Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Up 766%. Is it Still Cheap?

Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has gained over 776% over the last 12 months, outperforming other AI stocks like NVDA and PLTR.
Is SMCI an overpriced bubble stock ready to burst or it is a high quality company that is still selling at an attractive price? Find out how I plan to buy this stock (SMCI) at a 50% discount!
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Adam Khoo is a professional stock investor and options trader and the best-selling author of 16 books including 'Winning the Game of Stocks" and "Profit from the Panic". Thousands of students have profited from his sharp investment insights into the world of stock market investing and trading.
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Пікірлер: 145

  • @randomsh-t917
    @randomsh-t9173 ай бұрын

    My business is within walking distance from super micro. I can get in my car and drive to nvidia in 10 minutes and amd is also near by. Super micro, nvidia, and amd have CEOs from Taiwanese descent. They all have a very close relationship. This is why I think Super micro will not be giving up ground easily. Charlie the Ceo of Super micro runs a very tight ship. No Super fancy corporate HQ. He will make max $$$ for shareholders.

  • @makgconstructionltd6756

    @makgconstructionltd6756

    3 ай бұрын

    Thx for info

  • @kendrickcan3919
    @kendrickcan39193 ай бұрын

    I took your advice and sold a Put option at $600. $2k in the pocket in 2 days.

  • @ibcrypto6139
    @ibcrypto61394 күн бұрын

    I ran into an electrical contractor in SoCal recently. Quite knowledgable on Grid demands. Said: "Biggest consumer of Grid power is A.I. Data Centers.

  • @rangetrader4316
    @rangetrader43163 ай бұрын

    Man, $SMCI is basically an assembly company. Chinese companies can easily beat $SMCI if they can buy AI chips. Dell and HP will announce heavy investment on similar servers if they can get AI chips. The reason why $SMCI has the market share is because Charles can buy Nvidia Chips from Jenson Huang, others can't. Relationship is a moat too.

  • @mlai2546

    @mlai2546

    3 ай бұрын

    No one will buy servers from a chinese company due to security reasons. You never know what info the company is taking from you.

  • @chinchowpowpook

    @chinchowpowpook

    6 күн бұрын

    kzread.info/dash/bejne/jIh40M5whdfPYag.htmlsi=CT0dtbMEkOVyXWN7 careful

  • @ildefonsovilar
    @ildefonsovilar3 ай бұрын

    wow! finaly a real investor made a video about SMCI . Bough the stock at the beginning of December; up over 200%

  • @Thenobelfan
    @Thenobelfan3 ай бұрын

    Excellent analysis - Adam , keeping a watch in Smci - wasn’t sure of their moat

  • @sweetsassy99
    @sweetsassy993 ай бұрын

    Thank you so much for the info, Adam. 👍

  • @fitforlife5142
    @fitforlife51423 ай бұрын

    Could not help but shorted Thursday. Closed on Friday made 100% gain on my calls and 150% on puts. The biggest gain for 2023 and 2024 so far!. I definitely will not buy next week. FOMO climate top forming on Friday open…..patiently wait for my chance. If I miss it so be it.

  • @Brayness

    @Brayness

    3 ай бұрын

    Who wants to buy into a bearish engulfing candle like that

  • @LordBagdanoff

    @LordBagdanoff

    3 ай бұрын

    Yup s obvious shorting was the right call

  • @kailoonooi

    @kailoonooi

    3 ай бұрын

    You j, 9g,😊😊😅

  • @nicolejones4617
    @nicolejones46173 ай бұрын

    Love your work! Thank you. X

  • @yilindai1782
    @yilindai17823 ай бұрын

    First hourly oversold bounce around 750_720 range for a quick day trade next Tuesday, if it opens lower ofc😊

  • @ryanegan4413
    @ryanegan44133 ай бұрын

    Thank you Adam!

  • @quanlenhuoc8180
    @quanlenhuoc81803 ай бұрын

    The moat of SMCI is quite vague, it just a solely data center or hardware company. NVIDA could set up a lot of data center like this but SMCI have to solely buy the GPUs chip from NVIDA! Furthermore, the financial indicator could be cooked easily for small companies like this.

  • @rnegoro1

    @rnegoro1

    3 ай бұрын

    The moat is in nvda. Not smci. Other companies can also make racks.

  • @markthien
    @markthien3 ай бұрын

    Your sound is pretty low Adam. I guess need to amplify it :) Thanks a lot for sharing SMCI this great company !

  • @jattyler
    @jattyler3 ай бұрын

    Your my favorite KZreadr! 😊

  • @dsmith4140
    @dsmith41403 ай бұрын

    Buy buy buy, it’s great to catch a falling knife!

  • @TheGouravshrivastava
    @TheGouravshrivastava3 ай бұрын

    Thanks Adam, can you also make a video over ARM stock?

  • @Ghostinthe90s
    @Ghostinthe90s3 ай бұрын

    What do you think of bitcoin and the ETF Mr. Khoo..?

  • @Thenobelfan
    @Thenobelfan3 ай бұрын

    I missed Smci at 600 , sucks , kept thinking , should I buy or should I not , bought something else to diversify

  • @Brayness
    @Brayness3 ай бұрын

    Why are you looking at the weekly options? The monthly March expiration 600 put only has a $1 bid ask spread while the 3/22 put has a $3.5 spread

  • @itsalex2320
    @itsalex23203 ай бұрын

    First, love your work, Adam!

  • @lt1148
    @lt11483 ай бұрын

    I feel as I should kick myself too for not having the same insight! Watching your video opened my eyes and mind for a better future outlook! Great analysis! All the best! Thank you !

  • @WarriorChampion47
    @WarriorChampion473 ай бұрын

    There’s no moat. Many years ago we buy their servers and priced very cheaply but no tech advancements or anything. Like a large scale Sim Lim Square assembly line. Hardware has no prospects and will be back in the IBM days .

  • @giselleloh2031
    @giselleloh20313 ай бұрын

    Wow ive been hoping for Adam to talk about the SMCI stock & he finally made this video!!!

  • @ahjun2010

    @ahjun2010

    3 ай бұрын

    I was hoping for ISRG, INTU and IDXX

  • @EriPages

    @EriPages

    3 ай бұрын

    You're welcome brother.

  • @LordBagdanoff

    @LordBagdanoff

    3 ай бұрын

    Too late already. Train has left.

  • @PhillipLearnTeach

    @PhillipLearnTeach

    3 ай бұрын

    I think SMCI is still ok but Dell and HPE are also gearing up to expand into SMCI area. Google it

  • @liewnyokmeng9687
    @liewnyokmeng96873 ай бұрын

    SMCI I had bought on the price @ 442

  • @erickbueza
    @erickbueza3 ай бұрын

    19:30 Thanks Adam, I have put SMCI in my watchlist. My indicator says it might still go down.

  • @marcmarcelline6969
    @marcmarcelline69693 ай бұрын

    Hi Adam - Love your content. I was trying to purchase 2 courses, however the discounted price is not appearing on check out. Is there a promotion code to get the discount price stated on the website. I reached out to support but did not hear back.

  • @rajap1578
    @rajap15783 ай бұрын

    Adam, you have always advocated buying the top 1% of companies, this might fit that category right, what made you overlook that decision

  • @roodeehuhh

    @roodeehuhh

    3 ай бұрын

    He said narrow moat

  • @Sevearith
    @Sevearith3 ай бұрын

    You are too good at this

  • @Yesthatisme14
    @Yesthatisme143 ай бұрын

    Adam, can you do valuations with these companies please. If it interest you. SYMBOTIC(SYM), NANO X imaging(NNOX), ARM, RXRX

  • @chiragmehta8212
    @chiragmehta82123 ай бұрын

    Good explanation ty

  • @ibberman
    @ibberman3 ай бұрын

    Darn, my computer I can't quite hear it, and no subtitles.

  • @Siva_S
    @Siva_S3 ай бұрын

    15:50 SMCI is the ony low margin hardware infra co in that list. Others are software, chip design, social media , search companies which are high margin

  • @SG-tz7jj
    @SG-tz7jj3 ай бұрын

    It's a contract manufacturer with no moat it will fall sharply once things are shaky while other AI stocks such as meta and nvidia etc .. are having moat .

  • @UziGameGP

    @UziGameGP

    3 ай бұрын

    Moat moat moat, keep buying only FAANG then.

  • @Thenobelfan

    @Thenobelfan

    3 ай бұрын

    Yes ,I thought the same thing and made the mistake of not buying the stock , but now looking at this video and analysis , looks like other contract manufacturers don’t have the same capability. I will wait for nvidia’s results though , as there is no way this stock is going if Nvidia doesn’t rocket 🚀 up after results

  • @paulinevanderbilt713

    @paulinevanderbilt713

    3 ай бұрын

    What is Moat?

  • @fitforlife5142

    @fitforlife5142

    3 ай бұрын

    As long as show a little weakness, people will go crazy short this things. This thing will drop like a rock.

  • @certifiedfinest5065

    @certifiedfinest5065

    3 ай бұрын

    @@Thenobelfaninvesting in software (NVDA) better than investing in hardware (SMCI)

  • @elbandido69
    @elbandido693 ай бұрын

    Hello Adam Khoo, your audio have been lower in the last videos in comparison with others videos

  • @StoneRunning23
    @StoneRunning233 ай бұрын

    I scream, you scream, everybody screams for ICE CREAM!😂 great analogy, I think the best analysis of smci. Thank you!

  • @hummingbirdx7121
    @hummingbirdx71213 ай бұрын

    Any thought on AAOI supply cable to Data Center?

  • @alexandrual2782
    @alexandrual27823 ай бұрын

    Selling cash sec puts is such a great way to build wealth, but you've got to have some money already, if your option expires in the money at 600$ you better have 60k in your account. I'm sure this isn't an issue for Adam, that's why it makes sense when they say :''making money when you already have money is far easier than making money when you're broke'' lol. Options are great, because you get paid simply to wait for something that most of the times might not happen (like the price drop under a certain level). Love it!

  • @ovidiufrasie4265
    @ovidiufrasie42653 ай бұрын

    Hi Adam. Great video. 😊 Can you have a look at US REITs? YTD the real estate sector is the worst performer sector in the S&P500 + they had a bad 2022 and 2023. Upcoming rates reduction could be an very good catalist. I know your opinion about the tax but if are hold in an tax advantage account maybe make sens to block divident yields higher then 5% for quality REITs as O, MAA, ADC or VICI. Thanks.

  • @carloschu7127

    @carloschu7127

    3 ай бұрын

    I believe Adam told several times, that he doesnt buy US REITS. Because foreigners cant avoid high taxes in REITS. ( Actually, It is suggestable to get a Roth IRA, if you live legally in the US to buy REITs and make the highest gains ).

  • @alantan79
    @alantan793 ай бұрын

    If it is already on WSB, it is already fomo'ed and done

  • @googlytrader
    @googlytrader3 ай бұрын

    Good luck

  • @krishnamurthim1694
    @krishnamurthim16943 ай бұрын

    Hi Adam I would like to start trading. Which platform is good for me to start us stock trading? Hope I can get an answer from you Thanks

  • @nathanjones8417
    @nathanjones84173 ай бұрын

    The drop was only profit taking and healthy for the stock..It went up 18% the day before the drop

  • @Yesthatisme14
    @Yesthatisme143 ай бұрын

    In Adam We Trust

  • @jackcats7092
    @jackcats70923 ай бұрын

    Short squeeze drove it up, commodity company/business beyond this year. 48% growth rate going to fall to more sustained level in year 1-5. Fr to me around 400-500, to much hype now. They caught lightening in bottle this year. Like the analysis just can’t by into growth rate smells like 1999/2000. Ai is real but don’t think this is the place to place bets now. Would have been nice by 2 months ago.

  • @carloschu7127

    @carloschu7127

    3 ай бұрын

    I just saw James Lavish ( The informationist ) web page explaining this was a Gamma squeeze.

  • @tjadd5454
    @tjadd54543 ай бұрын

    Very smart. Getting paid to buy a stock you actually want....wow

  • @youmadbro951
    @youmadbro9513 ай бұрын

    yeah, I had this before the run I'm so sad I sold it.

  • @2023gainer
    @2023gainer3 ай бұрын

    The Tech sector keeps leading the charge in 2024. AI and EV included. SMCI...Over 700 % yr....SOUN..Up 70 % week... SoundHound..FSR .. Fisker. 90 % Dip year. Global investors loading up for Long-term Gains. Thumbs up video/ comment. Thanks

  • @starnightstarlight
    @starnightstarlight3 ай бұрын

    Sora will disrupt adobe?

  • @ducdao3917
    @ducdao39173 ай бұрын

    SMCI will be 1200 soon

  • @TheGogobutt

    @TheGogobutt

    3 ай бұрын

    SMCI=SPY

  • @anitaly7103
    @anitaly71033 ай бұрын

    Why don't you sell put option on this @adam?

  • @iz8437
    @iz84373 ай бұрын

    @Adam Khoo Why are you using 7% CoE as the discount rate in your DCF? Seems low, the beta of this company must be quite high given the volatility of the semiconductor industry

  • @user-bx2ci7ft8g
    @user-bx2ci7ft8g3 ай бұрын

    Can please do some recent macro analysis vid?

  • @mr2d2
    @mr2d25 күн бұрын

    Not enough people talking about SMCI water cooling technology... Adds quite a bit to their moat

  • @HeyHari_m
    @HeyHari_m3 ай бұрын

    Funniest part is how after you made this video many KZread stock wannabes made the same video saying it’s still cheap…but no one talked about this before

  • @narinderkumar389
    @narinderkumar3893 ай бұрын

    UK , Japan in recession is worrying for stock market now?

  • @okano1082
    @okano10823 ай бұрын

    unlike what adam said, the market just breathe in breathe in breathe in and never breathe out

  • @mickeybeavison1053
    @mickeybeavison10533 ай бұрын

    Not a big fan. Seems like a old company that is well positioned, but will have challenges with aggressive competition. 'Super Micro Computer' sounds like a bad 1980's sci-fi movie. Personally I just look at this as a missed opportunity but thats ok. Congrats to those that got in before the takeoff or rode it most the way up.

  • @matthewcheung1582
    @matthewcheung15823 ай бұрын

    instead of talking about this stock . what are someother stocks have this kind of potential right now? anyone?

  • @lovelymmebey1221

    @lovelymmebey1221

    3 ай бұрын

    Right!

  • @LordBagdanoff

    @LordBagdanoff

    3 ай бұрын

    Nope. Correction coming.

  • @Deepzombie
    @Deepzombie3 ай бұрын

    I did not invest at 80$ was waiting for it to go to 60$ before buying. That was quite a mistake…

  • @placeholder23
    @placeholder233 ай бұрын

    Unreal… i would have killed to put 50k on this in the beginning:(

  • @MyContestPix
    @MyContestPix3 ай бұрын

    SMCI will fall below $680 and then a small rally back before dropping slightly below $600 which will be the resistance level. Normally a stock drops to it's base MA which is the 50MA. To shake off the "suckers", hedge funds will push the price close to the 90MA and then buy back in.

  • @certifiedfinest5065

    @certifiedfinest5065

    3 ай бұрын

    Gotta trigger those stop losses

  • @TheGogobutt

    @TheGogobutt

    3 ай бұрын

    Did you hear the news????????????

  • @PeteLePan
    @PeteLePan3 ай бұрын

    AI Server: Dell > HPE > Huawei > SuperMicro > Lenovo > GIGABYTE > Asus >= Wistron / Wiwynn (ODM)

  • @CC-kl4nh
    @CC-kl4nh3 ай бұрын

    I did research on SMcI for ne year ago but did not buy! Kicking myself!

  • @danwang6010
    @danwang60103 ай бұрын

    Sifu, I am the first one !

  • @atilasantos4677
    @atilasantos46773 ай бұрын

    The fact that the market opens on a Tuesday is huge. The market very often reverses on Tuesday, which means (-)(-) = + SMCI is going up boys

  • @Aksm91ManNavar

    @Aksm91ManNavar

    3 ай бұрын

    I accidentally bought before it dropped, so I hope youre right

  • @David-pv6dk

    @David-pv6dk

    3 ай бұрын

    Do you think SMCI will continue to go up or maybe hit the 1000 mark where it was Friday morning before it tanked?

  • @lionheart93
    @lionheart933 ай бұрын

    all hype now

  • @madhavanrao3626
    @madhavanrao36263 ай бұрын

    Please increase audio sound... very low...

  • @midwestcannabis
    @midwestcannabis3 ай бұрын

    🎉❤

  • @tommyz0123
    @tommyz01233 ай бұрын

    "AI racks". 😂😂😂😂😂. I got a bunch for sale if you want some.

  • @Ooi2448
    @Ooi24483 ай бұрын

    Adam, can you talk about MELI , thanks

  • @UziGameGP

    @UziGameGP

    3 ай бұрын

    I'm pretty sure he owns MELI

  • @amitgoel6759
    @amitgoel67593 ай бұрын

    Thanks for your insightful videos which are always helpful, it would be great if you can do similar informative video on $CELH ( Celsius Holdings) which is also growing very fast rate.

  • @pratz17
    @pratz173 ай бұрын

    WAITING FOR SEA LTD ANALYSIS....... PENDING SINCE LONG

  • @threewidenocover9015
    @threewidenocover90153 ай бұрын

    ....who's loading up on BMR ???

  • @MikeJamesLevy
    @MikeJamesLevy3 ай бұрын

    "everyone wants ice cream!"

  • @wavymcfly
    @wavymcfly3 ай бұрын

    AI is all hyped….another tool of the rich.

  • @dg271
    @dg2713 ай бұрын

    That was not a wave, that was a tsunami

  • @morrisville456
    @morrisville4563 ай бұрын

    now Adam you know Honda doesn't break down LOL

  • @persieprince9345
    @persieprince93453 ай бұрын

    I see no moat for this company its still have room to grow because the high Market demand but that's it

  • @lexi4442
    @lexi44423 ай бұрын

    Does anyone know why Adam doesn’t hold Tesla ?

  • @Simo-ho1ml

    @Simo-ho1ml

    3 ай бұрын

    Manufactoring company. High risk of something happening like boeing.

  • @iamzoerya

    @iamzoerya

    3 ай бұрын

    Not only overvalued, tsla has no price power (dropped the price last year) to attract customers, compared to economic Moat companies like Aapl or Msft that can increase the price and customer still buy as they are trapped in companies eco system. Consumer buying also requires finance which is affected by inflation and interest rates. At least those were mentioned in his previous videos

  • @makgconstructionltd6756

    @makgconstructionltd6756

    3 ай бұрын

    Because of Elon ,Once Warren Buffet said invest in a company that even idiot can run ,Elon lousy man tweeting eveyr second .

  • @tehh329

    @tehh329

    3 ай бұрын

    he hates Tesla

  • @NotFinancialAdvice69

    @NotFinancialAdvice69

    3 ай бұрын

    He’s afraid he will get electrocuted if he touches it

  • @simlienghoem412
    @simlienghoem4123 ай бұрын

    Yoo

  • @stanleyler
    @stanleyler3 ай бұрын

    Yeah Adobe under threat 😢

  • @Simo-ho1ml

    @Simo-ho1ml

    3 ай бұрын

    Adobe is one of the stronghest companies in the world. I would not panic too much. Of course monitoring their Moat is a very wise thing to do.

  • @Wk98asP23
    @Wk98asP233 ай бұрын

    Volume is too low.

  • @galaxy905
    @galaxy9053 ай бұрын

    You lost me on selling AI serve solutions. They literally sell motherboards where it can house NVIDIA’s AI chips

  • @salamonshevda5239
    @salamonshevda52393 ай бұрын

    When I shared this in Feb 2 discord, no one was interested and price was around 500 $ :)))

  • @gillyOO7
    @gillyOO73 ай бұрын

    According to current SMCI stock forecast, the value of Super Micro Computer shares will drop by -32.48% and reach $ 542.41 per share by February 22, 2024.

  • @TheGogobutt

    @TheGogobutt

    3 ай бұрын

    Well, that didn't work out so good for your portfolio.

  • @MrSanbonsakura
    @MrSanbonsakura3 ай бұрын

    20:25

  • @venkynakhate5682
    @venkynakhate56823 ай бұрын

    I think maybe dell/hpe should be better picks if they catch the Ai hype. They should be already building servers. I think comparing a one trick pony to Google is laughable. I think you should not be comparing apples to oranges

  • @danielang8391
    @danielang83913 ай бұрын

    Buy 100 shares at 577 each will be 57.7k , are you sure?😅

  • @rolfberntzen8991
    @rolfberntzen89913 ай бұрын

    Ibm must be a competitor?

  • @venkynakhate5682
    @venkynakhate56823 ай бұрын

    Dell /HPE are slow moving companies but they have the technology to build thr AI servers. There is no rocket science here

  • @LordBagdanoff
    @LordBagdanoff3 ай бұрын

    If you are seeing this , it’s too late already 😂😂😂

  • @mikeb5030
    @mikeb50303 ай бұрын

    This literally dumped at intrinsic value

  • @dsmith4140
    @dsmith41403 ай бұрын

    So what

  • @matthewh7767
    @matthewh77673 ай бұрын

    lol it was never cheap or a good stock lol it’s racks

  • @dogelife7901
    @dogelife79013 ай бұрын

    Sounds like a fake stock that a pump and dump would use 😅😊

  • @stuart8219
    @stuart82193 ай бұрын

    It will crash tomorrow

  • @jphone9200
    @jphone92003 ай бұрын

    lol WAY over priced

  • @jnrhmr6830
    @jnrhmr68303 ай бұрын

    Doesn’t agree with you on this one! Not going to buy SMCI $

  • @rangetrader4316
    @rangetrader43163 ай бұрын

    stock price goes up, this company suddenly becomes a good company. everybody buy $SMCI shares and sell puts

  • @truthwillalwaysprevail
    @truthwillalwaysprevail3 ай бұрын

    Take a look at the management of this company before you invest. It is more of hype than a real technology leader or manufacturer. Just curious why don't you sell Put Ratio spread instead of cash secured put if you want to own the shares at your desired stock price? With Put ratio spread you get better price then cash secured put also with put ratio spread you make money when stock goes down as well as fix upside profit no matters how high the stock goes up

  • @fitforlife5142

    @fitforlife5142

    3 ай бұрын

    Totally agreed