Earth is Running Out of Food, What Now? (Part 4)

Every year, 80 million people are added to the planet, how many can Earth feed?!
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📶 EPISODE
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Our planet is singular, there are none other like it (that we know of) anywhere in the galaxy. Our plant is also a finite size, with finite resources. Nothing gets in, nothing gets out. This means, eventually we’re going to hit the maximum population that our planet can sustain. How many people can Earth feed? How soon until we reach that #maximumpopulation? What can we do to feed 10 billion? 15 billion?! Is it even possible? In this video I answer these questions AND MORE!
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📚CHAPTERS
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0:00 Can we feed everyone?
2:57 We need a bigger pie
4:00 We need fewer forks
5:05 need better manners
6:02 We're working on it, sort of…
8:31 But even if we do, what happens when we go?
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⏰ SERIES DESCRIPTION
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What about to eat a vegetarian diet? Will we have cows on Mars? What's the 2020 version of replicators from Star Trek? I have so many questions, so let's kick into it. This week I explore the evolution, economics, classism of eating meat, and where the human diet might go in #thefuture.
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🍔SERIES LINKS: #EatinGood
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PART 1 : how much more does it cost to eat meat?
kzread.info/dash/bejne/mmpplcN8mL3gp5c.html
PART 2 : what's the food of the future today?
kzread.info/dash/bejne/g22ettJuqZq6org.html
PART 3 : is alternative meat?
kzread.info/dash/bejne/oKadzraie9TVgrg.html
PART 4 : how many people can Earth feed?
kzread.info/dash/bejne/daN7l6tvo9HSZqQ.html
PART 5 : cows on Mars?
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📚📚📚 SOURCES
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How many people can Earth actually support?
www.science.org.au/curious/earth-environment/how-many-people-can-earth-actually-support
It's no surprise that as the world population continues to grow, the limits of essential global resources such as potable water, fertile land, forests and fisheries are becoming more obvious.
How many humans can Earth sustain? And what does it mean if we've already passed it?
www.abc.net.au/news/science/2019-07-25/population-growth-world-overshoot-day/11320990
An astronaut on the moon who covered Earth with his thumb would eclipse 7.7 billion people.
In the time it's taken to read this sentence (about five seconds), 24 people have been born.
Can the Planet Support 11 Billion People?
www.scientificamerican.com/article/can-the-planet-support-11-billion-people
By the end of this century, that many people may be inhabiting this planet, according to the latest U.N. projections
The Economic Case for Worldwide Vegetarianism
www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2016/03/the-economic-case-for-worldwide-vegetarianism/475524
Not curbing its taste for meat could cost the U.S. almost $200 billion each year-and the global economy up to $1.6 trillion.
How Many People can the Earth Support?
www.publish.csiro.au/pc/pdf/PC980170
A MUCH-HEATED debate has evolved over the past few decades regarding the future of human population growth and the number of humans that the planet Earth is able to sustain. Some claim that Earth has already reached its human carrying capacity.
The nine planetary boundaries
www.stockholmresilience.org/research/planetary-boundaries/planetary-boundaries/about-the-research/the-nine-planetary-boundaries.html
Estimates of how the different control variables for seven planetary boundaries have changed from 1950 to present. The green shaded polygon represents the safe operating space.
We are exceeding Earth’s carrying capacity. Denying it is suicidal.
qz.com/1347735/how-many-people-can-earth-support-its-carrying-capacity-isnt-infinite
The Breakthrough Institute seeks to enlist readers in his optimistic vision of the future. [where there are] many more people on the planet and each enjoys a high standard of living, while environmental impacts are reduced. It’s a cheery vision. If only it were plausible.
Music by Epidemic Sound: epidemicsound.com/creator
Video by Getty Images
Love you, #nerdfam! Stay #curious, thank you for supporting scicomm. Here's a challenge: Try to not eat any red meat for three days. Just 72 hours without mammal meat. Try it! Let me know how it goes ✨

Пікірлер: 77

  • @azhari7968
    @azhari79683 жыл бұрын

    What's Novel Entities even mean? Is it alien? Or is it something like world wide pandemics? Nine Planetary Boundaries sounds really cool btw. I've never heard that before

  • @TraceDominguez

    @TraceDominguez

    3 жыл бұрын

    “Emissions of toxic and long-lived substances such as synthetic organic pollutants, heavy metal compounds and radioactive materials (emphasis added) represent some of the key human-driven changes to the planetary environment." according to their write-up at the Stockholm Institute.

  • @TheGreatFish23
    @TheGreatFish233 жыл бұрын

    i came from tom scott and i like your presentation skills i think im going to enjoy my stay teach me trace

  • @zamundaaa776
    @zamundaaa7763 жыл бұрын

    I think a large flaw in these estimates is that it assumes current methods of farming. With hydroponics, gene editing, *stacked* greenhouses with artificial lighting etc we should be very much able to multiply the food output of food per land and resources used. Of course that's easier said than done but I think with enough government incentives it should be possible. That doesn't even necessarily need world wide incentives, if even one of the big players like the EU, the US, China or India were to demand limits on resource usage of food in some sort of supply chain regulation that would probably get us most of the way (and help with climate change at the same time, too). I fear that's still kinda unrealistic but as it doesn't have to necessarily happen all over night I think there is hope.

  • @TraceDominguez

    @TraceDominguez

    3 жыл бұрын

    I don't know if that's entirely true. I am sure some of the studies did take into account increasing efficiency of agriculture (vertical farming, etc), which is how we can get to 15B+, but even that is more than 1 additional person fed for every person that exists today. Stacking a farm vertically is going to be part of the solution, as is leaving nature behind and using hydroponics, and artificial geochemistry -- but at the moment… we're not doing anything.

  • @KyuuTomoyaki
    @KyuuTomoyaki3 жыл бұрын

    I discussed the idea of a one world government with a conservative friend of mine, and she responded with "but I'm proud to be an American." We need to come together as a human race if we ever hope to expand our horizons beyond our galaxy.

  • @theholylynch
    @theholylynch3 жыл бұрын

    Very interesting subject, thanks!

  • @TraceDominguez

    @TraceDominguez

    3 жыл бұрын

    Glad you enjoyed it!

  • @Hailfire08
    @Hailfire083 жыл бұрын

    People worldwide need to be more exposed to the idea that having kids isn't 'just something you do' like getting a job or having a place to live, it's entirely a choice and it's not the right choice for many people. If you don't feel like it, it's not your duty, and in fact you'd have more money and time and freedom if you didn't have kids. Certainly in developed nations the birth rate would drop lower than it already is.

  • @PokerageAH
    @PokerageAH3 жыл бұрын

    People always say the US needs to eat less because other countries need the food more. The USA has such a high amount of arable land and abundant freshwater that we produce more food than we could ever use. We could (and do) send that food overseas, but the problem isnt production, its transportation. We have no economically feasible way to send that food overseas without it rotting, and that is the problem. We either need to A: Improve transportation technology so that large amounts of food can be shipped to poor countries at a low cost. B:Improve Infastructure and solve issues that stifle food growth in poor countries. (Think of the Angolan Civil War which has crippled Angolan supply lines and made Luanda one of the most exspensive cities to live in.) C:Make hardier crops that can grow in less arable regions. The problem with both C and A, is that you still need that improved infastructure to move the food around a nation.

  • @Iluvatar85213
    @Iluvatar852133 жыл бұрын

    Trace:"10 billion is the absolute maximum" me: laughs is Isaac Arthur

  • @mikespark72
    @mikespark723 жыл бұрын

    just a little nothing comment to help Trace's youtube algo. you rock Trace!

  • @mangogo44
    @mangogo443 жыл бұрын

    Your channel is SO underrated!

  • @gisellen9638
    @gisellen96382 жыл бұрын

    i loved the format of a series of video instead of a big one also captions

  • @vesawuoristo4162
    @vesawuoristo41623 жыл бұрын

    Thank you very much for making this video.

  • @krishvyas19
    @krishvyas193 жыл бұрын

    becoming vegetarian is so easy in India , you can eat burgers as tasty as meat made of potatoes for half a dollar , you can use potatoes no one needs lab grown meat

  • @francis10203
    @francis102033 жыл бұрын

    amazing videos, you deserve many more subs

  • @InsanityPlusOne
    @InsanityPlusOne3 жыл бұрын

    What do we eat when we leave? easy freeze dried long pork jerky...

  • @kevinflummi2822
    @kevinflummi28223 жыл бұрын

    So, if we pay people for having 2.1 kids, does that mean that every 10th family can have 3 kids or does it mean that every third kid gets cut down to 0.1? Jokes aside, awesome series! I love that Tom uses his channel to give amazing youtubers like you a bigger audience

  • @rhiannonthea
    @rhiannonthea3 жыл бұрын

    I would LOVE to watch a video about the farms race

  • @NOSHEDMANTIS
    @NOSHEDMANTIS3 жыл бұрын

    I signed up to Curiosity Stream, but I can't find "Nature's Weirdest Events" on there at all :( Is it geo-blocked in the UK perhaps?

  • @johnroutledge9220
    @johnroutledge92203 жыл бұрын

    This is a technology, power, and heat problem. With better power sources (fusion or SSPS, or just ground solar and really good batteries) we can sustain our current lifestyle via more sustainable sources for materials, and better materials.

  • @admiralspyro9722
    @admiralspyro97223 жыл бұрын

    "Fewer forks" ... maybe a sensitive topic, but hec this is not a tea party. People have to stop multiply like rabbits. 2.1 children is fair.

  • @NehalDeshpande
    @NehalDeshpande3 жыл бұрын

    Hey there trace Your code isn't working for the curiosity stream Can you help out? Btw great video as always

  • @TraceDominguez

    @TraceDominguez

    3 жыл бұрын

    oh really? Go to curiositystream.com/trace and use promo code "trace" without the quotes. Someone messaged that they used it yesterday, if it doesn't work send me a tweet @tracedominguez and I'll get it checked out ASAP!

  • @NehalDeshpande

    @NehalDeshpande

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@TraceDominguez thanks man ✌️

  • @NehalDeshpande

    @NehalDeshpande

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@maneeshd3 tere pas uskalink hai kya?

  • @NehalDeshpande

    @NehalDeshpande

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@maneeshd3 q bhai?

  • @aarongoh
    @aarongoh3 жыл бұрын

    Hectare = 10000sqm

  • @GoofierClock
    @GoofierClock3 жыл бұрын

    10-15 billion people on planet earth is... is kinda still underpopulated. I expected it to be maybe a couple sextrillions to octrillions to be not underpopulated but also not overpopulated.

  • @sadabahargeet6405
    @sadabahargeet64053 жыл бұрын

    Nice video sir 😊😊😊.My question is when will earth population will become stable

  • @markg5891
    @markg58913 жыл бұрын

    I do find the research (and please correct me if i'm wrong) quite biased to today's norms of feeding the planet. Or in other terms, loads and loads of land to grow crops and feed animals to in turn feed us. Let's take wheat as an example here. There are wildly different numbers of tonnes per acre depending on the country you look at. New zeeland and Europe are king in tonnes per acre data.oecd.org/agroutput/crop-production.htm yet there are so many places still performing just fractions of the top ones. So the first thing to get in order would be to raise all those other countries to be equal to the top ones. You don't lose or gain any land by that. It's just much more effective agriculture. Even then, you can raise output a shitload more! Wheat, under ideal circumstances, can grow much faster. When just using farm land you're stuck to nature and having a rough growing time of 8 months or so (for winter wheat that is). Wheat can grow at least twice as fast under LED light: www.hortidaily.com/article/6041827/wheat-grows-twice-as-fast-under-leds/ And that's only changing lighting conditions. If you go full on vertical farming you can optimize that further to 5 harvests/year! If you'd add growing layers (the vertical in vertical farming) you can get some truly insane crop yields. Read this paper for much more on that: www.pnas.org/content/117/32/19131 And this scales! So to summarize. I'm only highlighting wheat here and it already has a potential to be yielding many orders of magnitude more then is achieved "today" with the same agricultural land or even less (if the vertical farm route is used). The research for it is there. The experimental proof is there too. All that's needed is money to fund it.

  • @TraceDominguez

    @TraceDominguez

    3 жыл бұрын

    Efficiency will get us part way, but Earth is not a robot. Soil depletion, ocean acidification and fresh water use are all issues even in the most developed agricultures. We need a better solution AND we need efficiency :D

  • @markg5891

    @markg5891

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@TraceDominguez a little bit of a side question. Right now to make bread you'd first need dried wheat, turn it into flour, add a lot of water again and then bake it to get most of the water out. Does this sound super inefficient to you? It does to me. So I'm wondering, and you might perhaps be able find research that I've not been able to find. Why do we dry wheat at all if we just make it wet again. Can't we make bread directly from mashed most wheat grains without ever drying them? As if that's the case you can get even more crop yield. As for dried wheat. That would still be needed for storage purposes. I'm curious! :)

  • @Murtahz
    @Murtahz3 жыл бұрын

    Love you bro

  • @TraceDominguez

    @TraceDominguez

    3 жыл бұрын

    thanks Blake

  • @unclem7816
    @unclem78163 жыл бұрын

    Far too many people on the planet already. A serious sensible discussion needs to be had to address that.

  • @TraceDominguez

    @TraceDominguez

    3 жыл бұрын

    Fewer Forks -- very tough.

  • @Mel0nMel
    @Mel0nMel3 жыл бұрын

    5:55 I wish...

  • @itsevilbert
    @itsevilbert3 жыл бұрын

    Here from Tom video, boy will you get a spike in subscribers!

  • @redbach23tube
    @redbach23tube3 жыл бұрын

    great videos. however, 1 hectare is not 100sqm it is 10,000sqm.

  • @joerob00
    @joerob002 жыл бұрын

    Make contraception more conveniently available to everyone.

  • @warrenarnold

    @warrenarnold

    2 жыл бұрын

    They are saying covid vaccine will make us barren

  • @fionacrookston9223
    @fionacrookston92232 жыл бұрын

    Why are you always asking what I'm thinking ... Bold.

  • @warrenarnold
    @warrenarnold2 жыл бұрын

    Thanos?? Anyone? Ok let me be realistic BILL GATES 😉🌚😂😂😝😝

  • @devoonspoon8418
    @devoonspoon84183 жыл бұрын

    Wheedle in there

  • @mikehawk2610
    @mikehawk26103 жыл бұрын

    So this tells me I should hunt more of my meat

  • @TraceDominguez

    @TraceDominguez

    3 жыл бұрын

    Yeah, not so much. It would be better if you grew your own vegetables

  • @mikehawk2610

    @mikehawk2610

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@TraceDominguez what about a more sustainable way of hunting? Only taking animals that are to old too rear Young, or males that are to old too compete with the younger males. One deer can last me and my family for months, it saves the animal from arguably an worse death and keeps me away from store bought meats. A man can only farm so much. FYI I do have a garden in the summer that can last me for a few months after its planted in June and a few months after August when its all cut down before winter so I an rot and give some nutrients back to the soil befor the next year.

  • @robertm.9515
    @robertm.95153 жыл бұрын

    It's not that we need to pay people to eat less, populations are going down or are stable in most developed or developing countries. It's africa that's having a problem. No, I'm not racist, North America will grow to max 500 million people over the next century, Europe, South America, Asia will shrink. Africa will grow 4x. populationpyramid.net

  • @Serenity-nd7so
    @Serenity-nd7so3 жыл бұрын

    We have to go extinct

  • @TraceDominguez

    @TraceDominguez

    3 жыл бұрын

    Maybe we do, but NOT TODAY!

  • @MW-sw7so
    @MW-sw7so3 жыл бұрын

    Nope , human body needs meat, plus bbq is the best, aint getting rid of any of it except, yes ill make 1 exception- fast food with meat and fast food all together, yuck, im so sick of it!

  • @TraceDominguez

    @TraceDominguez

    3 жыл бұрын

    The human body doesn't NEED meat, but it sure likes it.

  • @MW-sw7so
    @MW-sw7so3 жыл бұрын

    Oh and we also need to get rid of all the processed and chemical laden food too, thats where most if our obesity and cancers are coming from.

  • @TraceDominguez

    @TraceDominguez

    3 жыл бұрын

    I agree more transparency in the food system is better, but "toxins" "chemicals" and "processing" doesn't mean what you think it means.

  • @meoromeorome5004
    @meoromeorome50043 жыл бұрын

    Woow woow 😍💋 💝💖❤️

  • @TraceDominguez

    @TraceDominguez

    3 жыл бұрын

    thanks Meo robot

  • @dialidialidi1899
    @dialidialidi18993 жыл бұрын

    I need boyfriend 💋💋💋💋💋💞💞💞💞

  • @TraceDominguez

    @TraceDominguez

    3 жыл бұрын

    I don't, I'm good.

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