Sunak win is highly unlikely | John Curtice analysis
"The likelihood is undoubtedly extremely low”
This is almost a mirror image of the 1997 election suggesting “history stands against Rishi Sunak being able to pull this off” says polling analyst Sir John Curtice.
Polical analyst John Curice says this is 'almost a mirror image'
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Пікірлер: 210
It's not what Sunak has done over his period in charge, it's what the Tories have done since they came to power. Promising everything and we get a railway that no one wanted and the levelling up we never got.No one is better off except a Tory.
@RocketRenton
Ай бұрын
HS2 was a Labour idea, from 2008, the Tories and Lib Dems coalition and then the Tory government carried it on, just another white elephant like the Dome, Olympic Stadium and HS2.
@maxdamagus
Ай бұрын
What do you mean no one is better off... they created a tax threshold whereby people don't even start paying income tax on the first 12k of their earnings. This SPECIFICALLY helps the poorest workers and families in society. It was a monumental decision that put the burden of taxation on higher earners for the benefit of the poorer, after Labour have always taxed everyone, including the lowest paid, to pay for foreigners and bloated bureaucratic nothing jobs in the public sector.
@ImogenWaddington99
Ай бұрын
HS2 should never been built. Massive waste of money. The UK is terrible at big infrastructure.
@BlyatimirPootin
Ай бұрын
@@maxdamagusthey only increased the personal allowance because of the ridiculous inflation we've had since 2010. The pound doesn't go anywhere these days. Had they not increased the allowance the economy probably would have collapsed because no one would have had any disposable income. And let's not forget increasing vat which hits the poorest hardest. Stop coping, tory fan girl.
@sfactory8253
Ай бұрын
@@maxdamagus the 12k was a lib dem policy. Proven by the fact the Tories have frozen it. Having a go at civil servants is the politics of envy.
"History" is against Sunak? Its a damn sight more than just history.
@maxdamagus
Ай бұрын
Look at all these loud people who would say the same whoever was in charge of the Conservatives. Acting like something is new. You're the same people having the same old whine.
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
i wonder how labour would have acted with Covid and slaves of USA in Ukraine.. or Hamas or illegal immigrants
@everTriumph
Ай бұрын
I object to being called 'History'.
@Phaaschh
Ай бұрын
@@everTriumph 😄
@Phaaschh
Ай бұрын
@@anunrealproduction1438 Well, we're going to find out, but don't reckon anyone will be surprised what happens, except maybe the velocity of it. It's like being stuck in a car as it slides on ice towards the cliff edge.
Sunak didn't actually support the Furlough scheme behind the scenes. He has never shown any act of kindness to the country.
@maxdamagus
Ай бұрын
Nonsense.
@luke7708
Ай бұрын
@@maxdamagus okay you believe what you like and vote him back in. You are clearly a dyed-in-the-wool Conservative and beyond facts
@JoolzThePirate
Ай бұрын
Bankrupting the country was a kindness?
@moreplease998
Ай бұрын
@@JoolzThePirate You can't initiate a lockdown and then do nothing to deal with the way companies will just lay off staff to compensate for the massive economic slowdown. Well, you could, but it'd get very bad very fast
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
@@moreplease998 in tough times tough get going.. you can't do everything for everybody.. the problem with our people is that they have become dependent for every need.. they moan at the minutest of thing.. always neglecting the fact that there is only so much money in the kitty". The British Empire is dead.. time to wake up if a future is to be seen on the horizon. This is no longer the age of the namby-pamby (lacking in character or substance : insipid 2 : weak, indecisive.)
He will be off to California, leaving the rest of us to pick up the pieces.
@DavidEdwards-uf5lg
Ай бұрын
Yeah and there'll be plenty more pieces to pick up when slippery starmer and his bunch of no hopers have finished with the country.
@orchidhouse297
28 күн бұрын
No he won't! He's proved how British he is by announcing an election in the rain. Surely he loves Britain more than the English do.
Never been less prouder to be British.
We dont want him anywhere near parliament thankyou
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
why?
@whoisme678
Ай бұрын
@@anunrealproduction1438Maybe because he's like so many other Tories and wants to see everything sold off ? That's a starter. Privatise everything which isn't nailed down. Seems that's where our water has gone because 70% of it was sold to companies outside the UK. Personally, I think the UK needs it's water controlled be the people who have good reason to keep our infrastructure, solid.
@sfactory8253
Ай бұрын
He'll be in California by September.
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
@@sfactory8253 does he share his travel plans with you.. ?
@ryanyoung9202
Ай бұрын
@@sfactory8253 YUP or NEW YORK CITY
Conservatives are doomed.
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
because rats leave from one ship to another
More chance of an alien craft landing in my back garden
I don’t trust both labour and tories
Fyi, the sound wasn't great. Was struggling to make him out. I suspect the issue may have been at his end.
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
what are you wittering about?
@davidmurphy563
Ай бұрын
@@anunrealproduction1438 What about "the sound wasn't great" did you find confusing?
It's not all Sunak's fault. It's Boris, Truss, and most of all Brexit, the Singapore model was never going to work. What a complete bunch of idiots. The last semi-decent prime minister was David Cameron, who followed the ridiculous idea of austerity.
@williamgannaway8183
Ай бұрын
The very idea that Cameron was decent is ludicrous. Austerity killed as many people as the Iraq war did. He almost lost the United Kingdom and then called the Brexit referendum, disappearing once it didn't go how he wanted it to. He left us in a dreadful mess that was made worse by subsequent Prime Ministers.
@SlowhandGreg
Ай бұрын
That's what happens when you follow Ideology not data Osborne is always saying I believe in a small state yet over 14 years we've seen what happens when you lower and defund the social floor the Capitalist ladder stops working for millions
@DavidEdwards-uf5lg
Ай бұрын
Don't worry, when slippery starmer gets into number 10 he'll cure all this country's problems with the money he's going to get hold of when he stops private schools getting any help from the government,lol him and reeves, have spent that money twenty times over, lol.
@tombowman4046
Ай бұрын
@@williamgannaway8183almost like he said before the vote if you vote to leave I won’t be able to take it any further can’t have a democratic society by not allowing the people to vote, they chose Brexit, Cameron said he didn’t like the idea, why should he lead it when he never backed it in the first place
@oitoitoi1
29 күн бұрын
Cameron was just as bad as the rest of the tories. 14 years and they don't have even 1 legislative or economic achievment to point at. Literally everything is worse in the UK than when these crooks came to office.
Here for the comments.. isn’t gaslighting illegal?
I'm sure it would be possible to put poor audio through a filter to improve quality before upload to YT
Rishi spent the day "talking to normal people" I thought he was pretending but actually answering questions from Conservative councillors dressed up
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
and you are normal?
Heard today,mentioning the NHS waiting lists. I am really pleased that politician didn't have to join one of those lists. Thank goodness he's a member of the select few so he can jump any waiting list.
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
i hope Labour increases taxes so that we get a service as we did in the mid 70s.. we could increase wages by twice the rate of inflation.. reduce the bill on education to try and make books balance..
If he thinks he has a chance of staying in he is more delusional than I thought. Cya Sunak 👋
History seen each party come and go. I agree with John.
The sound is very quiet on these videos
You can have any colour tories you like so long as they are either red tories or blue tories.
Turn the sound down and just watch him getting drenched.....
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
why?
Mr Sunak is fully aware the people of this country is not going to vote for him why don’t he step down
@DavidEdwards-uf5lg
Ай бұрын
Yeah, and there's a lot of people in this country are not going to vote for slippery starmer, either.
The public won't forget the lies and deceit of the conservatives when it comes to voting...
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
I rather lies, as all political parties do.. but I would never vote for a party that supports terrorists and treats minority loud religious groups as vote cows.
@DavidEdwards-uf5lg
Ай бұрын
Yeah, and I won't forget the lies and deceit under the last liebour government, of which, slippery starmer was very much part of. Don't forget that voters in the polling booth.
Word is is that the “normal people” that Sunak took questions from were all Tory Councillors who were picked to not ask awkward questions.
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
what would be an awkward question .. i'll try answering it with a question if necessary
@TW19567
29 күн бұрын
@@anunrealproduction1438 why has GDP per capita pretty much stayed stagnant under the Conservatives for years? GDP growth has been accomplished by population growth and not by increasing GDP per capita. Why should anyone vote Conservative when they have proven they aren’t interested in increasing GDP per capita.
Dont think i will bother it dont matter who gets in its all hot air i dont trust them
Its a wonder his microphone didnt start sparking in the wet weather.
Yes because we all now he is corrupt
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
i didnt.. nor did my neighbours.. which pit do you live in friend?
Pack your bags Sunak
@DavidEdwards-uf5lg
Ай бұрын
I think we should all pack our bags, iff slippery starmer gets his grubby hands on power.
@timcolivet7343
Ай бұрын
@@DavidEdwards-uf5lg See ya Dave. Good riddance.
@EPIPHANY544
Ай бұрын
And book UBER 😂😂😂😂
Give snake a chance he is the man he knows his job the best man for uk❤😂
Sunak stood in Downing St, yesterday, telling us it was not raining, that he was not wet and the sun was shining brightly but the truth was there for all to see.
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
what was the truth that was so obvious to you?
He couldn’t care less,he has a huge fortune and (now) a ridiculously large pension paid for by? You guessed it.
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
because he has a hugh fortune he is not open to corruption.. his fortune is his.. just as your fortune is yours
I agree with the Professor that it's very difficult to see past Sir Keir Starmer becoming the UK'S next Prime Minister after the 4th of July. To be honest I just think that the vast majority of the UK voters have had enough of the Conservatives and are demanding change and I remember prior to the 2019 General Election that Starmer made a point of asking people what was stopping them from committing to Labour and the most common reply was Jeremy Corbyn. So, Starmer actually does listen but you have to go about things in the right way, present your case through the proper channels and when you get the opportunity then be respectful and civilised don't let whatever emotions you may have get the better of you.
Oh it took Sherlock Holmes to work that one out!!
I'd say he has more chance of winning the grand national blindfold on a donkey.
@EricaFiore
Ай бұрын
🤣🤣
We need big changes! Let someone come in and give working class people a fair chance
I hate the globalist
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
you live in a globalist world..
@davidmurphy563
Ай бұрын
What's his name?
Say what u want but he knows the difference between a man and a woman.
we are waiting for him to come to prison
Still blaming Russia for our energy bill hikes, pathetic
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
cognitive dissonance!!
Big issue is, labour are pretty much the same as conservatives now. Just feels like this country is so broken and in such a total mess
Running away running away but you can’t run away from yourself
Someone will discover Sunak has already been looking at schools and work in California. Then, it’ll get interesting!
@terryh5741
Ай бұрын
Huh what! You sound like a conspiracy theorist or just making up bs
@DJWHITE_
Ай бұрын
@@terryh5741 None of what I said was based on any fact. Perhaps I should have phrased it as 'I wouldn't be surprised if...' Better for you?
Surprise us all ! Fed up and literally sick to the teeth of labour and conservative. We need a new change from a new party. I'm voting for liberal for once in my life time. Got nothing to eat drink or lose.
His chances are between slim and none…and slim left town.
I agree with John.
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
why? give me 3 points he makes and look at the alternatives provided if ANY?
The Hindu can kiss No. 10 good bye. He knows his time is up as he is responsible for the terminal decline of the Tory.
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
we will ignore boris and lizzie truss.. blame it on an honest hindu .. comedian!!!
@gunsumwong3948
29 күн бұрын
@@anunrealproduction1438 So you accept the HIndu is the best the British can provide to run the country?
@anunrealproduction1438
29 күн бұрын
@@gunsumwong3948 At this moment.. absolutely.. he has seen the future that most Brits are afraid to deal with because of political correctness. The alternative would be a peoples bubbling anger reflected ultimately in violence.. Would you rather a soft namby pamby like the labour party?
He's given all. Health care jobs to his home country...how about the British nurses just qualified
No comment on his father in laws dealings??????
Blah Blah Conservatives Blah Blah Labour Blah Blah Reform... (LIBDEMS! GREENS! SNP! Stop jumping Reform up the queue. Two Councillors. TWO! Greens 180. We just did this.)
He's overfixed the NHS
Looking in to his wifes taxes
@EPIPHANY544
Ай бұрын
New GOVT SHOULD ALSO LOOK AT THE WIFE'S TAXES !!!
we the prisoners see sunak as a supporter of children and baby killings,you are with him bun you too
I would have thought the wealthy donors who have benefitted from the Tories being in power and the grandees would not give up power so easily. I still expect them to pull some sort of undemocratic stunt.
He was a self elected self imposed who nobody wanted in the first place Rattatoile Sunak has to go !!!
During the Scottish school holidays? More F+++ Scotland. You can book your summer holidays he said. No wonder They want independance.
Labour victory off one of the lowest turn-outs in modern history.
It’s time for a new line of thinking, only thing that will redeem mankind is cooperation according to Bertrand Russell, that’s why we need to vote the positions of power in government so that issues are resolved in cooperation. Red tories and blue tories everywhere, they don’t represent the people, they’re just there to keep filling their coffers
1:18 *laughs in Labour* Nah. Sunak's a goner. A man who can't even plan to not get soaked when it's raining and he's got an important announcement to make isn’t in a position to claim competence.
Roland Rat has no rat fans now !
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
that's a really creative personal attack.. bravo..
@Blaze26909
Ай бұрын
@@anunrealproduction1438 spotted the tory lil rent boi/girl
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
@@Blaze26909 and YET I am not moved!!
Tory dateline : late Cretaceous. Asteroid incoming. 💥 😊
Understatement
He's already packed his bags knowing that the recession on the way is not goiing to be profitable for him...
Bye bye, Tories lol
Dreadful audio, unlistenable. Sort it out TR and Professor.
Na na na na
Sunaks legacy in tatters
Rishi sunak is not aright person to be prime minister of Britain's.
Запад использует межнациональные проблемы, чтобы сеять нестабильность Запад во главе с США пытается использовать болевые точки в межнациональных и межконфессиональных отношениях для создания нестабильности в мире.
Nah, he'll win.
Sums it up for Sunak: kzread.info/dash/bejne/kYSsw9CRfZeel6w.htmlsi=SXLtvI2LI72JnoU4
Rishi with his red hindutva Indian wristband does not represent UK citizens.
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
how so.. ? this is indeed racism that we all talk about.. how does the Indian wristband compromise love for UK?
@Shsjier
Ай бұрын
Neither do you
@NicholasShanks
Ай бұрын
@@anunrealproduction1438 Obviously you can't live in a country and have a religion at the same time!
The party didn't vote for him and neither did the public, personally i wouldn't vote for any coloniser
@anunrealproduction1438
Ай бұрын
say's who.. do some research and use the remaining two grey cells for a little critical thinking.. Then come back and first apologise for your ignorance and then correct your statement!!
@JoolzThePirate
Ай бұрын
@@anunrealproduction1438 errrr the public DIDNT vote for him, party member DIDNT vote for and he is Indian and therefore a coloniser. You sir are clearly a m0ng
She's very skinny
Good riddance. I don't like him, he's as sneaky as they come! Although the corrupt Starmer isn't much better. Neither partie is appealing, it would be better without either of these 2 men leading the country.
Reform UK.....
@JohnHollyoak-vx6pn
Ай бұрын
Who?
@iolair1973
Ай бұрын
Is that UKIP mk3? 😂 or NF mk3?
@chriswilde7246
Ай бұрын
@@iolair1973 Nope!
@Brian-om2hh
Ай бұрын
What are Reform's policies on taxation, the NHS, schools & education, transport & infrastructure, social care, housing etc? Can you tell us? How will Reform deal with the 7 million people waiting for hospital operations? Have they said?
@chriswilde7246
Ай бұрын
@Brian-om2hh Has any of the other parties....and do you believe they will follow through? Because none of them sick to their manifestos.....ever!
I'm a true blue Conservative, and even i want to see the back of them...
Virtually every comment here is in need of critical thinking as is the host .. who is throwing out his own Labour narrative..
@anunrealproduction1438
29 күн бұрын
correction.. populist line.. for sale to the highest bidder ie the Islamist Marxist brigade.
If use don't vote reform what is wrong with yous 😂 either him or the jimmy savile accomplice
Sunak is useless
Don’t bother commenting on here unless your far left & woke otherwise it’s an automatic censorship 🤢
I regret to say this, but Sunak has inundated the NHS England with nurses from India who are not adequately trained. He has done this merely to boost numbers, and at the next election, he will claim victory over this issue. What genuinely concerns me is patient safety and the declining standards of care. I know this because many of those I worked with were failing the entrance exams for basic English and competency assessments. They were forced to work as Healthcare Assistants, but since these requirements were scrapped, they have now obtained NMC registration and are working as nurses. This is alarming. We are now working with staff who have no idea what they are doing and constantly need assistance with even the most basic tasks. I cannot begin to count the number of times I have been asked simple questions during a shift. Even more concerning, one of them admitted in confidence that obtaining a convincing fake certificate in India is easy. Unfortunately, most of us nurses are too scared to report this and silently carry on.
@enzos_corner
Ай бұрын
The most obtuse comment of 2024 so far 😂😂
@spikes2023
29 күн бұрын
@@enzos_corner what’s obtuse is your lame brain , if you have one
Is place is in prison ok is a big traitor