I bet most people are watching this video instead doing their work, what a irrational decision.

@rudymanglona9329

8 жыл бұрын

Watching a Ted-Ed video is hardly ever an irrational decision.

@SA3Future

8 жыл бұрын

+MasterXG I'm watching after my last final, of which was related to this video

@SpectrumTheOriginator

8 жыл бұрын

+Josh Reyes +1

@pilarhunter3154

8 жыл бұрын

yes!

@toolwizphotosapp7723

8 жыл бұрын

+MasterXG You are right!

"The intuitive answer may not be the right one after all." ^My brain during an exam.

@Yorick257

4 жыл бұрын

Intuitively 2+2=4, BUUUT IT'S EXAM SO LET'S THINK ABOUT IT AGAIN. Every time -_-

@gavtipor7394

3 жыл бұрын

@@Yorick257 let's jist confirm it with d calculator for once😂😂

@pursuitsoflife.6119

3 жыл бұрын

@@Yorick257 my brain didn't know how to process 5+9. So I used a calculator. Not regretted a bit.

@wannabee9836

3 жыл бұрын

Lol I read this comment right as she was saying it in the video🤣🤣

@NoCommonMeasure

2 жыл бұрын

I suffer from the same thing, I second guess my decisions in exams a lot kzread.info/dash/bejne/qZlq2JmciJPRZJc.html

Irrational decisions go well beyond just the phenomena discussed in this video. Humans are not so much a rational animal as a rationalizing animal. We are very good at coming up with reasons for things that we already want to do.

@nono-mj6rt

8 жыл бұрын

+LagiNaLangAko23 actually I'm aware of this, I first want to do something an then I come up with the reasons behind it.

@hoaha4377

6 жыл бұрын

Physics Videos by Eugene Khutoryansky 7

@vedavyase

5 жыл бұрын

so true

@ershadtantry5774

3 жыл бұрын

YOU are here?😲

@lizzy9883

3 жыл бұрын

omg i should be doing science hw but im watching this lmaoo

for the beginning I chose both guaranteed, after many opened fifa packs I learned that I shouldn't try my chances

@jonathanpaul8790

8 жыл бұрын

+Boca Juniors Lol. Too true. That's me, but with Counter Strike cases.

@profusion7148

8 жыл бұрын

+Jonathan Paul same here,still waiting for that knife to come :) (From CS go cases)

@MedievalGenie

8 жыл бұрын

Same, except most of us didn't open Fifa packs to figure that out!

@TheReddaredevil223

8 жыл бұрын

You don't have personal levels of "chances". It turns out you're irrational after all, based on that explanation.

@jonathanpaul8790

8 жыл бұрын

TheReddaredevil223 No, the original poster is not irrational. He just might make irrational decisions. He still is a rational human.

I enjoyed the examples in this video. I like to think about irrational decisions like optical illusions in that we perceive the situation incorrectly. Just as we can recognize optical illusions by recognizing the patterns, we can also overcome irrational decisions.

@monsieurbernoulli8101

8 жыл бұрын

Check out MindYourDecisions' channel. He makes videos on maths and game theory.

@zadeh79

5 жыл бұрын

Irrational decisions involve trusting our earlier impressions without evaluating them. Contrary to popular misconception, the impressions arent bad things in themselves and are are the root of creative associations. Having those impressions (as intutions) can be invaluable in generating solutions which rationalization itself has no access to. It's best to use all of our mental resources.

@tingal

4 жыл бұрын

He is here!

@klarawings24

2 жыл бұрын

Mind your decisions😁😁

@kieranrollinson8750

Жыл бұрын

LOL!!!!!!! THIS VIDEO JUST STATED THAT I WAS NOT LIKE MOST PEOPLE!!!!!!!! LOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!! :D :D

I wouldn't flip the coin in ether situation, because I will take a sure loss over a possible greater loss any time and I will take a sure gain over a possible greater gain if there is an equal chance of no gain at all. this also explains why I don't understand most pricing today, it's focused on squeezing out more money, rather than having anything to do with the actual product. I am a mouse, safe cheese is good cheese.

@Mathkinz

8 жыл бұрын

same

@BlazingSun46

8 жыл бұрын

+Tristra Gyopsie If the sure gain is 1000 and for flipping a coin there is a 50% chance to get 10000 and 50% chance to get 500, will you still choose the sure gain? taking a sure gain in this scenario would be a irrational decision, wouldn't it? I think we should make a decision base on risk-reward and chance, not the surest way but the most logical way. PS sorry for my English.

@accountNo0

8 жыл бұрын

Cheese is bad for mice, they just eat it to survive.

@tristragyopsie5464

8 жыл бұрын

LOL, True.

@tuononnovainbici

8 жыл бұрын

+BlazingSun46 I agree with you :) There'll never be such choice though :P

i chose to flip on the first one and to not flip on the second lmao

@BRVvideos

8 жыл бұрын

Me too haha

@austin09jj

8 жыл бұрын

+BRVvideos yo

@iyxon

8 жыл бұрын

Ayy, I love your Land of Fairies Nico icon.

@tamaratardos725

8 жыл бұрын

me too lol I was so surprized cuz I thought the was the common choice

@ASOUE

8 жыл бұрын

Me too!

Loss Aversion is a powerful motivator for a great many people. Whenever you are in the position of having to persuade someone, you will often be more effective when you focus your argument on what the other person has to LOSE, rather than something they have to gain.

@deansamv

Жыл бұрын

i am SO gonna use this from now on

@pritamboy9889

Жыл бұрын

Aggred

@BeSmarterFaster

Жыл бұрын

@@deansamv Happy to help. By the way, I checked out your channel. You are a very creative person.

@BeSmarterFaster

Жыл бұрын

@@pritamboy9889 I clicked to see your channel. You have a lot of subscribers despite not having that many videos posted. Impressive.

@deansamv

Жыл бұрын

@@BeSmarterFaster haha thank you :D

“Name a yellow fruit” *orange*

@ind0266

4 жыл бұрын

On the inside

@aimenahmed6792

4 жыл бұрын

Lmfao

@paradox5468

3 жыл бұрын

Lemon

@asterism_698

3 жыл бұрын

@@paradox5468 banana

@paradox5468

3 жыл бұрын

@@asterism_698 i think its yellow.

What about the irrational decision of watching this instead of studying for my exam?

@iquestioneverything3426

8 жыл бұрын

You just do that because your brain knows its more rewarding

@riodeloose3255

8 жыл бұрын

Because it is an irattion choise

@BillyCrash100

8 жыл бұрын

Procrastinating, my friend. We're in the same position.

@aimenahmed6792

4 жыл бұрын

5 stars

@weltschmerzistofthaufig2440

2 жыл бұрын

@@iquestioneverything3426 False, you do it because your brain has adapted to do things that you find more enjoyable, not necessarily rewarding.

TED-ED thanks for breaking it down elementary style. loved it.

@mewtifulmewning

8 жыл бұрын

+1 ditto, my thoughts exactly :)

Reasons of irrational decisions: -Aversion fallacy -Conjunction fallacy -Anchoring effect

@invisible2925

3 жыл бұрын

Thanks

@studywid

2 жыл бұрын

- Gene

@bentrayn

Жыл бұрын

There’s a whole lot more than that

I like that you've used a lot of example tests in this video

Its actually mainly because i cannot calculate all posible outcomes in that short of a time span and just go for the guaranteed option.

@huh968

8 жыл бұрын

+omgfackdehell But there are only three possible outcomes in either situation?

@omgfackdehell

8 жыл бұрын

huh968 Yes, but i'm pretty dumb

@tibimose823

8 жыл бұрын

+omgfackdehell haha, yeah, me too. This video is too accurate

These videos should be watched in all classrooms. Ted-ed is the best teacher I've ever had.😊

@DemRat

8 жыл бұрын

+Jaden Yuki Your hair looks like a Kuriboh.

@txdmsk

8 жыл бұрын

+Nas Matic Tell that to NaturalNews and shit like that :)

I took the ones with no risk, lol.

@connorwaud6134

8 жыл бұрын

Me too and then the narater said if your like most people you chose 500 $ and the the coin flip and I was like no I didnt

@TheKYLEdavid

8 жыл бұрын

+Connor Waud That doesn't mean the narrator is wrong, that just means that you are not one of the "most people"

@evagregersen9354

6 жыл бұрын

I did too!

@91722854

5 жыл бұрын

we have a hard time accepting these, together with other WHY questions that psychology tends to answer, ie to the right of ur youtube page with other suggestions of youtube videos on psychology by TED

@DCBfanboy

4 жыл бұрын

I flipped the coins z times x'))

Daniel Kahneman's "Thinking, Fast and Slow" go more in depth on these matters - a very good read!

I'm so used to calculate the expected value that I didn't care what I chose for the two examples. and for the cubes, I immediately excluded b as it contains a, and c as it is longer than a and is with a more wrong frequency of colours. math is good. quick and correct math is better. replace heuristics with it is even better.

@kavigorana

2 жыл бұрын

very well.... may I ask how were you able to develop these practise of calculating expected value so much that you became better+quicker at it?

don't gamble...working for every cent is frustrating...but the painful experience will also stop you for buying something you don't need.

I have been researching and exploring on the basis of decision making process, the effects like cognitive biases, intuition, probability effects and actual data and facts. I'm shocked by how much wrong and blind we can be in many scenarios.

For the gameshow, i chose to risk the flip on the first round and stick with 500 guaranteed loss on the second. For the dice, i chose B because it had more green dice lol I don't like the idea of not trusting your gut though, i feel like it will lead to indecisiveness and paranoia. I think being able to trust your gut, grow from incorrect choices and learn from your mistakes which then informs your gut decisions later in life is an important skill to hone. Not worrying about what's the most optimal decision for everything.

@stefansauvageonwhat-a-twis1369

Жыл бұрын

hmm Im super into optimisation and I think it's good on it's own but not in most enviroments

@user-mv2ue3kf3u

Жыл бұрын

have chosen same in the first example

Thank u for uploading this video, I love when we have more material available on utube that talks abt cognitive bias... Thinking fast and slow - Daniel Khaneman is a good read

Really appreciate your knowledge Sara Thank you for such a great deep insight👏✨

Beautiful, beautiful animation! Loved it!

I died at 3:45. That scream! 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

@kavigorana

2 жыл бұрын

I was exactly hoping badly to read this comment about the scream!! I loved it too, honestly brought smile in the video haha

0:49 Ted-Ed "If you're like most people" Me: Definitely not.

@Morneisia

4 жыл бұрын

The irony is that if you assume you're not like most people, you are like most people. Most people assume that they are unique.

@ariezon

4 жыл бұрын

@@Morneisia the statement has already been declared thus other who don't choose the same are not most people.

Can we take a moment and give credit to the editor because the person did an amazing job!

This might be one of my favorite videossss

Thanks for summarizing "Thinking Fast and Slow" '

@EmanuelUnge

8 жыл бұрын

+Uncerten I was looking for this. Seen so many videos on KZread that just basically picked 1 or a couple of chapters and made a video.

Great video. We need to teach these to kids. I'm glad TED-ed is stepping up when our education systems fail.

TED-ed never fails to impress me!!!!

This is SO Me! Thanks for the explanation.

Very short recap of Thinking: Fast and Slow

This whole video can be explained simply by people not wanting to take a loss. The outcomes are the same but what you started with is different! more and more the quality of these Ted-Ed videos are becoming more like TedX. It's been a while since I saw any videos of quality now.

@stefansauvageonwhat-a-twis1369

Жыл бұрын

that was the first point

so many time in psychology they say "intuition is always wrong". I am glad to finally have a proper answear.

Informative video! Thanks for giving us dome realizations.

I am colorblind and I could not see for myself the examples you listed :(

Love how they used the flat earth theory as an example for theories easilly able to be proven wrong

I gain new knowledge in this educational video. Thanks Ted Ed.

Very informative, thank you very much!

Next time you are going to make a decision, understand that the intuitive answer might not be the right one especially in situations involving multiple details, numbers or probability. The irrational decisions that you make are a result of ‘heuristics’ (problem-solving approaches based on previous experiences and intuition rather than careful analysis) which is your response to ‘loss aversion’, or people's tendency to prefer avoiding losses to acquiring equivalent gains. However, don’t try to completely block out your brain heuristics because they can be quite effective when there is no time to logically analyze all the possibilities.

When it comes to automatic life-saving decisions, intuition outwits logic every time.

I like this. This was fun to see. What a treat. Subscribed.

I feel like sometimes the very essence of intuitive thinking makes us feel satisfied about the choice we make and for that if the decision is not really affecting anyone negatively i think there's nothing wrong in going ahead with it

I would not have taken either chance in the game show scenario.

Our teacher did an experiment once. We were split into groups with people whose phone numbers ended with 30 and below and those over 30. Seperated from each other we had to guess the value of a book (pretty big one with pictures etc). The first group said it was about 30-35$ worth, the others went over 60$.

excellent video ty

This is basically taken from "Thinking fast and slow" a very good book, give it some credit!

You can read more about cognitive biases, logical fallacies, and heuristics in Daniel Kahneman's spectacular book "Thinking, Fast and Slow".

Honestly I would take the bonus and the loss, because +/-500$ risk for 50% chance only worths it if you have a lot more money than that. It's not just about mathematics and psychology, your financial situation matters too.

@willguggn2

2 жыл бұрын

They specifically chose amounts that aren't life-changing to their average viewer, which would of course change what's rational. (i.e. they wouldn't suffer dire consequences it they only won $1000,- over $1500,-.) It's a different story if for example $500,- decided over whether you can securely feed your children and send them to school or not.

Amazing!

Exactly! It’s like trying to know the brain. Nobody exactly knows how it works,but famous people just guessed how it keeps up all these complex thoughts from a little stickfigure to knowing when to catch a ball

I chose the coin flip in the first round and the bonus in the second round. WTF?

@Chirp-chirp

3 жыл бұрын

OH MY GOD SAME! Btw it's called penalty for the second round sinc ur losing money

i wouldn't flip the coin in either of them xD

@mintyfish5664

5 жыл бұрын

id flip the coin in both.

Tempting........... very tempting.........

Adam Smith wrote about this in his Theory of Moral Sentiments. Other behavioral economic ideas are also found, like "fairness".

i actually choose the opposite

@sn3k131

8 жыл бұрын

Same, I chose the opposite; risk the win and guarantee the lesser loss.

@alaamroue

8 жыл бұрын

Assassin EnderGirl 👍👍👍👍👍👍

@MrDOOlevrai

8 жыл бұрын

+Alaa m were too clever for this world 😂

@kkaur595

7 жыл бұрын

You may be clever, but you might not have noticed that you wrote " were" when you should have actually written " we're". How is that for clever.

@ashtarcommander8450

7 жыл бұрын

Kiran Puri Shut up, loser.

Anyone in Dungeons and Dragons would immediately tell you to play it safe and never roll or flip anything

I got the sequence one right!!!

I love behavioral economics!!

Over the years, I've come to realize that most people behave irationally.

@davidlass8409

8 жыл бұрын

In so far as every person has at least one irrational belief, I agree with you. Beyond that, people are more or less irrational when compared across a variety of different subjects and beliefs.

@jadenyuki6298

8 жыл бұрын

***** Your statement is more accurate. ^_^

“Give me a name beginning with an H” *José*

Another very informative video by Ted Ex

Irrational is acknowledging reality as it is. This video is about logic. People get mistaken between logic and rationality.

I never chose to flip the coin

"Thinking, fast and slow, " By Daniel Kahneman. You're welcome :)

Informative!

great video!

I would take the guaranteed bonus/loss at both times.

Can anyone recommend books or textbooks on the topic? I'm rather familiar with the topic, but I'm interested in how writers go about teaching it.

@maryamahmed4807

8 жыл бұрын

That would be interesting

@andreasbaruhas7565

8 жыл бұрын

+d3st88 Thinking Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman goes into detail about a lot of this stuff (among other things) and is excellently written.

@txdmsk

8 жыл бұрын

Thanks, but already read that. Twice.

Nice advice...

Loss aversion really does make sense from an evolutionary standpoint. Loosing things usually causes more grief than the success from getting them. If you have a car, the ways your life could go wrong are much greater if you lost it than the ways your life could get better with two cars. Sure, having a second car is great- if one of them has something wrong with it, you still have the other one. But if you loose your only car, you can’t get work without public transport.

I'm not like most people. I went with the simple guarantee both times because I know my luck is terrible.

@dishajha815

2 жыл бұрын

same, i also know my luck is terrible, so i played safe both times

Lol being an econ student the first example didn't fool me haha

Gaining something has much less weight cuz earning something or when things come at us we believe we deserve such thing, but when we loss something, we expirience an intense feeling of lack that we think we don't deserve, which is why losing has much more impact than gaining something

I love this

i flipped a coin for both. i guess I don't care because getting $1000 is good enough.

@mintyfish5664

5 жыл бұрын

yea i need a telescope!

I'm curious: How many people chose the third dice sequence?!

@mintyfish5664

5 жыл бұрын

and how many chose A?

@Prudii

4 жыл бұрын

Me cos, there's a way higher chance of getting red than green.

@ianxlevergara5353

3 жыл бұрын

@@Prudii there's actually a more higher chance you'll get green than red

always making interesting videos c:

The Book 'Thinking, Fast and Slow' by Daniel Kahnemann says the same thing. Awesome read.

*falls off Skateboard* Note to self: Skateboards are bad.

How about if I got the exact opposite in the first experiment? *=/*

@56harshvardhanchand65

8 жыл бұрын

Me too

@TheBoagboy

8 жыл бұрын

+abdullah alshudukhi yeah me to XD.

@detectiveshaft9990

8 жыл бұрын

+abdullah alshudukhi It probably means you lot are people who focus on the gains rather than the losses (unlike most people).

@abdullahalshudukhi684

8 жыл бұрын

Detective Shaft Maybe

''Consider that the intuitive answer might not be the right one after all'' I experienced just the opposite in every single test I took

One of the only TED ED vdos which i understood😅

Not crediting Daniel Kahneman on 'Thinking, Fast and Slow' = irrational decision

@YhuMum

8 жыл бұрын

Thinking fast and slow is an excellent book

I'm the opposite of most people, I chose to flip the coin in the first round and take the guaranteed loss in the second.

@davidlewis9635

8 жыл бұрын

idiot

@iulian.m.

8 жыл бұрын

+Nicholas “LB” Braden doesn t matter is a wrong answer , does not make u special

@gradingterminal807

8 жыл бұрын

IMMEDte dissassociating fallacy

@CLBellamey

8 жыл бұрын

+Nicholas “LB” Braden I think it's because she said we had won 1000 from the first round, so at the start of the second you're like 'if I spend 500 I'm still 500 up'. Or that's how I thought of it anyway.

@N....

8 жыл бұрын

Challen Bellamey I'd rather take a loss I know about than risk taking a bigger loss.

0:50 You are EXACTLY wrong.

@sjohbandevos1913

8 жыл бұрын

+infrabread true had the same

@matteoavesani1444

8 жыл бұрын

+sjohban de vos same

@sjohbandevos1913

8 жыл бұрын

And i didnt even think it through i just said it but it is logical

@quarkyquasar893

8 жыл бұрын

+infrabread Lol, Same for me.

@videogyar2

8 жыл бұрын

+infrabread I dont think she is wrong. Psychology is not an exact science, but it describes well known patterns. I'm pretty sure out of the 4possible choices the one described was the most chosen, possibly over 50%. Its just that people who had other choices are more likely to comment it.

Relatable concept for stock market

For me most of the time, my initial decision (intuitive) is often the best so I always end up regretting for picking the other options.... Fml

I appear to be an all-around rational person.

One problem with the game show example is that it does not account for variance in probability, meaning the choices have the same mean but still quite different. You would take the guaranteed bonus in both examples because they have equal means but less variance in outcome, meaning they are less risky.

Good summary for part 2 of the book “Thinking fast and slow” (Daniel Kahneman)

*Did you thought you make your decisions*? I mean decisions are manifestations of your mind right! *What if i tell you that people think they are their mind, but in reality they are not. First of all you did not choose your mind it is molded by your environment ( parents, friends enzz) and you did not choose that either*. Furthermore your mind is made up out of your genetics, ( you did not choose them) So you are actually responding to a mind that is made by your environment and you never had any free will in that. The question that remains is then who and what are you??? Find out who you really are and how life really works. Google *TruthContest read the Present*, it explains the big picture of life in every facet, it will set you free.

@bandthebeast2230

8 жыл бұрын

broo

@TheReddaredevil223

8 жыл бұрын

First time I read something from TheTruthContest spamming assholes and it's actually true.

@MuhammadIqbal-qe5bp

6 жыл бұрын

I agree decision by environment, but I think we can change to do what we want.

@benb7545

6 жыл бұрын

Muhammad Iqbal it's really REALLY hard

@rdmz135

6 жыл бұрын

Ben B its only hard if your spirit is weak, which you can strengthen anyway

Conservatives, take note.

@kattenelvis1778

8 жыл бұрын

Liberals, take note

@ringkunmori

8 жыл бұрын

Everyone take note

@johannes2876

8 жыл бұрын

+Rashad Everyone, take note

@TheFishCostume

8 жыл бұрын

+Rashad Note, take conservatives.

@josueorellana7396

8 жыл бұрын

Conservatives, note take.

This is very powerful, actually. Ridiculously successful companies exploits this weakness.

Man, I wish I had this video when I was studying the Loftus and Palmer car crash experiment.

So really most this video was made up of noticing our behaviors with probability, and then matching these up with scientific terms to make us feel smarter. How fun.

that s why playng poker is so fascinating , cause u learn how probability in conjunction with winning or loosing something works

Good decisions goes well having as much dimensions from the same situation as we can

it's same to Daninel Kahneman's psychology experment in Thinking fast and slow book