Nice analysis. These kinds of methodical walk-throughs of hands will pay off later when you're in the heat of battle. Looking forward to the next one!

@SmartPokerStudy

6 жыл бұрын

Mark Warner Thank you very much

Wow this is amazing!! Can't wait to follow this series. I now know I have been doing my off the felt hand reading work all wrong! Thanks!

@SmartPokerStudy

6 жыл бұрын

Thanks much!

Thanks for making these and leaving them up

@SmartPokerStudy

4 жыл бұрын

You're welcome

Great stuff, bro! Keep it coming!

@SmartPokerStudy

6 жыл бұрын

Black French thanks much 😁

I think I will have to watch this entire series...hand-reading with Flopzilla is pretty fun. Sucks with things like Pokerstove. JT was the overwhelming part of his range. That made total sense. Given that we think he is a station/nit, I think it is far more likely for him to value bet this in almost the same way that he block bets it than getting him off the hand with a river raise. After calling two streets and hitting that gutshot. Plus, he was ready to go for a J high flush. He can't be too worried Hero already got the flush on the flop because that would have to be something like KTs or T8s/87s/86s.

@SmartPokerStudy

5 жыл бұрын

Yeah, Brax, Flopzilla makes it so much easier. I like your assessment.

19'04 These bets are often value bets with non nutted hands. For example, he is scared of a flush or straight but has what he believes is otherwise ahead. Because these small bets are often non nutted they can cause good players to bluff raise. As a result of this, these small bets can be used to induce raises from aggressive players, but they are almost always thin value. The question is, how often will such a player fold to a raise and what size should your raise be? In this case, I think he is calling most raises. If he had Ak or AQ I believe he would likely fold to most large raises. Another consideration is that, apart from him losing to all flushes, so do the hands that he is trying to get a call from. Therefore, a medium or large bet will usually result in a fold from the hands he is trying to get value from. A small size seems better to get calls from 2 pair/trips or to induce a bluff. What I took from this is that a small bet with thin value is likely to make more money. Whilst I knew that thin value usually means a small bet, I now understand that this is not mainly because my hand is not strong, but because I am trying to get value from weak hands.

this is really good thanks for the video!

@SmartPokerStudy

6 жыл бұрын

Thanks, Steph

@skusumawidjaja1990

6 жыл бұрын

keep up the good work will follow your channel !

@SmartPokerStudy

6 жыл бұрын

Thanks, i appreciate it

Great video sky. How do you come up with the 55% equity against villains range with A8s? I mean generaly for a hand against a range preflop and post, what is the math or process behind? Or does it become intuitive after using flopzilla and seeing similar situations? Thanks for the video!

@SmartPokerStudy

4 жыл бұрын

Yeah, it's an intuition you build after running range v hand and range v range calculations a ton. I'm sometimes wrong and off by 5% or more (like I think it's 55% but it ends up being 48%). When that happens, I stop and think about their range more deeply and how my hand plays against it and I try to figure out why it's so much lower or higher than my initial guess.

when you rewind and watch through knowing his hand, his calls and river bet make perfect sense.... that board was pretty scary for A8.... i might've just checked flop and maybe bet river..... is that weak? looking forward to this series...

@SmartPokerStudy

Жыл бұрын

Cool beans, thanks, CJ

i feel like we can shove over his block SOMEtimes... He did have a decent blocker tho... maybe not deep enough to fold him off the str8.... Good video thanks !!!

I was 85% sure he had a j10 the 2nd I paused the vid after seeing that river donk bet.

hi can i get your predefined hand ranges for flopzilla?? i bought your books both vol 1 nd 2 nd working on them...

@SmartPokerStudy

6 жыл бұрын

Thanks for buying the books and for asking about my Flopzilla ranges. I'm sorry, I don't give them away nor sell them. Lots of other people have asked for them as well, and I've told them the same. The reason why is because you're better off creating them on your own. The practice that you get while creating your 2bet, call 2bet, 3bet, call 3bet and 4bet ranges will aid your poker game. You'll be thinking about %'s and combo counts and seeing the ranges grow/shrink on the screen as you create. You'll see how removing some hands and adding others changes the #'s, and you'll also see how often different ranges "hit" flops. I view giving somebody my ranges as equivalent to giving them a fish instead of teaching them how to fish. Also, some of the ranges came from courses and books I purchased, and it's not right to give away ranges that others created and rightfully deserve money for. Have fun making your ranges.

What do you think about raising the river? If we pot it and he folds his one pair and two pair hands, it should show a profit. Maybe we are overbluffing here without a flush-blocker?

@SmartPokerStudy

6 жыл бұрын

With the way I've ranged him up to this point, he'd be folding 26 out of 47 combos in his river range, so he's folding more than half the time and that would be a profitable bluff. But, I think we need to have a blocker like you said, the nf blocking Kd. The fact that we have an Ace means we're blocking lots of his TP foldable hands, so the Kd is a better card to bluff at than the As. So, I don't like bluffing here. And, I don't know enough about the player to know that he'd fold all his TP and 2p hands here. He's called two streets already, so even though he's got nitty pre-flop stats, he might be a bit stationy post-flop.

@jimbotbs7928

6 жыл бұрын

Okay, thx for your response.

6max. CO raises 3BB. Button calls. I'm holding JJ in SB. I raise to 9 BB. CO folds. Button calls. Flop A35 rainbow. I check. He checks. Flop comes 8. I bet pot. He calls. Turn. 6c. He bets pot. I call. He turns over 42o.

@SmartPokerStudy

5 жыл бұрын

Wow, make a note on him that he's capable of call/call on the BTN for 9bb's w/42o. Then, from now on make it 12bb+ for value and I'm sure he'll call preflop. Actually, test him out with 16bb first and if he folds, decrease to 15bb until you find the largest size he'll call and give you value. If he calls the 16bb's, go up to 18bb and so on. He got incredibly lucky there (42 flops a straight less than 1% of the time).

Hi, why we decided do value cbet if we don^t know his stat fold cbet? for example if he Fold vs Cbet 45% he protect 55% A8 value cbet, but if he Fold vs Cbet 40% and protect 60%. we need more equity and A8 its already blaf cbet. Or i think wrong?

@SmartPokerStudy

6 жыл бұрын

Thanks for the Q! You don't need to know their fold to cbet in order to make a cbet. This happens in LIVE poker all the time. If you think your opponent can call with worse hands, then you can make a cbet. On this board, the opponent could call with weaker Aces (A7-A2), any Queen that doesn't believe we have an Ace and any Kd, Jd or maybe Td.

Also isn't it important to know if the odds to call were correct? on this hand if im not mistaken, your equity was 12% while pot odds were 19% so that call is -EV, correct? Although I think it's fine to call such a small bet in order to learn more about the oppoet from the showdown

@SmartPokerStudy

4 жыл бұрын

Yes, calculating the math like that on the fly is good. Paying attention to it during study sessions is also good. And yes, calling there would be -EV but maybe the info you get is worth it sometimes. But, knowing it's -EV maybe I can now think about bluffing and how likely he is to fold.

So the lesson is you should check the turn (34% equity) and as played fold the river (13%)?

@SmartPokerStudy

6 жыл бұрын

On the 7h turn, our equity was at 63%, so it's still a good value bet I believe. Once he calls the bet, we narrow him down to 65 hands and that gives us 54% equity before the river hits. Once the Kc hits, our equity drops way down to 35%, and then when he bets we're down to 13% equity, so the river fold is good now. Thanks, Eric.

@ericshirk6791

6 жыл бұрын

Thanks for clearing that up, I was thinking our equity was 34% if we bet and got called on the turn

I can't see why you called his river bet. I mean you can only be ahead of a bluff and I don't see him bluffing 20 % of the time in this spot with this sizing

@SmartPokerStudy

6 жыл бұрын

luxxn yeah, I'm guilty of fishy river calls sometimes in hopes my TP is good.

@luxxn

6 жыл бұрын

well, you are not alone :) this is especially true when I review hands from multi-tabling sessions

Limp pre , call raise OOp with JT off. Not so nitty after all. It's looks more like a fishy play to me.

@SmartPokerStudy

3 жыл бұрын

For sure fishy. He's looking nitty to start at 11/6 and only 18 hands, but plays like this show a player's true colors. Thanks, Chess Brilliance.

@chessbrilliance8783

3 жыл бұрын

Yeah some nitty players has some pet hands like JT wich for some reason treat as the pure nuts. I have seen that often.

This would probably be better if I could hear him.

@SmartPokerStudy

Жыл бұрын

Yep, sorry about that, Mark. I was a video editing newbie for quite a while. Getting better, though! :)

But really, a half hour for one hand??

@SmartPokerStudy

5 жыл бұрын

Yep, if I did this on my own without explaining everything, 5 minutes max.