Elon Musk predicts AI will be smarter than humans by next year | BBC News
Tesla’s CEO Elon Musk said artificial intelligence (AI) development will advance to be smarter than the smartest human by 2026.
During an interview on X Spaces, Musk told Norwegian hedge fund manager Nicolai Tangen that the next version of Grok, the AI chatbot from his AI startup, will be trained by May.
On the latest Artificial Intelligence: Decoded, BBC News explores Musk’s bold predictions.
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Пікірлер: 555
Elon Musk is often wrong about his predictions, especially when he's projecting to his potential investors.
@nothingbutchappy
Ай бұрын
*always wrong
@solapowsj25
Ай бұрын
And how many medical diagnoses are right? How many treatment protocols are correct? Few, in my opinion.
@nothingbutchappy
Ай бұрын
@@solapowsj25 well since your not a doctor your opinion means nothing...
@riosmarteducation
29 күн бұрын
😂
@mikafiltenborg7572
29 күн бұрын
😂Gordon Johnson - is that you?
A I will change the name back to Twitter
@user-et9jd8te6n
Ай бұрын
LMFAO
@luisabraham3262
Ай бұрын
🤣
@pau191
Ай бұрын
🤣🤣🤣🤣
@stephaniesass5173
29 күн бұрын
😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣
@braco6757
14 күн бұрын
😂😂
I think we can safely say it's smarter then Musk now
@kevj989
Ай бұрын
It's definitely smarter than you that's for sure
@ISirSmoke
Ай бұрын
that's not a big achievement really
@Madkroniik
Ай бұрын
Not to be that guy but... *than? You're clearly not. 😂
@deeliciousplum
Ай бұрын
@@Madkroniik Please, have some compassion. As the race of Squeaky Barbarians go, I am in awe that we are able to see/to observe their concerns, futurisms, and other ideas. 🌱 They are a complex species.
@simulationkoyo
Ай бұрын
Elon is just jealous yes he is.
And Elon Musks predictions usually...never come true. Why do media keep giving this narcisst so much attention? He's a liar and attention seeker. Much like Donald Trump.
@Player2blood
Ай бұрын
Hater
@qp9vp
Ай бұрын
@@Player2blood Fanboy, sheep
@BrownDaddy007
Ай бұрын
Musk is an establishment stooge, wheeled out to get everyone off the roads. Hence, we have him shoved down our throats, constantly.
@ItsBrown__
29 күн бұрын
Making a prediction that doesn't come true doesn't make you a liar
@Player2blood
29 күн бұрын
@@qp9vp people like you love stagnation. So enjoy your delusion.
the businessman wanted to get his name in the news
Elon predicted in 2017 that humans would be on mars by 2024… 7.5 months left Elon.
@barneymagee3285
Ай бұрын
Al gore predicted New York would be under water now…..
@t1n4444
Ай бұрын
@@barneymagee3285 There again he might be out by only a few years. You might have noted that flooding is occurring more often across the planet. You might have noticed too that land under cities is sinking because of water extraction. So there's a sort of double whammy effect. And you might have covered artesian and sub artesian wells. In UK this was on the school geography syllabus over fifty years ago. Sadly for us the boffins have been telling us about climate change as well as ... but what have we done ... quite right, sfa. Al Gore was and is correct, apart from the date and location. Suggest those who can migrate away from low lying coastal regions or buy a boat and develop an appetite for sea food. It won't be long before people start looking for homes built above the 200ft contour ref current sea level. Places like Florida will be completely inundated and homes like Mar A Lago will be worth quite a bit less than Trump claims. I would suggest that Mar A Lago will have a second life as a reef or a sand bar.
@e.v.k.3632
29 күн бұрын
I'm still waiting for it I can't believe I really was hyped for it
@dgw4049
29 күн бұрын
Honestly, no one wishes he had been right more than me, but alas, he was wrong as hell.
@rj-mc4ko
29 күн бұрын
@@t1n4444 it is not occurring more often. It is right on time. The earth is in a heating period as it as been in before the industrial revolution. The cycle continues.
"They hallucinate, they make things up, they're not very good at logic and reasoning." Are you describing humans or AI?
@StephSancia
23 күн бұрын
Governments Actually
@eco_logic
11 күн бұрын
sounds like MAGA
@Evolvingaroundthesun
11 күн бұрын
Sounds like humans
@egymagnet
9 күн бұрын
@eco_logic or Biden, can barely form a coherent sentence. Guess he's really more idiotic than AI 🤣🤣🤣
Magic beans, get your magic beans here.
@Ben_D.
Ай бұрын
In the children’s story you are referencing, the beans were actually magic and worked even better than advertised. The boy who acquired them became rich beyond his wildest dreams. Was that the image you were trying to conjure?
@a-walpatches6460
29 күн бұрын
@@Ben_D. It's very appropriate for AI. People don't understand exponential growth.
@ItsBrown__
29 күн бұрын
@@a-walpatches6460fr. Most of the people in these comments, as always, think they know anything about AI
@Pau_Pau9
25 күн бұрын
Elon is selling Tesla Beans?? Where?? I will take 1000!!
Why report on something some who doesn't know the subject said?
@xaylusyoutube9642
27 күн бұрын
lol ikr? they invited a lady who's too focused on feminism which has nothing to do with AI and she's just nit picking every tiny little thing that doesn't pertain to the topic at hand.
Yer man says a lot of things.
the guy who predicted his cars would be fully self-driving in 2 years a decade ago is now predicting so many things
@joshuanaranjo4913
2 күн бұрын
There is. Look it up
Yeah he also predicted that his cars would drive themselves next year, for each of the last 7 years. And they still suck at it.
Wait, the guy who said we'd have completely autonomous driving in 2018, and then 2019, and 2020, and every year since? That guy? We're still listening to him?
chat gpt is definitely smarter than us within it's scope
This anything like his other predictions and plans? Like working boring machines, vacuum tunnels, rusty trucks, late deliveries, his plans for the moon or Mars. Yes tell me more of Musk's great predictions that never seem to come true. Conmen will con.
@WeeWeeJumbo
Ай бұрын
and yet people are still willing to take him seriously. money really is power i guess
@devilsolution9781
Ай бұрын
Theres obviously boring machines. How you think britain amd france link?
@ItsBrown__
29 күн бұрын
That's why it's called a prediction
@BossMax511
26 күн бұрын
@@WeeWeeJumbo Look at what he has achieved despite his predictions, of course some people are going to take him seriously.
@StephSancia
14 күн бұрын
I bet you watch the weather on telly though with incorrect predictions and speculation about what's going to happen tomorrow in the sky
when it becomes smarter than humans it will turn itself off.
@user-et9jd8te6n
Ай бұрын
@howmathematicianscreatemat9226
13 күн бұрын
😂😂😂
Judging from the expanding conflict in the Middle East, seems to me that bunnies are smarter then Human Beings.
@bereal6590
Ай бұрын
Spot on
TBH, its already smarter than A LOT of humans. 😂
@ItsBrown__
29 күн бұрын
Exactly
@StephSancia
23 күн бұрын
TYPO = "MOST" :)
By next year, Elon's AI-powered Tesla will still cannot self-drive around town
@maximeprometheas
Ай бұрын
You underestimate the amount of intelligence that it takes to spontaneously catch on fire!
@lukelitowitz2000
Ай бұрын
Well avtually teslas can do that 99% of the time. That being said, 99% of the time is not good enough when millions are driving around. Its not that it doesnt work, its that any mistake causes a catastrophe
@mikafiltenborg7572
29 күн бұрын
I will bet, you have not test drive the latest version of FSD.... !
@mikafiltenborg7572
29 күн бұрын
Please : go Short TSLA! 😂 "Good luck" bet against Elon 😎👍
@NikoKun
28 күн бұрын
Sounds like you haven't been following the latest updates about their self driving vehicles. I don't care about Elon or Tesla, but their self driving tests have made a TON of progress in the last couple years. By next year, it'll almost certainly safely drive around any town, in nearly any weather. I think people need to quit underestimating the tech, it's ready and would save a lot of lives compared to human drivers.
No. It will not. It's a dumb pattern recognition algorithm. It will help us sift through mountains of data faster but that's it for a while.
@Kenny-tl7ir
Ай бұрын
Oh yeah? can you sift through mountains of data within 5 seconds ? If you can’t then it’s smarter than you.
@stephenpaul7499
Ай бұрын
@@Kenny-tl7ir This whole comparison is asinine. We've had calculators that outperform humans for over 40 years. Intelligence is actually an extremely hard thing to define.
@Kenny-tl7ir
Ай бұрын
@@stephenpaul7499 calculators do not have a neural network which can learn and be trained on tasks. Calculators cannot sift through mountains of data and compress them into a concise, concentrated, useful format through linguistic questioning as an input. Your example of using a calculator as a comparison to AI is asinine.
@stephenpaul7499
Ай бұрын
@@Kenny-tl7ir Machines have surpassed many human cognitive abilities for decades. Does that make them smarter than us? It all depends on what you mean by 'smart'. If you think about it, intelligence is not an easy thing to define. This is a philosophical problem.
@Kenny-tl7ir
Ай бұрын
@@stephenpaul7499 machines have surpassed human abilities in sensing data from environmental stimuli for decades, not cognitive abilities. Cognitive abilities involves compressing and integrating data into useful information which can be used to extrapolate trends into the future. That has not been possible until the introduction of neural networks and billions of dollars of training material through high throughput broadband and the advent of the internet. Machines were dumb until Ai
not hard to imagine it being more inelligent than musk
@a-walpatches6460
29 күн бұрын
His IQ is165. Einstein's was 160. What's yours?
@mikafiltenborg7572
29 күн бұрын
🤖👍😅😆😂
@ItsBrown__
29 күн бұрын
Well it's for sure more 'inelligent' than you
If Elon says it then we still have around a decade
@raul36
11 күн бұрын
😂😂😂😂
lol that woman thought she would take the piss out of the AI designer with the sexist remarks, but he shut that shit down quickly haha
@xaylusyoutube9642
27 күн бұрын
yeah she's super annoying. I don't know why they invited her. She's clearly a feminist lady which has nothing to do with AI. Nit picking every tiny little things to satisfy her massive ego. That was satisfying to see him shut her down. It's funny that she thinks she's a feminist and think that it's ok to make that kind of comments. It sound like she only cares about what she thinks.
i diagnosed my aunts blood disorder in 7 minutes using Bing, the Drs had been working on her for over a year. wtf is wrong here
Elon Musk has also said he'd send humans to Mars by 2024, how is that going?
@andrewcoulson2375
29 күн бұрын
I think he's going to buy a big box of Mars bars and share them out 🍫
The same AI that claimed Clay Thompson was throwing bricks through people's windows in Sacramento 😂😂😂 I don't think so 🤦
And afterwards, making the AI wise will be the next focus point.
That woman started off so wrong. She said "AGI ... also called the singularity..." Sheesh
Wish I had a fec**ng million dollars to just bet away frivolously😂
@davidfarner2836
Ай бұрын
Wish I had a fec**ng dollar every time Elon’s predictions fail miserably.
Not necessarily smarter than Humans; just smarter than Elon Musk.
Sure AI could beat me in writing essays but who’s gunna win in a water gun fight?
How's the hyperloop coming along
If the mother of eLawn's sister-nieces married the father of eLawn's sister-nieces, he would have two sister-nieces and a mother-sister. Fact.
Lets hope so...
One of his predictions was for 2029, 5 years from now. Something I've noticed in 30 years of following certain medical research is that anytime anyone says 'within 5 years' they're pulling that projection straight out of their backside. It's enough time for something to develop, but not so long it seems out of reach. It's a totally arbitrary figure, and once you become aware of it, you start noticing this old chestnut cropping up everywhere in science and technology.
Why use suno instead of udio? Guess we'll never find out.
Elon Musk promised FSD in his tesla cars 10 years ago. Should we trust that person? He throws so many things around, and sometimes he is right, but most of the time he is wrong.
@Reprint001
Ай бұрын
@microbe_rz31Who didn't? The web in the 90s was not like it is now.
AI: Elon will become smart next year!
Yet, it will need supervision for Full Supervised Driving
16:37 Why did she come at him with so much aggression. Why didn't she say does it have other options for other people.
@xaylusyoutube9642
27 күн бұрын
Yep it was ultra embarrassing to see that happen after he quickly shut her down lmao. This lady is a clown.
Could AI learn how to instinctively panic? So, could it instinctively panic?
we’ve lost control at that point and will eliminate humanity as it turns against us.
2029 is a more realistic prediction
We know our phones are smarter than us already, so saying AI will be smarter than us is like saying a Toaster can not only heat up internally, but it can also cook bread.
Elon is never going to Mars.
@sandyflowers9201
Ай бұрын
Going mars for what? To destroy another planet.
@user-et9jd8te6n
Ай бұрын
he is from mars
@mikafiltenborg7572
29 күн бұрын
Me too 😂
@mikafiltenborg7572
29 күн бұрын
@@user-et9jd8te6n👽👍
@garryjones1847
26 күн бұрын
Going to Mars is another stupid idea.
hallucinate. We could get Val Kilmer in a movie using his old voice crazy.
Just when the Tesla robot goes on sale. Good move
Press F to pay respect to the exosuit
To be honest, I feel he needed chatgpt for this prediction…
Elon also predicted that X will become the next everything app and that you will not need any other form of social media/banking/shopping/lift hailing app ever again. And look how that’s turned out
That's a small leap! That's the best you got?
Internally they are there imo. Just not safe yet.
Memory is really important in anything If it was on the chase it would knoe every answer cause somone allready told it the answer Chess is the same Id say ai would be good at 9 ball pool Suppose static between the balls might change but it would know exactly were to hit and exactly what speed and be able to replicate it But itnwould prob be able tompot the 9 ball every time
We are in an exponential curve. There is no plateau
Elon you are correct sir you made artificial intelligence with built in knowledge and wisdom and understanding
This is amazing
Not a difficult challenge in many cases unfortunately 😢
How to make video news paper
Going by the headline and the release of Tesla products. 5 - 6 years away
Maybe he should rename it Skynet now...
In what context? What is cognition? Think!
Not very good at logic and reasoning?! But they are better than us at Go and Chess. If the bureaucrats and regulators had pushed the auto manufacturers to speed up their development of driverless vehicles and relaxed the restrictions slightly we would have had driverless cars a few years back. Tesla's technology has shown it is already safer than human drivers by quite a significant margin. That demo was really bad - it was slow and quite unresponsive and couldn't even handle voice. GPT, Copilot and Grok would have done a far better job.
AI is already a lot smarter than me lol
Why are you asking people on the street? They aren't AI engineers or any experts that would have any clue as to the timeline? Also basic AI 101 - The AI used for driverless cars is completely different than the one used, say for ChatGPT. They are more or less containers of preset AI designed for those tasks. We only need someone to combine all of them into a system large enough to hold it all.
I don't know why people is getting upset when something is smarter than us I believe it is good things Because it might reshape our world to better
Yeah this guy also predicted self driving cars every year for the last 10 years
Well.. im ok with that
Elon Musk also allowed the Tesla truck release with a faulty acceleration pedal so.....why are we making his pov news?
Machine cannot be better than human. Machine still needs human input and operating.
That means next decade
AI will be smarter than a human within one year, same year when Tesla’s autopilot will be finally fully autopilot
I wouldn't hold ur breath
Predicting the future, one year at a time.
AI actually cant beat humans in chess. it can beat a human that a programmer that has developed.
No kidding! Genius
Given who we elect to rule us, I would say that's not an especially impressive achievement.
If Elon Musk loses this bet it will be because of the limitations that developers use to decrease abililities they otherwise would be capable of
Who would have thought that matrix multiplication we had in the 10th grade will become sentient 😂😂😂
You must mean all humans? I mean its already got a large percentage of us by a pretty big margin.
According to Mush, humans should have been residing on Mars for several years already. Nothing he says can be regarded seriously - not trustworthy. He is unable even to launch his rockets into geostationary orbit.
2030 is possible
Anything is smarter than elon
Thunderf00t, over to you!
GPT4 IQ has been measured at 114. That is smarter than the average humans score already.
AI taught me about the illusionary self and about existence
and hungry people will still stay hungry.
So 20 yrs from now
We all want a voice #Hint we can all find a flaw in anything but the lack of understanding in certain parts of his statement allows me to see past his calculations on the fact that he just wants to be right
Full self drive by the end of next year 😂
Funny that the people in the comments are literally as predictable as possible. I'm an AI engineer and we can already build systems smarter than most humans. Elon knows people aren't ready for what's about to happen.
Elon this, "Elon that," why you keeping giving this guy credit?
A machine cannot surpass a person. Machines still require human input and maintenance.
@gerdaleta
23 күн бұрын
😮 you are a fool and have no idea what you're talking about😮 have you heard of the human organoid brain computer we can make computers at a human brain cells 😮 by reprogramming skin cells😮 so you're human brain doesn't require input to do things does it😮 neither will this also AI agents don't require input already so you are so wrong it's not even funny😮 there is nothing a machine can never not do😮 the question you must ask is what a machine can't do which is basically nothing
pretty sure ai wouldn't vote for presidents
As we speak these apps are out of date.
I predict before 2026...
HYPE! clickbait headline! Human perception, motivation, intention, meaning, value, personal experience, disappointment, prior intention, abstraction, foresight, intuition, creativity, local context, goals, emotional specificity, regret, biology, chemistry, psychological temperament, loyalty, and the specific weights and resonance of "inputs" are factors that can only be simulated as a more and more descriptive computational model or robot. At best,this is hope for a frankenstein that falls far short. It may be a worthy project, but what purpose does this prediction of human irrelevance or incompetence serve?
It's actually a lot smarter than us since 5 years ago 😅
Because its dunbing everybody down.
First of all. Instead of asking are they smarter than us in every way. No. Are we smarter than them in every way? No. Anyway This has to be an old video. He is talking about what humans can do that machines cant. All of his examples turned out to be wrong. This didnt age well.
Most humans armed that smart to begin with.