We're now at 3 episodes of our exclusive Nebula Original Series - and there's still lots more to come! You can watch all of them (about an hour of content so far) for just $15/year with the Nebula+CuriosityStream Bundle: curiositystream.com/polymatter

@tanjoy0205

2 жыл бұрын

McDonald Russia evolution!

@heidirabenau511

2 жыл бұрын

Done

@didyoumissedmegobareatersk2204

2 жыл бұрын

I mean providing russian people with Essentials services shouldn't prompt another nation to santion them....But again US is so desperate nowadyas wouldn't be suprise if they sanction china ...and boom there starts ww4

@Edmund.

2 жыл бұрын

they are getting more expensive

@carkawalakhatulistiwa

2 жыл бұрын

7:10western hypocrisy. Switzerland intervened for Ukraine but remained silent during Israel's war with Palestine. he said neutral but hypocritical

“9 women can’t make a baby in a month” I like that comparison. It demonstrates how complex the semiconductor industry truly is.

@thenegociater3387

2 жыл бұрын

Biotechnological advances would like to know your location

@bryanmartinez6600

2 жыл бұрын

@@thenegociater3387 Praise the Omnissiah

@zboy8899

2 жыл бұрын

Bot Don't confusing folks here 🤫

@theadam7598

2 жыл бұрын

I don't fully comprehend the analogy. Is it that the more people there are it would still take time for the fruits of the engineers to manifest?

@kolinboorom6868

2 жыл бұрын

@@theadam7598 for someone who doesn’t comprehend the analogy you know the analogy exactly as it’s intended….just because you bring 9 women together doesn’t mean they can do the job it takes one 9 months to do likewise just because they have 9 times the scientists doesn’t mean they can make semiconductors 9x faster. Some things just take time

A better title would be "Could China Survive Russian Style Sanctions" - "Could China Survive the Sanctions Against Russia?" is extremely confusing. (Edit: I suppose the sentence could more easily be corrected by simply adding "Used" prior to Against.)

@martinharris4416

2 жыл бұрын

Yep awful naming

@aliabdallah102

2 жыл бұрын

No, china will feel the pinch of Russian sanctions.

@_Bran

2 жыл бұрын

Another title would be "Could China Survive Russia's Sanctions"

@aliabdallah102

2 жыл бұрын

@@_Bran what? That implies Russia is sanctioning china.

@eerrkk

2 жыл бұрын

hmm I feel the title was fine... "Cool China Survive Russian-style Sanctions" makes it sound like whether China can handle sanctions from Russia. The question is whether China could handle the same sanctions currently placed against Russia.

4:58: Calling China Australia's "neighbor" is akin to calling water a "drink".

Do you think the WEST can survive economically if China is sanctioned?

@HafiZzZzZz

Жыл бұрын

No The West will NOT SURVIVE without the White Knight (China).

@weewillywonga

Жыл бұрын

Yes.

@Freedo1234

Жыл бұрын

Ha ha , of course not la

@jasondong9721

Жыл бұрын

Lol just look at the Russian sanctions … look at West economies lol west enjoys sanctioning itself

@agenthex

Жыл бұрын

Polymatter is largely a western propaganda channel so you know the "answer".

Considering China’s vast size, an economic collapse caused by sanctions could do massive damage to the global system.

@didyoumissedmegobareatersk2204

2 жыл бұрын

Dragon Will certainly Go crazy if that happens...would love to see 1 o mr 2 Hypersonic Missiles Over my head

@CanadianAnglican

2 жыл бұрын

We could survive it. Can’t say the same for China.

@user-op8fg3ny3j

2 жыл бұрын

We are already facing a global recession. How else can our financial systems deteriorate further?

@jotunman627

2 жыл бұрын

Beijing orders officials to find ways to protect the nation from western sanctions like those used against Russia Deterring Chinese aggression against Taiwan is in everyone’s interest. It is not just an Indo-Pacific issue, it is a global issue,' Chinese officials are looking at ways to defend the country from economic attack if the West should look to sanction China in the same way it did Russia - stoking fears the nation is preparing for an invasion of Taiwan. 'No one on site could think of a good solution to the problem,' the Financial Times quoted a source as saying. 'China’s banking system isn’t prepared for a freeze of its dollar assets or exclusion from the Swift messaging system as the US has done to Russia.' By TOM BROWN FOR MAILONLINE PUBLISHED: 12:24 BST, 2 May 2022 | UPDATED: 14:37 BST, 2 May 2022

@jacobyakus8620

2 жыл бұрын

God forbid we got off slave labor

I don’t think this episode goes far enough. You mentioned that China wouldn’t be able to manufacture any high tech devices due to their reliance on importing semi conductors but that goes both ways. What would the result be for the western world if they can’t get access to the rare earths used to manufacture these devices as well? Would it result in both China and US and Europe both lose their ability to get these devices? After all - all the manufacturing and assembly is done in China. If China is 30 years behind in semiconductor engineers then so is the West behind in terms of gaining economies of scale when it comes to many raw materials needed, manufacturing and assembly.

@user-gc1hg9sp9k

2 жыл бұрын

True, most people didnt realise that without chinese component, some of factory outside china will also stop production due to lack of supply chain.

@pilot1721

2 жыл бұрын

Australia is the second largest producer of rare earth elements. We also supply basically everything China needs they cut us out and their economy tanked

@jacobyakus8620

2 жыл бұрын

There are large deposits of rare metals elsewhere on earth not being mined currently because of Chinese abundance.

@dasbubba841

2 жыл бұрын

Rare earths are not actually that rare, and aren't exclusively found in China. In the '90s, many mines in the US, Brazil, Canada, and Australia were closed because China undercut them. Many are starting to be reopened due to concerns about dependence on China.

@GiantEnemyMudcrabz

2 жыл бұрын

China lacks the capability to manufacture those components, the west lacks the will to mine those resources. One is a problem of capability, the other is a matter of cost. The West can and is starting to gather those resources from other places than China, and China as a nation has begun to pivot away from being the worlds manufacturing hub for the last few years (hence why they are investing heavily in Africa, they want Africa to become China's China). All it would take the for the West to ditch china is another available market and, barring that, 5ish years to produce rare-earth mines at scale on their own soil (something they have being working on already for the past 5 years btw). If the west has the will, it has the way. China is 30 years behind semiconductor production and not even IP theft can change that. Semiconductor production at the size (2-5nm) and scale that Taiwan produces is a feat that not even the USA is capable of matching in short order. Unless they are able to successfully take Taiwan without destroying the semiconductor factories and without killing the men and women who work in them they aren't producing anything remotely close to that on their own soil for decades. Both sides would undoubtedly be hurt by such an event, but when one side is hurting for cheap labor and global-distributed raw materials and the other is hurting for highly-skilled manufacturing processes and the decades of knowledge that leads into that skill set one will recover much faster than the other.

A full-scale sanction on China? Very Interesting. Just think about how much inflation enjoyed now by the US customers after some tariffs are put on Chinese goods.

@Armored_Ariete

Жыл бұрын

not tariff, more like trade embargo, completely unable to purchase them

@willengel2458

Жыл бұрын

China slaps tariff on steel for export, it encourages steel mills to sell steel domestically, overseas customers pay more. 😊😊

@deebil8099

Жыл бұрын

That's why companies are moving their manufacturing out of China. There is plenty of cheap labor all over the world. China doesn't have anything unique.

@willengel2458

Жыл бұрын

@@deebil8099 only auto companies owned factories in China. Tesla is the only 100% foreign owned operation. China moved their eco unfriendly, low level manufacturing to SE Asia or elsewhere because they've moved up the food chain. you completely misread the news.

@deebil8099

Жыл бұрын

@@willengel2458 I don't know what eco friendly manufacturing you're talking about. China has been increasing their emissions every year. They are opening new coal plants to provide electricity for their manufacturing plants. There is absolutely nothing eco friendly about Chinese manufacturing. The vast majority of manufacturing in China is low level manufacturing. Their bread and butter is cheap slave labor. Nobody needs them for advanced manufacturing. China has been used by Advanced economies to offshore their pollution and cheap labor.

Sanctioning China is like sanctioning yourself.

@yopyop3241

Жыл бұрын

You haven't watched the video. According to the video, the damage to the US from sanctioning China would only be 2% of US GDP. That's about one third of the economic damage of the first year of the pandemic. And the damage from sanctioning China would come down much faster, because China overwhelmingly only provides the world with low skilled manufacturing labor, the easiest and fastest thing there is to replace.

@xilunjiang317

Жыл бұрын

@@yopyop3241 LOL

@pierpontlu4933

Жыл бұрын

@@yopyop3241 If have opportunity, welcome to China live for several months to know about real China, not the China by press

Russia was disconnected from the West, but it has relations with nations like China and India. Do we have to remember the population of China and India? They are not isolated from the world. It is just that the definition of WORLD is too small

@dirremoire

2 жыл бұрын

China, Africa and India are basically the world with over 4 billion people. Europe and the USA - maybe one billion tops.

@xale1836

2 жыл бұрын

so basically half mondial population

@nikitaacht9319

2 жыл бұрын

The UN General Assembly condemened Russia overwhelmingly while only four other states supported it. Moral support by Belarus or Eritrea however won't fix a economy that is attacked by the EU, US and allies which have disporoportional strong economies. 35 states obstained, including China and India, and that is basically their position right now. While the relations with Russia are still okay, major Chinese banks and companies comply with Western sanctions, even though unwillingly. That's why Russian state media had to tone down expectations about "new economic ties".

@insertgenericnamehere7774

2 жыл бұрын

@@dirremoire We be da big dick champs tho

@Gazakhalifa

2 жыл бұрын

Every Western media say the same thing they think the west is the entire world 😂😂 Russia is only isolated from Western market

With what sanctioning Russia (which has a much smaller economy than China) is doing to prices in the US, I can’t imagine the economic damage that we would do to ourselves by sanctioning China in a similar way.

@salahabdalla368

2 жыл бұрын

If the US can't beat Russia they will bow to China lol

@naruto6918

2 жыл бұрын

Yes ...US will suffer badly in similar manners...

@Ed-vm4zi

2 жыл бұрын

Amen

@ChucksSEADnDEAD

2 жыл бұрын

Prices in the US are this way because everyone was "holding their breath" trying to not raise prices due to the 2 years of coof. When the conflict started, everyone let out the belly out of their shirt in collective relief and said "Russia, dude".

@TumblinWeeds

2 жыл бұрын

Oh the US is some orders of magnitude more dependent on China than Russia

“There are three kinds of lies: Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics” Author in a video on 3:33 points out that Russia imports a lot of stuff from Belarus, but most of that stuff was not produced in that country. Almost all the imported goods from Belarus originated in other countries. It is just a way to circumvent sanctions that were imposed on Russia after the annexation of Crimea in 2014. The same thing could be at least partially with import from other countries on the list.

@willengel2458

Жыл бұрын

China never ceased trade with Iran or Russia. China only abides by UN sanctions.

@j.dunlop8295

3 ай бұрын

Trans shipping, but they hate trans people? Lol😅 🎉

If the presumed condition for such sanctions is an invasion of Taiwan, doesn't that also negate the West's semiconductor advantage? The Taiwanese TSMC produces the chips designed by Apple, Nvidia, AMD, and Qualcomm. In the event of an invasion, TSMC would at the very least cease to function. Intel would be the only remaining western company capable of manufacturing a modern chip (even they are increasingly becoming reliant on TSMC). Such sanctions would also almost certainly be reciprocated with a Chinese embargo on rare Earth minerals, so the more probable scenario is a complete paralysis of the global semiconductor industry.

@yopyop3241

Жыл бұрын

The rare earths thing is overblown. When the Chinese froze out the Japanese a few years ago, everyone that depends on rare earths took steps to protect themselves from such disruptions. Rare earths are used much less these days, and the companies that still use them now maintain sufficient stockpiles to get by long enough for new rare earth purifying facilities to get up and running. The rare earths threat has been completely nerfed. Not an issue anymore. On semiconductors, the US and Korea both have facilities that produce 2020 level chips. In a year and a half or so, the US will have facilities producing 2022 level chips. So US tech will not be stalled for more than a couple of years. And since new chip architectures mostly come from the US and Japan while the precision machinery for making new chips comes from Europe, there will no long term slow down. Within four or five years, the world will be back on track, except that most of the new fabs will be in the US and Europe instead of in Taiwan.

@bashersully7667

Жыл бұрын

@@yopyop3241 I believe your argument is overly optimistic. I already mentioned that Intel would still be active in the United States, but their production volume (along with Samsung's) isn't remotely close to meeting global demand. Covid brought the industry to its knees by itself through an uptick in demand and disruption of the supply chain (mild disruption compared to the Taiwan invasion scenario) . Even though the situation has stabilized, the industry still hasn't completely recovered two and a half years later. To use a concrete example, the RTX3080 price went flying north of 2000 USD. I can't imagine a high-end GPU costing less than 10000 USD if such an invasion did happen. Even though Intel is finally working on a (somewhat) competetive GPU, Nvidia and AMD are the only two heavyweight players in this field and are both entirely dependent on TSMC. Apple would probably be out of business, since most of their supply chain depends on China-proper and on TSMC for their CPUs. Quallcomm relies on both Samsung and TSMC, but is currently contracting TSMC for their next lineup, so Android phones would also be severely affected with the disruption of Snapdragon and Kirin (and again, PRC manufacturing and sales market). A single fabrication plant costs between 10 to 20 billion USD and takes up to 5 years to build, assuming the know-how and experienced engineers are available. TSMC is responsible for 56% of contract fabrication. It would take *at least* a decade for the western semiconductor industry to recover in my opinion, if they can even figure out how to reestablish an economy of scale without China.

@yopyop3241

Жыл бұрын

​@@bashersully7667 I think we are talking past each other. We are discussing the microchip situation in the wake of a PRC invasion of Taiwan and the imposition of Russia-style sanctions on China. My point isn't that there will be no effect on the global microchip market/situation. That's obviously absurd. No, my point is that the global microchip market/situation will have no effect on the world's ability to respond to the PRC's invasion of Taiwan. In the wake of invasion and sanctions, I would expect microchips to be in short supply. Rationing is likely. It will be like the gasoline situation in the US and around the world during WW2. Shortages and rationing, but not to the extent that it had any detrimental impact on the US's war effort. In contrast, the sanctions will gut China's ability to do much of anything. In the microchip arena, China's complete inability to access advanced chips will undoubtedly have an impact in some critical areas. But that's one of the lesser concerns for China. The biggest problem for China will undoubtedly be the lack of oil. The oil that China will be able to access won't even be sufficient to maintain domestic food distribution, much less maintain food distribution while also sustaining an amphibious attack on Taiwan.

@bashersully7667

Жыл бұрын

@@yopyop3241 I don't dispute that China would be significantly paralyzed in the energy and food sectors, only disputing the video's assertion that the west would continue to have a semiconductor advantage. I get the feeling too many people think that going on with life would be as simple as setting up shop in India and returning to normal in 5 years. I think there will be an an entire generation of lost progress. Luckily this is all a thought exercise, China unlike Russia isn't dumb enough to start a war anytime in the next 15 years.

@yopyop3241

Жыл бұрын

​@@bashersully7667 US-based Intel says that it is already poised to take the lead back from TSMC with production of 18 Angstrom chips forecast to come online by the end of 2024. We'll see if they can actually accomplish that, but in any case, that seems like proof that there isn't any risk of "an entire generation of lost progress."

Dude can relate China to anything at this point...

@r3dpowel796

2 жыл бұрын

PROPAGANDA.

@bulldogcoma420

2 жыл бұрын

It's obviously relevant since China has been dealing with Russia far differently than any other country. And it's threats to Taiwan - well, it's an important consideration for China and the rest of the world.

@TheRealIronMan

2 жыл бұрын

@@bulldogcoma420 You are living in a western centric bubble, China is dealing with Russia the same way most of the world dealing with Russia: same as usual, only western countries and a few Asian ally countries like Japan and South Korea are against Russia, the rest of the world are not.

@Allan-zu4is

2 жыл бұрын

@@bulldogcoma420 Funny that you consider US + its allies = rest of the world

@mingshili4101

2 жыл бұрын

@@TheRealIronMan not even Japan and SK are against Russia, only their governments.

Excellent and informative graphics!

thank you so much for providing a direct link to your nebula content. so many youtubers only include the referral making it cumbersome to find their channel and then the actual relevant video especially as time passes

0:45 The golden rule of all geopolitical videos: Insert obligatory Francis Fukuyama's The End of History reference

@MalekiRe

2 жыл бұрын

?

@ArawnOfAnnwn

2 жыл бұрын

Fukuyama is an idiot who's been wrong time and time again, but I'll give him that he's a master at self-promotion.

@r3dpowel796

2 жыл бұрын

PROPAGANDA.

@WinkelmanSM-3

2 жыл бұрын

@@MalekiRe was at 0:46

@fullmetaltheorist

2 жыл бұрын

@@MalekiRe The reference means that Francis Fukayama thought that there would be no more major wars and world shaking event after the collapse of the soviet union. And after Crimea and the recent invasion of Ukraine it seems like he was wrong.

China is so deeply woven into our current international trade society that imposing sanctions against them would have an effect on almost every country in the world. The biggest question is not who will benefit but who will not impose sanctions and gain... I feel that Africa will continue to remain neutral and work both the west and China seeing that they so heavily rely on both. If Africa becomes one of the only partners of China, things could take an interesting turn

@nickl5658

2 жыл бұрын

ASEAN nations will also remain neutral.

@davenobody407

Жыл бұрын

@@abdiganiaden So if you sanction China how do the major consumption economies consume?

@apc9714

Жыл бұрын

Africa is not a country and all african cannot produce nor consume anything. They can't project power within their borders, much less outside. Amd China can't stop them from trading with the West. So them being friendly to China is basically irrelevant

@davenobody407

Жыл бұрын

@@apc9714 You’re correct that Africa is not a country, yet you call them Africans. Are you contradicting yourself? Although many countries in Africa are poor, they are resources rich and have large population for potential growth. Secondly, there’re 54 countries in Africa, representing more than 1/4 countries globally, so in aggregate Africa has strong influence in the world politics. Shall I remind you that it was countries in Africa that brought PRC into the United Nations and kicked out ROC.

@Brandonhayhew

Жыл бұрын

If a sanctions be pose on China, everything will be in trouble and everything will set off protests worldwide. People will make excuses on who to blame

Biggest problem of this video is the title itself. A more accurate would be, "Could the world survive with sanctions against China?" Doing that is akin of cutting your own limbs and asking the question, "can I survive by cutting all my limbs?" You see, the country is the world's manufacturing hub. They hold the biggest debt from US. And most importantly, they have good and close relations with Asian countries apart from Japan.

@cim888

Жыл бұрын

Well said, the majority of Asia follow China over US because they are the lessor of two evils.

@willyang4487

Жыл бұрын

And apart from South Korea

@cyclix5314

Жыл бұрын

@@willyang4487 And India

@cim888

Жыл бұрын

@@willyang4487 When push comes to shove China is doubled and more of what the USA do in trade for both Japan and South Korea. Not to mention both countries also know that the USA is using them as pawns and more importantly both of their citizens want the USA army bases out of their countries.

@apc9714

Жыл бұрын

And Vietnam

Interesting video so far! But why do you use 60fps when you clearly don’t need it? I tried watching in 4K but it buffers because size of video is too big with 60fps(2x time of what 30fps)

The video's comments on China and Australia trade is generalized. Australia did find new markets for its products after China's ban but only in a limited way as a majority of Australia's export products are sold at discounted prices or unsold. There is no other market like China that buys in such huge quantities. Moreover, before China impose the trade bans, it did secure other suppliers in South America and even from Australia's allies like the US and Canada.

@joekerr2879

2 жыл бұрын

The video forgot to mention Australian wine. Hahahahahahahahahah All the grapes were left rotting ! "Red wine grapes left to rot as China trade dispute leads to oversupply in Sunraysia" - ABC

@mgronich948

2 жыл бұрын

The big money maker for Austrailia is iron ore. The biggest threat to Austrailia is Russia. Because of western sanctions Russia is ramping up exports of everything to China. Australia exports more iron ore to china than all other countries combined by a factor of 3~4. It will take a few years but Russia will completely take over that market and Australia's standard of living will drop permanently. But as usual, the poor will get much poorer and the rich a little bit more rich.

@r3dpowel796

2 жыл бұрын

PROPAGANDA.

@freeman10000

2 жыл бұрын

I am proud that my country 🇦🇺 has stood up to the CCP bullies. 永遠的自由👍

@robincray116

2 жыл бұрын

@@r3dpowel796 ABC news i.e. the Australian state funded news outlet is hardly propaganda, at least Chinese Propaganda.

It really is something how China maintains strong geoeconomic bonds with many of its rivals/unfriendly/enemy states. I guess the same can be said about the US's trade relationship w/ China.

@dirremoire

2 жыл бұрын

They don't care about your system of government, they just want you to buy their stuff and in return they'll invest money in your country. That's called win-win.

@xtzhao2196

2 жыл бұрын

I guess the truth is these rivals/unfriendly/enemy relationships are delusion made by local politicians.

@yqisq6966

2 жыл бұрын

It just shows the difference in perception. In recent years, the West keeps hyping up the "China threat" narrative. No one in China ever imagined that the US could be a threat until Trump's trade war.

@r3dpowel796

2 жыл бұрын

PROPAGANDA.

@gedeon2696

2 жыл бұрын

Sanctions against China?? With 90+ % of all products sold in North America coming from China?? Result will be World-wide recession 10X worse than the 1920's !!!

These videos are what China Uncensored WISHES they were.

great! can you make "Can USA survive sanctions?" video?

sanctioning China is like sanctioning yourself

06:58 The Netherlands is listed as PRC's 8th largest export customer; but this is misleading. Much of that turnover is landed in Rotterdam, for final delivery to eastern Europe, to Germany's Ruhr industrial heartland, to Switzerland, to much of France, and beyond.

@ToriZealot

2 жыл бұрын

In EU it does not matter which country imports/exports from a legal perspective

@philipb2134

2 жыл бұрын

@@ToriZealot I had simply pointed out that the stats for NL imports were misleading.

@ToriZealot

2 жыл бұрын

@@philipb2134 Yes, I agree

@Kingsman2008

Жыл бұрын

the whole video is based on completely faulty and outdated figures and it is nothing but a laughing stock for entertainment LOL

@agenthex

Жыл бұрын

You seem to believe this is meant to be a serious video and not just feel-good propaganda for the lowest denom.

I think that the graphs shown around 3:00 would be much more informative if the EU countries where consolidated. All countries in the EU follow the same trade rules, so if the EU decides something it affects all EU countries directly.

Love this series

The question should be “Can the West survive sanctions on China?” We are barely getting by through Russian sanctions, can’t imagine what an interruption of Chinese productivity would do to the world.

@Gazakhalifa

2 жыл бұрын

Exactly he's videos are made from a western perspective

@pepsisupremacy5533

2 жыл бұрын

what Russian sanctions did to fuel and agricultural costs, Chinese sanctions would do to consumer goods. Will Americans tolerate an iPhone at 3x the price?

@thr433

2 жыл бұрын

I mean the West doesn't rely on Russia in the same way Russia relys on the west

@pepsisupremacy5533

2 жыл бұрын

@@thr433sure about that, pal? Seems like you rely on oil quite a lot and they exercise market control that you don't have.

@thr433

2 жыл бұрын

@@pepsisupremacy5533 Not from Russia as I live in North America and most oil is sourced on this side of the Atlantic with foreign oil coming in from the Middle East primarily. Europe is more exposed to Russian Oil but changing oil suppliers to the Central Asia, Middle East, North Africa, South America, South East Asia and Polynesia is eminently possible and can be done rather quickly. Gas is a much bigger issue particularly in the East but alternatives can be found and Russia doesn't have the infrastructure to send gas to Asian buyers in the same way it can send Oil elsewhere. The transition away from using Russian energy supplies will be painful but it only needs to be done once. When finished Russia will have tens of billions of dollars worth of stranded infrastructure. This doesn't even go into how dependent the Russian Oil and Gas industry is on foreign parts and technical knowledge. Those will be cut off making replacing the expertise that much harder. Particularly as Russia has been suffering brain drain to the west for decades. And even if they do replace the expertise they would have to build factories find the tools and the workers that can make the parts. All this takes alot of fucking time time that Russia won't have because once you shut off an oil well or gas field its real hard to get it going again. And the yields won't be the same meaning it will cost more to operate in the same place making your energy cost more. There are alot of nuances here saying that the west is barely getting by is missing the point; inflation alone is not the only metric of economic health. It must be stated the Western Economies will still grow this year albiet more slowly than expected. The Russian economy will decline and even if the (and especially if) the Ruble goes up in value that won't change the structural problems facing the Russian economy

"China, Actually" is a great series, it's worth the Nebula sub on its own.

@rasiah2415

2 жыл бұрын

Nice shill. If only I had money!

@spaghettiisyummy.3623

2 жыл бұрын

*Cries in Balkan!*

@baronvonjo1929

2 жыл бұрын

I was just wondering if I should try Nebula. I love so many youtubers that are on it.

@jebipasadegene

2 жыл бұрын

@@spaghettiisyummy.3623 jebiga...

@spaghettiisyummy.3623

2 жыл бұрын

@@baronvonjo1929 If you have some money left over to spend, then go for it!

You guys should do another one name “Can we survive if we sanction China” 🙄

@daveh322

Жыл бұрын

They should name it "Why we were wrong in our last video" because they got A LOT wrong in this one.

great video

I always suspected Polymatter watches Peter Zeihan. This video is clearly a summary of his ideas for the past few months. No matter how good he is at presenting his ideas it's good to get opinions from other geopolitical figures and not only rely on him.

@alanfriesen9837

2 жыл бұрын

It certainly matches Zeihan's belief that China is somehow weak and incapable of dealing with the next crisis, contrary to its history.

@grievousrationality4664

2 жыл бұрын

nathan rich absolutely shat on zeihan lmao

@easonhuang7117

2 жыл бұрын

Like blocking Strait of Malacca, and China would just surrender, that Peter Zeihan? 🤣🤣

@123string4

2 жыл бұрын

@@easonhuang7117 I don’t know if he said that, but blocking the straights in South East Asia would absolutely screw over China. China needs Persian oil which passes through those straights. Take that away and there isn’t enough land infrastructure like pipelines and roads to meet China’s energy demands.

@easonhuang7117

2 жыл бұрын

@@123string4 🤣🤣Spoiler alter: nobody has the power and gut to block China's energy supply by force. Not now, and definitely not in the future.

I think the proper question to ask is: “Can the west survive putting sanctions on China?” Edit: obviously the west will “survive” but what I meant was would their economic hegemony survive. Sanctions on China will cause massive shortages and recessions and therefore shrinking the markets. In my opinion the markets will shrink so much that the west will no longer be wealthy and the more profitable markets for China will shift east to large population centres since the smaller European markets will not be able to compete with unsanctioned Asian markets

@del.see.oh.89

2 жыл бұрын

Yes. Things will just be more expensive. The US would thrive while Europe will struggle for a bit.

@sownheard

2 жыл бұрын

It would instantly kill all the stores. In my EU City Almost everything here is made in china.

@MsMRkv

2 жыл бұрын

@@del.see.oh.89 It's not a matter of more expensive things, but the lack of them.

@oworandom

2 жыл бұрын

yes, but the arguculture industry need to be develop again

@irispettson

2 жыл бұрын

"Survive" is probably not the right word, the west would probably survive... But at what cost? Not to mention, would there even be a unified west against China, when there would be a ton of Chinese money and capital trying to get people to ease of sanctions.

A department store need customers more than customers need a department store.

Mans had an endless supply of knowledge and chose how containerships work

"What if the Earth lost 30 million m2 landmass all of a sudden?!" - the idea presented in this video is as farfetched and unrealistic.

@stylis666

Жыл бұрын

Because? If you don't give a reason, your statement is as empty as your head.

Now do something on. "Can world survive sanctions on China"

@JeRefuseDeBienPrononcerBaleine

2 жыл бұрын

Yes. It will take some time to adapt and be painful but absolutely, the world can survive sanctions on China.

@r3dpowel796

2 жыл бұрын

PROPAGANDA.

@Cecilia-ky3uw

2 жыл бұрын

It can, though the least affected would either be non flobalised economies or funny enough, the US

@kamalyandluri4298

2 жыл бұрын

@@Cecilia-ky3uw I don't think so. It considered as World factory. Well if they did sanction China, then just like Russia demanded payments in Ruble. China does it to. Economic flow will be disrupt big time 10× than Russia's

@lagrangewei

2 жыл бұрын

China has the world largest domestic economy and is the largest trading nation in the world. there is also a silly notion in the West that "West = World", the G7 is simply not the dominate economy anymore. they can't force Africa and Asia to not trade with China which offer them a better deal than G7.

I love these

This is literally one of the most informative videos on this specific subject. Great job!

@greeneclipticstar3931

Жыл бұрын

Waltch the x22 report

10:14 "9 women can't make a baby in month, and money alone can't manifest an advanced semiconductor industry" Gold.

@Bothandle70

2 жыл бұрын

How is that gold? Its like comparing apples with cats.

@r3dpowel796

2 жыл бұрын

PROPAGANDA.

@shreyangshumodak8923

2 жыл бұрын

@@r3dpowel796 is everything propaganda?

@r3dpowel796

2 жыл бұрын

@@shreyangshumodak8923 yes its all parts of USA psychological operation PSY-OPS.

@shreyangshumodak8923

2 жыл бұрын

@@r3dpowel796 you're a funny man😂

Just note that iron ore suppliers are not entirely interchangeable. Processes are optimised to the grade/composition of the ore usually supplied which may not be exchanged without potential negative consequences.

@tinto278

Жыл бұрын

ok mr grade controller.

I think you might have my favourite youtube channel! (And I follow well over 200 channels)

I signed up for the bundle in March and still haven’t been able to log in to Nebula.

Could US survive it's own imposed sanctions?

@oxide9717

2 жыл бұрын

Ask biden .😂

@salahabdalla368

2 жыл бұрын

They are losing to Russia imagine China 📉

@r3dpowel796

2 жыл бұрын

PROPAGANDA.

@ADHD55

2 жыл бұрын

It would be fine, US and western world were fine before china in the 70s, it's china who will collapse

@Cecilia-ky3uw

2 жыл бұрын

Yes it could actually, and the world would do far worse without america than america without the rest of the world(mexico might be the main exception)

You keep making the mistake that a bigger nanometer-number automatically means bigger chips and that's not true. It can be, but it's not a causal relationship. The coffeemaker chips you mentioned are usually ARM-based or other RISC architecture, aiming at providing the most specialized logic. Specializing it also means cutting out unnecessary logic, so you end up with a smaller die, which lowers cost per chip as you get more chips per wafer AND you get a better yield, as smaller chips are less likely to contain an error that would make them unusable. So, a 14-nanometer specialized CPU might be much smaller than a general compute 7-nanometer consumer CPU, for example. This is why it's not correct to say "bigger chips" for chips that have been manufactured on older nodes. Yes, smaller nodes mean smaller transistors OR smaller transistor elements OR less unlogic space OR something related (it's not standardized what it means, by the way) BUT that also means that designers can now keep the chip's size the same while cramming more logic per area unit. So, chips might be getting smaller while keeping the same functionality as before OR they might be keeping their size but add functionality. Heck, they might even get bigger, like Cerebra's WSE. ALSO, if you're talking about chips, you should be able to make the distinction between CPUs and SoCs, for example, and types of chips and packaging.

@peterbellini6102

2 жыл бұрын

Excellent, if more technical, for a comment on YT. Kudos Kyamil Nasuf

@SeeMoreLevingthon

2 жыл бұрын

@@peterbellini6102 Thanks, hope it still clears up some stuff, at least, but yeah - I guess by trying to be thorough, I ended up complicating it a bit. It's actually kind of embarrassing to show that I care about such a small detail, so even a small positive comment like yours actually ends up reducing some anxiety, which is kinda cool and I really thank you for that.

@marcogreco2207

2 жыл бұрын

I'm drunk i had to read toy comment 4 or 5 times but finally i understand that was good keep doing it my man

@Blox117

2 жыл бұрын

wait you mean someone didnt know this? are they tarded?

@kurtisgonzales37

Жыл бұрын

@@Blox117 I didn't know this, but I can build a house from the ground up lol

If it was rise of nations: every Chinese region declares independence

I always got the impression that most of your work especially regarding geopolitics had traces of influence from Marshall and Zeihan. Same thing with Wendover or maybe it was RLL I can't remember, but some of their work also had influences from writers like Zeihan.

4:00 Its probably important to mention that India and China are very much regional rivals

@r3dpowel796

2 жыл бұрын

PROPAGANDA.

@J_X999

2 жыл бұрын

Yet they trade a huge amount

@shreyangshumodak8923

2 жыл бұрын

@@J_X999 so does USA

@sutapasbhattacharya9471

2 жыл бұрын

Yes India is very hostile to China, which makes false claims to Indian territory adjacent to Occupied-Tibet, and India is part of the QUAD. Vietnam is hostile to China and even welcomed the USS Theodore Roosevelt in 2020 as part of its growing relations with the USA. China is scared by the sanctions on Russia - and thus making friendly overtures towards India recently in spite of its repeated aggression over the decades!!! See also the 'Why Taiwan is not Ukraine' video on this channel.

@J_X999

2 жыл бұрын

@@sutapasbhattacharya9471 Didn't know the slums of Mumbai had WiFi LMAO. Be careful, someone might press the big red off button in the middle of your head 🐄🐄

Great video. However, I have a problem. The last couple uploads, I’ve tried to sign up for the curiosity stream and nebula bundle deal, but it never gives me access to nebula! It prompts me to purchase the subscription via curiosity stream (with the polymatter code for $15 a year) but then it just acts as a curiosity stream subscription, and NOWHERE does it prompt being able to use it to open or download nebula. When I go to nebula separately from the “watch this video on nebula” link, it prompts me to sign up or sign in. If I press sign up, it’d have me purchase a new basic subscription. If I press sign in and use my curiosity stream account info, it gives a box that says if you’re coming from curiosity stream than you can enter your email and set up a password. However, when I enter the address, no email ever gets sent to me no matter how many times I try. This option is only available through the link in the description. If I download the app or go to their base website, it just tries to get me to sign up full price. If I go to your content on nebula, it tries to get me to pay the deal again which I already paid for on curiosity stream. Does anyone know how to solve this issue? It’s happened multiple times and I just have to keep cancelling my subscription and deleting my accounts because I don’t want to pay for something twice!

@davidjonathan70

2 жыл бұрын

I was just about to buy the standard one year Curiosity Stream package! Please let me know if you're able to resolve the issue...one of the main draws, to me, is the Nebula bundle deal but if that doesn't work then :/

@r3dpowel796

2 жыл бұрын

PROPAGANDA.

@singularityraptor4022

2 жыл бұрын

you aren't the only one with this issue

@CoteaGeorgeC

2 жыл бұрын

@@singularityraptor4022 I had the same issue when I got mine, you just have to email them.

I waited nearly 3 minutes for the answer but it didn't happen so I'm going to the pub instead.

I think the most wise thing of CN economic policy is the domestic supply chain: when CN introduces a western company to assembly their products in CN a bunch of CN companies producing parts of it as a part of its supply chain will rise together which are hardly to move to another countries, e.g. nowadays iPhone are also assemblied in Vietnam and India, but the parts still come from CN, and they can also serve other companies like Tesla or domestic competitors

I believe the US has been placing sanctions on China but they're doing it slowly so it doesn't cause an economic downturn globally. However, rolling out the sanctions slowly would only give China the time to adapt to the new changes and develop alternatives. If the US government place huge sanctions abruptly it would affect the world economy and make more countries keep their distance from US in terms of using the dollar and re-strategizing trade conditions. Ultimately, hurting China would make ordinary Americans and poorer countries even hurt more... I think the world is becoming more multi-polar

@setiawanskom8872

2 жыл бұрын

all countries that against US are so used to sanctions....china, russia, NK, iran, venezuela, cuba etc

@monsieurLDN

2 жыл бұрын

who was that Russian philosopher that made that term mainstream?

@MrArthoz

2 жыл бұрын

It's already too late...the have opened their eyes to the danger of the US dollar. Now we have the BRICS alliance using commodity based currency. Their success will create an avalanche of countries abandoning the US in favour of their own commodities as currency. Let me be frank, Europe and USA needs the entire world but the rest of the world doesn't. China silk rode and maritime string of pearls is a plan of interconnecting the world excluding Europe. A multi-polar world without dollar is an inevitability. Because human are selfish and greedy...especially us Asian. We will never waste this lifetime opportunity of a good deal of financial freedom, wealth and dominance.

@MGZetta

2 жыл бұрын

As a citizen, you have more parties to vote for, as a country, it should have more options to choose.

@returnnull3476

Жыл бұрын

I think they're just encouraging decoupling to come back to north America.

Why refer to US and EU as “The world”. The world is bigger than that.

@zjeee

2 жыл бұрын

In terms of economics it's true.

@1000xtati

2 жыл бұрын

@@zjeee 😂😂😂🤣🤣

@alphonsemaina8293

2 жыл бұрын

@@zjeee Nope.

@roro4787

Жыл бұрын

Exactly

@roro4787

Жыл бұрын

@@zjeee nah! Asia like China, India, Japan, Korea, Indonasia etc have huge economic weight. Maybe in 1980s EU and US was economically "the world" but not anymore!!

Do you know the US and EU had sanctions against China in space technologies, now guess which country has its own space station. If you do business with China, China will be careful with IP protect and reverse engineering, but if you sanction China, China could just ignore the IP protection and make a lot things much easier.

An article I read yesterday said that a southern European country I can't remember the name discovered Rare Earth elements slightly less than China has and will be extracting them in about a year to a year and a half

@wedmunds

Жыл бұрын

A lot of countries have rare earth, even US. The issue is whether they can refine it at a large capacity.

An aviation boycott of China might turn out to be a blessing in disguise for them. Most of their high speed rail network is hemorrhaging money due to low ridership, and like the video said, Chinese aircraft manufacturers are struggling with weak demand. Both of these problems could be fixed by a boycott.

@dyong888

2 жыл бұрын

Keep believing western lies.... LOL

@kuri7154

2 жыл бұрын

Just like their space station and aircraft carriers...

@71Hamed

2 жыл бұрын

You don't get it. The high speed railway is not to make money in themselves. These are western ideas and ultimately results in poor investment. The Chinese model is that the infrastructure is built to increase the economy of the area. It does that very well.

@mountaindragon7289

2 жыл бұрын

Lol, western propaganda at its finest.

@sashavasilyev3000

2 жыл бұрын

as a person who recently finished writing an essay on the topic, no. first of all, the chinese high speed rail network is, as a whole, very slightly profitable, due to popular lines like beijing-shanghai making up for the unpopular ones like lanzhou-urumqui. second of all, it has had an enormous positive ripple effect across the chinese economy: it has reduced housing costs, since people can now live further away from the cities and still go to work there, it has helped smaller cities develop by connecting them with larger ones, it has freed up conventional rail lines for freight trains, ensuring better supply to factories, and it has alleviated china's dependency on imported airplane parts.

I think the better question would be.. "can the global market survive a russia styled sanctions against china." unfortunately.

PolyMatter: „Some American Companies“ while showing Adidas Me: Cries in German

@polymatter at ~6:07 what is the #2 China import? and why is it blurred? p.s. i follow you on Nebula and love all of your videos. THANK YOU. P.P.S i hope you don't mind me saying but your voice is sexy as hell. just sayin' 🤷🏽‍♂

I dont think rare Earths are "rare" because they are scarce, I think they're rare because not many countries are willing to go through the environmental impact of extracting them. And china dgaf about their environment lol EDIT: Looked into it, and all rare Earths are actually extremely common within the Earth's crust (except for promethium that has to be manufactured via nuclear fission) but southern china has deposits that are significantly more economical to harvest than other places in the world.

@dirremoire

2 жыл бұрын

I wouldn't say they're extremely common. But as you say the trick is extracting and processing them economically. That's expensive.

@internetguy7870

2 жыл бұрын

they are kinda like gold, you can find them everywhere but cant mine them everywhere, theres a lot of requirements to mine rare earth, and the process requires lots of water and then renders that water un-useable, many countries are now producing rare earths but thats just one piece of the puzzle, next is to process them, you can dig our crude but if you cant refine it, its still useless, this processing stage requires technology and due to its head start ,china is still ahead, chile,argentina and even australia send thier mined rare earth to china for processing, so its not just about its abundance, theres a lot to it

@r3dpowel796

2 жыл бұрын

PROPAGANDA.

@joshuamcbride2251

2 жыл бұрын

Promethium? By the Emperor!

@maolo76

2 жыл бұрын

those are back in the days. China have patented new cleaner ways to process rare earth and thats why they hold the market share.

At this point I just want to live bro...

@concept5631

2 жыл бұрын

Yeah...

@PolyMatter did the companies leave or where they coerced or made to leave?

Now this is interesting

Fun fact: China invented the modern Vitamin-C synthesis process and produces 95% of the world's Vitamin C today. So in the event of an all-out sanction, much of the sanctioned world would face a Vitamin-C shortage. "I will just eat more oranges duh" one may say, but Vitamin-C is used in so many places besides Vitamin pills. It is an important preservative for breads, beverages (including drinking water treatment), meats, fruits, and animal feeds. Lot's of foods require Vitamin-C for their shelf life, and not everyone can afford same-day fresh foods, while canned foods and flour would immediately shoot up in price as factories look for alternative, likely more expensive, and less healthy preservatives than Chinese Vitamin-C.

@theevil8844

2 жыл бұрын

India is always there to save pharmaceutical industry

@yuantan9292

2 жыл бұрын

@@theevil8844 The problem is that Vitamin-C is unlike most of the pharmaceutical goods. AFAIK India excels in pharmaceutical industry (partly) because they are not as restricted by drug patents and other corporate/legal barriers. Meanwhile Vitamin C is a generic industrial product. So, it is not about if one CAN produce it--any good graduate-level chemistry student can probably make it. It is that few outsides of China can produce it cost-effectively at a large scale, and then the question is by how much would food prices increase as a result.

@Cam-sl8ve

2 жыл бұрын

"Oh no"

@oivinf

2 жыл бұрын

@@Cam-sl8ve Yes, I, John Doe, from the Autonomous Republic of New York, is now very concerned and feel defeated. We surely must let China do any horrible stuff it pleases now

@anshagrawal6289

2 жыл бұрын

@@theevil8844 most of raw materials for indian pharma comes from China

* US Government tries to sanction China* Wall Street: "This was all my fault, i was the one who wanted to relax on Sunday. Now if you'll be so kind as to leave so i can get ready for work tomorrow..." White House: "But..." Wall Street: "GET OUT!"

@ethanwmonster9075

2 жыл бұрын

You would have to pull teeth out from them to get them to renounce their cash cow.

@Monkechnology

2 жыл бұрын

@@ethanwmonster9075 Just a few calls from the techies, bankers, and CEOs to the Congress (and Langley) and the POTUS will be signing it's resignation or facing impeachment within the next couple of hours. We all know who's really in charge in the US and what happens to the ones trying to get between them and their money.

@r3dpowel796

2 жыл бұрын

PROPAGANDA.

heyo @PolyMatter ! just needed to give u a compliment on yo nebula video! u are already easily too 5 youtuber, but that nebula video may be one of my most fav videos ever 😍 I will for sure be re-watching your China, Actually series for years to come (…as well as your yotube library probably 😂) keep up the great work!! what did I like about it? it really well tied in trends from earlier in the series & the consepts in that video has me rethinking/questioning how i think of other geopolitical issue

6:43 - Why is Integrated Circuits blurred out? 🤔 EDIT; Ah, nvm I see now this is a 2020 chart and I read now in a TIME's article: "In 2020, the US began restricting sales of American technology to companies like Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp. and Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., successfully containing their growth - but also fueling a boom in Chinese chip-making and supply." So I take it Integrated Circuits is different today in 2022. The article was titled: U.S. Sanctions Have Helped China Supercharge Its Chipmaking Industry Same thing might start to happen in Russia now as well -> kzread.info/dash/bejne/nYeJlct9creoj6Q.html

When you all put all the eggs on one basket be like

Thank you for consistently reminding everyone that trade is a two way street.

@MrTaxiRob

2 жыл бұрын

swear to FSM that I posted that before even hearing you say those exact words around 13:05

4:02 I would put India in the unfriendly column as well. The US has become India's largest trading partner and China has slipped to No.2.

Rare earths can be found just about anywhere. The issue is that it takes a lot of highly pollutioning processing to the ore into product. China's RE dominance is based on a discard for horrific pollution and selling below cost (via subsidies).

@penguinista

Жыл бұрын

Agreed that this is the truth and not talked about enough. People present it as if they are sitting on the only supply. That said, it is not a change we could make overnight and the cost would be higher.

@michaels4255

Жыл бұрын

Yes, other places have rare earths too, BUT it takes years to develop the new mines. Chinese rare earths can be replaced, but not "on a dime."

@brianlowe3529

Жыл бұрын

Yes there are no greenies in China to stop procress

@hammerfall6666

Жыл бұрын

@@michaels4255 but you can't replace China's policy that doesn't give a damn about their worker's rights. Try that in any democratic country, the workers would gladly to revolt. There's a reason why capitalists love so much to manufacturing in China.

@Bk6346

Жыл бұрын

Rare earths are abundant in the earths crust but mineable concentrations are more rare. China has 38% of the world’s reserves. Even though China’s mining of rare earths has dropped to 58%, the refining and processing of rare earths is 85% done in China.

what is the second place at 6:55 and why is it blurred out? Edit: My question has been answered at 9:17

I would use the world "growth" instead of "Survive". Don't forget before the 70s China was completely closed off & decoupled from the rest of the world, and survived.

@jonlocke1624

2 жыл бұрын

Survived? Yes. Thrived? No. And with current Chinese citizen's appetites, who's to say the downturn, coupled with the intermittent lockdowns, wouldn't cause major uprising in China.

@pamelawhite8608

2 жыл бұрын

the world was also less connected at the time

@r3dpowel796

2 жыл бұрын

PROPAGANDA.

@KazeKumo

2 жыл бұрын

@@jonlocke1624 wouldn't that only backfiring everyone? The great chinese migration will happen again just like before.

@Margatatials

2 жыл бұрын

survived in that there wasn't a coup, but millions of people starved to death.

I’m a subscriber on KZread and Nebula. Which platform would you prefer I watch the videos on?

How do I access Nebula content with the Curiosity account?

If the US sanctions China, the US economy will suffer multi-year recessions (because of non-accessible cheap exports and cheap labor market), tech stocks will crumble (due to chip exports being stopped), the hegemonic shift can occur in third countries (Right now, the biggest competitor for worldwide hegemony is china. Since both economies will collapse due to sanctions/ cold war mindset, countries that are neutral in the condition (i.e. countries who have good relationships with the east as well as west (for ex. Saudi, India, etc.) have chances to take benefit (by increasing there production and exporting like crazy) to become a worldwide economic powerhouse/ new hegemony. just a perspective...

@SelfProclaimedEmperor

Жыл бұрын

As an American...that works for me, if we gotta lose our top spot, i'd much rather a democracy like India take it than a Communist dictatorship like China.

@indiancowpissdrinker7151

Жыл бұрын

good take jeet

Do a reverse video, could the west survive sanctioning China.

@cheesepop7708

Жыл бұрын

Yeah, because the people setting the terms of the sanctions would still be allowing trade of essentials. There's a reason they didn't sanction Russia's Oil and food exports, because they still need them. What could hurt the west would be counter sanctions.

11:45 I'm pretty sure the guy in the middle is a future Bond villain.

Australia jokingly as a China's satelite state? USA: Do you think of me as a joke?

The narrative simply puts unusual assumptions into an ordinary background. It assumes that the country does not react to the unusual circumstance and the government runs as always, therefore the conclusion seems quite weird. Russia obviously did not sit there waiting for the sanction but also took many actions to mitigate the consequence which, for the time being, seems rather effective.

@aaronhuffman8395

2 жыл бұрын

We know what you people are. Stop acting like we aren’t plotting your demise as you continue to act unfriendly. Regular people. Imagine our governments! Anyways, have fun! ☺️

@r3dpowel796

2 жыл бұрын

PROPAGANDA.

@cephalonbob15

2 жыл бұрын

rouble being back to pre sanction level bois

@simonl4657

2 жыл бұрын

Russia is a commodities superpower, its just impossible to wean the world off its base export. Also the west isn't exactly in the best financial status to brush off the consequences of the sanctions. Europe and Japan has been in decades long economic stagnation thanks to their unrestricted quantitive easing policy. America has been hiding its unfunded liabilities using accounting tricks. spend trillions over the past decade on wars to keep the dollar reserve status and tributary states in line. China is going back to socialism. there is so much waste and inefficencies in the global system. We are all playing chicken with each other to see who blinks first

@bayloon98

2 жыл бұрын

@@cephalonbob15 That doesn’t mean anything. The government is ignoring every other aspect of the economy just to keep the value of the currency artificially inflated so gullible people think “big stronk ruzzia” will win the war in the next three days. Russian citizens aren’t allowed to exchange their currency into dollars, foreign assets are being held hostage and economists are being turned into propagandists but the ruble is in the same level so russia will totally win, just 3 more days trust me.

Question i would ask is- Can US survive sanctions against China + Russia? I mean US economy is so deeply intertwined with China, its like getting a messy divorce, with intertwined property, assets, children, business.

@robertortiz-wilson1588

Жыл бұрын

I want decoupling and more USA self-reliant.

@ianshaver8954

Жыл бұрын

We can survive it, but we don’t want to.

@Brandonhayhew

Жыл бұрын

There would be so much work to clean up the mess USA and China would have to do, if they want the divorce for real

@AJ213Probably

Жыл бұрын

The US has blessed geography, the only thing it can't survive is itself

@arthas640

Жыл бұрын

it would hurt if it was all at once and sudden, but China has little to offer besides cheap labor and cheap manufacturing. india can offer all the same, they're just not as pro business so they get ignored in favor of the option companies view as less risky: China

I’m not sure if this is something that you would be willing to do but “what if the Mississippi River was cargo ship navigable” how would this change the US, possible impacts of its implementation, and what it would take to do so.

@paulgemperlein626

Жыл бұрын

This would be a sweet video. Bridges would have to be a lot different, I know that much

9:55 ‘dat hello kitty backpack on a 40yro dude tho, lol

About semiconductors, the taking of Taiwan would create a semiconductor crisis WORLDWIDE as the TSMC foundries would be seized by the PLA in the early days of the intervention.

@FarsightAE

2 жыл бұрын

Assuming the Taiwanese dont manage to destroy the factories before PLA can take them, an even worse scenario.

@Roundwave23

2 жыл бұрын

Crisis, yes, but not likely the foundries would survive the taking in operational condition. Why wouldn't they be sabotaged instead of letting the CCP gain control?

@lape2002

2 жыл бұрын

@@FarsightAE Semiconductor manufacturing process is EXTREMELY delicate, a single bomb on one of TSMC's manufacturing/EUV wings and the whole production is crippled.

@J_X999

2 жыл бұрын

@@lape2002 the Chinese are experts are analysing broken equipment and putting them back together

@sleepyjoe4529

2 жыл бұрын

@@lape2002 why would they bomb TSMC? Use your brain man lol

I think given the current inflation rate and economic misery, the real question is could the western world (US and EU) survive Russian style sanctions on China. Most likely economic suicide. Need to work together, not keep fighting pointless trade wars where only the average consumer loses.

@jamesj2964

2 жыл бұрын

good comment

@sutapasbhattacharya9471

2 жыл бұрын

Nonsense. Li Kequiang admitted in 2020 that 600 million Chinese live on less than $140 a month. China is still a developing country. With its property bubble imploding and the Covid lockdowns, US tariffs, demographics etc. China is in decline economically. It is even making peace overtures towards India in regard to its fake claims to Indian territory after the Ukraine invasion as it realises how it is far more vulnerable to sanctions than Russia. It is pumping billions into CPEC in Pakistan but that is only helping Pakistan towards bankruptcy - such is Chinese global economic power with its debt traps! This video ignored that fact that Vietnam and India are also unfriendly towards China. India is a member of the QUAD and Vietnam welcomed the US aircraft carrier Theodore Roosevelt in 2020 as part of the growing anti-China coalition. China's oil supplies and access to the Indian Ocean is easily blockaded at the Malacca Straits. See also the video showing just how hard it is to invade Taiwan - the experts at beach invasions, the USA, decided not to invade 'Formosa' in 1944. China's military prowess is also grossly exaggerated by most. It has no experience of modern naval and aerial warfare. The USAF has the 2nd largest airforce in the world after the USAF and is the only country with nuclear-powered supercarriers - including the new Gerald Ford Class as well as the Nimitz Class. The US still retains 800 overseas bases, China has 1 in Djibouti.

@sutapasbhattacharya9471

2 жыл бұрын

The video I mentioned 'Why Taiwan is not Ukraine' is on this Polymatter Channel.

@BandytaCzasu

2 жыл бұрын

Peace requires good will on both sides. In the East, you'll find all but good will.

@kenaidiun3736

Жыл бұрын

Right on.

The businesses leaving Russia wasn't self-imposed. It would be very difficult to move money in or out of the country because of all the government restrictions

@dr.vanhellsing

Жыл бұрын

That’s why Russia is moving to a hybrid gold standard to prop up there currency. In the long run Europe will have to crawl back to Russia for there oil. When Russia does finish taking over most if not all Ukraine. On the bright side the war pigs in Washington will make a nice profit.

Peter Zeihan and Polymatter telling the same tale different ways.

03:38 The funniest part about this is both Vietnam and India have had very tense, unfriendly relations with China so it’s 9/10 lmao

@concept5631

2 жыл бұрын

Almost like being a dick to all your neighbors causes problems.

@umbrellastudio7481

2 жыл бұрын

how Vietnam is unfriendly with China？if they both rulled by communist party

@concept5631

2 жыл бұрын

@@umbrellastudio7481 Thousand years of history.

@umbrellastudio7481

2 жыл бұрын

@@concept5631 then the ruling party of Vietnam wouldn't agree with you.

@concept5631

2 жыл бұрын

@@umbrellastudio7481 And how do you know that exactly?

Well, y'know, somebody said the same thing about being too interconnected a few years before WWI. Anyway, I'm quite curious about your take on this one, it's been odd watching China's reaction to all this.

@Reluxthelegend

2 жыл бұрын

"Well, y'know, somebody said the same thing about being too interconnected a few years before WWI." Whut who said that? AT the time colonies weren't even allowed to trade between each other, much with other imperial powers, heck, the dominant economic theory at the time was mercantilism.

@deutan4390

2 жыл бұрын

No the opinion at that time was that the vast web of alliances and interdependecies would make a war inevitable. Just a matter of time. No clue where you heard this.

@andrewlechner6343

2 жыл бұрын

@@Reluxthelegend That might have been true for the colonies but the colonies were a small part of the western economy. Most trade was between European countries, who had all adopted some form of free market capitalism. This resulted in an amount of interconnectivity in the west that won't be matched till the 1970s.

@jackyex

2 жыл бұрын

@@Reluxthelegend what? Mercantilism?! No! Mercantilism stopped beign the main economic model in Europe in the 1700's, the United Kingdom and the British Empire were leading the policy of free market with outside countries, Colonies didn't fall under it because that would be internal trade. Before WW1, the so called Belle Epoque the economies of the European powers were extremely interconnected, for Example all the three main powers, UK, France and Germany had a very strong trade sector, and all of them had very big stacks and investments in the growing economy of the Russian Empire, no mercantilism.

@r3dpowel796

2 жыл бұрын

PROPAGANDA.

The talker has a lovely voice. Love it

I have signed up and specifically to watch your series. However, I cannot find them.

@returnnull3476

Жыл бұрын

Did the links in the description not work?

0:28 only significant to Europe, just in terms of the war, Asia, Africa and South America have had far worse wars since WW2, especially American and Soviet proxy wars and coups

2:55 If you take into account GDP PPP then it is only 7 times. Wouldn't be bad using GDP PPP in the future as a metric.

@da_revo5747

2 жыл бұрын

That is a trash metric to compare strength of economies

@AP-yx1mm

2 жыл бұрын

@@da_revo5747 Thanks for your comment. How do you think it would be exactly trash?

@da_revo5747

2 жыл бұрын

@@AP-yx1mm for PPP they use a basket of goods that most people use so like, food, average housing, clothes, transportation, medical etc. So using GDP PPP per capita is brilliant for comparing standard of living across countries even though the quality of these things might be different. But it does not take into account anything else, like cost of machines, inputs into companies, cost of access to tech products. So when you are comparing the whole economies of countries you want to count everything including how cheap good technology is in different countries and not just compare adjusting for a small basket of basic goods.

@xiaogangdasha

2 жыл бұрын

@@AP-yx1mm china produce everything sure them can buy them for way cheaper, you arent get same amount goods with same amount money with chinese people, if them want more gdp then just print more money to appear bigger with devalue their currency like USA is doing. the result you see here is the best the result of any measures already, because this is still a western media rather than chinese media. :)

The "free world" can easily strong-arm Russia into submission and I think it will. We won't see anyone wishing Russia to collapse, though. It would be too great a risk for the stability in the whole area...remember they have about 6500 nuclear weapons. We cannot risk these weapons falling into the hands of regional autonomy republics or local warlords. However, if the same was done to China, the rest of the world would suffer and the economy would stagnate.

@michaels4255

Жыл бұрын

You are wrong on both points. First, it IS hard to strong arm Russia. That is what has led to this war. Second, collapsing Russia is EXACTLY the plan of our foreign policy elite. Google up the 2019 Rand report, _Extending and Unbalancing Russia_ . This was all planned (badly). Only the "little people" were surprised.

@monsieurkot5858

Жыл бұрын

The domination of a "free" american world order is over

That waiter at 11:50, i dont think is a waiter lol.

Great video! I wish each episode was 2 hours long! Sooooo good! Keep up the great work!

@r3dpowel796

2 жыл бұрын

PROPAGANDA.

To sum up your view, it is about stopping China at all cost from becoming a serious competitor to US pole position in the world.

@svankensen

2 жыл бұрын

Which is a really stupid view. We need cooperation, not more monopolar hegemony from a morally bankrupt US. China is just as bad, but it is better for the world to have two big powers instead of one. It gives us negotiating power.

@sjhassjh3941

2 жыл бұрын

the wyteys smells of their jealousy

@jchanmcse

Жыл бұрын

Sanctioning China is a pure stupidity!

@elkaluzi

Жыл бұрын

it is too late. china can not be stopped.

You forgot to mention where does those semiconductors comes from

Did Australia's new coal trade with India, Japan and Korea completely offset losses from the trade with China or only partly?