Great talk... Thanks to both of you👌

Here we are a month later, are we going to war?

@suntzu7727

4 жыл бұрын

2020, it never happened and it won't.

Dr Friedman we need more advisors like you.

Well 2 months later and still no military intervention??!!

@suntzu7727

3 жыл бұрын

3 years later. Still nothing.

whats the sound of a machine recognising a pattern?

Have followed this guy for years. One smart dude.

What a difference a year makes! Thankfully, this situation has dissipated, for now...

Almost a year later and things are still the same ???

i dont ever hear how N.K. gets its missles? import or manufacture?

a must watch ............

3:12 "silencing of what"?????? Sounds like inspector clouseau in that moment.

duh a 3 carrier is now in the area nimitz arrived with carl and reagan

so when you make a threat - and not do it - does that make you appear to be big talk little action?

Smart man.

I can definitively say that 2017 has been the scariest year I have ever lived through.

@chrisgreene2623

3 жыл бұрын

Until the year 2020 occurred!!

@milotherussianblue3691

3 жыл бұрын

@@chrisgreene2623 to be fair, at least we didn’t have to worry about the threat of Nuclear Holocaust in 2020. At least that gives us some consolation.

@milotherussianblue3691

2 жыл бұрын

@Joe Campbell yah 2022 is pretty frightening.

Well at least there is a guy out there willing to put a time frame on the situation from a thoughtful analytical approach. It has been a few weeks as I type this, right or wrong I respect him for not taking the "something is happening soon" or "while the world slept this happened" Doom and gloom approach. Much respect 👊🏻👏🏻👊🏻✊🏻

It is life, it happens for a short while. Then it grows up to a climax, and explodes.

If anybody has Netflix, or access to Star Trek, TOS, go to season 1 episode 24, "A Taste of Armageddon". The episode has an eerie comparison of the effects of war vs. diplomacy.

He seemed to do all his figuring without saying anything about what will happen when RUSSIA gets involved.No-ones afraid of N Korea but Russia is a major force to reckon with.

@spikeSpiegel114

7 жыл бұрын

Why would Russia be involved? they hardly have any diplomatic ties to North Korea, in fact Putin and Kim Jong-Un have never even met in person.

@williamphillips5984

7 жыл бұрын

Politically Incorrect because both Trump and Putin both want stronger ties. not to mention the second to last missile test from N Korea landed about 60 miles from the Russian coast which didn't sit well with President Putin.

@spikeSpiegel114

7 жыл бұрын

I know, but OP is saying Russia would side with NK against America for some reason.

@williamphillips5984

7 жыл бұрын

Mark Langstaffe shut up... it's korans like you and fuck boy Kim that give us a bad name. there is no way NK has a WMD... not yet. and know that we do have several thousand icbm's at our disposal capable of carrying nuclear war heads. yep... y'all might get us once and maybe twice if your lucky... But we believe strongly in mutually assured destruction. we will rain a hell down on Kim Jong Un that would scare the shit out of satin himself. remember Hiroshima? Nagasaki? we only did it because talks weren't working. Kim seems to be going down the same road as Japan in ww2. I forgot to ask... what country are you in? did you defect to South Korea?

@stevenliu1377

7 жыл бұрын

Maybe he figures that, when the Russians turn tail and Kim gets castrated and dragged to his death behind a truck, the inevitable North K-pop "Kabul Style" music video that follows will become the new most viewed video on KZread. _"Jigeumbuteo_ Najibullah '96. _Oppan_ Kabul style. _Op. Op. Op. Op. Oppan_ Kabul style."

Note that summer is coming. The performance of many precision guided weapon is better with good visibility and limited cloud cover. The air power is also more effective in the Korean summer for bombing and ground support. These are important factors to the military planners.

It's the middle of August and nothing happening yet.

understand the trends

the korean war never officially ended, its all about who will want to end it.

Everyone has a crystal ball but only later found out that no one has a crystal ball including the everyone...

Ww3 possible?

Guam, If he can hit that place with a missile, well he's a world class player. And it would be insane to try a Preemptive strike. But the Chiefs are in DC.

hi from sweden

This guy speaks sense you could learn alot from him.

Around 6:20 he said to watch for the 3rd carrier to show up, it did yesterday, 4 days after he said this, dahboo77 announced the third carrier showed up yesterday

North Korea barks a lot. That's all.

3rd carrier is there now

While working on one of my Ph.D's at LSU I had the opportunity to work on a project directed by Dr. Friedman who was located at LSU at the time. While never interfacing with him directly, his reputation there was stellar, justifiably so as can be seen in this video. For some reason(s) unbeknownst to me, the administration of LSU was not fond of Dr. Friedman. In their usual lack of competence they appeared to offer little support and as time passed I could even detect some degree of hostility emerging. Finally the good Doctor took his operation elsewhere (UT Austin I believe), and LSU botched another golden opportunity to bring the university into the forefront of academia. This is a great example of why LSU will always be a second rate university led by third rate buffoons.

This is the most sensible and realistic treatment of the subject I have heard to date. I was a boy during the Cuban missile crisis. I was in New Orleans. The Port of New Orleans was thought to be a primary target. We stocked food and water. We had air raid drills. The government did not prepare us for no reason. Had Castro not rid himself of Russian weapons, it would have been on. Castro and the Russians backed down, believing that Kennedy would resort to thermonuclear warfare. Kim, I believe, will not back down. The losses in the best scenario will be unthinkable, but to let Kim deliver a nuke on the US or a territory or an ally is even more unthinkable. See the images of Nagasaki and of Hiroshima after a nuclear attack. The pictures tell the story.

Sell your gold coins the day after the Americans strike, should be a hell of a spike

@tylermcneil5239

7 жыл бұрын

I shall that way I can buy more drugs and party for the world is ending

interesting.

The UN allowed the patent for North Korea to create chemical weapons..

War decides who's left, not who's right. - Confucius

@outisnemo555

3 жыл бұрын

I don’t think he said that.

seoul is one problem but 30 nuclear powerplants in south korea is second problem .third problem is when NK get some advanced aid from well known scammers .fourth problem is economy .if some radioctive disaster then list of problems.

a month later no war

No one ever mentions the fact that while Korea may not have missiles that can reach the US they can always park a submarine off the coast of the US and launch from there.

Wiki: "Friedman was born in Budapest, Hungary to Jewish parents who survived the Holocaust." Believe in this SOS at your own peril.

just do it

Don’t drop that yellow cake! Aluminum tubes man!

nobody wants a confrontation with those birds over there, just keep thinking that getting rid of kim hung nun would be the best option I'd have to believe the people forced to serve would surely give up the farm if they're convinced he's gone.

Time to act. This is serious stuff! We'll wake up a morning with bad Breaking News!

Maybe it's just me but I think this man was a little too casual with the idea that we simply strike when the time is right. I wonder, does he have any family in the military?

what about corona virus war?

the usa has advanced weapons beyond compression.

@beinrichbimmler7829

4 жыл бұрын

Did you speak that while under pressure? CONFESS

The story I heard was that in the first Korean war Kim jon song ( or whoever) asked Stalin if he could invade the south , The reply was , "ask Mao", but Kim lied to Mao saying Stalin agreed to war and so it began . I dont know if this is true , but the point is that in any ensuing conflict permission must come from China , Kim Jon Un wont go it alone , since he cant beat the USA +S.Korea+Japan . Nor would he like to inherit a destroyed South if its nuked , but china wont mind the elimination of South Korean competition , but not if it will incur the wrath of the rest of the world . Result, stalemate.

Still

To me, as basically a lay person, Friedman really appears to be full of horseshit. I say this without malice. He just does.

@clearheaded5696

5 жыл бұрын

Totally agreed, he is another Gordon Chang whatever he predicts turn out to be something else. I bought one of his book about 10 years ago with his predictions of the next Centuries amongst all the major power in the world and boy has he got most of it wrong judging by today.

@davidwestwater3028

5 жыл бұрын

He is your right

Can anyone tell me why they would want to proactively fire a nuclear missile at another country?

@jokerstorm231

7 жыл бұрын

To give the US the excuse to spend MORE tax payer money buying Boeing and Lockheed Martin weapons.

@jacobfetzer715

7 жыл бұрын

+the pacemaker So buy Boeing and Lockheed Martin stock.

@jokerstorm231

7 жыл бұрын

Good idea my liberal friend, very progressive!!

@Wrathofkala

7 жыл бұрын

CarlosAdams Because you will kill hundreds of thousands of innocent people and hurt the environment.

@mandoggydogg2262

7 жыл бұрын

Artifex Design unfortunately psychotic personalities are attracted to politics. So whilst the rest of us are content with marriage, kids , a car, house maybe a dog, these physically pathetic despots(don't know what that means) want to show us how tough they are. I'd love to see Kim and trump in the octagon instead of killing innocent people

This guy, his organization, is so CONSISTENTLY WRONG, why does anyone ask him anything?

@nel1948son

Ай бұрын

Glad that you realized how wrong he is. He is so outdated that he doesn't even know how advanced in delivery systems and nuclear warfare North Korea is. I find these professors delusional. They think they are the world and forget what is happening in the real world. It is very sad that such people are given importance.

mad man

time is on our side...what about seoul? pretty soon people are going to figure out US ally just means someone we are willing to sacrifice in order to have our way around the world.

The date has been set. 8/25/17. U.S. has assessed that recent advances in ICBM technology by North Korea creates undue risk for U.S. national security interests. U.S. Navy is standing by to execute plans for a decap. strike, and if necessary, a full volley against DPRK.

dangerous times ahead i say

Mr Friedman is brilliant in his analysis of world history and current day politic.... Still, in hind sight of what's happened since this particular interview.... the President has not, and likely will not, go beyond a strong show of force..... As the saying goes: " Showing enough force, means one will seldom have to use it".... Lets hope this holds true with North Korea.

What all these guys have in common: George Friedman, Stephen Kotkin, Peter Zehain, etc. are giving clear predictions of their crystal ball readings to sell BOOKS...

Graham Allison, the scholar who coined the phrase "Thucydides Trap", could his prophecy turn out to be true this time, triggered by the North Korean Nuclear Crisis? Although China and US have limited cooperation in curbing the DPRK nuclear test, and Donald Trump said he'd exercise restrain in case the war between US and DPRK breaks out, without crossing the 38th Parallel North, it would be hard to imaging that South Korea would not take this opportunity to cross the line and annex the north and realize the unification dream.

all he predicts is war,. he outlines in a book in 1991 about a possible future war with Japan. poor forecaster or too ahead of his time or just making predictions regardless if he believes them or not. but it's funny how he doesn't follow the fiat money to the printing press to see who is funding both sides

What about North Korea's polar orbiting satellite, which continually passes us overhead??!! That's a major consideration by itself.

I have to admit: Friedman is a much better actor than his interviewer.

if you have a high level security clearance you know whats really going on but you cant talk about it. If you dont have a high level security clearance you dont know whats really going on and so you talk as if you do know.

There will be no war with N. Korea. Period. This "crisis" is merely an opportunity for a regional reset. It is, among other things, an opportunity to align Russian, Chinese and US interests. N. Korea has absolutely no incentive to attack anyone. This is all theatre.

@meritasmith2086

6 жыл бұрын

J. Philip Jimenez I hope so.

I was told both China and Russia have treaties to protect North Korea. so if the US attacks then they will have more to contend with than just N.K. I was also told US has never attacked a country that is armed with nukes. This video is way of the mark

Well that didn't happen at all

Some of the worst human beings on earth. Where can I invest my gold Mr Friedman? Any advice Mr Roth?

At the end of it all innocent people die because people with power can't come to an agreement

Korea would be a very tricky target and very difficult to defeat , the collateral damage would be huge , plus the area is mountainous , dense forests . going the way of bombing alone will not work - beware too of China they are at the ready too ! leave it alone a real baddy to tackle

I can't believe so many people want war. Have they not learned from the past lessons, how many more need to die. If people want war then they should join the army and send their own children in not others, and then maybe they will think twice about going to war. Remember every life matters. Say no to war and yes to peace. This is the best and happy way to live imo.

Bruh, like clockwork. Trump's overseas' trip is nearing an end, they just announced a 3rd aircraft carrier is headed over, along with a quote, "Just because a per-emptive strike would be tragic, doesn't mean he (Donald trump) wouldn't do it". I always knew even from childhood, that I would witness the next world war. interesting times indeed.

@wassupdoc2780

7 жыл бұрын

I always thought when I was a kid I would witness the return of Christ. These things that are happening go hand in hand with the return of Jesus. Get ready.

@WolfTheMadMan

7 жыл бұрын

I've never been one for religion, but I have studied religion in the past. I'll believe it when Damascus is a heaping pile of rubble with no residents. Interestingly enough though, when Trump unchained the military, they still have to get his permission for many things, and apparently they keep coming to him with battle plans to take out ISIS and Assad at the same time, and he keeps telling them no. If anyone had an idea in their head that Trump wanted WW3, then that is proof in itself that he is trying everything he can to avoid it. If this unrelenting hate from the Democrats doesn't stop, and they actually manage to assassinate or impeach Trump, Mike Pence will 100% let the military strike Damascus, which is guaranteed war with Russia, Iran, China, etc. Basically the real war to end all wars, because it only takes a little over 100 modern nukes going off in a period of 24 hours to send the world into nuclear winter, and there are thousands on standby, with thousands more in storage around the world. Russia has well over a thousand ICBMs on active duty and an automatic dead man switch that cannot be overridden once initiated. It's an automated array of sensors designed to launch their entire arsenal at once if a nuclear detonation is detected on Russian soil. Lockheed Martin has been working hard for quite a while now on hypersonic solid tungsten steel kinetic warheads designed to decimate Russian nuclear silos and bunkers with the same energy of a small nuclear bomb but no radiation, thus no dead man switch activation. China has been working on this too but their missiles don't travel even a 3rd the speed of ours. Ours can strike anywhere in the world in 15 minutes or less with surgical precision.

What about Russia??!!!!

This will be the greatest hairdo battle of all time.

Always look at the big picture. Not going to happen

Just confirmed that the north korean satellite flies in America and it also pass by Toronto, Montreal in the map..which means if EMP strike happens...we Canadians will be in same fate as Americans. If I am wrong someone let us know.

Guess its a bad time to join the Airforce then? Hopefully it doesn't happen.

Buy your iodine tablets now, don't wait.

the dog said, "the spiritually bereft prepare for war make war prepare for war make war prepare for war on earth but is the view or war in the rest of the universe." ~ tenderbastard

When the little dictator says he'll turn the USA into ashes he's sealed his fate.

I wonder who is paying him? An arms company perhaps?

It will be a war catastrophe and we will suffer deeply for!!!!' Let's stop bulling North Korea!!!

thank god for Trump. time to erase NK off the map. thus is better tgan pulling out of the Paris Accord

Mr Doom and Gloom at it again! This guy must have all his investments in weapons development and production!

When trump proves you wrong!!!

i wus jus kidding Donard, u so silly!

This is ur LAST chance to go fight a war America!

leave them alone.

@frederickmuhlbauer9477

7 жыл бұрын

Peter it's the globalist banksters who are pushing this war as always

Not gonna happen

Don't forget this guy was fear mongering the rise of Japan in the 80's....

North Korea capability to attack main land USA is zero? I lost my respect for this savvy. He better renew his info.

Attacking NK would make an enemy out of the people ... instead we should do a "Man in the High Castle" operation. 10 million DVD's with removable foam edges dropped from drones in the stratosphere. should have dozens of different DVDs, each numbered so they'll be like "gotta catch them all". Then when the people are ready for us to topple their leadership ... then and only then should we do what we can to help *them* do it, not take that right out of their own hands.

U people live in this world. Stop faking.

what if korea was attacked & things do not solve ? who's to blame? always sound reasonable before Iraq, Afghan, Vietnam, Cuba, Libya , Syria was attacked.

We could bring the leaders of N. Korea gifts and a huge "Air Force One" type airliner. We could send a REAL peace envoy. We could try a simple settlement and give whatever they and their people need repeatedly until they understand we are not the awful enemy they have been programmed to think we are. We could spend time and money doing that - peace to N. Korea and its people! We love them and S. Korea as brothers and cousins!

We just need to fully trust in Trump, when has he ever shown us that he doesn't have excellent judgment?

@rosier5428

4 жыл бұрын

Adam Stark Agreed !

American corporate based capitalism will eat democracy. Let be united from the East & West for the sake of democracy. Lets work together for the survival of true democracy.

Apparently Kim is now so paranoid after the death of Otto, that he never shows himself in public and the only vehicles he rides in are regular cars and trucks so he blends in. And he never travels during the day, only at night. He is shitting his pants because he thinks he is going to end up like Bin Laden, who by the way was promptly canoed by the seals that killed him. if you don't know what that means, it's basically when you shoot someone in the head at a certain angle that it splits the top of their head wide open, making it look like a canoe ran over their head. I've seen the photo, and I loved it.

한국에 있는 미국 시민권자들은 어떻게 대피시킬 건가? 대피시킨 후 그들을 보호할 시설은 있나? 한국에 있는 서방 자본들의 손해를 감당할 수 있나?

The USA can oblitarate North Korea in 12-24 hours. But what if China weighs in?? Russia??