"The whole process could take 2 years to complete" yeahhhhhhh about that

4 жыл бұрын

4 years and counting

@jwadaow

4 жыл бұрын

@Nspnspker There's no way the EU will last that long.

@karma9898

4 жыл бұрын

@Nspnspker why you so mad ?

@matthewrichard9626

3 жыл бұрын

@Nspnspker chil, have a cuppa and a biscuit

@karma9898

3 жыл бұрын

@Nspnspker so for you to explain you need to know were I live :I

Europe: stay with us, Britain...we are stronger together, we just have to reform... Britain: never, give me freedom or give me Death Britain: stay with us Scotland...we are stronger together, we just need to reform... Scotland: you know?...this argument seems a bit familiar...wander why....

@metalhead7127

7 жыл бұрын

BTW if a new referendum about re-joing the EU would be held today, the pro-EU parties would win...

@neilchapman5145

5 жыл бұрын

metalhead7127 yeah you wish

@dannewman8809

4 жыл бұрын

@@metalhead7127 yeh sure

@user-ov5nd1fb7s

4 жыл бұрын

@Mike‘s World nobody gives a shit about the english. Let them do whatever they want, on their cold, wet, sad and lonely island.

@truefalse207

4 жыл бұрын

@Elliot Roger fan account Scotland has a GDP per capita of $44k, which is on par with the likes of Austria & Finland - and England itself. Edinburgh & Aberdeen have the highest incomes out of any other city in the UK except London, the average annual salary in Aberdeen is £32,500 compared to the UK average of £26,000. Glasgow is the 4th most populous city in the UK but has the 3rd biggest economy - beating its rival Manchester which is a city with a higher population. You don't know what the f__k you are talking about.

That last prediction is only if Scotland and Northern Ireland remain in the UK which is highly unlikely to happen in reality, England has drawn it's last breath as a power to be reckoned with even geopolitical because without Scotland and to a lesser extent Northern Ireland it's done on both Political/financial power and Geopolitical/Military power permanently.

@CaspianReport

8 жыл бұрын

Thats true. The UK should be more concerned with the latest Scottish independence proposals. London needs to maintain its territorial integrity. Without Scotland, the UK could lose its permanent UN status.

@thatdutchguy2882

8 жыл бұрын

Myna Detail You can't possibly be blaming them for this ?! It's the overwhelming majority in Scotland that voted to stay, there's no two ways around it, neither is it farfetched that Nicola Sturgeon and the SNP will be successful in pulling Scotland out of the UK and joining the EU as a sovereign state independent from the UK. The stay in the UK vote in 2014 in Scotland was largely based on the premise that they stay in the EU amongst a few other promises Dodgy Dave Cameron didn't make good on. Now the Scottish know they heavily depend on the access to the EU markets and on EU investments in Scotland, things the English are unable and as has proven in the recent past, unwilling to do especially now with the weakening pound and the English own future in the balance,..that fact was and is not lost on the Scottish people.

@smokingONsumDRO

8 жыл бұрын

good

@theomen49

8 жыл бұрын

+Myna Detail that is like blaming Obama for Trump. it's the fault of the English people for trusting their nationalistic guts over reason.

@theomen49

8 жыл бұрын

+Myna Detail oh wow, I guessed your leanings perfectly.

The best argument against democracy is a five-minute conversation with the average voter. Winston Churchill

@joetookmyvideo

8 жыл бұрын

Reminds me of youtube

@stnln2180

8 жыл бұрын

This is a fake quote

@MrJonboy1236

7 жыл бұрын

go live in the east then I hear Afghanistan is nice this time of year

@MadJackChurchill1312

7 жыл бұрын

+jonathan ineson "Don't bother participating in democracy if you don't like it, abandon all your friends, assets and learn a new language somewhere else. OBVIOUSLY."

@MrJonboy1236

7 жыл бұрын

+Mad Jack Churchill he's the one saying we shouldn't get a get to vote on leave or stay. he wants a dictatorship we don't have one (not in the true sense anyway) so moving to a country that does would be beneficial to him

I was waiting for this, nice my dude. One unanswered question is, would the NATO alliance survive the destruction of the EU? I feel as if the U.S would go to some massive lengths to a least preserve the web of military alliances but preventing the break up of NATO would be difficult considering the circumstances I'd assume.

@amshaegar7170

8 жыл бұрын

Noone is talking about leaving NATO and I would assume that noone actually wants to leave it ,because of all the benefits.If you leave NATO, there is nothing to actually to gain from that, apart from changing your afilliation (to Russia, Middle East or smth. else). Leaving EU has SOME benefits,mainly control of your borders and laws.We all see in Europe that the "refugee" crisis was a MASSIVE mistake,we should just have stopped the refugees at the border contries and turned them around,not let them run around Europe looking for a richer country to take benefits from.

@khonjel_singh

8 жыл бұрын

warisboring.com/dont-panic-yet-about-the-british-military-after-brexit-57cac4a25979#.ea0qxcl5y this sums it up I think

@CaspianReport

8 жыл бұрын

NATO isn't responsible for collective defense of the EU but only of its own members. As long as there is a common foe such as Russia, NATO will remain intact. The British role in NATO may actually increase.

@SuperLuckyLad

8 жыл бұрын

Nato is separate from the EU, always has been. The UK will stay a member of NATO just as the US, Canada and others are. Just for the record I am from the UK and voted to leave.

@stan2600

8 жыл бұрын

NATO aint going nowhere whilst Putin's on the loose

Brilliant work!! Absolutely brilliant!! Can't afford to sponsor you yet, but please keep this brilliant work of yours coming!!

With the greatest of respect, this analysis seems entirely focussed upon the immediate-short term. Your figures quoted from the Treasury for example, have been shelved and backtracked by the Finance Minister who authored them. And the trade deals conducted by the EU have taken so long because they must be agreed upon 28 countries all with competing national priorities. Already 14 and counting countries have come forward not waiting for Britain, but actually *requesting* free-trading agreements. There has been an undeniably big shock to the financial markets. But this is because the chance of Brexit was not priced in and so what we are at witnesses to is a simple correction. The initial price shock has actually already parted after less than a week and returned to the pre-Brexit level. And addressing the comments in this thread of a potential resurgence of Scottish nationalism. I state unequivicaly that this simply will not happen. 1) Legally, there are not enough Scottish nationalist legislators to draft and call for an independence referendum. 2) Westminister has already refused to hold another referendum. 3) The 62% of Scots who voted to remain, voted for the status quo, and most will do so again, especially considering the uncertainty. 3) London would for the most part guarantee current subsidies and funding that comes from the EU. And what with the low oil price, the EUs unfriendly attitude to nationalistic regions joining (Catalonia, Italy, Belgium) and the fact that the Scottish nationalist leader is not at all confident of winning a new referendum (having been backed into a corner). The Scots are simply holding the threat of a new referendum over London's head so they can be assurred of a good deal once negotiations begin over the EU exit. I always have great interest in your videos, but I believe on this a little more research probably could have been done, as none of the post-immediate consequences are yet known, and remember what those claims are: 3 million jobs to lost, Pound to fall dramatically, a recession lasting up to 6 years, left out in the cold by the international community and the break up of the entire United Kingdom. It will be interesting to see if any of these assertions do in fact appear. I wonder if you plan to do another video - perhaps this time a year after the UK's vote to leave the EU. But as I say, keep up the excellent work. Your videos are one of the first places I come to understand big geopolitical events! Barakallah!

@RafaelValore

8 жыл бұрын

In long terms UK will be just fine, I believe. 5-10 yrs tops.

@NetherPrime

8 жыл бұрын

Yes if people just shutted up and dealt with it we'd be in a far better position in 10 years time but of course a lot of business people don't care about what the country will be like in 10 years time, how will their business be like now, tomorrow, next year and in 10 years?

@Boik77

8 жыл бұрын

INVOKE ARTICLE 50 ALREADY!!

@LoveScreamTrue

7 жыл бұрын

Josh Behrens Right, your comment does not stand through when we see a simple fact. How GBP is priced against EUR. i.imgur.com/r7D3tjs.jpg It appears Paund price NOW is equal to the 2008 Economic Crisis aftermath levels. Does that sound like a good and firm outlook? :)

@brazilianman92

6 жыл бұрын

brian daly Jesus? What are you a theocracy now? Haha! That's what you shit birds cry at the muslims for doing. Noice job 👏

For a contrarian perspective to yours: kzread.info/dash/bejne/pq6CzI-heJuym7w.html

@joristurk

8 жыл бұрын

interesting but wrong UK blocked a lot of labor market reform that would protect workers UK has always been on the right of EU centrum so all of a sudden the tories are big low income family huggers ? please

@jamesdunn7376

8 жыл бұрын

The Terrible Puddle6 hours agoHe's a conservative politician. I watched the first four minutes and it's nothing but forced unobjective framing leading to disinforming the viewer. He deliberately leaves out information.... " What information????

@JohnSmith-xe1tq

8 жыл бұрын

Ill dismiss all your views because youre pro eu then

@DeathsOnTheYAxis

8 жыл бұрын

Despite the bit about brain vs heart at the beginning, no information is contained in this speech until some is accidentally included in the question response around 8:25. It certainly is frustrating that the UK can't make free trade agreements with India and Australia. However, this is only one issue, and one that is not comparable in gravity to the question at hand. The entire rest of this video is just meaningless emotional and ideological points: distrust of corporations, some stuff about freedom, invoking tradition and British exceptionalism, etc. It's not really fair to reply to Shirvan's video, which is entirely composed of economic figures and predictions, with a Braveheartesqe speech about freedom and heritage.

@damagejackal10

8 жыл бұрын

Is also funny that Daniel Hannan has made him self scarce since winning the Brexit campaign. It seems strange dosen't it? After getting what he wants, he won't respond to any of the supporters!

I knew you would weigh in on this. good job bro

I am from 2019 to tell you the prime minister in question has resigned after widespread criticism 😁😁😁😁😁😁

@Caleb_Evans32

3 жыл бұрын

And I'm from 2020 her successor just won a historic landslide election on a pro Brexit platform.

Ever since I saw the news I've been waiting for your report, thanks for all your work Shirvan

Caspian Report - Despite it not being significant on the international level I'd love to see you make a report on some of the situations here in Northern Ireland.

@ericjohnson7234

4 жыл бұрын

Actually, everywhere on the globe, has very huge impact on the world stage.

Thank you for a clear, interesting and slightly worrying video!

Great stuff as usual : worth every penny of my patrion contribution

Well put mate. I was looking for a well researched over view of the current situation and like always you have delivered!

one point - despite the drop in subjective gdp, brexit can result in increased employment if it implements selective immigration to take advantage of new domestic demands. a major problem will be government spending.

Well.....4 months have passed. UK is still a part of the EU and they might not even leave.

@tarqinquentinsson-obviousl957

6 жыл бұрын

over 2 years now lmao

@-datnerd-3125

4 жыл бұрын

@@tarqinquentinsson-obviousl957 Hi

@James-sh8mu

4 жыл бұрын

@@tarqinquentinsson-obviousl957 another year later

@gwarkx

4 жыл бұрын

3,5 years ago and counting...

Well you got that wrong......interesting to look back.

My old man predicted the EU would never work when it was formed. It is a noble ideal but with to many factors to consider it will ultimately fall apart. Yet again a bitter sweet report. Cheers. Really enjoyed the 4 part Muslim Doc.

I love this Caspian Report. I am am old retired American who worries that Brexit is detrimental for the young people in the EU. I spent most of my youth under the umbrella of the cold war. The USA and Soviet Union were global rivals. China was not a factor as they were not engaged. Life was simple. Globalization was a distant reality. The post WWII world is a creation of the USA and its allies plus the Soviet Union and its goal to impose Communism. EU represents a middle ground. The goal of a unified economy serving millions with the largest GDP is good, Better an EU which offers people peace and prosperity than perpetual war.

Pretty much the best analysis we're going to get of the situation

@chickenhunter4694

4 жыл бұрын

Huh you'ra like the new "just some guy with a mustach" I see you everywhere😂

Needs a review video

Yet again, amazing video and analysis. Thank you!

Finally, an unbiased and objective media source.

I'm here from 2020 to tell you that the support for EU hasn't been higher in quite some time 😁 United Europe shall prevail!

the number of people in this comment section ignoring facts. i'm howling

was waiting for this too thanks

@CaspianReport how can I get the scriptural (text) of this documentary??

Whoa, aren't you a ray of sunshine brother :). By the way, GB is not the first one to leave. Greenland left in the mid-90s. Just saying :).

@TheSeafordian

8 жыл бұрын

It wsn't the EU then. Just saying.

@NLJeffEU

4 жыл бұрын

Legit 30k of people just saying

This Report hinges on the FALSE ASSUMPTION that leaving the EU will be BAD for Britain Economically... Normally I enjoy these Caspian Report Analyses because they offer some in-depth and insightful takes on global politics; however in this case all I hear are the same scare mongering TALKING POINTS uttered by the Remain Side of BREXIT... To say that Britain will suffer Economically as a result is just nonsense, the EU member states have far more to lose by cutting off ties with the UK and therefore the chances of that happening are slim indeed... In addition, Norway and Switzerland are not part of the EU and still trade with EU countries without much hindrance... And until New TRADE AGREEMENTS are drawn up, the old ones remain in place, so the Financial Market turmoil in the aftermath of BREXIT is just much ado about nothing, because its just the Speculators who lost big on bad Currency Bets locking in the losses. The demand for the UK Pound has not gone down in the Trade sphere because No one has suddenly stopped buying British Goods and Services... The Stock Exchanges will stabilize and the Currency will return to normal once the short term PANIC subsides.

@MrDragon1968

2 жыл бұрын

Norway and Switzerland are in EFTA. You can't compare them to the UK, in regard to their relationship with the EU, as they are in the European Single Market and in Schengen. There certainly have been negative economic effects with Brexit, it's definitely affected my business and many others.

Great video! You always help dopes like me understand these complex issues going on so thank you for your help :)

As always, extremely informative....Thank you!

3:42 Hamburg, I live near this city...

@JessethebestJesse

4 жыл бұрын

I went to a cool beach bar in Hamburg one time.

this makes me want to travle throughout Europe before everything breaks apart.

@mrdisco99

8 жыл бұрын

go now while the pound and euro are cheap

@_-_-_-_-_-_617

8 жыл бұрын

Something is better than nothing when it comes to the changing of an era.

@joetookmyvideo

8 жыл бұрын

Sounds like all the middlemen are getting kicked out of the deal

@levongevorgyan6789

6 жыл бұрын

Careful not to get raped by the gangs of multiculturalism.

@thrashingftw

3 жыл бұрын

@@levongevorgyan6789 unnecessary, stop acting like a fool

The next day the highest searched word in Google by the Brits was " what is the EU "

Another good report, Shirvan - thank you!

mmm you forgot to consider one thing: the brexit showed that young people are generally in favor of the EU, if the the surge of right wing populism is somehow abated then given time the EU will become more unified(I personally hope it becomes federalized). I think the optimal solution would be if the US and nato diplomatically remove russia from syria and move in to occupy it creasing all formal fighting, this would allow the EU to be more stringent at its border patrol, placating right wing blocks.

I am from the UK and voted to leave the EU. Can anyone explain why it is this decision in a nation that is 1% of the worlds population, which is 2% of the Global Economy, has such an effect on global markets? Does it not indicate that there is something seriously wrong with the worlds financial markets?

@pixelwhack9695

8 жыл бұрын

Not really, no. A countries population count is not indicative of it's economic success. There are so many factors that ensure a countries success rate on the financial market. However, I advise you do your own research as apposed to ask for it on a KZread video. I mean zero offence by that, but it's a colossal subject with many small intricacies that need understanding :)

@SuperLuckyLad

8 жыл бұрын

***** ..........interesting way of looking at it, I am sceptical but time will tell.

@coolergman8629

8 жыл бұрын

Brexit gives people like Janet Yellen a chance to admit theirs a problem If you look at a graph of the stock markets the economy has being horrible since the start of the year. Brexit is not as huge a deal on the economy as alot of people make it out to be. But because the media has built up this hype investors were told that the sky would fall if brexit were to happen then thinking the sky was falling they started to panic. I feel once the Brexit Hype starts to die down it will be back to buiness as Usual. Don't get me wrong their are still Economic effects due to Brexit just not the sky is falling or Were going to be like switzerland levels of economic growth that Both the Stay and Leave Campaigns have Claimed respectively.

@SuperLuckyLad

8 жыл бұрын

cooler gman............Yes that does make sense, so again time will tell.

@icedragon769

8 жыл бұрын

Britain is the English-speaking doorway to the massive European market. Most goods and services from the Americas and the Far East pass through the UK before making their way to the Continent. A Brexit means that thousands of manufacturers and merchants will have to move their factories and distribution centers from Britain to France or Germany in order to easily reach their customers.

Excellent Presentation. All my doubts have been cleared.

Thank you very much for this episode

Absolute rubbish - didn't start well and age even worse.

I would personally love to see the EU go far. It could be a great addition to the international power balance. With a greater army the EU could become independent of the US in their foreign policy, and normalize relations with Russia, and have a positive influence on the entire middle-east. The EU has potential to bring an end to US hegemony, and increase peace in the Eurasian/middle-east region.

@geelzwarteaardbij

8 жыл бұрын

That was not the trend the last couple of years, the lobby of the big multinationals was increasing and economy was used as the only way' to grow bigger in power. Transparency about geopolitical interests are the only thing that could have kept us together in my opinion, not only hammering on the economical benefits when we rolled from crisis to crisis. I still think the EU can form a robust bloc but it grew too big too fast. I think there will be no big domino effect and reformations have to take place to stabilize the internal struggles, especially to keep the French in. It is currently very hard to make predictions about what will happen with the southern states and whether the western european can keep their bureaucratic and financial influence over them. I totally agree with you about making a fist against the neoconservative US influences. The only short term solution is more trade agreements in the Middle East and Asia, but with the "war on terror" and the revival of the "cold war with russia" the support from the public will be nihil. Moreover, it would cause a huge upset in America. So from a diplomatic viewpoint we can best just wait and try to unite the EU by reforming it by giving more sovereignty to the nations. Only to such an extent that it keeps the democracatic values in tact among the people. The only reason to achieve a robust EO is to achieve a balance between the opinions of the people and the political leaders. Populists will then have a much smaller impact then they have now.

@viktorc8095

8 жыл бұрын

Never going to happen man, sorry, unless the U.S gets nuked or blown up, but by then it's bye bye for everyone... U.S just has too much strength in the world both politically and militarily.

@numkie

8 жыл бұрын

US is the biggest supporter of the EU, so keep acting stupid.

@user-wx7rq1oi1c

8 жыл бұрын

Many problems to an EU army plus the EU currently has a shit track record, people want to leave, one did leave and their borders are open like flood gates. They didn't help Ukraine and currently here (in Canada) we are discussing sending 1000 troops to Latvia to help protect the EU from Russians.

@MisFellatio

8 жыл бұрын

***** the eu's warmongering monstrosities are primarily because they are a semi-protectorate of the Us, just like Japan and South Korea. With a larger army, Europe would be able to form their own foreign policy.

Thank you very much for the report!

I trust these video's way more than anything coming from corporate media.

Next, France pls!

@TimmacTR

8 жыл бұрын

***** I'm french mate.. xD

@TimmacTR

8 жыл бұрын

***** Non, mais tot ou tard la l'UE va s'effondrer, donc tot ou tard la France devra en sortir. Mieux vaut en sortir tot que tard.

@TimmacTR

8 жыл бұрын

***** Parce que pour que ça puisse marcher, notamment au niveau des économies, ça suppose que toutes les économies de la zone fonctionne de la meme manière, ait la meme efficacité, la meme façon de travailler etc. En gros, que les peuples européens disparaissent et perdent leurs particularités. C'est évidemment une vision impossible et idéologique. La Grèce et l'Allemagne n'auront jamais les meme performances économiques et donc les meme taux d'emprunt de leur banque centrales. L'Allemagne profite donc de cette situation en ayant une monnaie moins forte que ce qu'elle devrait avori, ce qui permet plus d'exportations, mais tous les autres pays en souffre. La Grèce notamment est endettée jusqu'au prochain siècle. Autant dire qu'elle ne s'en sortira jamais... Sauf si elle quitte l'UE..

@TimmacTR

8 жыл бұрын

***** Elle n'est pas solide.. xD T'as quel age? Tu te souviens de la Grèce? Ça risque de recommencer, et ce pour tous les pays du sud de l'Europe: grèce, italie, portugal et meme france..

@thepatriot8496

7 жыл бұрын

TimmacTR JULIAN ASSUAGE HITS DEAD MAN SWITCH...WIKILEAK...

Its been 3 months since the referendum and nothing really bad has happend.

This is the first Caspian Report where I didn't learn anything new or mind-blowing. All of these information are already in mainstream news.

London is the largest financial centre on the planet, by some measures larger than NYC, but most of the firms operating in The City are subsidiary of non-British firms. That's because London has relatively lenient regulation compared to most industrial countries. As a consequence, the Pound's value has been too high for industry in the rest of the UK to compete on world markets, and housing prices in London are out of reach of most native British people. Being a global financial centre may at first sight appear to be a source of prosperity, but a closer looks shows that most people do not benefit and ever suffer economically.

45% of exports do not go to the EU. they are transhipped via EU hubs and so it goes on the statistics as EU trade. You have to be very careful on EU matters. It is really treacherous ground to get proper fact.

man this really didn't predict EU approval ratings well. Nobody else is doing referendums, and nobode else wants a shitshow like the UK. :D

Please do a video about the evolution of events since Brexit, with the backlash against populism in the recent polls and the election of Macron.

@levongevorgyan6789

6 жыл бұрын

You mean France being pussies again and bending over backwards for Germany and Islamic radicals? Some backlash.

There is an official petition ongoing to set up a vote in Finland about its EU membership. It needs 50 thousand signatures within six months in order to be introduced to the finnish parliament. It was started on june 20th (one week ago) and now has over 17 thousand verified signatures. I think it will easily reach the required 50 thousand.

I see a lot of eurosceptics but not a single one know and can explain what EU is and how EU works. "EU is only good for corporations and bankers". Hellooo, those corporations and banks are from EU member states. Yes of course the corporations are big lobbyist at Bruxelle, but the same corporations are creating jobs in countries where they operate and making a lot of money for the countries from where they are. Also brittish corporations are lobbying at Bruxelle. The British want they country back and to become o more powerful state. But in present the power of a state is based on the strengths of his economy = corporations and all the middle and small companies and businesses. The real problem that I see is that the politics from Bruxelle are protecting indeed the big companies in front of small businesses. It's a problem in all EU states. And of course followed by the ignorance and incompetence of the local governments. EU protect the EU companies and without this protection the British will suffer a lot when expose to global market. It's their right to choose and I respect their decision, but they don't see all the picture of what that means on all aspects. The Brexit leaders know all of this but they choose to not inform correctly the population. And now we have a vote result based mostly on populism, exaggerated facts and without the reality of what this BREXIT really means for the UK economy and UK people. EU is not a perfect Union but is not the devil here. Some aspects can be changed. EU was created to protect and prevent unrest in Europe because of a faulty government, bad economics, etc which can bring on the power fanatics like Nazis followed by possible wars. Greece was put somehow on tracks by EU and IMF. Because of these interventions Greece has been stooped to fall in chaos. I am from Romania and for my country EU is a blessing. For all the failures I blame us and my government not the EU.

@gb9800

5 жыл бұрын

- "those corporations and banks are from EU member states" Some are, and some are not. This is a free-trade space. Where these corporations originate from is not that relevant in that context. Where they are producing goods or services, where they are selling them, and where they are paying taxes is what matters. - "the same corporations are creating jobs in countries where they operate and making a lot of money for the countries from where they are" Most of the jobs created are located in countries where the cost of production are the lowest - for obvious reasons. In the rest of the world, a government has some tools it can leverage to equilibrate its trade balance with its partners. For instance, it can devaluate its money, boycott, negotiate, change partners, create custom fees, protect its industry from hostile takeovers, favor nationals in public contracts and so on... In the EU context, each member state must comply to the trading agreements, laws and norms made by the Union - even against its own interest. In the euro context, every country has the same money - despite having different economies. So there's no virtuous balance of exchanges. Instead we have a space of maximised concurrency and predation between members and with the rest of the world. Also if the ratio of the profit made by a corporation and the money redistributed in its country of origin was so obviously high, nobody would be complaining about the richest 1% owning as much wealth as the rest of the world population. - "Also brittish corporations are lobbying at Bruxelle." British corporations are representing private interests in the first place. They are obviously lobbying in Bruxelles and anywhere else if it's in their own interest. And they will continue after the brexit if it ever happens. - "in present the power of a state is based on the strengths of his economy = corporations and all the middle and small companies and businesses." The strength of an economy is first and foremost dependent of the volume of exchanges/creation of value in that economy. Most of it depends on household spending. Which itself depends on the average wage, which is directly related to the job market. Now you take that and put it in the context of the EU and you get why people are not really enthusiast regarding posted workers and social dumping. - "And of course followed by the ignorance and incompetence of the local governments." Local governments are incompetent by design. - "EU protect the EU companies and without this protection the British will suffer a lot when expose to global market." This is the exact opposite. By fiercely forbidding any form of protectionism, the EU greatly exposes these companies, leading to devastated industries everywhere in Europe. So the british are already exposed to the global market. And they are doing quite well given the situation. - "EU is not a perfect Union but is not the devil here. Some aspects can be changed." It cannot be changed. The requirement for unanimity means that the vote of a single state across the 27 members is enough to prevent any reform. - "EU was created to protect and prevent unrest in Europe because of a faulty government, bad economics, etc which can bring on the power fanatics like Nazis followed by possible wars." At the origin, the EU was created and pushed by the US. It is the political and economical space of its influence in Europe. NATO being the military space. This is mainly why the US is considered an empire. - "Greece was put somehow on tracks by EU and IMF. Because of these interventions Greece has been stooped to fall in chaos." You're a fool if you think Greece is on track. After a decade of austerity it's a devastated economy. - "I am from Romania and for my country EU is a blessing. For all the failures I blame us and my government not the EU." Should have begun with that. Your country is recieveing massive amounts of money from western countries tax payers such as the UK citizens. No wonder you like it. Perfect illustration of how opposite interests are forced into the same box.

@gilgameschvonuruk4982

4 жыл бұрын

Greece got into the Chaos, because they joined the Euro

To be honest, I think that having some economic down times and national fragmentation is acceptable if it means being able to control your own country's destiny.

@ciaranmulroy4858

8 жыл бұрын

The illusion of control.

@hui83

8 жыл бұрын

"sovereignty" didn't help the carthagian, the plantagents, or thousands of other dead empires survive what was coming to them. i'm sure they were crying for sovereignty the entire way down though.

@JonHT96

8 жыл бұрын

That's great and all. Problem is, in the end, nothing is going to change. And here's why: The 190 Millions Pounds a week that is sent to the EU in net(after rebates and support is calculated) gets Britain benefits and access to the EU. It's estimated the UK would have to pay about the same as they pay to the EU currently in order to get into the common market and probably have to agree to similar trade conditions as to what they are bound to now. They also want to close off borders to immigrants, which is great, except it would be absolutely ridiculous to try that since they would have to close of the Northern Irish Border, which isn't going to be easy since people sometimes live and work on opposite sides and also there are farms sitting on the border and also tons of rural side paths that snake through the border. And since they can't really secure the Irish-UK Border, than the situation is basically the same as people can go to Ireland from the Eu, and then cross over to Northern Ireland and then go to Britain. So essentially: Brexit did fuck all aside from cause Scotland and Northern Ireland to think about leaving the UK (Scotland go back to independence and N. Ireland merging back to Ireland) and crash the stock market. Or, the UK essentially has started a Great Britain centered political and economic self destruct sequences, screwing everyone over from the British Isles, to the EU, to Asia, to the Americas, to Africa, etc.

@ciaranmulroy4858

8 жыл бұрын

+JonHT96 Government also will have to take responsibility for their own fuckups, as they can no longer point the finger at the eu.

@JonHT96

8 жыл бұрын

Ciaran Mulroy Exactly. This has all been one big insane event caused by "patriotism" that has done nothing but trouble, worldwide, Europe-wide, and Britain-wide. It's unlikely anything good will come from this, even for the UK (assuming this doesn't tear it apart)

A most excellent video, again, thank you.

"Our precious union" set itself up for an immigrant avalanche many years ago during the colonial ages when relaxed rules were written into U.K. Legal instruments to favor exploitation of the colonies not considering the possibility of the colonies and others moving into the British Island. Now the U.K. Colonialists would like to reset the situation by attacking the EU, closing off the loopholes and hoping that the Western Allies will save the day - impossible task.

Is it really the EU that has "protected peace" in Europe? Or was it the US, via NATO, that preserved peace in Europe? Does hegemonic stability theory have anything relevant to say about this?

@goalie604403

8 жыл бұрын

Must be an American saying that.

@jrm21386

8 жыл бұрын

goalie604403 Doesn't make it any less valid of a point or statement. ;-)

@nebojsagalic4246

8 жыл бұрын

nukes mostly.

@jrm21386

8 жыл бұрын

***** Wouldn't be the peaceful, rich Europe of today without America. And it was the EU that caused the crisis in Ukraine, and who wanted to enlarge the EU to Russia's borders. Also, Russia annexed Crimea, not the US.

@jrm21386

8 жыл бұрын

Nebojsa Galic Whose nukes?

The USA will trade the EU Florida, Alabama, and half of Texas in exchange for England joining the Union. What do you think?

@senseiadam-brawlstars9465

5 жыл бұрын

Florida = huge tourism and Texas = oil. So why would the US trade them lol.

Thanks for this, very helpful

I think the real problem is that David Cameron only suggested this referendum because he was certain we would remain in the eu. Now that we have left we are completely unprepared if the guy had any common sense he would have arranged more trade deals with other countries outside of the eu to lessen the fallout of us leaving before the referendum took place.

media UK in recession ahhhh reality Germany in recession

if the UK imports more than it exports ... then the EU is the big loser, not the UK! this while switzerland, the only healthy country in the europe is not part of the EU in other words; brexit is a good thing!

@mattiaslorentzon7766

8 жыл бұрын

Jesus. There's is huge differences between the UK and Switzerland apart from being an EU member and not. You won't suddenly become Switzerland because you leave the EU. And UK exports less than it imports yes, but for EU as a whole the UK is really small. It will hurt UK more not having a trade deal with the EU because only a couple of % of EU countries exports goes to the UK, where as UK exports to the EU is 40% (approximately) of its whole exports. UK also relies on its financial sector very heavily. That sector now has to move if it wants access to the European market, a market which is a lot bigger. As a swede I can say that I am terribly sad to see the UK go. We must accept your decision but it's ridiculous that the people who have voted leave doesn't understand that you will suffer economically for this.

@MichielVanKets

8 жыл бұрын

Mattias Lorentzon all complete nonsense; the EU needs to UK just as much as the other way around; we don't need a bunch of fascists oppressing all of us just to trade the average unemployment in the EU is 20% ... how the fuck is that good thing? how many more millions of people need to suffer until you're willing to accept that socialism doesn't work?

@youtubedude1355

8 жыл бұрын

nationalism doenst work too, im german i know what im talking about. we all need to accept your decision. but there is one thing: if more countries leave and the EU collapses, our world will change dramatically because our continent will be another playground for american and russian interests, where this 2 countries can gain more influence. believe me, just because of that danger the EU is a good thing. we speak again in 20 years if it happens.

@MichielVanKets

8 жыл бұрын

You Tube Dude hahaha ... the EU is an american construction to start with because it's easier to control europe using the EU as it would be to control 28 independent nations

@kkoehler1986

8 жыл бұрын

I'm German and you got your facts right. Britain does import more than it exports.However this will not make the EU the biggest loser. Though we will all loose quite a bit. I think if the EU does in the long-turn break apart after this referendum (which I don't necessarly think it does) Britain will become by far the most hated country in the world. Importing a lot from the EU means Inflation will hit harder. However the positve effects of cheaper export won't compensate the lossses. Leaving the single market would put the banking sector and the service sector under pressure, though. To sum up: Johnson is fucked!

Where is this guy from? He says "Sahul" at the end, what language is that?

my guess is uk will not leave eu. uk members will consider leaving for the eu, uk economy will suffer some, austerity measures will be necessary and by the time all that and the withdrawal terms are set, the refugee crisis will have stabilized. under the next leadership, i would expect a second referendum asking people to confirm, in light of the new developments and terms to accept. or simply just cancel the whole debacle. nothing rong in having this referendum to ask "do you want to leave?" and then ask again "now that we know the consequences, should we pay the price?". we could assume nobody knows the price to pay even today.

I have to disagree, a lower pound sterling will result in higher exports; higher exports in prosperity

@Latsilae

8 жыл бұрын

What are you going to export? Fish and chips? Toffee? Sugar beets?

@reggiebuffat

8 жыл бұрын

Cars, satellites, construction equipment, high tech...

@hansgruber22

8 жыл бұрын

Graf Von Muffintof yeah no idea what the 9th largest export economy has to offer, beats me ;D

@hansgruber22

8 жыл бұрын

David Rockefeller hmm, I don't think in the next year because the leave alone will take 2 years. The question is if a strong currency is even in their best interest, for the big banks and money trader maybe but for export and the working class not so much. Time will tell.

@hansgruber22

8 жыл бұрын

Temp Temp cars and meds as far as I know. I don't think the scots will break the union, this is of course speculative.

You can't put a price on freedom. As an American I'm proud of Britain for fighting for their Sovereignty.

As always i love your reports my friend. Question!! what do you think will be the long-term consequences or benefits BREXIT will bring? thanks Amigo.

excellent video, may i ask what editing software you use?

I think referendum should've been accepted if and only if 70-80% was achieved. 50-50 sounds good on paper but not unanimous with the population.

@ieuanhunt552

8 жыл бұрын

A big problem is that the Scots are pissed because they voted Remain.

@hockinm1

8 жыл бұрын

there's a 60% sub clause that a Gov petition is trying to invoke, it's had enough signatures to force a discussion in parliament. politicians are behaving like this is totally final result

@MichielVanKets

8 жыл бұрын

in that case the remain camp would have won, while getting less votes

@roryb.bellows8617

8 жыл бұрын

That is retarded beyond belief. You wouldn't have said that it was 52% remain, nor would anyone else.

@ieuanhunt552

8 жыл бұрын

+hockinm1 The leave camp are going to try and block the petition because they know they are going to lose if we have another referendum.

Your economic predictions appear to be informed predominantly by the arguments that were made against leaving, much of which was unfounded fear-mongering. Despite the consensus there was among institutions, you have to be mindful of their being a part in some way or another of an establishment that has a great deal invested in the political project that is the EU. Take for instance the disparity between how Osborne is actually handling the situation and what he said would happen, there has been no emergency budget! Negotiating trade deals shouldn't take that long either, even with the EU, I suspect as a current member it'll be much less arduous a process than it has been for other countries. Anything that has a negative economic impact it's reasonable to believe can be largely offset by new opportunities, which always arise with a change of circumstance.

@BrorealeK

8 жыл бұрын

Shirvan didn't make this episode to convince people to support a vote which already happened. He's outlining the consequences of Brexit. And if you watched to the end of the episode you'd see he outlined why there was dissatisfaction with the EU in the first place. Regardless it's clear Britain has no plan for leaving the EU, so in the short term there will be economic fallout. No denying it.

@DesecrationUK

8 жыл бұрын

Why do you suppose I thought his intent was anything but what you describe? There are many credible and qualified commentators who take a different view of how things may unfold, which I don't doubt he'd readily acknowledge. No one has a crystal ball.

@JayJay5244

6 жыл бұрын

Setnakht Well much of it is founded now... The UK is suffering as businesses are leaving.

@impalabeeper

6 жыл бұрын

"much of which was unfounded fear-mongering" It's been more than a year now and austerity worsened under the Tory. It's not unfounded anymore. Honestly, it doesn't take a genius to figure out that leaving the world's largest market will severely effect the economy; especially for an island with relatively few resources and with a population of 60 million in contrast to a continent with a population of 500 million with more resources.

@Hession0Drasha

6 жыл бұрын

New opportunities that will take 10-20 years to capitalise on.

+CaspianReport you should do a follow up video. This wasn't very extensive

I would have been happy with a EU. But they tried to rule us.

Now that UK is dropping out of EU why should we all keep talking English. Lets forget this whole language and make Esperanto happen.

@maggyfrog

8 жыл бұрын

could you translate what you just posted in esperanto? LOL

@miiiikku

8 жыл бұрын

Maggy Frog I have already had to learn two foreign languages.

@youtubedude1355

8 жыл бұрын

nein wir sprechen jetzt bitte alle deutsch ;)

@faque5634

8 жыл бұрын

English is the language of the internet. Deal with it.

@pitotipp

8 жыл бұрын

Fuck you

You should do an update on this. The economy has contracted but not into a recession (yet)

@vitas75

3 жыл бұрын

You should do an update on this. The economy has entered the worst recession in decades.

great video as usual!

Shirvan, I noticed that when you talked about the future of the English parliament you say "[the next prime minister] he or she will have to..." and then you went on to use male pronouns as a default. Something I have found useful is simply using the word "they" which is quicker than "he or she" and is also non-gendered. I wonder if you will find that useful. thanks for the great content as usual!

@CaspianReport

8 жыл бұрын

Good one, thanks!

@jonbrown1341

8 жыл бұрын

Liberalism at its finest. Political correctness destroyed the content of the video. Im offended he used he and she when he should have used over 70ish acronyms that are inclusive of the lgbtquif genders also. My god what is wrong with you people? Include everyone or none. Today I am i until I get to Target and decide which restroom I want to use, so until then my day has been ruined by this video. Please scrub it from the web or make the changes before you offend someone else.

@rodpowder

8 жыл бұрын

lol...

@Axton476

8 жыл бұрын

Shut the fuck up

@cxmichellex

8 жыл бұрын

It's hilariously ironic how offended you are by this Jon.

Centralizing Europe has always failed historically, look at Napoleon, Roman Empire, Third Reich, etc. The strength of Europe is its cultural differences and its need to be sovereign.

@oxid92

8 жыл бұрын

Well every example you've mentionned was centralizing europe through war.

@ScarletGameShow

8 жыл бұрын

except the roman empire fell when divided itself in two

@noaccount4

8 жыл бұрын

It had to divide itself in two because it was falling, every succession was decided through civil war - united, the Roman Empire couldn't deal with mass migration, plague, war or the deterioration of the military or the spread of Christianity. Divided, the European nations founded Western Civilization

@sorro9384

6 жыл бұрын

Jeremiah what DO we DO with THE central banks??;)

@susomedin5770

6 жыл бұрын

Jeremiah roman empire was not european.

good video and thanks for making

extremely well explained :)

All because the EU had to act like a Federal Union

I'm from the UK.......I voted to leave because I didn't want my country to become a super-state nation........just like Hitler wanted. The EU will come to an end because 3 other EU members want to love leave. The UK will recover after a few years from this because we still sit on the G8, G20, UN and NATO table. Plus we have a language that is widely spoken around the world, we have the Commonwealth, our tourism bring millions because of our history.......plus we have the world financial capital in London........we will still trade with EU as well as other nations around the world, with better deals.

@SteveRoy88

8 жыл бұрын

You wont recover because you sit on these tables. These tables dont bring you anything: you need FTAs.

@isaccalvesalves6450

8 жыл бұрын

Lol, what are you talking about? only the UK out of the EU, NO OTHER MEMBER is GOING to COME OUT, people in other countries have seen the dire consequences that the United Kingdom is suffering for leaving the EU, output of another Member is VERY UNLIKELY, and if you do not know in most EU countries there is no referendum, including in Germany. United Kingdom is alone, poor UK.

@maccabackpacker

8 жыл бұрын

Isacc Alves Alves France, Sweden and Spain has already have big party's want to leave the EU.....look it up :) The UK will be fine within time......it's the EU that is in crisis more. Good luck becoming a super-state nation!

@RussianSpaceman

8 жыл бұрын

educate yourself before embarrassing yourself next time, gluck

@maccabackpacker

8 жыл бұрын

Anton Gavrikov 'educate yourself'.....that's your response?.....learn how to spell and don't bother commenting if you can't make a valid point.

thank you, very interesting and informative

Also the EU has massive tariffs on nations outside of the EU meaning yes, britain will lose the advantage of cheap imports from eu nations and less competitive prices when exporting to the EU but will gain far lower prices from Non-EU nations such as china, thailand, Russia, Brazil, and the united states, this all assuming they do not re-institute these tariffs once they become independent. If they in fact re institute these tariffs this is still preferable for britain as their government would directly receive the mild benefits gained of tariffs being directly paid to their sovereign government rather than to brussels who would use these funds not in areas that they were received but wherever they please (and yes free trade is better, hopefully Britain once sovereign does not institute new tariffs).

Conveniently Never mentions Switzerland, Switzerland is not part of the EU either, and they are doing fine. This is really about currency, the British pound would have been made defunct by the Euro in 2020, smacks highly of Globalist Communism, and quite frankly, is more disturbing than Brexit. With every major change comes a sacrifice, but the end sum will work out better for the UK. Also the Scots had voted succession not to long ago, before Brexit, and there was a low voter turn out in Scotland for the Brexit vote, about 20% lower than the succession vote. Leads me to believe that many of the Scottish were undecided. If you had reported on the latter, I would not have found your editorial biased, but unfortunately it smacks highly of partisan bigotry. Makes me wonder what you'll have to say when Donald Trump gets elected for the US president, get ready to change your diapers boy.

@havicmyers7011

8 жыл бұрын

excuse me correction, too, and unbiased.

@havicmyers7011

8 жыл бұрын

***** It would see that they are the only ones that don't have their heads up their asses in Europe, good for them. Props to the Swiss educational system.

@havicmyers7011

8 жыл бұрын

sorry. seems, having sticky key trouble

@havicmyers7011

8 жыл бұрын

***** Good way to be.

@havicmyers7011

8 жыл бұрын

***** I'm not from the UK, so I can't say that I am aware of all the inherent mechanisms that sustain those Islands, however I am in agreement that they should preserve their pound as currency.

So basically it all happened because a lot of English folks got tired of all the brown people coming in. Good job everyone, real nice work.

@weeddegree

7 жыл бұрын

Todd Bollinger the fuck are you in about

@CMontgomeryBurns09

7 жыл бұрын

weeddegree Exactly what you think I am.

@alex-sv8ru

5 жыл бұрын

Todd Bollinger No you fool, Brexit will only effect EU immigration.

Can we have an Update?

Hello Shirvan, Let me first say I very much appreciate the work you are doing, it's great, definitely widens horizons. To that end I would like to add few observations of my own on the topic of brexit. The first real question is whether it will even happen. I mean yes there was a referendum and yes politicians declare to execute the will of the people, just like in a mature democracy they are supposed to, however when it comes to political declarations and not bounding referendums, nothing is yet set in stone and the deal they are currently negotiating doesn’t look like leaving the EU at all, rather stepping down in her ranks. So let me make an argument why I don't think it will even happen. None of the key stake holders wants it. All politicians who were truly for leaving the EU have themselves left politics. Of course conservatives might have been saying (and might still do at some point in the future) that they want to proceed with it, but they know it is a burden for the economy for which they, as ones in the power, will get the blame. Why do I say it is a burden for the economy? Well the EU has two options when it comes to dealing with the UK. A) they can go about it as if it was just business as usual, this is what brexiters hope for. Rational evaluated decisions to make market of goods as liquid as possible, without implementing the free transfer of people. That would be a good business strategy both for the EU as well as the UK. However the EU is not a business, neither can be her decisions made as if she was one. If Brussel's politicians were to give British what they want, they know it would trigger the chain reaction that you mentioned. All other countries would come up with things they want from the participation in the EU and as they would differ greatly from one nation to another the whole project of the EU would seize to exist. Europe would go back to non regulated relationships between individual states, which is strictly against German interest as they are the ones who benefit most from this project. They simply will not allow the idea of Europeans to vanish, because this idea strengthen their position both economically as well as politically and gives them possibility of future development and growing influence. That is why EU will not act according to British expectations, as a business platform, but rather as a political entity which it in essence is. The EU will make it as painful for the UK as possible, given she actually decides to leave. As a few times larger economy than the UK and one that has much less to lose, the EU dictates terms of this divorce and that is in essence her option B, which she decided to go by. Political decision: No good deal for the leavers. It is a necessity from the EU perspective and Germany together with France will fully support it. No one is interested in opposing them, because it is more beneficial to stay in the stronger EU run by France and Germany rather than to reestablish decades of relationships with all other states respectively or to get a good deal with the UK at an expense of one's interests within the EU. Also it is the German economy that will suffer the most among the EU members after potential hard brexit and they are willing to pay the price for keeping the project going. It will go on as long as they are willing to do that, making the EU not only economical, but also political entity. The UK may try to do the same and keep their political decision with real (hard) brexit in place, however it would be leaving the biggest economy in the world as opposed to staying in the centre of it and losing just some part as Germany does. Unless there are some regulations restricting EU members from trading with the outside world, that I'm not aware of, „new economic opportunities” is just another catchphrase for British to believe in. I suppose it would have been brought up by the brexiters during their campaign already. Also that would restrict all members from exporting their products, which is the major source of the income for German economy. I don’t suppose they would put themselves in a difficulty. Staying in the common market can only strengthen British economy. The business doesn’t want the UK to leave, neither do the British politicians who as oppose to the general public understand it to be a bad business decision, for which they, (politicians) will have to pay the price. They would much rather just pretend that they are leaving the EU and at the same time accept a deal which would effectively keep them inside the EEA with depreciated political influence in Brussels for some minor economic concessions, that would probably be possible to obtain anyway (just like with £ or fishing policies), but might later serve as a PR „success” for the government to show general public that they have „done their job” when it comes to exercising democracy. With particularly complicated situation in Northern Ireland, which has already been stated not to have any boarders with neither Republic of Ireland (EU) nor the rest of the UK, this option seems more and more likely for British politicians to follow. Meaning the UK will effectively stay in the EEA losing her influence and proving one thing only: that 70 years after the second world war, it is the Germany that won in the Europe. One can either accept it and be better of or try to fight the reality and end up on the side track. So will the China in the world for that matter. Not through military contest, which in time of mutual asured destruction when it comes to global powers, becomes ever more obsolete, but rather through mutually benefitial growth and trade arrangements, which is the way forward if the human civilization is to survive. I don’t suppose that you answer comments on your videos, that would be a full time job for a whole group of people. However if you (or anyone else knowing the answer) would like to expand on „long term” benefits of the brexit for the UK, I'm more than willing to hear them out. Thanks for reading :)

I'm happy for the UK. The EU is a joke.

@obiwahndagobah9543

6 жыл бұрын

I'm also happy, but I think you accidently switched EU and UK in your comment. ;) Finally they get out. Always demanding special treatment in comparison to other countries, but when it is time to stand side by side, they leave like illoyal rich kids. Only taking and no will to give.

I had ZERO interest in politics mostly because it was so wague until I came to this Channel. Thanks for such a GREAT ONE MAN SHOW. wowowo Blessings from India

Best CaspianReport ever!!!

well done Caspian, very well done .

Don't forget that, would it be difficult for the UK to sign a trade agreement with European countries, this would only be because of EU prevalence and willingness to make it difficult. It does not have to be this way, as D. Hannan stressed it. But in second analysis, I think EU threats are not to be taken as predictive of a UK isolation, it's first of all a rhetorical and political stance. For now I don't really see how the consequences of Brexit can be anticipated.

Hi there, why are you showing pictures of Kristiansand at 2:31, while talking about the recession in Great Britain?

Oh, what a mess GB has landed in. Even to get out of the mess, a web of bottle necks have been arranged. It was insane to join a mess. Now, the best idea is to get out fast, and send out all the outsiders. Britain looks strange with weird population groups masquerading as British and English. It is said that in London, it is quite difficult to find a native-English speakers. The city needs cleaning up. Terrible populations have wandered into the city and have taken over. Many more are waiting outside with drooling mouths. All these things can be done only on a very refined nation like Britain. If the same trick is tried in any other nation, the outsider would be physically assaulted.

All forecasts are speculative. Forecasts are very rarely right when you look back at them; and they tend to follow what people expect

Great video, just have one question: What makes you think the UK will ultimately emerge from this with greater possibility of maximising its power and influence? As you've said yourself, there's no reason to believe the EU and the UK won't be working together very closely. The UK will more than likely sign a trade treaty and submit to the EU's guidelines on several other things. So in other words it'll have to obey the EU without any of the benefits of being a member state. (Franco-)German hegemony on Europe will develop further and the UK will be compelled to look across the ocean only to find the US choosing EU as its major European partner over the UK.

Turkey laughs in Corner.

Love your videos

Very interesting. An update would be useful.

"The EU will cease to exist" and then Ukraine happened