Hurricanes Are Getting Too Large To Measure

Ғылым және технология

Hurricanes are getting bigger and becoming more frequent...with the largest becoming too big to measure. A recent paper suggests we need a new way to measure these gigantic storms and help clarify the threat to the public. I want to take a look at what is actually happening, why are they getting worse and what it means for you and I.
Paper: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas...
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#hurricanes #science #nature #newevidence
Chapters
00:00 Hurricanes Are Getting too Big to Measure
3:35 The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
5:33 Hurricanes That Broke The Scale
7:01 The Destructive Power Of Wind
7:45 How Hurricanes Are Formed
9:30 Introducing Hurricane Category 6
11:22 How Warmer Water Temperatures Create Stronger Hurricanes
13:38 Can We Predict Hurricanes?
15:09 What Does This Mean For Us?
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Пікірлер: 446

  • @LinniageX
    @LinniageXАй бұрын

    Im not sure why everyone ignores what happened to us in 2018 with hurricane Michael but I can tell you the stats on google are wrong. We had CONFIRMED sustained winds over 190 MPH and we had gusts reaching over 240 mph. We got screwed by FEMA and insurance companies, ignored by the media, and denied FEDERAL AID during the whole ordeal. Some of us were without power for 2 or more months and the path of devastation was visible on satellite imagery all the way into Georgia. It took them 6 months to even come back and admit that the Hurricane made landfall as a cat 5. I dont know if adding another category to the scale is going to make a difference when we dont properly record the data anyway.

  • @Gobbldeegoo1

    @Gobbldeegoo1

    Ай бұрын

    Makes you wonder whose hands got greased to look the other way… Edit: ohhh nvm, just remembered who was president in 2018…

  • @-astrangerontheinternet6687

    @-astrangerontheinternet6687

    Ай бұрын

    The apple weather app has a temperature and a “feels like” temperature. According to multiple thermometers on my property and around my town- the temperature recorded by apple is wrong. Sometimes by as much as 10 degrees. All the other thermometers will agree with each other, but neither app temp is correct. Remember when we used to throw virgins in volcanoes to control the weather? Or burn witches for bringing bad weather? This is the oldest story there is. The flood.

  • @TeddyRumble

    @TeddyRumble

    Ай бұрын

    Last year we had, what, one hurricane of any magnitude hit the USA?

  • @Black_VoidXx

    @Black_VoidXx

    Ай бұрын

    I’m surprised nobody has combated this comment yet. Anyways, hey! I’m an avid tropical cyclone tracker, and have been doing so now for the last decade. I tracked Michael from formation to dissipation back in 2018. To some possibility you may be glad to know that Michael was thankfully not 190mph, nor did it have gusts of 240mph! (As I can assure you if it did, the damage would’ve been FAR more exacerbated!). Michael did indeed make landfall as a 160mph Category 5 Hurricane, this also was its peak intensity. I utilised Reconnaissance Aircraft interception data, satellite information and data (SAB, Dvorak, STR), drop-sondes data. I can tell you with this information, the storm was a low end C5 at peak, and it peaked as previously mentioned as it made landfall in the panhandle of Florida. 🤠

  • @TeddyRumble

    @TeddyRumble

    Ай бұрын

    @@Gobbldeegoo1 Trump is the environmental candidate. People are the SOLE reason for pollution, loss of habitat. Trump is going yo secure the border and deport 20 million illegals. Wild places will be wild again.

  • @peterdore2572
    @peterdore2572Ай бұрын

    Oh, the Super Sayen Reference.... 😢 R.I.P. Akira Toriyama 😭😭😭

  • @jenniferlee1993

    @jenniferlee1993

    Ай бұрын

    A Princely classification.

  • @yubicube9137

    @yubicube9137

    Ай бұрын

    Super Saiyan*

  • @amandamcadam114
    @amandamcadam114Ай бұрын

    Going through one of these things is almost indescribable. The changes in pressure before, then during, then eye, then hurricane again, hurt my eardrums. They are so loud, its like having your ear right next to a lawn mower. There are the occasional loud booms as large objects hit the building. There was a farm supply store that sold hay with telephone poles near by, and you could see individual strands stuck about 5 cm in the pole.

  • @anonymeister123

    @anonymeister123

    Ай бұрын

    Your description is spot on. I have intercepted (making it into the eye) several hurricanes. Irma, Florence, Laura, Ida, and Ian.

  • @TeddyRumble

    @TeddyRumble

    Ай бұрын

    Hurricanes were unheard of before 1995.

  • @baneverything5580

    @baneverything5580

    Ай бұрын

    Went through my first hurricane in 1965...Betsy in New Orleans. Laura in 2020 was terrible too. Nobody helped us.

  • @seankingwell3692

    @seankingwell3692

    Ай бұрын

    @@baneverything5580 and we know the government has been modifying weather and creating hurricanes since WW2

  • @amandagodkin3296

    @amandagodkin3296

    12 күн бұрын

    @TeddyRumble Betsey, Camille, Juan, Andrew, the one that wiped out Last Island and took the lives of nearly every millionaire in the U.S. you clearly don't know what you are talking about

  • @tymbaone1
    @tymbaone1Ай бұрын

    I think the current scale for classifying hurricanes is grossly inadequate. Hurricane Patricia was a small intense storm. Hurricanes are vastly different in size and intensity. A small category 5 that spins up fast has a limited storm surge. A large category 3 with a long fetch, while not the same wind speed can have an enormous storm surge that can wipe all evidence of human habitation from coastal areas. A storm much weaker in wind speed, but lower forward speed can dump catastrophic amounts of rain and cause thousand year floods. Until we start trusting the public with information rather than minimizing panic, people will die from ignorance. Slapping a number on a storm without really preparing people for what's coming is negligence. The 5 categories we have are already inadequate, adding the number 6 leaves the inadequacy in place and adds more confusion with deadly results.

  • @user-kz1ln7wk8r

    @user-kz1ln7wk8r

    Ай бұрын

    Well said 😊

  • @amzarnacht6710

    @amzarnacht6710

    28 күн бұрын

    Well, if humans were smart they'd leave a minimum of one mile wild along the coasts but noooooo... they're more important than nature and have to live directly on the beach. They deserve 1000% of what they get.

  • @melodieraska6973
    @melodieraska6973Ай бұрын

    Roughly 30 years ago i watched every series the Weather Channel had to offer....i wanted to be a meteorologist. After 50 years of studying......these are no longer hurricanes....they are Hypercaines....they were just a theory storm 40 years ago.....now they are real.❤ Thank you for this...❤

  • @friedrichjunzt

    @friedrichjunzt

    Ай бұрын

    Interesting times to be alive! 😶

  • @fenrirgg

    @fenrirgg

    Ай бұрын

    I'm concerned by the ❤️s

  • @riskyron1416
    @riskyron1416Ай бұрын

    A correction. Meteorologist deals with weather. A Metrologist deals with precision measurements certifiable to National and World Standards Labs. I was a Chief Metrologist for Aircraft and Aerospace companies for many years. Great video with that one error.

  • @savagesarethebest7251
    @savagesarethebest7251Ай бұрын

    There is one thing that I don’t understand, If wind is such a problem; Why don't they build houses with stone instead of toothpicks?

  • @incognitotorpedo42

    @incognitotorpedo42

    Ай бұрын

    We can build houses that would withstand a Cat 5 or even Cat 6 storm, but you wouldn't be able to afford them.

  • @TheVicar

    @TheVicar

    Ай бұрын

    Why not address the cause of the increased intensity in storms?

  • @bladi-senpai9398

    @bladi-senpai9398

    Ай бұрын

    @@incognitotorpedo42so why we can afford them in latin America? Specially in the Caribbean island he have real houses made of concrete, being way way way way way more poor than the average in the us. but in US they are just disposable.

  • @harrythompson6977

    @harrythompson6977

    Ай бұрын

    LOL@@incognitotorpedo42

  • @Trahzy

    @Trahzy

    Ай бұрын

    ​@@bladi-senpai9398You're naive thinking brick and concrete will stop 200 mph winds. I suggest you look up the Joplin and Moore tornadoes damage. Your concrete won't help you even then😂

  • @pinkgarage
    @pinkgarageАй бұрын

    Paul Beckwith has recently reviewed a number of papers highlighting the rapid decline of ice in the polar caps and warming oceans and impacts to global currents - last few days have been eye opening and depressing, as we have crossed over one of the big Tipping Points..., and this, unfortunately, dovetails into that presentation, harbingers of nasty things to come...

  • @jameswalker758

    @jameswalker758

    29 күн бұрын

    The rapid decline of ice in the polar caps has eneded withthe first cycle of the Grand Solar Minimum, in fact today the are expanding to recover back to 1880 level over time.

  • @hans-uelijohner8943
    @hans-uelijohner8943Ай бұрын

    The flooding of New Orleans was due to the Army Corps of Engineers poor work on the protection walls. The very sad thing is, that exactly what happened was predicted in a book years before!

  • @jimk8520

    @jimk8520

    Ай бұрын

    It wasn’t poor work. It was the exact work we paid for - no more, no less. We get what we pay for.

  • @hans-uelijohner8943

    @hans-uelijohner8943

    Ай бұрын

    Well, then you definitively did not pay enough. Actually the Army Corps of Engineers is building a new barrier system for New Orleans, does it include sea level rise? NOOO!@@jimk8520

  • @blucat4

    @blucat4

    Ай бұрын

    It was due to the people, the Government, the Mayor, not upgrading the levees even though the meteorologists had been warning them to do it for 5 years.

  • @baneverything5580

    @baneverything5580

    Ай бұрын

    What do you expect? They were warned, right?

  • @yvonneplant9434

    @yvonneplant9434

    Ай бұрын

    ​@@blucat4I remember one Dutch meteorologist who predicted what could happen who cried when it did...happen.😢

  • @birdbrainiac
    @birdbrainiacАй бұрын

    Beau of the fifth column made a great point: right nnow people flee Cat 5 hurricanes because they have the highest rating and are most dangerous. If we introduce a Cat 6 level, many people will assume a Cat 5 isnt as deadly and will stay in the danger zone longer, and more deaths will happen.

  • @Bushman9

    @Bushman9

    Ай бұрын

    Stupid people make a lot of bad assumptions.

  • @arcadiaberger9204

    @arcadiaberger9204

    Ай бұрын

    @@Bushman9 More Darwin Awards, I suppose.... :-(

  • @rdelrosso1973

    @rdelrosso1973

    Ай бұрын

    Well, with all due respect, isn't that like saying I am going to ignore my Brain Cancer, since a Bullet fired into my head is WORSE than Cancer?

  • @birdbrainiac

    @birdbrainiac

    Ай бұрын

    @@Bushman9yes, people will make bad decisions. But when YOUR decision will lead to OTHER people dying, even if you think those people are stupid, you do have to weigh that decision carefully.

  • @exeexecutor

    @exeexecutor

    Ай бұрын

    The numbers are not there to make suggestions for what people should do they are there to represent the strength of hurricanes. What people decide to do is a completely different problem.

  • @davidmatheny1993
    @davidmatheny1993Ай бұрын

    Hurricane threats need to be broken up into categories like how the SPC tries to define storm threats by risk of hail or damaging winds vs. just tornadoes. Only a limited area experiences the most damaging winds in a hurricane, so certain areas need to be warned more or less urgently for risks like storm surge or inland flooding.

  • @LordZolgonark
    @LordZolgonarkАй бұрын

    The most succinct summary I heard about all this is from Wally Broecker. “The climate system is an angry beast, and we are poking it with sticks.”

  • @TeddyRumble

    @TeddyRumble

    Ай бұрын

    So scientific!!!

  • @phlanxsmurf
    @phlanxsmurfАй бұрын

    Absolutely love your content Dr. Miles. Thanks for posting.

  • @stephenmkahler
    @stephenmkahlerАй бұрын

    This is a wonderful video topic. I've been hoping someone would discuss this for some time.

  • @EllieM_Travels
    @EllieM_TravelsАй бұрын

    I feel very fortunate to have lived in Florida 14 years and only went through Cat 1 & 2 hurricanes. Irma and Ian weren’t direct hits, and when the eye of Nicole passed over us it was a Cat 1. I cannot even imagine a Cat 5 or 6!! Ian was enough of a scare for me.

  • @TheAnticorporatist
    @TheAnticorporatistАй бұрын

    For those who asked: 157 miles per hour = 252.667 kilometers per hour

  • @larrybuzbee7344
    @larrybuzbee7344Ай бұрын

    I and many others saw this coming 50 years ago. It's basic thermodynamics; increase the total energy of a closed system with continuous flow and you get more intense fluctuations in local disorder. Entropy always wins in the end.

  • @dieterkonig5588
    @dieterkonig5588Ай бұрын

    To catogorize storms by windspeed falls short today in my opinion. Hurricanes pick up much more moisture now than before. They often move slower over the warmer ocean and at landfall the amount of rain can cause realy a lot of demage - although the windspeed is 'only' category 4.

  • @turtletom8383

    @turtletom8383

    Ай бұрын

    Less people die now than ever from storms been the trend. Stuff just cost more so damages estimate way higher it's propaganda for climate change

  • @TeddyRumble

    @TeddyRumble

    Ай бұрын

    And your PhD was in what, again???

  • @baneverything5580

    @baneverything5580

    Ай бұрын

    Laura in Louisiana was cat 5...but they lied to reduce federal aid. See Michael too...they were neglected as well.

  • @turtletom8383

    @turtletom8383

    Ай бұрын

    Fair point but needing more than a 5 is propaganda

  • @turtletom8383

    @turtletom8383

    Ай бұрын

    @@baneverything5580 wtf they lie the other way

  • @jamesreid8638
    @jamesreid8638Ай бұрын

    Sandy was a pretty big storm in the US, and close to 1800 km in diameter, very late in the season, where much of the precipitation fell as snow, with a substantial storm surge.

  • @blair56561
    @blair56561Ай бұрын

    The presentation of data and analysis in this video is very valuable for people that can understand it. Most people are not concerned with weather, and most have not been educated to comprehend the ins and outs of severe weather occurrences. What most people do understand is numerical ratings. In my opinion 1-5 should remain the standard ratings for severe weather phenomenons. I don’t see any reason to complicate it and add another numerical rating. The folks that rely on significant weather ratings to determine their safety will never need to know the difference between a cat. 5 hurricane and a cat. 6. Same goes for the Fujita scale. 1-5!

  • @khalifacoe3694

    @khalifacoe3694

    Ай бұрын

    Completely agreed; quite frankly all information is made available by NOAA/NWS. Problem is the general public doesn’t care enough to understand/educate themselves about the weather. I find it amusing some of the people in the comments are berating our weather services for trying to help folks keep composure.

  • @micheletwilkinson-penningt6940
    @micheletwilkinson-penningt6940Ай бұрын

    1st time viewer. Loved the content & presentation!!! Glad i found this.

  • @hgbugalou
    @hgbugalouАй бұрын

    If there is any positive notes is there is some degree of uncertainty about if larger hurricanes can produce those high end wind speeds, even with significant increases with avg ocean temp rises. This may actually lead to smaller, more compact, but exceedingly powerful storms like Patricia. We don't really know enough though on how these systems will behave long term after a few eye wall replacement cycles and if they will maintain their size or if they will spin down some strength wise but greatly expand their wind fields. In fact the over all variables guiding a tropical warm core storm's overall size is poorly understood. We have seen storms the size of a few counties all the way to storms that could cover half of the US and with eyewall wind speeds that are high or low regardless of the size. Meteorologists have a lot of work to do here in the coming years.

  • @TimFrench-tx1xj
    @TimFrench-tx1xjАй бұрын

    Excellent. Summary is spot on.

  • @jimk8520
    @jimk8520Ай бұрын

    And people living in danger zones wonder why their insurance keeps going up. Smh

  • @alphared4655

    @alphared4655

    Ай бұрын

    What do you expect to do?? The insurance companies are greedy AF. You deal with them and see how you feel when they won't cover a fence because it wasn't made of the right wood or some crap they make an excuse to not have to pay up. I've given my insurance company 20,000 over the past ten years and they don't move a muscle and it still keeps going up.

  • @jimk8520

    @jimk8520

    Ай бұрын

    @@alphared4655 Don’t have the pocket for it? Move to safer (lower insurance rate) areas.

  • @secretagentcat

    @secretagentcat

    Ай бұрын

    the part that fills me with such anger is the fact WE KNEW that climate change was going to be bad. But humanity needs INFINITE consumption. we are poking at a bear we can't even see yet. i hope that humanity can come together, because a lot of collapse related things are starting to rise quickly, and i've noticed more videos calling it out just disappear or get cut in video. We could've done something but people would rather be docile and selfish. I wish i wasnt disabled i want to do actual things for humanity, even when they are walking straight into the storms.

  • @user-hz6cx3zh1y
    @user-hz6cx3zh1yАй бұрын

    I’d need to see more data to be totally convinced. Listened to arguments against this idea previously.

  • @Isabella.s414
    @Isabella.s414Ай бұрын

    Hit by Ian …. These things are unimaginably powerful. Where they make landfall is hard to mark until the landfall is actually underway. I’ve been hearing this season will be intense. Have there ever been a landfall in the same spot?

  • @Trahzy

    @Trahzy

    Ай бұрын

    Charley in '04 was Ian's strength and landed in the exact same spot, almost exactly. Punta Gorda/Ft Myers.

  • @amandagodkin3296

    @amandagodkin3296

    12 күн бұрын

    Most definitely! Where I live in South Louisiana we have taken no less than 8 direct hits in my lifetime Ida, Katrina, Rita, Andrew, Juan, Camille, Betsey, Isaac

  • @photohounds
    @photohoundsАй бұрын

    For the first time in history? Ah hes start in 1950 - a known LOW activity period. Not so fast . . . look at THE GREAT Hurricane of 1780

  • @photohounds

    @photohounds

    Ай бұрын

    Must have been terrifying . . . 6x1 inch planks, driven right through Tree trunks, only a few stone buildings left (partly) standing. NO vegetation at all survived on the islands it hit, and neither did any man-made structure. NOTHING was left standing. If there had been a trillion dollars worth of real estate there in those days, THAT would have been the damage bill.

  • @TeddyRumble

    @TeddyRumble

    Ай бұрын

    His records go back 3 billion years, lol.

  • @CosmicFlux

    @CosmicFlux

    Ай бұрын

    It is true that "first time in history" might be inaccurate, but data that old isn't exactly reliable. Possibly "first time in reliably recorded history" would be a better choice of words. Does it really matter though? The point of this video was about trends now, not an outlier ~300 years ago. That storm could have been a 1 in a 1000 years storm. Yet, we are starting to have multiple of these 1 in 1000 years storms in a single century.

  • @i_am_a_toast_of_french

    @i_am_a_toast_of_french

    Ай бұрын

    records before the 1950s were incomplete, had trash data, and no one was tracking hurricanes as their full time job back then

  • @sargentrowell81
    @sargentrowell81Ай бұрын

    Wow. We're in an era where not only is the EF scale for Tornadoes possibly being re-invented so to speak to more properly reflect all conditions around the life of a tornado and not only damage, but hurricanes are also about to get a modification to their ranking scale? That's pretty crazy.

  • @genomccoy5885
    @genomccoy5885Ай бұрын

    Hurricane Dorian should be upgraded to a cat 6, and Patricia should be upgraded to cat 7!

  • @noway6690
    @noway6690Ай бұрын

    This is crazy, THE FASTEST WIND SPEEDS WE HAVE EVER "RECORDED" (OVER WATER). People keep forgetting that "ever recorded" has nothing to do with "never seen before" or "never happened".

  • @LeiffNathanAMendoza
    @LeiffNathanAMendozaАй бұрын

    True all effects must be coded and since change is constant all shall be considerably adapt

  • @ReesCatOphuls
    @ReesCatOphulsАй бұрын

    14:38 "we are on 1.1C" ... What data set, what baseline, and what smoothing are you using. Using a 10 year + quadratic best fit for copernicus, on the 1850-1900 baseline we are around 1.4C.

  • @lilblackduc7312
    @lilblackduc7312Ай бұрын

    "If you torture the data long enough, it will confess to anything".

  • @i_am_a_toast_of_french

    @i_am_a_toast_of_french

    Ай бұрын

    there isn't much data here to torture tho... it's hard to cherrypick

  • @genomccoy5885
    @genomccoy5885Ай бұрын

    Category 6 and Category 7 may as well add them to the saffir simpson scale

  • @markmcleod6376
    @markmcleod6376Ай бұрын

    Great video Ben. One correction, the Galveston hurricane in 1900 was the worst death toll of any US hurricane. In fact it may still be the highest death toll of any US natural disaster. It’s worth reading about.( I’m correcting the news clip, not you BTW.)

  • @NickHarger
    @NickHargerАй бұрын

    No one will take a category 3 or 4 seriously if there were 6 categories.

  • @blucat4

    @blucat4

    Ай бұрын

    Their stupidity is not our problem. *Some* people will take it seriously.

  • @joyfullone3968

    @joyfullone3968

    Ай бұрын

    I lived in FL for 20 years, some people will take every category seriously and some people will not take any category seriously. I left FL in 2020 I knew it was just gonna get worse. The insurance rates in FL are becoming out of reach for many!

  • @Andrew_Murro
    @Andrew_MurroАй бұрын

    Another comment that probably shadow banned here is that it is not correct to say that storms are increasingly causing more damage prove hurricanes are more powerful. All it means is there is more real estate and more expensive real estate to damage. Wind speed, rain, and storm surge determine to “power” of a hurricane, and that has not statistically worsened according to the organizations like the National hurricane center

  • @blucat4

    @blucat4

    Ай бұрын

    The wind speed has gone up, which is precisely the measure that this video addresses.

  • @TeddyRumble

    @TeddyRumble

    Ай бұрын

    A BILLION MILES PER HOUR!!!​@@blucat4

  • @Andrew_Murro

    @Andrew_Murro

    Ай бұрын

    I suggest you read the actual numbers from the National hurricane center. There is no upward trend in hurricane intensity, meaning wind speed This claim is not supported by the facts. We would all be a bit more informed about reality if we took the time to NOT blindly follow false claims. I like Ben’s work, but he is wrong on this. @@blucat4

  • @Andrew_Murro

    @Andrew_Murro

    Ай бұрын

    Interesting. Then why are there no more cat 5s, no more cat 4s, no more Cat 3s than in the past. If wind speeds are increasing by any statistical amount you would actually see more hurricanes in the upper categories. Yet there are no more. This is more unscientific babble @@blucat4

  • @dalehalliday3578
    @dalehalliday3578Ай бұрын

    very interesting. One minor quibble -- being a science geek, it would be nice if you consistently used metric measures (imperial could be in brackets). Miles and miles per hour kept interrupting my train of thought as I deciphered it.

  • @i_am_a_toast_of_french

    @i_am_a_toast_of_french

    Ай бұрын

    tropical cyclone wind speeds are normally measured in knots lol

  • @charlestaylor3195
    @charlestaylor3195Ай бұрын

    I think man is capable of making buildings that withstand or work with the characteristics of a storm to minimize property damage and loss of life especially in the areas that frequently sustain damage during hurricane season. If landfall makes a storm weaker, we could design structures or shape the ground to weaken the storm even more.

  • @TeddyRumble

    @TeddyRumble

    Ай бұрын

    A BILLION miles per hour!!!!!

  • @sk8rjoel567
    @sk8rjoel567Ай бұрын

    I like the spaceballs reference. Cat7 ludicrous speed. At what category does a hurricane go plaid?

  • @ravenken
    @ravenkenАй бұрын

    I think that at the end of this year (2024) the S&S Scale will need to add Cat 7 and possibly Cat 8. It's going to be wild. Also, it appears you really don't have a handle on how bad things are. You mentioned we are at 1.1C above. Woah, you are off. Also, you seem to think that this warming is on some type of switch. Sorry, it is going to get a lot warmer a lot quicker now. You seem to be driving by looking out the back window. I do agree that we need to modify the scale. As a society, we are very exposed to tremendous ($) damage and the insurance markets are beginning to reflect that.

  • @secretagentcat

    @secretagentcat

    Ай бұрын

    yeah its all over. china is already feeling the climate belt with all the record floodings. it flooded in BEIJING, a city known for not being very susceptable to weather events like that. humanity is slowly walking into it's demise, its pathetic how bad most people dont get it. Call your congressmen, VOTE, use your 2A, because this WILL get worse. and to people who think hurricanes can be controlled, you are brainlets. and to anybody living near a hurricane prone area I hope you stay safe.

  • @djkfrmdubuque4762
    @djkfrmdubuque4762Ай бұрын

    9:37 is that CA?

  • @hgbugalou
    @hgbugalouАй бұрын

    One thing you did not mention that is also a major factor in damage and lives being lost is hurricanes are not only able to get stronger with warmer oceans, they can also rapidly intensify much more quickly. In the past 7 or 8 years I have seen far more dramatic RI cycles including Huricanes Patricia as you noted, Michael, Idalia, Ian, and Ida among a few others and thats not even looking at t he western pacific. All had significant strength changes in under 24 (and some even less than that) hours at the upper end of forecast guidance. This can be deadly as people on the coast may see a cat 1 coming 2 days out and decide to stay put only for it to RI to a cat 4 or 5 just a day or less prior to landfall. This was a major issue with Ian and Michael.

  • @turtletom8383

    @turtletom8383

    Ай бұрын

    I grew up in Miami that's nothing new that's how hurricanes work

  • @turtletom8383

    @turtletom8383

    Ай бұрын

    Less people die due to weather then ever were good stop the climate fear campagne

  • @hgbugalou

    @hgbugalou

    Ай бұрын

    @@turtletom8383 simple not true. Some Hurricanes have had RI cycles for sure, but RI cycles are measurably faster and making more intense peaks over the past 10 years. I've been tracking hurricanes for almost 30 years.

  • @turtletom8383

    @turtletom8383

    Ай бұрын

    @@hgbugalou that's not long in wether

  • @norman6492

    @norman6492

    Ай бұрын

    And Hurricane Otis was another prime example. It exploded from an 80 mph Cat 1 to a 165 mph Cat 5 within 12 hours. Nobody in the path knew what was happening until it was too late.

  • @williamcrockett8511
    @williamcrockett8511Ай бұрын

    I was going to say typhoons are over Pacific Ocean

  • @robertwells1989
    @robertwells1989Ай бұрын

    The research by Werner and Kossin seems to contrast with review by Knutson NOAA/Geophysical fluid dynamics research lab, 2024, Global Warming and Hurricanes, An Overview of Current Research Results. The knutson review also highlights uncertainty on future predictions and even latest trend analysis. Of particular note was the mention of Swanson, 2008, who corrected data for previous under-reporting compared to present day due to observation methods. Also of note was lack of confidence in attribution to AGW by many studies. Note that even when attributions were made with medium confidence, that translates (in IPCC speak) to 5/10. To me, thats more like "really not too sure".

  • @maurenemorgan5814
    @maurenemorgan5814Ай бұрын

    Wish Miles addressed Acapulco devastation.

  • @pandemik0
    @pandemik0Ай бұрын

    Each category in the Saffir-Simpson scale spans roughly 20% higher than the last. A category 7 is justfied in 188mph-226mph which Hurricane Partricia was in the middle of. Wind force goes up with the cube of speed so each 20% is more like 70% more force.

  • @FrancisFjordCupola
    @FrancisFjordCupolaАй бұрын

    Well... our scales are of course based on our experiences. We change the conditions we live in and our experiences will change. Attaching a number to anything like hurricanes allows us to reason about things like weather and expectations of what issues we will face after the phenomenon has passed. Having to add another category on top of things that were bad can hopefully have the good influence of some people reconsidering if we are going in the direction we want to be going and change their lifestyles.

  • @dylonpress7034
    @dylonpress703428 күн бұрын

    The only things i know about hurricanes is that they create strong winds, cause flooding, and lead to higher sales of boats

  • @puppybasket3906
    @puppybasket3906Ай бұрын

    You might want to take a look at the unprecedented ocean temperatures that have taken hold this year already. Looking at all the factors I am thinking it is going to be breaking records. Florida, while not the only spot, is becoming the Petri dish for global warming dangers in the US. Not only are storms getting worse, the beaches are disappearing, the are outbreak central for diseases and a preview of what will happen when the insurance industry just bails from an area.

  • @spokenme08
    @spokenme08Ай бұрын

    They could do a damage based scale like we do with Tornadoes. The weather weenies will argue regardless. If the analogs are correct then this year is going to be wild.

  • @Trahzy

    @Trahzy

    Ай бұрын

    If it were possible to measure the exact wind of every tornado in the first place, they probably would. It's easy to with hurricanes.

  • @chrissscottt
    @chrissscotttАй бұрын

    A metrologist specializes in measurement whereas a meteorologist specializes in weather.

  • @WilliamPhillips-og4be
    @WilliamPhillips-og4be29 күн бұрын

    What if the storms aren’t getting stronger, but our weather systems are getting more accurate with technological advances?

  • @martin5504
    @martin5504Ай бұрын

    When did records begin?

  • @eniax

    @eniax

    Ай бұрын

    Exactly. Satellite measurement data began in the early 80s I think.

  • @yorkshireplumbing

    @yorkshireplumbing

    Ай бұрын

    Doesn't matter, they'll just alter them anyway like they have temps.

  • @TeddyRumble

    @TeddyRumble

    Ай бұрын

    His records go back 3 billion years. Just ask him. Fear mongering click bait.

  • @eniax

    @eniax

    Ай бұрын

    @@TeddyRumble lol... sarcasm right?

  • @TeddyRumble

    @TeddyRumble

    Ай бұрын

    @@eniax that stack of temperature records is like 80 feet high!!! Impressive! Tower of Babel!

  • @robertbiolsi9815
    @robertbiolsi9815Ай бұрын

    New Orleans made it thru the worst of Katrina .It was the poor construction of the levys that should have held but didn't .

  • @LuvBorderCollies

    @LuvBorderCollies

    Ай бұрын

    Rampant corruption in the New Orleans city govt prevented the needed upgrades and maintenance on the levees and related parts. Yes, Katrina would be a non-topic if the levees were in the condition they were supposed to be.

  • @The_hot_blue_fire_guy
    @The_hot_blue_fire_guyАй бұрын

    One idea is to add both imperial and metric units in the video, instead of just choosing one or the other just use both.

  • @cabanford
    @cabanfordАй бұрын

    Cat 6 -> "Tornadocaine"

  • @Earthneedsado-over177

    @Earthneedsado-over177

    Ай бұрын

    Tycyclocain. Ask your doctor if 215 mph winds and 20 ft of water is right for you.

  • @cabanford

    @cabanford

    Ай бұрын

    @@Earthneedsado-over177 hahaha 🤣

  • @randydyck9353
    @randydyck9353Ай бұрын

    Thank you Ben. Yes we need a cat 6 label. Just like trying to stop a car, you square the power required to stop for each 10 mph. In your example they cube the power for wind speed. Cat 6 is needed.

  • @tgifford4
    @tgifford4Ай бұрын

    The Moore, Oklahoma, tornado was 300+ mph.

  • @innerfield5481
    @innerfield5481Ай бұрын

    The first time in “history”. Eh 😂 Really what since the last ice age? This is not science it’s tabloid hyperbole. There are loads of huge storms in recorded history. If you’re comfortable sacrificing your credibility for a weeks worth of click bait. Sure that’s your decision. But I’ve moved you site from the credible column to the BS column.

  • @TeddyRumble

    @TeddyRumble

    Ай бұрын

    You dare not question the priesthood, oops, I mean scientists!

  • @i_am_a_toast_of_french

    @i_am_a_toast_of_french

    Ай бұрын

    prehistory vs history, learn the difference

  • @anguinechip
    @anguinechipАй бұрын

    Question: Has Europe hurricanes or something like that?

  • @astrovation3281

    @astrovation3281

    Ай бұрын

    very rarely and they're weaker

  • @prezzJ
    @prezzJАй бұрын

    Here's a simple answer. Keep your Cat1-Cat5 system. If a Hurricane ever reaches 225mph sustained then classify it as a "Supercane" We already have the "Hypercane" theory, so apply a medium concept between what's classified as that and a Hurricane.

  • @JupiterCamelz
    @JupiterCamelzАй бұрын

    Too much frequency within the new weather mod machine 😂🤷🏾‍♂️

  • @Fiscals_Organics
    @Fiscals_OrganicsАй бұрын

    Gentle reminder that the thumbnail is completely inaccurate , largest cat 5 was maybe the size of number 2-3 if that , the hell you getting a hurricane the size of africa

  • @eugenethomson1181
    @eugenethomson1181Ай бұрын

    Glad you use mph

  • @Khannea
    @KhanneaАй бұрын

    These are amazingly wet hurricanes, from the standpoint of water.

  • @Earthneedsado-over177

    @Earthneedsado-over177

    Ай бұрын

    They are bad from the standpoint of badly.

  • @Khannea

    @Khannea

    Ай бұрын

    @@Earthneedsado-over177 Greatly embiggened.

  • @TeddyRumble

    @TeddyRumble

    Ай бұрын

    YES!!! Hurricane NEVER produced rain before!!!

  • @arcadiaberger9204
    @arcadiaberger9204Ай бұрын

    As the atmosphere gets warmer, wind speeds will get higher. Count on it. An SF novel from the 1990s featured a terrifying possibility: there is no reason to think that wind speeds in hurricanes cannot exceed the speed of sound. What kind of damage could a Mach-Plus storm cause? Especially if it is powerful enough to keep going while passing over land? How might it scour away forests, farms and cities?

  • @photohounds

    @photohounds

    Ай бұрын

    You mean like the GREAT HURRICANE of 1780 DID? Must have been terrifying 6x1 inch planks, driven right through Tree trunks, only a few stone buildings left (partly) standing. NO vegetation at all survived on the islands it hit, and neither did any man-made structure. NOTHING was left standing. If there had been a trillion dollars worth of real estate there, THAT would have been the damage bill.

  • @TeddyRumble

    @TeddyRumble

    Ай бұрын

    No climate emergency.

  • @TeddyRumble

    @TeddyRumble

    Ай бұрын

    LOL. You're laughable.

  • @TeddyRumble

    @TeddyRumble

    Ай бұрын

    ​@@photohounds1780, obviously a product of the soon to come Industrial Revolution

  • @tymbaone1

    @tymbaone1

    Ай бұрын

    Are you speaking of John Barnes, Mother Of Storms? If not, i'd be interested in knowing which book you're refering to. John Barnes made some amazing predictions regarding weather phenomena and geopolitical and technological trends.

  • @user-ez5qc4ok4r
    @user-ez5qc4ok4rАй бұрын

    Any study of the long term weather patterns will show that the earth's climate has always been dynamic, and as the earth is now at the end of a glaciation period, of course the weather will change. more serious education and less fearmongering will benefit people more than the hysteria that has taken hold of certain self interest groups.

  • @GreenBlueWalkthrough
    @GreenBlueWalkthroughАй бұрын

    By the way the thumbnail is a gross exagration... The cat system does not work that way...

  • @jamesschmidt2817
    @jamesschmidt2817Ай бұрын

    Insurance companies know this that’s why they jacked their rates so much.

  • @curtisbrown5939
    @curtisbrown5939Ай бұрын

    That's what y'all said last year,and every year.

  • @astrovation3281

    @astrovation3281

    Ай бұрын

    Yes and it's coming more true

  • @jun31d_14

    @jun31d_14

    Ай бұрын

    Yes because it happened every year

  • @curtisbrown5939

    @curtisbrown5939

    Ай бұрын

    @@jun31d_14 no it didn't,last year it was supposed to be a "record year" for violent hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico, there was ZERO

  • @jun31d_14

    @jun31d_14

    Ай бұрын

    @@curtisbrown5939 Every year the conditions are more and more favourable for those hurricanes to form, that’s why they keep on saying this every year, cause the chances of it happening every year is more favourable for the development of record breaking ones, it doesn’t mean it will happen, the chances of it are simply higher

  • @curtisbrown5939

    @curtisbrown5939

    Ай бұрын

    @@jun31d_14 that literally makes ZERO sense. It seems to me like if they keep saying one thing and the opposite keeps happening that they're more wrong than right. If you keep predicting something it will eventually be correct,then they can jump up and down and say "look I told you so."

  • @solarflares9760
    @solarflares9760Ай бұрын

    Great!!!!!!;

  • @huck2284
    @huck2284Ай бұрын

    Im pretty sure that Hurricane Andrew in 1992 was one of these "extreme" storms and many others before that. Not a fan of altering historical records knowing that Barometers have been around for a very long time and are still used to gauge hurricane strength today. Also, Im pretty sure that the "coriolis effect" has nothing to do with why storms rotate.

  • @incognitotorpedo42

    @incognitotorpedo42

    Ай бұрын

    Ask the Google... Coriolis effect does seem to be the reason.

  • @huck2284

    @huck2284

    Ай бұрын

    @@incognitotorpedo42 I try not to put all my trust in Google. Anticyclonic Tornadoes? Air rotates counter clockwise around low pressure and clockwise around high pressure. I just can't see the logic in something that's "surface based" being affected by Earth's rotation, and I can't understand Why there would be any difference between northern and southern hemispheres when they're both going the same direction?

  • @silverecco

    @silverecco

    Ай бұрын

    @huck2284 The surface rotates fastest at the equator right? It's going to furthest distance per 24hrs. Then as you move toward the poles, molecules have progressively less inertia, but in fluids they will still try to pull the adjacent molecules to some extent. A disk over North America you would spin the bottom (near equator) to the right and get counter-clockwise disk motion. Over South America spin the top (near equator) to the right, and the disk will rotate clockwise. At least I think that's how it works. It would be a pretty minor effect especially in air, and as you mentioned the force can be easily overcome by winds, etc. I wonder why dam spillways aka "glory holes" don't show a spin but sink drains do. Bigger diameter should be greater inertia difference between top and bottom.

  • @huck2284

    @huck2284

    Ай бұрын

    @@silverecco I greatly appreciate you taking the time to explain the concept to me. Ive studied it a good bit but haven't gotten any closer to being able to except the coriolis effect theory. Do you have any idea why our weather systems move in the same direction that the earth spins across north America?

  • @Memessssss
    @MemessssssАй бұрын

    Bro if 2024 has a 200mph storm they gotta add a diff scale 💀

  • @Kierohn

    @Kierohn

    Ай бұрын

    Naw if you look up most powerful hurricane (215 it says it would be cat7💀💀

  • @charlessaunders1217

    @charlessaunders1217

    Ай бұрын

    With high water temps this year, there can be a 200mph hurricane possible

  • @petterlarsson7257
    @petterlarsson7257Ай бұрын

    10:00 DID YOU SERIOUSLY JUST AI INTERPOLATE THAT

  • @stuartsmith8155
    @stuartsmith8155Ай бұрын

    Welcome to the new world.

  • @traitretrudeau2367

    @traitretrudeau2367

    Ай бұрын

    welcome in the matrix

  • @macdietz

    @macdietz

    Ай бұрын

    Where all data will be weaponized for an agenda.

  • @snowtigerko
    @snowtigerkoАй бұрын

    Measuring hurricanes by wind speed alone is definitely outdated, have there been any theoretical hurricane categories based on other elements like air pressure, wind shear, and humidity? Is there even enough data far enough back? There's so many tiny pieces of the puzzle that create these things, wind speed alone is enough for the general public to understand, but it's really not enough for the science and research anymore.

  • @snowtigerko

    @snowtigerko

    Ай бұрын

    Great video btw!!

  • @yetibluedog
    @yetibluedogАй бұрын

    The problem wont be solved with reclassifications; more loss would be expected as they keep ignoring warnings and building in known risk areas, that are general flood zones to begin with.

  • @jacksek12
    @jacksek12Ай бұрын

    Yoi also need to realize there are a more people living on the hurricane coast lines than any time in history, and we have so much data and second by second analysis we cant even compare what was recorded in the past

  • @i_am_a_toast_of_french

    @i_am_a_toast_of_french

    Ай бұрын

    1970s data and onward is reliable

  • @ReesCatOphuls
    @ReesCatOphulsАй бұрын

    14:50 this table needs a source and baseline, otherwise it's just gibberish.Using 1850-1900 all the big institutions put us near 1.5C for the calendar one year average for 2023. Berkeley Earth: 1.54C, Copernicus: 1.48C, NOAA 1.35C. How do you get 1.18C for 2023.

  • @terrific804
    @terrific804Ай бұрын

    "Potential Threat that is looming" redundant-mongering😂

  • @NicoTheProtogen
    @NicoTheProtogenАй бұрын

    They’ve been saying this for years my friend and yet nothing happened

  • @BoxEnjoyer

    @BoxEnjoyer

    Ай бұрын

    Hurricane Patricia...

  • @opinionatedopiner
    @opinionatedopinerАй бұрын

    Let's combine the names into one and just call them Typhhurrclones

  • @anonymeister123
    @anonymeister123Ай бұрын

    Category 3 is wrong. You said 111mph to 219mph

  • @cabanford

    @cabanford

    Ай бұрын

    It was just an audio typo

  • @Earthneedsado-over177

    @Earthneedsado-over177

    Ай бұрын

    It was a boo boo but we can read.

  • @nickbrutanna9973
    @nickbrutanna9973Ай бұрын

    Except it's not. Actual global metrics of total ACE -- Accumulated Cyclone Energy -- has been DECREASING since 1990. This is absolutely the opposite of what would be happening if there was actual substantial warming around the world. Localized issues are not indicative of anything significant except "Oh, crap, we just got fucked... _We_ personally did, not everyone." This is from a study published in Geophysical Letters. 😕

  • @RelianceIndustriesLtd
    @RelianceIndustriesLtdАй бұрын

    Came in like a hurricane

  • @yeetyeet7070
    @yeetyeet7070Ай бұрын

    just add more numbers to the scale

  • @Private-GtngxNMBKvYzXyPq
    @Private-GtngxNMBKvYzXyPq24 күн бұрын

    4:21 You said ‘219’ when I think you mean ‘129’.

  • @SSJ3Palmer
    @SSJ3PalmerАй бұрын

    Rip Akira Toriyama

  • @TheCreator-dx3vc
    @TheCreator-dx3vcАй бұрын

    Anything above 196MPH should just be called Cat X

  • @larryscott3982
    @larryscott3982Ай бұрын

    Metrologist and meteorologist. Really? 3:39

  • @SwordQuake2
    @SwordQuake2Күн бұрын

    0:07 murican news are a meme...

  • @magicsinglez
    @magicsinglezАй бұрын

    We’re having an increase in power, alright.

  • @SkyeTerry-888
    @SkyeTerry-888Ай бұрын

    Why is nobody talking about Weather Modification as the cause?

  • @i_am_a_toast_of_french

    @i_am_a_toast_of_french

    Ай бұрын

    because they tried to stop hurricanes with it but it didn't work

  • @marcsorensen2985
    @marcsorensen2985Ай бұрын

    enter the hypercane a whole new storm type.

  • @BassBashin
    @BassBashinАй бұрын

    I was told Katrina was so bad because the levees broke. By someone who lived in the area. If the levees didn’t break it wouldn’t have been so bad. Human error is the main problem here.

  • @eliinthewolverinestate6729
    @eliinthewolverinestate6729Ай бұрын

    Really? I thought cutting SO2 that causes condensation from ship tracks means more hurricanes, ocean boiling, and drought in Panama. After 1980s, reductions in particulate emissions have also caused a "partial" reversal of the dimming trend, which has sometimes been described as a global brightening aka global warming. In the near future, global brightening is expected to continue, as nations act to reduce the toll of air pollution on the health of their citizens. This also means that less of global warming would be masked in the future. After 1990, the global dimming trend had clearly switched to global brightening. And the fact La Nina is coming again. Tonga volcano added 14% more moisture in atmosphere. Which put all together climate alarmist are making hurricanes worse. Through cutting emission that cause condensation and by global brightening allowing more moisture for hurricane fuel.

  • @i_am_a_toast_of_french

    @i_am_a_toast_of_french

    Ай бұрын

    tonga volcano is irrelevant since it happened in shem

  • @brunobastos5533
    @brunobastos5533Ай бұрын

    of course they over estimate , everything to fit the narrative , if they underestimate no one cares . like the we enter the Anthropocene cooldown by the geologists saying no we not , but some force this narratives

  • @punditgi
    @punditgiАй бұрын

    Please don't leave out metric values in your fine videos. Both KZread and English are global. Thanks! 😊

  • @Dqtube

    @Dqtube

    Ай бұрын

    ​@@TheDankFarmerIf we talk about wind speed we often use m/s( as the derived SI unit ) and multiply by 0,44704 in head is not easy for everyone. So for some folks I can be helpful. Not everyone enjoys math.

  • @user-qb2jn9zh9i
    @user-qb2jn9zh9iАй бұрын

    Americans should remember what they owe their independence to and not be afraid of any Patricia. Let me also remind you that those ancient events took place during the Little Ice Age, when temperatures dropped to their lowest levels in almost ten thousand years.

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