Earnings Tales: What Q1 earnings is showing us

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Our economic and S&P 500 forecasts are underpinned by our forecasts for corporate revenues, earnings, and profit margins. We often compare them to industry analysts’ consensus estimates for S&P 500 companies in aggregate and how they change over time in response to earnings reports. Today, we illustrate this process by showing how data from Q1’s earnings season have fed into our own annual and forward EPS estimates, which multiplied by target forward P/Es produces our S&P 500 targets for year-end 2024, 2025, and 2026 of 5400, 6000, and 6500. Notably, Q1’s reported revenues and earnings edged down from their recent record highs, but analysts’ estimates for the future rose, showing that the quarter’s results were much better than expected.

Пікірлер: 6

  • @synthesiswithflorenciozara1848
    @synthesiswithflorenciozara184822 күн бұрын

    just finished 'In Praise of Profits!'. What a treat. Should be compulsory reading in all schools. Thank you very much.

  • @kp2718
    @kp271829 күн бұрын

    I liked the question from Chip(?) and I'm very happy there are no more "repeat" questions.

  • @pauljcomp6621
    @pauljcomp662129 күн бұрын

    Keep Max safe from those New York Taxes!

  • @designer9079
    @designer907927 күн бұрын

    Thank you for all the charts and knowledge. What is the best most reliable leading indicator(s) for recessions?

  • @seanagon182

    @seanagon182

    25 күн бұрын

    lol

  • @tastypymp1287
    @tastypymp128725 күн бұрын

    Liquidity.

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