2sy

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@dogeyes7261 aha are you joking putin isn’t far off a nazi himself also who the fuck does this guy think he is should mind he’s own business

  • @Babe-jq2sy

    @Babe-jq2sy

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@dogeyes7261 it’s no benefit for Ukraine because if the Ukraine’s wanted the bad people gone they would of done it. Also nazis to Russia is when Ukraine banned the russian Language from its parliament after the 2014 invasion

  • @centurymemes1208

    @centurymemes1208

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@dogeyes7261 ok putin apologist

  • @alphaxbox3728

    @alphaxbox3728

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@dogeyes7261 those bases and civilians nazis now? Imagine actually defending an FULL SCALE INVASION with "wahh there were a few neonazis". Actual child.

  • @Dogebro200
    @Dogebro200 Жыл бұрын

    The fact that we overestimated russia is just laughable

  • @roy6907
    @roy69072 жыл бұрын

    I’d imagine in the North, the Russians would push through even the containment zone if it meant outmaneuvering defenses

  • @l.palacio9076

    @l.palacio9076

    2 жыл бұрын

    Its not like the troops would die just by passing by it, radiations levels aren't that high anymore, so I agree

  • @cm275

    @cm275

    2 жыл бұрын

    Soviet AFVs, which the Russians still use, were designed to operate and fight for days in a battlefield contaminated by chemical or nuclear weapons.

  • @bradsillasen1972

    @bradsillasen1972

    2 жыл бұрын

    Good point. I seriously doubt if the Kremlin or even the generals give a damn. Probably true for Ukraine as well so. Edit: Add, the U.S. military doesn't even care so much. ...agent orange for starters, and other toxic situations in middle east. I have to assume there are many others I have never been aware of.

  • @tetraxis3011

    @tetraxis3011

    2 жыл бұрын

    The new Ardennes.

  • @alicorn3924

    @alicorn3924

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@l.palacio9076 Although, they can't set up a long-term base there still.

  • @erlemartincarvalho1733
    @erlemartincarvalho17332 жыл бұрын

    One of the most concise and factual presentation on the possibilities with regard to military moves, consequences and outcome. Kudos! Keep it up.

  • @d3r4g45

    @d3r4g45

    2 жыл бұрын

    it's a russian propaganda video ..

  • @HebrewsElevenTwentyFive

    @HebrewsElevenTwentyFive

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@d3r4g45 Indeed.

  • @geoffreymee7671

    @geoffreymee7671

    2 жыл бұрын

    So what type of invasion would you perefer. After all, Russian troops are not surrounding Ukrania spreading love are they?

  • @M60gunner1971

    @M60gunner1971

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@d3r4g45 Russia can consume the Peanuts from the feces of the baboon.

  • @d3r4g45

    @d3r4g45

    2 жыл бұрын

    Russian moutpeace propaganda video. by Caspian (attack now) Report 5:40

  • @ccauf815
    @ccauf8152 жыл бұрын

    Wow, after a week of war and watching this I’m blown away by the accuracy. You even called Russia advancing to Transnistia, which we see from the leaked picture in Belarus of the invasion plan. Really show the quality of the work here.

  • @dixonhill1108

    @dixonhill1108

    2 жыл бұрын

    Most of this is dictated by the terrain/economy/population centers etc. Kiev is a symbolic/political target while Odessa is the one that actually matters.

  • @AlexandreOliveira1974
    @AlexandreOliveira19742 жыл бұрын

    Nice watching, 2 months after the invasion. The prognostics were accurate, but: 1) Russian military forces were astonishingly incompetent/ unprepared; 2) Ukrainian forces were over-the-edge defending the country in the first days/weeks, and also quite lucky; 3) West's "help" was really fast and effective in providing weapons/ training/ equipment as an indirect "third-party", impossible as it seems. A bit of each make the picture we have now. The only thing didn't mentioned is the sad and coward butcheryness of Russia towards civilians in Ukraine (let alone supposed war crimes, the simple shelling of residential areas is absolute insanity). With the laughable-if-not-despicable justification that Ukraine is a 'neo-nazi', 'genocidal' (what??) nation that must be leveled at any cost... Poor Russian good-willing people, they'll pay high for megalomany and vanity of their powerful ones.

  • @spajkilza1992

    @spajkilza1992

    2 жыл бұрын

    Ukraine right now is probably the biggest stockpile of weapons in a region, except their russian neighbour.

  • @malluk3065

    @malluk3065

    2 жыл бұрын

    @otto Lincoln Keep coping. Russia is incompetent.

  • @Jaqen_Hghar

    @Jaqen_Hghar

    Жыл бұрын

    Have you been living the under the rock when UA has continuously bombed Donbas for last 8 years? Even many w*stern medias covered those.

  • @Jai_BharatMata
    @Jai_BharatMata2 жыл бұрын

    🔴 14:04 *In A WAR... you can be killed only once....* *but in politics you can die many times* That line was Brutal Honesty💙 P.S: Love from India🇮🇳💙

  • @Milos.L

    @Milos.L

    2 жыл бұрын

    yes!!!

  • @ChrisJohannsen

    @ChrisJohannsen

    2 жыл бұрын

    Famous Winston Churchill quote

  • @AtticusHimself

    @AtticusHimself

    2 жыл бұрын

    You're like a woman who gets buttered by trite cliches

  • @TheTariqibnziyad

    @TheTariqibnziyad

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@AtticusHimself Yea xD

  • @TheTariqibnziyad

    @TheTariqibnziyad

    2 жыл бұрын

    Russians die multiple times in war

  • @papitroy
    @papitroy2 жыл бұрын

    I have been checking your page everyday for a week now to hear your take on this matter. Easily my favorite channel for geopolitics.

  • @adambaidoo5385
    @adambaidoo53852 жыл бұрын

    Watched this 3 weeks ago ( just minutes after you released this video) and SHIRVAN you were spot on . I can’t believe this unfolding right under my eyes. Keep up the great work

  • @auritro3903
    @auritro39032 жыл бұрын

    10:19 russia was literally like: "screw this"

  • @sunstorm4436
    @sunstorm44362 жыл бұрын

    But russia is a nuclear-armed state. Nuclear armed states don’t get invaded - just ask North Korea. … So I don’t see what Russia is so worried about. Starting a war with ukraine seems pointless. Even if nato was right next door, no one is going to invade a nuclear-armed russia.

  • @tomgjgj

    @tomgjgj

    2 жыл бұрын

    It's not really about security. It's about being seen as being a big dick superpower.

  • @chuila7234

    @chuila7234

    2 жыл бұрын

    It is a hegemony struggle, and the USA is the one that is declining. Some empires have done a lot of stupid shit to maintain its hold over its sphere of influence. If Ukraine joined NATO, not only does the Russian military undermanned, the plausibility of NATO stationing nuclear weapons in ukraine grows exponentially. We as public can not predict future warfare accurately, but the threat of nukes still give a lot of leverage over the other side.

  • @bbbtttt1064

    @bbbtttt1064

    2 жыл бұрын

    You never know the future and countries have to always prepare for the worst case scenario. If US in the position of Russia they would do the same.

  • @wtfbros5110

    @wtfbros5110

    2 жыл бұрын

    Yeah the entire thing is dumb, thats like Russia putting nuclear missiles on Cub-

  • @andreamusu9224

    @andreamusu9224

    2 жыл бұрын

    Russia perceives Ukraine as a vassal state. The more vassal states you have, the stronger your influence on the world stage. Losing control over Ukraine in 2014 greatly weakened Russia. If they do nothing, they will continue to weaken and decline.

  • @dickson6519
    @dickson65192 жыл бұрын

    We've all been waiting for this one and he delivered again. Great video as always!!

  • @TheFuelInjected
    @TheFuelInjected2 жыл бұрын

    Came here to check how accurate you were. Pretty accurate except Russia executed all 3 phases at once, and went right through the Chernobyl exclusion zone . I believe they did this for 2 reasons, to secure chernobyl as a strategic MAD tool and to guage their military capabilities to execute their 7 days to the River Rhine plan, which is a terrifying thought.

  • @babla69420

    @babla69420

    2 жыл бұрын

    7 days to rhine plan is nothing but the quickest way to decrease global warming

  • @zackr8938

    @zackr8938

    2 жыл бұрын

    What's a MAD tool?

  • @pvtghost117

    @pvtghost117

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@zackr8938 mutually assured destruction, if Ukraine attacks the Russian forces near the Chernobyl plant they risk damaging the plant and releasing radiation on the rest of the country.

  • @TheFuelInjected

    @TheFuelInjected

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@babla69420 That comment terrifies me more than Putin.

  • @yannick4895

    @yannick4895

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@zackr8938 Mutual Assured Destruction , basically dragging the others with you to hell

  • @alfotiosacaramde9631
    @alfotiosacaramde96312 жыл бұрын

    After all this time, as Ukrainian, I seeing this video. And I just can't stop laughing! 🤣

  • @tonyevans2967

    @tonyevans2967

    2 жыл бұрын

    Slava Ukraini

  • @gamer228r

    @gamer228r

    2 жыл бұрын

    Друга армія світа вони казали АХХАХАХА , привіт я теж українець

  • @arau8310

    @arau8310

    2 жыл бұрын

    You, your brothers and sisters, parents, grandparents and relatives are heroes. You are teaching the world about love of country, and defense of your way of life. We are praying and pulling for you! Slava Ukraini.

  • @gamer228r

    @gamer228r

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@arau8310 Thank you (im a Ukrainian too)

  • @eliasziad7864

    @eliasziad7864

    2 жыл бұрын

    Slava Rossii

  • @Darwinsown
    @Darwinsown2 жыл бұрын

    You must be a time traveler. This video is so accurate. Well done.

  • @juliusnepos6013

    @juliusnepos6013

    2 жыл бұрын

    Indeed

  • @richardarriaga6271

    @richardarriaga6271

    2 жыл бұрын

    It assumed things for Russia would go much better than they have.

  • @CraftingStudios1337
    @CraftingStudios13372 жыл бұрын

    It's no longer a 'would', lads.

  • @brettfafata3017
    @brettfafata30172 жыл бұрын

    Who's here after it happened?

  • @georgechristiansen6785
    @georgechristiansen67857 ай бұрын

    This aged badly.

  • @DweeD1516
    @DweeD15162 жыл бұрын

    Wow what a great video. WAY better than any of these mainstream media sources or video reports I have seen all over from many different media organizations. One hundred times better and also just overall the best explanation so far on the Ukraine/Russia situation. Good work man and thanks for it!

  • @bradsillasen1972
    @bradsillasen19722 жыл бұрын

    I've been paying a lot of attention to the news, but this production offered tons of new information. Great job! The volume of quality material Caspian Report generates is impressive. If you can say, I'd like to know, how many people on your team?

  • @TheGrindcorps

    @TheGrindcorps

    2 жыл бұрын

    It’s not surprising considering they have been lying to Russia about NATO expansion for 30 years. Not sure they would have given up all their satellite states in CCCP if US and NATO said they were going to try to expand into every single former Soviet and Warsaw pact state. Actually I’m sire they wouldn’t. Shouldn’t have been so dishonest for 30 years.

  • @orepurifier

    @orepurifier

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@TheGrindcorps yea. Theyve pretty much backed the bear into a corner and left it with no other choice than to fight back. Western arrogance and hypocrisy yet again leads to another war.

  • @K1ddkanuck

    @K1ddkanuck

    2 жыл бұрын

    I've been wondering the same thing. If Shirvan does all of this himself, man, what a boss.

  • @icmull

    @icmull

    2 жыл бұрын

    You dont really need to watch the bews if you understand the geopolitics. I find watching this ans reading geopolitics whenever news is discussed I understand it better than those who watch the news.

  • @questerperipatetic4861

    @questerperipatetic4861

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@TheGrindcorps NATO has never expanded. Not once. An expansion implies moving in and taking over, like the Russians did in Crimea. On the contrary, all the newer NATO allies begged to join. Why? Ask ANY citizen whose country borders Russia about history.

  • @linden7362
    @linden73622 жыл бұрын

    Now that this has become reality, we get to watch it play out in real time. I'm a fan of irony, and I keep thinking of an infamous quote in history: "We have only to kick in the door and the whole rotten structure will come crashing down." ... I haven't seen a tactical mistake this big since my bullfrog, Smacky, choked to death trying to swallow a bird. Poor, stupid Smacky.

  • @c128stuff

    @c128stuff

    2 жыл бұрын

    No battle plan survives first contact with the enemy.

  • @Edax_Royeaux

    @Edax_Royeaux

    2 жыл бұрын

    Turns out Russia was the sick man of Europe all along.

  • @headoverheels88

    @headoverheels88

    2 жыл бұрын

    RIP Smacky :( No RIP Moskva, Russia's most advanced, biggest battleship that was just sunk by two Ukranian land missles. Sad!

  • @Edax_Royeaux

    @Edax_Royeaux

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@headoverheels88 On the 110 anniversary of the Titanic no less!

  • @headoverheels88

    @headoverheels88

    2 жыл бұрын

    ​@@Edax_Royeaux History may not always repeat, but by god does it know how to rhyme.

  • @postyoda1623
    @postyoda16232 жыл бұрын

    Russia took Chernobyl, moving equipment through Crimea and started the move from east (Lugansk and Donetsk). True analysis word for word.

  • @PissMenn

    @PissMenn

    2 жыл бұрын

    Putin perhaps already watched this video

  • @wexer82
    @wexer822 жыл бұрын

    I want to compliment you for the ever-increasing value of your production; the extra work is noticeable and appreciated.

  • @poultryfornicator4412

    @poultryfornicator4412

    2 жыл бұрын

    KZread needs more comments like this. 👍🏼

  • @zeblanmaidaynovich796

    @zeblanmaidaynovich796

    2 жыл бұрын

    Everything already happened 7 years ago that's why Russia win over the west and neonazi ukraine when Crimea and Donbas whole part of east Ukraine is pro-Russian 😂😃😆to bad many western trolls on YT are brainless and got no logic to realize that LOL

  • @RuStOlIuM420

    @RuStOlIuM420

    2 жыл бұрын

    (In my gary vee voice) this content has lots of value have you thought about an nft

  • @poultryfornicator4412

    @poultryfornicator4412

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@zeblanmaidaynovich796 lmao okay bud 🤣

  • @tomwood4746

    @tomwood4746

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@zeblanmaidaynovich796 Putin is the new Hitler and thus you are a neonazi

  • @xkxndwb4991
    @xkxndwb49912 жыл бұрын

    Holy the graphics/graphic motions were good before but you have leveled them up here! It's sooo clean

  • @kma3647

    @kma3647

    2 жыл бұрын

    Caspian Report is better news reporting than literally any major Western news source. Good quality graphics. Long enough format to discuss some of the complexities of an issue beyond the sloganeering you get in a 3-5 min news segment. Generally well-researched, though he occasionally makes mistakes. The comments section being open lets the audience correct those things quickly. Shirvan's insightful and intelligent and sometimes draws interesting and unique conclusions. What can I say? I'm a fan.

  • @Adam-dd5fx

    @Adam-dd5fx

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@kma3647 why are you saying "western news source" I like caspian report more than the western news sources but they are far better than asian, african and eastern european ones

  • @iskabin
    @iskabin2 жыл бұрын

    Pretty sure Putin watched this before invading

  • @abhyudaysarkar5012
    @abhyudaysarkar50122 жыл бұрын

    This has aged well.

  • @0xszander0

    @0xszander0

    2 жыл бұрын

    Unfortunately it did..

  • @abhyudaysarkar5012

    @abhyudaysarkar5012

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@0xszander0 yeah. I was hoping it would not come to it. Putin has lost his mind.

  • @wombats2016
    @wombats20162 жыл бұрын

    Ominous foreboding here... Watched it back in Jan and now watching it unfold almost exactly in real time.

  • @zeratulcraft
    @zeratulcraft2 жыл бұрын

    "A good plan executed violently is better than the perfect plan executed late." Or something like that anyway.

  • @burken123

    @burken123

    2 жыл бұрын

    Patton stuff right there

  • @renaldiroekanto789

    @renaldiroekanto789

    2 жыл бұрын

    you forgot: ~2022. Sun Tzu, Art of War.

  • @kimyeonahchannel

    @kimyeonahchannel

    2 жыл бұрын

    Isn't it "A good plan executed now is better than the perfect plan executed late" ?

  • @Lepocoloco

    @Lepocoloco

    2 жыл бұрын

    Yeah. More like something like that, than that.

  • @crispyglove

    @crispyglove

    2 жыл бұрын

    “A good plan, violently executed now, is better than a perfect plan next week”

  • @mathiasbartl903
    @mathiasbartl9032 жыл бұрын

    Did you just say that a professional military could make 750 miles a day, because that is a blind man talking about colors.

  • @cleanwater2373
    @cleanwater23732 жыл бұрын

    You nailed it! You are predicting every step! Such a great Channel.

  • @jdaniel3068
    @jdaniel30682 жыл бұрын

    I metup in Istanbul with my Turk buddy and we spent a week crossing Ukraine from Lviv to Kharkov in 2019. A beautiful place with strong and proud people. This all just makes me sad.

  • @pomegranatepom1428

    @pomegranatepom1428

    2 жыл бұрын

    Did you target any Armenians or Kurds while you were at it?

  • @GoBIGclan

    @GoBIGclan

    2 жыл бұрын

    Nice, I visited Kiev and Chernobyl before flying into Istanbul to meet with my friend there. I stayed 6 months in Bursa

  • @jdaniel3068

    @jdaniel3068

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@pomegranatepom1428 Yes actually we spent 2 days in Yerevan and had dinner with several Kurds in Turkey. You dont get outside much, eh?

  • @zeblanmaidaynovich796

    @zeblanmaidaynovich796

    2 жыл бұрын

    If some brainless trolls all over YT still dont get it i will explain easy and fast... 7 years ago Russia already win against west and they payroll neonazi puppets ukraine😂😃😆when PRO-Donbas+Crimea come back home to Russian soil😂😃😆But the most funny thing is when the Taliban give weak usa+nato 13 days to run from Afghanistan away LOL

  • @themainten4433

    @themainten4433

    2 жыл бұрын

    Sad why? There’s nothing going to happen this is all bs posturing

  • @billfarlo3366
    @billfarlo33662 жыл бұрын

    you failed to predict russia's incompetency

  • @thegoat5587
    @thegoat55872 жыл бұрын

    As of late April, things didnt go as planned for Russia!

  • @sandwich2473
    @sandwich24732 жыл бұрын

    10:15 Russians: "but what if we _didn't_ 🧐"

  • @matthewshields
    @matthewshields2 жыл бұрын

    In Western Europe, NATO was falling out of fashion as economic ties with Russia have strengthened and Western European states focused on a less US-centric military policy. Ironically if Russia were to invade Ukraine it could reinvigorate support for NATO bringing Western Europe back to the perspective of the United States and Eastern Europe where Russia is seen as a major threat. Edit: There are way more replies than I expected. I'm not saying one side is right or wrong (that's for you to decide), I was just giving some context of NATOs reaction to the current conflict.

  • @sc1338

    @sc1338

    2 жыл бұрын

    Europeans have gotten lax. they also show little gratitude, except for Poland, the Baltic states, and of course our always ally UK.

  • @leonardos2925

    @leonardos2925

    2 жыл бұрын

    Europe being Europe, in that situation they would remember why the USA was so important for their defense in the Cold War, a invasion of Western Europe would lead to war at that time. The current anti-American stance is typical of EU, they try to be the USA (Some want the "United States of Europe") while they're hostile to the USA. It's that genocidal mindset, they want to be you and want you down. They had to unite dozens of countries to imitate the huge market the Americans have.

  • @firstlast8190

    @firstlast8190

    2 жыл бұрын

    US: hey Western Europe, we have gas and weapons over here if ya need it$$$

  • @tgjman98

    @tgjman98

    2 жыл бұрын

    it's already got conversation started in Sweden and Finland about joining NATO

  • @brianpeck4035

    @brianpeck4035

    2 жыл бұрын

    Reinvigoration of NATO is already happening. Similar is happening against China.

  • @MrRaghunandy
    @MrRaghunandy2 жыл бұрын

    Finally , the wait is over, thanks Caspian report for objective and analytical report of the crisis . Love from India 👏

  • @Milos.L

    @Milos.L

    2 жыл бұрын

    I agree 👍

  • @dcinput7645

    @dcinput7645

    2 жыл бұрын

    Disagree. He said Ukraine can get into EU, but it's more likely that Serbia, Moldova, Kosovo, Montenegro or Bosnia would get into EU.... And that's not gonna happened. High corruption.

  • @clawthewonderful1520

    @clawthewonderful1520

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@dcinput7645 the Nato may be corrupt, but isnt it more viable for nations threatened by russian than the weakening EU?

  • @Pietervandebuurt

    @Pietervandebuurt

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@clawthewonderful1520 ??? What do you mean by comparing NATO and EU ? You know almost all EU members are also NATO. So i dont really get the point your trying to make about EU

  • @Pietervandebuurt

    @Pietervandebuurt

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@clawthewonderful1520 Since the EU is also more a economic/political cooperation, and NATO is a military/political cooperation.

  • @kaneki-t
    @kaneki-t2 жыл бұрын

    Congrats dude, your animation has now a live adaptation!

  • @bcvetkov8534
    @bcvetkov85342 жыл бұрын

    Coming back to this video after the actual war broke out. Fucking surreal. Hopefully peace is restored soon.

  • @drychaf
    @drychaf2 жыл бұрын

    1 - Russia flexes muscles to frighten off potential enemies from getting too close. 2 - Russia's neighbours are indeed frightened by this and have to increase defences, including turning to and strengthening Nato. 3 - Russia achieves the result that her neighbours are much more suspiscious of her, much further distanced from her, much more attracted to the west, and much more heavily armed than before. How on earth can this possibly work out well for Russia?

  • @olegbobrovskiy3244

    @olegbobrovskiy3244

    2 жыл бұрын

    Putin is a fool lol, he’s just adept at creating this image of a strongman, cold and calculated leader

  • @Abyss_Cat

    @Abyss_Cat

    2 жыл бұрын

    Putin doesn't care about Russia

  • @Alex-bl6oi

    @Alex-bl6oi

    2 жыл бұрын

    This is exactly what I've been trying to figure out from the beginning. The logic just doesn't add up. It seems like this might have been just one big bluff that blew up in Putin's face. Maybe the bluff was some weird reverse psychological trick to keep the Nord2 pipe moving forward?

  • @flosstycoon9375

    @flosstycoon9375

    2 жыл бұрын

    While not good for Russia per se, it IS good for Putin and his cronies. It finally materializes this mythical, looming, threat of NATO that simply put did not exist prior. It succeeds in strengthening Putin's hand for controlling the domestic population, by giving them an external enemy to project their frustrations at a failing Russian economy instead of directing those frustrations at Putin and his cronies. The irony being, it also succeeds in reminding all NATO members why NATO exists in the first place. Which will undoubtedly end up with increased military budgets and deployments. It's not even hard to imagine Finland and Sweden considering NATO membership, in light of the whole Ukraine fiasco.

  • @darth3911

    @darth3911

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Alex-bl6oi I myself think it was to get one of Russias allies officially recognized by the Ukraine as a independent state.

  • @13Ixidor
    @13Ixidor2 жыл бұрын

    Hey man, officer in the US Mil here. These videos are some of the best open source geostrategic content out there. The editing is tight, the visuals and music complement it well, and I don't have to sit through an hour panel to get to the point. Keep up the great work, you are responsible for a lot of people getting way more aware.

  • @marmitesquire6622

    @marmitesquire6622

    2 жыл бұрын

    glad to see the US military getting only the best strategic advice

  • @dankuser8303

    @dankuser8303

    2 жыл бұрын

    Than you for your service

  • @tilda140

    @tilda140

    2 жыл бұрын

    I think folks on both sides of the aisle come here for real information and not curated propaganda from our respective sides.

  • @M60gunner1971

    @M60gunner1971

    2 жыл бұрын

    Russia can consume vast truckloads of fecal matter.

  • @basedelon

    @basedelon

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@marmitesquire6622 why are you glad the US military get their advice from a KZreadr? Emma and her two moms wasn't enough?

  • @kensearle4451
    @kensearle44512 жыл бұрын

    And, here we are.

  • @nutyyyy
    @nutyyyy2 жыл бұрын

    In the end they didn't even go around the Chernobyl exclusion zone just straight through it.

  • @ytismylife7057
    @ytismylife70572 жыл бұрын

    This aged extremely well.

  • @mcpaintball
    @mcpaintball2 жыл бұрын

    And who would've thought that instead of going around Cherynobyl, they'd go right through and try to set up camp in the middle of it?

  • @markr6273

    @markr6273

    2 жыл бұрын

    they did not try, they succeed to set up camp there!

  • @ThePandafriend

    @ThePandafriend

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@markr6273 And got radiation poisoning in the process...

  • @oo--7714

    @oo--7714

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@ThePandafriend there was no poisoning lol

  • @ThePandafriend

    @ThePandafriend

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@oo--7714 Radiation poisoning is what you get after being exposed to high radiation. In the case of the Russians they literally breathed in radioactive dust. But also the long exposure in general can cause that.

  • @G.A.C_Preserve

    @G.A.C_Preserve

    Жыл бұрын

    @@oo--7714 I'm from the future and yes, They do

  • @vejet
    @vejet2 жыл бұрын

    "A professional military could move across a distance of 750 km in a day or two..." lowut? 👁👄👁 Somebody needs to tell this man about logistics!! 😂

  • @richardarriaga6271

    @richardarriaga6271

    2 жыл бұрын

    Video assumed first-world military logistics, not Scooby van logistics.

  • @silencemeviolateme6076

    @silencemeviolateme6076

    2 жыл бұрын

    Seems logistics isn't a Russian concern.

  • @G.A.C_Preserve

    @G.A.C_Preserve

    Жыл бұрын

    @@richardarriaga6271 US level logistics

  • @pappkop1988
    @pappkop19882 жыл бұрын

    Looks like they skiped some steps today and went straight to phase three...

  • @ssjwes
    @ssjwes2 жыл бұрын

    The moment I heard this start to pop off in the news I knew I could come here and find good information. I've been sharing your videos on Ukraine and other things that are going on in that region with family and friends that ask about it.

  • @MrAlexkyra
    @MrAlexkyra2 жыл бұрын

    I find it hard to sympathize with Russia's 'security concerns' because they never consider what it's like for their neighbours. Seriously, why should the Ukrainians, Estonians, Latvians, Lithuanians, Poles etc have to give up their freedom and sovereignty just because of a paranoid Kremlin? Maybe Putin should ask himself, why do Russia's neighbours seek greater alignment with the West, why do they want to join with NATO? Why do Eastern European countries feel they need protection from Russia? Russia probably could successfully invade large parts of Ukraine, but holding it is another matter. And if they do this, then Ukrainians will hate Russia for several generations, and whatever is left of Ukraine will only be more determined to join with NATO. Finland and Sweden will also join NATO is there's an invasion. Russia will be a pariah state and will have no trade with the EU. I really hope this doesn't happen.

  • @sinoroman

    @sinoroman

    2 жыл бұрын

    it's not paranoia if they're really out to get you

  • @m.damarsr9863

    @m.damarsr9863

    2 жыл бұрын

    its Putin's and his clique's paranoia, not the entirety of Russian people i have full faith that no matter what kind of narratives Kremlin pulls out, the Russian people want what other people in Europe have, some semblance of an accountable government, economic opportunity, and basic rights

  • @user-zj1uf8hs6t

    @user-zj1uf8hs6t

    2 жыл бұрын

    Why should we have sovereignty, we are of the poorest country in Europe. Many go hungry.

  • @matthew504

    @matthew504

    2 жыл бұрын

    Successive Russian governments were explicitly promised secure non-Nato influenced borders, ie. security from American encirclement, and the US has continued to break their promises. Look at how the Americans refuse to honour basic agreements.

  • @MrAlexkyra

    @MrAlexkyra

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@matthew504 I hear this claim repeated over and over again, and yet I've never heard any evidence that Moscow was promised NATO wouldn't expand. And in the end of the day, countries have the right to form their own alliances. Russia has no more right to interfere with the sovereignty of Eastern European countries than the US has to interfere with Latin American countries. Putin calls his ideology 'sovereign democracy' and demands that the West respect Russia's sovereignty, but its a two way street. Putin shows no respect for the sovereignty of Russia's neighbours.

  • @HakaiKaien
    @HakaiKaien2 жыл бұрын

    I'm amaze how accurate this video has been. Thank you

  • @davidpe76
    @davidpe762 жыл бұрын

    The most well balanced perspective I have seen, and this was before the conflict turned hot.

  • @juliusnepos6013

    @juliusnepos6013

    2 жыл бұрын

    Yeah

  • @moulayismail1546
    @moulayismail15462 жыл бұрын

    Giving up its nuclear weapons after the fall of the USSR was ukrain's deadliest mistake.

  • @dragosstanciu9866

    @dragosstanciu9866

    2 жыл бұрын

    Ukraine had no choice. Neither Russia nor NATO could stand to have a nuclear armed Ukraine.

  • @Nathan-Roman

    @Nathan-Roman

    2 жыл бұрын

    then we would have seen this happen 30 years ago

  • @rayeya3138

    @rayeya3138

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@dragosstanciu9866 If Ukraine refused to give up its weapons, what would Russia and NATO have done?

  • @dragosstanciu9866

    @dragosstanciu9866

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@rayeya3138 Impose economic sanctions. Just like in North Korea's case.

  • @ghjkjjghjk4702

    @ghjkjjghjk4702

    2 жыл бұрын

    its not like they got the bomb codes, both the US and Russia wanted their nukes out of it, If it didn't do that there wouldn't be a ukrain to begin with.

  • @DJRYGAR1
    @DJRYGAR12 жыл бұрын

    what the world though: "Russia has to go around Chernobyl" real Russian mindset: "Chernobyl? Boys, let's dig trenches here"

  • @pesco3773
    @pesco37732 жыл бұрын

    Wow so we went straight to Stage 3. What an amazing video, thanks.

  • @FlemmingEgerup
    @FlemmingEgerup2 жыл бұрын

    "Russias would have to around the Chernobyl radiation zone" Russia: "Ha!"

  • @peaceturtleinfinity
    @peaceturtleinfinity2 жыл бұрын

    As an American I’m really interesting in understanding Russia’s POV. This breaks it down in a way that makes a lot of sense…and makes you realize how complicated our world is.

  • @ninjaturtledude999

    @ninjaturtledude999

    2 жыл бұрын

    From UK, I feel a bit bad for Russia's position, it would be hard not to feel encroached on with so many arms going to Ukraine and and an EU so trigger happy with sanctions for Russia. All I know is our gas bill is now very expensive

  • @Yolbosun

    @Yolbosun

    2 жыл бұрын

    Bankers win? China takes all After milley called China And the potatoe left 80 billion in military equipment for taliban Americans borders open Democrats encourage antifa/ blm democrats brown shirts to terrorize Americans …

  • @grrrr2807

    @grrrr2807

    2 жыл бұрын

    I’m United States former Army look how we treated Russia after the Cold War we could of had dialogue instead we expanded NATO and missile defense and continued to poke the bear I don’t blame Russia for this reaction and in their minds historically Kiev is the capital of the Kievan Rus old Russia

  • @lq_12

    @lq_12

    2 жыл бұрын

    It's not so complicated, they feel threatened by NATO neither USA nor NATO are willing to address Russia's security concerns. NATO was born in cold war era and even USSR requested membership but it was denied therefore they created Warsaw pact. USSR ceded from existing but NATO didn't and it participated in Yugoslavia bombing and in Iraq (no weapons of massive destruction were ever found). That's the reason Russia sees it as a threat it not longer is a defensive organization but a offensive. Russia was so anxious about the Iranian Deal because NATO said military equipment in east Europe was to deterre Iran from attacking Europe but when first Deal was made they didn't withdraw the hardware. And from a Latin American pov I can tell you that the rest of American countries don't have freedom to choose their alliance. Historically we have been Washington's back yard and as soon as one country differs from Washington POV is either sanctioned, invaded, has a military cup, change of regimen etc Nor Monroe doctrine nor carrot stick have gone anywhere PSD: not native English speaker sorry for my spelling mistakes

  • @coraltown1

    @coraltown1

    2 жыл бұрын

    It's like understanding Hitler's POV, not so complicated.

  • @Aeyekay0
    @Aeyekay02 жыл бұрын

    This whole situation is wild, there hasn’t been a possible war of this magnitude in decades

  • @potatofuryy

    @potatofuryy

    2 жыл бұрын

    @Sky Mile I don’t think China is going to attack Ukraine but ok

  • @Nazar_Melnyk

    @Nazar_Melnyk

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@potatofuryy it could invade Taiwan... That has a defense agreement with Japan... That itself has similar agreements with USA...

  • @dylanroemmele906

    @dylanroemmele906

    2 жыл бұрын

    It’s sad people are acting so uncivilized and barbaric in this century. This is something you’d expect from dirty Victorian Warmongers, not a civilized superpower.

  • @darth3911

    @darth3911

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@potatofuryy China has border disputes with almost all nations that border it, With that said with what Russias doing it’s a good distraction to invade one of the disputed areas.

  • @potatofuryy

    @potatofuryy

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@darth3911 that is sure is, I'd be worried for Taiwan

  • @PixelsWorkshopVideos
    @PixelsWorkshopVideos2 жыл бұрын

    3 weeks ago you forsaw exactly what happened today! amazing! Good job Shirvan!

  • @jinjunmei
    @jinjunmei2 жыл бұрын

    Came back to rewatch, I can't believe how this is unfolding. Spot on as always!

  • @user-pg4gs2pn4i

    @user-pg4gs2pn4i

    2 жыл бұрын

    Rescue underground. Residents of Kiev are hiding from air attacks in the subway.

  • @DEFENDERNZ
    @DEFENDERNZ2 жыл бұрын

    Shirvan (I hope I spelt that correctly), you're a mine of information, a master wordsmith - and the topics you cover are right on point. I look forward to each and every one of your commentaries knowing that I will never be disappointed. Thank you so much for all the time and effort you obviously put into real-time geopolitical study and research, and also the simple yet unbelievably effective graphics. Best regards from New Zealand, One Well Informed Kiwi.

  • @d3r4g45

    @d3r4g45

    2 жыл бұрын

    its just a Russian moutpeace propaganda video

  • @bernardoohigginsvevo2974

    @bernardoohigginsvevo2974

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@d3r4g45 How so? He seems pretty unbiased to me.

  • @dirtypure2023

    @dirtypure2023

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@d3r4g45 Replying with the same copypasta to every comment doesn't make the copypasta true. The effectiveness of your propaganda efforts is beneath even the pitiful level of the 50¢ Army.

  • @DEFENDERNZ

    @DEFENDERNZ

    2 жыл бұрын

    @ds Possibly, but I'd say it's more likely to be gehhhj or maybe fhhhkjbn. Your call though, who am I to know?

  • @senkawascott
    @senkawascott2 жыл бұрын

    I get much, much better information from your channel than any newspaper I read. I appreciate these in-depth analyses, and the unbiased way they are presented. Please continue!

  • @DC-pk5np

    @DC-pk5np

    2 жыл бұрын

    He is not "unbiased"... He is a very much CNN style "journalist" He is not brining accurate information at all.

  • @theDeathJoy

    @theDeathJoy

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@DC-pk5np scepticism based on what?

  • @DC-pk5np

    @DC-pk5np

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@theDeathJoy Based on many facts. Please, search it for yourself on Google. This guy is just another CNN type of guys. Real analytic or journalist should not take sides...

  • @Clifford_Banes
    @Clifford_Banes2 жыл бұрын

    Watching this almost 3 months in the war and it looks like the russians should have watched it too, it's a far better plan than the mess they did.

  • @ghostisdead5943

    @ghostisdead5943

    2 жыл бұрын

    K armchair general

  • @richardarriaga6271

    @richardarriaga6271

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@ghostisdead5943 Several armchair KZread generals could have told Russia to not occupy nuclear power plants, particularly Chernobyl. Or try to bring tanks into an urban combat zone without infantry support. Or vainly hope to cut off communications when satellite uplinks could keep civilians and military in contact with each other.