June 21, 2024: Brown Ocean | July Ridge Placement | Analyzing 2010 As An Analog | Global Update

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  • @agger838
    @agger83824 күн бұрын

    Rain late makes grain. Rain early makes disease

  • @rayerickson7614
    @rayerickson761418 күн бұрын

    Your video really got into my brain. One week later, and I would like your opinion on how things have worked out. The RainMaker was here.

  • @user-tc4oy6su8x
    @user-tc4oy6su8x24 күн бұрын

    Thankyou! ..it's interesting that With normal rainfall Drought conditions Are occurring! ..dramatic increase in Evaporation?

  • @suseanneegoulet1033
    @suseanneegoulet103324 күн бұрын

    The drought map looks at regions, but drought can be local. In a recent year, the storms kept passing north and south of my location, so while other areas fairly nearby were only abnormally dry, we were in a drought in my location.

  • @rayerickson7614
    @rayerickson761412 күн бұрын

    When Beryl pops out the other side of the Yucatan stronger and faster than the models predict....you could argue that the brown ocean effect is measurable.

  • @hawkstwelve
    @hawkstwelve24 күн бұрын

    Man, Sioux Falls and surrounding areas really need a break from the rain. We are so water logged and my sump pump has been working like crazy. The Mississippi River in Minnesota is forecast to hit 4ft above major flood stage on Saturday and within 5ft of the all-time highest recording. Unfortunately it doesn't look like the faucet will turn off anytime soon. I guess we're going to need to swap our car out for a boat!

  • @jessieadore
    @jessieadore24 күн бұрын

    That was perfection. Thank you Sir.

  • @thomasroever1354
    @thomasroever135424 күн бұрын

    Summer gets on my nerves here in the Eastern Ozarks. Always ridges and dry dry dry. Looks like it may be the case this year. Eric is there any chance we do get storm clusters at times or will it be bone dry as it has for the last 6 summers?

  • @RareGenXer
    @RareGenXer24 күн бұрын

    Relentless rain and storms in Wisconsin since the beginning of March. We are now nearing the end of June with no end in sight. It's been the most persistently stormy spring and (at least) early summer I can ever remember in Wisconsin going back decades. Needless to say, it's also one of the wettest years on record. What is driving this extremely persistent crappy pattern?

  • @rayerickson7614

    @rayerickson7614

    22 күн бұрын

    I am.

  • @brianjennings7644
    @brianjennings764424 күн бұрын

    Is there's a Weatherman's Benevolent Society we could slip a few dollars to, so my gardens could,..uhhh.. maybe get a little more rain? We seem much drier than the Drought map thinks. I'd call here at D 1 already. ..which is horrible at this very particular time in a garden. Melons are really suffering, along with the almost ripe tomatoes.. ..and June 6 was our last appreciable rain. 🤠

  • @billgoedecke2265
    @billgoedecke226524 күн бұрын

    Thanks Eric for your very analytical forecasts (I like the detail). My concern about CA’s Central Valley is that it will be very hot most of the summer - I wonder if the excessive heat could hurt crop yields. My understanding is that the people picking crops need to start very early in the morning - before sunlight - to pick as it would not be bearable midday or through the afternoon. Regarding the vegetation health change map what sticks out is the big changes in the Sahel which I am assuming would mean the expansion southward of the Sahara and increased dust given the wind. Anyway thank you much!

  • @danl9334
    @danl933424 күн бұрын

    thanks for the update, have a good weekend, do you have anything left that needs to be washed with the new pressure washer?!!!!!!!!

  • @floydblandston108
    @floydblandston10824 күн бұрын

    4 week JMA and CFSv2 are showing a fairly stable pattern, with a likely change afterwards as the Arctic ice opens up on the Russian side in the 3rd week. These changeovers are hard to call though, as they behave like a collapse of the AO- it's really hard to predict where the highs and lows will fall. Earliest evidence is for a strong high on the Russian European side, though the fallout from that isn't apparent yet. The traditional default for the northeast is 'alternate months' though, so a warm/wettish June/July would be followed by a cool/dryish July/August. It's gotten me through the last 40 years of haymaking with at least something made up dry...usually.😂

  • @user-gk4ie6dg8t
    @user-gk4ie6dg8t23 күн бұрын

    Well, the short reprieve was very nice, but it’s over and done with now. SE Kansas is getting back to normal = drought…….

  • @michaelrust7614
    @michaelrust761424 күн бұрын

    Thanks Eric. Too bad traders are not being educated about our dryness. Alot of us farmers are getting hurt by their lack of awareness. 😊

  • @StrictlyExperimentalcom-uy3jy
    @StrictlyExperimentalcom-uy3jy24 күн бұрын

    Hi Professor Snodgrass! I’m a big fan of your Great Courses/ Wondrium course on The Science of Extreme Weather. I’ve watched the 3 lectures on hurricanes probably 10 times. I was wondering if you would answer a few questions about sea surface temperatures this summer. The NOAA pix at 18:45 min into lecture 22 that shows middle August 2015 sea surface temperatures indicates temps around 28-29 for the Cape Verde island region west of Africa. Checking the PSL Map Room for daily SST for 19 June 2024, the SST seems to be 28-29 already. How high do you think it will rise by Aug? Would the record year of 2005 give a clue? Does NOAA do long range forecasting of SST that far out? Thanks very much if you can take the time to answer my questions! John Singleton Sent from my iPhone

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