Introduction to Monte Carlo Simulation in Excel 2016

This video provides a simple introduction to how to run a Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) in Excel. The example is for estimating profits given uncertainty in costs and revenue.

Пікірлер: 93

  • @tbaerg
    @tbaerg3 жыл бұрын

    Fantastic tutorial. I deployed this in a manufacturing scenario within 30 minutes. Much appreciated!

  • @nachtalp7500
    @nachtalp75003 жыл бұрын

    It is always unbelievable what gold nuggets one can find in KZread. Thanks a lot! I thought about to programm something in VBA but I had no clue how build the routines. Very easy approach - GREAT!

  • @chuckbecker4983
    @chuckbecker49834 жыл бұрын

    A simpy wonderful tutorial. I now grasp the fundamental concepts of a Monte Carlo simulation and I learned some new-to-me features of Excel. Thank you!

  • @MrSeropamine
    @MrSeropamine2 жыл бұрын

    Best explanation for this I have found on KZread, thank you. I even did a course where this was taught in an engineering risk analysis context- I did the thing but I didn't understand the nuts and bolts, whereas this explains it very clearly.

  • @brigittaadinda
    @brigittaadinda4 жыл бұрын

    this is very simple yet answers most of my questions. thank you so much!

  • @luvsketchimprovvv1781
    @luvsketchimprovvv17814 жыл бұрын

    thank you very helpful for my corporate finance course! our teacher chose this video specifically.

  • @thelegolegend1
    @thelegolegend12 жыл бұрын

    This actually worked for my NPV calculation and now I can apply it for my group project, thanks very much!

  • @joerinaldi3418
    @joerinaldi34182 жыл бұрын

    Very clear and easy to follow explanation. Thank you for putting this together.

  • @serkankaraman1711
    @serkankaraman1711 Жыл бұрын

    Fantastic! Thank you very much Maggie for creating a clear and precise tutorial.

  • @vahidvahdat7130
    @vahidvahdat71304 жыл бұрын

    Pretty helpful, and amazingly simple, Thank you so much for your help

  • @moosesnWoop
    @moosesnWoop3 жыл бұрын

    Simple and straightforward. I'm self-learning to assist my own investments so I thank you for a simple tutorial.

  • @mikechapman2593
    @mikechapman25934 жыл бұрын

    This is amazing! Love your work!

  • @zakirkassam7321
    @zakirkassam73213 жыл бұрын

    Videos like these are saving me during online school

  • @jhonthestampede

    @jhonthestampede

    2 жыл бұрын

    And saving a lot of money with a monte carlo software haha xD

  • @patrickbhirdo2869
    @patrickbhirdo2869 Жыл бұрын

    Great and simple explanation. Agree with some other comments on here that it's one of the most concise explanations I've seen on youtube and on hte internet.

  • @nikhilverma6457
    @nikhilverma64574 жыл бұрын

    Really very nice example and explanation. Thanks.

  • @HarshitSharma-lb3ul
    @HarshitSharma-lb3ul3 жыл бұрын

    ohhh, thank you so much for this example! I finally get it!

  • @kingka0312
    @kingka03123 жыл бұрын

    thank you so much for this! instruction makes perfect sense to me 👍

  • @delicious9930
    @delicious9930 Жыл бұрын

    Wow you’re amazing - All this is a short straightforward video TYVM

  • @FaRosVPL
    @FaRosVPL4 жыл бұрын

    This was helpful, thanks!

  • @engineerkitumesh5107
    @engineerkitumesh5107 Жыл бұрын

    The best explanation out there. Thank you

  • @viktorvondoom9119
    @viktorvondoom91192 жыл бұрын

    Thanks! I think you just explained my whole assignment

  • @konalsharma6040
    @konalsharma60404 жыл бұрын

    Thanks a lot, Very well explained , It was really Helpful

  • @bigfriki
    @bigfriki3 жыл бұрын

    Awesome video. Simple and clear :)

  • @steveadams5085
    @steveadams50853 жыл бұрын

    Thanks for this! Super helpful.

  • @hawaiisunkissselftanner4890
    @hawaiisunkissselftanner48904 жыл бұрын

    Thanks! It is very clear!

  • @abrarkhan9806
    @abrarkhan98065 жыл бұрын

    It was quite helpful. Thanks

  • @TheAPUSH
    @TheAPUSH4 жыл бұрын

    Amazing! Thank you so much.

  • @junal27
    @junal27 Жыл бұрын

    Thank you, very usefull and clearly explained!

  • @megalallulal
    @megalallulal2 жыл бұрын

    Thanks a lot....you made my day...pretty helpful

  • @kostasspanos1984
    @kostasspanos19844 жыл бұрын

    very helpful to start ..many thanks

  • @Liberty_Freedom_Brotherhood
    @Liberty_Freedom_Brotherhood3 жыл бұрын

    great video, nice work!

  • @MrGroganmeister
    @MrGroganmeister2 жыл бұрын

    That was very helpful. Thanks.

  • @hyunchulkim9707
    @hyunchulkim97073 жыл бұрын

    Thanks for a nice video. It's helpful.

  • @longjohnsilverin2468
    @longjohnsilverin24683 жыл бұрын

    Great ! Found it helpful ... Thanks

  • @kishan9506
    @kishan95064 жыл бұрын

    I don't know about Monte carlo but I have learned some cool Excel tricks in this video.

  • @wctyna
    @wctyna4 жыл бұрын

    very helpful. thank you!

  • @jessica386m
    @jessica386m3 жыл бұрын

    I wished my professor taught this quickly and cleared!

  • @nikhilverma6457
    @nikhilverma64573 жыл бұрын

    Very helpful. Thanks.

  • @alangecastelly3137
    @alangecastelly31374 жыл бұрын

    Great video!

  • @tomatosquare4012
    @tomatosquare40122 жыл бұрын

    amazing explanation! 😃

  • @sijokuriakose3895
    @sijokuriakose38952 жыл бұрын

    wow awesome video. Learned a lot. even some shortcuts in excel lol

  • @Liberty_Freedom_Brotherhood
    @Liberty_Freedom_Brotherhood3 жыл бұрын

    I did a Monte Carlo simulation for the risk of me taking about 100x times longer than the video to do a successful simulation: risk = 100%😂

  • @ANJA-mj1to
    @ANJA-mj1to6 ай бұрын

    What to say or thank you for valuable information how to imply Monte Carlo method in Excel. Despite development of modern numerial and stohastiv methods with many desirable properties, most of hydraulic problems are based on Monte Carlo method BASED ON FINITE ELEMENT AND FINITE VOLUMEN APPROACH + adding yours Content we can assume many desirable concepts. Thank you for all good Excel workout!

  • @dex461
    @dex4614 жыл бұрын

    Awesome video! I have a follow up question. So when you are recalculating to pull another random set of values, would you collect all the different randomly calculated values, and pull average, std, etc. on those random simulated values? Or would the better option be to either increase or decease the amount of trials?

  • @BalochistanWatan

    @BalochistanWatan

    4 ай бұрын

    Anybody got the answer?

  • @Hemzees
    @Hemzees3 жыл бұрын

    Hi, thank you for this video. I would like to use this in my research and I am using it to simulate vulnerability due to climate change. I wonder what would be more valid; to simulate responses to a questionnaire or to simulate the final score of vulnerability? I hope you can answer my question. Thanks

  • @maestro7058
    @maestro70584 жыл бұрын

    THANK YOU SO VERY MUCH!!!!!!!

  • @deepaktimsina111
    @deepaktimsina1116 ай бұрын

    Hi. Very nice tutorial. I have district wise immunization coverage for 60 months (5 yrs). Can I apply Monte Carlo to forecast the coverage for next year?

  • @ApoorvaDixit1488
    @ApoorvaDixit14884 жыл бұрын

    Very nicely explained. But should it give possible negative value of profits when there is no chance of it, if we adjust the Std. Deviation in that way?

  • @QueenChanise
    @QueenChanise Жыл бұрын

    BLESS YOU!!! THANK YOU SO MUCH

  • @zarak8116
    @zarak81162 жыл бұрын

    Maggie, do you offer formal training? I found your approach easy to learn from.

  • @firmanmuntako9886
    @firmanmuntako98863 жыл бұрын

    hi. thank you.. keep up the good work

  • @DanaJomaa
    @DanaJomaa2 жыл бұрын

    Thank you for the video

  • @laskuri1393
    @laskuri13932 жыл бұрын

    good demonstration.

  • @khadijasajid1490
    @khadijasajid14904 жыл бұрын

    Thank you!

  • @1MRNICKER
    @1MRNICKER Жыл бұрын

    Thanks Maggie!

  • @peakfeeling7311
    @peakfeeling7311 Жыл бұрын

    Thank you very much

  • @bonzaiii7
    @bonzaiii73 жыл бұрын

    brilliant!

  • @FlywithZahanat
    @FlywithZahanat3 жыл бұрын

    Good and helpful

  • @chisomnneke8667
    @chisomnneke86673 жыл бұрын

    I tried running the simulation on my system,all is working except the risk of loss is changing.the value is just 100% even tho I have tried recalculating ,what do you think it’s the problem ?

  • @Asoville18
    @Asoville183 жыл бұрын

    Thank you 😊

  • @FoysalAhmed-ql9zj
    @FoysalAhmed-ql9zj3 жыл бұрын

    Thank you so much

  • @stellaunya5192
    @stellaunya5192 Жыл бұрын

    thank you so much

  • @jj-wz1im
    @jj-wz1im2 жыл бұрын

    Hi Maggie, On Risk of Loss, excel does not seem to read cell B12 when I use COUNTIF. It only gives me a % if I hardcode the mean number. Any ideas why that is?

  • @hamzatarq7000
    @hamzatarq70004 жыл бұрын

    izi n simple ty

  • @suryakantyadav8427
    @suryakantyadav84275 жыл бұрын

    when do we use pert distribution?

  • @xlingdai100
    @xlingdai1003 жыл бұрын

    Well, I have a Q for MCS. The calculated mean st min max keeps changing. So how can it apply to work?

  • @appknow8253
    @appknow82532 жыл бұрын

    How did you come up or find the standard diviation

  • @sidharthmohanty6434
    @sidharthmohanty64342 жыл бұрын

    Thank you

  • @sennikau
    @sennikau3 жыл бұрын

    Great!

  • @ensys1000
    @ensys10003 жыл бұрын

    Thanks

  • @iniyavankarthikkaran8575
    @iniyavankarthikkaran85753 жыл бұрын

    Hey, really well explained, just wanted to know why you took in risk of loss calculation denominator as 500 please, am I missing something here, sorry if obvious, really appreciate your video :)

  • @SamerBajaber

    @SamerBajaber

    3 жыл бұрын

    She had 500 trials total.

  • @maggiewinslow2162

    @maggiewinslow2162

    3 жыл бұрын

    It's because we used 500 trials. We wanted to know what percent showed a lost, not the total number that showed a lost.

  • @JalanJalanAjah

    @JalanJalanAjah

    Жыл бұрын

    @@maggiewinslow2162 Thank you so much!

  • @jiabinchen1934
    @jiabinchen19342 жыл бұрын

    Nice!

  • @ngzhenyiaiden7384
    @ngzhenyiaiden73843 жыл бұрын

    Thank you (:

  • @guybolt2346
    @guybolt23462 жыл бұрын

    at 2:34, why does typing the word "Trial" in cell H2 cause the values in row 8 to change when none of the formula you typed are looking at that cell!?

  • @6toolbaseball

    @6toolbaseball

    2 жыл бұрын

    Because of the rand() function that is in the worksheet

  • @mariner735
    @mariner7353 жыл бұрын

    i got lost at "what if "' sosimply do not understand what is being done and I am looking for a new basic tutorial for the PC not the max

  • @cx5442
    @cx54423 жыл бұрын

    5:16 Why did you divided the term by 500?

  • @maggiewinslow2162

    @maggiewinslow2162

    3 жыл бұрын

    Because I ran 500 trials.

  • @cx5442

    @cx5442

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@maggiewinslow2162 understood, thanks

  • @jasontoo
    @jasontoo4 жыл бұрын

    How is this useful? Your Mean and Std Dev would just converge to the input parameters. e.g. 34500 for the mean.

  • @bradk1295

    @bradk1295

    4 жыл бұрын

    The mean isn’t very interesting, it’s the other information that makes the simulation useful, such as modeling the number/percentage of times the investment loses money. This was a very simple example, but you can build very complex simulations. It’s a very powerful tool in that has quite a few applications.

  • @daviddewis2286

    @daviddewis2286

    3 жыл бұрын

    Jason, it was meant to be a tutorial to explain the basics. It was an excellent tutorial, short and informed, it provides what is required to use the process as we wish. I look forward to your tutorial that incorporates probability density functions.

  • @fritzz349
    @fritzz3493 жыл бұрын

    Gak bisa bahasa Enggres!

  • @OgeOliver
    @OgeOliver4 жыл бұрын

    It was very helpful, thank you.

  • @smallhousesdesign6663
    @smallhousesdesign66633 жыл бұрын

    Thank you so much