There's something I love about your videos. You don't actually give anything away in the real sense of giving away. But you leave just about enough information to figure things out on your own. I've modeled dozens of strategies employing concepts I've learned watching this channel. I hated you for it at the beginning, but in the end I found myself coming back for more cos I figured.....oh what the hell might just as well eat that frog.

The 0-0 video would be wonderful Peter leading on from this. Brilliant video.

Great content as always peter! Would love to see part 2 of this, keep up the good work!

Thanks Peter, I’d love to see part 2

Another prime example of your valuable insights. Very helpful video Peter, 'would really appreciate seeing 'the second video' - thanks.

Thank you Peter, great to have these stats on soccer mystic. Please send the next video for percentages.

Also very interested in seeing part 2. Thanks for all the great videos🙂

Unreal love to see part two what a legend

Thank you for all the great content and all the tips.... would be amazing to learn how percentages work... thank you again for all the work you put in 😇🙏

Great analysis. Love to see the 2nd part of this video

This is genius in its simplicity. Especially in combination with related strategies.

Many thanks Peter, I would also like to see the follow up video on percentage conversion...

Peter i'd be very interested in seeing part 2. Many thanks.

Thanks Peter, very helpful and yes I would love to see part 2

2nd video would be great, it's been driving me crazy for a while.

Thanks Peter. The video was most hopeful. I for one would certainly like to see how the % chance is calculated. I had/have a 1.5 / 2.5 goals strategy that worked wonders on practice mode over the course of 50 games recorded ( if 0-0 back 1.5 on 55 mins with the hope of getting a goal before 77 mins or if 1 nil at HT back 2.5 with the same idea) As soon as I went on live mode - I couldn't hit the back side of a cow. This info might help! Thanks

This has been a very useful video. I really would liike to see the following videos. Cheers.

Kudos to you, Mr Peter. I would like to have the part 2 of this video

Yes please,would love a follow up video.many thanks.👍

Hi Peter, I would like to see the follow up video please, many thanks for your solid content, cheers

Yes please Peter, would like to see the second part.

I look forward to seeing the second video.

Great lesson, to be continued soon it would be awesome, you are really an Angel...;) thanks again

Brilliant video Peter very informative love the way you explain it all please keep them coming 👍

@betangeltv

4 жыл бұрын

Thanks for your feedback.

Yes please for part 2!

Love to see more please!

Yes would love to see the second video please.

super video. looking forward to part 2

I'm interested in the next episode!

i look forward to seeing the second video.

Thank you soooooo much Peter and bet angel!i learned of you many thing,s.i wish you health .kourosh form Iran

Great video. Let's have part 2 please. Thank you.

thank you peter. I've definitely learned some things from watching your videos. what exactly I don't know but my recent football trading has been going well and you must take some credit for that as I've watched about 10 hours of your stuff in the past year or two

@AyodejiAkinola

4 жыл бұрын

Remember me when u want to stake

yea sure, am fully interested in the second video. thanks for this 1daful piece anyways.

You and Paulo Rebelo are the Best ...Thanks for your Sharing and Passion...

Would like to see a further video as you mentioned

Excellent video as always - part two would be useful please

Yes I'd like to see video please. I find stuff like this really interesting

Yes please part2 would be great

Lots of thanks. I'm interested in seeing part 2.

@betangeltv

3 жыл бұрын

Glad you enjoyed it!

Yes please .....content brilliant. Let's have the follow on video for the definitive number

Yes would like to see pt2

second vid yes please … I've wanted to see how to convert ratings into probabilities for ages!

Yes please Peter for video 2, very interesting thank you 👍🏻

Very helpful Peter thank you, would love to see your % video

As a nooby in the world of beting/trading i loved this video and i will be happy to see part 2 in the close future.

@betangeltv

4 жыл бұрын

Thanks for your comment.

@petarhristov8200

4 жыл бұрын

@@betangeltv No problem.I like to ask a qustion regarding the taking under consideration missing players.Is it the right aprouch lets say if team A or B is missing a player ho scores alot over the corse of the season to look how many of the goals hi scored home and away and to remove that goal amout from the model?Is it the right aprouch to do it like that or im simplifying it ?For example lets say Salah is not playing for Lilverpool this weekend.Hi has 15 goals this season.If lets say 6 are at home is it good to remove 6 goals from the model?

@petarhristov8200

4 жыл бұрын

@@betangeltv One more thing i like to ask if is not a problem. If we aply this model to the current form of a team, is it better to look the form for the last 5-6 total games or the form of the last 5-6 games home/away?Thanks in advance.

Hi , I will like to see the second part of this video . Thanks

thank you. I would like to see part 2

Thanks for the video as always. Would I be right in saying you are using Poisson distribution to work out the odds? Look forward to the second part of this video!

Great video! I would be interested in you showing us more and taking this into extra time :D

Up for the 2nd part

Great video, Peter! I'd just like to know if I am using this info correctly. Basically I have followed your method for the home/away specific (time 12:20 in video) I have put the final number for each team e.g 1.46 (Crystal P & 0.96 for Newcastle into a poisson dist for 0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7 goals and its given me a percent for each outcome. Is this a correct way to get my price for Over/Under 2.5 goals or not?

Thank you Peter. Great informative content. You certainly very knowledgeable in this area. I would like to see part 2 of this great video. Thank you again.

@betangeltv

2 жыл бұрын

If you visit the playlist you should find all the follow up videos listed on there.

That would be great. Presumably the calculation also works for other sports?

I am glad I've found you on the web! Thank you for sharing such concepts, models and information. Cheers from Rio de Janeiro!

Brilliant video, I love the mathematics of football. I use this type of strategy every week. My maths say chance of NO goal is. Chelsea 6.79%, Burnley 7.07%, Palace 8.89%, Sheff Utd 8.21%, Southampton 3.65%, Leicester 3.02%. Thank you Peter.

@adrianmanoli1888

4 жыл бұрын

How You do that calc?

Yes please ,your workings through the percentages would be great. Thankyou.

@betangeltv

3 жыл бұрын

Noted!

Totally brilliant video.

Sure I would like to see part 2

Sure i'm interested in part two i did notice that you can almost guess just by looking at the match odds.

@t_a1931

4 жыл бұрын

Christopher Scott please explain how to do that?

Inetresting, second part/video would be appreciated please

Yes please. Very interested 😁

Part Two please Peter. Thanks.

Thank you for the video, I am interested in seeing how to calculate the percentage of 0-0, and hence calculate percentage of a match not being 0-0. If you look at football match odds on a general bookmaker the odds on a match not being 0-0 maybe 1.05 for example, and on the exchange it would be 1.07 (which is 40% better odds). Another note, have you gathered any data for the remaining 9/10 premier league games that were played behind closed doors, did this give a better chance of the away team getting a result, or were more goals/less goals scored in a game?

@betangeltv

3 жыл бұрын

I plan to do a video on this in the near future.

Yes I want to see the second video

Thanks Peter. Could I see part two please

Yes would love to see the second half (pun intended!)

@betangeltv

4 жыл бұрын

Best response yet. Let's hope it doesn't go to penalties.

@RACING5312001

4 жыл бұрын

@@betangeltv Well you never know after all football is a game of two halves.

GTO betting I like it need to start implementing this strat into my betting thanks for video

@betangeltv

4 жыл бұрын

You're welcome.

@graemearendse8079

4 жыл бұрын

Hi im from South Africa can u plz help me open a betfair account 😥😥😥😥😥😥😥😥

what happens when you have a strong away favourite, do you still swap the scores around ?

Thank you for valuable content. Can you please make a video explaining sample size and its relevance to odds compilation? - When data sample becomes statistically irrelevant and creates "noise"? - What data to use at the beginning of season when there is no current track record? Kind regards

@betangeltv

4 жыл бұрын

It's probably worth doing a video on that as these factors are important. This is where a lot of judgement comes into it however and where a lot of models diverge.

So would you then add your .4 to the home team's expected goals?

More, please!!!!!!!!!!!

Interested , Good Stuff.

@betangeltv

2 жыл бұрын

Thanks for watching!

Good advice

Interesting Viedo..... part 2 with the calculation would be great

@betangeltv

3 жыл бұрын

I think you may have discovered it already.

definitely be interested but as you said its only a guide but seeing if its a value bet is very worthwhile (only 1 goal Leicester v Man City) and i bet the odds would be shorter than they should have been especially in the 1st half of the game

@betangeltv

4 жыл бұрын

At this level in this sport results are going to be wildly variable. That's just the nature of football. So any value plays out over time, rather than any one particular day.

I’d be interested in seeing part two of this. I’ve used stats of my own via excel for years trying to find things that work but I’m always beat in end by the sheer randomness of football. The games my stats say should go over end without and the ones I left out goals galore. Could you do a video on how this happens? I’ve also tried automating but yet to find anything that works globally have you ever managed this or am I flogging a dead horse??

@daveb3141

4 жыл бұрын

rancid sausage value is irrelevant if you can just keep picking winners as that’s the only true way to profit but when football is so random and the games based on stats too often go against what they imply then it almost impossible to be profitable and find value. Look at tonight’s championship for example out of all the games only one went over 1.5 and over 2.5. And the one that did was odds on for being under. This happens far more than it should yet is not predictable enough in any way to monetise that. I don’t think it’s ever possible to remove the element of luck from betting on football. Having used automation to find anything that works and failing after thousands of bets I’m hardly one to give up after “a few bad bets” i am just stating facts

@nonleague8613

4 жыл бұрын

@@daveb3141 As said already you cannot defy mathematics. If you are backing something with greater odds than it's probability then in the long run you will make money because you are betting for value.

i dont think iv ever seen 0-0 odds at 11.2 even in the south american leagues. i think betting 0-0 or under 0.5 goals prematch is a recipe for disaster. live betting is a totally different story of course. but great work anyway explaining the maths involved.

yes please peter i am impressed

Hi Peter! Great insight, but would the avg of h/a over the season and h/a last 6 matches add together and the avg of that number be a good angle? Do you have any tests that show this to be good or? Just a thought, maybe I will test lol

@nonleague8613

4 жыл бұрын

I have this exact method in mind. I would hazard a guess and say that this would be better.

I am trading on a lot of goals and find betfair do all the work for us, their o/u goals odds are pretty accurate but not a given .I have noticed when we get a avalanche of early goals this very rarely continues.

Hi Peter, in the example they are well into the season 26 matches, and that will without a doubt give you better numbers to work with, however if its the start of the season i.e 4 matches in, it will not give you the same accuracy, what do you do in that case, take last seasons number, problem here would be a lot of things might have changed, players/managers and so on, so how to use this in the start of the season. from one Southampton supporter to another :-) michael

When you doing part 2 Peter? You said after Cheltenham. Hope you're OK.

Yes Peter do part 2 please

Peter thanks for the good work but I wish you can also be posting your prediction as well.

Okay so there is a match today, Koln vs Dusseldorf. Tell me if I'm doing this right. Koln have played 13 home games, they've scored 22 goals and conceded 18. Dusseldorf have played 13 away games, they scored 14 and conceded 27. So do I add all of those goals together and then divide by the 26 games? 22+18+14+27 = 81 then divide that by 26 = 3.11? Then after running it through the equation it works out at odds of 22.42 of 0-0? Is that right.

Second part would be nice. I've never really had a strategy. I do a daily double every day for the same amount. One home team @ evens and one away team @ 7/2. One a week will break even. I do ok.

@samtan5636

4 жыл бұрын

Sounds decent but don't quite get it. Would you mind explaining in more detail? Appreciate it very much

Thanks Peter I need part2

@betangeltv

3 жыл бұрын

kzread.info/dash/bejne/iGGErcmlhdK2pJc.html

Hey love the video but I don't understand how you get goal per game please explain again but slower thanks

good video

thank you very much for very educational video.

@betangeltv

3 жыл бұрын

Glad it was helpful!

Where does Soccer Mystic pull its data from for the predicted odds?

I live in Canada, I just start match betting. But I come across a lot of problem of finding bookkeepers offers . Since most of the betting sites are not available in Canada. Is there a way to make money without the free offers ?

Yes would love to see the other parts

@betangeltv

4 жыл бұрын

It will go into production later this month.

@emmychida

4 жыл бұрын

I love this video. I am interested sir

Another video would be great.

What happened to your masterclass on your website?

be good to see peter!

Can you please predict south African lotto for this week

Hi Pete so why you didn't divide the overage number of goals for both teams by two at the end of calculating for exp : Liverpool 2 + Leeds 1 = 3 ( dont yo have to divide 3 by 2 at the end to find out overage goals for 2 teams together? ) Regards Dennis

@betangeltv

Жыл бұрын

You can do it how you wish as it all averages out.

Hi, Peter. I know it's an old video, and in the examples you show, the teams have played 13 each (home/away) if I was to test this going forward. What would you say is the minimum games a team should have played, 5 or 6 or 10? Thanks.

@betangeltv

Жыл бұрын

You have to approach the last 5-10 matches and cross-compare them to the teams they were playing to get some real guide on current form. Go beyond that, and it starts to lose its impact and mean reverts.