EASIEST ICT Silver Bullet Strategy | No Daily Bias 77% WIN RATE (PASS PROP FIRMS WITH THIS)
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@biggalaxy9102
11 ай бұрын
Literally super Literally super super Literally super Literally!
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
@@biggalaxy9102 🔥
@a.carnevale4910
10 ай бұрын
Dude lost account today 😂
@nazariytsioma6512
9 ай бұрын
@@a.carnevale4910 Its so stupid call that Silver bullet, its like a scam : People lets found any FVG 5min tf, and place order long or short, without bias, without targets on liquidity. Thats not work like that/ Clown
@skybiz4520
9 ай бұрын
Don't get it. 1) Market open 9:30 not 10 and 2) why 5Min TF? 3) Direction not Clear. I'll check on the Chart and see.. Cause Other guy trading Diff times and Diff TF and calling this same "Silver Bullet".. :)
guys 6 months, 121 trades, I backtested this and 44.2R+ return after 6 months risking 1%, 10 back to back winning streak, 5 back to back lossing streak, 1 lossing month, 5 winning month, best month: 22R+, worst month: -1.5R. 50 lossing trade total and 60 winning trades so you could say 60% winrate gonna keep on testing ya'll this shit works.
@caspersmc
9 ай бұрын
🙏🔥
@francescogatta5047
8 ай бұрын
What is your time zone?
@zaynxscalper
8 ай бұрын
@@francescogatta5047 10-11AM +5 NY killzone
@magethemaskedgamer4510
7 ай бұрын
Brilliant data. Thank you so much.
@zaynxscalper
7 ай бұрын
@@magethemaskedgamer4510 no p
Today I come to this video to thank you Casper, I have improved my trading and this video just helped me to fund me. We can always adapt this strategy with other confluences for more efficiency, but simply what you explain in your video is necessary. It takes a lot of patience and an iron mentality to stick to the plan, if we do this we will achieve great things. A hug, I want you all to know that it is possible. Discipline and patience.
@caspersmc
5 ай бұрын
Glad to hear that! Thank you! 🙏
The ICT study by CasperSMC is really really Important to understand psychology of Real ICT......I really following you since 2022 and have seen very good changes in my lewrning also....love u bro❤️ thank u 💯
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
❤️❤️❤️
Hey Casper! I’ve honestly gone through 10s of videos explaining this silver bullet and I’ve been losing was about to give up on it until I tried it out the way you have explained it and it worked well! Thank u
@caspersmc
7 ай бұрын
That's fantastic to hear! 🔥
Bless you Jesse. Thank you for being able to break down this concepts in an easy to understand way for the newer traders and for always being transparent with your examples. As someone you learns best visually, it’s always refreshing watching you explain a concept and then explain it again with a live example. Thankful and grateful for your content always.
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
Thanks man. That means a lot 🙏
I will definitely try this out,thank you for going so much in depth and still keeping it simple,great video and a great lad,Thank you so much for what you’ve done for the community Casper✊🏻❤️
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
❤️❤️❤️
@TXL-
11 ай бұрын
Did you try it out??
@giuliobraccini1008
6 ай бұрын
Sorry, can I ask you if you know what time the time spoken of in the video corresponds to (10am) in Italy? I'm trying to replicate it but I'm not very profitable
@fissky4583
6 ай бұрын
You can change the time at the bottom right of Tradingview. Just set your time to New York time😁 I live in Germany, it should be 16-17 in italy@giuliobraccini1008
@eragon4155
3 ай бұрын
@@giuliobraccini1008 If you use Tradingview I suppose that the chart will show what time. So the time in Italy may be different from the time on Tradingview but it should be 10-11am on tradingview time ig.
Casper. This was indeed my ah ha moment. I backrests the NQ 180 days using both 10am and 2pm times. 123 wins and 31 losses. Approx 75% . ES 70 % . You are undoubtedly one of the best follows on KZread. Thanks for all you do. I have signed up for my first evaluation w apex. Starting next week with this strat. I'll lyk!!!!😊
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🔥🔥🔥🔥
@curiouskittycat5977
11 ай бұрын
Last 6 months.
@sharkey214
11 ай бұрын
@@curiouskittycat5977 yes
@denisheohector7412
11 ай бұрын
So do you take 2 trades a day since you will be using the pm session silver bullet as well? or do you apply both?
@sharkey214
11 ай бұрын
@denisheohector7412 I tested each pair NQ ES for past 180 days using the SB at 10 and 2. So yes 2 trades per day. I also found that if the FVG failed I could use it as an inversion gap to trade in the other direction.
Funded! most simplified breakdown of the silver bullet I've sen so far. Short and sweet. Love it! Thanks Casper
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
Thank you! 🙏❤️
@robelmekuria3606
3 ай бұрын
How has it been? Did you change your strat or has this been profitable?
Thank you for uploading Casper.... You are really giving a lot to the community
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🤍🙏
I've watched about 20 different videos, including that of ICT, focusing on the Silver Bullet strategy. I want to let you know that you're really good at explaining it! You get right to the main points and use simple methods. I like that you show the Tradingview chart instead of just drawings - it's much clearer that way. Thank you a lot for this. Now I'm excited to try out the strategy, and I'm definitely going to check out your other videos too. I also Liked and Subscribed. Take care!
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
Thank you so much! Take care brother 🤝
@blackemojianimations7139
9 ай бұрын
How did it play out?
@giuliobraccini1008
6 ай бұрын
Sorry, can I ask you if you know what time the time spoken of in the video corresponds to (10am) in Italy? I'm trying to replicate it but I'm not very profitable
@fissky4583
6 ай бұрын
16-17 in italy @@giuliobraccini1008
@asadmuhamad5731
6 ай бұрын
bro how it is
100 trades ,exact rules ,starting balance $300,000 , Jan 11-Jun 17 2022 42% win rate ending balance 337,171,67 Im going to test a couple variations. Keep you posted . Thank you Casper 👍
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🫡🤝
@saloves9576
2 ай бұрын
WHICH IS THE MOST WINNING AND LOOSING DAY OF THE WEEK????
@kathanpatel9478
Ай бұрын
Hello bro how could you backtest that much do you have any option to backtest for Last 2 years chart data in Nasdaq 100 if you have please suggest me
Would love more similar strategies for gold ect. These are becoming a game changer for me. Love mechanical easy to spot set ups.
Have been a trader trading for one solid year as of December 1st. I have had trouble finding consistency until I found this video and wanted to say thank you. It is working like a charm.
@caspersmc
8 ай бұрын
Thank you! 🙏🤝
@Scycho
2 ай бұрын
Have you still been consistent with using this strategy?
@atharvmirajkar
2 ай бұрын
Are you profitable bro with this strategy?
Hey casper i backtested this on jan 1 2022-2023 the winrate was 30% with 166 trades and by the end of the year i lost -7%
@noemarcon4548
11 ай бұрын
Really ? because I found it succesfull. Mind if you show me your screenshots or some footage of some of the trades that you took ? maybe your execution is the mistake
@dkysamurai7194
11 ай бұрын
@@noemarcon4548 Yea do u have discord
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
Thanks for helping him out🙏
@kingpin173
11 ай бұрын
@@noemarcon4548what's your winrate?
@tinkoland
11 ай бұрын
@@noemarcon4548 kinda tried it on the last 2-3 months , and its at break even
I’m so glad you dropped this video. For anybody new to ITC please watch this video. This is a beginner level strategy and I highly recommend it. This helped me a lot!
@caspersmc
5 ай бұрын
Glad it helped! 🙏
It is amazing how you take complex strategies and you simplify them for the traders. Thank you for all you do for the community. # Funded
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
Thank you! 🤍🙏
Results: June 2023 +10% July 2023 +1% August 2023 (currently) -3% Win Rate = 40.48% Max Drawdown = -8.00% Backtested the last couple of months. As most mechanical strategies, performs well in it's ideal conditions, poor when not. Will definitely pass challenges, will also fail them. Thanks for the content.
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
❤️
@Primeshas
11 ай бұрын
How many % did you risk per trade?
@benniemann5519
11 ай бұрын
was about to say the same. most youtubers are completely overhyping these strats
@sihlepdlamini101
11 ай бұрын
Just back tested July ...holly!!!!!!!!😮Hactic
@aer300k4
11 ай бұрын
@@sihlepdlamini101 what are the results
I’m so happy that the algorithms passed your video my way. I really appreciate you sharing this and like some others in the comments mentioned, you are very good at explaining this and I’m definitely watching some of your other videos ! ;) Thank you brother
One of the most clear trader mentor on the web, thanks bro to go always to the sauce!
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🙏🙏🙏
I want to take the time to show gratitude and appreciation. You are making a difference in the trading industry. So thank you, for everything. God bless you.
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
I appreciate that! 🙏🤝
Thanks for this exposé Casper! I’ve tried the trading the am SB but fell off after some losers on m1. Guess I didn’t have the guts to be mechanical with it. But, I especially like the fact that you based this backtest off of m5 TF which gives me time to enter my trades as against the m1 TF. I’m gonna forward test this on EU this month and see how it goes. Appreciate it!
@davidvinatoru8562
10 ай бұрын
how s the backtesting
@awaisahmad8446
10 ай бұрын
@@davidvinatoru8562F
@komanderban7293
9 ай бұрын
how is it
Hi Casper. Tested this strategy and I must say I'm very happy with the win rate. My backtesting gives my 5 losing trades in a row. Bought an account and straight of the bat I'm 4% down but I'm not even stressing because I know this strategy work and I've seen the 5 losing trades in a row. What I am most proud of is that I didn't break my rules to make up for the loses. If I lose this account I will still follow this because of my backtesting results. This is awesome bro. Thanks again
@nwvrvo17
5 ай бұрын
How long have you been trading this strategy? Im looking to use this strategy so I just want to hear from others who traded this...
@Motivation.Vipe2
5 ай бұрын
Same bro
@westside786asy
4 ай бұрын
How did you do? Pass the funded?
FUNDED! Thank you Casper 💪🏽 great strategy, will Backtest it with FX replay as well
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🙏
v watched many silver bullet videos ever since he introduced the concept but boy ohh boy ,,this was the best so far,ITS SO MECHANICAL AND STRAIGHT TOTHE T' IN AND OUT ''am trading LONDON WINDOW''' wish me luck,,,BLESS UP✊ CASPER
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🐐
@sharronharris7985
24 күн бұрын
Have you found equal success during the London session?
@kakoozamartie4222
24 күн бұрын
@@sharronharris7985 Time 3am
i've tested this exact entry model from june 2022 till july 2023 (13 months, average winrate of 48% using 1% risk), only two months which ended up with 2% and 4% drawdown, the rest are profitable - but i removed trades that didn't trigger by end of session + added 3 pips buffer for SL
@FXRHB721
10 ай бұрын
How do you determine whether to go long or short once you’ve identified the FVG?
@SuperDavey87
9 ай бұрын
@friedfortnitelive5224 FVG above price (short) FVG below price (long) A fair value gap is the difference between the current market price of an asset and its perceived fair value. You are banking on the market returning to its "fair value," aka your entry, before continuing in the direction initially identified. You are waiting for the gap to get filled and then enter once the market considers itself balanced
@ItzRocky127YT
5 ай бұрын
which session? 11? if it doesnt trigger before 11 u remove the limit?
@mohammedhussain6169
4 ай бұрын
Wht is the reward you took
You're brilliant I've watched about 6 videos of people saying 'the last video you will need' when in reality this is the last video I will need.
Bless you Jesse, this setup is so easy to follow. Already backtested to another indicies and works like charm. Will test it live on today's market! Lessggoooo!
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🙏
@TheUnicornQueenT
11 ай бұрын
Hi, which indices did you test?
@TXL-
11 ай бұрын
Did it work??
Abit late to the party but i have just tested Feb 2024 and March 2024. Feb - 5 win, 9 loss - 1% gain March - 7 win, 8 loss - 6% gain Profitable but too many losses.
Strategy- 1. 10am NY SB 2. 5m FVG formed (at or after10am before 11am) 3. Set Limit Order (SL @1st FVG candle with TP @2RR)
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🙏
@Jonas11-yv8ls
11 ай бұрын
10 AM NY IS 7:30PM IST RIGHT?
@franzrazzetti
11 ай бұрын
@@Jonas11-yv8ls Right
@mangraskinbeauti
11 ай бұрын
@@Jonas11-yv8ls Yes, according to a Google search.
@Jonas11-yv8ls
11 ай бұрын
@@franzrazzetti thanks
Jesse, this just got me funded. Thank you, you gave me the confidence to build discipline and consistency in trading. On difficult days I watched this video again and again and it reassured me and motivated me to stick to the rules and it paid off. I appreciate you 🎉
@caspersmc
8 ай бұрын
🤍
@filipeantunes5967
8 ай бұрын
hey what pair are u trading? because i am trading nas100 and last month and this month its been horrible
@CaffeinatedUnicornTrader
8 ай бұрын
@filipeantunes5967 I've only been trading NAS100, and yes, it's been really challenging. The market has mostly been consolidating, so I wait for days where there's good movement in the market and then I wait for the daily high / low to be taken or look for the judas swing between 9:30 and 10:00. I will then follow the plan as stipulated in this video. But some days there's good movement before 10:00, and as soon as the hour hits, the market starts to consolidate again. If there's no opportunity before 10:30, I don't trade for the day. Good luck!
@Gnybr
7 ай бұрын
@@filipeantunes5967It's been great. You're obviously not following the rules.
@amitvil1
5 ай бұрын
His Silver Bullet version is based on luck. You can't trade just based of a FVG. @@filipeantunes5967
Made $5000 the last 2 days trading NQ following your teaching on FVG. It was indeed my aha moment in trading. Thank you so much.
@caspersmc
10 ай бұрын
Let’s go🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Funded! Will def need to back test this one. Nice and simple and takes the guess work out of it.
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🙏
Hey Casper. Thanks and really appreciate your efforts. I would just like to add that. ICT introduced this concept 3 months ago. I've been trading this since then. Some things he specifically mentions, is a must in this model. 1. It's a 10pip/5handle strategy. 1R-1.5R(and ofcourse it could run more) 2. The entry must be in this 1 hr. Skip the setup if it doesn't. 3. It's a htf continuation setup. This will improve the win rate a lot. I've been funded and profitable using silver bullet. Always Backtest first guys. Good luck 🙏
@noemarcon4548
11 ай бұрын
Hi bro, I have been trading silver bullet strategy as well but to no succes... Even tho I backtested it and got amazing results im still strugling to pass my challenge... got any tips or help ?
@AkashKumar-bw7hg
11 ай бұрын
@@noemarcon4548 Bro if your backtesting results are good, the only problem I see, could be market conditions & risk management or human error(price analysis )
@WianFX
11 ай бұрын
What video did he bring this out with?
@AkashKumar-bw7hg
11 ай бұрын
@@WianFX just search for ICT Silver bullet. And watch the video from his channel
@EscTabShift0
9 ай бұрын
@@noemarcon4548sounds like it’s a mental barrier you have to overcome. You had success back testing it. The same confidence you had while back testing is the same confidence you need to have confidence during live trading
This is My exact same setup, same time frame same rules, only that i trade it on EU and GU, and use it with the daily bias and it works well, thanks man i appreciate 👌🏾
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
Nice!
@YasoAMTV
11 ай бұрын
what has been your win rate?
@sarkhens3843
11 ай бұрын
Only been using for 2 weeks now havent backtested it
@MassimoPiacere
9 ай бұрын
@@sarkhens3843how is it going?
❤ i just subscribed its amazing how much work do you put in this and i just tested out its true and it works about 60% al the time but its great with a nice risk management its perfect.thanks
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🐐🙏
FUNDED!! Ty for the content, I'm going all in on fvgs
you are one of the few youtubers who really simplify it for everyone else, much love 🙏🏽
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🙏❤
@PremierRecordITStudio
10 ай бұрын
@@caspersmc please what time zone for the 10am
Just backtested it using SPX, over 120 trades with a 35-38% WR, did the backtesting for Aug-Nov 2022 with over 4% gain and another for May-Aug 2023 with a 10% gain. Thanks Casper!
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🤝🙏
@54Trades
11 ай бұрын
December 2020 38% wr January 2021 40% wr
@youtubeislife2108
11 ай бұрын
So strategy loses 60% of the time. You'd fail a ftmo account most of the time with that win rate.
@karatedog
11 ай бұрын
@@youtubeislife2108 He loses 60% of the time 1 unit while winning 40% of the time 2 unit.
@youtubeislife2108
11 ай бұрын
@@karatedog But if your lose streak is several losses in a row right there you failed your FTMO challenge. It's not uncommon to lose 10+ trades in a row.
So clean and easy to understand. Many appreciations!
@caspersmc
10 ай бұрын
Glad it was helpful!
No words. All I can say is WOW. Thank You! ❤❤❤❤
@caspersmc
10 ай бұрын
Glad you like it!
I've been using the 62% entry tp at -0.27. Took me out of DD! Thanks Casper! I've even shared the video and the backtesting one with people asking for my strategy.
@Carnagetelegrem
11 ай бұрын
Hey
@amarabeee3104
11 ай бұрын
@@Carnagetelegrem I am still new to this. Casper has backtesting videos for his strategies.
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
Interesting I’ll have to test this. Thanks for being an awesome member of the community as always!!
@chaostheory1105
11 ай бұрын
what kinda winrate are you seeing
@GenZWealthNation
11 ай бұрын
Can u please share it with me?
Thank you, this is awesome. I have tested Feb ‘23 to June ‘23 on GU using London session and NY session. I adjusted it a bit as per one of the comments here placing entry at 50% of FVG and TP 2.5%. So far a total of +45% profit. I still need to analize the data but so far it looks that 3% TP might to the job as well. I will share my results when ive tested 3 years of data. So far, this is great dude!
@daqfu271
11 ай бұрын
which timeframe did you do your test? thanks
@ftsomalan
11 ай бұрын
@@daqfu271 5M
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🔥🫡
@Jeremy.Muller
10 ай бұрын
Thank you!
@ftsomalan
10 ай бұрын
@@Jeremy.Muller for those months you can actually ignore London session, as eventually you donate back what you have made. 2.7% TP seems to be the sweetspot
Due to this video now i understand original Silverbullet with finding next most likelly draw on liquidity and narrative. Added to my intraday trading after 2022 model....Casper big respect+++ to You.
great video jesse. cant believe its just now im watching this. im used to watching your videos talking about using daily bias and this one you said no daily. im kinda scared to be honest but the video was great.
@caspersmc
9 ай бұрын
Glad you like them!
So if my maths is correct, based on the quarter you did tests on, you could very easily pass a challenge and just trade your funded based off of this strategy and this strategy alone. That's sick casper thank you so much for this video 🙏
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
Awesome! Thanks!
@ahhpaolo
11 ай бұрын
bro I've backested it for 140 days and the win rate is 41.67% on a total of 84 trades with a total return of 22.1% in like 5 months. Not bad but can be a lot better
@FX-Tracer
11 ай бұрын
@@ahhpaolo your backtest was for risk 1% ?
@tradenchill9123
11 ай бұрын
Keep in mind this is an isolated example and no doubt cherry picked for more engagement on this video. If you backtest this yourself you can see some months like Jan 2023 can end on -7% DD for example.
@bart3835
11 ай бұрын
@FX-Tracer @@tradenchill9123 I just finished back testing this strategy from Jan 2022 till Aug 2023, at first I honestly thought I had found a cheat code, but after few months everything started going down hill. Although the results were not as good as I hoped, I am happy and grateful for all the knowledge Casper is providing, I am learning everyday. Casper if you read this Thank you, from the time I found your channel I have gained knowledge and better understanding of chart analysis. These were my results: Jan 2022 - +8.19% Feb 2022 - +8.17% March 2022 - +4.66% May 2022 - +6.02% May 2022 - +3.92% Jun 2022 - -4.92% July 2022 - -2.02% Aug 2022 - -2.08% Sep 2022 - -1.06% Oct 2022 - -4.36% Nov 2022 - +0.48% Dec 2022 - -0.36 Ytd 2022 = +16.62% Jan 2023 - -1.12% Feb 2023 - -4.10% March 2023 - +8.46% April 2023 - +14.85% May 2023 - +5.75% Jun 2023 - -2.02% Jul 2023 - -6.90% Aug 2023 - -1% Ytd 2023 = +12.82% 2022-2023 = 31.56% Total Trades 229 Wins 86 Losses 143 Win Rate 37.55% 1% Risk all trades!
Jesse, I believe you have a natural talent at breaking down complex ICT ideas into easy-to-understand mechanical systems. If I were to watch only 2 trading youtube channels, it would be yours for trading strategies, and Imperfect Trader's for psychology. Cheers!
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
Thank you! 🥂
@karatedog
11 ай бұрын
@Trade_station1 If you can turn 1k to 10k with just a few trades, those signals should cost a ton of money. Otherwise why would you sell those when you, yourself could turn 1k to 10k in just a few trades, right? Then trade and make a lot of money, you don't need to sell anything.
@bronson1392
11 ай бұрын
Theres a comment like this for every guru channel😂
@karatedog
11 ай бұрын
@@bronson1392 exactly. I'm yet to see somene who has written CODE to execute those trades. Then it would be really,really emotionless and imperative 😃
@sitabarry1168
10 ай бұрын
@@bronson1392 these guys are annoying as fuck. All they want is scam innocent people
I've watched a few silver bullet videos.I definitely overthought everything, and gave up. But using the replay and watching it happen? It's now in my brain and I am going to back test it. Thank you
@caspersmc
6 ай бұрын
🤝🔥
Beautiful, simply and straight to the point. Thanks alot
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🙏🤝
I am intraday trader and also using silver bullet but ur strategy is more clear and better .Thank you so much sir ❤❤❤
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🤝
Funded! Great strategy and really well explained, good job Casper!
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
❤️🙏
@tristenshaw4895
11 ай бұрын
I just tested this strategy on FX Replay and it got a 31% win rate with 14 consecutive losses and only 4 consecutive wins. -6% RoI after 45 trades. Posted images to back up my claims and they were deleted in less than 10 minutes.
@andreiiulianfunaru870
11 ай бұрын
@@caspersmc I've backtested it for hundreds of days and it works like a charm. Thank you again for sharing this strategy with us!
This is exactly how Ive been using it over the last few weeks. Its awesome! I trade NQ with it but im going to try ES and CL soon.
@caspersmc
5 ай бұрын
You can do it!
@tommydion
4 ай бұрын
Have you tried / backtested CL yet?
Backtested from May 1st 2023, to today (August 12 2023). It is summer so i would expect it to be worse, but here are the results. A total of 19.07 RR (1% risk per trade = 19.07 % - the trade comissions). A grand total of 53 trades/trading days. Great profitable strategy, but to an experienced trader this is probably under your goals. I would recommend this to anyone new as it is super easy, and is enough to cover your losses from trading your own strategy that you are testing out! Great video ❤
@TheUnicornQueenT
11 ай бұрын
agreed! I backtested all of June so far on MES and the winrate was very profitable. Thanks for doing even more months.
@ahmadpashtoon9493
5 ай бұрын
What would you recommend for an experienced trader?
BT this over 35 days but I tested all 3 SB sessions. 35 days, total of 89 trades , 50wins and 39 losses which is a win rate of 56.17%. On a 100k account the gain would had been 61k. There 17 SB sessions with no trade setups. Did another test with less trades and funny , it came out the same win rate , 56%, 62 trades, 35 wins and 27 losses, 43k gain. As far as I can see , this works well over time. Nice work C.
@caspersmc
4 ай бұрын
🤝
@RJJackson09
4 ай бұрын
Which 35 days did you backtest?
@mjwilliamdenman4170
4 ай бұрын
Yeah, I'm curious which dates you tested. I ran it through 3 months from August onwards and it was 40% with a 5k profit. And that's on a 150k account.
Hi Jesse! You give so much more then we all expect. With this strategy you have made it so simple, that we do not have any excuses. I have backtested it and I have around 50 to 60 % win rate, over 1 year period. I would also add here that I was also looking for MSS if I have a displacement with FVG. Do you think that we can use it also as an ny pm silver bullet? ( in case the markets are in am session to choppy). Thank you! Looking forward to see your next video!
@FlippyFlippers
11 ай бұрын
what do you use to backtest?
@Hugowb
11 ай бұрын
hey, which year did you test?
@forexnerdfx
11 ай бұрын
Hi! I use Tradingview, but I have Excell sheet to track it all. @@FlippyFlippers
@forexnerdfx
11 ай бұрын
Hey! I have tested 2022. But I am focusing more on 2023 now.@@Hugowb
@user-qt6qw9vs1r
11 ай бұрын
hey what pair did you use ?
Just tried this one today, after back-testing it a few weeks. Win for today, defo keeping this one as a go to.
@caspersmc
5 ай бұрын
🔥
Thank you for the lesson! You can also work on the 15-minute chart and look for a break in the structure and a gap in fair value near the time window, if it is not there, go down to the 5-minute chart and look for it already inside the time window.
@caspersmc
3 ай бұрын
🔥
Appreciate this casper! Dont mind the negative comments..a strategy even if 40 to 50 percent with 1:2rr is still a win. The important part is having a strategy that will fit your life style. Will definitely try this out.. thanks man! Cheers! Funded! 😊🎉
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
❤️
@zaptrading
11 ай бұрын
Hi, how can you say comments are negative if they are based on bactest :::
@Mobile_Trading
6 ай бұрын
Do you use this strategy
If you combine this with the daily draw on liquidity, the win rate goes up exponentially. You're gonna know which fvg to enter and which one to avoid.
@tomkathe2199
11 ай бұрын
explaine
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
When done correctly, yes - many beginners can’t do that
@rorinotengo173
11 ай бұрын
The win rate goes up? Or would the win ratio go up?
@veteranentrepreneur8429
11 ай бұрын
@@rorinotengo173 lol
@zaptrading
11 ай бұрын
Do you have any stats on your "claim" ::: But I'll test myself would love if you could give more info. / explanation :::
Perfect video, you just got yourself a new subscriber. Keep it up mate!
@caspersmc
8 ай бұрын
Awesome, thank you!
Excellent video and info. Thanks for creating & sharing this.
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
Glad it was helpful! 🙏
I love what you said about the benefits of a mechanical strategy and taking the setup no matter what. Powerful! It's one of my problems. FUNDED
@jayrichdubai
11 ай бұрын
I agree. When Casper mentioned about it doesn't have to look perfect he was speaking directly to me lol
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
Let’s go!!!
@akinwaleseun4205
11 ай бұрын
Hi please I wanted to ask if it works on NY only? Can I use it for forex?
Hey Casper. Your videos have really helped me iron out many problem areas in my trading. Thanks . I live in India and think I am ready to try a prop firm. I can t find much information online if this is allowed in India and which form should I choose ? Thanks so much
God damn, I didn't expect it to be that simple, but it is definitely working! Pretty good video bruh!
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
Thank you for your kind words! 🙏
Man This Is Great content for real this will help a lot I was In drawdown This Video gave me a lot of Hope!.... FUNDED!
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🐐🐐🐐
I have tried this on the 3-4am session since last tuesday, Pretty impressed, 100% win rate so far, thanks for the video mate! thanks casper!
@martinbaron811
9 ай бұрын
Did you backtest it ? It looks great but could change depending on the period
@user-dr9dz7rs9x
4 ай бұрын
It’s still works at 3-4am?
A lot of the time, the FVG has already formed before 10am and the retracement back into it for the entry happens from 10am onwards. ICT once confirmed this too, that the FVG doesn't need to form after 10am, as long as you are entering on a FVG within that 1 hr window. This was the case for some of my best Silver Bullet trades
@Kilo80Kilo
10 ай бұрын
Is that to say that If a FVG develops before or during but doesn't retrace to it during the hour, you are not to take the trade?
@deedevs
10 ай бұрын
correct. Placing a trade outside of the 1hr window is breaking the rules for the Silver Bullet. Perhaps you can use ICT's 2022 model to enter after lol@@Kilo80Kilo
@PremierRecordITStudio
10 ай бұрын
Please what time zone for the 10am
@deedevs
10 ай бұрын
@@PremierRecordITStudio it’s UTC-4 bro (New York local time). Also 2pm-3pm (PM Silver Bullet), and 3am-4am (London Silver Bullet). All UTC-4
@Lasick312
9 ай бұрын
how do you know whether its a buy or sell thou i can spot this play but cannot determine if its a buy or sell after FVG has formed
Finding it hard to locate fvg, but this silver bullet simplified it, the 77% win rate shows how great Jesse is. Funded! Just changed my trading view time to New York zone.
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🙏❤️
I could literally kiss you, lol. The one tidbit about taking the very first fvg formed has completely transformed my results. Because it's only traded during one SB window, I could backtest super fast. I backtested 4 months (about 80 trades), my win rate was 51% with 28% profit return. Amazing. I will keep testing but this made me a SB lover again. Thank you!
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
Glad it helped! 🙏🙌
I backtested this strategy for 6 years, for a total of 1.102 trades risking 1%. Here are the results: 4/6 years were around 30-38% profit. Two years were -5% and +5%. Profit factor is around 1.3-1.2. Max drawdown is 16% and overall return is around +128%. I wouldn’t say it’s the best strategy, considering the amount of money risked, but it does work. And it is insanely easy to execute!
@acetradesx
6 ай бұрын
Also recommend using 0.5% per trade because 1.3 profit factors means u’ll go in drawdown sometimes… So be care-full.
@caspersmc
6 ай бұрын
🔥🔥
@ChemistryNotes
5 ай бұрын
@@acetradesx was one of those bad years 2021? Backtesting that year now, and flat thru September’21
@georgeparlog4385
5 ай бұрын
@@ChemistryNotesyeah, 2021 sucks. I think 2018 is bad also, if i remember well
Backtested this on MT5 with an EA i wrote for it 2021 - now: Caspers rules: WR: 36.68% 27% GOA DD: 16% I adjusted some rules (enter on 50% of fvg, RR 1:4): WR: 30.6% 90% GOA in 2.5 years DD 11.3% risking 1% per trade
@bigmitch7901
11 ай бұрын
Ja mijn 6 maand backtest in eerste deel van 2016 is gelijkaardig. 0% winst 33% winrate Profit factor 1 10.15% max relative drawdown Zijn vorige OTE strategie heb ik wel success mee, wel wat veranderingen aan gemaakt.
@Mathijsvanwijk
11 ай бұрын
@@bigmitch7901 ja het lastige vind ik daarvan: wat classificeer je als liq grab en wat laat je gaan. Ik was profitable maar marginaal. Dus ben het nog aan t uitzoeken.
@ibrahimmammadov6922
11 ай бұрын
Could you please share your EA with us? Maybe we can make some adjustments and come up with a better entries?
@Mathijsvanwijk
11 ай бұрын
@@ibrahimmammadov6922 are you a coder?
@timckfable
11 ай бұрын
can you backtest on 3 min chart? what is the win/loss ratio?
Wow my first trade with this today and made 4% with 2% risk. So glad I found your video explaining it so well. Thank you.
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
That's great! Thanks 🙏
Thanks for sharing your strategy bro! The beautiful thing about a 1:2 RR is that your win rate doesn’t even have to be high. You can go one month with a 50% win rate on this and still be profitable!
@caspersmc
7 ай бұрын
Thanks! 🔥🫡
Love this! Would you be up for doing a follow up to include adding additional confluences for those of us wanting to add more strength to the setup and increasing the WR? Perhaps 1 or 2 other PD arrays that you would chose to increase the WR even more? That would be ace! :)
@manusholder8224
9 ай бұрын
Trading is mental game, that is why most people lose money because they cannot control their emotions. Because the prevalent idea of our culture is to effortless indulge and focus on their own pleasure and wellbeing, but controlling your emotions is unpleasant and painful and that is why most traders lose money because they don't want to meet the pain. That is why there is so many drugs, alcohol, obese and fat people, broken marriages and adultery.
@Sarahmalapane
9 ай бұрын
*@cynthiaann931* Hello is she really good? am 70% portfolio down, Still have some spare to invest
@DanielErvin211
9 ай бұрын
Traders should exercise caution with their exposure and exercise caution when considering new investments, particularly during periods of inflation. It is advisable to seek guidance from a Discretionary fund manager or trusted advisor in order to navigate this recession and achieve potential high yields i learnt the hard.
@TheodoreEthan446
9 ай бұрын
I had a similar experience with Madam Elizabeth My initial investment capital was $1000 but made $13200 as profit in just the first week of trade. It was very big for me considering the fact that i have lost money in the past trying to trade on my own.
My results backtesting Feb-Aug 2023. (ICT suggest to avoid Jan). Trade 127, win rate 47.24%, ytd return 43.80%. Best month Apr 14.75%. Worst Month Aug -1.62% (4 trading days)
Funded - i really love how you make it easy to understand, i am gonna try this definitely, thank you!
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
Tweet me with your results!
@milannikodijevic
11 ай бұрын
@@caspersmc Sure i will!
Funded... You make it so much easier man. Im looking forward to winning that challenge. All the way from South Africa 🇿🇦. Keep doing the work Jesse . You're saving lives for real 🙌🏾
@theomoilwa4052
11 ай бұрын
african to african .....my guy this strategy is bullshit,it will blecksem you and your money
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
Happy to help! 🙏
@theomoilwa4052
11 ай бұрын
i take it back this is a good strategy
@ratajuleen8400
10 ай бұрын
Please can you explain to me the timings. I don’t get it, he said we should close all the trades before 4pm does that mean we keep the trade till 4pm. If so are we still going to be using the 5min timeframe?
Nice video. Thank you for the simplicity. I am backtesting Jan 22 to Dec 22 but so far Jan 22 has an awful 33% return. I will keep going. Hopefully the winrate improves. Update: I continued backtesting using FX Replay following the same exact rules mechanically. Here is my return so far (risking 0.5%) 1. Jan 2022 = -0.96% 2. Feb 2022 = -1.22% For now, it doesn't look good enough for now in terms of profitability. However, I like the fact that I have lost only -2.18% in two months. That shows the strategy is excellent as a tool to cultivate discipline against overtrading and revenge trading. I can't wait to see what other months look like.
@caspersmc
9 ай бұрын
Sounds great!
@1981karukera
8 ай бұрын
You like the fact that you lost -2.18% in 2 months?????? 😂
@jumparmy7043
8 ай бұрын
that's bc this doesn't work
I've backtested a whole year. 2022. 36,21% Winrate. 37,7% Profit. (Av. Monthly 3,1%) Best Months: April 10%, July 12,2%. Months ended up negative: Feb -1,7% , June -1,2% , Aug -1,8% , Nov -3,8%
@jochenfeyten1933
9 ай бұрын
I have +3.9% for november 2022
@Jorcuis_
9 ай бұрын
@@jochenfeyten1933 Well. honestly it wasn't a pure Silver Bullet backtest, just the majority of it. So it could be that. More than that, I was testing diferent RR, like 3:1 and so. Again, the bast majority of setups I took the whole year of backtest was as this video tells. So ye, the other trades could have altered the results. Take what I said with a grain of salt. Oh and, important note, I was not closing trades If I was already in, sl or tp, not manual close..
@jochenfeyten1933
9 ай бұрын
@@Jorcuis_ oh okay, I am going to test 1:4 R and entering off if the 50% of the fvg to see if it gives better results
been trying out too! It works better when you follow the daily bias
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🔥🔥
Just backtested it, I am so excited to try this on a challenge account so I hope I win or even just a chance to pass a challenge account (even not the 100k account you are giving away) with this strategy :D
The one you showed 09:22 was valid but you traded the wrong side. Silver bullet are a continuation pattern of the already ongoing trend. And the fair value gap do not have to be formed within that hour, it just has to form a entry into a fair value gap within it. And the exit can also be later
@jakevaloff
11 ай бұрын
Is there any way you can further explain what you said regarding that "it doesn't have to form a FVG, but an ENTRY into a FVG"?
@alialghaish3360
11 ай бұрын
It doesnt have to be continuation cuz its called also opning range where reversal happened at 10 or 10:30 most of time cuz high or low of the session is formed
@Jwandparast25
3 ай бұрын
And does it work for gold or other pairs ?
Thanks for all the education and info you share, I really appreciate it! This strategy however I'm not so sure! Tested from the 5th November to end of November in the live market on a demo a/c. 11 Losses, 3 wins, and 4 no FVG or Triggers, 1 close at 16:00 for 1:0.2 return giving a net loss for the month of -4.8%.
@gpmuzzfx
6 ай бұрын
probably he chose the only month where it can be profitable and thats all
Funded. Thank you for sharing this, simplify and very detail. very helpful
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
❤️❤️❤️
1st time watching your videos, i have been following ICT for a long time and am consistent. I enjoyed watching this. Can I ask why you do not take into account liquidity - for example if the 5M has purged liquidity above an old high/low, order flow has been disrupted, and returning to a 5M BISI likely lead to an IFVG. Is the purpose of this model to stick with directional bias from the FVG... I like the idea of the model, as it is focused on repetition, and discipline. One thing i found for myself where i would have loosing days is where i over complicate order flow. I am a neophyte, only trading ICT concepts on a funded since June (4 months of study first, then 2 months demo). Conceptually i have a great understanding of order flow, but at times my biggest struggle is my mental capacity. I remember ICT mentioning the need to keep a job while trading, or beginning as you over focus the need to win a trade. My progress this year has been great nonetheless. I aim to pass a funded account before December.
@teey1287
5 ай бұрын
give it a rest pal you sound like a tit
Thank you for the video! I have one question, How do you determine whether to go long or short once you’ve identified the FVG?
You and arjo are the only ones that I watch . . I feel like I had my aha moment because it was just risk management and patience , even though I’m on my phase 2 . I really do see the future that lays ahead but I can’t really be celebrating until I get those payouts .. but I really do feel that I got it
@caspersmc
3 ай бұрын
It's great to hear that you found value in the content! Keep up the excellent work!
Thank you mr Casper you are a great teacher! ❤
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
Thank you! 🙏❤️
I have a question. Should we treat gap up or gap down openings as FVG for this strategy?
I tested this on NAS for the whole of 2023. Here are the results: Total profit 29% time to pass phase 1 (8%): 3,5 months time to pass phase 2 (5%): 2 weeks after passing phase 1. then it ran up to the highest point in the 2 months following but from june till august 2023 it stayed around BE or at a small loss. Win rate: 42.75% total trades taken: 139 Max win streak: 5 Max losing streak: 6
@isaiahtofs4966
9 ай бұрын
Now this is someone who did his homework
@ivohage
9 ай бұрын
So on a 1000 dollar account you would have made 290 dollars in a years time?
@yassinemorev9109
8 ай бұрын
@@ivohage yes, use a propfirm account of 200k, and suddenly it's almost 60K a year, provided you only use one propfirm and not a whole bunch more
@folorunshoayobamidele725
7 ай бұрын
What NY time is this please??
@jays.6829
5 ай бұрын
@@folorunshoayobamidele725 UTC-5 at the bottom right of your chart you can simply change it to NY time. It's from 10-11am NY time
the videos on this channel and on the NFC channel helped me a lot, Thank you
Great video, super easy to understand. You only use the 10-11am session for this strategy in this video - have you extensively back-tested the 3-4am session with the same strategy?
Backtest result: Surprisingly win rate was 44% for both 1:2 & 1:3 RR Duration: 7 Aug 23 to 5 Sep 23 RR:1:3 Risk:0.40%($20) Total Trades:18 Wins:8 Loss:10 Net gain:$248 Net%=4.96%
@BMWE-hm7uz
9 ай бұрын
Do the opposite, see what you get 😂
@isaiahtofs4966
9 ай бұрын
I got 9 wins and 10 losses from Sept 18 2023 to Oct 15 2023 That’s 47% WR and 8% RR total
Love this strategy as a mechanical way to get "in the zone" as Mark Douglas would say. Question for Jesse -- would you take an FVG entry if the first candle of the FVG was the 9:50 - 9:55am candle and the second candle (the body of the FVG) formed at 9:55 - 10am? Or does it work best with 10am forming the first candle of the FVG structure? Thanks!
@Ismailkhan-in3zd
11 ай бұрын
I hope casper reply on this! good question! today i took a trade after first fair value gap was formed like at 9:50 and then second one was formed at 10:15 was confused! took trade on nq but lost it!
@NickDaschevici
11 ай бұрын
At the minute 11:10 in the video, he used a FVG with the first candle at 9:55 and I think that's the earliest it should be. Cause if the first candle is at 9:50 then the FVG is at 9:55 which is against the past 10 rule.
@mguatus81
10 ай бұрын
Today the FVG was at 10:45 and the entry kicked in at 11:25 and ran 11:50 for a 1:2. The one thing I can say is backtest. GO to Tradingview and backtest all of August to give you confidence. I backtest 60 days and YES, some entries come after 9:50. I would avoid before that because its market opening. The first 15 minutes there is a lot of manipulation
@georgeparlog4385
4 ай бұрын
The first entry can be taken after 10:10 and ONLY if the fvg gap (the 2nd candle) was formed between 10:00-10:05
I am currently backtesting this strategy Into 36 trades rn and i have added a few more comfluences to this It is a fact that ict has given only a framework on silver bullet and not the exact strategy These are some of the confluences 1. Have to look for liquidity before entering If theres liquidity below your long sL then it will get taken and price moght move in your dorection later . And same in case of shorts also 2. I am taking trades in all 3 sessions like he said earlier in the video gives me more trades from my testing its more effective in ny session. Hits more tp in ny session 3. I trail sl if market makes a new swing 4. If fvg is more than 10 pips i take 50% of fvg as entry and target the same price as in entry at fvg so that i will get 4r as profit instead of 2r 5. Sometimes i keep target at swing highs or lows or ob or htf fvg also and maybe trail them till it reaches those levels 6. If im trailing i move sl to breakeven at 2r
I really like how you simplify things and don’t make it sound complicated. My only question is I want to trade this strategy in Lebanon, what are the timings that are the best to trade this strategy. Because the timings really confused me. Also regarding this strategy we use the 5min timeframe, then we open the market at the best timing that I’m still trying to figure out, and then we wait for a fvg, is that correct. Sorry for this long paragraph but it’s just not a lot of people I know trade and the people I know that trade don’t use this strategy. 😅
Let's go! Gems on gems as usual ❤❤
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
💎
@212aeh
11 ай бұрын
@@caspersmc 🙏🏼❤️
Been back testing something similar to this looking for a liquidity grab of London or NY PM/AM then wait for a displacement leg and a 5m fvg to form in the displacement leg. Close to an 80% win rate using 2:1
@user-ll1bv8fb9s
11 ай бұрын
Bruh is there any way I can add you on discord or something? I've been struggling with Silver bullet because of my limited time I can dedicate to trading during the day. But anything I backtested didn't went into any profit. Many videos with many approaches for the silver bullet as well as original ICT's approach. For some reason in long term my backtests are going negative. Concepts and market structure seems to be clear for me, but there is definitely something I am missing out. Any way we could have a short chat and discuss your trading approach? Maybe this might help me. (No need to do that if you don't want to but I had to at least try) Peace ✌
@gulammustafa8169
3 ай бұрын
What was your sample size of the trades ?
@mauriciofuentes2683
2 ай бұрын
Oh really?
Funded... This is awesome. I will surely test this. thanks for this Casper.
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🙏❤️
Funded - loving this execution it has been a challenge for me to try implement it. I will be looking at it from your approach to see the results. Thanks @Casper
@caspersmc
11 ай бұрын
🙏❤️