How The Falin-Kvitsinsky Doctrine Led To War in Europe.
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Production: Hubert Walas
Research & analysis: Wojciech Jakóbik
Copyedit: Hubert Walas
Video production: Kacper Machniowski
Voiceover: Hubert Walas
Music: Alice in Winter - Nuclear Conception
Sound realisation: Dominik Kojder
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#Russia #Ukraine #war #gas
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@QuizmasterLaw
Ай бұрын
Just published "Ukraine's War: Strategy and Tactics to Victory" on that famous online bookseller. Includes free preview. You might enjoy it. :) Ukraine will win!
@frankthetank5708
Ай бұрын
You only missed one important point in your analysis about Germany electricity production: The nuclear fuel for the German reactors has come from Russia. Changing the supplier wasn't possible without massive investion.
7:50 I need to mention that this blackmails with gas prices wasn't for the first time. For decades. They used it against Ukrainian reforms, coalition, to prolong their military presence in Ukraine(this is how they captured Crimea later) and so on
@annoyingcommentator1582
Ай бұрын
I am happy to be ruled by "experts" who did not discuss this when making political decisions about making Germany depended on Russia. When did that start? All I read in the papers as a kid was "Stupid cringe Poles opposed to Nordstream because of WW2 salt".
@hyhhy
Ай бұрын
@@annoyingcommentator1582 Willy Brandt's "Ostpolitik" started in Germany in 1969. Not exactly a new thing. It was mentioned in the video too. Maybe you should learn some history.
@SA2004YG
Ай бұрын
@annoyingcommentator1582 do you think it would of been better to maintain cold war conditions with Russia?
@hyhhy
Ай бұрын
@@SA2004YG We would probably still have the USSR with us then, as the deal Gorbachev made to end the Cold War entailed opening trade relations and winding down the militaries for both sides. These policies (and concessions related to them) led to the USSR's fall.
@cyberpunkalphamale
Ай бұрын
@@hyhhy The USSR didn't fall, it was unilaterally dismantled by Gorbacheva and Yeltsin
Hey who else is glad that hubert narrated this video?
@swedishfish2357
Ай бұрын
Kinda sounds like an Ayyyy Eye version bit I might be cray
@dosmastrify
Ай бұрын
@@swedishfish2357 They can do that now, possible, I don't hear it though
Thank you for remember the role of Merkel. She was responsable for the two main problems in today's Europe: mass emigration and energy dependence.
@nkristianschmidt
Ай бұрын
plus military nudism, labor market retardation, lack of financial discipline, excessive media control and disregard for the German flag.
@mortmortannon6640
Ай бұрын
Europe is in serious demographic decline, migration is one way to combat that. Improving relations with a former adversary via trade is also not unreasonable. It’s easy now to hate on this with 20/20 hindsight. But if you go digging into other european policies you find the same elements. It’s just fashionable to single out GER as the entertainment value of „Molotov-Ribbentrop 2.0“ just gets more clicks.
@paulocruz1544
Ай бұрын
@@mortmortannon6640 the question here is the intensity of both massive emigration with no rules or proper integration and being over dependent on one single-trouble-making-country in a strategic question as the energy sources. But she was raised in East Germany and spoke fluent russian. Conspiracy?
@thatrandomguyontheinternet2477
Ай бұрын
Emigration? So is everyone running away from Europe?
@joythought
Ай бұрын
@@mortmortannon6640 true but has Germany learned from the failure of appeasement and acceptance of a belligerent Russia in active hybrid war with the EU and NATO? Your leadership still want to appease Herr Putin.
Good as always GTBT As you say we need to extract raw resources here in Europe instead of buying from china its time to become independent of critical materials
@SA2004YG
Ай бұрын
Europe? Don't you mean Africa?
@toasteroven6761
Ай бұрын
Yeah we can't be repeating mistakes like this.
@TheGrace020
Ай бұрын
@@SA2004YG theres "rare" materials in Europe we just havent extracted them because of pollution and expensense that will change though already is in Sweden
@jeffbenton6183
Ай бұрын
@@TheGrace020Thanks for the update on Swedish mining. I wish all of you in Europe the best in these endeavors. Another thing that would help a great deal is greater investment in the nuclear sector. Nuclear involves a third of the mining of solar or wind, even before considering the mining required for battery storage (this includes all the uranium needed for 40 years of operations). You could get more uranium than you could ever possibly need from Canada and Australia (competition would prevent either one from trying to extort) It's just as they used to say in France, "we don't have oil, but we have ideas."
@User-CT-55555
29 күн бұрын
Not all reserves are expansive like china Just increase tariffs and be selective about which resources to save and which to, you guys took over other countries for a few reasons. Resource reserves were one
i remember Dzokhar Dudaev predicting a fight for crimea back in the 90s
@ivanbastos4963
Ай бұрын
There was no war for crimea.
@smallpseudonym2844
Ай бұрын
@@ivanbastos4963 It's right now, genius.
@GuitarTherapy144
Ай бұрын
Lol @@ivanbastos4963
@sleeping_beauty322
Ай бұрын
@@matyaksenton4301the West cheered when Yeltsin shelled Russian parliament in 1993 and rigged elections in 1996, you weren't unaware, you were creating it yourselves willingly.
@Pilvenuga
Ай бұрын
2014 wasnt the first time russians tried to make a move on crimea, there was another attempt in the 90s but Ukrainians were too strong back then and their security agencies dealt with it
And now Russia will have to put itself in dependence of another buyer... China
Why did the "Power of Siberia 2" pipeline to China not negotiated? If Russian gas was so cheap, why would China refuse to deal? Putin himself went to close the deal, but nope. Russia is learning that it is hard to find good customers.
@tx-ur4qw
Ай бұрын
Why make the deal if they will eventually just annex the region.
@dogsbecute
Ай бұрын
@@tx-ur4qw that chinese annexation wont happen no where near within the timeframe a cheap deal would ostensibly cover. i think its more likely that the chinese see how the russians operate, as its similar to their modus operandi, and they dont wish to entertain that idea. The chinese do it with their belt and road initiative. The russians use their gas, instead.
@worldeconomicfella3228
Ай бұрын
@kyoungd China knows exactly how Russia operates and has learned from the mistakes of the EU. They will never rely solely for Russia on energy.
@hyhhy
Ай бұрын
@@worldeconomicfella3228 The EU is now basically solely dependent on US-controlled energy... Before, it was not solely dependent on either Russia or the US. Now the US can (and does) rip the EU off massively with energy. This is why the EU's economy is doing even worse than it already did before.
@CMY187
Ай бұрын
@@hyhhyHello again, hyhhy. I see you’re still supporting Russia.
Fossil fuels: reasons to minimize dependence upon - numerous. Reasons to rely solely upon: none.
interesting to hear that soviet era strategy already to weaponize energy. I never heard of that and it is useful counterpoint for pro putin views that russia wasnt passively "provoked" but actively created these crisis in europe past decades after soviet union, following soviet plans.
@dogsbecute
Ай бұрын
there is no need for any counterpoints, as their argument lacks any merit, and entertaining them by trying to disprove them only legitimizes their idea, they dont want to listen, they want to speak, you wont change their views, those people are called Tanky's.
@effexon
Ай бұрын
@@dogsbecute Im more thinking towards Merkel type appeasement... maybe russians were clever in hiding all this and delayed it all until all was set and invasion started 2022... preparing 10-20years that dependence and western politicians took blind eye to it as it concerned more eastern europe not germany afaik. If Merkel and others knew about these problems when they were making these gaspipe plans 15-20 years ago Im truly baffled what were they thinking. It is possible politicians in their ambitions ignore red flags.
@effexon
Ай бұрын
@@dogsbecute idk if reply went away but I was thinking Merkel and what they were thinking making gas contracts with russia(many others did too)... could be politician ambition to get things done blind to red flags despite warnings. Truly baffling to me are Marine Le Pen type people who underestimate their voters to use pro russia propaganda talking points and to me seems they do it deliberately as it is consistent. Opportunism at finest which is disappointing coz their cause and support base is real but not for that issue.... they wouldnt need to use that theme.
Wandel durch Handel translates to Change through trade, not change for trade.
@mortmortannon6640
Ай бұрын
That probably sounded too reasonable for the creator’s taste.
@jeffbenton6183
Ай бұрын
@mortmortannon6640 Not likely. Neither German nor English is the presenters first language. It's a small mistake and the meaning is clear either way.
@DerPoto
Ай бұрын
He’s pronouncing the th like f because of his accent, which makes it sound like „for“ instead of „through“ compare it with when he says „through“ a few seconds later
You don't really need a video to understand that EUrope is screwed when it comes to energy. Why they moved away from Nuclear power is a total mystery. And importing Muslims was doubling down on further insanity.
@Wustenfuchs109
Ай бұрын
That's because Europe does not have a steady source of nuclear fuel... and countries within it that do, would again hold the power against those who don't. That is why the green energy initiative is dominating in Europe - the point is to make an energy source that is independent of a foreign power/import. Even if it is expensive and requires a lot more investment to cover all the needs, it is much better from strategic and security standpoint than depending on import... however cheap it might be. It is a long term strategy and a very smart one. It has little to do with "healthy environment" and almost everything with making countries independent from energy (or fuel) imports for industry. Still, hydrocarbons will dominate the transportation sector for a very long time, but if the primary industries and energy needs for the network can be produced in-country completely, for regardless how much money - that's a winner! As for Muslim import, that too is a long term game. Elites don't really care about what working class thinks, how they behave etc. Europe has a huge population problem - not enough reproduction. And high(er) standards of living have caused many people to avoid very bad jobs in the first two industrial sectors - we all strive to work in the third. In case you don't know, first is raw resource extraction and heavy industry, secondary is light industry and good manufacture, third are basically all services. Not patronizing you, just mentioning as not everyone knows the basic distribution of economy sectors. The goal is to offset the population decline by Muslim immigration and have those migrants work in the lower paying jobs, leaving better jobs for domestic population. And it also comes in handy in the future, if something really bad happens, you will always have a population that is not fully integrated, that you can put a blame on. Yes, it creates a fairly unstable society, but that is the point. The jobs will get done, consumption will not fall, and there will always be enough tension within the society and blame-game so that some fails and problems can be masked by "Hey, look at those different folks, it must be THEIR fault!". Europe cannot operate the way it did until now. The world is changing. And the way it worked in our lifetime was not how it always worked - in Europe it changes drastically over the course of history when the world stage changes - so it is really nothing new. It is new to US because we live in the time of change. But, on a historical scale, this is nothing new for Europe. Times start to change, elites want to stay elites so they start implementing policies that will benefit THEM primarily in that new world that is growing around them. It has nothing to do with the wishes of the people - to be fair, smart politician never really bothers too much with that. Because people, even if they managed to unify in a certain request, they would not know how to go around doing it. "We want affordable energy and not to depend on anyone!!!" - sure, sure... and how do you plan to do that? "We want quality and high paying jobs that do not reduce our standard of living!!!" - of course you do, and how do you plan on doing that in a world riddled with economic crisis and recession? People have desires, but they have absolutely no idea how to make them happen. They never did. If they did, they would be implementing them, not talking about them in vague and usually meaningless terms. "I want a better life!!!" - as do we all, but the term "better" is subjective and in the terms of policy it means #uck all my friend.
@thomas19994
Ай бұрын
You went from energy policies to all out racism in the span of a sentence. Pretty impressive.
@SuperLusername
Ай бұрын
@@Wustenfuchs109 Your argument against importing uranium is completely not true. I see that you aim at France, implying it would dominate imports from its former African colonies. But that is simply not the case. Even France receives only a small minority of it's uranium from its former colonies. Here are top uranium producing countries in order from most to least: Kazakhstan (45% of world production), Namibia (former Portuguese colony) (12%), Canada, Australia, Uzbekistan, Russia, Niger (former French colony), China, India, Ukraine. So with Ukraine we would have uranium resources on our doorstep - OR within EU even. The rest is a pretty diverse bunch of EU allies, rivals and non-aligned countries. There is zero, I repeat, ZERO, NADA, ZILCH geopolitical risk in using nuclear energy.
@thorwaldjohanson2526
Ай бұрын
@@thomas19994it has noting to do with race but rather incompatible ideology / culture.
@CarlosSpicyWang
Ай бұрын
@@thomas19994Islam is a religion not a race. And muslims are not compatible with European cultures.
Saaremaa and Hiiumaa are wrong/missing on every map you show, but you top that 100x by giving Crimea a different color than the rest of Ukraine
@hello-rq8kf
Ай бұрын
Crimea is Russian
@dogsbecute
Ай бұрын
@@hello-rq8kf how so
@hornantuutti5157
Ай бұрын
No it is not. Russia want to keep it but that aint happening.
@JDDC-tq7qm
12 күн бұрын
Crimea was conquered by Russian Empress in 18th century then in 1954 Nikita gave it to Ukraine Ukraine didn't conquer it ,it was given
@dogsbecute
9 күн бұрын
@@JDDC-tq7qm so russia is taking it back because they got mad? is this what you are telling me right now?
Remember when a American politician said EU dependence on Russian gas might have unpleasant consequences? Remember when he was laughed at and called a fool. Not so funny now is it?
@global.citizens
27 күн бұрын
We, în Europe repplied: "No worries, we got this"
Great perspective! Thank you!
Just published "Ukraine's War: Strategy and Tactics to Victory" on that famous online bookseller. Includes free preview, enjoy.
@boxcutter0
Ай бұрын
A book you wrote? Congrats
Trade is never wrong Can't blame Germans for Putlers ambitions. Trade benefits all partners. Edit: Ofc you don't trade with people that want to destroy you or dominate you, thats just stupid.
@liquidrock8388
Ай бұрын
Yeah, the edited part is the key though. Germany has been warned multiple times by eastern EU member states and should also have drawn it's own conclusions from what Russians said or did. Instead, despite being a supposed EU leader they have made trade deals with a hostile autocratic regime, undermining the economic security of other EU democracies. Nord Stream allowed Russia to bypass existing pipelines, giving them the option to cut off Poland from gas in the middle of the winter for example (due to "technical problems" or whatever excuse they could come up with) without losing the western markets. The irony is that Poland and the Baltics prepared themselves for the scenario where Russia would cease providing gas to their economies while Germany has exposed itself completely. In that regard you absolutely can blame Germany and trade was indeed a very wrong thing to do.
@Zyzyx442
Ай бұрын
@@liquidrock8388 good points, maybe the reason is collective psyche of the germans wanting to clear themselves of the sin of Operation Barbarossa? So even though they kind of knew this was a mistake, the guilt of WW2 forced them into wishful thinking to clear themselves of sin by trading with Russia.
@liquidrock8388
Ай бұрын
@@andreasgregorfrank9057 Other than the fact that it was shameful to betray fellow members of the EU like that? Well, I guess Germany is happy to receive all the cheap Russian gas... oh wait, they're not.
@EPK123
Ай бұрын
@@andreasgregorfrank9057 if thats the case, why the fuck Germany created the European Union and promote its expansion? Its a no brainer that if Poland fall to Russia the next in the line is Germany
@bicker31
Ай бұрын
>"never wrong" > "Edit: ofc" [it's wrong in many contexts] Just take the L bro
The best KZread channel on geopolitical issues, together with Caspian Report!
At 4:19 there is a funny map, where Soviet Georgia stretches into the North Caucasus - this was a temporary thing from 1944 to 1957, while the Chechens&Ingushs and the Karachai-Balkars where deportet to Central Asia and their land was assigned to their neighbours 😃
I believe that Northstream 1 reduced capacity at the beginning of the war is due to the fact that Canadian government prevented a Canadian company to ship to Russia a key component of the pipeline that was in maintenance in their Canadian facility due to the sanctions. German government was upset about it. However, I might have been misinformed by our state news corporation... 🤷
@peanutbanane915
Ай бұрын
That was a made up reason by Russia. They had enough spare Turbines to replace the one blocked by Canada. Accordingly when Canada released the Turbine, Russia just made up reasons why it couldn't be imported. Not much later they reduced deliveries to 0 anyway.
@joythought
Ай бұрын
@@peanutbanane915 yes that was putting pressure and getting a higher price for their gas. The part was just a way of blaming someone other than themselves.
"change via trade" is the correct translation
Ao, I'm4 minutes in. I'll put forward my long held theory - The invasion is because Ukraine found and began to develop their gas fields, which the USSR, sorry, Ruzzia, has since over run, or has within the sights of its artillery. No Ukrainian gas for Europe, so you must continue to buy Ruzzian has!
@MultiPenners
Ай бұрын
Not going to happen. Russian supply manipulation and blackmail is too deeply ingrained into european mindsets now
@worldeconomicfella3228
Ай бұрын
Not just that, they're part of Poland's ring of democratic states. Today I learned from Russia-Poland's history in Ukraine Russia considers any Polish influence east of Poland a threat to their regime. You see, up until the 19th century the upper class/nobility of Ukraine people spoke Polish. And this Polish nobility from time to time wanted to restore the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth several times, but Russia had a time they simply were too weak to get rid of that Polish nobility. It took them like 3 serious revolt before the Russians were fed up of them and have set up Russian language universities to start harsh Russification of Poland. The threat of the Poles continued into the 20th century with the Soviet loss against Poland and Soviet Russia thought Nazi Germany was the country to solve the Polish question for them. They didn't. Nazi-Germany became the new Polish problem until after a really bad invasion the Soviets pushed them back into Germany with Western help. Poland always strong and stubborn. I don't know much of Communist Poland, but I know the end started with Solidarność which also was the start of the end of the Soviet Union. After that Poland was the country responsible for eastwards NATO expansion by the Polish diaspora blackmailing Bill Clinton. In both of Ukraine's revolutions against Yanukovych Poland was the one country to finish the revolution and fix Ukraine's democracy this way with the aim to bring Ukraine in Poland's sphere of influence, not Russia's. So Victoria Nuland and the CIA might have played a role during Euromaidan and the Dutch too by helping Ukraine with shale gas and the little media contribution by the 🇺🇸🇳🇱 collab at hromadske, but eventually it's Poland who has the biggest say. And o boy, for Russia to solve the Polish question this time NATO needs to be destroyed, the EU and probably especially the Polish led VOLT Party, the US has to be turned isolationist and South Korea should be made unable to export anything abroad. And the Chinese-US relationship should be totally screwed up so Poland is goingto face China instead of being good trade partners with it. This is why we see Russia trying to destroy the world order. Poland is protected by a global network, but Russia is also going after other sources where this Polish trauma or what Russia probably would call the "square of despair" is coming from and all the sources it's being fed by.
thank you for the information. you have given me much to explore. i don't mean to be a nic-picker, but it seems you made a small error calling india russia. i know it's an easy mistake to make and only draw attention to it so you will be aware. 20:35 rebuild energy dependencies on Russia and China among others however both of.....
@RommelsAsparagus
Ай бұрын
Nit
Always stoked to see a new GTBT vid on my feed!
And in conclusion, Russia Delenda Est.
@Hypogean7
Ай бұрын
Never again
@Myanmartiger921
Ай бұрын
Timor leste oil thieves agree. Only they have right to steal oil
@hyhhy
Ай бұрын
That has been tried. Last time it resulted in Russians marching to Berlin. The time before that it resulted in Russians marching to Paris.
@hydronpowers9014
Ай бұрын
Ask Napoleon and Hit ler how that went for them 😂
@ZukaNikolozBukhrashvili
Ай бұрын
@@hyhhy nah, you can try to remain optimistic, although Russia's determination "paying off" and achieving Metro2033-ish fate seems more plausible
10:11 ACTUALLY, nuclear was a MARGINAL part of the electric power production at the time anyways. ..and the gas didn't primarily go to electric power generation but HEATING.
Dope video baby
Cheers. For the algorithm
Please do a report on the East Med Pipeline. How much of the gas from East Med is replacing Russian gas? Who owns East Med gas? This will enlighten many as to why the current wars are happening.
You can go back ever more years. When Stalin redrew borders and gave Polish Lviv and Russian Donbass to Ukraine, he was probably meaning to chain it to Russia. Same as with Russification of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia, (where Russian settlers moved in) giving Dobnass and Crimea meant this state had a significant ethnic Russian minority. Over time Soviets of course also culturally Russified the population. I don't disagree with the video, but this would not be "1st sources of the war in Ukraine", maybe "2nd sources".
I like your channel. Keep going.
Нарадзіўся я літвінам - Т.Касцюшка. Мы, літвіны! Мы Vialikaja Літва!
@prajwal1341
12 күн бұрын
So what??
Thank you❤
What is the map being displayed at 4:26 ? it looks interesting
Gorbachev was an environmentalist but by accident Putin looks to be doing far more for the environment in the long run by speeding up the end of the fossil fuel age.
9:44 no, power supply by 🌞 and 🌬️ ISN'T "unstable and erratic". ..if you understand statistics and systems. In a well built power grid ranging 2k kilometers North-South and East-West shortages and surpluses pretty much cancel each other out. But this is Germany's and Europe's actually "Achilles heel", because we didn't invest enough early on. ..and even slowed down development for reasons such as France protecting their nuclear electric power production from CHEAPER Spanish 🌞
Uploaded 43 seconds ago. Very nice!
Thinking about that the US sanctioned Germany to prevent the build of pipelines - that reminds me of the question who blew up Nordstream 2. It seems the motivation is the strongest in the USA side - while Russia can prevent the gas flowing by turning the valves on their side, the US only has the option of pressuring Germany, or blowing up the pipe. Ukraine lacks both the motivation and the means. The Sweeds know the answer - but they're intimidated enough not to tell. Who can intimidate the Sweeds? The US - sure. Russia - not so much. So yeah, we need to get familiar with the thought that the US is not a friend of Europe. Not at all.
2:24 and following: some awesome images of my hometown Bonn*, probably in the late 50s or early 60s, I'd never seen before. *Capital of Germany at the time, until reunification
thanks!
now they bow to Qatar
"Let us begin with this evident fact: Muscovy does not belong at all to Europe, but to Asia. It follows that judging Muscovy and the Muscovites by our European standards is a mistake to be avoided."-gonzague de reynold, 19501 In methodological terms, one should de-Europeanise any analysis of Muscovy policy.- thomas gomart, 20062 "
@chrisrobert5252
Ай бұрын
"We belong to none of the great families of the human race; we are neither of the West nor of the East, and we have the traditions of neither. Placed as if outside time, the universal education of the human race has not reached us. (...) This admirable linking of human ideas in the succession of ages, this history of the human spirit, which has brought it to the state it is in today in the rest of the world, has had no effect on us." Piotr Tchaadaev (friend of Pushkin), Philosophical Letter I , 1830
@hybridarmyoffreeworld
Ай бұрын
@@chrisrobert5252 "Благодаря невероятно успешной внешней политике путина у нас всегда будут полные холодильники! " - заявил директор Ростовского морга 🇷🇺 ...
As much as I admire the intricacies of your theory, let’s face it, this doctrine was purely economic from the German perspective as it was from the Soviet perspective ....
Nordstream sabotage hmm? I wonder who did that...
@Norbert2470
29 күн бұрын
The SIBIRJAKOV is a Russian naval research vessel that circled and shuttled over the explosion site for days before the explosions. It has a cable tray on board that can be used to lay cables or hoses. It has a small, manned submarine and can launch boats. On June 9, 2022, the SIBIRJAKOV was close to the explosion site north of Bornholm. In the days that followed, she sailed very close to the Nordstream pipelines and several times up and down a few nautical miles above the explosion site.
Forgot to add the endscreen.
betting big on nuclear? who has the uranium?
@roysobak1421
Ай бұрын
In friendlies? Canada and Australia have a absurd amounts.
@nkristianschmidt
Ай бұрын
there is a complex pipeline of uranium supply where Russia dominates, I believe
@vaclavdockal6272
Ай бұрын
There's quite a few undeveloped deposits in Europe as well, but people around them won't be happy, so nothing is done..
@joythought
Ай бұрын
Uranium is all over the place and we have remarkable amounts given how early we have arrived in the timeline of the universe. In case you are wondering, uranium, gold, tungsten, cobalt, and heavier elements require crazy events to occur to generate them in the levels we have them on earth. We are likely the early recipients of nearly a dozen cycles of star creation and death to get our level of metallicity. TLDR; if we want most of these things such as uranium they exist more abundantly than people imagine.
@jirislavicek9954
Ай бұрын
Russia, Canada, Australia, Kazakhstan, Niger
Its war in Ukraine. War in Europe involves a lot more Germans booting around.
i think dugan plays a large part in it too
This video is an excellent example for defining such a word as: Propaganda. For every action or inaction in the market, there can be more than one point of view. But when “analytics” is built entirely from the points of view of one side and does not even try to maintain a balance, it simply becomes so absurd that it is even funny. What is most frightening is the large number of people who accept such tabloid analytics, and they have the right to vote on an equal basis with everyone else.
@manickn6819
Ай бұрын
Ent that the truth.
My county of Romania, Bulgaria our southern neighbor and Turkey sit near major oil and gas pockets that can be easily mined, all we need is some aid and poof we are in business, help us build them up, and let us use our own people for the work then we will share the riches with you, that was the 2008 plan WFH happened,
Outstanding analysis, thank you!
No. You draw a fine picture of correlation, but that doe not imply a causation.
@jonlittle5032
Ай бұрын
If the gas pipelines (which run through the central and northern parts of Ukraine) were the cause, why have the Russians been so geo-focused on the southeastern oblasts. No. Draw a line from Moscow, through those oblasts and continue the line. Where does it lead? The Black Sea. If you want to know why a beast moves in a particular direction, follow the beast.
9:35 rational take on natural gas alert
I thought it was called the Merkel Doctrine?
When he started about illegal annexation and 'imperial' etc. I stopped watching the video
Brilliant Analysis 👍🏼
Wow, that's a really one-sided take on the story
Foe more than 2 years of war there was no significant damage (even by accident) on pipelines, on Ukraine territory, connected to the west. Neither by Russian nor by Ukrine. How come?
@joythought
Ай бұрын
Both rely on it for income.
What about war in Balkans?
Germans need to admit they got played by russia, and fix their mistakes. Ukraine is the key to make russia pay.
@tedcrilly46
Ай бұрын
Played? This arrangement lasted decades, Germany must have saved 10's or hundreds of billions in that time. Like 40 years of rock bottom prices, so played.
@MrNikArt
Ай бұрын
@@tedcrilly46 You probably missed the pictires of russian tanks with "to Berlin" written on them. History often repeats itself.
@Ramschat
Ай бұрын
The Russian trick failed. Germany did not abandon Ukraine because of gas. They immediately started heavy sanctions. They also changed their pacifist policies and are now one of the biggest supporters of Ukraine. The Russian strategy completely failed to pacify the EU
@dx-ek4vr
Ай бұрын
@@tedcrilly46 So becoming reliant on Russian gas was good because a bunch of people made alot of money off of it? Yeah, most certainly a brilliant plan
@MrNikArt
Ай бұрын
@@Ramschat Sort of true, but why then Ukraine only gets so little help? Just barely enough to survive. If we would have more AntiAir, the children's hospital could have been saved.
Caspian report ?
If you a gad and oil exporter it's doesn't mean it always good, because you can always to find exporter to import from
So basically it's the Germans fault... again
So the question slowly arises as to whether you are sponsored by the nuclear lobby
Germany’s irrational closure of its ☢️ plants, irrational fear of ☢️ power and irrational belief they can achieve carbon reductions w/out ☢️ energy is confounding. In this case its citizens irrationality. We know what the motivations of gov leaders was, which was owned by Russian energy money though.
@worldofdoom995
Ай бұрын
it was because of the knee jerk reaction to the Fukashima meltdown, and pressure from the green party.
@The_ZeroLine
Ай бұрын
@@worldofdoom995 Yes, but as you indicated that response was irrational itself. Fukushima was built in the worst possible place, had a once-a-millennium quake and tsunami, was poorly run and still could have avoided a melt down had 🇯🇵 not been too proud to accept help from the US / other countries w/powerful logistics and nuclear expertise.
@Gavrik_Korogodskiy
Ай бұрын
@@worldofdoom995 Green party is commnunistic russian party
How Russian expansionism led to war in Europe.
Said Russia instead of India
Germany gave up Russian oil and gas by supporting Ukraine and providing aid to the Ukrainians. They know that in some point the Russian just will cut of the supply
@peterflohr7827
Ай бұрын
Didn't that already happen?
@meteorknight999
Ай бұрын
@@peterflohr7827no the nord pipeline got bombed by someone No gas got shut off beside that, europe still buys russian gas, russia never stopped selling
@thegreatdane3627
Ай бұрын
@@meteorknight999 the gas flow was shut off a month before the pipeline was damaged.
@meteorknight999
Ай бұрын
@@thegreatdane3627 russia knew it would be blown up, are you underestimating soviet intelligence services which still alive today ? They arent dead yet you know.
@thegreatdane3627
Ай бұрын
@@meteorknight999 of course they knew, it was done by themselves.
I'm 47yrs old. $73,000 biweekly and I'm retired, this video have inspired me greatly in many ways that l remember my past of how I struggled with many things in life to be where I am today!!!!❤️
@AbdullahSultan-p6p
Ай бұрын
Hello how do you make such monthly ?? I'm a born Christian and sometimes I feel so down of myself because of low finance but I still believe in God
@SilasF.Arthur
Ай бұрын
0:01 It is the digital market. That's been the secret to this wealth transfer. A lot of folks in the US and abroad are getting so much from it, God has been good to my household Thank you Jesus
@SilasF.Arthur
Ай бұрын
Thanks to Ms Elizabeth Ann Larson 🙌❤️✅✅
@MelissaStreiff-ee5ht
Ай бұрын
YES!!! That's exactly her name (Elizabeth Ann Larson) so many people have recommended highly about her and am just starting with her 😊 from Brisbane Australia🇦🇺
@FranciscoAfonso-cp3bu
Ай бұрын
I have heard a lot of wonderful things about Elizabeth Ann on the news but didn't believe it until now. I'm definitely trying her out
Who actually funds the green movement? I have my suspects.
@joythought
Ай бұрын
Moscow was funding elements of the German Greens as far back as the 1970s. There's evidence of that. Worth a hunt.
Germany doesn't need Russian gas
@Hypogean7
Ай бұрын
They really do
@trillionbones89
Ай бұрын
@@Hypogean7 they don't.
@Hypogean7
Ай бұрын
@@trillionbones89 They do. Germany is still struggling to source their gas from other nations, so prices gave gone way up
@Vlad_-_-_
Ай бұрын
@@Hypogean7 They really don't
@hydronpowers9014
Ай бұрын
Who are they getting gas from and at what cost?
Ok
Deutschland Deutschland 🇩🇪 Wir wollen alles Erdgas der Welt
10:20 this is simply a lie. Electricity prices rose in all of Europe, even though Germanys nuclear plants only accounted for 5% of the total electricity. Why are you lying just for dramatic effect?
@timobrenn
Ай бұрын
He never said nuclear was the only cause for this. But if they kept their nuclear reactors online they would have had (depending on when you're looking) 12% or 20% nuclear power on the grid. which would clearly have helped reduce dependence on russia. the switch off of nuclear is in all regards just a bad policy. Although to be fair, he could maybe have been a bit more elaborate about the causes. But I dont think that's the core of the topic so I can understand why he didnt
@Gavrik_Korogodskiy
Ай бұрын
@@timobrenn Bad policy? They will lost near 200 billions euro for the next 10 years for that. It's not a bad policy, it's a pure subversion
@hyhhy
Ай бұрын
Take away 5% of relatively cheap electricity and replace it with expensive electricity (which didn't need to be used before), in a system where the most expensive generation determines the price. Hmmm... I wonder what will happen to the electricity price.
@heyho4770
Ай бұрын
@@hyhhy Which isn't what happened because after the end of nuclear power prices have actually dropped
@hyhhy
Ай бұрын
@@heyho4770 Prices SPIKED at first. Then some industry was closed, as it became uncompetitive with expensive electricity (and other commodities, such as natural gas in the chemical industry). That deindustrialization then caused electricity to become cheaper again (although not as cheap as it was). The end result is seen in lagging GDP numbers. It takes a certain level of intelligence to understand such system-wide effects instead of staring at a single number.
Thanks for the good analysis. The two Nord Streams were created in order to abandon the gas pipeline through Ukraine, Poland and Slovakia in order to trade directly with Germany. This means that the Germans themselves would trade Russian gas with the rest of Europe. The British, Russia's old geopolitical enemy, did not like this, nor did their American colleagues, who were enraged by the presence of the Russian military in Syria. They did everything to ensure that the war continued and that Russia weakened. In the end, this only revealed the weakness of the Western hegemons and the weakness of the British economy.
@louismartin3206
Ай бұрын
No one wants a too strong and independent Germany..
@rocksmo3384
Ай бұрын
@louismartin3206 If Germany was completely dependent on Russia, they would not be independent.
@the_orientalist-g1y
Ай бұрын
@@rocksmo3384 Russian gas fueled German industry for more than 50 years (remember Willy Brandt). And not only German. According to your logic, Germany was a monstrously dependent country. This is not true. Think for yourself, why does Germany need to build 2 Nord Streams and then have them blow up by the British? These are colossal losses.
✋✋ Philippines
👍
türkçe altyazi neden yok?
@Bibben
Ай бұрын
learn english
@bedrhnyldz
Ай бұрын
@@Bibben no dont care. there are many languages, but there is no Turkish. You are being racist.
@thegreatdane3627
Ай бұрын
it's a video for Europeans...
@bedrhnyldz
Ай бұрын
@@thegreatdane3627 If Türkiye is not a European country and you will always exclude Turkish, why did you admit it to NATO? Why did you give us money and build walls on the borders to protect us from refugees?
@bedrhnyldz
Ай бұрын
@@thegreatdane3627 If Türkiye is not in Europe, why did you take it to NATO? Why are you paying billions of euros to keep ref*ug*ees in Turkey? Why are you building walls around your borders?
Russian mind cannot comprehend someone not bowing down to their pressure.
I rather see actors in a capitalist market place, not a communist master plan to rule the world. Nobody in the West forced them to purchase cheap energy, it just made sense as an economic decision. To bring NATO to the doorsteps of the Kremlin was, however, a political and military decision, and that was where the problem started, not with the gas, but with the tanks.
@joythought
Ай бұрын
Finland jumped into NATO. Did the US use a Jedi mind trick? Or did Finnish people feel enough is enough? Who has been warning about RF since the 1990s and has suffered terrible cyber attacks from Russia: The Baltics and also Poland. They could not escape Russian influence fast enough. NATO didn't need to seek to expand. Countries wanted protection from Russia. Without protection you end up ceding your sovereignty... Look at the role of Chechnya's warlord and soldiers today. They fought two wars against Moscow and lost and now act as barrier troops shooting those that retreat. Do you want that for the Ukrainians after every Ukrainian book is burned and the language and culture is outlawed as Moscow did under Stalin in the 1930s and under Catherine the German, and under Peter Pettigrew the Great mouse? By the way, before the war there were 600 Russian speaking schools in Ukraine and 0 Ukrainian speaking schools in Russia. To claim this is some East West or capitalist system fight is to ignore the centuries of Russian denial of Ukrainian culture and the Russian imperialist ambitions that aimed to go at least all the way into Poland and be the truly great European nation to the North that they dream of: to be taken seriously finally.
Nort stream pipeline had a technical problem? It was blown up by Nato 🤣
The channels name should be changed for GTBT to R vs U .
@tomke4269
Ай бұрын
Why? It's an european channel about geopolitics. And you are surprised that there are materials about geopolitics in europe?
Auther is really not wise. He said buying gaz for 200 from russia is bad thing. Better to buy for 500 from USA. Also he relates to some soviet conceptuon, but first europe pioeline were build after disband of warsaw pact. No logic. No animation. No brains
+
The anti russian sentiment is perfectly clear in your analysis , examples are like themost aggresssive military regiment in euroasia is no one but nato just take a look at their records of bombing sovereign nations.
@thegreatdane3627
Ай бұрын
russia is the only country in Europe that has annexed parts of their neighbors territory since WW2...
@BirdEgg123
Ай бұрын
@@thegreatdane3627Cyprus, Yugoslav wars?
@thomasfsan
Ай бұрын
Nobody in NATO ever wanted antagonism with Russia. NATO reduced its forces in Europe massively and continously. The old western countries couldn't even imagine conflict with Russia.
@sorro9384
Ай бұрын
@@thegreatdane3627 Annexation has happened due to the shelling of native russians in those regions , according to a united nation convention if there are two neighouring countries next to each other and all of a sudden one country decides to ethnically cleanse a population in their country who are ethnically from the neighbouring country , the country that has ethnic nationals on the otherside can ennex the territories to save the ethnic population ! it is not me who have written international law but it seems to me that law does not apply to USA and its allies only to the rest of the world.
@sorro9384
Ай бұрын
by the way i am not a pro putin regime but real politics are REAL politics and therefore u cant blend in judgement , bias , emotions and fiction, which to me seems like the european sentiment these days are highly relied on !
We gonna talk about how Trump called Germany out for this at the UN, and everybody laughed at him?
@ironmantooltime
Ай бұрын
They didn't laugh at what he said, but how he said it. The guy's an inveterate idiot.
@honnebombll
Ай бұрын
Did you know that every, really every, President since 1990 said that? The only difference is that with Trump a big story was made out of it.
"Russian leech" lmfao that is no way to treat your energy supplier Holy Russia.
Before 2005 everything was perfect. Russia sold gas to Ukraine cheap af, ukrainians even resold the gas. Ukraine had about 10% GDP growth in 2002, 2003, 2004. Fair to say, Russia paid for Ukrainian economic development. In 2005 they elected Ushenko, a man who promised Ukranians a lot of good stuff. Instead, he adopted a law about "Holodomor genocide", than he demanded Russia to pay for gas transitions as much Russia paid Poland. Putin said "ok, but now you will pay for gas as much, as Europeans do". Ukrainian economy growth in 2005 was about 2%. Ofc, Ushenko blaimed Russia. In the next elections Ushenko lost very hard, he was thrown out of politics completely. But he accomplished his goal - to start a Ukr-Rus "cold war". It is a total mystery for me why ukrainians elected this idiot, he brought nothing but trouble, ruined everything good.
welcome to polish propaganda channel
German unification was not good East should remain a separate country
So Europeans prefer to pay LNG gas which is super expensive than to buy russian gas which is dirt cheap there expenses as an Economic stand point this is a nightmare is raises prices on everything unless every is Electric no one wonder there trying to speed up the green energy which is crazy Lithium is other countries like an africa mexico asia
polish imperialist channel. pure propaganda.
Dude said Moscow empire
@worldofdoom995
Ай бұрын
Because thats what it really was. The Russian Empire with a red coat of paint.
@user-je3sk8cj6g
Ай бұрын
That's exactly what it is. The Empire of Muscovy. Everything else is a colony of Moscow
@michanowak3001
Ай бұрын
Moscow empire was renamed to Russia to have casus belli to conquer "Land of Rus (eng. Ruthenia)" andbe considered as a true heir of Kievan Rus. Today's Belarus, Ukraine and portion of south east Poland. Calling Russia as Moscow removes their false claims to those lands. This is common practice to call as some bigger title to have claims on other titles that are controlled in fact by others for much much longer than they even had something in common before.
@Hypogean7
Ай бұрын
@@michanowak3001That's like saying the USA is the Washington DC empire.
@worldofdoom995
Ай бұрын
@Hypogean7 no actually because massive amounts of wealth and infrastructure are spread throughout the US.
brilliant is crap